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Missouri at Arkansas

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Missouri

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:45:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Austin Simmons QB
3 games
43.4%
46 / 106 plays
40.0%
2 / 5 plays
Jamal Roberts RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
36.4%
28 / 77 plays
Xai'Shaun Edwards RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
7.7%
1 / 13 plays
DaMarion Fowlkes WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Anthony Favrow · RB

CFBD athlete 5081163

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
30
rushing · YPC
3.8
Austin Simmons · QB

CFBD athlete 5141684

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
208
passing · COMPLETIONS
131
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.630
passing · TD
14
passing · YDS
1756
passing · YPA
8.4
rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
1.4
Blake Craig · PK

CFBD athlete 5092219

kicking · FGA
17
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.647
kicking · PTS
58
kicking · XPA
25
kicking · XPM
25
Bobby Washington Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5001149

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
4
Brett Norfleet · TE

CFBD athlete 4870869

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
80
receiving · YPR
8.9
Brian Huff · LB

CFBD athlete 5136856

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Brody Jones · S

CFBD athlete 5290947

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Brunno Reus · PK

CFBD athlete 5216791

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
66
punting · NO
33
punting · TB
6
punting · YDS
1477
punting · YPP
44.8
CJ Bass III · S

CFBD athlete 5144161

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Caleb Goodie · WR

CFBD athlete 5120454

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
23.5
Cameron Keys · CB

CFBD athlete 5109866

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Cavan Tuley · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5092989

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Cayden Lee · WR

CFBD athlete 4870858

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
45
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
652
receiving · YPR
14.5
Chris Graves · CB

CFBD athlete 4808749

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
DaMarion Fowlkes · WR

CFBD athlete 5156379

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
kickReturns · AVG
30.7
kickReturns · LONG
54
kickReturns · NO
6
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
184
puntReturns · AVG
16.4
puntReturns · LONG
68
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
131
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
13.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
3.0
Daeden Hopkins · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5201870

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
7.0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
18
Dante McClellan · LB

CFBD athlete 5148622

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
24
Darris Smith · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4708355

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
5
Demarcus Johnson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5372206

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dominick Giudice · OL

CFBD athlete 4682698

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Donovan Olugbode · WR

CFBD athlete 5141582

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
36
receiving · TD
6
receiving · YDS
543
receiving · YPR
15.1
Donta Simpson · DT

CFBD athlete 5172033

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
4.0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
10
Elijah Dotson · S

CFBD athlete 5164690

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
JJ Bush · LB

CFBD athlete 5200432

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Hancock · S

CFBD athlete 5158244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Jaden Jones · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5150836

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jadon Blair · S

CFBD athlete 5148620

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jahlil Florence · CB

CFBD athlete 4880351

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jalen Marshall · DT

CFBD athlete 4872820

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
Jamal Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4921116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
105
receiving · YPR
8.1
rushing · CAR
167
rushing · LONG
80
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
867
rushing · YPC
5.2
Jason Dowell · DT

CFBD athlete 5141415

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jaxson Gates · CB

CFBD athlete 5256922

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jayden McGregory · S

CFBD athlete 5159003

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jeremiah Beasley · LB

CFBD athlete 5079303

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
21
Jordon Harris · TE

CFBD athlete 5121468

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Jude James · TE

CFBD athlete 5158245

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
11.4
Kamauryn Morgan · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5141595

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Kenric Lanier II · WR

CFBD athlete 5078245

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
14.5
Kensley Louidor-Faustin · S

CFBD athlete 5219025

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
27
Langden Kitchen · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5260012

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
11
Malae Fonoti · RB

CFBD athlete 5225213

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
6.0
Malik Bryant · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4870623

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Mark Hensley · DT

CFBD athlete 5067879

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Marquis Gracial · DT

CFBD athlete 4726007

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
7
Matt Zollers · QB

CFBD athlete 5195300

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.615
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
87
passing · YPA
6.7
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
4.3
Max Warner · RB

CFBD athlete 5276633

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Naeshaun Montgomery · WR

CFBD athlete 5141584

kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
136
receiving · YPR
13.6
Nicholas Deloach Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5078045

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Nicholas Rodriguez · LB

CFBD athlete 5079582

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
34
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
72
Nick Evers · QB

CFBD athlete 4755664

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
18
passing · YPA
9.0
Preston Hatfield · RB

CFBD athlete 5333436

rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
34
rushing · YPC
8.5
Robert Woodyard Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4685604

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
40
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
27.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
27
kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
Santana Banner · S

CFBD athlete 5121688

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
57
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Shaun Terry II · WR

CFBD athlete 5195617

receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
10.7
Sione Laulea · CB

CFBD athlete 5221314

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
28.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
28
Sterling Webb · DT

CFBD athlete 4917053

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Trajen Greco · S

CFBD athlete 5141973

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
interceptions · AVG
10.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
Xai'Shaun Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 5225880

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
rushing · CAR
39
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
146
rushing · YPC
3.7

Arkansas

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:45:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
KJ Jackson QB
3 games
44.2%
38 / 86 plays
33.3%
7 / 21 plays
Braylen Russell RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.8%
11 / 24 plays
Cam Settles RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
39.1%
9 / 23 plays
Sutton Smith RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.6%
10 / 21 plays
Jasper Parker RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Jamari Hawkins WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 52 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Hill · QB

CFBD athlete 5141473

passing · ATT
28
passing · COMPLETIONS
16
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.571
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
181
passing · YPA
6.5
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-5
receiving · YPR
-5.0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-29
rushing · YPC
-5.8
Adam Hawkes · OL

CFBD athlete 5193556

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Antonio Jordan · WR

CFBD athlete 5201871

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
99
receiving · YPR
12.4
Antonio Sandel-Bascomb · DL

CFBD athlete 5369921

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Ben Bogle · LB

CFBD athlete 5086143

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
47
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Bradley Shaw · LB

CFBD athlete 5079715

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
21
Braylen Russell · RB

CFBD athlete 5079589

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
205
rushing · YPC
3.5
Brian Alston · DL

CFBD athlete 4921239

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Brylan Green · DB

CFBD athlete 4905593

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
CJ Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5146719

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
83
receiving · YPR
11.9
Caleb Bell · DL

CFBD athlete 5199942

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Cam Settles · RB

CFBD athlete 5222564

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
4.1
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
176
rushing · YPC
4.1
Carlon Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 5146899

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
13
Carter Stoutmire · DB

CFBD athlete 5075675

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Charlie Collins · DL

CFBD athlete 5079380

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5
Chris Marshall · WR

CFBD athlete 4717430

receiving · LONG
50
receiving · REC
43
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
601
receiving · YPR
14.0
Christian Harrison · DB

CFBD athlete 5081387

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
35
interceptions · AVG
14.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
14
Danny Beale III · DL

CFBD athlete 5161904

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
David Oke · DL

CFBD athlete 4833606

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Donovan Faupel · WR

CFBD athlete 5159139

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
87
receiving · YPR
12.4
Donovan Whitten · DL

CFBD athlete 5150270

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Gavin Rush · P

CFBD athlete 5257399

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
51
punting · NO
27
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1093
punting · YPP
40.5
Hunter Osborne · DL

CFBD athlete 4870878

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
Ian Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5234258

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Ismael Cisse · WR

CFBD athlete 5120970

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
12.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-2
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Ja'Quavion Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5227212

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
50
Jaden Platt · TE

CFBD athlete 4899360

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
81
receiving · YPR
9.0
Jaheim Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5121992

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
25.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
25
Jamari Hawkins · WR

CFBD athlete 4917349

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
kickReturns · AVG
25.0
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
25
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
126
receiving · YPR
15.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
22.0
Jasper Parker · RB

CFBD athlete 5214410

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
21.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
51
rushing · YPC
4.6
Jelani Watkins · WR

CFBD athlete 5079759

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
20
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
27
rushing · YPC
9.0
Jeremy Evans · LB

CFBD athlete 5081787

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jesse Ehrlich · P

CFBD athlete 5083151

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
54
punting · NO
3
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
147
punting · YPP
49.0
KJ Jackson · QB

CFBD athlete 5079516

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
3
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
215
passing · COMPLETIONS
131
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.609
passing · TD
7
passing · YDS
1444
passing · YPA
6.7
rushing · CAR
59
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
140
rushing · YPC
2.4
Khmori House · DB

CFBD athlete 5147145

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
41
Kobe Branham · OL

CFBD athlete 5146871

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kyeandre Magloire · DB

CFBD athlete 4688881

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
La'Khi Roland · DB

CFBD athlete 5141966

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Matt Adcock · TE

CFBD athlete 5295366

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
Max Gilbert · PK

CFBD athlete 5150450

kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
9
kicking · LONG
55
kicking · PCT
0.692
kicking · PTS
43
kicking · XPA
16
kicking · XPM
16
Miguel Mitchell · DB

CFBD athlete 4870071

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Monte Harrison · WR

CFBD athlete 3116099

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
-5
passing · YPA
-5.0
receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
84
receiving · YPR
16.8
Phoenix Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 4875604

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Quincy Rhodes Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4918136

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
13
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Shelton Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 4921499

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Steven Soles Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5079701

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Sutton Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 4805256

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
6.1
puntReturns · LONG
20
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
43
receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
117
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
54
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
195
rushing · YPC
3.6
Tay Lockett · DB

CFBD athlete 5159019

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Trajen Odom · DL

CFBD athlete 5195615

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ty Lockwood · TE

CFBD athlete 4870870

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
129
receiving · YPR
8.6
Wyatt Simmons · LB

CFBD athlete 5147153

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Xadavien Sims · DL

CFBD athlete 5079718

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Arkansas +10

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Missouri -10

DraftKings snapshot: Arkansas +10

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Missouri by 6.35

3.65 points toward Arkansas versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Arkansas.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -10.28
  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -6.35 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs fb14fa5ad1ea4a92b9877d44f6b0c17c2b04bcd3882cd93357589a486f6a5e76 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 48e549a2056d441de25c5c0062629807dfd54980248d2fb950abca3957232381 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Arkansas · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+10.0+10.00.0
Model spread+6.35+6.350.0
Model gap+3.65+3.650.0

Negative spreads favor Arkansas; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fb14fa5ad1ea4a92b9877d44f6b0c17c2b04bcd3882cd93357589a486f6a5e76. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Arkansas +10

Model gap +3.6 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Arkansas.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Arkansas win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
24%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Arkansas +10
Stacked ensemble
38%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Arkansas.

  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.90 (path difference 1.05)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -7.35 (path difference 4.32)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -7.30 (path difference 1.21)
  • away elo: -6.44 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted epa: +5.94 (path difference 2.61)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +5.92 (path difference 3.33)
  • away talent: -4.64 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.28 (path difference 2.16)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.15 (path difference 0.81)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.14 (path difference 0.80)
  • home adjusted success: +3.81 (path difference 1.08)
  • home talent: +3.40 (path difference 0.66)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +3.37 (path difference 0.43)
  • away conference: +3.24 (path difference 0.98)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.11 (path difference 1.42)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -3.08 (path difference 1.88)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.01 (path difference 1.24)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -2.81 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.69 (path difference 1.11)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +2.63 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.59 (path difference 1.28)
  • home conference: +2.56 (path difference 0.73)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.53 (path difference 0.09)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -2.40 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +2.32 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.31 (path difference 0.73)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.25 (path difference 1.25)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.75 (path difference 1.03)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.73 (path difference 2.21)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.63 (path difference 0.26)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.31 (path difference 0.25)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +1.10 (path difference 2.18)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.04 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.04 (path difference 1.66)
  • away adjusted epa: -0.90 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.89 (path difference 1.65)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.93)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.74 (path difference 0.88)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +0.65 (path difference 0.94)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -0.64 (path difference 0.88)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.49 (path difference 0.48)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.47 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.39 (path difference 0.94)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.31 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.14 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted success: +0.09 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
  • week: -0.09 (path difference 1.21)
  • home elo: +0.05 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.05 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.44)

Reconciles to 37.80 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 8bed02674a8e1661a4a6c686b446ef9c675f555c6e053979e0746d7dcaccaeb0 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ec61f306e405ddd08c3a5e818c60a6efb26ba85c852dc39c8a650fd9b58dd038 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Missouri

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 100 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Jamal Roberts

CFBD athlete 4921116

Week 5 vs Florida: 23 attempts · 9.1 YPC · 43.5% success · 0.527 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 34 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 47.1% success · 0.320 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 20 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.454 raw PPA.

776.1077.0%160 / 5.3
Xai'Shaun Edwards

CFBD athlete 5225880

Week 5 vs Florida: 7 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.607 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.863 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.081 raw PPA.

131.4013.0%39 / 3.6
Austin Simmons

CFBD athlete 5141684

Week 5 vs Florida: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.123 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.498 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · -2.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.114 raw PPA.

91.049.0%17 / 0.7
DaMarion Fowlkes

CFBD athlete 5156379

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.247 raw PPA.

13.001.0%1 / 3.0

Arkansas

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 96 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
KJ Jackson

CFBD athlete 5079516

Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.925 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Tennessee: 9 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.398 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.186 raw PPA.

242.5325.0%58 / 2.6
Braylen Russell

CFBD athlete 5079589

Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.437 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Tennessee: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.030 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 14 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.147 raw PPA.

244.5025.0%57 / 3.6
Cam Settles

CFBD athlete 5222564

Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 4 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.116 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Tennessee: 8 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.091 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.226 raw PPA.

234.6024.0%43 / 4.1
Sutton Smith

CFBD athlete 4805256

Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 6 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.277 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Tennessee: 11 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 45.5% success · -0.186 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.432 raw PPA.

215.2021.9%53 / 3.6
Jasper Parker

CFBD athlete 5214410

Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.083 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Tennessee: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · -0.011 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.066 raw PPA.

35.003.1%11 / 4.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureArkansasOffenseMissouriDefenseMissouriOffenseArkansasDefense
PPA/play
+0.05
20th
+0.04
62nd
+0.17
59th
+0.16
21st
Success rate
42.3%
44th
36.8%
80th
40.8%
31st
43.1%
27th
Explosiveness
1.09
4th
1.32
15th
1.34
90th
1.18
69th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.03
27th
+0.00
60th
+0.12
61st
+0.23
3rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.09
18th
+0.10
75th
+0.28
57th
-0.02
92nd
Havoc allowed / created
17.6%
12th
19.5%
89th
16.0%
33rd
13.2%
15th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:41 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:41 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Blake Craig · Missouri · PAAR 0.04 · 16 attempts
  • Max Gilbert · Arkansas · PAAR 0.30 · 13 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Arkansas spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +10.5 · Snapshot spread: +10

First locally observed: +10.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +295 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -380 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -375 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +10 · Snapshot spread: +10

First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 49 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +300 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Arkansas

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 7 rated weeks · SEC

36th FBS percentile

Missouri

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 7 rated weeks · SEC

78th FBS percentile

Travel

Missouri travels 222 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · up 627 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Missouri leads 13–4 in 17 meetings since 1906.

  • 2025Missouri at Arkansas31–17 · Missouri
  • 2024Arkansas at Missouri21–28 · Missouri
  • 2023Missouri at Arkansas48–14 · Missouri
  • 2022Arkansas at Missouri27–29 · Missouri
  • 2021Missouri at Arkansas17–34 · Arkansas
  • 2020Arkansas at Missouri48–50 · Missouri

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.