Week 9 · 2026

Kansas at TCU

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Kansas

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Isaiah Marshall QB 3 games	36.1% 35 / 97 plays	46.7% 14 / 30 plays
Dylan Edwards RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.2% 19 / 54 plays
Chase Belcher RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	16.7% 1 / 6 plays
Jalen Dupree RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman S 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Cam Pickett WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Cole Ballard QB 1 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Bryson Hayes WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 66 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adrian Holley · DE

CFBD athlete 5211202

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Alex Bray · DE

CFBD athlete 5109813

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Austin Alexander · CB

CFBD athlete 5110531

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Blake Herold · DT

CFBD athlete 5084890

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Brandon Schmelzle · S

CFBD athlete 5215566

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -9.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -9

Bryson Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5151868

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 50.0
kickReturns · LONG: 95
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 150
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 106
receiving · YPR: 21.2
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Cam Pickett · WR

CFBD athlete 4869603

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 210
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Carson Bruhn · TE

CFBD athlete 5142704

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 148
receiving · YPR: 12.3

Carter Moses · TE

CFBD athlete 5098591

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chase Belcher · RB

CFBD athlete 4840113

rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 24
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Chase Jenkins · QB

CFBD athlete 4986096

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 65
passing · YPA: 21.7
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 17.7

Chris McCorkle · CB

CFBD athlete 5195296

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Christian Pritchett · S

CFBD athlete 5150133

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Clifton Thompson · DT

CFBD athlete 5152261

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Cole Ballard · QB

CFBD athlete 5151060

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 5
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.625
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 96
passing · YPA: 12.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 14
rushing · YPC: 14.0

Colter McDaniel · S

CFBD athlete 5219489

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Corey Gordon · S

CFBD athlete 4870279

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 38

Dakyus Brinkley · DE

CFBD athlete 5079346

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Dane Efird · PK

CFBD athlete 5294286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Daveon Crouch · LB

CFBD athlete 4837267

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 30

David Santiago · DE

CFBD athlete 5223133

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 32
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 3

Donald Collier · WR

CFBD athlete 5219496

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 38
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 68
rushing · YPC: 8.5

Dylan Edwards · RB

CFBD athlete 4918414

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 38
receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 170
receiving · YPR: 9.4
rushing · CAR: 105
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 532
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Eamon Smalls · DT

CFBD athlete 4921452

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 6

Elijah Cannon · CB

CFBD athlete 5148413

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Ezra Vedral · LB

CFBD athlete 5151066

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Garrett Martin · DE

CFBD athlete 5167709

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 3

Hunter Higgins · DE

CFBD athlete 5263878

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Isaiah Marshall · QB

CFBD athlete 5079604

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 196
passing · COMPLETIONS: 105
passing · INT: 7
passing · PCT: 0.536
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1506
passing · YPA: 7.7
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 89
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 403
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Jack Reeves · RB

CFBD athlete 5384625

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Jackson Cook · WR

CFBD athlete 5199852

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaden Harris · S

CFBD athlete 4901380

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jahlil Hurley · CB

CFBD athlete 4870796

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Jalen Butler · TE

CFBD athlete 5151966

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 14.5

Jalen Dupree · RB

CFBD athlete 5193112

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 15
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 111
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Jalen Todd · CB

CFBD athlete 5147201

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaron Willis · LB

CFBD athlete 4685595

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jibreel Al-Amin · LB

CFBD athlete 4916954

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jibriel Conde · DT

CFBD athlete 5327914

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 3

John Kelly · RB

CFBD athlete 5211057

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Joseph Credit · LB

CFBD athlete 5282063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Keaton Kubecka · WR

CFBD athlete 4924150

puntReturns · AVG: 24.0
puntReturns · LONG: 35
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 48
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 67
receiving · YPR: 11.2
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Kevin Oatis · DT

CFBD athlete 5141579

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman · S

CFBD athlete 5146742

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 19.0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 54
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Leroy Harris III · DE

CFBD athlete 5223986

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 11.0
defensive · TOT: 29
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Leyton Cure · TE

CFBD athlete 5219497

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 24.7

Malachi Curvey · LB

CFBD athlete 5141416

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Marcus Calvin · DT

CFBD athlete 5085746

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 12

Martin Connington · PK

CFBD athlete 5157627

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 46
kicking · PCT: 0.727
kicking · PTS: 49
kicking · XPA: 25
kicking · XPM: 25

Mason Ellis · S

CFBD athlete 4912139

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Matthew Gill · P

CFBD athlete 5331884

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
punting · In 20: 3
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 22
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 899
punting · YPP: 40.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -11
rushing · YPC: -11.0

Micah Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5219487

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 10.0
kickReturns · LONG: 10
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 10
rushing · CAR: 13
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 55
rushing · YPC: 4.2

Nahzae Cox · WR

CFBD athlete 5296407

receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 259
receiving · YPR: 25.9

Nakwaine Carter · DT

CFBD athlete 5290670

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nik McMillan · WR

CFBD athlete 4869730

receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 25
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 466
receiving · YPR: 18.6

Quincy Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5120485

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 27

Robert Reddick · CB

CFBD athlete 5291157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Roman Pearson · CB

CFBD athlete 5083804

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Syeed Gibbs · CB

CFBD athlete 5083396

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tate Nagy · WR

CFBD athlete 5216559

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 16.9
puntReturns · LONG: 72
puntReturns · NO: 8
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 135
receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 101
receiving · YPR: 16.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Tavake Tuikolovatu · OL

CFBD athlete 5121418

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Taylor Davis · S

CFBD athlete 5075623

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Trey Brown · CB

CFBD athlete 5384621

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Trey Lathan · LB

CFBD athlete 5082001

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 48
interceptions · AVG: 6.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 6

Wyatt Brungardt · DE

CFBD athlete 5384628

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Yasin Willis · RB

CFBD athlete 5079749

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 27
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 125
rushing · YPC: 4.6

TCU

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jaden Craig QB 3 games	44.5% 53 / 119 plays	50.0% 8 / 16 plays
Jon Denman RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	28.6% 8 / 28 plays
Jeremy Payne RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 5 / 15 plays
Landon Walker RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 2 / 6 plays
Joe Pitchford RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 6 plays
Amante Martin RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 4 plays
Kari Ashley TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Major Everhart WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ace Theus · WR

CFBD athlete 5161853

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 24
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 95
puntReturns · AVG: 11.0
puntReturns · LONG: 22
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 99
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Adam Schobel · QB

CFBD athlete 5141643

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Amante Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 5209316

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 51
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Ansel Din-Mbuh · DT

CFBD athlete 5101112

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 28

Blake Robinett · DT

CFBD athlete 5216693

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brock King · CB

CFBD athlete 5217175

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Carter Buck · LB

CFBD athlete 5264361

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Chad Woodfork · LB

CFBD athlete 5296124

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Cheta Ofili · LB

CFBD athlete 5140254

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Dane Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5164358

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Devyn Hidrogo · S

CFBD athlete 5167937

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15

Dillon Arkansas · LB

CFBD athlete 5207601

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0

Ed Small · WR

CFBD athlete 5200482

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 12.8
puntReturns · LONG: 33
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 77
receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 38
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 514
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Floyd Guidry · DT

CFBD athlete 5208009

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

G'Ivori Graham · RB

CFBD athlete 5280795

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Gil Jackson · CB

CFBD athlete 5207849

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Hudson Hooper · LB

CFBD athlete 5151166

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 41

Jacobe Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5221285

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 195
receiving · YPR: 15.0

Jaden Craig · QB

CFBD athlete 5083569

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 240
passing · COMPLETIONS: 162
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.675
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 2066
passing · YPA: 8.6
rushing · CAR: 52
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 0.4

Jaheim Buchanon · OL

CFBD athlete 5085334

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jamel Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 4870854

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 40
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Jeremy Payne · RB

CFBD athlete 5079663

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 86
receiving · YPR: 4.8
rushing · CAR: 88
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 429
rushing · YPC: 4.9

Jeremy Scott · WR

CFBD athlete 5126534

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 52
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 203
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Joe Pitchford · RB

CFBD athlete 5219571

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 3.5
rushing · CAR: 17
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 63
rushing · YPC: 3.7

John Hoyet Chance · P

CFBD athlete 5220347

punting · In 20: 15
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 26
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 1118
punting · YPP: 43.0

John Schobel · LB

CFBD athlete 5213361

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 16

Jon Denman · RB

CFBD athlete 5214401

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 148
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Jordan Dwyer · WR

CFBD athlete 4832804

receiving · LONG: 67
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 363
receiving · YPR: 17.3

Jordan Lester · S

CFBD athlete 5077209

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 21

Julius Simms · S

CFBD athlete 5215582

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Ka'Morreun Pimpton · TE

CFBD athlete 5084293

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 142
receiving · YPR: 11.8

Kaden Mcfadden · S

CFBD athlete 5147233

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Kalen Carroll · CB

CFBD athlete 4831971

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Kari Ashley · TE

CFBD athlete 5391236

receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 35
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 510
receiving · YPR: 14.6
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Kelten Mickell · DT

CFBD athlete 5296133

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 4

Keylan Abrams · LB

CFBD athlete 5147339

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Koron Hayward · LB

CFBD athlete 5084770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Kyle Lemmermann · PK

CFBD athlete 5149118

kicking · FGA: 1
kicking · FGM: 1
kicking · LONG: 31
kicking · PCT: 1.000
kicking · PTS: 4
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Kylin Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 4870804

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Landon Walker · RB

CFBD athlete 5120735

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 22
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 67
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Maddox Flynt · DT

CFBD athlete 5264497

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Major Everhart · WR

CFBD athlete 4832792

rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 1.2

Markis Deal · DT

CFBD athlete 4870670

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Max Carroll · LB

CFBD athlete 4918123

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Michael Short · LB

CFBD athlete 5077204

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Michael Teason · LB

CFBD athlete 5154286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Nate McCashland · PK

CFBD athlete 5151170

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 45
kicking · PCT: 0.700
kicking · PTS: 40
kicking · XPA: 19
kicking · XPM: 19

Paul Oyewale · LB

CFBD athlete 4832593

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 21

Ryan Yaites · S

CFBD athlete 4871066

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Teon Parks · CB

CFBD athlete 5168715

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
interceptions · AVG: 67.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 67

Terry Shelton · WR

CFBD athlete 5216050

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tristan Johnson · DT

CFBD athlete 5150137

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Vernon Glover · CB

CFBD athlete 4870705

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Zachary Chapman · LB

CFBD athlete 4918413

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

TCU -6.5

DraftKings snapshot: TCU -6.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

TCU by 4.26

2.24 points toward Kansas versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward TCU.

Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93
Net EPA rating difference: +0.32

Reconciles to 4.26 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 3ce0545cdbda3b4861e3629024e6eb43c49ecddf811fbdb5c5eb9882d029ead5 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast ff5e94286c53fc4878f9817551de29d8f30d294e30244b1170ae33907d4a903f · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: TCU · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-6.0	-6.5	-0.5
Model spread	-4.26	-4.26	0.0
Model gap	-1.74	-2.24	-0.5

Negative spreads favor TCU; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 3ce0545cdbda3b4861e3629024e6eb43c49ecddf811fbdb5c5eb9882d029ead5. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -2.2 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

TCU win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 67%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: TCU -6.5
Stacked ensemble: 56%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward TCU.

home adjusted epa allowed: -13.57 (path difference 4.72)
home adjusted success allowed: +12.98 (path difference 0.40)
home adjusted epa: +10.90 (path difference 1.16)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +9.63 (path difference 0.81)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +8.32 (path difference 1.26)
home adjusted second level yards: +7.66 (path difference 4.98)
home adjusted rushing epa: -7.32 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted success: -6.87 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted rushing epa: +5.72 (path difference 1.57)
home adjusted line yards: -5.67 (path difference 1.47)
home elo: +5.36 (path difference 4.90)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.92 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted epa allowed: -4.62 (path difference 1.67)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.57 (path difference 2.39)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.51 (path difference 1.03)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.10 (path difference 0.51)
home adjusted success: -3.97 (path difference 1.41)
away adjusted passing down success: -3.57 (path difference 0.26)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.71 (path difference 0.12)
home talent: +2.60 (path difference 0.94)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -2.57 (path difference 0.96)
home adjusted open field yards: -2.27 (path difference 4.00)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.26 (path difference 0.80)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.17 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.07 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.04 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.83 (path difference 0.45)
away talent: -1.72 (path difference 1.41)
away adjusted success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.57)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.49 (path difference 1.43)
home adjusted passing epa: -1.46 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted epa: +1.44 (path difference 0.32)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.42 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted standard down success: +1.41 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted line yards: -1.07 (path difference 2.69)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.98 (path difference 1.37)
home adjusted standard down success: -0.65 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.53 (path difference 1.23)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.50 (path difference 0.58)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.48 (path difference 2.15)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.48 (path difference 0.67)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.48 (path difference 0.52)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.45 (path difference 2.15)
away elo: -0.45 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.44 (path difference 0.91)
away conference: -0.33 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.29 (path difference 1.31)
week: +0.25 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.15 (path difference 0.01)
home conference: -0.11 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.06 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.05 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.43)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 55.90 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 5db8af55358649dcc57a7b4f9cedd23a514d71762a872b310081f2933d928089 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 7d5c08ed707f788150a70b7b50883159978675bfe753627b180e0241a8d42b22 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Kansas

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Dylan Edwards CFBD athlete 4918414 Week 6 vs Utah: 9 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.270 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kansas State: 16 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.112 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Baylor: 29 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 37.9% success · 0.138 raw PPA.	54	4.2	0	51.9%	102 / 5.0
Isaiah Marshall CFBD athlete 5079604 Week 6 vs Utah: 9 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.501 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kansas State: 12 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.504 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Baylor: 15 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.825 raw PPA.	36	4.1	6	34.6%	86 / 4.3
Chase Belcher CFBD athlete 4840113 Week 8 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.101 raw PPA.	6	4.0	0	5.8%	6 / 4.0
Jalen Dupree CFBD athlete 5193112 Week 6 vs Utah: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.241 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kansas State: 2 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.920 raw PPA.	4	2.0	0	3.8%	25 / 4.4
Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman CFBD athlete 5146742 Week 8 vs Baylor: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.167 raw PPA.	2	3.0	0	1.9%	6 / 9.0

TCU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 93 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jon Denman CFBD athlete 5214401 Week 5 vs BYU: 7 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.217 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.384 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 15 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.237 raw PPA.	28	3.3	0	30.1%	44 / 3.4
Jaden Craig CFBD athlete 5083569 Week 5 vs BYU: 7 attempts · -3.9 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.876 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Baylor: 8 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.381 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 12 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.004 raw PPA.	27	-0.5	11	29.0%	50 / -0.2
Jeremy Payne CFBD athlete 5079663 Week 5 vs BYU: 14 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 35.7% success · -0.107 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Baylor: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.955 raw PPA.	15	4.9	0	16.1%	85 / 4.5
Landon Walker CFBD athlete 5120735 Week 7 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.188 raw PPA.	6	6.0	0	6.5%	10 / 6.7
Joe Pitchford CFBD athlete 5219571 Week 7 vs Baylor: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.248 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 4 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.368 raw PPA.	6	2.0	0	6.5%	17 / 3.7

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	TCUOffense	KansasDefense	KansasOffense	TCUDefense
PPA/play	+0.10 36th	+0.03 68th	+0.18 62nd	-0.09 95th
Success rate	43.4% 54th	37.5% 74th	44.6% 61st	33.6% 96th
Explosiveness	1.26 65th	1.29 25th	1.35 93rd	1.08 96th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.09 46th	+0.05 41st	+0.17 79th	-0.15 93rd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.13 25th	-0.02 93rd	+0.19 36th	+0.04 85th
Havoc allowed / created	15.8% 34th	17.4% 73rd	15.8% 34th	16.4% 58th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:16 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:16 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Kyle Lemmermann · TCU · PAAR 0.45 · 1 attempts
Nate McCashland · TCU · PAAR -0.47 · 10 attempts
Martin Connington · Kansas · PAAR 1.43 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

TCU spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -4.5 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -5.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence