Week 10 · 2026

TCU at Arizona

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

TCU

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T03:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jaden Craig QB 3 games	41.7% 50 / 120 plays	55.6% 15 / 27 plays
Jon Denman RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 8 / 24 plays
Amante Martin RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	9.1% 1 / 11 plays
Landon Walker RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 2 / 6 plays
Joe Pitchford RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 6 plays
Kari Ashley TE 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Ace Theus WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Major Everhart WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ace Theus · WR

CFBD athlete 5161853

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 18.4
kickReturns · LONG: 24
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 129
puntReturns · AVG: 11.0
puntReturns · LONG: 22
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 99
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 2.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 30
rushing · YPC: 15.0

Adam Schobel · QB

CFBD athlete 5141643

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Amante Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 5209316

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 66
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Ansel Din-Mbuh · DT

CFBD athlete 5101112

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 32

Blake Robinett · DT

CFBD athlete 5216693

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brock King · CB

CFBD athlete 5217175

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Carter Buck · LB

CFBD athlete 5264361

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Chad Woodfork · LB

CFBD athlete 5296124

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Cheta Ofili · LB

CFBD athlete 5140254

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Dane Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5164358

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Devyn Hidrogo · S

CFBD athlete 5167937

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Dillon Arkansas · LB

CFBD athlete 5207601

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0

Ed Small · WR

CFBD athlete 5200482

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 5
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 8.8
puntReturns · LONG: 33
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 79
receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 40
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 548
receiving · YPR: 13.7

Floyd Guidry · DT

CFBD athlete 5208009

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

G'Ivori Graham · RB

CFBD athlete 5280795

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Gil Jackson · CB

CFBD athlete 5207849

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Hudson Hooper · LB

CFBD athlete 5151166

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 50

Jacobe Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5221285

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 196
receiving · YPR: 14.0

Jaden Craig · QB

CFBD athlete 5083569

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 269
passing · COMPLETIONS: 175
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.651
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 2207
passing · YPA: 8.2
rushing · CAR: 67
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 109
rushing · YPC: 1.6

Jaheim Buchanon · OL

CFBD athlete 5085334

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jamel Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 4870854

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 50
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Jeremy Payne · RB

CFBD athlete 5079663

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 86
receiving · YPR: 4.8
rushing · CAR: 88
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 429
rushing · YPC: 4.9

Jeremy Scott · WR

CFBD athlete 5126534

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 52
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 203
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Joe Pitchford · RB

CFBD athlete 5219571

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 3.5
rushing · CAR: 17
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 63
rushing · YPC: 3.7

John Hoyet Chance · P

CFBD athlete 5220347

punting · In 20: 17
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 34
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 1466
punting · YPP: 43.1

John Schobel · LB

CFBD athlete 5213361

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 18

Jon Denman · RB

CFBD athlete 5214401

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 47
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 158
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Jordan Dwyer · WR

CFBD athlete 4832804

receiving · LONG: 67
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 409
receiving · YPR: 15.1

Jordan Lester · S

CFBD athlete 5077209

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 27

Julius Simms · S

CFBD athlete 5215582

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Ka'Morreun Pimpton · TE

CFBD athlete 5084293

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 152
receiving · YPR: 11.7

Kaden Mcfadden · S

CFBD athlete 5147233

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Kalen Carroll · CB

CFBD athlete 4831971

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Kari Ashley · TE

CFBD athlete 5391236

receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 38
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 560
receiving · YPR: 14.7
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 2.2

Kelten Mickell · DT

CFBD athlete 5296133

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 5

Keylan Abrams · LB

CFBD athlete 5147339

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Koron Hayward · LB

CFBD athlete 5084770

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 5.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Kyle Lemmermann · PK

CFBD athlete 5149118

kicking · FGA: 1
kicking · FGM: 1
kicking · LONG: 31
kicking · PCT: 1.000
kicking · PTS: 6
kicking · XPA: 3
kicking · XPM: 3

Kylin Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 4870804

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 19
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Landon Walker · RB

CFBD athlete 5120735

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 22
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 67
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Maddox Flynt · DT

CFBD athlete 5264497

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Major Everhart · WR

CFBD athlete 4832792

kickReturns · AVG: 6.0
kickReturns · LONG: 6
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 6
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 1.2

Markis Deal · DT

CFBD athlete 4870670

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Mason Peterson · TE

CFBD athlete 5207801

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 30

Max Carroll · LB

CFBD athlete 4918123

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 60.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 60

Michael Short · LB

CFBD athlete 5077204

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Michael Teason · LB

CFBD athlete 5154286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Nate McCashland · PK

CFBD athlete 5151170

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 45
kicking · PCT: 0.700
kicking · PTS: 40
kicking · XPA: 19
kicking · XPM: 19

Paul Oyewale · LB

CFBD athlete 4832593

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 26

Ryan Yaites · S

CFBD athlete 4871066

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Sam Haley · LB

CFBD athlete 5167178

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Teon Parks · CB

CFBD athlete 5168715

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
interceptions · AVG: 67.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 67

Terry Shelton · WR

CFBD athlete 5216050

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tristan Johnson · DT

CFBD athlete 5150137

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Vernon Glover · CB

CFBD athlete 4870705

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 27
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Zachary Chapman · LB

CFBD athlete 4918413

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Arizona

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T03:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Noah Fifita QB 3 games	45.5% 50 / 110 plays	44.4% 4 / 9 plays
Kedrick Reescano RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.4% 13 / 28 plays
Antwan Roberts RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	26.1% 6 / 23 plays
Quincy Craig RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 7 / 14 plays
Sawyer Anderson QB 2 games	75.0% 3 / 4 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Caleb Smith WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Wesley Yarbrough RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Gio Richardson WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Antwan Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4612624

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 39
rushing · LONG: 58
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 263
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Brandon Craddock · LB

CFBD athlete 5086637

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brandon Phelps · WR

CFBD athlete 5121936

receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 280
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Caleb Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5214651

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 28.5
kickReturns · LONG: 34
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 57
puntReturns · AVG: 16.0
puntReturns · LONG: 69
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 96
receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 152
receiving · YPR: 10.9
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 1.3

Cam Chapa · S

CFBD athlete 5229997

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 38
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Chase Kennedy · LB

CFBD athlete 4833600

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 5.0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 28

Chase Ridley · P

CFBD athlete 5377778

punting · In 20: 9
punting · LONG: 57
punting · NO: 23
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 975
punting · YPP: 42.4

Chris Hunter · WR

CFBD athlete 5093837

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 207
receiving · YPR: 12.2
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Cole Rusk · TE

CFBD athlete 4709804

receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 86
receiving · YPR: 14.3

Cooper Blomstrom · LB

CFBD athlete 5152639

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 34

Dash Fifita · LB

CFBD athlete 5265298

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 14

Daylen Austin · S

CFBD athlete 4870611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dominic Hanger · LB

CFBD athlete 5150546

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Dominic Lolesio · DL

CFBD athlete 5075795

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Dwight Bootle II · CB

CFBD athlete 4870618

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Everett Roussaw Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4870982

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 10

Gavin Hunter · S

CFBD athlete 5075776

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 23

Gio Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5217700

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 55
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 260
receiving · YPR: 12.4
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 13
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Hannibal Navies II · S

CFBD athlete 5176080

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Henry Gabalis · TE

CFBD athlete 5210412

receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 40.0

Ian French · P

CFBD athlete 5377781

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Isaiah Mizell · WR

CFBD athlete 5198318

receiving · LONG: 94
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 6
receiving · YDS: 675
receiving · YPR: 19.9

Ismail Mahdi · RB

CFBD athlete 5084798

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 72
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Jabari Mann · LB

CFBD athlete 5093889

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Jay'Vion Cole · CB

CFBD athlete 5083142

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Johno Price · S

CFBD athlete 5197089

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jordan Ross · WR

CFBD athlete 5079585

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Julien Savaiinaea · DL

CFBD athlete 5076905

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Kaisi Lafitaga · DL

CFBD athlete 5291803

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Kedrick Reescano · RB

CFBD athlete 4899361

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 6.1
rushing · CAR: 89
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 321
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Kevin Moorer Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5377779

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Keytrin Harris · DL

CFBD athlete 5162731

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 9

Landon Kelsey · WR

CFBD athlete 5210425

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Lee Molette III · S

CFBD athlete 5086035

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 35
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Leroy Palu · DL

CFBD athlete 5295479

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Leviticus Su'A · LB

CFBD athlete 4871067

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Malcolm Hartzog · S

CFBD athlete 4910223

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 37

Matai Tagoa'i · S

CFBD athlete 5141718

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Max Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 5158129

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Mays Pese · DL

CFBD athlete 5215577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 18

Michael Salgado-Medina · PK

CFBD athlete 5147689

kicking · FGA: 13
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 53
kicking · PCT: 0.692
kicking · PTS: 60
kicking · XPA: 34
kicking · XPM: 33

Myron Robinson · LB

CFBD athlete 5254875

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Nela Taliauli · LB

CFBD athlete 5230241

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Noah Fifita · QB

CFBD athlete 4801717

passing · ATT: 269
passing · COMPLETIONS: 199
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.740
passing · TD: 19
passing · YDS: 2464
passing · YPA: 9.2
rushing · CAR: 57
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 97
rushing · YPC: 1.7

Prince Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5159095

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Quincy Craig · RB

CFBD athlete 4804879

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 98
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 40
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 246
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Quinn Olson · S

CFBD athlete 5219141

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 30
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

R.J. Mosley · WR

CFBD athlete 5290568

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 107
receiving · YPR: 15.3

Rodney Gallagher · WR

CFBD athlete 4870754

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 6.6

Sawyer Anderson · QB

CFBD athlete 5158407

passing · ATT: 15
passing · COMPLETIONS: 10
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.667
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 112
passing · YPA: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 34
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Shane King · TE

CFBD athlete 5236393

receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 75
receiving · YPR: 10.7

Soione Tohi · OL

CFBD athlete 5164662

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Swayde Griffin · CB

CFBD athlete 5183931

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Taye Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5119569

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 46
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tre Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 4613119

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tre Spivey · WR

CFBD athlete 4891198

receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 314
receiving · YPR: 14.3
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Tyler Powell · TE

CFBD athlete 4816108

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 81
receiving · YPR: 5.4

Tyrese Boss · CB

CFBD athlete 5220541

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Victory Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 4921303

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Wesley Yarbrough · RB

CFBD athlete 5207893

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 0
receiving · YPR: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Xaier Hiler · CB

CFBD athlete 5290704

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Xavier Jordan · WR

CFBD athlete 5123193

receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 10.7

Zac Siulepa · DL

CFBD athlete 5306766

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Arizona -7.5

DraftKings snapshot: Arizona -7.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Arizona by 9.41

1.91 points toward Arizona versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Arizona.

Net EPA rating difference: +5.41
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 9.41 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 34366502e6e7f6e00902ff3fdd31a8a4f63beae473ec1eec597eb7e65aa88011 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast e80b3b72aae99acf0d969eae7b7632d302d55878b011527a17153c514a5881c8 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Arizona · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-7.5	-7.5
Model spread	-9.41	-9.41
Model gap	+1.91	+1.91

Negative spreads favor Arizona; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 34366502e6e7f6e00902ff3fdd31a8a4f63beae473ec1eec597eb7e65aa88011. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +1.9 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Arizona win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 70%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Arizona -7.5
Stacked ensemble: 74%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Arizona.

home elo: +15.24 (path difference 8.97)
home adjusted success allowed: +7.95 (path difference 3.19)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.12 (path difference 9.88)
away adjusted epa allowed: -6.24 (path difference 3.62)
home adjusted passing epa: +6.23 (path difference 3.57)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.66 (path difference 4.19)
home adjusted epa allowed: -5.47 (path difference 1.61)
home adjusted success: +5.34 (path difference 1.55)
away adjusted epa: +5.12 (path difference 3.21)
away adjusted passing down success: -5.01 (path difference 1.45)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.92 (path difference 1.42)
away adjusted success allowed: -4.59 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.53 (path difference 2.33)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.15 (path difference 4.36)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.54 (path difference 2.06)
away talent: -3.39 (path difference 0.68)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.22 (path difference 1.39)
away adjusted rushing epa: -3.06 (path difference 1.72)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.66 (path difference 3.05)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.55 (path difference 1.40)
home talent: +2.50 (path difference 0.69)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.48 (path difference 0.74)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.41 (path difference 2.04)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.40 (path difference 2.04)
away adjusted second level yards: +2.21 (path difference 1.43)
home adjusted line yards: -2.12 (path difference 0.65)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -2.10 (path difference 2.94)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.06 (path difference 1.68)
home adjusted rushing epa: -1.93 (path difference 1.01)
away adjusted success: +1.85 (path difference 1.04)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.43 (path difference 0.55)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.36 (path difference 0.20)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.25 (path difference 0.00)
week: -1.23 (path difference 0.16)
away elo: -0.95 (path difference 0.21)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.91 (path difference 0.47)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.81 (path difference 0.69)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.61 (path difference 0.27)
away adjusted line yards: +0.58 (path difference 0.61)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.53 (path difference 0.84)
home adjusted epa: +0.47 (path difference 0.28)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.46 (path difference 0.30)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.41 (path difference 0.54)
away conference: -0.40 (path difference 0.13)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.34 (path difference 0.34)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.31 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.24 (path difference 0.01)
home conference: -0.22 (path difference 0.23)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.17 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.16 (path difference 0.35)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.13 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.10 (path difference 1.02)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 73.60 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 464a90d6b1e5ae666350d509cbd05cb3d19c548ded6a614ac3a8b22e857f0195 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 97d985ed6db26580c634199d3a01714ee1e445381a985e030bda3256809aa9f9 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

TCU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 91 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jaden Craig CFBD athlete 5083569 Week 7 vs Baylor: 8 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.381 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 12 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.004 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Kansas: 15 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.419 raw PPA.	35	2.9	8	38.5%	65 / 1.2
Jon Denman CFBD athlete 5214401 Week 7 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.384 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 15 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.237 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Kansas: 3 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.189 raw PPA.	24	3.4	0	26.4%	47 / 3.4
Amante Martin CFBD athlete 5209316 Week 7 vs Baylor: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.396 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.377 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Kansas: 7 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.389 raw PPA.	11	1.8	0	12.1%	18 / 3.7
Landon Walker CFBD athlete 5120735 Week 7 vs Baylor: 6 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.188 raw PPA.	6	6.0	0	6.6%	10 / 6.7
Joe Pitchford CFBD athlete 5219571 Week 7 vs Baylor: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.248 raw PPA. Week 8 vs West Virginia: 4 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.368 raw PPA.	6	2.0	0	6.6%	17 / 3.7

Arizona

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 89 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Kedrick Reescano CFBD athlete 4899361 Week 6 vs West Virginia: 11 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.323 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 8 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.255 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Texas Tech: 9 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.118 raw PPA.	28	3.7	0	31.5%	86 / 3.7
Antwan Roberts CFBD athlete 4612624 Week 6 vs West Virginia: 7 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.211 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 11 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.336 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Texas Tech: 5 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.257 raw PPA.	23	4.4	0	25.8%	38 / 5.4
Noah Fifita CFBD athlete 4801717 Week 6 vs West Virginia: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.682 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 3 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.208 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Texas Tech: 10 attempts · -2.5 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.422 raw PPA.	16	-0.4	7	18.0%	55 / 1.6
Quincy Craig CFBD athlete 4804879 Week 6 vs West Virginia: 2 attempts · 22.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.935 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Iowa State: 9 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.154 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Texas Tech: 3 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.132 raw PPA.	14	7.4	0	15.7%	35 / 6.9
Caleb Smith CFBD athlete 5214651 Week 8 vs Iowa State: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.063 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Texas Tech: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.111 raw PPA.	3	1.3	0	3.4%	3 / 1.3

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	ArizonaOffense	TCUDefense	TCUOffense	ArizonaDefense
PPA/play	+0.23 80th	-0.09 96th	+0.10 39th	-0.03 85th
Success rate	47.0% 77th	33.3% 96th	42.5% 50th	35.5% 87th
Explosiveness	1.25 55th	1.12 90th	1.27 63rd	1.39 5th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 47th	-0.13 91st	+0.08 51st	-0.17 97th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.55 97th	+0.00 90th	+0.13 23rd	+0.20 45th
Havoc allowed / created	13.7% 66th	16.4% 60th	15.7% 38th	16.0% 54th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:50 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:50 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Michael Salgado-Medina · Arizona · PAAR -0.32 · 13 attempts
Kyle Lemmermann · TCU · PAAR 0.45 · 1 attempts
Nate McCashland · TCU · PAAR -0.47 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Arizona spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -8.5 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 44.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 44.5 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -298 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -345 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +240 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +275 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 43.5 · Snapshot total: 46

Total · First locally observed: 43.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -360 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -360 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +285 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +285 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Arizona

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12

90th FBS percentile

TCU

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Big 12

68th FBS percentile

Travel

TCU travels 792 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 1,826 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

TCU leads 2–1 in 3 meetings since 1999.

2024Arizona at TCU28–49 · TCU
2003TCU at Arizona13–10 · TCU
1999Arizona at TCU35–31 · Arizona

CFBD matchup data Last 3 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.