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Week 9 · 2026

SMU at Syracuse

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

SMU

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Kevin Jennings QB
3 games
43.5%
40 / 92 plays
47.1%
8 / 17 plays
Kendrick Raphael RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
48.3%
28 / 58 plays
Christian Rhodes RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
55.6%
5 / 9 plays
Derrick McFall WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
2 / 7 plays
Ty Hawkins QB
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
William Fierro RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
EJ Kelly RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Randy Pittman TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aakil Washington · DE

CFBD athlete 4608871

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Abdul Muhammad · S

CFBD athlete 4941019

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Alex Kilgore · LB

CFBD athlete 5076108

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
39
Aljour Miles II · WR

CFBD athlete 5245414

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Amontre Harris · DE

CFBD athlete 5264801

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Brandon Booker · LB

CFBD athlete 5142227

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
Brandon Miyazono · LB

CFBD athlete 4917622

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
17
kickReturns · AVG
10.0
kickReturns · LONG
10
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
10
Brendan Baird · PK

CFBD athlete 5381521

kicking · FGA
5
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
45
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
28
kicking · XPA
17
kicking · XPM
16
Carterrious Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5164352

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
11.5
Charlie Fiser · QB

CFBD athlete 5084086

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
8
passing · YPA
4.0
Christian Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5156287

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
17
Christian Rhodes · RB

CFBD athlete 5244759

rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
4.7
Cole Leinart · QB

CFBD athlete 5161878

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
5.0
Dakota Dickson · DL

CFBD athlete 5209116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Derrick McFall · WR

CFBD athlete 5079523

kickReturns · AVG
35.0
kickReturns · LONG
35
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
35
receiving · LONG
52
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
124
receiving · YPR
15.5
rushing · CAR
14
rushing · LONG
40
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
85
rushing · YPC
6.1
Deuce Gilbert · CB

CFBD athlete 5381511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Dramekco Green · RB

CFBD athlete 5207927

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
15.8
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
63
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
18.5
rushing · CAR
36
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
111
rushing · YPC
3.1
EJ Kelly · RB

CFBD athlete 5280790

kickReturns · AVG
15.5
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
62
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
10.0
Ira Singleton · DE

CFBD athlete 5148841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
Jaden Milliner-Jones · S

CFBD athlete 4921501

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Jaelyn Davis-Robinson · CB

CFBD athlete 4916238

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jahkai Lang · DE

CFBD athlete 4870849

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5
Jakai Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5216561

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
8.7
Jalen Cooper · WR

CFBD athlete 5207842

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-1.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-1
receiving · LONG
50
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
336
receiving · YPR
15.3
Jalen Hale · WR

CFBD athlete 4870776

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
64
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
242
receiving · YPR
18.6
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Jalen Shivers · DL

CFBD athlete 5212665

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jamal Anderson · LB

CFBD athlete 4923043

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
20
Jarvis Lee Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5075537

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
28.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
28
Javion Holiday · CB

CFBD athlete 5189535

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaylen Moses · S

CFBD athlete 5155011

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jayvon Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 4871075

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
18
Jimmy Wyrick · S

CFBD athlete 4678012

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
29
Jonathan Jefferson · DL

CFBD athlete 4431393

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jordyn Adams · WR

CFBD athlete 5381512

kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
5.0
puntReturns · LONG
5
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
Joshua Bates · OL

CFBD athlete 4880599

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-5
receiving · YPR
-5.0
Kendrick Raphael · RB

CFBD athlete 4899368

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
119
receiving · YPR
11.9
rushing · CAR
121
rushing · LONG
40
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
646
rushing · YPC
5.3
Kevin Allen · DL

CFBD athlete 5121988

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Kevin Jennings · QB

CFBD athlete 5084084

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
215
passing · COMPLETIONS
156
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.726
passing · TD
19
passing · YDS
2082
passing · YPA
9.7
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
121
rushing · YPC
2.8
La'Modrick Spencer · S

CFBD athlete 5295337

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
13
Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder · DL

CFBD athlete 5219393

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
12
Marcellus Barnes Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5147100

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Marques White · DE

CFBD athlete 4571284

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Morgan Tribbett · LS

CFBD athlete 5151396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Reed · PK

CFBD athlete 5162847

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
3
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
0.500
kicking · PTS
23
kicking · XPA
14
kicking · XPM
14
Randy Pittman · TE

CFBD athlete 4870954

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
199
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Sael Reyes · S

CFBD athlete 5141619

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
21
Tavion Atkinson · DE

CFBD athlete 5381510

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
13
Theo Melin Ohrstrom · TE

CFBD athlete 4870843

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
165
receiving · YPR
11.8
Trey Wilson · DE

CFBD athlete 4871072

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tripp Riordan · TE

CFBD athlete 4920161

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
7.0
Ty Hawkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5141487

passing · ATT
14
passing · COMPLETIONS
12
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.857
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
117
passing · YPA
8.4
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
43
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
75
rushing · YPC
12.5
Tyren Polley · S

CFBD athlete 5141639

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
33
Wade McSparron · P

CFBD athlete 5295341

punting · In 20
6
punting · LONG
58
punting · NO
17
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
758
punting · YPP
44.6
William Fierro · RB

CFBD athlete 5160121

receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
1
receiving · YPR
1.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
0.7
William Nettles · CB

CFBD athlete 5147186

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
William Spencer · DL

CFBD athlete 4871060

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
7
Xavier Wright · LB

CFBD athlete 5219230

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Yamir Knight · WR

CFBD athlete 5121750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
10.9
puntReturns · LONG
26
puntReturns · NO
14
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
153
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
38
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
443
receiving · YPR
11.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-7.0
Yannick Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5155519

receiving · LONG
79
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
342
receiving · YPR
15.5
Zack Turner · TE

CFBD athlete 5159083

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
53
receiving · YPR
17.7

Syracuse

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Malachi Nelson QB
2 games
45.2%
33 / 73 plays
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
Ahmad Miller RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
49.1%
26 / 53 plays
Tylik Hill RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
34.9%
15 / 43 plays
Steven Angeli QB
1 games
42.9%
15 / 35 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Ju'Juan Johnson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
52.9%
9 / 17 plays
Danny Lauter QB
2 games
23.1%
3 / 13 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Calvin Russell III WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Zaid Lott QB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahmad Miller · RB

CFBD athlete 5154420

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
78
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
362
rushing · YPC
4.6
Alex Haskell · DL

CFBD athlete 5159006

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Amare Snowden · DB

CFBD athlete 4918447

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Amari Odom · QB

CFBD athlete 5153782

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
47
passing · COMPLETIONS
36
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.766
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
391
passing · YPA
8.3
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
0.2
Antoine Deslauriers · LB

CFBD athlete 5173414

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
33
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Braheem Long Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5148278

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
23
Calvin Russell III · WR

CFBD athlete 5159036

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
153
receiving · YPR
9.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
3.0
Chase Geter · DB

CFBD athlete 5214358

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Chris D'Appolonia · LB

CFBD athlete 5092238

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
53
Chris Peal · DB

CFBD athlete 4870944

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
37
Cole Weaver · WR

CFBD athlete 5122076

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
10.4
Cornell Perry · DB

CFBD athlete 4718463

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
9
Danny Lauter · QB

CFBD athlete 5086156

passing · ATT
11
passing · COMPLETIONS
5
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.455
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
74
passing · YPA
6.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-7.0
Darien Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5206061

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
76
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
6.3
Darius Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5212990

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
114
receiving · YPR
8.8
Daunte Bacheyie · TE

CFBD athlete 5210515

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
286
receiving · YPR
15.1
David Clement · TE

CFBD athlete 5004520

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
69
receiving · YPR
9.9
David Omopariola · LB

CFBD athlete 5155073

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
11
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Davien Kerr · DB

CFBD athlete 5235453

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
puntReturns · AVG
13.7
puntReturns · LONG
30
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
96
Davion Kerr · RB

CFBD athlete 5245415

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
72
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Demetres Samuel Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5200435

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
23
kickReturns · AVG
42.0
kickReturns · LONG
42
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
42
puntReturns · AVG
10.1
puntReturns · LONG
38
puntReturns · NO
12
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
121
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
2.0
Dillan Fontus · DL

CFBD athlete 4921432

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
13
Elijah Washington-Baker · TE

CFBD athlete 5220893

kickReturns · AVG
6.5
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Fran Brown Jr. · LS

CFBD athlete 5155116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Gary Bryant III · LB

CFBD athlete 5088414

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
19
Gemaus Sackie · LB

CFBD athlete 5290938

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jai Eugene Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 4923256

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Jamie Tremble · LB

CFBD athlete 5146755

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
Jartavius Flounoy · DL

CFBD athlete 5239116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
8
Jaylen Pray · DL

CFBD athlete 5208129

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jimmy Gregg · P

CFBD athlete 5290980

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
12
passing · YPA
12.0
punting · In 20
7
punting · LONG
58
punting · NO
20
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
853
punting · YPP
42.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-14
rushing · YPC
-14.0
Josh Kubala · LB

CFBD athlete 5084847

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Ju'Juan Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079537

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
38
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
140
rushing · YPC
3.7
Julian McFadden · WR

CFBD athlete 5209143

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Justus Ross-Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 4910239

receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
170
receiving · YPR
14.2
Keyshawn Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5158837

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
4.0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Malachi Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5209161

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Malachi Nelson · QB

CFBD athlete 4870928

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
70
passing · COMPLETIONS
42
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
532
passing · YPA
7.6
rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-14
rushing · YPC
-1.2
Matt Outten · WR

CFBD athlete 5208136

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
53
rushing · YPC
4.4
Maurice Medley · LB

CFBD athlete 5159070

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Nathan Nyandoro · DL

CFBD athlete 5216842

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nazir Ward · DB

CFBD athlete 5103802

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Nissi Ogbebor · DL

CFBD athlete 5239197

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
10
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
21
Noah Meyers · TE

CFBD athlete 5121720

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
12.2
Rashard Perry · DL

CFBD athlete 5026719

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
29
interceptions · AVG
17.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
17
Rayshon Andrews · DB

CFBD athlete 5211896

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Shavane Anderson Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5289321

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
7.5
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
37
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
146
rushing · YPC
4.9
Shay Barker · PK

CFBD athlete 5291728

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
42
kicking · PCT
0.600
kicking · PTS
29
kicking · XPA
14
kicking · XPM
11
Steven Angeli · QB

CFBD athlete 4685694

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
137
passing · COMPLETIONS
77
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.562
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
986
passing · YPA
7.2
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-22
rushing · YPC
-1.3
Tedarius Hughes · DB

CFBD athlete 5203707

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Trevion Mack · OL

CFBD athlete 5085876

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Trey Dudley · LB

CFBD athlete 5216098

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Tripp Woody · PK

CFBD athlete 5218933

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
3
kicking · LONG
34
kicking · PCT
0.500
kicking · PTS
16
kicking · XPA
9
kicking · XPM
7
Tunmise Adeleye · DL

CFBD athlete 4432655

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
25
Tylik Hill · RB

CFBD athlete 5261613

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
89
rushing · LONG
55
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
468
rushing · YPC
5.3
Tyshawn Russell · WR

CFBD athlete 5121471

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
47
receiving · YPR
7.8
Umari Hatcher · WR

CFBD athlete 4691315

receiving · LONG
76
receiving · REC
54
receiving · TD
8
receiving · YDS
887
receiving · YPR
16.4
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
28
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
39
rushing · YPC
19.5
Zaid Lott · QB

CFBD athlete 5216708

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Zamondre Merriweather · WR

CFBD athlete 4870238

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
Ziyyon Bredell · DB

CFBD athlete 5210184

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Zyian Moultrie-Goddard · LB

CFBD athlete 4941016

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Syracuse +10.5

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

SMU -10.5

DraftKings snapshot: Syracuse +10.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

SMU by 1.71

8.79 points toward Syracuse versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Syracuse.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: -5.64
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -1.71 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 4e6210d57ec5dae8469ae80bd59a7f0c6565ea919f3294b21f0a8f8f26f3ac96 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 3c82a0004ed2f4426a095da1775d408a86b38bc19c59320a489c4b22c269f6b3 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Syracuse · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+10.5+10.50.0
Model spread+1.71+1.710.0
Model gap+8.79+8.790.0

Negative spreads favor Syracuse; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 4e6210d57ec5dae8469ae80bd59a7f0c6565ea919f3294b21f0a8f8f26f3ac96. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Syracuse +10.5

Model gap +8.8 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Syracuse.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Syracuse win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
23%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Syracuse +10.5
Stacked ensemble
31%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Syracuse.

  • away adjusted success: -12.74 (path difference 3.11)
  • home elo: -9.52 (path difference 4.84)
  • home adjusted epa: +7.44 (path difference 5.64)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +6.92 (path difference 2.27)
  • away elo: -6.27 (path difference 0.85)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +6.26 (path difference 1.36)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.63 (path difference 2.71)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -4.34 (path difference 0.91)
  • home adjusted line yards: -3.86 (path difference 1.34)
  • away talent: -3.71 (path difference 2.61)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.98 (path difference 0.83)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.84 (path difference 0.58)
  • home talent: +2.82 (path difference 0.73)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.75 (path difference 1.85)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.66 (path difference 1.00)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.46 (path difference 0.89)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.27 (path difference 0.96)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.86 (path difference 3.09)
  • away adjusted epa: -1.60 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -1.41 (path difference 1.52)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.40 (path difference 2.57)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.39 (path difference 0.77)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.34 (path difference 1.27)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.26 (path difference 0.29)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.15 (path difference 0.31)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.07 (path difference 3.49)
  • home adjusted success: +0.98 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -0.94 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.93 (path difference 0.31)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.85 (path difference 0.55)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.79 (path difference 0.56)
  • home conference: -0.78 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.73 (path difference 1.34)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.61 (path difference 0.50)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.55 (path difference 0.29)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.45 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.45 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.38 (path difference 0.46)
  • away conference: -0.37 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +0.34 (path difference 0.32)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.34 (path difference 0.89)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.26 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.21 (path difference 0.16)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.08)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.50)
  • week: -0.13 (path difference 1.19)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.12 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.08 (path difference 0.76)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.12)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.07 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.05 (path difference 2.29)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.02)

Reconciles to 31.45 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 9c3a823ce5fee56541457a9986f9567600da555101a0b3a6b0fd282a33d57e56 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 6fc27b03358bad0b2975727914ea99ae389e47f8444f6d5cabab60463d894a24 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

SMU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Kendrick Raphael

CFBD athlete 4899368

Week 5 vs Boston College: 15 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 26.7% success · 0.083 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Virginia: 22 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 59.1% success · 0.295 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 21 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 52.4% success · 0.288 raw PPA.

584.7056.3%117 / 5.4
Kevin Jennings

CFBD athlete 5084084

Week 5 vs Boston College: 10 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.049 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Virginia: 4 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.162 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.246 raw PPA.

212.1420.4%42 / 2.4
Christian Rhodes

CFBD athlete 5244759

Week 7 vs Virginia: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.811 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 7 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.875 raw PPA.

94.708.7%9 / 4.7
Derrick McFall

CFBD athlete 5079523

Week 5 vs Boston College: 5 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.184 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Virginia: 2 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.561 raw PPA.

75.606.8%14 / 6.1
Ty Hawkins

CFBD athlete 5141487

Week 8 vs California: 2 attempts · 22.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.213 raw PPA.

222.501.9%5 / 12.0

Syracuse

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 131 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Ahmad Miller

CFBD athlete 5154420

Week 6 vs Virginia: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.255 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Louisville: 17 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 58.8% success · 0.277 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Carolina: 30 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 46.7% success · 0.024 raw PPA.

534.8040.5%77 / 4.6
Tylik Hill

CFBD athlete 5261613

Week 6 vs Virginia: 23 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 30.4% success · 0.047 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Louisville: 10 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.284 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Carolina: 10 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.288 raw PPA.

434.2032.8%87 / 5.3
Ju'Juan Johnson

CFBD athlete 5079537

Week 6 vs Virginia: 10 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.125 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Louisville: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.227 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs North Carolina: 5 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.944 raw PPA.

174.8013.0%38 / 3.7
Malachi Nelson

CFBD athlete 4870928

Week 6 vs Virginia: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.088 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Louisville: 6 attempts · -5.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.576 raw PPA.

11-1.758.4%11 / -1.7
Steven Angeli

CFBD athlete 4685694

Week 8 vs North Carolina: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.333 raw PPA.

30.312.3%15 / -1.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureSyracuseOffenseSMUDefenseSMUOffenseSyracuseDefense
PPA/play
+0.06
24th
+0.05
60th
+0.25
85th
+0.05
58th
Success rate
42.2%
42nd
37.2%
77th
48.7%
85th
41.3%
45th
Explosiveness
1.28
72nd
1.30
22nd
1.27
70th
1.24
43rd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.01
23rd
-0.02
68th
+0.18
82nd
+0.03
52nd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.17
29th
+0.18
47th
+0.40
81st
+0.09
76th
Havoc allowed / created
14.2%
55th
19.3%
88th
12.3%
84th
18.4%
83rd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:51 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:51 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Nick Reed · SMU · PAAR -5.00 · 6 attempts
  • Tripp Woody · Syracuse · PAAR -5.63 · 6 attempts
  • Shay Barker · Syracuse · PAAR -4.75 · 10 attempts
  • Brendan Baird · SMU · PAAR 0.23 · 5 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Syracuse spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +12.5 · Snapshot spread: +10.5

First locally observed: +9.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 55.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +270 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -380 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -340 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +9.5 · Snapshot spread: +10.5

First locally observed: +9.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 58.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 58.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +285 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +285 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -370 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -370 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Syracuse

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 7 rated weeks · ACC

31st FBS percentile

SMU

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

55th FBS percentile

Travel

SMU travels 1,322 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

SMU leads 2–0 in 2 meetings since 1932.

  • 2025Syracuse at SMU18–31 · SMU
  • 1932SMU at Syracuse16–6 · SMU

CFBD matchup data Last 2 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.