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Week 9 · 2026

Arizona State at BYU

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Arizona State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Cutter Boley QB
3 games
39.2%
20 / 51 plays
54.5%
6 / 11 plays
Mikey Keene QB
2 games
47.5%
28 / 59 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Cardae Mack RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.8%
22 / 46 plays
Marquis Gillis RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
21.4%
3 / 14 plays
Kyson Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
72.7%
8 / 11 plays
Jake Fette QB
1 games
42.9%
3 / 7 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Ia · TE

CFBD athlete 5141480

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
6.2
Adrian Wilson · S

CFBD athlete 5027539

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
33
Albert Smith III · DE

CFBD athlete 5145591

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Anthony Miller Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5110569

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Ashton Stamps · DB

CFBD athlete 5078918

defensive · PD
8
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
25
Ben Alefaio-Lilii · S

CFBD athlete 5296140

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Blazen Lono-Wong · DL

CFBD athlete 4917171

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
12
C.J. Fite · DL

CFBD athlete 4923268

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
16
Caleb Chester · DB

CFBD athlete 5141410

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Cardae Mack · RB

CFBD athlete 5209382

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
59
receiving · YPR
9.8
rushing · CAR
55
rushing · LONG
67
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
400
rushing · YPC
7.3
Carson Smith · PK

CFBD athlete 4872845

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
9
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.900
kicking · PTS
50
kicking · XPA
23
kicking · XPM
23
Carston Kieffer · PK

CFBD athlete 5159821

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
2
kicking · XPM
2
Clayton Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 4432765

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Cory Butler Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5164354

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-0.7
puntReturns · LONG
7
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-2
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
48
receiving · YPR
8.0
Cutter Boley · QB

CFBD athlete 5141378

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
173
passing · COMPLETIONS
105
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.607
passing · TD
13
passing · YDS
1360
passing · YPA
7.9
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
42
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
66
rushing · YPC
1.6
Daeshon Morgan · DL

CFBD athlete 5218026

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Daquwan Dunn · DB

CFBD athlete 5282578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
David Avit · RB

CFBD athlete 5226949

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
7.5
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
4.2
Demarius Robinson · RB

CFBD athlete 5216317

rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
27
rushing · YPC
6.8
Derek Eusebio · WR

CFBD athlete 5159831

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
112
receiving · YPR
12.4
Emar'Rion Winston · DL

CFBD athlete 4685626

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Grayson Curtis · LS

CFBD athlete 5086236

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Grayson Rigdon · RB

CFBD athlete 5257046

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
34
receiving · LONG
56
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
110
receiving · YPR
55.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
3.7
Hyrum Vaeono · DL

CFBD athlete 5331412

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Isaiah Iosefa · LB

CFBD athlete 5167179

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jake Fette · QB

CFBD athlete 5209295

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
8
passing · COMPLETIONS
4
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
58
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-2.2
Jalen Moss · WR

CFBD athlete 4804883

puntReturns · AVG
14.6
puntReturns · LONG
21
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
73
receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
72
receiving · YPR
14.4
Jalen Thompson · DL

CFBD athlete 4870992

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
18
James Giggey · TE

CFBD athlete 5147330

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Jaren Hamilton · WR

CFBD athlete 5104212

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.6
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
10
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
246
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
3.5
Jason Brown Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079348

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
7.1
Jessiah Mcgrew · DB

CFBD athlete 5264247

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
33
Joshua Shanklin · DL

CFBD athlete 5296139

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Julian Hugo · DL

CFBD athlete 5207782

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
7
Khamari Anderson · TE

CFBD athlete 4917619

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
21.0
Kyan McDonald · DB

CFBD athlete 5127743

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
interceptions · AVG
23.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
23
Kyson Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5110535

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
6
passing · YPA
6.0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
52
receiving · YPR
4.7
rushing · CAR
61
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
335
rushing · YPC
5.5
Lyrik Rawls · DB

CFBD athlete 4602193

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Marquis Gillis · RB

CFBD athlete 4900771

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
31
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
145
rushing · YPC
4.7
Martell Hughes · LB

CFBD athlete 5147229

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
54
Mikey Keene · QB

CFBD athlete 4597499

passing · ATT
61
passing · COMPLETIONS
39
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.639
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
448
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-48
rushing · YPC
-8.0
Montana Warren · DB

CFBD athlete 5077117

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
37
Nick McLarty · P

CFBD athlete 5219054

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
53
punting · NO
30
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1260
punting · YPP
42.0
Omarion Miller · WR

CFBD athlete 4870850

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
37
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
390
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Owen Long · LB

CFBD athlete 5219133

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
34
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
62
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Prayer Young-Blackgoat · LB

CFBD athlete 5219152

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Raiden Vines-Bright · WR

CFBD athlete 5164362

receiving · LONG
74
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
107
receiving · YPR
13.4
Ramar Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5147693

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Reed Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5031157

receiving · LONG
58
receiving · REC
47
receiving · TD
8
receiving · YDS
800
receiving · YPR
17.0
Rodney Bimage Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5079305

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
23
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Roman Pitre · DL

CFBD athlete 4869551

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Salesi Manu · DL

CFBD athlete 5146892

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tristan Bacon · LB

CFBD athlete 5258266

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Zac Swanson · DL

CFBD athlete 4686332

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Zeth Thues · DB

CFBD athlete 5252195

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12

BYU

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Bear Bachmeier QB
3 games
49.0%
48 / 98 plays
63.9%
23 / 36 plays
Preston Rex RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
30.0%
6 / 20 plays
Sione I Moa RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
30.8%
4 / 13 plays
Journee Tonga RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
9.1%
1 / 11 plays
Legend Glasker WR
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
2 / 5 plays
Devaughn Eka RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Kyler Kasper WR
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Jojo Phillips WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ace Kaufusi · LB

CFBD athlete 5150613

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Anisi Purcell · DT

CFBD athlete 5093757

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
7
Bear Bachmeier · QB

CFBD athlete 5141367

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
184
passing · COMPLETIONS
116
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.630
passing · TD
11
passing · YDS
1514
passing · YPA
8.2
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
15.0
rushing · CAR
64
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
321
rushing · YPC
5.0
Blake Lowe · LB

CFBD athlete 5147149

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bodie Schoonover · DE

CFBD athlete 5092203

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
16
Braxton Lindsey · LB

CFBD athlete 5271214

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Brody Laga · PK

CFBD athlete 5193545

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
3
kicking · XPA
3
kicking · XPM
3
Cade Uluave · LB

CFBD athlete 4954453

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
45
interceptions · AVG
17.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
17
Cannon DeVries · CB

CFBD athlete 5296270

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
14
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
61.5
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
123
puntReturns · AVG
11.9
puntReturns · LONG
46
puntReturns · NO
12
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
143
Charles Miska · RB

CFBD athlete 5237159

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
9
rushing · YPC
4.5
Crew Clark · S

CFBD athlete 5296276

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Devaughn Eka · RB

CFBD athlete 5282663

rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
101
rushing · YPC
6.7
Evan Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 4917351

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
16
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
16
Faletau Satuala · S

CFBD athlete 5147239

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
34
interceptions · AVG
59.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
59
Fuller Shurtz · P

CFBD athlete 5296273

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
61
punting · NO
22
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
983
punting · YPP
44.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Gage Tanner · LB

CFBD athlete 5393166

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Hunter Clegg · DE

CFBD athlete 5261392

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
20.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
Isaiah Glasker · LB

CFBD athlete 5080697

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
23
Jake Clifton · LB

CFBD athlete 4870235

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
18
Jared Esplin · WR

CFBD athlete 5393160

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
15.0
Jarinn Kalama · S

CFBD athlete 5219648

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jayven Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5083105

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jojo Phillips · WR

CFBD athlete 5160955

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
130
receiving · YPR
9.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Jordyn Criss · CB

CFBD athlete 5264726

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Joseph Douglas · S

CFBD athlete 5296274

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Journee Tonga · RB

CFBD athlete 5393157

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
12.5
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
38
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
182
rushing · YPC
6.1
Justin Kirkland · DT

CFBD athlete 5088941

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Keanu Tanuvasa · DT

CFBD athlete 4912270

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
14
Keayen Nead · TE

CFBD athlete 5085618

kickReturns · AVG
10.0
kickReturns · LONG
10
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
10
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Kendal Wall · DE

CFBD athlete 5215372

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Kennan Pula · S

CFBD athlete 5209417

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Kevin Doe · CB

CFBD athlete 5160957

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kini Fonohema · DE

CFBD athlete 5193692

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kyler Kasper · WR

CFBD athlete 4870876

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
15
passing · YPA
15.0
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
373
receiving · YPR
14.3
LJ Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 4918126

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
8.2
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
56
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
344
rushing · YPC
7.8
Legend Glasker · WR

CFBD athlete 5279329

receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
498
receiving · YPR
17.8
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
95
rushing · YPC
6.3
Logan Payne · RB

CFBD athlete 5296275

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
30
rushing · YPC
6.0
Maika Kaufusi · LB

CFBD athlete 5150620

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Matthias Dunn · PK

CFBD athlete 5150638

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
5
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.833
kicking · PTS
43
kicking · XPA
28
kicking · XPM
28
Matthias Leach · S

CFBD athlete 5186445

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
interceptions · AVG
18.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
18
Miles Hall · LB

CFBD athlete 5078822

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
17
Nusi Taumoepeau · DE

CFBD athlete 5167712

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
14
Orion Maile-Kaufusi · DE

CFBD athlete 5219654

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Payton VanSteenkiste · S

CFBD athlete 5219650

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Pierson Watson · LB

CFBD athlete 5296272

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Preston Rex · RB

CFBD athlete 5092200

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
47
receiving · YPR
5.9
rushing · CAR
39
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
223
rushing · YPC
5.7
Raider Damuni · S

CFBD athlete 5150619

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Reggie Frischknecht · WR

CFBD athlete 5296269

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
21.0
Roger Saleapaga · TE

CFBD athlete 5130407

receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
120
receiving · YPR
13.3
Siale Esera · LB

CFBD athlete 4899346

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Sione I Moa · RB

CFBD athlete 5219689

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
58
rushing · YPC
3.1
Siosefa Brown · DE

CFBD athlete 5296281

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Tausili Akana · DE

CFBD athlete 4870593

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
14
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Terrance Saryon · WR

CFBD athlete 5245511

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-6
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Therrian Alexander · CB

CFBD athlete 5147161

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
14
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Tiger Bachmeier · WR

CFBD athlete 4918421

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
8.0
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
48
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Tommy Prassas · S

CFBD athlete 5147386

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
25
Treyson Bourguet · QB

CFBD athlete 4688540

passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.333
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
15
passing · YPA
5.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
17
rushing · YPC
17.0
Ulavai Fetuli · DT

CFBD athlete 5216565

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Viliami Po'uha · DT

CFBD athlete 5219651

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Vincent Tautua · DE

CFBD athlete 5238342

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Walker Lyons · TE

CFBD athlete 5221043

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
206
receiving · YPR
10.8

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

BYU -16.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · Bovada quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

BYU by 20.00

3.50 points toward BYU versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward BYU.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +16.07
  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 20.00 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs fc23ff77509943d8789083669c12c769772d2e317d211979b4f42f03ac71f51e · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast e5e98041451cb4077dcb317fe86314bc6fd94a0f5e137d3f6331dfb09b7a348a · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: BYU · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-16.25-16.5-0.25
Model spread-20.0-20.00.0
Model gap+3.75+3.5-0.25

Negative spreads favor BYU; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fc23ff77509943d8789083669c12c769772d2e317d211979b4f42f03ac71f51e. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

BYU -16.5

Model gap +3.5 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor BYU.

Win probabilities · separate sources

BYU win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
87%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: BYU -16.5
Stacked ensemble
85%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward BYU.

  • home elo: +9.61 (path difference 8.37)
  • home adjusted success: +7.79 (path difference 4.97)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +6.00 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted epa: +5.14 (path difference 7.17)
  • away elo: +4.44 (path difference 5.33)
  • away adjusted success: -4.04 (path difference 2.08)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.68 (path difference 4.03)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.62 (path difference 0.08)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.34 (path difference 5.03)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.14 (path difference 3.96)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.69 (path difference 1.78)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -2.55 (path difference 4.05)
  • away talent: -2.38 (path difference 1.33)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +2.27 (path difference 3.52)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.96 (path difference 1.98)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.80 (path difference 0.18)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.61 (path difference 0.09)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +1.52 (path difference 2.19)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.50 (path difference 0.74)
  • home talent: +1.49 (path difference 1.60)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.49 (path difference 0.61)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.45 (path difference 1.05)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -1.34 (path difference 1.51)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.31 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.16 (path difference 0.53)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.14 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -0.96 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.91 (path difference 1.62)
  • home adjusted epa: +0.83 (path difference 0.74)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.83 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.73 (path difference 1.87)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.68 (path difference 0.38)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.68 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.60 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.52 (path difference 0.96)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.52 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.48 (path difference 1.62)
  • home adjusted line yards: +0.46 (path difference 0.16)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.45 (path difference 0.04)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.36 (path difference 0.70)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.30 (path difference 0.07)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.28 (path difference 1.59)
  • home conference: -0.27 (path difference 0.14)
  • away conference: -0.26 (path difference 0.15)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.18 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.15 (path difference 1.05)
  • week: +0.14 (path difference 0.66)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.12 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.10 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.09 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.34)

Reconciles to 85.49 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 816573e6dc3c9e4890eeae1d366101ade7e1dd3675033891bd82482757c9fc72 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 5056aff367cc0ae840f746d6c62688557917ce311508733baea64b25cb081b05 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Arizona State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 95 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Cardae Mack

CFBD athlete 5209382

Week 6 vs Hawai'i: 13 attempts · 11.8 YPC · 76.9% success · 0.923 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 7 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.021 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 26 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 38.5% success · 0.348 raw PPA.

467.4048.4%55 / 7.3
Cutter Boley

CFBD athlete 5141378

Week 6 vs Hawai'i: 8 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.244 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 4 attempts · -4.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.374 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 4 attempts · -0.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.271 raw PPA.

161.3516.8%41 / 1.6
Marquis Gillis

CFBD athlete 4900771

Week 6 vs Hawai'i: 3 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.423 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.156 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.040 raw PPA.

143.6014.7%31 / 4.7
Kyson Brown

CFBD athlete 5110535

Week 6 vs Hawai'i: 5 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.145 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 5 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.495 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.199 raw PPA.

116.7011.6%61 / 5.5
Mikey Keene

CFBD athlete 4597499

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 4 attempts · -10.5 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 2 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.496 raw PPA.

6-8.056.3%6 / -8.0

BYU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 92 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Bear Bachmeier

CFBD athlete 5141367

Week 6 vs Iowa State: 9 attempts · 12.1 YPC · 88.9% success · 0.982 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 13 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.279 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs UCF: 15 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.327 raw PPA.

375.2140.2%64 / 5.0
Preston Rex

CFBD athlete 5092200

Week 6 vs Iowa State: 6 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.088 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 9 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.031 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs UCF: 5 attempts · 8.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.276 raw PPA.

205.8021.7%38 / 5.6
Sione I Moa

CFBD athlete 5219689

Week 8 vs UCF: 13 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.144 raw PPA.

132.8014.1%19 / 3.1
Journee Tonga

CFBD athlete 5393157

Week 6 vs Iowa State: 8 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.475 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.464 raw PPA.

112.3012.0%30 / 6.1
Legend Glasker

CFBD athlete 5279329

Week 6 vs Iowa State: 1 attempts · 15.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.521 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Notre Dame: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.375 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs UCF: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.635 raw PPA.

55.405.4%15 / 6.3

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureBYUOffenseArizona StateDefenseArizona StateOffenseBYUDefense
PPA/play
+0.27
88th
+0.07
48th
+0.05
23rd
+0.03
66th
Success rate
49.1%
88th
39.8%
58th
42.6%
47th
39.0%
65th
Explosiveness
1.21
39th
1.21
53rd
1.25
55th
1.17
73rd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.24
91st
+0.08
31st
+0.02
26th
-0.05
74th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.36
74th
+0.06
81st
+0.12
23rd
+0.18
48th
Havoc allowed / created
8.9%
98th
16.6%
61st
17.6%
12th
17.5%
74th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:11 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:11 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Carson Smith · Arizona State · PAAR 4.84 · 10 attempts
  • Matthias Dunn · BYU · PAAR 3.14 · 6 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

BYU spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -16 · Snapshot spread: -16.5

First locally observed: -14.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -750 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -750 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +500 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +500 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -17.5 · Snapshot spread: -16.5

First locally observed: -17.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 51.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -750 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -850 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +525 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +575 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

BYU

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

88th FBS percentile

Arizona State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

24th FBS percentile

Travel

Arizona State travels 472 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · up 3,451 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Arizona State leads 21–8 in 29 meetings since 1935.

  • 2024BYU at Arizona State23–28 · Arizona State
  • 2021Arizona State at BYU17–27 · BYU
  • 1998Arizona State at BYU6–26 · BYU
  • 1997BYU at Arizona State13–10 · BYU
  • 1995BYU at Arizona State21–29 · Arizona State
  • 1994Arizona State at BYU36–15 · Arizona State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.