Week 9 · 2026

Arizona at Texas Tech

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Arizona

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-04 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Noah Fifita QB 3 games	53.0% 53 / 100 plays	62.5% 5 / 8 plays
Kedrick Reescano RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.5% 15 / 39 plays
Antwan Roberts RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	31.8% 7 / 22 plays
Quincy Craig RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	61.1% 11 / 18 plays
Sawyer Anderson QB 2 games	75.0% 3 / 4 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Wesley Yarbrough RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Caleb Smith WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Antwan Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4612624

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 34
rushing · LONG: 58
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 251
rushing · YPC: 7.4

Brandon Craddock · LB

CFBD athlete 5086637

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brandon Phelps · WR

CFBD athlete 5121936

receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 259
receiving · YPR: 15.2

Caleb Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5214651

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 28.5
kickReturns · LONG: 34
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 57
puntReturns · AVG: 16.0
puntReturns · LONG: 69
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 96
receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 145
receiving · YPR: 11.2
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 0.5

Cam Chapa · S

CFBD athlete 5229997

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Chase Kennedy · LB

CFBD athlete 4833600

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Chase Ridley · P

CFBD athlete 5377778

punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 57
punting · NO: 18
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 761
punting · YPP: 42.3

Chris Hunter · WR

CFBD athlete 5093837

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 155
receiving · YPR: 11.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Cole Rusk · TE

CFBD athlete 4709804

receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 86
receiving · YPR: 14.3

Cooper Blomstrom · LB

CFBD athlete 5152639

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 33

Dash Fifita · LB

CFBD athlete 5265298

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Daylen Austin · S

CFBD athlete 4870611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dominic Hanger · LB

CFBD athlete 5150546

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Dominic Lolesio · DL

CFBD athlete 5075795

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Dwight Bootle II · CB

CFBD athlete 4870618

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Everett Roussaw Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4870982

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Gavin Hunter · S

CFBD athlete 5075776

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20

Gio Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5217700

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 170
receiving · YPR: 11.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 17
rushing · YPC: 17.0

Hannibal Navies II · S

CFBD athlete 5176080

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Henry Gabalis · TE

CFBD athlete 5210412

receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 40.0

Ian French · P

CFBD athlete 5377781

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Isaiah Mizell · WR

CFBD athlete 5198318

receiving · LONG: 72
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 493
receiving · YPR: 18.3

Ismail Mahdi · RB

CFBD athlete 5084798

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 72
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Jabari Mann · LB

CFBD athlete 5093889

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Jay'Vion Cole · CB

CFBD athlete 5083142

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Johno Price · S

CFBD athlete 5197089

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jordan Ross · WR

CFBD athlete 5079585

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Julien Savaiinaea · DL

CFBD athlete 5076905

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Kaisi Lafitaga · DL

CFBD athlete 5291803

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Kedrick Reescano · RB

CFBD athlete 4899361

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 57
receiving · YPR: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 80
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 303
rushing · YPC: 3.8

Kevin Moorer Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5377779

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Keytrin Harris · DL

CFBD athlete 5162731

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Landon Kelsey · WR

CFBD athlete 5210425

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Lee Molette III · S

CFBD athlete 5086035

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 29
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Leroy Palu · DL

CFBD athlete 5295479

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Leviticus Su'A · LB

CFBD athlete 4871067

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Malcolm Hartzog · S

CFBD athlete 4910223

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 27

Matai Tagoa'i · S

CFBD athlete 5141718

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Max Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 5158129

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Mays Pese · DL

CFBD athlete 5215577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Michael Salgado-Medina · PK

CFBD athlete 5147689

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 53
kicking · PCT: 0.636
kicking · PTS: 52
kicking · XPA: 31
kicking · XPM: 31

Myron Robinson · LB

CFBD athlete 5254875

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Nela Taliauli · LB

CFBD athlete 5230241

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Noah Fifita · QB

CFBD athlete 4801717

passing · ATT: 224
passing · COMPLETIONS: 166
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.741
passing · TD: 18
passing · YDS: 2047
passing · YPA: 9.1
rushing · CAR: 47
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 122
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Prince Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5159095

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Quincy Craig · RB

CFBD athlete 4804879

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 67
receiving · YPR: 7.4
rushing · CAR: 33
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 237
rushing · YPC: 7.2

Quinn Olson · S

CFBD athlete 5219141

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 30
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

R.J. Mosley · WR

CFBD athlete 5290568

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 99
receiving · YPR: 16.5

Rodney Gallagher · WR

CFBD athlete 4870754

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 6.6

Sawyer Anderson · QB

CFBD athlete 5158407

passing · ATT: 15
passing · COMPLETIONS: 10
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.667
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 112
passing · YPA: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 34
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Shane King · TE

CFBD athlete 5236393

receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 75
receiving · YPR: 10.7

Soione Tohi · OL

CFBD athlete 5164662

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Swayde Griffin · CB

CFBD athlete 5183931

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Taye Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5119569

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 41
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tre Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 4613119

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 16
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tre Spivey · WR

CFBD athlete 4891198

receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 314
receiving · YPR: 14.3
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Tyler Powell · TE

CFBD athlete 4816108

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 71
receiving · YPR: 5.9

Tyrese Boss · CB

CFBD athlete 5220541

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Victory Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 4921303

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Wesley Yarbrough · RB

CFBD athlete 5207893

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 0
receiving · YPR: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Xaier Hiler · CB

CFBD athlete 5290704

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Xavier Jordan · WR

CFBD athlete 5123193

receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 10.7

Zac Siulepa · DL

CFBD athlete 5306766

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Texas Tech

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Will Hammond QB 3 games	41.9% 39 / 93 plays	57.9% 11 / 19 plays
J'Koby Williams RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	43.6% 17 / 39 plays
Quinten Joyner RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	37.9% 11 / 29 plays
Thomas Castellanos QB 1 games	50.0% 1 / 2 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Cameron Dickey RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Ashton Rowden RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Terrance Carter TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Malcolm Simmons WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 53 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Hill · LB

CFBD athlete 5220111

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Adam Trick · LB

CFBD athlete 4819260

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Amier Boyd-Matthews · CB

CFBD athlete 5088887

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8
interceptions · AVG: -0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -1

Ansel Nedore · LB

CFBD athlete 4918133

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Anthony Holmes Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4702828

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 5.5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Ashton Rowden · RB

CFBD athlete 5290564

rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 28
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Austin Romaine · LB

CFBD athlete 5084891

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 2
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 52
interceptions · AVG: 23.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 2
interceptions · YDS: 46

Ben Roberts · LB

CFBD athlete 4833626

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 49
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 24

Brenden Jordan · S

CFBD athlete 4870867

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Brice Pollock · CB

CFBD athlete 5075540

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19
interceptions · AVG: 12.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

Brock Golwas · LB

CFBD athlete 5195456

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8
kickReturns · AVG: 8.0
kickReturns · LONG: 8
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 8

Bryce Butler · DL

CFBD athlete 5219124

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Bryson Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5195409

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 41
receiving · YPR: 10.3

Cameron Dickey · RB

CFBD athlete 5193580

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 45
receiving · YPR: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 56
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 240
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Charles Anderson Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5147841

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Chase Campbell · WR

CFBD athlete 5217186

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 7.5

Cord Nolan · LB

CFBD athlete 5273552

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Corey Platt Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4683630

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Coy Eakin · WR

CFBD athlete 4916941

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 263
receiving · YPR: 11.4

Daniel Sill · OL

CFBD athlete 4911838

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Davin Martin · CB

CFBD athlete 5085390

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Donte Lee Jr · WR

CFBD athlete 5220256

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 3.8

J'Koby Williams · RB

CFBD athlete 5086393

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 27.1
kickReturns · LONG: 45
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 190
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 155
receiving · YPR: 6.5
rushing · CAR: 86
rushing · LONG: 62
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 619
rushing · YPC: 7.2

Jalen Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5227057

kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 69
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 6.5

Jamond Mathis · LB

CFBD athlete 4940237

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Jayden Cofield · DL

CFBD athlete 4918424

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jett Carpenter · TE

CFBD athlete 4695195

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 83
receiving · YPR: 11.9

John Curry · LB

CFBD athlete 4908551

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 35
interceptions · AVG: 10.3
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 31

Jojo Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5157307

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jordan Rogers · S

CFBD athlete 5385735

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Julien Laventure · DL

CFBD athlete 5295191

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 13

Kenny Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 4923295

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 9.8
puntReturns · LONG: 27
puntReturns · NO: 12
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 117
receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 31
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 499
receiving · YPR: 16.1

Kirk Francis · QB

CFBD athlete 5151618

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0

LaDamion Guyton · LB

CFBD athlete 5280093

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 9
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Maddox Quiller · S

CFBD athlete 5266861

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Malcolm Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 5079691

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 27.3
kickReturns · LONG: 36
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 82
puntReturns · AVG: 9.7
puntReturns · LONG: 15
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 29
receiving · LONG: 64
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 91
receiving · YPR: 45.5
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Malik Esquerra · S

CFBD athlete 5147221

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 39
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Marcus Ramon-Edwards · S

CFBD athlete 4921233

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Mateen Ibirogba · DL

CFBD athlete 5086180

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 13

Matt Ludwig · TE

CFBD athlete 5209381

kickReturns · AVG: 8.0
kickReturns · LONG: 8
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 8
receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Micah Hudson · WR

CFBD athlete 5079492

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 124
receiving · YPR: 10.3

Mikal Harrison-Pilot · S

CFBD athlete 4870755

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Oliver Miles III · S

CFBD athlete 5147234

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Peyton Morgan · S

CFBD athlete 5110451

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 26
interceptions · AVG: 26.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 53

Quinten Joyner · RB

CFBD athlete 4917949

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 38
receiving · YPR: 19.0
rushing · CAR: 55
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 247
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Stone Harrington · PK

CFBD athlete 5103116

kicking · FGA: 19
kicking · FGM: 15
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.789
kicking · PTS: 71
kicking · XPA: 27
kicking · XPM: 26

Tarrion Grant · CB

CFBD athlete 5141476

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Terrance Carter · TE

CFBD athlete 4867887

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 151
receiving · YPR: 8.9
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Thomas Castellanos · QB

CFBD athlete 4773919

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 5
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.600
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 45
passing · YPA: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 15
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 65
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Trey White · LB

CFBD athlete 4898201

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Wesley Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5081987

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Will Hammond · QB

CFBD athlete 5126468

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 205
passing · COMPLETIONS: 139
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.678
passing · TD: 6
passing · YDS: 1561
passing · YPA: 7.6
rushing · CAR: 40
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 110
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Will Karoll · P

CFBD athlete 5160456

punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 67
punting · NO: 23
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1109
punting · YPP: 48.2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Texas Tech -3.5

DraftKings snapshot: Texas Tech -3.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Texas Tech by 1.10

2.40 points toward Arizona versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Texas Tech.

Fitted offset: +5.87
Net EPA rating difference: -2.83
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 1.10 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 6fd82ccb99c71f4a9b3878fbe733f75643d4c18860b71585b4ab83a6ea0e752a · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 5927127fa63f643a14881fe2ab48b2b968393e39e36512de587620fb25496186 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Texas Tech · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-3.5	-3.5
Model spread	-1.1	-1.1
Model gap	-2.4	-2.4

Negative spreads favor Texas Tech; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 6fd82ccb99c71f4a9b3878fbe733f75643d4c18860b71585b4ab83a6ea0e752a. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -2.4 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Texas Tech win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 59%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Texas Tech -3.5
Stacked ensemble: 65%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Texas Tech.

home elo: +19.09 (path difference 5.82)
home adjusted success: +10.25 (path difference 3.53)
home adjusted epa allowed: -7.92 (path difference 0.78)
away adjusted success: -7.71 (path difference 3.13)
away elo: -7.24 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted success allowed: +6.79 (path difference 5.10)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.73 (path difference 2.39)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.28 (path difference 4.37)
away adjusted epa allowed: -4.84 (path difference 0.57)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.75 (path difference 2.71)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.47 (path difference 3.54)
home talent: +3.85 (path difference 0.52)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.51 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted success allowed: -2.95 (path difference 0.02)
away talent: -2.85 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.72 (path difference 1.25)
away adjusted passing down success: +2.59 (path difference 0.72)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.46 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted epa: -2.30 (path difference 0.28)
home adjusted epa: +2.22 (path difference 2.42)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.12 (path difference 2.87)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.99 (path difference 0.13)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.95 (path difference 0.26)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.86 (path difference 0.12)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.75 (path difference 2.30)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.70 (path difference 1.13)
home adjusted line yards: +1.57 (path difference 1.45)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.40 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.38 (path difference 1.57)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -1.26 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.15 (path difference 1.26)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.09 (path difference 0.10)
away adjusted rushing epa: +0.84 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted explosiveness: -0.83 (path difference 0.34)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.78 (path difference 0.63)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.73 (path difference 0.18)
away conference: -0.68 (path difference 0.70)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.66 (path difference 0.11)
away adjusted line yards: -0.65 (path difference 2.62)
home adjusted second level yards: -0.62 (path difference 0.52)
home conference: -0.47 (path difference 0.27)
home adjusted open field yards: +0.38 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.36 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.27 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.20 (path difference 1.50)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.85)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.17 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted passing epa: +0.14 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.14 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.13 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.11 (path difference 0.07)
week: -0.09 (path difference 1.12)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.07 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 64.86 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs b6d6f2196fdadcd2ce6ed8a2451e08c389690bce4bfb2b756073e52ce0bdb5c6 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 40ecaa0656a239d16c04c9a6ba11623d2cab62876b9779509941fba55e75a9f5 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Arizona

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 98 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Kedrick Reescano CFBD athlete 4899361 Week 5 vs Cincinnati: 20 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.292 raw PPA. Week 6 vs West Virginia: 11 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.323 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 8 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.255 raw PPA.	39	3.6	0	39.8%	77 / 3.9
Antwan Roberts CFBD athlete 4612624 Week 5 vs Cincinnati: 4 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.451 raw PPA. Week 6 vs West Virginia: 7 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.211 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 11 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.336 raw PPA.	22	5.4	0	22.4%	33 / 5.8
Quincy Craig CFBD athlete 4804879 Week 5 vs Cincinnati: 7 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.766 raw PPA. Week 6 vs West Virginia: 2 attempts · 22.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.935 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 9 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.154 raw PPA.	18	9.6	0	18.4%	32 / 7.3
Noah Fifita CFBD athlete 4801717 Week 5 vs Cincinnati: 7 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.900 raw PPA. Week 6 vs West Virginia: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.682 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 3 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.208 raw PPA.	13	2.5	5	13.3%	45 / 2.5
Sawyer Anderson CFBD athlete 5158407 Week 8 vs Iowa State: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.715 raw PPA.	2	3.0	0	2.0%	8 / 4.3

Texas Tech

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
J'Koby Williams CFBD athlete 5086393 Week 5 vs Colorado: 18 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 27.8% success · -0.380 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Arizona State: 11 attempts · 15.0 YPC · 72.7% success · 0.647 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 11 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.169 raw PPA.	40	8.3	0	36.4%	85 / 7.2
Quinten Joyner CFBD athlete 4917949 Week 5 vs Colorado: 10 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.269 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Arizona State: 8 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.411 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 12 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.380 raw PPA.	30	5.2	0	27.3%	55 / 4.5
Will Hammond CFBD athlete 5126468 Week 5 vs Colorado: 5 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.946 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Arizona State: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.531 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 12 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.086 raw PPA.	23	3.1	4	20.9%	38 / 3.3
Thomas Castellanos CFBD athlete 4773919 Week 7 vs Arizona State: 4 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.007 raw PPA.	4	1.0	1	3.6%	13 / 3.8
Cameron Dickey CFBD athlete 5193580 Week 5 vs Colorado: 4 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.068 raw PPA.	4	3.8	0	3.6%	54 / 4.4

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Texas TechOffense	ArizonaDefense	ArizonaOffense	Texas TechDefense
PPA/play	+0.17 60th	-0.06 91st	+0.24 83rd	-0.04 88th
Success rate	47.2% 77th	34.5% 92nd	49.1% 87th	38.2% 70th
Explosiveness	1.10 6th	1.38 9th	1.23 45th	1.29 23rd
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 43rd	-0.20 99th	+0.10 52nd	-0.07 79th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.39 78th	+0.17 52nd	+0.58 99th	+0.01 88th
Havoc allowed / created	19.2% 5th	16.2% 55th	13.8% 64th	17.1% 69th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:46 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:46 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Stone Harrington · Texas Tech · PAAR 5.19 · 18 attempts
Michael Salgado-Medina · Arizona · PAAR -1.19 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Texas Tech spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -175 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -290 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +145 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +235 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 54.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 54 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -180 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -180 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +155 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +155 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Texas Tech

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

82nd FBS percentile

Arizona

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

90th FBS percentile

Travel

Arizona travels 535 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 783 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Texas Tech leads 27–5, 2 ties in 34 meetings since 1932.

2024Texas Tech at Arizona28–22 · Texas Tech
2019Texas Tech at Arizona14–28 · Arizona
1989Arizona at Texas Tech14–24 · Texas Tech
1988Texas Tech at Arizona19–35 · Arizona
1979Arizona at Texas Tech14–14
1978Arizona at Texas Tech26–41 · Texas Tech

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.