Week 10 · 2026
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
West Virginia
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T02:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Hawkins Jr. QB 3 games | 43.9% 36 / 82 plays | 38.7% 24 / 62 plays |
| Cam Cook RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.9% 24 / 65 plays |
| Amari Latimer RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.4% 9 / 19 plays |
| DJ Epps WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Chris Talley RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Lawrence Autry RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 58 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Amari Latimer · RB
CFBD athlete 5161022
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 87
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
- rushing · CAR
- 40
- rushing · LONG
- 29
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 178
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Andrew Powdrell · S
CFBD athlete 5166306
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 33
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 10
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 10
Armoni Weaver · WR
CFBD athlete 5141754
- receiving · LONG
- 49
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 67
- receiving · YPR
- 22.3
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 14
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Ashton Woods · LB
CFBD athlete 5127046
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Ben Cutter · LB
CFBD athlete 4923061
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 38
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Bryan Hansen · P
CFBD athlete 5082263
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 74
- punting · NO
- 32
- punting · TB
- 3
- punting · YDS
- 1364
- punting · YPP
- 42.6
Cam Cook · RB
CFBD athlete 4918103
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 115
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
- rushing · CAR
- 186
- rushing · LONG
- 75
- rushing · TD
- 7
- rushing · YDS
- 923
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Cam Torbor · LB
CFBD athlete 5265461
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 34
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
ChaMarryus Bomar · CB
CFBD athlete 5141390
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Chams Diagne · CB
CFBD athlete 5096044
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Chris Talley · RB
CFBD athlete 5278417
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 5
- rushing · YPC
- 2.5
Corey Mcintyre Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5078013
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Cyrus Traugh · WR
CFBD athlete 5154886
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 102
- receiving · YPR
- 14.6
DJ Epps · WR
CFBD athlete 5082584
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 22
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 43
- receiving · LONG
- 59
- receiving · REC
- 22
- receiving · TD
- 5
- receiving · YDS
- 556
- receiving · YPR
- 25.3
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 35
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Da'Mare Williams · S
CFBD athlete 5384817
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Darius Morant · RB
CFBD athlete 5219881
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 11
- rushing · YPC
- 1.6
Darius Wiley · DL
CFBD athlete 5384829
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
David Afogho · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5122015
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 18
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Emerson Joy · DL
CFBD athlete 5384830
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell · DL
CFBD athlete 5150994
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Geimere Latimer · DB
CFBD athlete 5150901
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Harper Holloman · LB
CFBD athlete 5146973
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Isaiah Patterson · LB
CFBD athlete 5145739
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 48
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 2
JaCorey Thomas · S
CFBD athlete 4702581
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Jack Cassidy · PK
CFBD athlete 5295665
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 7
- kicking · LONG
- 54
- kicking · PCT
- 0.875
- kicking · PTS
- 58
- kicking · XPA
- 37
- kicking · XPM
- 37
Jacob Bradford · S
CFBD athlete 5207896
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Jaden Bray · WR
CFBD athlete 4683719
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 174
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Jaire Rawlison · CB
CFBD athlete 5146977
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jason Chambers · CB
CFBD athlete 5095810
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Jason Hall · LB
CFBD athlete 5154004
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 6
John Neider · WR
CFBD athlete 5150460
- kickReturns · AVG
- 11.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 11
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 11
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 144
- receiving · YPR
- 14.4
Josh Sapp · TE
CFBD athlete 4898018
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 3.5
Jyron Hughley · QB
CFBD athlete 5161828
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 27
- passing · YPA
- 27.0
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 28
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
KJ Henson · DL
CFBD athlete 5384826
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Kamari Wilson · S
CFBD athlete 4685625
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
- interceptions · AVG
- 3.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 3
Kameron Reddic · S
CFBD athlete 5228824
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Kedrick Triplett · WR
CFBD athlete 5384819
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 27
- receiving · YPR
- 27.0
Keyshawn Robinson · CB
CFBD athlete 5142260
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Lawrence Autry · RB
CFBD athlete 5158933
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Maliek Hawkins · DB
CFBD athlete 5141484
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Martavious Boswell · RB
CFBD athlete 5384821
- rushing · CAR
- 8
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 31
- rushing · YPC
- 3.9
Matt Sieg · S
CFBD athlete 5182123
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 23
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 42
- puntReturns · AVG
- 11.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 45
Max Anderson · QB
CFBD athlete 5264725
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
Michael Hawkins Jr. · QB
CFBD athlete 5079465
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 159
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 90
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.566
- passing · TD
- 11
- passing · YDS
- 1598
- passing · YPA
- 10.1
- rushing · CAR
- 163
- rushing · LONG
- 71
- rushing · TD
- 16
- rushing · YDS
- 836
- rushing · YPC
- 5.1
Miles Khatri · DB
CFBD athlete 5290619
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Nate Flower · PK
CFBD athlete 5163486
- kicking · FGA
- 0
- kicking · FGM
- 0
- kicking · LONG
- 0
- kicking · PCT
- 0
- kicking · PTS
- 1
- kicking · XPA
- 1
- kicking · XPM
- 1
Nate Gabriel · DL
CFBD athlete 5146985
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Nick Taylor · CB
CFBD athlete 5148426
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Prince Strachan · WR
CFBD athlete 5151353
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 275
- receiving · YPR
- 19.6
Ryan Ward · TE
CFBD athlete 5142265
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 98
- receiving · YPR
- 19.6
Scotty Fox Jr. · QB
CFBD athlete 5164314
- passing · ATT
- 4
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 27
- passing · YPA
- 6.8
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 21
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
TaRon Francis · WR
CFBD athlete 5141456
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Taylor Brown · DL
CFBD athlete 5215323
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Tim Roberson · S
CFBD athlete 5122092
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tyler Stolsky · LB
CFBD athlete 5081377
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Wes King · OL
CFBD athlete 4912915
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Will LeBlanc · DL
CFBD athlete 5330864
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Yendor Mack · DL
CFBD athlete 5290996
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Texas Tech
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T02:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Will Hammond QB 2 games | 49.2% 32 / 65 plays | 50.0% 8 / 16 plays |
| Thomas Castellanos QB 2 games | 37.0% 10 / 27 plays | 66.7% 14 / 21 plays |
| J'Koby Williams RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 55.6% 20 / 36 plays |
| Quinten Joyner RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.4% 8 / 22 plays |
| Cameron Dickey RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 20.0% 2 / 10 plays |
| Terrance Carter TE 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays |
| Ashton Rowden RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
| Malcolm Simmons WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 2 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 53 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adam Hill · LB
CFBD athlete 5220111
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Adam Trick · LB
CFBD athlete 4819260
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 8
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Amier Boyd-Matthews · CB
CFBD athlete 5088887
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- interceptions · AVG
- -0.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- -1
Ansel Nedore · LB
CFBD athlete 4918133
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Anthony Holmes Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 4702828
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 6.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Ashton Rowden · RB
CFBD athlete 5290564
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 28
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Austin Romaine · LB
CFBD athlete 5084891
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 37
- defensive · TD
- 2
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 66
- interceptions · AVG
- 23.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 2
- interceptions · YDS
- 46
Ben Roberts · LB
CFBD athlete 4833626
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 31
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 6.5
- defensive · TOT
- 60
- interceptions · AVG
- 24.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 24
Brenden Jordan · S
CFBD athlete 4870867
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Brice Pollock · CB
CFBD athlete 5075540
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 24
Brock Golwas · LB
CFBD athlete 5195456
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- kickReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 8
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 8
Bryce Butler · DL
CFBD athlete 5219124
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Bryson Jones · WR
CFBD athlete 5195409
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 41
- receiving · YPR
- 10.3
Cameron Dickey · RB
CFBD athlete 5193580
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 60
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
- rushing · CAR
- 66
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 274
- rushing · YPC
- 4.2
Charles Anderson Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5147841
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Chase Campbell · WR
CFBD athlete 5217186
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 8.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Cord Nolan · LB
CFBD athlete 5273552
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Corey Platt Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 4683630
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Coy Eakin · WR
CFBD athlete 4916941
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 23
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 263
- receiving · YPR
- 11.4
Daniel Sill · OL
CFBD athlete 4911838
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Davin Martin · CB
CFBD athlete 5085390
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Donte Lee Jr · WR
CFBD athlete 5220256
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 15
- receiving · YPR
- 3.8
J'Koby Williams · RB
CFBD athlete 5086393
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 28.4
- kickReturns · LONG
- 45
- kickReturns · NO
- 8
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 227
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 25
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 166
- receiving · YPR
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 100
- rushing · LONG
- 64
- rushing · TD
- 6
- rushing · YDS
- 794
- rushing · YPC
- 7.9
Jalen Jones · WR
CFBD athlete 5227057
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 3
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 69
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 26
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
Jamond Mathis · LB
CFBD athlete 4940237
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Jayden Cofield · DL
CFBD athlete 4918424
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jett Carpenter · TE
CFBD athlete 4695195
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 83
- receiving · YPR
- 11.9
John Curry · LB
CFBD athlete 4908551
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 42
- interceptions · AVG
- 10.3
- interceptions · INT
- 3
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 31
Jojo Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5157307
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jordan Rogers · S
CFBD athlete 5385735
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Julien Laventure · DL
CFBD athlete 5295191
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Kenny Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 4923295
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 9.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 34
- puntReturns · NO
- 15
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 148
- receiving · LONG
- 45
- receiving · REC
- 35
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 548
- receiving · YPR
- 15.7
Kirk Francis · QB
CFBD athlete 5151618
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
LaDamion Guyton · LB
CFBD athlete 5280093
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 4
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Maddox Quiller · S
CFBD athlete 5266861
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Malcolm Simmons · WR
CFBD athlete 5079691
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 27.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 36
- kickReturns · NO
- 3
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 82
- puntReturns · AVG
- 9.7
- puntReturns · LONG
- 15
- puntReturns · NO
- 3
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 29
- receiving · LONG
- 64
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 91
- receiving · YPR
- 45.5
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 15
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 20
- rushing · YPC
- 10.0
Malik Esquerra · S
CFBD athlete 5147221
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 31
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 39
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Marcus Ramon-Edwards · S
CFBD athlete 4921233
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Mateen Ibirogba · DL
CFBD athlete 5086180
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Matt Ludwig · TE
CFBD athlete 5209381
- kickReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 8
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 8
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 60
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Micah Hudson · WR
CFBD athlete 5079492
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 141
- receiving · YPR
- 10.8
Mikal Harrison-Pilot · S
CFBD athlete 4870755
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Oliver Miles III · S
CFBD athlete 5147234
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Peyton Morgan · S
CFBD athlete 5110451
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- interceptions · AVG
- 26.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 53
Quinten Joyner · RB
CFBD athlete 4917949
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 19.0
- rushing · CAR
- 57
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 249
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Stone Harrington · PK
CFBD athlete 5103116
- kicking · FGA
- 21
- kicking · FGM
- 17
- kicking · LONG
- 52
- kicking · PCT
- 0.810
- kicking · PTS
- 81
- kicking · XPA
- 31
- kicking · XPM
- 30
Tarrion Grant · CB
CFBD athlete 5141476
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Terrance Carter · TE
CFBD athlete 4867887
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 20
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 193
- receiving · YPR
- 9.7
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Thomas Castellanos · QB
CFBD athlete 4773919
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 29
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 14
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.483
- passing · TD
- 4
- passing · YDS
- 189
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 34
- rushing · LONG
- 25
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 182
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Trey White · LB
CFBD athlete 4898201
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Wesley Smith · LB
CFBD athlete 5081987
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Will Hammond · QB
CFBD athlete 5126468
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 205
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 139
- passing · INT
- 6
- passing · PCT
- 0.678
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1561
- passing · YPA
- 7.6
- rushing · CAR
- 40
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 110
- rushing · YPC
- 2.8
Will Karoll · P
CFBD athlete 5160456
- punting · In 20
- 13
- punting · LONG
- 67
- punting · NO
- 27
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1271
- punting · YPP
- 47.1
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
Texas Tech -16.75
DraftKings snapshot: Texas Tech -16.5
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
Texas Tech by 18.47
1.72 points toward Texas Tech versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Texas Tech.
- Net EPA rating difference: +14.46
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 18.47 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs c2e36274f7c6b19e2437aad843f450afe42c08a3185c5f793282f40ea393ec71 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 916cc3ef55ed0847b90d5ec3bb39694191dd4f4feabf4f17c696f7bc2e35ac31 · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -16.75 | -16.75 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -18.47 | -18.47 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +1.72 | +1.72 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Texas Tech; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: c2e36274f7c6b19e2437aad843f450afe42c08a3185c5f793282f40ea393ec71. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +1.7 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
Texas Tech win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 88%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Texas Tech -17
- Stacked ensemble
- 88%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Texas Tech.
- home elo: +11.71 (path difference 14.04)
- away elo: +7.76 (path difference 13.38)
- home adjusted success allowed: +5.73 (path difference 4.85)
- home adjusted success: +5.46 (path difference 8.34)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.92 (path difference 9.42)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.53 (path difference 5.53)
- away adjusted success allowed: +4.03 (path difference 1.84)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -3.61 (path difference 6.98)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +3.47 (path difference 5.70)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.69 (path difference 3.31)
- away adjusted success: -2.36 (path difference 2.00)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.98 (path difference 3.16)
- home talent: +1.96 (path difference 1.96)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.85 (path difference 1.66)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.74 (path difference 0.43)
- away talent: -1.64 (path difference 1.28)
- home adjusted epa: +1.60 (path difference 2.76)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.57 (path difference 0.28)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +1.55 (path difference 2.20)
- home adjusted standard down success: +1.45 (path difference 0.19)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.29 (path difference 0.95)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.29 (path difference 0.90)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.22 (path difference 1.05)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.14 (path difference 0.70)
- home adjusted line yards: +0.94 (path difference 0.29)
- home adjusted second level yards: -0.92 (path difference 0.32)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.81 (path difference 0.84)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.80 (path difference 0.91)
- week: -0.73 (path difference 1.17)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.69 (path difference 0.03)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.63 (path difference 0.29)
- home adjusted open field yards: +0.63 (path difference 1.09)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.62 (path difference 1.62)
- home adjusted passing epa: -0.50 (path difference 0.82)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.43 (path difference 1.02)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.40 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.19)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.37 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.37 (path difference 0.34)
- away conference: -0.30 (path difference 0.06)
- home conference: -0.30 (path difference 0.07)
- away adjusted epa: -0.27 (path difference 0.46)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.24 (path difference 0.49)
- home adjusted rushing epa: +0.23 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted passing down success: -0.15 (path difference 0.88)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.10 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.10 (path difference 0.25)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.09 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted explosiveness: -0.07 (path difference 0.04)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.05 (path difference 0.29)
- away adjusted passing epa: -0.03 (path difference 0.53)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.02 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted open field yards: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.01 (path difference 0.70)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 1.06)
Reconciles to 88.35 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 9cf356721c41be2c990e61a37ca509281ddbf166d15949a988770f0cbaf2ccbf · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 9b19afd3afaac52fdbf7544346b43c41274509a3692d6d73d4edc24bdf370c16 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
West Virginia
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 158 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Hawkins Jr.CFBD athlete 5079465 Week 6 vs Arizona: 24 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 47.8% success · 0.183 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Cincinnati: 26 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 26.1% success · 0.043 raw PPA. Week 8 vs TCU: 18 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.368 raw PPA. | 68 | 3.6 | 6 | 43.0% | 156 / 5.1 |
Cam CookCFBD athlete 4918103 Week 6 vs Arizona: 33 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.012 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Cincinnati: 15 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.105 raw PPA. Week 8 vs TCU: 18 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.013 raw PPA. | 66 | 4.1 | 0 | 41.8% | 184 / 5.0 |
Amari LatimerCFBD athlete 5161022 Week 6 vs Arizona: 12 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 41.7% success · 0.233 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Cincinnati: 4 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.592 raw PPA. Week 8 vs TCU: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.083 raw PPA. | 19 | 3.9 | 0 | 12.0% | 39 / 4.4 |
DJ EppsCFBD athlete 5082584 Week 6 vs Arizona: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.368 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Cincinnati: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.199 raw PPA. | 2 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.3% | 6 / 5.8 |
Chris TalleyCFBD athlete 5278417 Week 6 vs Arizona: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.374 raw PPA. | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 1.3% | 2 / 2.5 |
Texas Tech
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 118 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J'Koby WilliamsCFBD athlete 5086393 Week 7 vs Arizona State: 11 attempts · 15.0 YPC · 72.7% success · 0.647 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 11 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.169 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona: 14 attempts · 12.5 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.804 raw PPA. | 36 | 11.7 | 0 | 30.5% | 99 / 8.0 |
Thomas CastellanosCFBD athlete 4773919 Week 7 vs Arizona State: 4 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.007 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona: 19 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.618 raw PPA. | 23 | 5.3 | 2 | 19.5% | 32 / 5.2 |
Quinten JoynerCFBD athlete 4917949 Week 7 vs Arizona State: 8 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.411 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 12 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.380 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Arizona: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.304 raw PPA. | 22 | 4.3 | 0 | 18.6% | 57 / 4.4 |
Will HammondCFBD athlete 5126468 Week 7 vs Arizona State: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.531 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Cincinnati: 12 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.086 raw PPA. | 18 | 3.6 | 2 | 15.3% | 38 / 3.3 |
Cameron DickeyCFBD athlete 5193580 Week 9 vs Arizona: 10 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.824 raw PPA. | 10 | 3.4 | 0 | 8.5% | 64 / 4.2 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | Texas TechOffense | West VirginiaDefense | West VirginiaOffense | Texas TechDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.17 62nd | +0.23 9th | +0.18 64th | -0.02 82nd |
| Success rate | 46.6% 75th | 46.7% 7th | 43.0% 57th | 37.6% 76th |
| Explosiveness | 1.14 15th | 1.31 17th | 1.32 80th | 1.31 16th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.07 45th | +0.16 12th | +0.14 71st | -0.07 80th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.40 84th | +0.40 8th | +0.28 61st | +0.07 79th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 18.6% 5th | 14.9% 37th | 12.5% 84th | 16.6% 64th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:57 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:57 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Stone Harrington · Texas Tech · PAAR 6.54 · 20 attempts
- Jack Cassidy · West Virginia · PAAR 3.00 · 8 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Texas Tech spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -17.5 · Snapshot spread: -16.5
First locally observed: -17.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 63.5 · Snapshot total: 65.5
Total · First locally observed: 63.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -900 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -900 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +600 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +600 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -17 · Snapshot spread: -17
First locally observed: -17 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 63 · Snapshot total: 65.5
Total · First locally observed: 63 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -900 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -900 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +600 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +600 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Texas Tech
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big 12
West Virginia
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Big 12
Travel
West Virginia travels 1,282 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 2,144 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Texas Tech leads 8–7 in 15 meetings since 1937.
- 2025Texas Tech at West Virginia49–0 · Texas Tech
- 2024West Virginia at Texas Tech15–52 · Texas Tech
- 2023Texas Tech at West Virginia13–20 · West Virginia
- 2022West Virginia at Texas Tech10–48 · Texas Tech
- 2021Texas Tech at West Virginia23–20 · Texas Tech
- 2020West Virginia at Texas Tech27–34 · Texas Tech
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.