Week 9 · 2026
Missouri at Arkansas
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Missouri
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Simmons QB 3 games | 43.4% 46 / 106 plays | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays |
| Jamal Roberts RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.4% 28 / 77 plays |
| Xai'Shaun Edwards RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 7.7% 1 / 13 plays |
| DaMarion Fowlkes WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 58 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Anthony Favrow · RB
CFBD athlete 5081163
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 8
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 30
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Austin Simmons · QB
CFBD athlete 5141684
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 208
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 131
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.630
- passing · TD
- 14
- passing · YDS
- 1756
- passing · YPA
- 8.4
- rushing · CAR
- 19
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 26
- rushing · YPC
- 1.4
Blake Craig · PK
CFBD athlete 5092219
- kicking · FGA
- 17
- kicking · FGM
- 11
- kicking · LONG
- 52
- kicking · PCT
- 0.647
- kicking · PTS
- 58
- kicking · XPA
- 25
- kicking · XPM
- 25
Bobby Washington Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5001149
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Brett Norfleet · TE
CFBD athlete 4870869
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 80
- receiving · YPR
- 8.9
Brian Huff · LB
CFBD athlete 5136856
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Brody Jones · S
CFBD athlete 5290947
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Brunno Reus · PK
CFBD athlete 5216791
- punting · In 20
- 13
- punting · LONG
- 66
- punting · NO
- 33
- punting · TB
- 6
- punting · YDS
- 1477
- punting · YPP
- 44.8
CJ Bass III · S
CFBD athlete 5144161
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Caleb Goodie · WR
CFBD athlete 5120454
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 94
- receiving · YPR
- 23.5
Cameron Keys · CB
CFBD athlete 5109866
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Cavan Tuley · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5092989
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Cayden Lee · WR
CFBD athlete 4870858
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 47
- receiving · REC
- 45
- receiving · TD
- 5
- receiving · YDS
- 652
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Chris Graves · CB
CFBD athlete 4808749
- defensive · PD
- 7
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
DaMarion Fowlkes · WR
CFBD athlete 5156379
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 30.7
- kickReturns · LONG
- 54
- kickReturns · NO
- 6
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 184
- puntReturns · AVG
- 16.4
- puntReturns · LONG
- 68
- puntReturns · NO
- 8
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 131
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 41
- receiving · YPR
- 13.7
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Daeden Hopkins · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5201870
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 7.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Dante McClellan · LB
CFBD athlete 5148622
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Darris Smith · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4708355
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Demarcus Johnson · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5372206
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Dominick Giudice · OL
CFBD athlete 4682698
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Donovan Olugbode · WR
CFBD athlete 5141582
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 65
- receiving · REC
- 36
- receiving · TD
- 6
- receiving · YDS
- 543
- receiving · YPR
- 15.1
Donta Simpson · DT
CFBD athlete 5172033
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Elijah Dotson · S
CFBD athlete 5164690
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
JJ Bush · LB
CFBD athlete 5200432
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jackson Hancock · S
CFBD athlete 5158244
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Jaden Jones · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5150836
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jadon Blair · S
CFBD athlete 5148620
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jahlil Florence · CB
CFBD athlete 4880351
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jalen Marshall · DT
CFBD athlete 4872820
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Jamal Roberts · RB
CFBD athlete 4921116
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 105
- receiving · YPR
- 8.1
- rushing · CAR
- 167
- rushing · LONG
- 80
- rushing · TD
- 8
- rushing · YDS
- 867
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Jason Dowell · DT
CFBD athlete 5141415
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jaxson Gates · CB
CFBD athlete 5256922
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jayden McGregory · S
CFBD athlete 5159003
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jeremiah Beasley · LB
CFBD athlete 5079303
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Jordon Harris · TE
CFBD athlete 5121468
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
Jude James · TE
CFBD athlete 5158245
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 11.4
Kamauryn Morgan · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5141595
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kenric Lanier II · WR
CFBD athlete 5078245
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Kensley Louidor-Faustin · S
CFBD athlete 5219025
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Langden Kitchen · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5260012
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Malae Fonoti · RB
CFBD athlete 5225213
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 18
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Malik Bryant · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4870623
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Mark Hensley · DT
CFBD athlete 5067879
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Marquis Gracial · DT
CFBD athlete 4726007
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Matt Zollers · QB
CFBD athlete 5195300
- passing · ATT
- 13
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 8
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.615
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 87
- passing · YPA
- 6.7
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 26
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Max Warner · RB
CFBD athlete 5276633
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Naeshaun Montgomery · WR
CFBD athlete 5141584
- kickReturns · AVG
- 11.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 11
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 11
- receiving · LONG
- 34
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 136
- receiving · YPR
- 13.6
Nicholas Deloach Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5078045
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Nicholas Rodriguez · LB
CFBD athlete 5079582
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 34
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 72
Nick Evers · QB
CFBD athlete 4755664
- passing · ATT
- 2
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 18
- passing · YPA
- 9.0
Preston Hatfield · RB
CFBD athlete 5333436
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 17
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 34
- rushing · YPC
- 8.5
Robert Woodyard Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 4685604
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 40
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 27.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 27
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 19
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 19
Santana Banner · S
CFBD athlete 5121688
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 27
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 57
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Shaun Terry II · WR
CFBD athlete 5195617
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 96
- receiving · YPR
- 10.7
Sione Laulea · CB
CFBD athlete 5221314
- defensive · PD
- 6
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- interceptions · AVG
- 28.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 28
Sterling Webb · DT
CFBD athlete 4917053
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Trajen Greco · S
CFBD athlete 5141973
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 10.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 20
Xai'Shaun Edwards · RB
CFBD athlete 5225880
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
- rushing · CAR
- 39
- rushing · LONG
- 17
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 146
- rushing · YPC
- 3.7
Arkansas
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| KJ Jackson QB 3 games | 44.2% 38 / 86 plays | 33.3% 7 / 21 plays |
| Braylen Russell RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.8% 11 / 24 plays |
| Cam Settles RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 39.1% 9 / 23 plays |
| Sutton Smith RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.6% 10 / 21 plays |
| Jasper Parker RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays |
| Jamari Hawkins WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 52 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
AJ Hill · QB
CFBD athlete 5141473
- passing · ATT
- 28
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 16
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.571
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 181
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- -5
- receiving · YPR
- -5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -29
- rushing · YPC
- -5.8
Adam Hawkes · OL
CFBD athlete 5193556
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Antonio Jordan · WR
CFBD athlete 5201871
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 99
- receiving · YPR
- 12.4
Antonio Sandel-Bascomb · DL
CFBD athlete 5369921
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Ben Bogle · LB
CFBD athlete 5086143
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 47
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Bradley Shaw · LB
CFBD athlete 5079715
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Braylen Russell · RB
CFBD athlete 5079589
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 58
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 205
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Brian Alston · DL
CFBD athlete 4921239
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Brylan Green · DB
CFBD athlete 4905593
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
CJ Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 5146719
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 83
- receiving · YPR
- 11.9
Caleb Bell · DL
CFBD athlete 5199942
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Cam Settles · RB
CFBD athlete 5222564
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 4.1
- rushing · CAR
- 43
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 176
- rushing · YPC
- 4.1
Carlon Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 5146899
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Carter Stoutmire · DB
CFBD athlete 5075675
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Charlie Collins · DL
CFBD athlete 5079380
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Chris Marshall · WR
CFBD athlete 4717430
- receiving · LONG
- 50
- receiving · REC
- 43
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 601
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
Christian Harrison · DB
CFBD athlete 5081387
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 35
- interceptions · AVG
- 14.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 14
Danny Beale III · DL
CFBD athlete 5161904
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
David Oke · DL
CFBD athlete 4833606
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Donovan Faupel · WR
CFBD athlete 5159139
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 87
- receiving · YPR
- 12.4
Donovan Whitten · DL
CFBD athlete 5150270
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Gavin Rush · P
CFBD athlete 5257399
- punting · In 20
- 8
- punting · LONG
- 51
- punting · NO
- 27
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1093
- punting · YPP
- 40.5
Hunter Osborne · DL
CFBD athlete 4870878
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Ian Williams · DB
CFBD athlete 5234258
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Ismael Cisse · WR
CFBD athlete 5120970
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 96
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Ja'Quavion Smith · LB
CFBD athlete 5227212
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 50
Jaden Platt · TE
CFBD athlete 4899360
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 81
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Jaheim Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 5121992
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 26
- interceptions · AVG
- 25.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 25
Jamari Hawkins · WR
CFBD athlete 4917349
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- kickReturns · AVG
- 25.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 25
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 126
- receiving · YPR
- 15.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 22.0
Jasper Parker · RB
CFBD athlete 5214410
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 21
- receiving · YPR
- 21.0
- rushing · CAR
- 11
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 51
- rushing · YPC
- 4.6
Jelani Watkins · WR
CFBD athlete 5079759
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 27
- rushing · YPC
- 9.0
Jeremy Evans · LB
CFBD athlete 5081787
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jesse Ehrlich · P
CFBD athlete 5083151
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 54
- punting · NO
- 3
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 147
- punting · YPP
- 49.0
KJ Jackson · QB
CFBD athlete 5079516
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 3
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 215
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 131
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.609
- passing · TD
- 7
- passing · YDS
- 1444
- passing · YPA
- 6.7
- rushing · CAR
- 59
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 140
- rushing · YPC
- 2.4
Khmori House · DB
CFBD athlete 5147145
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 41
Kobe Branham · OL
CFBD athlete 5146871
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kyeandre Magloire · DB
CFBD athlete 4688881
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
La'Khi Roland · DB
CFBD athlete 5141966
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Matt Adcock · TE
CFBD athlete 5295366
- receiving · LONG
- 2
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 2
- receiving · YPR
- 2.0
Max Gilbert · PK
CFBD athlete 5150450
- kicking · FGA
- 13
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 55
- kicking · PCT
- 0.692
- kicking · PTS
- 43
- kicking · XPA
- 16
- kicking · XPM
- 16
Miguel Mitchell · DB
CFBD athlete 4870071
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Monte Harrison · WR
CFBD athlete 3116099
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- -5
- passing · YPA
- -5.0
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 16.8
Phoenix Jackson · LB
CFBD athlete 4875604
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Quincy Rhodes Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 4918136
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Shelton Lewis · DB
CFBD athlete 4921499
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 11.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 11
Steven Soles Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5079701
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Sutton Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 4805256
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 6.1
- puntReturns · LONG
- 20
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 43
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 117
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 54
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 195
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Tay Lockett · DB
CFBD athlete 5159019
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Trajen Odom · DL
CFBD athlete 5195615
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Ty Lockwood · TE
CFBD athlete 4870870
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 129
- receiving · YPR
- 8.6
Wyatt Simmons · LB
CFBD athlete 5147153
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Xadavien Sims · DL
CFBD athlete 5079718
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Arkansas +10
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
Missouri -10
DraftKings snapshot: Arkansas +10
Missouri by 6.35
3.65 points toward Arkansas versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Arkansas.
- Net EPA rating difference: -10.28
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to -6.35 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs fb14fa5ad1ea4a92b9877d44f6b0c17c2b04bcd3882cd93357589a486f6a5e76 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 48e549a2056d441de25c5c0062629807dfd54980248d2fb950abca3957232381 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | +10.0 | +10.0 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | +6.35 | +6.35 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +3.65 | +3.65 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Arkansas; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fb14fa5ad1ea4a92b9877d44f6b0c17c2b04bcd3882cd93357589a486f6a5e76. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Arkansas +10
Model gap +3.6 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Arkansas.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Arkansas win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 24%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Arkansas +10
- Stacked ensemble
- 38%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Arkansas.
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.90 (path difference 1.05)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -7.35 (path difference 4.32)
- away adjusted success allowed: -7.30 (path difference 1.21)
- away elo: -6.44 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted epa: +5.94 (path difference 2.61)
- home adjusted second level yards: +5.92 (path difference 3.33)
- away talent: -4.64 (path difference 0.21)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -4.28 (path difference 2.16)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.15 (path difference 0.81)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.14 (path difference 0.80)
- home adjusted success: +3.81 (path difference 1.08)
- home talent: +3.40 (path difference 0.66)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +3.37 (path difference 0.43)
- away conference: +3.24 (path difference 0.98)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.11 (path difference 1.42)
- home adjusted open field yards: -3.08 (path difference 1.88)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.01 (path difference 1.24)
- away adjusted passing down success: -2.81 (path difference 0.45)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.69 (path difference 1.11)
- away adjusted second level yards: +2.63 (path difference 0.27)
- home adjusted line yards: -2.59 (path difference 1.28)
- home conference: +2.56 (path difference 0.73)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.53 (path difference 0.09)
- home adjusted passing epa: -2.40 (path difference 0.36)
- home adjusted standard down success: +2.32 (path difference 0.07)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.31 (path difference 0.73)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.25 (path difference 1.25)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -1.75 (path difference 1.03)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.73 (path difference 2.21)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.63 (path difference 0.26)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.31 (path difference 0.25)
- home adjusted passing down success: +1.10 (path difference 2.18)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.04 (path difference 0.46)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.04 (path difference 1.66)
- away adjusted epa: -0.90 (path difference 0.09)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.89 (path difference 1.65)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.93)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.74 (path difference 0.88)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +0.65 (path difference 0.94)
- home adjusted success allowed: -0.64 (path difference 0.88)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.49 (path difference 0.48)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.47 (path difference 0.48)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.39 (path difference 0.94)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.31 (path difference 0.46)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.05)
- away adjusted standard down success: -0.14 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted success: +0.09 (path difference 0.42)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
- week: -0.09 (path difference 1.21)
- home elo: +0.05 (path difference 0.00)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.05 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.00)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.44)
Reconciles to 37.80 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 8bed02674a8e1661a4a6c686b446ef9c675f555c6e053979e0746d7dcaccaeb0 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ec61f306e405ddd08c3a5e818c60a6efb26ba85c852dc39c8a650fd9b58dd038 · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Missouri
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 100 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jamal RobertsCFBD athlete 4921116 Week 5 vs Florida: 23 attempts · 9.1 YPC · 43.5% success · 0.527 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 34 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 47.1% success · 0.320 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 20 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.454 raw PPA. | 77 | 6.1 | 0 | 77.0% | 160 / 5.3 |
Xai'Shaun EdwardsCFBD athlete 5225880 Week 5 vs Florida: 7 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.607 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.863 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.081 raw PPA. | 13 | 1.4 | 0 | 13.0% | 39 / 3.6 |
Austin SimmonsCFBD athlete 5141684 Week 5 vs Florida: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.123 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.498 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · -2.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.114 raw PPA. | 9 | 1.0 | 4 | 9.0% | 17 / 0.7 |
DaMarion FowlkesCFBD athlete 5156379 Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.247 raw PPA. | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 1.0% | 1 / 3.0 |
Arkansas
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 96 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KJ JacksonCFBD athlete 5079516 Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.925 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Tennessee: 9 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.398 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.186 raw PPA. | 24 | 2.5 | 3 | 25.0% | 58 / 2.6 |
Braylen RussellCFBD athlete 5079589 Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.437 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Tennessee: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.030 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 14 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.147 raw PPA. | 24 | 4.5 | 0 | 25.0% | 57 / 3.6 |
Cam SettlesCFBD athlete 5222564 Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 4 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.116 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Tennessee: 8 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.091 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.226 raw PPA. | 23 | 4.6 | 0 | 24.0% | 43 / 4.1 |
Sutton SmithCFBD athlete 4805256 Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 6 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.277 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Tennessee: 11 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 45.5% success · -0.186 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.432 raw PPA. | 21 | 5.2 | 0 | 21.9% | 53 / 3.6 |
Jasper ParkerCFBD athlete 5214410 Week 5 vs Texas A&M: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.083 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Tennessee: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · -0.011 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.066 raw PPA. | 3 | 5.0 | 0 | 3.1% | 11 / 4.6 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | ArkansasOffense | MissouriDefense | MissouriOffense | ArkansasDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.05 20th | +0.04 62nd | +0.17 59th | +0.16 21st |
| Success rate | 42.3% 44th | 36.8% 80th | 40.8% 31st | 43.1% 27th |
| Explosiveness | 1.09 4th | 1.32 15th | 1.34 90th | 1.18 69th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.03 27th | +0.00 60th | +0.12 61st | +0.23 3rd |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.09 18th | +0.10 75th | +0.28 57th | -0.02 92nd |
| Havoc allowed / created | 17.6% 12th | 19.5% 89th | 16.0% 33rd | 13.2% 15th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:41 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:41 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Blake Craig · Missouri · PAAR 0.04 · 16 attempts
- Max Gilbert · Arkansas · PAAR 0.30 · 13 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Arkansas spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: +10.5 · Snapshot spread: +10
First locally observed: +10.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5
Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: +295 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Away moneyline · Snapshot: -380 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: -375 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: +10 · Snapshot spread: +10
First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5
Total · First locally observed: 49 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: +300 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: -400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: -400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Arkansas
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 7 rated weeks · SEC
Missouri
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 7 rated weeks · SEC
Travel
Missouri travels 222 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · up 627 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Missouri leads 13–4 in 17 meetings since 1906.
- 2025Missouri at Arkansas31–17 · Missouri
- 2024Arkansas at Missouri21–28 · Missouri
- 2023Missouri at Arkansas48–14 · Missouri
- 2022Arkansas at Missouri27–29 · Missouri
- 2021Missouri at Arkansas17–34 · Arkansas
- 2020Arkansas at Missouri48–50 · Missouri
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.