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Week 10 · 2026

Colorado at Arizona State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Colorado

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Isaac Wilson QB
3 games
40.2%
33 / 82 plays
28.6%
6 / 21 plays
Jaquail Smith RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
41.2%
14 / 34 plays
Richard Young RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.8%
11 / 24 plays
Kaneal Sweetwyne QB
1 games
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Damian Henderson II RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
2 / 5 plays
Dekalon Taylor RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Micah Welch RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex Ward · WR

CFBD athlete 5280400

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-1
receiving · YPR
-1.0
Andre Roye Jr. · OL

CFBD athlete 4685714

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ben Finneseth · DB

CFBD athlete 4901008

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
Bo Hughley · OL

CFBD athlete 4870749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Boo Carter · DB

CFBD athlete 5079381

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
30
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
1
puntReturns · AVG
2.6
puntReturns · LONG
8
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
13
Bryce Hicks · RB

CFBD athlete 5224715

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-2.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Carson Crawford · LB

CFBD athlete 5276171

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Charlie Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 5122077

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
81
receiving · YPR
13.5
Chauncey Gooden · OL

CFBD athlete 5141477

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Corbin Laisure · TE

CFBD athlete 5210723

kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Cree Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5148610

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Damian Henderson II · RB

CFBD athlete 4918094

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
20
receiving · YPR
20.0
rushing · CAR
32
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
147
rushing · YPC
4.6
Damon Greaves · P

CFBD athlete 5125820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
15
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
40
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1819
punting · YPP
45.5
Daniel Gerlach · P

CFBD athlete 5221297

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
2
kicking · XPM
2
Danny Scudero · WR

CFBD athlete 5152815

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
4.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
14
rushing · YPC
7.0
DeAndre Moore Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4870860

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
3.5
puntReturns · LONG
6
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
7
receiving · LONG
66
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
478
receiving · YPR
15.4
Dekalon Taylor · RB

CFBD athlete 5096878

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
18.1
kickReturns · LONG
32
kickReturns · NO
7
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
127
puntReturns · AVG
5.8
puntReturns · LONG
15
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
35
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
110
receiving · YPR
8.5
rushing · CAR
18
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
115
rushing · YPC
6.4
Dylan Manuel · DL

CFBD athlete 5224360

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Elliot Arnold · PK

CFBD athlete 5295612

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
5
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.625
kicking · PTS
34
kicking · XPA
19
kicking · XPM
19
Ernest Campbell · WR

CFBD athlete 5079370

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
77
receiving · YPR
15.4
Fisher Clements · TE

CFBD athlete 5083249

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
8.0
Gage Goldberg · LB

CFBD athlete 5221301

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Gideon Lampron · LB

CFBD athlete 5086986

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
46
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
11.5
defensive · TOT
77
Immanuel Ezeogu · DE

CFBD athlete 5193219

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
15
Isaac Wilson · QB

CFBD athlete 5079771

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
149
passing · COMPLETIONS
91
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.611
passing · TD
7
passing · YDS
1164
passing · YPA
7.8
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
3.5
rushing · CAR
49
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
84
rushing · YPC
1.7
Jah Jah Boyd · DB

CFBD athlete 5123274

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Jaquail Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5301028

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
18.3
rushing · CAR
72
rushing · LONG
47
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
361
rushing · YPC
5.0
Jason Stokes Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5207843

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Joseph Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5189530

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
49
passing · YPA
16.3
receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
51
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
732
receiving · YPR
14.4
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Julian Lewis · QB

CFBD athlete 5159016

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
95
passing · COMPLETIONS
61
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.642
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
733
passing · YPA
7.7
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
-45
rushing · YPC
-3.0
Justin Eaglin · DB

CFBD athlete 4912337

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kaleb Mathis · WR

CFBD athlete 5157068

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kamryn Perry · WR

CFBD athlete 4838549

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
5.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Kaneal Sweetwyne · QB

CFBD athlete 5214655

passing · ATT
17
passing · COMPLETIONS
11
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.647
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
105
passing · YPA
6.2
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
4.6
Kylan Salter · DE

CFBD athlete 4920154

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
kickReturns · AVG
8.0
kickReturns · LONG
8
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
8
Lamont Lester Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5226687

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
10
Liona Lefau · LB

CFBD athlete 4870862

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
56
Makari Vickers · DB

CFBD athlete 4871083

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Micah Welch · RB

CFBD athlete 5079626

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
44
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
55
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
220
rushing · YPC
5.1
Mojo Williams Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5291876

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Naeten Mitchell · DB

CFBD athlete 5078018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
38
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
60
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
20.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Paul Omodia · DB

CFBD athlete 5168714

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Preston Ashley · CB

CFBD athlete 5158952

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Quanell Farrakhan Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5141445

receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
249
receiving · YPR
12.5
Quency Wiggins · DE

CFBD athlete 4702756

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Quentin Gibson · WR

CFBD athlete 5239157

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
15.8
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
63
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
90
receiving · YPR
9.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
5.5
RJ Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5221291

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Randon Fontenette · DB

CFBD athlete 4922985

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
43
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
69
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Richard Young · RB

CFBD athlete 4871081

rushing · CAR
40
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
169
rushing · YPC
4.2
Samu Taumanupepe · DL

CFBD athlete 4950555

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Santana Hopper · DL

CFBD athlete 4698710

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
11
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
11.0
defensive · TOT
24
Sean Kinney · OL

CFBD athlete 5225820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Titus Bautista · RB

CFBD athlete 5230274

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Toby Anene · DE

CFBD athlete 5087182

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
9
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
25
Tyler Martinez · LB

CFBD athlete 5159147

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
17
Vili Taufatofua · DL

CFBD athlete 5193813

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Yamil Talib · DE

CFBD athlete 5219517

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
16
Zach Atkins · TE

CFBD athlete 5259971

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
9.3

Arizona State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Mikey Keene QB
2 games
47.5%
28 / 59 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Jake Fette QB
2 games
35.2%
19 / 54 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Cardae Mack RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
42.9%
24 / 56 plays
Cutter Boley QB
2 games
31.6%
6 / 19 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Marquis Gillis RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
18.2%
2 / 11 plays
Kyson Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
75.0%
6 / 8 plays
Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Ia · TE

CFBD athlete 5141480

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
47
receiving · YPR
6.7
Adrian Wilson · S

CFBD athlete 5027539

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
37
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Albert Smith III · DE

CFBD athlete 5145591

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Anthony Miller Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5110569

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
2.5
Ashton Stamps · DB

CFBD athlete 5078918

defensive · PD
9
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
28
Ben Alefaio-Lilii · S

CFBD athlete 5296140

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Blazen Lono-Wong · DL

CFBD athlete 4917171

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
15
C.J. Fite · DL

CFBD athlete 4923268

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
18
Caleb Chester · DB

CFBD athlete 5141410

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Cardae Mack · RB

CFBD athlete 5209382

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
106
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
78
rushing · LONG
67
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
523
rushing · YPC
6.7
Carson Smith · PK

CFBD athlete 4872845

kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.917
kicking · PTS
58
kicking · XPA
25
kicking · XPM
25
Carston Kieffer · PK

CFBD athlete 5159821

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
2
kicking · XPM
2
Clayton Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 4432765

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Cory Butler Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5164354

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-0.7
puntReturns · LONG
7
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-2
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
48
receiving · YPR
8.0
Cutter Boley · QB

CFBD athlete 5141378

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
173
passing · COMPLETIONS
105
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.607
passing · TD
13
passing · YDS
1360
passing · YPA
7.9
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
42
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
66
rushing · YPC
1.6
Daeshon Morgan · DL

CFBD athlete 5218026

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Daquwan Dunn · DB

CFBD athlete 5282578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
David Avit · RB

CFBD athlete 5226949

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
7.5
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
4.2
Demarius Robinson · RB

CFBD athlete 5216317

rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
27
rushing · YPC
6.8
Derek Eusebio · WR

CFBD athlete 5159831

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
160
receiving · YPR
10.0
Emar'Rion Winston · DL

CFBD athlete 4685626

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Grayson Curtis · LS

CFBD athlete 5086236

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Grayson Rigdon · RB

CFBD athlete 5257046

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
34
receiving · LONG
56
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
110
receiving · YPR
55.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
3.7
Hyrum Vaeono · DL

CFBD athlete 5331412

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Isaiah Iosefa · LB

CFBD athlete 5167179

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jake Fette · QB

CFBD athlete 5209295

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
50
passing · COMPLETIONS
26
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.520
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
224
passing · YPA
4.5
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-31
rushing · YPC
-2.1
Jalen Moss · WR

CFBD athlete 4804883

kickReturns · AVG
9.0
kickReturns · LONG
9
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
9
puntReturns · AVG
11.3
puntReturns · LONG
21
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
79
receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
72
receiving · YPR
14.4
Jalen Thompson · DL

CFBD athlete 4870992

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
21
James Giggey · TE

CFBD athlete 5147330

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Jaren Hamilton · WR

CFBD athlete 5104212

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
26.2
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
10
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
262
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
3.5
Jason Brown Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079348

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
7.1
Jessiah Mcgrew · DB

CFBD athlete 5264247

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
35
Joshua Shanklin · DL

CFBD athlete 5296139

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Julian Hugo · DL

CFBD athlete 5207782

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
7
Khamari Anderson · TE

CFBD athlete 4917619

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
21.0
Kyan McDonald · DB

CFBD athlete 5127743

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
23.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
23
Kyson Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5110535

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
6
passing · YPA
6.0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
51
receiving · YPR
3.9
rushing · CAR
63
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
343
rushing · YPC
5.4
Lyrik Rawls · DB

CFBD athlete 4602193

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Marquis Gillis · RB

CFBD athlete 4900771

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
31
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
145
rushing · YPC
4.7
Martell Hughes · LB

CFBD athlete 5147229

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
62
Mikey Keene · QB

CFBD athlete 4597499

passing · ATT
61
passing · COMPLETIONS
39
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.639
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
448
passing · YPA
7.3
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-48
rushing · YPC
-8.0
Montana Warren · DB

CFBD athlete 5077117

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
42
interceptions · AVG
14.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
14
Nick McLarty · P

CFBD athlete 5219054

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
53
punting · NO
36
punting · TB
3
punting · YDS
1534
punting · YPP
42.6
Omarion Miller · WR

CFBD athlete 4870850

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
41
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
427
receiving · YPR
10.4
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Owen Long · LB

CFBD athlete 5219133

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
39
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
72
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Prayer Young-Blackgoat · LB

CFBD athlete 5219152

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Raiden Vines-Bright · WR

CFBD athlete 5164362

receiving · LONG
74
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
127
receiving · YPR
14.1
Ramar Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5147693

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
6
Reed Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5031157

receiving · LONG
58
receiving · REC
48
receiving · TD
8
receiving · YDS
804
receiving · YPR
16.8
Rodney Bimage Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5079305

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
26
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Roman Pitre · DL

CFBD athlete 4869551

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Salesi Manu · DL

CFBD athlete 5146892

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tristan Bacon · LB

CFBD athlete 5258266

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Zac Swanson · DL

CFBD athlete 4686332

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
Zeth Thues · DB

CFBD athlete 5252195

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Arizona State -3.5

DraftKings snapshot: Arizona State -3.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Arizona State by 1.71

1.79 points toward Colorado versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Arizona State.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: -2.29
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 1.71 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs cb77dbacf27ad136f38dc323cd1b5bca22c9aa488aa56dda274d779998f355fb · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 0412bf1bcdc1e1d78943b610d2591ccc6e0b16dc5c42fcee31bdbb1f027250b9 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Arizona State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-3.0-3.5-0.5
Model spread-1.71-1.710.0
Model gap-1.29-1.79-0.5

Negative spreads favor Arizona State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: cb77dbacf27ad136f38dc323cd1b5bca22c9aa488aa56dda274d779998f355fb. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.8 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Arizona State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
59%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Arizona State -3.5
Stacked ensemble
67%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Arizona State.

  • away elo: +16.56 (path difference 7.64)
  • home adjusted epa: +11.73 (path difference 1.88)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -8.25 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.80 (path difference 5.40)
  • away adjusted epa: +7.36 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.09 (path difference 1.66)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +6.62 (path difference 0.74)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -5.70 (path difference 3.35)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.64 (path difference 1.21)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.12 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.38 (path difference 0.95)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -3.76 (path difference 0.64)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.68 (path difference 1.42)
  • away talent: -3.53 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -3.52 (path difference 0.75)
  • home talent: +3.42 (path difference 0.78)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.92 (path difference 0.23)
  • home elo: -2.73 (path difference 1.32)
  • away adjusted success: -2.71 (path difference 0.92)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.63 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.36 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.89 (path difference 0.11)
  • home adjusted success: +1.72 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.61 (path difference 0.89)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.54 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.42 (path difference 0.17)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.29 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.28 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.27 (path difference 1.61)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.22 (path difference 1.13)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.18 (path difference 0.63)
  • week: -1.17 (path difference 0.29)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.02 (path difference 0.94)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.92 (path difference 1.70)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.92 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.90 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.84 (path difference 0.82)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.62 (path difference 1.70)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.57 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: -0.56 (path difference 0.63)
  • home conference: -0.49 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.37)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.46 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +0.30 (path difference 0.45)
  • away conference: -0.29 (path difference 0.09)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.28 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.21 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.12)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.17 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.10 (path difference 2.52)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.09 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted line yards: -0.08 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.02 (path difference 1.69)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.02 (path difference 0.38)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 66.73 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs fcc144b6d7d999585f0f70d39db66440c708887e42b51be3b360bc56c3f3360e · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 500d85921ac8743856f4a99824b92a300f48442155c7558afd50e00e37311093 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Colorado

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 94 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Jaquail Smith

CFBD athlete 5301028

Week 7 vs Utah: 13 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.030 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 13 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.025 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kansas State: 8 attempts · 7.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.259 raw PPA.

345.1036.2%72 / 5.0
Isaac Wilson

CFBD athlete 5079771

Week 7 vs Utah: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.115 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 14 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.428 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kansas State: 6 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.265 raw PPA.

261.4527.7%48 / 1.4
Richard Young

CFBD athlete 4871081

Week 9 vs Kansas State: 24 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 45.8% success · 0.130 raw PPA.

245.0025.5%40 / 4.2
Damian Henderson II

CFBD athlete 4918094

Week 8 vs Oklahoma State: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.177 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Kansas State: 3 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.019 raw PPA.

53.405.3%32 / 4.6
Dekalon Taylor

CFBD athlete 5096878

Week 7 vs Utah: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.797 raw PPA.

37.303.2%17 / 5.0

Arizona State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Cardae Mack

CFBD athlete 5209382

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 7 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.021 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 26 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 38.5% success · 0.348 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs BYU: 23 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 52.2% success · 0.325 raw PPA.

565.5056.6%78 / 6.7
Marquis Gillis

CFBD athlete 4900771

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.156 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.040 raw PPA.

113.7011.1%31 / 4.7
Jake Fette

CFBD athlete 5209295

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 2 attempts · -6.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.310 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs BYU: 8 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.672 raw PPA.

10-2.0610.1%14 / -1.5
Kyson Brown

CFBD athlete 5110535

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 5 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.495 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.199 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs BYU: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.162 raw PPA.

86.608.1%63 / 5.4
Cutter Boley

CFBD athlete 5141378

Week 7 vs Texas Tech: 4 attempts · -4.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.374 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Kansas State: 4 attempts · -0.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.271 raw PPA.

8-2.448.1%41 / 1.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureArizona StateOffenseColoradoDefenseColoradoOffenseArizona StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.05
22nd
+0.07
53rd
+0.05
23rd
+0.06
58th
Success rate
42.3%
50th
40.0%
58th
39.5%
22nd
39.2%
66th
Explosiveness
1.22
43rd
1.22
51st
1.26
61st
1.21
56th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.01
26th
-0.02
67th
-0.03
13th
+0.08
31st
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.12
22nd
+0.25
33rd
+0.20
39th
+0.02
88th
Havoc allowed / created
18.4%
7th
20.2%
94th
16.3%
30th
17.2%
71st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:46 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:46 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Carson Smith · Arizona State · PAAR 6.18 · 12 attempts
  • Daniel Gerlach · Colorado · PAAR -2.25 · 1 attempts
  • Elliot Arnold · Colorado · PAAR -1.59 · 8 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Arizona State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -4 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -162 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -175 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +136 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +145 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -4 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -4 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49 · Snapshot total: 48.5

Total · First locally observed: 49 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -183 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -183 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +158 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +158 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Arizona State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12

33rd FBS percentile

Colorado

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 9 rated weeks · Big 12

46th FBS percentile

Travel

Colorado travels 585 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · down 4,179 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Arizona State leads 11–4 in 15 meetings since 2006.

  • 2025Arizona State at Colorado42–17 · Arizona State
  • 2023Colorado at Arizona State27–24 · Colorado
  • 2022Arizona State at Colorado42–34 · Arizona State
  • 2021Colorado at Arizona State13–35 · Arizona State
  • 2019Colorado at Arizona State34–31 · Colorado
  • 2018Arizona State at Colorado21–28 · Colorado

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.