Skip to content
CFB/LAB
Menu
All gamesRecipe comparisons

Week 10 · 2026

Alabama at LSU

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Alabama

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Keelon Russell QB
3 games
41.4%
41 / 99 plays
50.0%
9 / 18 plays
Trae'shawn Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
31.8%
7 / 22 plays
Daniel Hill RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
10 / 20 plays
EJ Crowell RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
3 / 6 plays
Rico Scott WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Kevin Riley RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Lotzeir Brooks WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AK Dear · RB

CFBD athlete 5141426

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
3.0
Abduall Sanders Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5141675

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Alex Asparuhov · P

CFBD athlete 5222243

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
54
punting · NO
26
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1132
punting · YPP
43.5
Austin Mack · QB

CFBD athlete 5079508

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
23
passing · YPA
5.8
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
0.7
Brayson Hubbard · DB

CFBD athlete 5077638

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
42
interceptions · AVG
12.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
24
Caleb Woodson · LB

CFBD athlete 4954509

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
63
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Carmelo O'neal · DB

CFBD athlete 5224236

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Cederian Morgan · WR

CFBD athlete 5209924

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
21.0
Chuck McDonald III · DB

CFBD athlete 5141587

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Conor Talty · PK

CFBD athlete 5081854

kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.846
kicking · PTS
69
kicking · XPA
36
kicking · XPM
36
Daniel Hill · RB

CFBD athlete 5079506

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
7.8
rushing · CAR
71
rushing · LONG
31
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
332
rushing · YPC
4.7
Danny Lewis Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 4888707

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
Derek Meadows · WR

CFBD athlete 5143923

receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
11.7
Desmond Umeozulu · LB

CFBD athlete 4899417

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
6
Devan Thompkins · DL

CFBD athlete 4905925

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
31
Dijon Lee Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5141562

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
interceptions · AVG
34.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
2
interceptions · YDS
69
kickReturns · AVG
27.3
kickReturns · LONG
47
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
218
puntReturns · AVG
-2.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-2
Dre Kirkpatrick Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5109274

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Duke Johnson II · LB

CFBD athlete 5293576

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
EJ Crowell · RB

CFBD athlete 5264688

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
32
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
216
rushing · YPC
6.8
Edric Hill · DL

CFBD athlete 4870778

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Ethan Stangle · LS

CFBD athlete 5084848

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Fatutoa Henry · DL

CFBD athlete 5293575

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
11
Isaiah Faga · DL

CFBD athlete 5141800

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
9
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Ivan Taylor · DB

CFBD athlete 5141728

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
7.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
14
Jah-Marien Latham · LB

CFBD athlete 4692044

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
10
Jamarion Matthews · LB

CFBD athlete 5209952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jireh Edwards · DB

CFBD athlete 5159008

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Josh Ford · TE

CFBD athlete 5124338

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
8.7
Justin Hill · LB

CFBD athlete 5141519

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
6
Kaleb Edwards · TE

CFBD athlete 5142591

kickReturns · AVG
9.0
kickReturns · LONG
9
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
9
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
172
receiving · YPR
12.3
Kedrick Bingley-Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 4430884

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
22
Keelon Russell · QB

CFBD athlete 5141629

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
3
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
221
passing · COMPLETIONS
148
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.670
passing · TD
15
passing · YDS
2057
passing · YPA
9.3
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-10
receiving · YPR
-10.0
rushing · CAR
66
rushing · LONG
57
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
251
rushing · YPC
3.8
Keon Sabb · DB

CFBD athlete 4685507

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
22
Kevin Riley · RB

CFBD athlete 5110500

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
3.4
Khalifa Keith · RB

CFBD athlete 5078917

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
12
rushing · YPC
4.0
London Simmons · DL

CFBD athlete 5207596

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
20
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Lorcan Quinn · PK

CFBD athlete 5295958

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Lotzeir Brooks · WR

CFBD athlete 5141394

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
29
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
488
receiving · YPR
16.8
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
1.3
Luke Metz · LB

CFBD athlete 5176116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
57
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
interceptions · AVG
34.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
34
Marshall Pritchett · TE

CFBD athlete 5164343

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
237
receiving · YPR
13.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
Mhari Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5276934

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Noah Rogers · WR

CFBD athlete 4870929

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
55
receiving · YPR
18.3
QB Reese · LB

CFBD athlete 5171365

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
27
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Racin Delgatty · OL

CFBD athlete 5152091

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Rico Scott · WR

CFBD athlete 5079714

kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
puntReturns · AVG
18.0
puntReturns · LONG
18
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
18
receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
434
receiving · YPR
15.5
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
2.7
Ryan Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5141711

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
7.6
puntReturns · LONG
23
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
53
receiving · LONG
58
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
415
receiving · YPR
18.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
6.5
Rydarrius Morgan · DB

CFBD athlete 5136836

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
12.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
24
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
4.5
Steve Bolo Mboumoua · DL

CFBD athlete 5293577

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Terrance Green · DL

CFBD athlete 5158471

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
11
Trae'shawn Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5327659

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
64
rushing · LONG
58
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
324
rushing · YPC
5.1
William Sanders · OL

CFBD athlete 5153092

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Griffin · LB

CFBD athlete 5162732

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
16
Yhonzae Pierre · LB

CFBD athlete 4870970

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
9
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
27.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
27
Zabien Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5079344

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Zay Mincey · DB

CFBD athlete 5079593

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Zyan Gibson · DB

CFBD athlete 5198503

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2

LSU

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Sam Leavitt QB
3 games
58.3%
70 / 120 plays
54.5%
12 / 22 plays
Dilin Jones RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.9%
28 / 55 plays
Landen Clark QB
3 games
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Harlem Berry RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Caden Durham RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Eugene Wilson WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Jackson Harris WR
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Winston Watkins WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Brandon Brown · DT

CFBD athlete 5141387

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
CJ Jimcoily · LB

CFBD athlete 5141532

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Caden Durham · RB

CFBD athlete 5079379

rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
36
rushing · YPC
3.0
Charles Ross II · LB

CFBD athlete 5201881

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Corey Barber Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5266919

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
127
receiving · YPR
10.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-1.0
DJ Pickett · CB

CFBD athlete 5141632

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
32.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
32
Dashawn Spears · S

CFBD athlete 5218723

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Davhon Keys · LB

CFBD athlete 5079550

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
42
Deuce Geralds · DT

CFBD athlete 5158961

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
23
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Dilin Jones · RB

CFBD athlete 5079482

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
217
receiving · YPR
7.2
rushing · CAR
149
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
659
rushing · YPC
4.4
Dominick McKinley · DT

CFBD athlete 5127935

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
10
Dylan Carpenter · DE

CFBD athlete 5113179

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Eugene Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 4921154

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
9.8
puntReturns · LONG
27
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
59
receiving · LONG
53
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
284
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
4.4
Faheem Delane · S

CFBD athlete 5141428

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Grant Chadwick · P

CFBD athlete 5194616

punting · In 20
7
punting · LONG
52
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
951
punting · YPP
38.0
Harlem Berry · RB

CFBD athlete 5122231

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
57
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
33
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
202
rushing · YPC
6.1
Havon Finney Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5272005

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Husan Longstreet · QB

CFBD athlete 5141563

passing · ATT
10
passing · COMPLETIONS
7
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.700
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
95
passing · YPA
9.5
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
35
rushing · YPC
7.0
Ja'Keem Jackson · CB

CFBD athlete 4870756

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
interceptions · AVG
10.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
10
Jabari Mack · WR

CFBD athlete 5159064

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5114311

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
41
passing · YPA
41.0
receiving · LONG
70
receiving · REC
36
receiving · TD
7
receiving · YDS
634
receiving · YPR
17.6
Jaiden Braker · LB

CFBD athlete 5214492

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jake Ibieta · LB

CFBD athlete 5150412

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Larson · TE

CFBD athlete 5218496

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jayce Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5121334

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
89
receiving · YPR
11.1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Jhase Thomas · S

CFBD athlete 5209113

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Ross · DE

CFBD athlete 5112647

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
23
interceptions · AVG
30.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
30
Jordan Seaton · OT

CFBD athlete 5079682

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5084904

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Junior Tuihalamaka · DE

CFBD athlete 5081702

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Kolaj Cobbins · DE

CFBD athlete 5079384

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Lamar Brown · DE

CFBD athlete 5158949

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Landen Clark · QB

CFBD athlete 5224789

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
32
passing · COMPLETIONS
14
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.438
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
235
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
87
rushing · YPC
3.6
Malik Blocton · DT

CFBD athlete 5127027

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Malik Elzy · WR

CFBD athlete 4870696

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
62
receiving · YPR
12.4
Michael Turner · CB

CFBD athlete 5146166

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
interceptions · AVG
10.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
10
P.J. Woodland · CB

CFBD athlete 5147354

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
33
Phillip Wright III · WR

CFBD athlete 5149484

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
23.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Princewill Umanmielen · DE

CFBD athlete 4917971

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
9
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
13.0
defensive · TOT
33
Richard Anderson · DT

CFBD athlete 5161801

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Rod Gainey Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5228646

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Roman Mothershed · WR

CFBD athlete 5227998

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
82
receiving · YPR
13.7
Sam Leavitt · QB

CFBD athlete 5078810

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
256
passing · COMPLETIONS
180
passing · INT
8
passing · PCT
0.703
passing · TD
17
passing · YDS
2171
passing · YPA
8.5
rushing · CAR
72
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
324
rushing · YPC
4.5
Scott Starzyk · PK

CFBD athlete 5219533

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
9
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.818
kicking · PTS
67
kicking · XPA
40
kicking · XPM
40
Seth Knothe · DB

CFBD athlete 5091730

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Shone Washington · DT

CFBD athlete 4685568

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Stacy Gage · RB

CFBD athlete 5079405

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
4.8
rushing · CAR
21
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
166
rushing · YPC
7.9
Stephiylan Green · DT

CFBD athlete 4899347

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
15
TJ Dottery · LB

CFBD athlete 5229444

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
60
Tamarcus Cooley · S

CFBD athlete 5078914

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
24
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
10.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
21
Tre' Brown III · WR

CFBD athlete 5295918

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
61
receiving · YPR
15.3
Trey'Dez Green · TE

CFBD athlete 5079420

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
272
receiving · YPR
14.3
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Treylan James · CB

CFBD athlete 5158867

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ty Benefield · S

CFBD athlete 5117455

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Tylen Singleton · LB

CFBD athlete 5079693

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Tyree Holloway · WR

CFBD athlete 5331747

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
18.5
Whit Weeks · LB

CFBD athlete 4871034

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
25
Winston Watkins · WR

CFBD athlete 5141697

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
37
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
487
receiving · YPR
13.2
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
3.3
Zach Grace · TE

CFBD athlete 5158450

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
76
receiving · YPR
12.7
Zach Weeks · LB

CFBD athlete 5217149

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

LSU -6

DraftKings snapshot: LSU -6

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

LSU by 5.53

0.47 points toward Alabama versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward LSU.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: +1.53
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 5.53 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 69f40fa0822b6df84152df90dd0189e85471cbb9da1dac41d7ad5f3107c11fe1 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f4323631096ed80b8eeb3b1cafd30cf1fc023522d9573a8ade9090ac6fd900c4 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: LSU · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-6.0-6.00.0
Model spread-5.53-5.530.0
Model gap-0.47-0.470.0

Negative spreads favor LSU; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 69f40fa0822b6df84152df90dd0189e85471cbb9da1dac41d7ad5f3107c11fe1. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.5 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

LSU win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
66%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: LSU -6
Stacked ensemble
66%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward LSU.

  • home elo: +27.01 (path difference 0.26)
  • home adjusted success: +13.95 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted success: -13.37 (path difference 8.46)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +12.58 (path difference 6.56)
  • away elo: -10.93 (path difference 0.41)
  • away talent: -9.77 (path difference 0.39)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -8.33 (path difference 0.96)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +7.60 (path difference 4.05)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -7.02 (path difference 1.46)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -6.45 (path difference 0.87)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.44 (path difference 2.73)
  • home talent: +5.83 (path difference 1.89)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -5.26 (path difference 2.55)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.98 (path difference 2.35)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.46 (path difference 2.23)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.43 (path difference 1.86)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -3.46 (path difference 2.15)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.32 (path difference 1.06)
  • away conference: +2.99 (path difference 1.49)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.67 (path difference 1.14)
  • home conference: +2.60 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.51 (path difference 0.05)
  • home adjusted epa: -2.32 (path difference 3.11)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.25 (path difference 1.28)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.19 (path difference 2.99)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +2.16 (path difference 0.35)
  • away adjusted epa: -2.16 (path difference 0.56)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.95 (path difference 0.77)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.87 (path difference 0.67)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.68 (path difference 2.90)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.56 (path difference 0.50)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.50 (path difference 0.58)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +1.40 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.39 (path difference 1.15)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.36 (path difference 1.44)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.35 (path difference 0.34)
  • week: -1.34 (path difference 0.05)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.99 (path difference 1.63)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.96 (path difference 1.17)
  • home adjusted line yards: -0.76 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.69 (path difference 1.97)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.68 (path difference 0.83)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.58 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.50 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.46 (path difference 0.84)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.40 (path difference 1.04)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.34 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.21 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.21 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.18 (path difference 0.20)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.16 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.16 (path difference 0.53)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.11 (path difference 0.10)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -0.10 (path difference 0.34)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.07 (path difference 0.26)

Reconciles to 65.76 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs ba24be50b24bb7193af783974a63810c5d7d88d31653c3b56cb95a8d9b59d762 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast fb148ba4c930805417fbf983fb92a4f66d1eedd7fc009969a6329c535a01674f · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Alabama

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 79 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Keelon Russell

CFBD athlete 5141629

Week 6 vs Georgia: 9 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.787 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Tennessee: 9 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.243 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas A&M: 9 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.119 raw PPA.

273.1934.2%63 / 4.3
Trae'shawn Brown

CFBD athlete 5327659

Week 6 vs Georgia: 9 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.360 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Tennessee: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.418 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas A&M: 7 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.457 raw PPA.

225.1027.8%62 / 4.9
Daniel Hill

CFBD athlete 5079506

Week 6 vs Georgia: 4 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.189 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Tennessee: 7 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 57.1% success · -1.048 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas A&M: 9 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.200 raw PPA.

204.3025.3%71 / 4.7
EJ Crowell

CFBD athlete 5264688

Week 6 vs Georgia: 5 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.330 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Tennessee: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.698 raw PPA.

62.007.6%32 / 6.8
Rico Scott

CFBD athlete 5079714

Week 6 vs Georgia: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.314 raw PPA.

22.002.5%3 / 2.7

LSU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 97 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Dilin Jones

CFBD athlete 5079482

Week 6 vs Kentucky: 16 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 43.8% success · -0.161 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Mississippi State: 18 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 72.2% success · 0.039 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Auburn: 21 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 38.1% success · -0.017 raw PPA.

554.2056.7%147 / 4.4
Sam Leavitt

CFBD athlete 5078810

Week 6 vs Kentucky: 15 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.376 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Mississippi State: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.027 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Auburn: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 1.188 raw PPA.

253.8325.8%70 / 4.4
Harlem Berry

CFBD athlete 5122231

Week 6 vs Kentucky: 3 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.327 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Mississippi State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.356 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Auburn: 1 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.150 raw PPA.

51.205.2%32 / 6.3
Landen Clark

CFBD athlete 5224789

Week 6 vs Kentucky: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.285 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Mississippi State: 3 attempts · -1.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.373 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Auburn: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

5-1.425.2%24 / 3.6
Caden Durham

CFBD athlete 5079379

Week 8 vs Auburn: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.386 raw PPA.

37.303.1%12 / 3.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureLSUOffenseAlabamaDefenseAlabamaOffenseLSUDefense
PPA/play
+0.27
91st
-0.04
86th
+0.25
88th
-0.07
95th
Success rate
51.2%
97th
36.8%
82nd
47.4%
82nd
34.3%
92nd
Explosiveness
1.20
34th
1.29
23rd
1.30
77th
1.19
63rd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.20
87th
-0.15
94th
+0.20
85th
-0.05
77th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.46
92nd
+0.18
53rd
+0.37
78th
-0.12
98th
Havoc allowed / created
14.4%
56th
17.9%
76th
17.0%
21st
22.2%
98th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:17 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:17 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Conor Talty · Alabama · PAAR 4.14 · 13 attempts
  • Scott Starzyk · LSU · PAAR -0.69 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

LSU spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 54.5 · Snapshot total: 52.5

Total · First locally observed: 54.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -238 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -185 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +195 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +154 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: -6 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 52.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -235 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -235 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +195 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +195 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

LSU

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.3 · 9 rated weeks · SEC

99th FBS percentile

Alabama

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 9 rated weeks · SEC

98th FBS percentile

Travel

Alabama travels 288 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Alabama leads 58–26, 5 ties in 89 meetings since 1902.

  • 2025LSU at Alabama9–20 · Alabama
  • 2024Alabama at LSU42–13 · Alabama
  • 2023LSU at Alabama28–42 · Alabama
  • 2022Alabama at LSU31–32 · LSU
  • 2021LSU at Alabama14–20 · Alabama
  • 2020Alabama at LSU55–17 · Alabama

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.