Results

Season record and every settled pick.

Your Bet365 bets

29 wagers across 29 selections. Actual returns from all recorded wagers, across all weeks.

Partial supplied history. These totals are not a complete account statement. Account net after fees: unknown; fee treatment is unconfirmed for 25 wagers.

Return minus stake

-$111.40

Record · W–L–P

12–17–0

Wagered

$550.00

Returned incl. stake

$438.60

Search teams or picks

WeekOutcome

Showing 29 of 29 wagers


New Mexico +21.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 New Mexico 6 · Oklahoma 14	win Covered by 13.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:30:30 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison New Mexico +21.75 · full game · win Your line was -0.25 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Nevada -3.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Nevada 20 · Middle Tennessee 27	loss Missed by 10.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:30:06 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Nevada -3.5 · full game · loss Your line was +0.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
UCF -17.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Georgia State 30 · UCF 44	loss Missed by 3.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:29:47 PM American odds -115 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison UCF -17.5 · full game · loss Your line was +0.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Virginia Tech -2.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Virginia Tech 35 · Maryland 26	win Covered by 6.5 +$16.67 return minus stake	+$16.67
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:27:34 PM American odds -120 Returned, including stake $36.67 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Notre Dame -29.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Michigan State 10 · Notre Dame 27	loss Missed by 12.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:27:10 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Ole Miss +3 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 LSU 24 · Ole Miss 32	win Covered by 11 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Model uses the other team Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:26:57 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison LSU -3 · full game · loss Different market; these lines are not directly comparable. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
South Carolina -3.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Mississippi State 41 · South Carolina 34	loss Missed by 10.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:26:05 PM American odds -115 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison South Carolina -4 · full game · loss Your line was +0.50 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Under 48.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 UTEP 17 · Michigan 52	loss Missed by 20.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:25:35 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Charged separately Account net after fees -$20.25 Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Cincinnati -16.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Miami (OH) 31 · Cincinnati 35	loss Missed by 12.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:25:12 PM American odds -105 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Under 58.5 Full game · $10 wager · Week 3 SMU 31 · Louisville 41	loss Missed by 13.5 -$10.00 return minus stake	-$10.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:24:36 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Charged separately Account net after fees -$10.25 Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
USC -21.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 USC 42 · Rutgers 35	loss Missed by 14.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:24:23 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Texas A&M -16.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Kentucky 31 · Texas A&M 21	loss Missed by 26.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:24:08 PM American odds -120 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Texas A&M -17 · full game · loss Your line was +0.50 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Florida -2.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 Florida 44 · Auburn 39	win Covered by 2.5 +$19.05 return minus stake	+$19.05
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:20:22 PM American odds -105 Returned, including stake $39.05 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Louisville -1.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 3 SMU 31 · Louisville 41	win Covered by 8.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Placed at Bet365 09/18/2026 11:19:57 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Under 40.5 Full game · $10 wager · Week 2 Iowa State 13 · Iowa 16	win Covered by 11.5 +$9.10 return minus stake	+$9.10
Placed at Bet365 09/10/2026 7:25:15 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $19.10 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Charged separately Account net after fees +$8.85 Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Iowa -13.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 2 Iowa State 13 · Iowa 16	loss Missed by 10.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/10/2026 7:25:09 PM American odds -120 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Under 43.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 2 Oklahoma 10 · Michigan 17	win Covered by 16.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Model uses a spread, not this total Placed at Bet365 09/07/2026 2:10:02 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Charged separately Account net after fees +$17.94 Model comparison Michigan +5.5 · full game · win Different market; these lines are not directly comparable. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Notre Dame -20.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Wisconsin 13 · Notre Dame 41	win Covered by 7.5 +$17.40 return minus stake	+$17.40
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:33:08 PM American odds -115 Returned, including stake $37.40 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Notre Dame -20.5 · full game · win Your line was +0.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Oregon State +20.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Oregon State 20 · Houston 33	win Covered by 7.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:32:41 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Stanford +24.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Miami 45 · Stanford 6	loss Missed by 14.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:32:13 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Miami Ohio +16.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Miami (OH) 14 · Pittsburgh 59	loss Missed by 28.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:31:33 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Miami (OH) +16.5 · full game · loss Your line was +0.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Michigan State -9.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Toledo 20 · Michigan State 30	win Covered by 0.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Your line: win; model line: loss. Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:31:10 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Michigan State -11 · full game · loss Your line was +1.50 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Coastal Carolina +20.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Coastal Carolina 24 · West Virginia 31	win Covered by 13.5 +$19.05 return minus stake	+$19.05
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:30:53 PM American odds -105 Returned, including stake $39.05 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison No settled model pick for this game. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Duke -7.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Tulane 3 · Duke 17	win Covered by 6.5 +$18.19 return minus stake	+$18.19
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:30:28 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $38.19 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Duke -9.25 · full game · win Your line was +1.75 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
East Carolina +28.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 East Carolina 10 · Alabama 48	loss Missed by 9.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:29:55 PM American odds -115 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison East Carolina +27 · full game · loss Your line was +1.50 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Rutgers -29.5 Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Massachusetts 37 · Rutgers 21	loss Missed by 45.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:29:24 PM American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Rutgers -30.5 · full game · loss Your line was +1.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Troy -19 Full game · $10 wager · Week 1 Sam Houston 21 · Troy 24	loss Missed by 16 -$10.00 return minus stake	-$10.00
Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:28:58 PM American odds +100 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Troy -16 · full game · loss Your line was -3.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Ohio State -28.5 First half · $20 wager · Week 1 Ball State 3 · Ohio State 28	loss Missed by 3.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Model uses full game Placed at Bet365 09/01/2026 10:27:15 PM American odds +100 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee $0.25 Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Ohio State -50 · full game · win Different market; these lines are not directly comparable. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. First-half period previously confirmed by user. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.
Miami Ohio +16.5 (second wager) Full game · $20 wager · Week 1 Miami (OH) 14 · Pittsburgh 59	loss Missed by 28.5 -$20.00 return minus stake	-$20.00
Placed at Bet365 Time not supplied American odds -110 Returned, including stake $0.00 Reported fee Not supplied Fee treatment Unconfirmed Account net after fees Unknown Model comparison Miami (OH) +16.5 · full game · loss Your line was +0.00 points different. Graded against saved CFBD results; return corroborates outcome. Unqualified selection scored as full game. Fee treatment retained from supplied evidence. Times are as supplied; timezone unspecified.

Return minus stake does not deduct any separate fees. Account net is shown only when fee treatment is confirmed. W–L–P means wins, losses, and pushes; voided wagers and unconfirmed outcomes are separate. Your record counts individual wagers. Expand a row for the original bet details.

Model results

All settled picks across all weeks. Graded at the saved model line. Full-game spreads.

Model record

27–32–0

Win rate

45.8%

Settled picks

Search teams or picks

WeekOutcome

Showing 59 of 59 picks

		Details
Louisiana Tech +19.75 vs Baylor · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 19–36 final	win Covered by 2.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -4.55 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
App State -17.25 vs Charlotte · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 26–21 final	loss Missed by 12.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.05 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Sacramento State +27 vs North Dakota State · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 10–31 final	win Covered by 6
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.60 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Nevada -3.5 vs Middle Tennessee · Week 3 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 20–27 final	loss Missed by 10.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -7.70 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Louisiana -7.5 vs UAB · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 21–14 final	loss Missed by 0.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +5.70 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
UConn -3 vs Southern Miss · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 48–20 final	win Covered by 25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
James Madison +1.5 vs San Diego State · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 26–13 final	win Covered by 14.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Eastern Michigan +23.5 vs Wisconsin · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 10–54 final	loss Missed by 20.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Buffalo +40.75 vs Penn State · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 13–55 final	loss Missed by 1.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -6.65 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Western Kentucky +44.5 vs Indiana · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 0–38 final	win Covered by 6.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.30 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Duke -10 vs Stanford · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 35–7 final	win Covered by 18
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.30 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Utah State +27.5 vs Utah · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 0–33 final	loss Missed by 5.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.10 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
UCF -17.5 vs Georgia State · Week 3 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 44–30 final	loss Missed by 3.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +12.20 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Northwestern -3.5 vs Colorado · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 41–7 final	win Covered by 30.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.10 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
BYU -17.25 vs Colorado State · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 41–23 final	win Covered by 0.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.75 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Northern Illinois +33.75 vs Arizona · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 17–42 final	win Covered by 8.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -4.05 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Texas A&M -17 vs Kentucky · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 21–31 final	loss Missed by 27
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
UTSA +30.25 vs Texas · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 6–30 final	win Covered by 6.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -4.85 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
South Carolina -4 vs Mississippi State · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 34–41 final	loss Missed by 11
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +5.40 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
New Mexico +21.75 vs Oklahoma · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 6–14 final	win Covered by 13.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -5.05 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
LSU -3 vs Ole Miss · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 24–32 final	loss Missed by 11
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.40 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Florida State +19.75 vs Alabama · Week 3 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 36–50 final	win Covered by 5.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.75 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 3 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Minnesota +0.25 vs Mississippi State · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 13–38 final	loss Missed by 24.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +4.05 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-20 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Hawai'i -7.5 vs New Mexico State · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 29–19 final	win Covered by 2.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +7.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Fresno State -18 vs Sacramento State · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 49–3 final	win Covered by 28
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +4.90 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Arkansas +12.5 vs Utah · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 10–43 final	loss Missed by 20.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.10 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Air Force +2.5 vs North Dakota State · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 32–38 final	loss Missed by 3.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +4.00 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Auburn -33.5 vs Southern Miss · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 43–8 final	win Covered by 1.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Ole Miss -47.5 vs Charlotte · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 41–9 final	loss Missed by 15.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.30 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Ohio State +1.75 vs Texas · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 23–24 final	win Covered by 0.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -7.35 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Clemson -20.5 vs Georgia Southern · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 22–7 final	loss Missed by 5.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +3.70 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Louisiana Tech +35.25 vs LSU · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 14–45 final	win Covered by 4.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -4.25 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
San Diego State +12.5 vs UCLA · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 10–28 final	loss Missed by 5.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.60 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Bowling Green +29.75 vs Nebraska · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 7–56 final	loss Missed by 19.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -6.25 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Georgia Tech +12.75 vs Tennessee · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 24–45 final	loss Missed by 8.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +5.25 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Marshall -13.5 vs Middle Tennessee · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 28–26 final	loss Missed by 11.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +8.60 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Kennesaw State -9.5 vs Georgia State · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 17–31 final	loss Missed by 23.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +8.80 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Buffalo +10.25 vs Florida International · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 20–33 final	loss Missed by 2.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -9.55 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Jacksonville State +2.5 vs Ohio · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 27–29 final	win Covered by 0.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -5.90 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Vanderbilt -21 vs Delaware · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 35–26 final	loss Missed by 12
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +4.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
UNLV -3.25 vs North Texas · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 6–44 final	loss Missed by 41.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -8.85 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
California +3.5 vs Syracuse · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 21–18 final	win Covered by 6.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -5.40 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
UTSA +1.5 vs Texas State · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 31–26 final	win Covered by 6.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.40 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Western Kentucky +40.75 vs Georgia · Week 2 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 20–70 final	loss Missed by 9.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -7.45 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Oklahoma State +23.25 vs Oregon · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 39–31 final	win Covered by 31.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +4.55 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Michigan +5.5 vs Oklahoma · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 17–10 final	win Covered by 12.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +6.90 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
East Carolina -7.25 vs App State · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 24–27 final	loss Missed by 10.25
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge +5.35 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Missouri -5.5 vs Kansas · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 38–21 final	win Covered by 11.5
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -3.10 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Rutgers +3.25 vs Boston College · Week 2 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 21–28 final	loss Missed by 3.75
Recorded closing spread Not recorded in this ledger Model edge -4.05 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 2 Settled 2026-09-14 Closing line value Unavailable without a recorded closing line
Michigan State -11 vs Toledo · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 30–20 final	loss Missed by 1
Recorded closing spread -10 Model edge +3.40 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value -1.00 points
Ohio State -50 vs Ball State · Week 1 44% historical accuracy7-14 pt edge tier 56–3 final	win Covered by 3
Recorded closing spread -50.5 Model edge +9.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 7-14 points / 44% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +0.50 points
Wake Forest -22.5 vs Akron · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 38–16 final	loss Missed by 0.5
Recorded closing spread -27.5 Model edge +3.10 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +5.00 points
Miami (OH) +16.5 vs Pittsburgh · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 14–59 final	loss Missed by 28.5
Recorded closing spread +16.5 Model edge -4.60 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +0.00 points
Troy -16 vs Sam Houston · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 24–21 final	loss Missed by 13
Recorded closing spread -16.5 Model edge +6.80 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +0.50 points
Rutgers -30.5 vs Massachusetts · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 21–37 final	loss Missed by 46.5
Recorded closing spread -29.5 Model edge +4.70 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value -1.00 points
Duke -9.25 vs Tulane · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 17–3 final	win Covered by 4.75
Recorded closing spread -9.5 Model edge +4.45 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +0.25 points
East Carolina +27 vs Alabama · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 10–48 final	loss Missed by 11
Recorded closing spread +28 Model edge -4.30 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value -1.00 points
Iowa -30 vs Northern Illinois · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 40–0 final	win Covered by 10
Recorded closing spread -31.5 Model edge +4.30 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +1.50 points
Notre Dame -20.5 vs Wisconsin · Week 1 51% historical accuracy3-7 pt edge tier 41–13 final	win Covered by 7.5
Recorded closing spread -21 Model edge -3.50 points Edge tier / historical accuracy 3-7 points / 51% Tier groups the absolute gap between the model and market in points. Accuracy is the saved historical spread-pick win rate for that tier, excluding pushes; it is not this game’s win probability. Sample size and training dates are not included in this saved ledger. Season / week 2026 / 1 Settled 2026-09-08 Closing line value +0.50 points