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Week 10 · 2026

Texas at Missouri

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Texas

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Arch Manning QB
3 games
37.8%
31 / 82 plays
55.6%
10 / 18 plays
Raleek Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
35.9%
14 / 39 plays
Daylan Smothers RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
31.3%
5 / 16 plays
Michael Terry III RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
6 / 12 plays
James Simon RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Karle Lacey Jr. QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Derrek Cooper RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Ryan Wingo WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex January · DL

CFBD athlete 5079504

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Arch Manning · QB

CFBD athlete 4870906

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
3
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
217
passing · COMPLETIONS
141
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.650
passing · TD
15
passing · YDS
1730
passing · YPA
8.0
rushing · CAR
69
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
111
rushing · YPC
1.6
Bo Mascoe · DB

CFBD athlete 5078162

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
18
Brad Spence · LB

CFBD athlete 4921268

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
17
Cam Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 5079376

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
7
receiving · YDS
395
receiving · YPR
18.0
Colin Simmons · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5079689

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
10
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
15.5
defensive · TOT
24
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Colton Vasek · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4918129

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
13
Darius Snow · LB

CFBD athlete 4432552

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Daylan Smothers · RB

CFBD athlete 4871053

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
8.0
rushing · CAR
69
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
283
rushing · YPC
4.1
Derek Williams Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 4871044

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
35
Derrek Cooper · RB

CFBD athlete 5203606

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
103
rushing · YPC
3.6
Emaree Winston · TE

CFBD athlete 5141757

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
10.0
Emmett Mosley V · WR

CFBD athlete 5079613

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
25
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
419
receiving · YPR
16.8
Gianni Spetic · PK

CFBD athlete 5092217

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
12
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.923
kicking · PTS
66
kicking · XPA
30
kicking · XPM
30
Graceson Littleton · DB

CFBD athlete 5198245

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Hero Kanu · DL

CFBD athlete 4868356

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
25
Ian Geffrard · DL

CFBD athlete 4870759

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
19
Jamarion Carlton · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5209292

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Simon · RB

CFBD athlete 5141686

rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
24
rushing · YPC
4.0
Jelani McDonald · DB

CFBD athlete 4922989

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
34
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
63
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jermaine Bishop Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5161011

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
151
receiving · YPR
9.4
John Meredith III · DB

CFBD athlete 5446773

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jonah Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5141717

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Jonathan Cunningham · LB

CFBD athlete 5167177

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jordon Johnson-Rubell · DB

CFBD athlete 5079540

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Josiah Sharma · DL

CFBD athlete 5194304

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Justin Cryer · LB

CFBD athlete 4918434

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
46
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
Justus Terry · DL

CFBD athlete 5141732

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Kade Phillips · DB

CFBD athlete 5166881

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
34
Kaliq Lockett · WR

CFBD athlete 5141524

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-3
receiving · YPR
-3.0
Karle Lacey Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5141509

passing · ATT
9
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.889
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
63
passing · YPA
7.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
1.5
Kobe Black · DB

CFBD athlete 5079331

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Kosi Okpala · LB

CFBD athlete 5207867

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
5
Lance Jackson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5293823

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
22
Mac Chiumento · P

CFBD athlete 5081075

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
57
punting · NO
35
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1503
punting · YPP
42.9
Maraad Watson · DL

CFBD athlete 5189756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Michael Masunas · TE

CFBD athlete 4816104

kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
12.3
Michael Terry III · RB

CFBD athlete 5141729

rushing · CAR
22
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
104
rushing · YPC
4.7
Myron Charles · DL

CFBD athlete 5141407

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Nick Townsend · TE

CFBD athlete 5195299

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
31
receiving · YPR
5.2
Raleek Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 4685268

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
54
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
92
rushing · LONG
47
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
452
rushing · YPC
4.9
Rasheem Biles · LB

CFBD athlete 4922981

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
61
interceptions · AVG
1.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Rett Andersen · WR

CFBD athlete 5150773

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Richard Wesley · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5273266

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Ryan Niblett · RB

CFBD athlete 4899367

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
14.8
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
74
puntReturns · AVG
10.9
puntReturns · LONG
63
puntReturns · NO
20
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
217
receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
5.0
Ryan Wingo · WR

CFBD athlete 5218633

receiving · LONG
50
receiving · REC
36
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
470
receiving · YPR
13.1
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-0.5
Samari Matthews · DB

CFBD athlete 5159028

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Smith Orogbo · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5201880

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Spencer Shannon · TE

CFBD athlete 4921318

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
8.0
Sterling Berkhalter · WR

CFBD athlete 4882122

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
34
receiving · YPR
11.3
Tyler Atkinson · LB

CFBD athlete 5158937

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Warren Roberson · DB

CFBD athlete 4950398

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Zina Umeozulu · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5079732

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
21
Zion Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5141765

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3

Missouri

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Austin Simmons QB
3 games
37.1%
39 / 105 plays
28.6%
2 / 7 plays
Jamal Roberts RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.3%
28 / 75 plays
Xai'Shaun Edwards RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
1 / 6 plays
DaMarion Fowlkes WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Ahmad Hardy RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Preston Hatfield RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahmad Hardy · RB

CFBD athlete 5197065

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
37
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
14.0
Anthony Favrow · RB

CFBD athlete 5081163

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
30
rushing · YPC
3.8
Austin Simmons · QB

CFBD athlete 5141684

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
239
passing · COMPLETIONS
151
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.632
passing · TD
16
passing · YDS
1935
passing · YPA
8.1
rushing · CAR
22
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
29
rushing · YPC
1.3
Blake Craig · PK

CFBD athlete 5092219

kicking · FGA
19
kicking · FGM
13
kicking · LONG
53
kicking · PCT
0.684
kicking · PTS
68
kicking · XPA
29
kicking · XPM
29
Bobby Washington Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5001149

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
4
Brett Norfleet · TE

CFBD athlete 4870869

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
92
receiving · YPR
9.2
Brian Huff · LB

CFBD athlete 5136856

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Brody Jones · S

CFBD athlete 5290947

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Brunno Reus · PK

CFBD athlete 5216791

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
66
punting · NO
35
punting · TB
6
punting · YDS
1537
punting · YPP
43.9
CJ Bass III · S

CFBD athlete 5144161

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Caleb Goodie · WR

CFBD athlete 5120454

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
23.5
Cameron Keys · CB

CFBD athlete 5109866

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Cavan Tuley · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5092989

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Cayden Lee · WR

CFBD athlete 4870858

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
51
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
730
receiving · YPR
14.3
Chris Graves · CB

CFBD athlete 4808749

defensive · PD
9
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
DaMarion Fowlkes · WR

CFBD athlete 5156379

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
kickReturns · AVG
30.7
kickReturns · LONG
54
kickReturns · NO
6
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
184
puntReturns · AVG
16.4
puntReturns · LONG
68
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
131
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
8.2
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
5.3
Daeden Hopkins · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5201870

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
7.0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
19
Dante McClellan · LB

CFBD athlete 5148622

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
29
Darris Smith · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4708355

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Demarcus Johnson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5372206

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dominick Giudice · OL

CFBD athlete 4682698

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Donovan Olugbode · WR

CFBD athlete 5141582

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
41
receiving · TD
7
receiving · YDS
593
receiving · YPR
14.5
Donta Simpson · DT

CFBD athlete 5172033

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
5.0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
11
Elijah Dotson · S

CFBD athlete 5164690

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
JJ Bush · LB

CFBD athlete 5200432

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Hancock · S

CFBD athlete 5158244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Jaden Jones · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5150836

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jadon Blair · S

CFBD athlete 5148620

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jahlil Florence · CB

CFBD athlete 4880351

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jalen Marshall · DT

CFBD athlete 4872820

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
Jamal Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4921116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
125
receiving · YPR
7.8
rushing · CAR
190
rushing · LONG
80
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
1005
rushing · YPC
5.3
Jason Dowell · DT

CFBD athlete 5141415

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jaxson Gates · CB

CFBD athlete 5256922

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jayden McGregory · S

CFBD athlete 5159003

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jeremiah Beasley · LB

CFBD athlete 5079303

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
26
Jordon Harris · TE

CFBD athlete 5121468

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Jude James · TE

CFBD athlete 5158245

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
11.4
Kamauryn Morgan · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5141595

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Kenric Lanier II · WR

CFBD athlete 5078245

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
14.5
Kensley Louidor-Faustin · S

CFBD athlete 5219025

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
32
Langden Kitchen · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5260012

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
16
Malae Fonoti · RB

CFBD athlete 5225213

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
6.0
Malik Bryant · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4870623

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Mark Hensley · DT

CFBD athlete 5067879

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Marquis Gracial · DT

CFBD athlete 4726007

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
7
Matt Zollers · QB

CFBD athlete 5195300

passing · ATT
13
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.615
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
87
passing · YPA
6.7
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
4.3
Max Warner · RB

CFBD athlete 5276633

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Naeshaun Montgomery · WR

CFBD athlete 5141584

kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
155
receiving · YPR
11.9
Nicholas Deloach Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5078045

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Nicholas Rodriguez · LB

CFBD athlete 5079582

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
37
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
81
Nick Evers · QB

CFBD athlete 4755664

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
18
passing · YPA
9.0
Preston Hatfield · RB

CFBD athlete 5333436

rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
46
rushing · YPC
7.7
Robert Woodyard Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4685604

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
42
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
27.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
27
kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
Santana Banner · S

CFBD athlete 5121688

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
66
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Shaun Terry II · WR

CFBD athlete 5195617

receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
10.7
Sione Laulea · CB

CFBD athlete 5221314

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
28.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
28
Sterling Webb · DT

CFBD athlete 4917053

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Trajen Greco · S

CFBD athlete 5141973

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
interceptions · AVG
14.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
42
Xai'Shaun Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 5225880

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
rushing · CAR
39
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
146
rushing · YPC
3.7

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Missouri +2.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Texas -2.5

DraftKings snapshot: Missouri +2.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Missouri by 4.20

6.70 points toward Missouri versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Missouri.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: +0.20

Reconciles to 4.20 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs fc4acb1b12d192e4d628d07376191bbe65e7a8f8ea3db685642746bdbf23dc24 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast d183d802ba91446f053089c759792763bb3d19b87e57d54950634bf276549d2c · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Missouri · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+2.5+2.50.0
Model spread-4.2-4.20.0
Model gap+6.7+6.70.0

Negative spreads favor Missouri; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fc4acb1b12d192e4d628d07376191bbe65e7a8f8ea3db685642746bdbf23dc24. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Missouri +2.5

Model gap +6.7 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Missouri.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Missouri win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
43%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Missouri +2.5
Stacked ensemble
45%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Missouri.

  • home elo: +15.99 (path difference 3.02)
  • away elo: -11.47 (path difference 1.68)
  • away talent: -10.34 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -9.97 (path difference 0.61)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +9.70 (path difference 1.72)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +9.13 (path difference 3.27)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -8.96 (path difference 2.23)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -8.25 (path difference 2.33)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.76 (path difference 1.37)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +7.05 (path difference 2.66)
  • away adjusted success: -6.84 (path difference 2.32)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.27 (path difference 3.24)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -6.13 (path difference 1.40)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.08 (path difference 0.97)
  • home talent: +6.06 (path difference 1.29)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -5.16 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +5.12 (path difference 2.50)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +4.64 (path difference 0.82)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.43 (path difference 3.76)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.57 (path difference 1.52)
  • away conference: +3.15 (path difference 1.17)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.86 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted epa: +2.52 (path difference 0.97)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.50 (path difference 0.76)
  • home conference: +2.50 (path difference 0.84)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +2.46 (path difference 3.62)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.44 (path difference 2.29)
  • home adjusted success: -2.03 (path difference 0.43)
  • home adjusted epa: +1.84 (path difference 0.77)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +1.79 (path difference 3.62)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -1.54 (path difference 1.33)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.49 (path difference 0.05)
  • week: -1.36 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -1.24 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.20 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.03 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.00 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.98 (path difference 0.40)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.81 (path difference 0.84)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.79 (path difference 1.29)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -0.78 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.55 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.50 (path difference 0.82)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.49 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.43 (path difference 0.43)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.40 (path difference 0.27)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.37 (path difference 0.14)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.34 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.30 (path difference 0.44)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.27 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.16 (path difference 0.59)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.14 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.07 (path difference 1.41)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.04 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.03)

Reconciles to 45.28 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 5ff75e4fb115849ac226d251e55a36d0a6594811b6ad67004e50d472bc7b2e35 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 5366918ebe55af26c38634028ab533f3adc5c985bd85d1931b934190a3755631 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Texas

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 101 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Raleek Brown

CFBD athlete 4685268

Week 7 vs Florida: 8 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.044 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ole Miss: 23 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 39.1% success · 0.161 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Mississippi State: 8 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.234 raw PPA.

396.0038.6%91 / 4.8
Arch Manning

CFBD athlete 4870906

Week 7 vs Florida: 10 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.348 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Ole Miss: 8 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.095 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Mississippi State: 12 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.448 raw PPA.

300.11229.7%66 / 1.5
Daylan Smothers

CFBD athlete 4871053

Week 7 vs Florida: 12 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.407 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Mississippi State: 4 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.638 raw PPA.

162.9015.8%69 / 4.1
Michael Terry III

CFBD athlete 5141729

Week 8 vs Ole Miss: 8 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.179 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Mississippi State: 4 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.020 raw PPA.

124.8011.9%22 / 4.7
James Simon

CFBD athlete 5141686

Week 9 vs Mississippi State: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.176 raw PPA.

22.502.0%6 / 4.0

Missouri

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Jamal Roberts

CFBD athlete 4921116

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 34 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 47.1% success · 0.320 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 20 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.454 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Arkansas: 22 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.333 raw PPA.

765.2076.8%182 / 5.4
Austin Simmons

CFBD athlete 5141684

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.498 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · -2.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.114 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Arkansas: 3 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.680 raw PPA.

91.229.1%20 / 0.8
Xai'Shaun Edwards

CFBD athlete 5225880

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 3 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.863 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Ole Miss: 3 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.081 raw PPA.

61.306.1%39 / 3.6
DaMarion Fowlkes

CFBD athlete 5156379

Week 6 vs Texas A&M: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.247 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Arkansas: 3 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.946 raw PPA.

45.304.0%4 / 5.3
Ahmad Hardy

CFBD athlete 5197065

Week 9 vs Arkansas: 3 attempts · 14.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.035 raw PPA.

314.003.0%3 / 14.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureMissouriOffenseTexasDefenseTexasOffenseMissouriDefense
PPA/play
+0.17
64th
-0.04
87th
+0.07
28th
+0.01
74th
Success rate
41.0%
37th
33.5%
94th
42.1%
44th
37.3%
80th
Explosiveness
1.33
87th
1.12
89th
1.21
40th
1.29
25th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.12
66th
-0.12
91st
+0.03
31st
-0.04
75th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.28
63rd
+0.14
64th
+0.18
35th
+0.10
74th
Havoc allowed / created
15.4%
41st
20.0%
93rd
18.1%
9th
19.5%
90th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:55 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:55 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Gianni Spetic · Texas · PAAR 7.54 · 13 attempts
  • Blake Craig · Missouri · PAAR 2.23 · 18 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Missouri spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +3.5 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +3.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 42.5

Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +120 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +142 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -142 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -170 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +3 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +3 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 43.5 · Snapshot total: 42.5

Total · First locally observed: 43.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +125 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +125 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -145 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -145 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Missouri

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

84th FBS percentile

Texas

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · SEC

83rd FBS percentile

Travel

Texas travels 672 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Texas leads 17–4 in 21 meetings since 1901.

  • 2017 · NTexas at Missouri33–16 · Texas
  • 2011Texas at Missouri5–17 · Missouri
  • 2009Texas at Missouri41–7 · Texas
  • 2008Missouri at Texas31–56 · Texas
  • 2005Texas at Missouri51–20 · Texas
  • 2004Missouri at Texas20–28 · Texas

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.