Week 10 · 2026
Arkansas at Auburn
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Arkansas
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| KJ Jackson QB 3 games | 44.7% 42 / 94 plays | 43.3% 13 / 30 plays |
| Cam Settles RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.2% 14 / 31 plays |
| Sutton Smith RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.8% 11 / 24 plays |
| Braylen Russell RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 9 / 18 plays |
| Jasper Parker RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Jamari Hawkins WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 53 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
AJ Hill · QB
CFBD athlete 5141473
- passing · ATT
- 28
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 16
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.571
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 181
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- -5
- receiving · YPR
- -5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -29
- rushing · YPC
- -5.8
Adam Hawkes · OL
CFBD athlete 5193556
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Antonio Jordan · WR
CFBD athlete 5201871
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 205
- receiving · YPR
- 13.7
Antonio Sandel-Bascomb · DL
CFBD athlete 5369921
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Ben Bogle · LB
CFBD athlete 5086143
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 51
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Bradley Shaw · LB
CFBD athlete 5079715
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Braylen Russell · RB
CFBD athlete 5079589
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 59
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 205
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Brian Alston · DL
CFBD athlete 4921239
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Brylan Green · DB
CFBD athlete 4905593
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
CJ Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 5146719
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 120
- receiving · YPR
- 10.9
Caleb Bell · DL
CFBD athlete 5199942
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Cam Settles · RB
CFBD athlete 5222564
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 74
- receiving · YPR
- 4.6
- rushing · CAR
- 55
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 214
- rushing · YPC
- 3.9
Carlon Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 5146899
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Carter Stoutmire · DB
CFBD athlete 5075675
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Charlie Collins · DL
CFBD athlete 5079380
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Chris Marshall · WR
CFBD athlete 4717430
- receiving · LONG
- 50
- receiving · REC
- 43
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 601
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
Christian Harrison · DB
CFBD athlete 5081387
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 42
- interceptions · AVG
- 14.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 14
Courtney Crutchfield · WR
CFBD athlete 5123477
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Danny Beale III · DL
CFBD athlete 5161904
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
David Oke · DL
CFBD athlete 4833606
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Donovan Faupel · WR
CFBD athlete 5159139
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 109
- receiving · YPR
- 13.6
Donovan Whitten · DL
CFBD athlete 5150270
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Gavin Rush · P
CFBD athlete 5257399
- punting · In 20
- 8
- punting · LONG
- 51
- punting · NO
- 27
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1093
- punting · YPP
- 40.5
Hunter Osborne · DL
CFBD athlete 4870878
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Ian Williams · DB
CFBD athlete 5234258
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Ismael Cisse · WR
CFBD athlete 5120970
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 118
- receiving · YPR
- 13.1
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Ja'Quavion Smith · LB
CFBD athlete 5227212
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 55
Jaden Platt · TE
CFBD athlete 4899360
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 81
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Jaheim Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 5121992
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 34
- interceptions · AVG
- 25.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 25
Jamari Hawkins · WR
CFBD athlete 4917349
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- kickReturns · AVG
- 25.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 50
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 126
- receiving · YPR
- 15.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 22.0
Jasper Parker · RB
CFBD athlete 5214410
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 21
- receiving · YPR
- 21.0
- rushing · CAR
- 11
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 51
- rushing · YPC
- 4.6
Jelani Watkins · WR
CFBD athlete 5079759
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 27
- rushing · YPC
- 9.0
Jeremy Evans · LB
CFBD athlete 5081787
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jesse Ehrlich · P
CFBD athlete 5083151
- punting · In 20
- 3
- punting · LONG
- 54
- punting · NO
- 5
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 238
- punting · YPP
- 47.6
KJ Jackson · QB
CFBD athlete 5079516
- fumbles · FUM
- 5
- fumbles · LOST
- 4
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 249
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 151
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.606
- passing · TD
- 7
- passing · YDS
- 1673
- passing · YPA
- 6.7
- rushing · CAR
- 72
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 173
- rushing · YPC
- 2.4
Khmori House · DB
CFBD athlete 5147145
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 46
Kobe Branham · OL
CFBD athlete 5146871
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kyeandre Magloire · DB
CFBD athlete 4688881
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
La'Khi Roland · DB
CFBD athlete 5141966
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Matt Adcock · TE
CFBD athlete 5295366
- receiving · LONG
- 3
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 2.5
Max Gilbert · PK
CFBD athlete 5150450
- kicking · FGA
- 15
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 55
- kicking · PCT
- 0.667
- kicking · PTS
- 47
- kicking · XPA
- 17
- kicking · XPM
- 17
Miguel Mitchell · DB
CFBD athlete 4870071
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Monte Harrison · WR
CFBD athlete 3116099
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- -5
- passing · YPA
- -5.0
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 16.8
Phoenix Jackson · LB
CFBD athlete 4875604
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Quincy Rhodes Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 4918136
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Shelton Lewis · DB
CFBD athlete 4921499
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 11.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 11
Steven Soles Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5079701
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Sutton Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 4805256
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 6.1
- puntReturns · LONG
- 20
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 43
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 117
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 63
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 217
- rushing · YPC
- 3.4
Tay Lockett · DB
CFBD athlete 5159019
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Trajen Odom · DL
CFBD athlete 5195615
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Ty Lockwood · TE
CFBD athlete 4870870
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 137
- receiving · YPR
- 8.6
Wyatt Simmons · LB
CFBD athlete 5147153
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Xadavien Sims · DL
CFBD athlete 5079718
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Auburn
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:45:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Byrum Brown QB 3 games | 33.7% 34 / 101 plays | 40.5% 17 / 42 plays |
| Jeremiah Cobb RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.0% 9 / 25 plays |
| Tristan Ti'a QB 3 games | 38.5% 5 / 13 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Omar Mabson Ii RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 21.4% 3 / 14 plays |
| Bryson Washington RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 33.3% 1 / 3 plays |
| Bryce Cain WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| Christian Neptune WR 1 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
Traditional season production · 51 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Alex McPherson · PK
CFBD athlete 4870519
- kicking · FGA
- 10
- kicking · FGM
- 8
- kicking · LONG
- 55
- kicking · PCT
- 0.800
- kicking · PTS
- 45
- kicking · XPA
- 22
- kicking · XPM
- 21
Andre Jordan · CB
CFBD athlete 5157291
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 14.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 29
Anquon Fegans · S
CFBD athlete 5141433
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 4
Arlis Boardingham · TE
CFBD athlete 4702556
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 65
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
Blake Woodby · CB
CFBD athlete 5141764
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Brian Williams Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5270869
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Bryce Cain · WR
CFBD athlete 5145207
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 2
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 3.7
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 25
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 32
- rushing · YPC
- 16.0
Bryce Deas · LB
CFBD athlete 5155759
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Bryson Washington · RB
CFBD athlete 4954455
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 19
- receiving · YPR
- 6.3
- rushing · CAR
- 21
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 76
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Byrum Brown · QB
CFBD athlete 4880272
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 246
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 158
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.642
- passing · TD
- 9
- passing · YDS
- 1557
- passing · YPA
- 6.3
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 139
- rushing · LONG
- 57
- rushing · TD
- 7
- rushing · YDS
- 485
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Cade Carlson · S
CFBD athlete 5219026
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 10
- puntReturns · NO
- 0
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 10
Champ Anthony · S
CFBD athlete 5150284
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Chas Nimrod · WR
CFBD athlete 5081367
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 35
- receiving · REC
- 37
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 402
- receiving · YPR
- 10.9
Chris Murray · DL
CFBD athlete 5151209
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Christian Neptune · WR
CFBD athlete 5296027
- passing · ATT
- 2
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 29
- passing · YPA
- 14.5
- puntReturns · AVG
- 1.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 18
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 92
- receiving · YPR
- 7.7
Cody Sigler · DL
CFBD athlete 5294521
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Da'Shawn Womack · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4880967
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 8.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 8
Dallas Walker IV · DL
CFBD athlete 4692683
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Darrion Smith · DL
CFBD athlete 5148663
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
DeShawn Spencer · WR
CFBD athlete 5209337
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 149
- receiving · YPR
- 11.5
Demarcus Riddick · LB
CFBD athlete 5079688
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Elijah Melendez · LB
CFBD athlete 5143922
- defensive · PD
- 6
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 4
- defensive · SOLO
- 43
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 9.0
- defensive · TOT
- 63
- interceptions · AVG
- 13.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 13
Eric Winters · S
CFBD athlete 5141769
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 38
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 48
Fred Gaskin · S
CFBD athlete 5079437
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 3
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 58
Gavin Jenkins · CB
CFBD athlete 5214501
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Hudson Kaak · P
CFBD athlete 5088774
- punting · In 20
- 14
- punting · LONG
- 69
- punting · NO
- 38
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1601
- punting · YPP
- 42.1
Hudson Powell · LS
CFBD athlete 5082990
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Hunter Herring · TE
CFBD athlete 4683912
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
Jake Johnson · TE
CFBD athlete 4685414
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 104
- receiving · YPR
- 8.7
Jaquez Wilkes · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5209320
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jared Smith · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5141696
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 6.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 6
Jeremiah Cobb · RB
CFBD athlete 4870642
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 54
- receiving · YPR
- 4.9
- rushing · CAR
- 69
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 355
- rushing · YPC
- 5.1
Jeremiah Koger · WR
CFBD athlete 5209679
- receiving · LONG
- 45
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 230
- receiving · YPR
- 16.4
Jonathan Echols · TE
CFBD athlete 5079382
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 54
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Jourdin Crawford · DL
CFBD athlete 5141397
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Kaleb Harris · S
CFBD athlete 5089326
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 33
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 49
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Kenneth McManus · OL
CFBD athlete 5178087
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Keshaun Singleton · WR
CFBD athlete 5121879
- receiving · LONG
- 48
- receiving · REC
- 39
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 433
- receiving · YPR
- 11.1
Malik Autry · DL
CFBD athlete 5141363
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Michael Matthews-Canty · LB
CFBD athlete 5148883
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Nate Johnson · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5151950
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Omar Mabson Ii · RB
CFBD athlete 5217041
- puntReturns · AVG
- 28.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 28
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 28
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 46
- receiving · YPR
- 5.1
- rushing · CAR
- 47
- rushing · LONG
- 39
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 254
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Rayshawn Pleasant · CB
CFBD athlete 4868900
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.8
- kickReturns · LONG
- 31
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 87
Sam Turner · WR
CFBD athlete 5198561
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 16
- receiving · YPR
- 16.0
Shamar Arnoux · CB
CFBD athlete 5141360
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Sylvester Smith · S
CFBD athlete 4871006
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Tae Meadows · RB
CFBD athlete 4880395
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 18
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Tristan Ti'a · QB
CFBD athlete 5210501
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 16
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 11
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.688
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 137
- passing · YPA
- 8.6
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 27
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Walter Mathis Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5167752
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Will Myers · QB
CFBD athlete 5294027
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Xavier Atkins · LB
CFBD athlete 5079309
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.5
- defensive · TOT
- 37
- interceptions · AVG
- 1.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 1
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Auburn -10.25
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median
DraftKings snapshot: Auburn -10
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
Auburn by 13.61
3.36 points toward Auburn versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Auburn.
- Net EPA rating difference: +9.61
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 13.61 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 9e3c8a31a3638e7ce8cab3b52747f232875b9d5413299efd2b084633a8620495 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 442cf8a6e30fb82e0d9c1e334996c97f1fca17f220bd5dd6c947bf4169bbed2b · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -10.25 | -10.25 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -13.61 | -13.61 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +3.36 | +3.36 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Auburn; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 9e3c8a31a3638e7ce8cab3b52747f232875b9d5413299efd2b084633a8620495. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Auburn -10.25
Model gap +3.4 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Auburn.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Auburn win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 77%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Auburn -10.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 73%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Auburn.
- home elo: +7.26 (path difference 2.67)
- away adjusted success: -6.22 (path difference 2.59)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.10 (path difference 4.17)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -4.96 (path difference 1.38)
- home adjusted success allowed: +4.95 (path difference 4.98)
- away elo: +4.94 (path difference 3.18)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.61 (path difference 4.29)
- home talent: +4.51 (path difference 2.19)
- away talent: -3.42 (path difference 0.05)
- away adjusted epa: +2.98 (path difference 4.62)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.80 (path difference 2.01)
- home adjusted passing epa: -2.78 (path difference 0.55)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +2.69 (path difference 4.18)
- home conference: +2.51 (path difference 0.82)
- away conference: +2.49 (path difference 2.49)
- home adjusted epa: +2.46 (path difference 3.26)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.33 (path difference 1.23)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.10 (path difference 2.77)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.06 (path difference 2.02)
- away adjusted success allowed: +1.91 (path difference 0.92)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -1.86 (path difference 0.93)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.58 (path difference 0.24)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.56 (path difference 1.41)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.38 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.31 (path difference 2.16)
- away adjusted standard down success: +1.25 (path difference 3.27)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.20 (path difference 0.82)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.19 (path difference 0.31)
- week: -1.18 (path difference 0.38)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.08 (path difference 1.16)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.94 (path difference 0.14)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.85 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted line yards: +0.79 (path difference 0.04)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.76 (path difference 0.45)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.64 (path difference 0.77)
- home adjusted standard down success: -0.60 (path difference 0.72)
- away adjusted open field yards: -0.58 (path difference 2.56)
- home adjusted second level yards: +0.54 (path difference 0.57)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.52 (path difference 0.42)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.51 (path difference 2.19)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.48 (path difference 1.46)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.42 (path difference 0.23)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.40 (path difference 1.00)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.39 (path difference 0.12)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.34 (path difference 0.96)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.12)
- home adjusted success: +0.26 (path difference 0.17)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.23 (path difference 0.05)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.08 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.07 (path difference 0.46)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +0.05 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.52)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -0.04 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.44)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.01)
Reconciles to 73.28 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 95f84a3cfb41bf9da76241de92f652b8a6a5ef4c68bfbabd927b4ab3b167d526 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast e632ccb0e18cf8fb76c0dff77c020e84408190645db9971578969baa68ec5829 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
Arkansas
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 109 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KJ JacksonCFBD athlete 5079516 Week 6 vs Tennessee: 9 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.398 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.186 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Missouri: 13 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.129 raw PPA. | 33 | 2.7 | 3 | 30.3% | 71 / 2.6 |
Cam SettlesCFBD athlete 5222564 Week 6 vs Tennessee: 8 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.091 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 11 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.226 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Missouri: 12 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.056 raw PPA. | 31 | 4.3 | 0 | 28.4% | 55 / 3.9 |
Sutton SmithCFBD athlete 4805256 Week 6 vs Tennessee: 11 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 45.5% success · -0.186 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.432 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Missouri: 9 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.054 raw PPA. | 24 | 3.8 | 0 | 22.0% | 62 / 3.5 |
Braylen RussellCFBD athlete 5079589 Week 6 vs Tennessee: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.030 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 14 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.147 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Missouri: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.825 raw PPA. | 18 | 3.8 | 0 | 16.5% | 58 / 3.5 |
Jasper ParkerCFBD athlete 5214410 Week 6 vs Tennessee: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · -0.011 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Vanderbilt: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.066 raw PPA. | 2 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.8% | 11 / 4.6 |
Auburn
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Byrum BrownCFBD athlete 4880272 Week 7 vs Georgia: 25 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 55.0% success · 0.491 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 19 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 23.1% success · 0.163 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Ole Miss: 12 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.235 raw PPA. | 56 | 2.6 | 14 | 53.8% | 136 / 3.6 |
Jeremiah CobbCFBD athlete 4870642 Week 7 vs Georgia: 13 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.011 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.304 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Ole Miss: 7 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.091 raw PPA. | 25 | 4.4 | 0 | 24.0% | 69 / 5.1 |
Omar Mabson IiCFBD athlete 5217041 Week 7 vs Georgia: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.192 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 3 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.528 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Ole Miss: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.186 raw PPA. | 14 | 2.9 | 0 | 13.5% | 47 / 5.4 |
Tristan Ti'aCFBD athlete 5210501 Week 8 vs LSU: 4 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.850 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Ole Miss: 1 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.615 raw PPA. | 5 | 5.4 | 1 | 4.8% | 5 / 5.4 |
Bryson WashingtonCFBD athlete 4954455 Week 8 vs LSU: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.589 raw PPA. | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | 2.9% | 21 / 3.6 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | AuburnOffense | ArkansasDefense | ArkansasOffense | AuburnDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.10 36th | +0.17 16th | +0.02 15th | +0.09 43rd |
| Success rate | 39.7% 24th | 43.0% 27th | 42.1% 46th | 42.8% 28th |
| Explosiveness | 1.33 86th | 1.19 65th | 1.09 4th | 1.19 66th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.01 26th | +0.22 4th | -0.02 18th | +0.02 54th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.26 55th | +0.04 85th | +0.10 19th | +0.28 24th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 18.0% 10th | 12.8% 14th | 17.9% 11th | 14.9% 37th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:06 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:06 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Alex McPherson · Auburn · PAAR 5.34 · 10 attempts
- Max Gilbert · Arkansas · PAAR -0.67 · 15 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Auburn spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -12.5 · Snapshot spread: -10
First locally observed: -10.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50.5 · Snapshot total: 53.5
Total · First locally observed: 50.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -395 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -425 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +330 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -10.5 · Snapshot spread: -10.5
First locally observed: -10.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51 · Snapshot total: 54
Total · First locally observed: 51 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -425 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -425 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +325 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +325 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Auburn
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · SEC
Arkansas
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC
Travel
Arkansas travels 550 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · down 665 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Auburn leads 21–13, 1 tie in 35 meetings since 1984.
- 2025Auburn at Arkansas33–24 · Auburn
- 2024Arkansas at Auburn24–14 · Arkansas
- 2023Auburn at Arkansas48–10 · Auburn
- 2022Arkansas at Auburn41–27 · Arkansas
- 2021Auburn at Arkansas38–23 · Auburn
- 2020Arkansas at Auburn28–30 · Auburn
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.