Week 10 · 2026

Kentucky at Tennessee

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Kentucky

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T23:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Kenny Minchey QB 3 games	45.7% 43 / 94 plays	61.5% 8 / 13 plays
Jason Patterson RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	48.1% 13 / 27 plays
Jovantae Barnes RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.9% 9 / 22 plays
CJ Baxter Jr. RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	42.1% 8 / 19 plays
Mikkel Skinner TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	60.0% 3 / 5 plays
Willie Rodriguez TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Brennen Ward QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Gates · DB

CFBD athlete 4870698

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Adam Zouagui · PK

CFBD athlete 5152347

kicking · FGA: 13
kicking · FGM: 10
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.769
kicking · PTS: 61
kicking · XPA: 31
kicking · XPM: 31

Ahmad Breaux · DT

CFBD athlete 5125302

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Ahmir Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5194702

rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Alex Afari Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4819224

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Andrew Weber · DB

CFBD athlete 5229431

kickReturns · AVG: 17.5
kickReturns · LONG: 19
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 35
puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 4
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4

Antwan Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5147047

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
interceptions · AVG: 31.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 31

Ben Duncum · DE

CFBD athlete 5276948

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brennen Ward · QB

CFBD athlete 5164333

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Brian Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5079694

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Brock Coffman · WR

CFBD athlete 5243671

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 8.7
puntReturns · LONG: 55
puntReturns · NO: 10
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 87
receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 53
receiving · YPR: 17.7

CJ Baxter Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 4870609

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 67
receiving · YPR: 8.4
rushing · CAR: 88
rushing · LONG: 77
rushing · TD: 8
rushing · YDS: 487
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Callum Wither · QB

CFBD athlete 4879824

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Cedric Works · LB

CFBD athlete 5167714

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Cyrus Reyes · DB

CFBD athlete 5147969

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

DJ Miller · WR

CFBD athlete 5294137

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5
receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 221
receiving · YPR: 12.3

Demarcus Gardner · DB

CFBD athlete 5207314

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Devin Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5147155

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Dominic Wiseman · DT

CFBD athlete 5081342

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Dyllon Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5214522

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Elijah Barnes · LB

CFBD athlete 5142590

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 53

Grant Godfrey · LB

CFBD athlete 4870763

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 72
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 10.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 10

Grant Grayton · DB

CFBD athlete 5156389

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Hasaan Sykes · DB

CFBD athlete 5148945

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 33

Henry Boyer · TE

CFBD athlete 4826637

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 13.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Isaiah McMillian · DB

CFBD athlete 5276985

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

Ja'Kayden Ferguson · WR

CFBD athlete 5141449

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 27
kickReturns · NO: 8
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 136
receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 70
receiving · YPR: 10.0

Jacob Kauwe · PK

CFBD athlete 5147946

kicking · FGA: 1
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0.000
kicking · PTS: 0
kicking · XPA: 0
kicking · XPM: 0

Jaden Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5147089

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Jaden Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 4912293

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jamarrion Harkless · DL

CFBD athlete 5075564

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 5

Jason Patterson · RB

CFBD athlete 5123048

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 7.8
rushing · CAR: 71
rushing · LONG: 75
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 443
rushing · YPC: 6.2

Jordan Castell · DB

CFBD athlete 4870660

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 65
interceptions · AVG: 10.3
interceptions · INT: 4
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 41

Jordan Colbert · RB

CFBD athlete 5446994

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 14
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Jovantae Barnes · RB

CFBD athlete 4685269

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 4.5
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 224
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Kalen Edwards · DL

CFBD athlete 5141440

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Kenny Darby · WR

CFBD athlete 5215172

receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 38
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 507
receiving · YPR: 13.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Kenny Minchey · QB

CFBD athlete 4918099

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 232
passing · COMPLETIONS: 160
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.690
passing · TD: 14
passing · YDS: 1755
passing · YPA: 7.6
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 0.9

Kevis Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 4871073

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Lorenzo Cowan · LB

CFBD athlete 5146878

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 13

Martels Carter Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5141388

rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 37
rushing · YPC: 7.4

Mi'Quise Grace · DL

CFBD athlete 5088438

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 9
defensive · SACKS: 5.0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 27
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 2

Mikkel Skinner · TE

CFBD athlete 5212635

receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 95
receiving · YPR: 10.6
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 57
rushing · YPC: 7.1

Nasir Addison · DB

CFBD athlete 4896319

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Nic Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 4699866

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 197
receiving · YPR: 11.6

Prince Jean · WR

CFBD athlete 5290572

receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 27
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Sam Greene · LB

CFBD athlete 5101117

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 23
interceptions · AVG: 7.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Shane Carr · WR

CFBD athlete 5224388

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 8.7

Tavion Gadson · DL

CFBD athlete 5065596

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 25
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Tavion Wallace · LB

CFBD athlete 5141745

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Terhyon Nichols · DB

CFBD athlete 5079543

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 26

Tom O'Hara · P

CFBD athlete 5227866

punting · In 20: 3
punting · LONG: 49
punting · NO: 17
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 692
punting · YPP: 40.7

Ty Bryant · DB

CFBD athlete 4966262

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 59
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 17.5
interceptions · INT: 4
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 70

Tyler Thomas · DE

CFBD athlete 5125776

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Willie Rodriguez · TE

CFBD athlete 5136838

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 39
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 324
receiving · YPR: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 1.5

Wilson Berry · P

CFBD athlete 4683967

punting · In 20: 3
punting · LONG: 58
punting · NO: 10
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 443
punting · YPP: 44.3

Tennessee

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T23:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
George MacIntyre QB 3 games	43.7% 38 / 87 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays
DeSean Bishop RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.6% 41 / 81 plays
Daune Morris RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 5 / 15 plays
Javin Gordon RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	60.0% 3 / 5 plays
Mike Matthews WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Dasaahn Brame TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Amare Campbell · LB

CFBD athlete 5093333

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 52

Arion Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5081886

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 46
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Brayden Rouse · LB

CFBD athlete 5252593

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Braylon Staley · WR

CFBD athlete 5132629

receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 32
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 259
receiving · YPR: 8.1

Breeze Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 5374302

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Carson Gentle · DL

CFBD athlete 5082932

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Carter Gooden · DL

CFBD athlete 5245127

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cooper Ranvier · PK

CFBD athlete 5192420

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.917
kicking · PTS: 63
kicking · XPA: 30
kicking · XPM: 30

DJ Burks · DB

CFBD athlete 4870146

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Daevin Hobbs · DL

CFBD athlete 4923283

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Darryl Rivers · DL

CFBD athlete 5276937

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Dasaahn Brame · TE

CFBD athlete 5141391

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 68
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 181
receiving · YPR: 12.9
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Daune Morris · RB

CFBD athlete 5141598

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 21.6
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 108
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 35
receiving · YPR: 5.8
rushing · CAR: 61
rushing · LONG: 47
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 349
rushing · YPC: 5.7

DeSean Bishop · RB

CFBD athlete 4921108

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 64
receiving · YPR: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 171
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 11
rushing · YDS: 957
rushing · YPC: 5.6

Dejuan Lane · DB

CFBD athlete 5079483

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 24.3
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 73

Deon Hardin · WR

CFBD athlete 5293962

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Dereon Albert · DL

CFBD athlete 5161858

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dylan Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 5166889

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Edwin Spillman · LB

CFBD athlete 5079727

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 25

Ethan Davis · TE

CFBD athlete 4870683

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 43
receiving · YPR: 14.3

Ethan Utley · DL

CFBD athlete 5141731

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Faizon Brandon · QB

CFBD athlete 5158973

fumbles · FUM: 5
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 101
passing · COMPLETIONS: 61
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.604
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 697
passing · YPA: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 53
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 130
rushing · YPC: 2.5

George MacIntyre · QB

CFBD athlete 5141571

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 103
passing · COMPLETIONS: 69
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.670
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 728
passing · YPA: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 13
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: -0.1

Hezekiah Harris · DL

CFBD athlete 5158964

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Hunter Barnes · RB

CFBD athlete 5081378

rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 38
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 75
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Isaiah Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 5141399

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 2

Isaiah Hardge · DB

CFBD athlete 4870710

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

JJ Finch · DL

CFBD athlete 5245505

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Jackson Ross · P

CFBD athlete 5104813

punting · In 20: 14
punting · LONG: 57
punting · NO: 32
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1426
punting · YPP: 44.6

Jadon Perlotte · LB

CFBD athlete 5141594

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Jamyan Theodore · DB

CFBD athlete 5276988

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Javin Gordon · RB

CFBD athlete 5294293

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 120
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Jeremiah Telander · LB

CFBD athlete 4921270

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 34
interceptions · AVG: 12.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 12

Joakim Dodson · WR

CFBD athlete 5164355

kickReturns · AVG: 20.0
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 20

Joel Wyatt · DB

CFBD athlete 5200382

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jordan Burns · LB

CFBD athlete 5147141

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jordan Norman · DL

CFBD athlete 5122104

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Josh Turbyville · PK

CFBD athlete 5081400

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Justin Baker · RB

CFBD athlete 5141361

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 73
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 91
rushing · YPC: 22.8

Kayin Lee · DB

CFBD athlete 4870855

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Kedric Golston II · DL

CFBD athlete 5159242

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Luca Wolf · TE

CFBD athlete 5290182

kickReturns · AVG: 7.0
kickReturns · LONG: 7
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 7
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Mar'Quavious Moss · DB

CFBD athlete 5224708

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 26
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 12.8
puntReturns · LONG: 57
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 115

Mariyon Dye · DL

CFBD athlete 5167702

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6
defensive · TOT: 11

Mike Matthews · WR

CFBD athlete 5079580

receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 528
receiving · YPR: 15.5
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Nathan Roberts · WR

CFBD athlete 5160245

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Nathan Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 4920157

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Radarious Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5195481

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 145
receiving · YPR: 12.1

Ryan Scott · LB

CFBD athlete 5218714

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Ryan Staub · QB

CFBD athlete 4917093

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 27
passing · YPA: 9.0

Sidney Walton · DB

CFBD athlete 5200109

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

TJ Metcalf · DB

CFBD athlete 4870846

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 45
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

TJ White · LB

CFBD athlete 5207616

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

TK Keys · WR

CFBD athlete 5207604

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 54
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Tevis Metcalf · DB

CFBD athlete 5142798

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
interceptions · AVG: 4.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 4

Timothy Merritt · DB

CFBD athlete 5166886

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Travis Smith Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5179135

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 27
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Tre Poteat · DB

CFBD athlete 5141637

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Trent Thomas · TE

CFBD athlete 5119659

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 45
receiving · YPR: 7.5

Ty Redmond · DB

CFBD athlete 5141645

defensive · PD: 9
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 35

Tyree Weathersby · DL

CFBD athlete 4954447

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 7.0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.5
defensive · TOT: 19
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tyreek King · WR

CFBD athlete 5161829

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Xavier Gilliam · DL

CFBD athlete 5146422

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 9
defensive · SACKS: 6
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 11.5
defensive · TOT: 26
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Tennessee -6.5

DraftKings snapshot: Tennessee -6.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Tennessee by 4.30

2.20 points toward Kentucky versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Tennessee.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20
Net EPA rating difference: +0.30

Reconciles to 4.30 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs db995352b259ec290406be4aec551289bfbdd9439db4e01c9f710ee875c94027 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 62aabd7d676b58797b55a4113de9c0d2c3d67bcb73750f48b12eabf187f6ea3c · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Tennessee · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-6.5	-6.5
Model spread	-4.3	-4.3
Model gap	-2.2	-2.2

Negative spreads favor Tennessee; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: db995352b259ec290406be4aec551289bfbdd9439db4e01c9f710ee875c94027. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -2.2 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Tennessee win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 67%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Tennessee -6.5
Stacked ensemble: 71%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Tennessee.

home elo: +17.35 (path difference 7.77)
away adjusted success: -13.54 (path difference 5.99)
home adjusted epa allowed: -8.83 (path difference 3.81)
home adjusted success: +6.89 (path difference 6.32)
home adjusted success allowed: +6.60 (path difference 2.10)
home talent: +6.33 (path difference 1.73)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.51 (path difference 5.21)
away talent: -5.25 (path difference 1.91)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.08 (path difference 3.26)
away adjusted standard down success: +4.20 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted passing epa: -3.81 (path difference 3.52)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.75 (path difference 5.14)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.70 (path difference 3.44)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.67 (path difference 2.73)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.37 (path difference 5.20)
home adjusted epa: +3.34 (path difference 3.97)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +3.33 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted epa allowed: -3.30 (path difference 1.52)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.05 (path difference 1.11)
away adjusted rushing epa: +2.96 (path difference 3.61)
away conference: +2.68 (path difference 2.10)
home adjusted second level yards: +2.59 (path difference 1.34)
home conference: +2.35 (path difference 1.14)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +2.32 (path difference 0.54)
away adjusted passing down success: -2.04 (path difference 1.71)
away elo: -1.93 (path difference 1.38)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.84 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.81 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.35)
away adjusted epa: -1.46 (path difference 1.53)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.31 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.31 (path difference 0.51)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.29 (path difference 0.42)
week: -1.18 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.14 (path difference 3.08)
home adjusted line yards: +1.13 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted line yards: -1.05 (path difference 2.73)
home adjusted explosiveness: -1.04 (path difference 1.32)
away adjusted explosiveness: -0.76 (path difference 1.59)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.72 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.54 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.53 (path difference 0.12)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.46 (path difference 0.76)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.45 (path difference 0.27)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.41 (path difference 0.36)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.40 (path difference 0.42)
away adjusted success allowed: -0.31 (path difference 0.80)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.28 (path difference 0.22)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.23 (path difference 0.77)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.52)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.04 (path difference 0.21)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.02 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 70.64 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 71a173cf551e828107245eb6512db3bfdda44e955be0463a3f37195bf963b831 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast a018156b2fb83fd53bf59d3cc4e9c1afc7f6223710249680947dfeb7571137f8 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Kentucky

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 94 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jason Patterson CFBD athlete 5123048 Week 6 vs LSU: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.227 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma: 13 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.148 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Vanderbilt: 12 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.177 raw PPA.	27	3.3	0	28.7%	72 / 6.2
Jovantae Barnes CFBD athlete 4685269 Week 6 vs LSU: 3 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.524 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.285 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Vanderbilt: 14 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.058 raw PPA.	22	4.1	0	23.4%	42 / 5.2
CJ Baxter Jr. CFBD athlete 4870609 Week 6 vs LSU: 18 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.291 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Vanderbilt: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.186 raw PPA.	19	6.6	0	20.2%	85 / 5.5
Kenny Minchey CFBD athlete 4918099 Week 6 vs LSU: 7 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.383 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma: 6 attempts · 0.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.393 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Vanderbilt: 5 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.779 raw PPA.	18	2.2	5	19.1%	43 / 0.9
Mikkel Skinner CFBD athlete 5212635 Week 7 vs Oklahoma: 1 attempts · 16.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.327 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.188 raw PPA.	5	8.0	0	5.3%	7 / 7.7

Tennessee

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 117 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
DeSean Bishop CFBD athlete 4921108 Week 6 vs Arkansas: 19 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 57.9% success · 0.264 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Alabama: 30 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.177 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Carolina: 32 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.127 raw PPA.	81	5.0	0	69.2%	164 / 5.6
Daune Morris CFBD athlete 5141598 Week 6 vs Arkansas: 8 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.097 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Alabama: 4 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.269 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Carolina: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.536 raw PPA.	15	3.3	0	12.8%	60 / 5.8
George MacIntyre CFBD athlete 5141571 Week 6 vs Arkansas: 2 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Alabama: 2 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.436 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Carolina: 6 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.948 raw PPA.	10	-0.5	4	8.5%	12 / -0.4
Javin Gordon CFBD athlete 5294293 Week 8 vs South Carolina: 5 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.035 raw PPA.	5	6.2	0	4.3%	25 / 4.4
Mike Matthews CFBD athlete 5079580 Week 6 vs Arkansas: 2 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.729 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Alabama: 1 attempts · -10.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.983 raw PPA. Week 8 vs South Carolina: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.677 raw PPA.	4	3.0	0	3.4%	4 / 3.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	TennesseeOffense	KentuckyDefense	KentuckyOffense	TennesseeDefense
PPA/play	+0.16 60th	+0.04 65th	+0.21 74th	-0.08 96th
Success rate	45.1% 67th	43.4% 24th	49.2% 89th	37.5% 77th
Explosiveness	1.13 11th	1.21 57th	1.10 4th	1.09 93rd
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.18 83rd	-0.11 88th	+0.17 78th	-0.13 92nd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.09 18th	+0.36 11th	+0.33 69th	+0.03 87th
Havoc allowed / created	15.2% 44th	18.9% 85th	12.4% 86th	22.7% 99th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:39 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:39 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Jacob Kauwe · Kentucky · PAAR -1.64 · 1 attempts
Adam Zouagui · Kentucky · PAAR 0.31 · 13 attempts
Cooper Ranvier · Tennessee · PAAR 6.50 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Tennessee spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -6 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50.5 · Snapshot total: 49.5

Total · First locally observed: 50.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -238 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -205 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +195 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +170 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -6.5 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51 · Snapshot total: 49.5

Total · First locally observed: 51 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -250 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +210 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Tennessee

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

87th FBS percentile

Kentucky

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

86th FBS percentile

Travel

Kentucky travels 146 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Tennessee leads 84–25, 9 ties in 118 meetings since 1906.

2025Tennessee at Kentucky56–34 · Tennessee
2024Kentucky at Tennessee18–28 · Tennessee
2023Tennessee at Kentucky33–27 · Tennessee
2022Kentucky at Tennessee6–44 · Tennessee
2021Tennessee at Kentucky45–42 · Tennessee
2020Kentucky at Tennessee34–7 · Kentucky

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.