Week 9 · 2026

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Oklahoma State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Drew Mestemaker QB 3 games	53.9% 55 / 102 plays	45.5% 5 / 11 plays
Caleb Hawkins RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	49.2% 29 / 59 plays
Ayo Adeyi RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 4 / 6 plays
William Mason RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	60.0% 3 / 5 plays
Tre Page III RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Broderick Vehrs QB 1 games	100.0% 2 / 2 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Morgan McPhaul TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ayo Adeyi · RB

CFBD athlete 4875861

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 6.5
rushing · CAR: 30
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 200
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Billy Walton III · DE

CFBD athlete 4921273

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 4

Bobby Deal Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5390455

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
puntReturns · AVG: 18.3
puntReturns · LONG: 21
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 73

Braylin Presley · RB

CFBD athlete 4702729

kickReturns · AVG: 13.5
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 27

Braylon Rigsby · DT

CFBD athlete 5078222

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Broderick Vehrs · QB

CFBD athlete 5291690

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 8
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 61
passing · YPA: 7.6
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Caleb Hawkins · RB

CFBD athlete 5258016

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 66
receiving · REC: 25
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 272
receiving · YPR: 10.9
rushing · CAR: 142
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 712
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Cameron Epps · S

CFBD athlete 4715347

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Carson Kolb · TE

CFBD athlete 5228041

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 8.3

Chris Barnes · WR

CFBD athlete 5148822

kickReturns · AVG: 11.0
kickReturns · LONG: 22
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 22
receiving · LONG: 52
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 179
receiving · YPR: 16.3

Christian Bodnar · S

CFBD athlete 5162401

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Cooper Lai · S

CFBD athlete 5151148

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

DJ Jackson Jr. · DE

CFBD athlete 5295860

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

DeSean Brown · DE

CFBD athlete 4820577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Donovan Green · TE

CFBD athlete 5086240

kickReturns · AVG: 3.0
kickReturns · LONG: 6
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 6
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 17.0

Drew Mestemaker · QB

CFBD athlete 5219834

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 239
passing · COMPLETIONS: 157
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.657
passing · TD: 20
passing · YDS: 2326
passing · YPA: 9.7
rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 75
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 150
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Enai White · DT

CFBD athlete 4685611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ethan Wesloski · LB

CFBD athlete 4912301

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 70

Evan Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 5124996

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Gunnar Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 5148708

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Iman Oates · DT

CFBD athlete 5151161

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Isaiah Chisom · LB

CFBD athlete 5075914

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 34
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -5
rushing · YPC: -5.0

Israel Polk · WR

CFBD athlete 4922992

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Jabarie Thornton · WR

CFBD athlete 5269143

receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0

Jack Puckett · LB

CFBD athlete 5332642

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaleel Johnson · DE

CFBD athlete 4869314

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 16

James Williams · DE

CFBD athlete 5159497

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jerry Lawson · DT

CFBD athlete 5152021

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Justin Bowick · WR

CFBD athlete 5083747

receiving · LONG: 52
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 7
receiving · YDS: 607
receiving · YPR: 17.9

KD Jones · RB

CFBD athlete 5207641

rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 54
rushing · YPC: 7.7

Kam Powell · WR

CFBD athlete 5209748

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 4.7

Keviyan Huddleston · DE

CFBD athlete 5080244

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Kobi Foreman · CB

CFBD athlete 5141455

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Kollin Lewis · CB

CFBD athlete 5092690

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

LaDainian Fields · CB

CFBD athlete 5156853

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 29
interceptions · AVG: 14.8
interceptions · INT: 4
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 59

Lachie Pozzobon · P

CFBD athlete 5303188

punting · In 20: 3
punting · LONG: 47
punting · NO: 12
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 517
punting · YPP: 43.1

Landon Dean · DT

CFBD athlete 4715344

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Luke Webb · DT

CFBD athlete 5151556

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Malik Charles · DE

CFBD athlete 5099451

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 10
interceptions · AVG: 13.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 13

Markeith Williams · S

CFBD athlete 4685588

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Maurion Horn · CB

CFBD athlete 4685380

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 18

Miles Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 5149007

kickReturns · AVG: 13.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 39
puntReturns · AVG: 14.7
puntReturns · LONG: 55
puntReturns · NO: 10
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 147
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 352
receiving · YPR: 16.0

Morgan McPhaul · TE

CFBD athlete 5083966

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Mose Phillips III · S

CFBD athlete 5121895

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 23
interceptions · AVG: 30.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 30

Oscar Hammond · TE

CFBD athlete 5219835

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0

Quinton Hammonds · S

CFBD athlete 5219841

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 49
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Saadiq Clements · DT

CFBD athlete 4918428

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Sam Keltner · PK

CFBD athlete 5219233

kicking · FGA: 18
kicking · FGM: 18
kicking · LONG: 47
kicking · PCT: 1.000
kicking · PTS: 82
kicking · XPA: 28
kicking · XPM: 28

Savion Barthelemy · DT

CFBD athlete 5294660

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Shaun Torgeson · OL

CFBD athlete 5225603

rushing · CAR: 0
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 0

Tate Romney · LB

CFBD athlete 5092199

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6
defensive · TOT: 54

Taurean Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5390452

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Terrence Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 5207931

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 180
receiving · YPR: 11.3

Tre Page III · RB

CFBD athlete 5224505

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 113
rushing · YPC: 5.7

Trip White · LB

CFBD athlete 5081186

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Trudell Berry · CB

CFBD athlete 4833353

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Vincent Holmes · S

CFBD athlete 4988081

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 5

William Mason · RB

CFBD athlete 5390453

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 73
rushing · YPC: 6.6

Wyatt Young · WR

CFBD athlete 5148787

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 6
receiving · YDS: 639
receiving · YPR: 17.8
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 14
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Iowa State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T23:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jaylen Raynor QB 3 games	40.3% 29 / 72 plays	33.3% 6 / 18 plays
Aiden Flora RB 3 games	100.0% 2 / 2 plays	43.1% 22 / 51 plays
Connor Moberly QB 1 games	20.0% 4 / 20 plays	57.1% 4 / 7 plays
Ryver Peppers RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	20.0% 2 / 10 plays
Arnold Barnes RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays
Cameron Pettaway RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 4 plays

Traditional season production · 66 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aiden Flora · RB

CFBD athlete 5219258

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 48
passing · YPA: 24.0
puntReturns · AVG: 17.9
puntReturns · LONG: 66
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 125
receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 80
receiving · YPR: 6.2
rushing · CAR: 102
rushing · LONG: 63
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 716
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Arnold Barnes · RB

CFBD athlete 5110516

rushing · CAR: 27
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 100
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Beau Goodwin · LB

CFBD athlete 5193049

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 7.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Beni Ngoyi · CB

CFBD athlete 4920898

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Blake Hawkins · DE

CFBD athlete 5331611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Bradley Esser · LB

CFBD athlete 5279179

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Brady Hummel · S

CFBD athlete 5311263

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Brody Miller · S

CFBD athlete 5263782

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Bryson Lamb · DT

CFBD athlete 5085122

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Caden Crawford · DE

CFBD athlete 4718462

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Caden Matson · S

CFBD athlete 5093133

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Caleb Francois · RB

CFBD athlete 5265174

rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 2.7

Caleb Schmidt · LS

CFBD athlete 5332954

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cameron Pettaway · RB

CFBD athlete 5194663

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 32.0
kickReturns · LONG: 100
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 224
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 51
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 22
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 52
rushing · YPC: 2.4

Carson Robbins · WR

CFBD athlete 5219255

puntReturns · AVG: 9.0
puntReturns · LONG: 9
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 9
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Carson Willich · LB

CFBD athlete 5081857

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7
defensive · TOT: 46

Carter Pabst · WR

CFBD athlete 5263613

kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 14
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 14
receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 24
receiving · YPR: 24.0

Chet Andrews · DE

CFBD athlete 5081883

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Christian Greenlaw · TE

CFBD athlete 5155426

receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0

Cody Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 4875853

receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 203
receiving · YPR: 18.5

Connor Moberly · QB

CFBD athlete 5140620

passing · ATT: 19
passing · COMPLETIONS: 9
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.474
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 83
passing · YPA: 4.4
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 44
rushing · YPC: 2.4

Connor Welsch · LB

CFBD athlete 5219262

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Damarius Russell · S

CFBD athlete 5263577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

David Coffey · CB

CFBD athlete 5153035

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18

Dominic Overby · WR

CFBD athlete 5192958

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 212
receiving · YPR: 21.2

Donovan Fitzmaurice · DT

CFBD athlete 5263215

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Drew Surges · S

CFBD athlete 5150695

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16

Duhron Goodman · S

CFBD athlete 5085573

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 20

Easton Miller · RB

CFBD athlete 5161735

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 38
receiving · YPR: 9.5
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 2.4

Eddie Lemos · S

CFBD athlete 5081867

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Ethan Gurney · P

CFBD athlete 5327683

punting · In 20: 5
punting · LONG: 50
punting · NO: 8
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 304
punting · YPP: 38.0

Ethan Stecker · LB

CFBD athlete 5222569

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Evan Boyd · WR

CFBD athlete 5056106

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Isaac Terrell · DE

CFBD athlete 5084892

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 12

Jace J. Gilbert · DE

CFBD athlete 5125393

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 10

Jack Janikowski · DE

CFBD athlete 5153062

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Jaheim Singletary · CB

CFBD athlete 4685525

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jamal Polite Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5326123

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 115
receiving · YPR: 14.4

Jareb Ramos · DT

CFBD athlete 5087707

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jaylen Raynor · QB

CFBD athlete 5080403

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 158
passing · COMPLETIONS: 93
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.589
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 1107
passing · YPA: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 55
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 145
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Jonah DuPont · P

CFBD athlete 5296218

punting · In 20: 5
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 27
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 1196
punting · YPP: 44.3

Kaleb Bilal-Jones · DT

CFBD athlete 5306762

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Key'on Washington · CB

CFBD athlete 5174446

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Kyle Konrardy · PK

CFBD athlete 5150706

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 51
kicking · PCT: 0.818
kicking · PTS: 49
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 22

Landon Kalsbeck · LB

CFBD athlete 5289728

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Malaki Ta'ase · DE

CFBD athlete 5220808

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Malcolm Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 4838544

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Matthew McClain · S

CFBD athlete 5291016

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Max Baloun · DT

CFBD athlete 4695426

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Micah Harper · S

CFBD athlete 4431120

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Montreze Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5147044

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Omari Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 4837269

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 2
puntReturns · AVG: 1.0
puntReturns · LONG: 1
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 1
receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 237
receiving · YPR: 12.5
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 7.3

Rylan Barnes · TE

CFBD athlete 5150699

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ryver Peppers · RB

CFBD athlete 5203478

receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 0
receiving · YPR: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 35
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Seth Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 5224370

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 24
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Sullivan Schlimgen · LB

CFBD athlete 5264502

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 37
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5
defensive · TOT: 71
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Toe Sanders · CB

CFBD athlete 5274337

fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Trey Verdon · DE

CFBD athlete 5196985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Trillion Sorrell · CB

CFBD athlete 5263610

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tristan Exline · LB

CFBD athlete 5329095

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Tyler Claiborne · WR

CFBD athlete 5081882

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 124
receiving · YPR: 9.5

Tyler Fortenberry · TE

CFBD athlete 5218664

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 6.4

Tyrone Cotton III · CB

CFBD athlete 5263572

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Vince Benetti · TE

CFBD athlete 5150693

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 104
receiving · YPR: 11.6

Willie Breland III · LB

CFBD athlete 5383006

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 22

Zaimir Hawk · DT

CFBD athlete 5120867

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Iowa State +9.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Oklahoma State -9.5

DraftKings snapshot: Iowa State +9.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Oklahoma State by 4.55

4.95 points toward Iowa State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Iowa State.

Net EPA rating difference: -8.49
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -4.55 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs da9ce299a45c84853ae7ac441508c45010cdc4cb336838ff8071686ef28bfb9f · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 11eeb6b92aa8fa8398986c5808d0fcf4653f2eefa66eece3b602dd352643230d · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Iowa State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	+9.5	+9.5
Model spread	+4.55	+4.55
Model gap	+4.95	+4.95

Negative spreads favor Iowa State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: da9ce299a45c84853ae7ac441508c45010cdc4cb336838ff8071686ef28bfb9f. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Iowa State +9.5

Model gap +5.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Iowa State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Iowa State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 26%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Iowa State +9.5
Stacked ensemble: 38%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Iowa State.

away adjusted success: -16.11 (path difference 3.55)
home adjusted epa: +7.23 (path difference 2.72)
away elo: +6.29 (path difference 2.19)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.19 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted passing epa: -4.96 (path difference 1.49)
away adjusted epa allowed: -3.35 (path difference 1.79)
away adjusted epa: -3.17 (path difference 0.55)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.93 (path difference 3.31)
away adjusted standard down success: +2.93 (path difference 1.95)
home elo: +2.91 (path difference 0.77)
home adjusted success: -2.90 (path difference 0.68)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.74 (path difference 0.09)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.70 (path difference 1.67)
home adjusted second level yards: +2.46 (path difference 0.66)
away talent: -2.42 (path difference 0.47)
home talent: +2.10 (path difference 0.52)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.04 (path difference 1.81)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.93 (path difference 4.76)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.90 (path difference 1.14)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.82 (path difference 1.01)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.77 (path difference 1.74)
away adjusted rushing epa: +1.59 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted epa allowed: -1.46 (path difference 0.30)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.40 (path difference 0.57)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.26 (path difference 0.56)
away adjusted line yards: -1.08 (path difference 2.27)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.96 (path difference 1.36)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.90 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.89 (path difference 0.23)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.83 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted line yards: -0.74 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.72 (path difference 1.32)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.71 (path difference 0.79)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.71 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted success allowed: +0.58 (path difference 1.31)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.55 (path difference 1.68)
home conference: -0.55 (path difference 0.43)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.55 (path difference 1.79)
away conference: -0.55 (path difference 0.42)
away adjusted success allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.11)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.45 (path difference 0.97)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.42 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.33 (path difference 0.66)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.33 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.29 (path difference 1.71)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.29 (path difference 0.32)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.20 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.41)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.09 (path difference 0.08)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.07 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.04 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.04 (path difference 0.41)
week: +0.02 (path difference 0.89)

Reconciles to 37.84 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 498680f934cfff5902bc4628dee9399fdf56a8aacea46764079b5caaab85e68c · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast b4f278b9bb3ce622917cf24bc6034773744a811ca3ff6741c9988fbf2a45d7f9 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Oklahoma State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 92 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Caleb Hawkins CFBD athlete 5258016 Week 6 vs UCF: 23 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 52.2% success · -0.251 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Houston: 17 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 47.1% success · -0.029 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Colorado: 19 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 47.4% success · 0.317 raw PPA.	59	4.6	0	64.1%	142 / 5.0
Drew Mestemaker CFBD athlete 5219834 Week 6 vs UCF: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.522 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Houston: 6 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.367 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Colorado: 8 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.075 raw PPA.	16	2.8	5	17.4%	29 / 5.2
Ayo Adeyi CFBD athlete 4875861 Week 6 vs UCF: 4 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.355 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Houston: 2 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.615 raw PPA.	6	6.8	0	6.5%	30 / 6.7
William Mason CFBD athlete 5390453 Week 8 vs Colorado: 5 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.571 raw PPA.	5	5.0	0	5.4%	10 / 7.1
Tre Page III CFBD athlete 5224505 Week 8 vs Colorado: 4 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.446 raw PPA.	4	7.5	0	4.3%	19 / 5.8

Iowa State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Aiden Flora CFBD athlete 5219258 Week 5 vs West Virginia: 22 attempts · 9.6 YPC · 63.6% success · 0.664 raw PPA. Week 6 vs BYU: 17 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 35.3% success · -0.068 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arizona: 12 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.311 raw PPA.	51	6.5	0	49.0%	102 / 7.0
Jaylen Raynor CFBD athlete 5080403 Week 5 vs West Virginia: 11 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.095 raw PPA. Week 6 vs BYU: 9 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.118 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arizona: 4 attempts · -5.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.149 raw PPA.	24	0.3	6	23.1%	54 / 2.7
Connor Moberly CFBD athlete 5140620 Week 8 vs Arizona: 10 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.541 raw PPA.	10	2.0	3	9.6%	18 / 2.4
Ryver Peppers CFBD athlete 5203478 Week 5 vs West Virginia: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.147 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arizona: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.382 raw PPA.	10	3.5	0	9.6%	10 / 3.5
Arnold Barnes CFBD athlete 5110516 Week 5 vs West Virginia: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.190 raw PPA. Week 6 vs BYU: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.277 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arizona: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.104 raw PPA.	5	2.8	0	4.8%	26 / 3.8

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Iowa StateOffense	Oklahoma StateDefense	Oklahoma StateOffense	Iowa StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.08 30th	+0.07 47th	+0.22 77th	+0.11 36th
Success rate	38.1% 13th	41.4% 44th	50.1% 94th	41.6% 42nd
Explosiveness	1.27 68th	1.23 48th	1.17 22nd	1.26 35th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.03 28th	+0.05 44th	+0.22 87th	+0.10 26th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.18 31st	+0.14 64th	+0.25 53rd	+0.14 62nd
Havoc allowed / created	17.4% 16th	15.7% 50th	11.3% 91st	15.1% 39th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:33 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:33 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Kyle Konrardy · Iowa State · PAAR 3.51 · 10 attempts
Sam Keltner · Oklahoma State · PAAR 9.93 · 19 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Iowa State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +9.5 · Snapshot spread: +9.5

First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence