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Week 9 · 2026

Kansas State at Colorado

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Kansas State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T18:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Avery Johnson QB
2 games
45.6%
26 / 57 plays
50.0%
9 / 18 plays
Jacob Knuth QB
1 games
31.8%
14 / 44 plays
66.7%
4 / 6 plays
Joe Jackson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.5%
15 / 40 plays
Rodney Fields Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
43.8%
14 / 32 plays
Joshua Manning WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Jay Harris RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Jaron Tibbs WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Adonis Moise WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adonis Moise · WR

CFBD athlete 5141580

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Adrian Maddox · S

CFBD athlete 5089023

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Aidan O'Neill · PK

CFBD athlete 5384690

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Asa Newsom · LB

CFBD athlete 4899440

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Ashton Moore · LB

CFBD athlete 5218241

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Avery Johnson · QB

CFBD athlete 4870857

passing · ATT
187
passing · COMPLETIONS
118
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.631
passing · TD
10
passing · YDS
1301
passing · YPA
7.0
rushing · CAR
51
rushing · LONG
66
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
462
rushing · YPC
9.1
Ben Osueke · CB

CFBD athlete 5121993

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Blake Barnett · QB

CFBD athlete 5124584

passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
4
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.800
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
41
passing · YPA
8.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
1.5
Brandon White · WR

CFBD athlete 4894839

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.5
kickReturns · LONG
33
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
110
puntReturns · AVG
13.2
puntReturns · LONG
65
puntReturns · NO
10
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
132
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
78
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
6.2
DJ Ackerson Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5269120

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Dalton Knapp · DE

CFBD athlete 5205098

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Darien Whitaker Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5245108

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
12
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
De'Arieun Hicks · DT

CFBD athlete 5231145

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Derrick Salley Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5384681

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
311
receiving · YPR
16.4
Donovan McIntosh · CB

CFBD athlete 4921519

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Eli Jackson · DT

CFBD athlete 5384689

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
16
Elijah Hill · DE

CFBD athlete 5265481

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5
Gabe Powers · LB

CFBD athlete 4685511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
29
Garrett Oakley · TE

CFBD athlete 4804882

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
196
receiving · YPR
12.3
Isaac Koch · WR

CFBD athlete 5093137

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Izaiah Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5079769

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
Ja'Son Prevard · S

CFBD athlete 5154535

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jack Fabris · S

CFBD athlete 5078243

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jacob Knuth · QB

CFBD athlete 4736246

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
42
passing · COMPLETIONS
27
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.643
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
201
passing · YPA
4.8
rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
44
rushing · YPC
3.7
Jacobi Oliphant Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5079652

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Jaron Tibbs · WR

CFBD athlete 5078225

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
34
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
325
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Jay Harris · RB

CFBD athlete 5193496

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
100
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
96
rushing · YPC
5.6
Jayden Bryant · DE

CFBD athlete 5193653

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
11
Jet Dineen · S

CFBD athlete 5081905

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
JoJo Scott · CB

CFBD athlete 5215552

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Joe Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5078916

receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
132
receiving · YPR
9.4
rushing · CAR
77
rushing · LONG
64
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
371
rushing · YPC
4.8
Jordan Allen · DE

CFBD athlete 4923029

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
17
Joshua Manning · WR

CFBD athlete 4921113

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
254
receiving · YPR
9.8
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
8.7
Kaleb Patterson · CB

CFBD athlete 5154323

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Kamari Burns · DT

CFBD athlete 5075706

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
14
Koy Beasley · S

CFBD athlete 5086452

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
Lawson Mcgraw · TE

CFBD athlete 5291096

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-4
receiving · YPR
-4.0
Linkon Cure · TE

CFBD athlete 5164346

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
87
receiving · YPR
8.7
Logan Bartley · S

CFBD athlete 5195735

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
45
interceptions · AVG
16.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
16
Luis Rodriguez · PK

CFBD athlete 5294439

kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
51
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
53
kicking · XPA
20
kicking · XPM
20
Mekhi Mason · LB

CFBD athlete 4808997

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
35
Micheal Graham Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5384680

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Monterrio Elston Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5217820

kickReturns · AVG
19.5
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
39
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
76
rushing · YPC
12.7
Nick Mcclellan · CB

CFBD athlete 5278414

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
9
Owen Harrington · TE

CFBD athlete 5384686

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Rex Van Wyhe · LB

CFBD athlete 5151087

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
23
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Robert Hammond · PK

CFBD athlete 5151827

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
4
kicking · XPA
4
kicking · XPM
4
Rodney Fields Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5125335

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
52
receiving · YPR
8.7
rushing · CAR
81
rushing · LONG
75
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
422
rushing · YPC
5.2
Sawyer Schilke · LB

CFBD athlete 5209749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Simon McClannan · P

CFBD athlete 5092224

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
66
punting · NO
24
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1130
punting · YPP
47.1
Sterling Lockett · WR

CFBD athlete 4911861

puntReturns · AVG
14.3
puntReturns · LONG
27
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
57
Travis Bates · DE

CFBD athlete 5104035

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
8
Wendell Gregory · DE

CFBD athlete 5079426

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
10.5
defensive · TOT
25
Wesley Fair · S

CFBD athlete 4923257

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
13
kickReturns · AVG
2.0
kickReturns · LONG
2
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
2
Weston Polk · LB

CFBD athlete 5207659

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Will Anciaux · TE

CFBD athlete 4920187

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
84
receiving · YPR
14.0
Zashon Rich · CB

CFBD athlete 5189028

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16

Colorado

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T18:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Isaac Wilson QB
3 games
44.2%
46 / 104 plays
36.4%
12 / 33 plays
Jaquail Smith RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
36.7%
11 / 30 plays
Kaneal Sweetwyne QB
2 games
37.5%
3 / 8 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Damian Henderson II RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
60.0%
3 / 5 plays
Richard Young RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
Dekalon Taylor RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Micah Welch RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Joseph Williams WR
1 games
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex Ward · WR

CFBD athlete 5280400

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-1
receiving · YPR
-1.0
Ben Finneseth · DB

CFBD athlete 4901008

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
Bo Hughley · OL

CFBD athlete 4870749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Boo Carter · DB

CFBD athlete 5079381

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
1
puntReturns · AVG
2.6
puntReturns · LONG
8
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
13
Bryce Hicks · RB

CFBD athlete 5224715

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-2.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Carson Crawford · LB

CFBD athlete 5276171

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Charlie Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 5122077

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
14.0
Chauncey Gooden · OL

CFBD athlete 5141477

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Cree Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5148610

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Damian Henderson II · RB

CFBD athlete 4918094

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
20
receiving · YPR
20.0
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
133
rushing · YPC
4.6
Damon Greaves · P

CFBD athlete 5125820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
12
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
33
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1491
punting · YPP
45.2
Daniel Gerlach · P

CFBD athlete 5221297

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
2
kicking · XPM
2
Danny Scudero · WR

CFBD athlete 5152815

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
4.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
14
rushing · YPC
7.0
DeAndre Moore Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4870860

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
66
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
418
receiving · YPR
14.9
Dekalon Taylor · RB

CFBD athlete 5096878

kickReturns · AVG
18.1
kickReturns · LONG
32
kickReturns · NO
7
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
127
puntReturns · AVG
5.5
puntReturns · LONG
15
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
22
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
106
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
85
rushing · YPC
5.0
Dylan Manuel · DL

CFBD athlete 5224360

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
18
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Elliot Arnold · PK

CFBD athlete 5295612

kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
5
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.625
kicking · PTS
31
kicking · XPA
16
kicking · XPM
16
Ernest Campbell · WR

CFBD athlete 5079370

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
62
receiving · YPR
20.7
Fisher Clements · TE

CFBD athlete 5083249

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
8.0
Gage Goldberg · LB

CFBD athlete 5221301

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Gideon Lampron · LB

CFBD athlete 5086986

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
38
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
62
Immanuel Ezeogu · DE

CFBD athlete 5193219

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
8
Isaac Wilson · QB

CFBD athlete 5079771

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
128
passing · COMPLETIONS
77
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.602
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
979
passing · YPA
7.6
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
3.5
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
88
rushing · YPC
2.0
Jah Jah Boyd · DB

CFBD athlete 5123274

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Jaquail Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5301028

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
18.3
rushing · CAR
64
rushing · LONG
35
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
298
rushing · YPC
4.7
Jason Stokes Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5207843

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Joseph Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5189530

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
49
passing · YPA
16.3
receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
46
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
643
receiving · YPR
14.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Julian Lewis · QB

CFBD athlete 5159016

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
95
passing · COMPLETIONS
61
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.642
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
733
passing · YPA
7.7
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
-45
rushing · YPC
-3.0
Justin Eaglin · DB

CFBD athlete 4912337

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kamryn Perry · WR

CFBD athlete 4838549

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
5.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Kaneal Sweetwyne · QB

CFBD athlete 5214655

passing · ATT
17
passing · COMPLETIONS
11
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.647
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
105
passing · YPA
6.2
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
4.6
Kylan Salter · DE

CFBD athlete 4920154

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
kickReturns · AVG
8.0
kickReturns · LONG
8
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
8
Lamont Lester Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5226687

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
10
Liona Lefau · LB

CFBD athlete 4870862

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
51
Makari Vickers · DB

CFBD athlete 4871083

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Micah Welch · RB

CFBD athlete 5079626

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
44
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
55
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
220
rushing · YPC
5.1
Mojo Williams Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5291876

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Naeten Mitchell · DB

CFBD athlete 5078018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
35
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
53
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
20.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Paul Omodia · DB

CFBD athlete 5168714

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Preston Ashley · CB

CFBD athlete 5158952

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Quanell Farrakhan Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5141445

receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
243
receiving · YPR
12.8
Quency Wiggins · DE

CFBD athlete 4702756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Quentin Gibson · WR

CFBD athlete 5239157

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
15.8
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
63
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
90
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
5.5
RJ Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5221291

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Randon Fontenette · DB

CFBD athlete 4922985

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
39
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
62
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Richard Young · RB

CFBD athlete 4871081

rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
49
rushing · YPC
3.1
Samu Taumanupepe · DL

CFBD athlete 4950555

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Santana Hopper · DL

CFBD athlete 4698710

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
11
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
11.0
defensive · TOT
24
Sean Kinney · OL

CFBD athlete 5225820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Titus Bautista · RB

CFBD athlete 5230274

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Toby Anene · DE

CFBD athlete 5087182

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
8
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
23
Tyler Martinez · LB

CFBD athlete 5159147

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
17
Vili Taufatofua · DL

CFBD athlete 5193813

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Yamil Talib · DE

CFBD athlete 5219517

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Zach Atkins · TE

CFBD athlete 5259971

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
9.3

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Colorado -1.5

DraftKings snapshot: Colorado -1.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Colorado by 2.16

0.66 points toward Colorado versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Colorado.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93
  • Net EPA rating difference: -1.77

Reconciles to 2.16 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 5713e4283d2d443fab6369bfb8f5f5f9a8e24ef60ff5140736bd5a3c0e3cf410 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast edd3ec8b50073d17cd7723e6f27251313f207f1948adeb89d2a4d9385fbea14a · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Colorado · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-1.25-1.5-0.25
Model spread-2.16-2.160.0
Model gap+0.91+0.66-0.25

Negative spreads favor Colorado; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 5713e4283d2d443fab6369bfb8f5f5f9a8e24ef60ff5140736bd5a3c0e3cf410. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +0.7 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Colorado win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
54%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Colorado -1.5
Stacked ensemble
42%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Colorado.

  • home elo: -14.57 (path difference 6.28)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +11.85 (path difference 1.77)
  • home adjusted epa: +11.02 (path difference 4.36)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +9.05 (path difference 2.94)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -8.11 (path difference 1.39)
  • away adjusted success: -8.11 (path difference 0.18)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +8.10 (path difference 1.52)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +6.13 (path difference 1.24)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.72 (path difference 1.03)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -4.18 (path difference 2.19)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -3.80 (path difference 0.95)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.72 (path difference 0.69)
  • home talent: +3.02 (path difference 0.76)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.98 (path difference 1.11)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.89 (path difference 1.20)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.82 (path difference 1.41)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +2.71 (path difference 1.02)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -2.69 (path difference 0.81)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.37 (path difference 1.24)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -2.28 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.27 (path difference 0.41)
  • away talent: -2.23 (path difference 1.05)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -2.22 (path difference 3.38)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.15 (path difference 1.58)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.42 (path difference 2.24)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.28 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.26 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.20 (path difference 1.45)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -1.20 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted epa: +1.08 (path difference 1.35)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.07 (path difference 1.22)
  • home adjusted success: -1.01 (path difference 0.12)
  • away conference: -1.00 (path difference 1.33)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.90 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.88 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.84 (path difference 0.16)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.83 (path difference 3.14)
  • home conference: -0.79 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.76 (path difference 0.94)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.62 (path difference 0.13)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.51 (path difference 0.95)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.50 (path difference 0.06)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.42 (path difference 0.03)
  • away elo: -0.39 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.36 (path difference 0.66)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.30 (path difference 1.12)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.24 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.22 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.22 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.17 (path difference 0.13)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.17 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.16 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.63)
  • week: -0.14 (path difference 1.22)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.08 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 41.77 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 1b3163be362049033f7c693b005c46e199f1ab1a2087a4042307e917bab76ebb · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast bef5bf958d38a8e39a2464094b8cad7cab00c799e412c9ad4b7952454f9410a0 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Kansas State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Joe Jackson

CFBD athlete 5078916

Week 6 vs Houston: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.621 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Kansas: 27 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 48.1% success · 0.074 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Arizona State: 9 attempts · 1.9 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.393 raw PPA.

404.5036.4%77 / 4.8
Rodney Fields Jr.

CFBD athlete 5125335

Week 6 vs Houston: 14 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 57.1% success · -0.047 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Kansas: 8 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.612 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Arizona State: 10 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.480 raw PPA.

324.6029.1%81 / 5.2
Avery Johnson

CFBD athlete 4870857

Week 6 vs Houston: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.171 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Kansas: 12 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.808 raw PPA.

218.1319.1%50 / 9.1
Jacob Knuth

CFBD athlete 4736246

Week 8 vs Arizona State: 9 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.125 raw PPA.

92.138.2%12 / 3.7
Joshua Manning

CFBD athlete 4921113

Week 6 vs Houston: 2 attempts · 13.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.984 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Kansas: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.395 raw PPA.

38.702.7%3 / 8.7

Colorado

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 85 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Isaac Wilson

CFBD athlete 5079771

Week 5 vs Texas Tech: 17 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.362 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Utah: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.115 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 14 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.428 raw PPA.

372.2443.5%42 / 1.7
Jaquail Smith

CFBD athlete 5301028

Week 5 vs Texas Tech: 4 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.927 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Utah: 13 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.030 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 13 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.025 raw PPA.

303.8035.3%64 / 4.7
Damian Henderson II

CFBD athlete 4918094

Week 5 vs Texas Tech: 3 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.079 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.177 raw PPA.

54.405.9%29 / 4.6
Richard Young

CFBD athlete 4871081

Week 5 vs Texas Tech: 4 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.404 raw PPA.

41.304.7%16 / 3.1
Dekalon Taylor

CFBD athlete 5096878

Week 5 vs Texas Tech: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.260 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Utah: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.797 raw PPA.

46.004.7%17 / 5.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureColoradoOffenseKansas StateDefenseKansas StateOffenseColoradoDefense
PPA/play
+0.01
12th
+0.07
47th
+0.19
67th
+0.05
58th
Success rate
39.4%
17th
34.9%
88th
47.2%
78th
39.3%
63rd
Explosiveness
1.23
45th
1.44
2nd
1.18
26th
1.25
36th
Standard-down PPA/play
-0.04
14th
-0.01
64th
+0.13
63rd
-0.05
75th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.10
20th
+0.22
41st
+0.35
72nd
+0.26
31st
Havoc allowed / created
17.0%
20th
20.6%
95th
11.9%
87th
20.1%
94th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:00 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:00 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Daniel Gerlach · Colorado · PAAR -2.25 · 1 attempts
  • Luis Rodriguez · Kansas State · PAAR 5.20 · 11 attempts
  • Elliot Arnold · Colorado · PAAR -1.59 · 8 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Colorado spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +3.5 · Snapshot spread: -1.5

First locally observed: +2.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -125 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +120 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +105 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -142 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +3 · Snapshot spread: -1.5

First locally observed: +3 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48 · Snapshot total: 47

Total · First locally observed: 48 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +120 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +120 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -140 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -140 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Colorado

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12

38th FBS percentile

Kansas State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 7 rated weeks · Big 12

46th FBS percentile

Travel

Kansas State travels 465 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 4,285 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Colorado leads 45–22, 1 tie in 68 meetings since 1912.

  • 2025Colorado at Kansas State14–24 · Kansas State
  • 2024Kansas State at Colorado31–28 · Kansas State
  • 2010Kansas State at Colorado36–44 · Colorado
  • 2009Colorado at Kansas State6–20 · Kansas State
  • 2008Kansas State at Colorado13–14 · Colorado
  • 2007Colorado at Kansas State20–47 · Kansas State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.