Week 10 · 2026

Cincinnati at Houston

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Cincinnati

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
JC French QB 3 games	46.9% 45 / 96 plays	39.1% 9 / 23 plays
Cole Tabb RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.3% 23 / 44 plays
Gi'Bran Payne RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.7% 7 / 15 plays
Zylan Perry RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 7 / 14 plays
Malachi Henry WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Isaiah Johnson WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Antwan Peek Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5091774

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 62
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Brian Simms III · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4950554

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

CJ Crite · S

CFBD athlete 5214495

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

CJ Jones · S

CFBD athlete 5296156

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Cade Wolford · WR

CFBD athlete 5193274

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 7.2
puntReturns · LONG: 12
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 43
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 4.5

Cameron Roetherford · DL

CFBD athlete 5084332

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Chidera Otutu · DL

CFBD athlete 5149057

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Cole Tabb · RB

CFBD athlete 5107875

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 155
receiving · YPR: 9.1
rushing · CAR: 79
rushing · LONG: 58
rushing · TD: 10
rushing · YDS: 752
rushing · YPC: 9.5

D'Angelo Hutchinson · S

CFBD athlete 4812358

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Damaine Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 5147692

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 41

Daniel James · CB

CFBD athlete 5079527

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Devyn Zahursky · TE

CFBD athlete 5146995

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Drew Logan · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4833027

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Elijah Gunn · DL

CFBD athlete 5154786

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Elijah Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5079474

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Evan Weinberg · LB

CFBD athlete 5290985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Filip Maciorowski · LB

CFBD athlete 5151511

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Gavin Grover · TE

CFBD athlete 5079429

kickReturns · AVG: 6.5
kickReturns · LONG: 11
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 13
receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 110
receiving · YPR: 10.0

George Leibold · LB

CFBD athlete 5219187

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Gi'Bran Payne · RB

CFBD athlete 4685509

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 78
rushing · LONG: 53
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 485
rushing · YPC: 6.2

Giyahni Kontosis · WR

CFBD athlete 5296155

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 7.8

Isaiah Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5225509

receiving · LONG: 51
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 259
receiving · YPR: 9.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

JC French · QB

CFBD athlete 4685345

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 213
passing · COMPLETIONS: 143
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.671
passing · TD: 13
passing · YDS: 1773
passing · YPA: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 82
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 289
rushing · YPC: 3.5

JaVonnie Gibson · WR

CFBD athlete 5229489

receiving · LONG: 64
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 461
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Jacob Finley · CB

CFBD athlete 4912182

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 45
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 79.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 79

Jamari Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5222664

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

James Lewis · RB

CFBD athlete 5381523

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Jasper Beeler · S

CFBD athlete 5296144

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 58

Jaylon White-McClain · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5082428

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Jayzon Thompson · RB

CFBD athlete 5161913

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Jonathan Rulo · DL

CFBD athlete 5281460

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Jonathan Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 4880275

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 60

Josh Hough · DL

CFBD athlete 4612214

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 15

KK Meier · CB

CFBD athlete 5084961

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Ka'Maurri Smith · TE

CFBD athlete 5222568

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 27
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Keegan Horn · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5315798

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Kellen Davis · TE

CFBD athlete 5296159

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Kenny Worthy III · CB

CFBD athlete 5170076

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Larenzo Fenner · WR

CFBD athlete 5155062

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 185
receiving · YPR: 13.2

Liam O'Brien · QB

CFBD athlete 5084404

passing · ATT: 5
passing · COMPLETIONS: 5
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 18
passing · YPA: 3.6
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Lyviel Waters · TE

CFBD athlete 5219190

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 6.7

Malachi Henry · WR

CFBD athlete 5152045

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 8
passing · YPA: 8.0
puntReturns · AVG: 11.3
puntReturns · LONG: 36
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 34
receiving · LONG: 69
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 334
receiving · YPR: 33.4
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 0.5

Mark Cannon Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5087223

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 42
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Markell Taylor · S

CFBD athlete 5267063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Marqavious Saboor · LB

CFBD athlete 5147238

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 16
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Marquaze Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 5149912

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18

Max Fletcher · P

CFBD athlete 4899342

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 70
punting · NO: 27
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1236
punting · YPP: 45.8
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Max Lemasters · PK

CFBD athlete 5219191

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 0
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 0

Montay Weedon · LB

CFBD athlete 5135203

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 7

Nathan Nunn · DL

CFBD athlete 5219186

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Patrick Bauer · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5168724

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Patrick Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5193833

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Samaj Jones · QB

CFBD athlete 5089327

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 9
passing · YPA: 4.5
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 60
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Simeon Coleman · LB

CFBD athlete 5101127

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 54

Stephen Rusnak · PK

CFBD athlete 4880207

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 54
kicking · PCT: 0.667
kicking · PTS: 51
kicking · XPA: 33
kicking · XPM: 33

Thomas Johnson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5102177

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Zay Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 5219179

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Zion Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5141488

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 15
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 49
rushing · YPC: 3.3

Zylan Perry · RB

CFBD athlete 4917310

kickReturns · AVG: 20.4
kickReturns · LONG: 32
kickReturns · NO: 9
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 184
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 168
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Houston

Window: 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Conner Weigman QB 3 games	50.5% 52 / 103 plays	47.4% 9 / 19 plays
Makhi Hughes RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.1% 24 / 51 plays
Re'Shaun Sanford II RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.5% 11 / 31 plays
Koby Young WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Patrick Overmyer TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
DJ Butler RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Amare Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5077060

kickReturns · AVG: 16.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 56
receiving · REC: 41
receiving · TD: 6
receiving · YDS: 620
receiving · YPR: 15.1

Anthony Boswell · OL

CFBD athlete 5219097

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ashton Porter · DL

CFBD athlete 4870898

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Braeden Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5381557

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Brandon Mack · LB

CFBD athlete 4567252

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8
defensive · TOT: 25

C.J. Douglas · DB

CFBD athlete 5156173

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Carmycah Glass · LB

CFBD athlete 4917203

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 28

Chance Bryant · DL

CFBD athlete 5207794

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Christian Brathwaite · LB

CFBD athlete 4870637

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Conner Weigman · QB

CFBD athlete 4685574

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 233
passing · COMPLETIONS: 153
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.657
passing · TD: 20
passing · YDS: 2052
passing · YPA: 8.8
rushing · CAR: 67
rushing · LONG: 44
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 249
rushing · YPC: 3.7

DJ Butler · RB

CFBD athlete 5149563

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 22.0
kickReturns · LONG: 31
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 110
receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 86
rushing · YPC: 7.8

DK Mays · DL

CFBD athlete 5214509

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Darius Washington · DL

CFBD athlete 5192915

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

De'Marion Thomas · DL

CFBD athlete 4918458

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Ejiroghene Egodogbare · DL

CFBD athlete 5102038

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 3

J.D. Rhym · DB

CFBD athlete 4685524

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Jaden Yates · LB

CFBD athlete 5092546

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 29

Jalen Mayo · DB

CFBD athlete 5232344

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 29
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaquise Martin · WR

CFBD athlete 5220975

puntReturns · AVG: 8.0
puntReturns · LONG: 8
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 8
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Javen Holmes · DB

CFBD athlete 5274335

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Javion White · DB

CFBD athlete 5148848

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 39

Jayshon Ridgle · RB

CFBD athlete 5155872

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

John Hebert · RB

CFBD athlete 5292032

kickReturns · AVG: 25.0
kickReturns · LONG: 38
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 100
receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 20
receiving · YPR: 20.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 65
rushing · YPC: 13.0

Johnsley Barbas · DB

CFBD athlete 4870597

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jonathan Dimas · PK

CFBD athlete 5192408

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 47
kicking · PCT: 0.889
kicking · PTS: 60
kicking · XPA: 37
kicking · XPM: 36

Jordan Allen · DB

CFBD athlete 4873636

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 26
interceptions · AVG: 3.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Kaleb Thomas · TE

CFBD athlete 5148827

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 4.0

Keany Parks · DB

CFBD athlete 5092279

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Keisean Henderson · QB

CFBD athlete 5159035

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 6
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.750
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 83
passing · YPA: 10.4
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 54
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 54
rushing · YPC: 54.0

Kentrell Webb · DB

CFBD athlete 4833590

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 37
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 46
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Khalil Laufau · DL

CFBD athlete 5118341

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 27
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Koby Young · WR

CFBD athlete 5146728

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 347
receiving · YPR: 19.3
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 85
rushing · YPC: 14.2

Latreveon McCutchin · LB

CFBD athlete 5076083

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 7
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 8.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 16

Liam Dougherty · P

CFBD athlete 5197155

punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 74
punting · NO: 20
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 937
punting · YPP: 46.9

Luke Carney · QB

CFBD athlete 5208138

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Luke Mcgary · TE

CFBD athlete 5125734

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 90
receiving · YPR: 12.9

Makhi Hughes · RB

CFBD athlete 4816098

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 78
receiving · YPR: 8.7
rushing · CAR: 117
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 517
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Miller Malone · LB

CFBD athlete 5194656

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Myles Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 5153781

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Myles Rowser · DB

CFBD athlete 4685534

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Nehemiah Warmate · RB

CFBD athlete 5296225

rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 41
rushing · YPC: 8.2

Paris Melvin Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5207866

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Patrick Overmyer · TE

CFBD athlete 5120299

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 39
receiving · TD: 7
receiving · YDS: 431
receiving · YPR: 11.1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Quindario Lee · DL

CFBD athlete 4875686

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Re'Shaun Sanford II · RB

CFBD athlete 5078223

receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 149
receiving · YPR: 12.4
rushing · CAR: 87
rushing · LONG: 56
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 447
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Richmond Ugochukwu · LB

CFBD athlete 5212242

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Sione Fotu · LB

CFBD athlete 4429771

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 24
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Traville Frederick Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5136180

receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Travis Buhake · DL

CFBD athlete 5210557

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Trent Walker · WR

CFBD athlete 4879567

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 10.3
puntReturns · LONG: 33
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 72
receiving · LONG: 43
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 382
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Tristan Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 5217450

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tyson Turner · WR

CFBD athlete 5147344

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Weston Edwards · LS

CFBD athlete 5218247

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Will James · DB

CFBD athlete 4966464

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 28
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Zane Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5296226

rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 69
rushing · YPC: 6.9

Zaylen Cormier · DB

CFBD athlete 5207940

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Houston -10.75

DraftKings snapshot: Houston -10.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Houston by 8.90

1.85 points toward Cincinnati versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Houston.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: +4.90
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 8.90 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs d61966b8af2a469985c7e3c86a4f101658195569e01f7c5c9e3974936d926b3b · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 5a95d63fe7dec492d7d5465de80f487c618471061229272a30d1e0104a7592ea · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Houston · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-10.5	-10.75	-0.25
Model spread	-8.9	-8.9	0.0
Model gap	-1.6	-1.85	-0.25

Negative spreads favor Houston; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: d61966b8af2a469985c7e3c86a4f101658195569e01f7c5c9e3974936d926b3b. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.9 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Houston win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 78%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Houston -11
Stacked ensemble: 81%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Houston.

home adjusted success: +13.38 (path difference 3.92)
away adjusted success: -7.32 (path difference 2.34)
home elo: +6.19 (path difference 5.93)
home adjusted passing epa: +5.87 (path difference 6.83)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.19 (path difference 4.50)
away elo: +3.05 (path difference 3.53)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.92 (path difference 3.80)
away adjusted rushing epa: +2.86 (path difference 3.18)
home adjusted second level yards: +2.81 (path difference 2.33)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.75 (path difference 3.92)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.66 (path difference 0.16)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.35 (path difference 1.02)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.26 (path difference 1.88)
home adjusted line yards: +2.19 (path difference 1.13)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.97 (path difference 0.72)
home talent: +1.87 (path difference 1.44)
away adjusted success allowed: +1.85 (path difference 0.33)
away adjusted second level yards: -1.83 (path difference 2.19)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.64 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted success allowed: +1.57 (path difference 0.72)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.39 (path difference 1.64)
away talent: -1.34 (path difference 0.61)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.34 (path difference 0.84)
away adjusted epa: -1.22 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.22 (path difference 1.14)
away adjusted open field yards: +1.09 (path difference 0.82)
away adjusted standard down success: +1.07 (path difference 1.14)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.98 (path difference 0.83)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.97 (path difference 2.12)
week: -0.93 (path difference 0.77)
away adjusted line yards: -0.89 (path difference 0.85)
home adjusted explosiveness: -0.84 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.79 (path difference 0.73)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.76 (path difference 1.36)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.72 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.68 (path difference 0.11)
home adjusted rushing epa: -0.60 (path difference 0.28)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.59 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted epa: -0.46 (path difference 1.00)
away adjusted epa allowed: -0.45 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.39 (path difference 0.04)
away conference: -0.33 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.33 (path difference 0.16)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.32 (path difference 0.38)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.07)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.17 (path difference 0.40)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.14 (path difference 0.26)
home adjusted epa allowed: -0.11 (path difference 0.05)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.09 (path difference 0.24)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.09 (path difference 0.36)
home conference: -0.05 (path difference 0.57)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.39)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 80.51 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs c5957f392fbf2fbfd721d4c8fc240c4dd64bf0f27432800182d4b6bbcd0a0be3 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 554b71807f861ac61f8efdb5edd4cc932f25136c8987d511d98ccc6559759763 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Cincinnati

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 107 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Cole Tabb CFBD athlete 5107875 Week 7 vs West Virginia: 14 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.203 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 16 attempts · 10.8 YPC · 56.3% success · 0.590 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Utah: 14 attempts · 9.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.535 raw PPA.	44	9.0	0	41.1%	77 / 9.4
JC French CFBD athlete 4685345 Week 7 vs West Virginia: 13 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.015 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 11 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.398 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Utah: 7 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.161 raw PPA.	31	3.0	8	29.0%	78 / 3.6
Gi'Bran Payne CFBD athlete 4685509 Week 7 vs West Virginia: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.388 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Utah: 8 attempts · 9.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.417 raw PPA.	15	6.7	0	14.0%	75 / 6.5
Zylan Perry CFBD athlete 4917310 Week 7 vs West Virginia: 5 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.441 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 9 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.337 raw PPA.	14	5.1	0	13.1%	26 / 6.5
Malachi Henry CFBD athlete 5152045 Week 8 vs Texas Tech: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.127 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Utah: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.943 raw PPA.	2	0.5	0	1.9%	2 / 0.5

Houston

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Makhi Hughes CFBD athlete 4816098 Week 6 vs Kansas State: 14 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.155 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma State: 18 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.067 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Utah: 19 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 42.1% success · -0.021 raw PPA.	51	4.1	0	46.4%	117 / 4.4
Re'Shaun Sanford II CFBD athlete 5078223 Week 6 vs Kansas State: 20 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 35.0% success · -0.058 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma State: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.058 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Utah: 3 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.402 raw PPA.	31	3.8	0	28.2%	85 / 5.0
Conner Weigman CFBD athlete 4685574 Week 6 vs Kansas State: 5 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.418 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oklahoma State: 11 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.502 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Utah: 8 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.297 raw PPA.	24	3.8	5	21.8%	66 / 3.7
Koby Young CFBD athlete 5146728 Week 6 vs Kansas State: 1 attempts · 40.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.139 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Utah: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.682 raw PPA.	2	23.5	0	1.8%	6 / 14.2
Patrick Overmyer CFBD athlete 5120299 Week 6 vs Kansas State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.241 raw PPA.	1	1.0	0	0.9%	1 / 1.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	HoustonOffense	CincinnatiDefense	CincinnatiOffense	HoustonDefense
PPA/play	+0.32 96th	+0.15 23rd	+0.25 89th	+0.15 21st
Success rate	53.0% 100th	44.4% 18th	46.3% 74th	42.6% 31st
Explosiveness	1.12 9th	1.22 53rd	1.40 98th	1.28 26th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.25 93rd	+0.06 36th	+0.20 86th	+0.10 27th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.56 98th	+0.34 15th	+0.37 78th	+0.26 30th
Havoc allowed / created	10.5% 94th	16.4% 60th	12.2% 89th	19.0% 87th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:26 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:26 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Stephen Rusnak · Cincinnati · PAAR 2.47 · 9 attempts
Jonathan Dimas · Houston · PAAR 3.42 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Houston spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -10.5 · Snapshot spread: -10.5

First locally observed: -11.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence