Week 10 · 2026

Clemson at Syracuse

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Clemson

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Tait Reynolds QB 3 games	35.9% 33 / 92 plays	54.8% 17 / 31 plays
Gideon Davidson RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	43.6% 17 / 39 plays
Chris Johnson Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	30.8% 4 / 13 plays
Trent Pearman QB 1 games	41.7% 5 / 12 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Jarvis Green RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	18.2% 2 / 11 plays
Jay Haynes RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 3 / 9 plays
Max Wilson RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	42.9% 3 / 7 plays
Tyler Brown WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays

Traditional season production · 65 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Amare Adams · DT

CFBD athlete 5141349

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 14

Andy Burburija · DT

CFBD athlete 5371966

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Ari Watford · DE

CFBD athlete 5141750

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Ashton Hampton · CB

CFBD athlete 5127738

defensive · PD: 9
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 27
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Branden Strozier · CB

CFBD athlete 4950559

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Brayden Reilly · LB

CFBD athlete 5276965

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Brock Bradley · QB

CFBD athlete 5200187

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0

Bryant Wesco Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5112674

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 11.9
puntReturns · LONG: 65
puntReturns · NO: 15
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 178
receiving · LONG: 55
receiving · REC: 38
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 411
receiving · YPR: 10.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -7
rushing · YPC: -7.0

C.J. Kubah-Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5193390

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

CJ Wesley · DE

CFBD athlete 5087303

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Caden Story · DL

CFBD athlete 4685569

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Cam Blivens · WR

CFBD athlete 5371968

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Champ Thompson · DT

CFBD athlete 5079608

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Chris Denson · QB

CFBD athlete 5210003

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Chris Johnson Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5159948

kickReturns · AVG: 24.5
kickReturns · LONG: 43
kickReturns · NO: 15
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 368
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 136
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Christian Bentancur · TE

CFBD athlete 5079324

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 151
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Christopher Vizzina · QB

CFBD athlete 4899369

passing · ATT: 23
passing · COMPLETIONS: 14
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.609
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 102
passing · YPA: 4.4
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 0.8

Clark Sanderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5218756

receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 0
receiving · YPR: 0.0

Connor McFadden · DE

CFBD athlete 5371964

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Corey Myrick · S

CFBD athlete 5193354

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 62

Corian Gipson · CB

CFBD athlete 5079415

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Darien Mayo · DE

CFBD athlete 5127019

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 14

David Eziomume · RB

CFBD athlete 5079438

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

Devarrick Woods · DT

CFBD athlete 5295888

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Dietrick Pennington · OL

CFBD athlete 4569925

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Donovan Starr · CB

CFBD athlete 5214386

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Drew Woodaz · LB

CFBD athlete 5127045

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Elliot Washington II · CB

CFBD athlete 4871026

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 26
interceptions · AVG: 1.4
interceptions · INT: 5
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Fletcher Cothran · LB

CFBD athlete 5081438

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 15
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Gideon Davidson · RB

CFBD athlete 5141422

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 2.3
rushing · CAR: 105
rushing · LONG: 75
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 528
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Gordon Sellars III · WR

CFBD athlete 5371961

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 2.7

Jack Smith · P

CFBD athlete 5081453

punting · In 20: 15
punting · LONG: 54
punting · NO: 36
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1398
punting · YPP: 38.8

Jackson Reach · LS

CFBD athlete 5327243

fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jaheim Lawson · DE

CFBD athlete 4832060

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jakarrion Kenan · S

CFBD athlete 5215547

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jarvis Green · RB

CFBD athlete 5093141

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 32
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 125
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Jay Haynes · RB

CFBD athlete 5150556

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 3
receiving · YPR: 3.0
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 25
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Jeremiah Alexander · LB

CFBD athlete 4685243

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 46

Jerome Carter · S

CFBD athlete 5194806

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 45
interceptions · AVG: 26.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 26

Joe Wilkinson · S

CFBD athlete 5218758

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Juju Preston · WR

CFBD athlete 5156116

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 7.7
puntReturns · LONG: 14
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 23
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 51
receiving · YPR: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Kam Cody · DT

CFBD athlete 5209349

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Kobe McCloud · LB

CFBD athlete 4812339

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Kourtney Kelly · DT

CFBD athlete 5224756

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Kylon Griffin · S

CFBD athlete 4794150

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Logan Anderson · LB

CFBD athlete 5214985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Logan Brooking · TE

CFBD athlete 5148628

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 13.0

London Merritt · DE

CFBD athlete 5141592

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Marcell Gipson Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5217187

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Markus Strong · DT

CFBD athlete 5121586

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Max Wilson · RB

CFBD athlete 5294145

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 26
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 52
rushing · YPC: 7.4

Misun Kelley · DB

CFBD athlete 4924141

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Naeem Burroughs · WR

CFBD athlete 5158940

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 9.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Nolan Hauser · PK

CFBD athlete 5119662

kicking · FGA: 24
kicking · FGM: 23
kicking · LONG: 59
kicking · PCT: 0.958
kicking · PTS: 84
kicking · XPA: 15
kicking · XPM: 15
punting · In 20: 1
punting · LONG: 63
punting · NO: 4
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 187
punting · YPP: 46.8

Olsen Patt-Henry · TE

CFBD athlete 5150561

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 115
receiving · YPR: 8.2

Robert Gunn III · PK

CFBD athlete 5081441

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ronan Hanafin · S

CFBD athlete 4917980

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 34

Sammy Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5079342

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 50

T.J. Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5218753

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 33
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 305
receiving · YPR: 9.2

Tait Reynolds · QB

CFBD athlete 5159078

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 211
passing · COMPLETIONS: 137
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.649
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 1287
passing · YPA: 6.1
rushing · CAR: 94
rushing · LONG: 79
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 249
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Trent Pearman · QB

CFBD athlete 5081434

passing · ATT: 13
passing · COMPLETIONS: 8
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.615
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 80
passing · YPA: 6.2
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Tristan Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5225740

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 4.5

Tyler Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 4379471

kickReturns · AVG: 20.0
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 20
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 332
receiving · YPR: 9.2
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 83
rushing · YPC: 16.6

Vic Burley · DT

CFBD athlete 4870643

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Will Heldt · DE

CFBD athlete 5077977

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 7
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 11.0
defensive · TOT: 29

Syracuse

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Steven Angeli QB 2 games	44.3% 31 / 70 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Ahmad Miller RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	47.7% 31 / 65 plays
Malachi Nelson QB 1 games	43.2% 19 / 44 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Tylik Hill RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	43.3% 13 / 30 plays
Ju'Juan Johnson RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 4 / 12 plays
Danny Lauter QB 1 games	33.3% 2 / 6 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Calvin Russell III WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Zaid Lott QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ahmad Miller · RB

CFBD athlete 5154420

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 28
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 96
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 418
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Alex Haskell · DL

CFBD athlete 5159006

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Amare Snowden · DB

CFBD athlete 4918447

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Amari Odom · QB

CFBD athlete 5153782

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 47
passing · COMPLETIONS: 36
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.766
passing · TD: 6
passing · YDS: 391
passing · YPA: 8.3
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 0.2

Antoine Deslauriers · LB

CFBD athlete 5173414

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 41
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Braheem Long Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5148278

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 28

Calvin Russell III · WR

CFBD athlete 5159036

receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 194
receiving · YPR: 10.2
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Chase Geter · DB

CFBD athlete 5214358

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Chris D'Appolonia · LB

CFBD athlete 5092238

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 30
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 9.0
defensive · TOT: 60

Chris Peal · DB

CFBD athlete 4870944

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 45

Cole Weaver · WR

CFBD athlete 5122076

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 10.4

Cornell Perry · DB

CFBD athlete 4718463

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Danny Lauter · QB

CFBD athlete 5086156

passing · ATT: 11
passing · COMPLETIONS: 5
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.455
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 74
passing · YPA: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -7
rushing · YPC: -7.0

Darien Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5206061

kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 29
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 76
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 6.3

Darius Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5212990

receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 8.6

Daunte Bacheyie · TE

CFBD athlete 5210515

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 333
receiving · YPR: 15.1

David Clement · TE

CFBD athlete 5004520

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 95
receiving · YPR: 10.6

David Omopariola · LB

CFBD athlete 5155073

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 12
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Davien Kerr · DB

CFBD athlete 5235453

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 33
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 5.0
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 15
puntReturns · AVG: 13.7
puntReturns · LONG: 30
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 96

Davion Kerr · RB

CFBD athlete 5245415

kickReturns · AVG: 19.4
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 97
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 2.3

Demetres Samuel Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5200435

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 33
kickReturns · AVG: 42.0
kickReturns · LONG: 42
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 42
puntReturns · AVG: 11.2
puntReturns · LONG: 38
puntReturns · NO: 14
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 157
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Dillan Fontus · DL

CFBD athlete 4921432

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 13

Elijah Washington-Baker · TE

CFBD athlete 5220893

kickReturns · AVG: 6.5
kickReturns · LONG: 13
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 13
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Fran Brown Jr. · LS

CFBD athlete 5155116

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Gary Bryant III · LB

CFBD athlete 5088414

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 22

Gemaus Sackie · LB

CFBD athlete 5290938

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Isaiah Hastings · DL

CFBD athlete 4900374

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jai Eugene Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 4923256

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Jamie Tremble · LB

CFBD athlete 5146755

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Jartavius Flounoy · DL

CFBD athlete 5239116

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Javon Lawrence · DB

CFBD athlete 5205824

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaylen Pray · DL

CFBD athlete 5208129

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jimmy Gregg · P

CFBD athlete 5290980

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 12
passing · YPA: 12.0
punting · In 20: 9
punting · LONG: 58
punting · NO: 24
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1064
punting · YPP: 44.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -14
rushing · YPC: -14.0

Josh Kubala · LB

CFBD athlete 5084847

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ju'Juan Johnson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079537

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 4.6
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 149
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Julian McFadden · WR

CFBD athlete 5209143

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Justus Ross-Simmons · WR

CFBD athlete 4910239

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 170
receiving · YPR: 14.2

Keyshawn Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5158837

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 6.0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Malachi Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5209161

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Malachi Nelson · QB

CFBD athlete 4870928

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 70
passing · COMPLETIONS: 42
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.600
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 532
passing · YPA: 7.6
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -14
rushing · YPC: -1.2

Matt Outten · WR

CFBD athlete 5208136

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Maurice Medley · LB

CFBD athlete 5159070

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Nathan Nyandoro · DL

CFBD athlete 5216842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nazir Ward · DB

CFBD athlete 5103802

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Nissi Ogbebor · DL

CFBD athlete 5239197

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 10
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 26

Noah Meyers · TE

CFBD athlete 5121720

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 80
receiving · YPR: 10.0

Rashard Perry · DL

CFBD athlete 5026719

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 32
interceptions · AVG: 17.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 17

Rayshon Andrews · DB

CFBD athlete 5211896

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Shavane Anderson Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5289321

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 30
rushing · LONG: 37
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 146
rushing · YPC: 4.9

Shay Barker · PK

CFBD athlete 5291728

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 42
kicking · PCT: 0.600
kicking · PTS: 29
kicking · XPA: 14
kicking · XPM: 11

Steven Angeli · QB

CFBD athlete 4685694

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 171
passing · COMPLETIONS: 98
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.573
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 1186
passing · YPA: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 26
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: -8
rushing · YPC: -0.4

Tedarius Hughes · DB

CFBD athlete 5203707

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Trevion Mack · OL

CFBD athlete 5085876

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Trey Dudley · LB

CFBD athlete 5216098

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Tripp Woody · PK

CFBD athlete 5218933

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 34
kicking · PCT: 0.667
kicking · PTS: 28
kicking · XPA: 12
kicking · XPM: 10

Tunmise Adeleye · DL

CFBD athlete 4432655

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 5.0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 31

Tylik Hill · RB

CFBD athlete 5261613

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 99
rushing · LONG: 55
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 522
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Tyshawn Russell · WR

CFBD athlete 5121471

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 7.8

Umari Hatcher · WR

CFBD athlete 4691315

receiving · LONG: 76
receiving · REC: 60
receiving · TD: 8
receiving · YDS: 952
receiving · YPR: 15.9
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 39
rushing · YPC: 19.5

Zaid Lott · QB

CFBD athlete 5216708

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -4.0

Zamondre Merriweather · WR

CFBD athlete 4870238

receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Ziyyon Bredell · DB

CFBD athlete 5210184

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Zyian Moultrie-Goddard · LB

CFBD athlete 4941016

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 23
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Syracuse +2.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Clemson -2.5

DraftKings snapshot: Syracuse +2.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Syracuse by 1.49

3.99 points toward Syracuse versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Syracuse.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: -2.51
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 1.49 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 84c4f503df243fdcd755140a19034e8bed4ebb79cb06afd924a54d4fdb57473d · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f587d29111b864b4f8c5a14a9a6e65ef41f9529bd2744f4fbcfffa5a1798c9ea · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Syracuse · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	+2.75	+2.5	-0.25
Model spread	-1.49	-1.49	0.0
Model gap	+4.24	+3.99	-0.25

Negative spreads favor Syracuse; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84c4f503df243fdcd755140a19034e8bed4ebb79cb06afd924a54d4fdb57473d. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Syracuse +2.5

Model gap +4.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Syracuse.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Syracuse win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 43%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Syracuse +2.5
Stacked ensemble: 58%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Syracuse.

home adjusted epa: +9.91 (path difference 0.31)
away adjusted epa: +9.91 (path difference 0.24)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +7.64 (path difference 1.22)
home elo: -7.29 (path difference 1.52)
home adjusted second level yards: +6.69 (path difference 4.19)
away adjusted epa allowed: -6.45 (path difference 3.34)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.72 (path difference 1.85)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.52 (path difference 2.58)
away talent: -4.44 (path difference 1.36)
away adjusted success: +3.98 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted passing epa: -3.91 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted line yards: -3.38 (path difference 0.86)
away adjusted passing down success: -3.33 (path difference 0.78)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.19 (path difference 3.10)
home talent: +2.95 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.81 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted epa allowed: -2.47 (path difference 1.08)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.94 (path difference 0.17)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.93 (path difference 0.48)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.86 (path difference 2.48)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.81 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted success allowed: -1.81 (path difference 0.28)
home adjusted explosiveness: +1.56 (path difference 0.61)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.54 (path difference 1.61)
week: -1.28 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.21 (path difference 1.13)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.20 (path difference 3.20)
home adjusted passing down success: -1.13 (path difference 1.71)
home adjusted success: +1.07 (path difference 0.10)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.05 (path difference 0.28)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.98 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.96 (path difference 0.11)
home conference: -0.86 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted success allowed: -0.83 (path difference 0.29)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.78 (path difference 1.57)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.78 (path difference 1.10)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.77 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.09)
away elo: +0.69 (path difference 0.40)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.67 (path difference 1.10)
away conference: -0.66 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.56 (path difference 0.67)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.51 (path difference 0.61)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.50 (path difference 2.72)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.47 (path difference 1.61)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.45 (path difference 0.33)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.45 (path difference 0.39)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.38 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.30 (path difference 0.50)
away adjusted rushing epa: +0.22 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted line yards: -0.17 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.45)

Reconciles to 57.56 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 7ee5907b4e4a2ace60293870b6e35f4e50248c27d2a8b063a6818b41b935dc14 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 630e788a545bf56e964b4c1eb2eb1b11d4f13c5875f59394b6411a6e15fa2b11 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Clemson

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 122 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Gideon Davidson CFBD athlete 5141422 Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 13 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 61.5% success · 0.339 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 14 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 35.7% success · -0.212 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida State: 12 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.261 raw PPA.	39	4.0	0	32.0%	104 / 4.9
Tait Reynolds CFBD athlete 5159078 Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 7 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.260 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 18 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.411 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida State: 14 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 60.0% success · 1.110 raw PPA.	39	4.8	8	32.0%	90 / 2.8
Chris Johnson Jr. CFBD athlete 5159948 Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 7 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.798 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.417 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida State: 5 attempts · 0.6 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.750 raw PPA.	13	2.7	0	10.7%	33 / 3.5
Jarvis Green CFBD athlete 5093141 Week 8 vs Virginia Tech: 2 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.427 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.206 raw PPA.	11	3.4	0	9.0%	32 / 3.9
Jay Haynes CFBD athlete 5150556 Week 7 vs Charleston Southern: 9 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.463 raw PPA.	9	2.8	0	7.4%	9 / 2.8

Syracuse

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 121 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Ahmad Miller CFBD athlete 5154420 Week 7 vs Louisville: 17 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 58.8% success · 0.277 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Carolina: 30 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 46.7% success · 0.024 raw PPA. Week 9 vs SMU: 18 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 38.9% success · 0.068 raw PPA.	65	4.6	0	53.7%	95 / 4.3
Tylik Hill CFBD athlete 5261613 Week 7 vs Louisville: 10 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.284 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Carolina: 10 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.288 raw PPA. Week 9 vs SMU: 10 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.179 raw PPA.	30	3.9	0	24.8%	97 / 5.3
Ju'Juan Johnson CFBD athlete 5079537 Week 7 vs Louisville: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.227 raw PPA. Week 8 vs North Carolina: 5 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.944 raw PPA. Week 9 vs SMU: 5 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.484 raw PPA.	12	4.6	0	9.9%	43 / 3.5
Malachi Nelson CFBD athlete 4870928 Week 7 vs Louisville: 6 attempts · -5.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.576 raw PPA.	6	-5.5	5	5.0%	11 / -1.7
Steven Angeli CFBD athlete 4685694 Week 8 vs North Carolina: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.333 raw PPA. Week 9 vs SMU: 2 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.720 raw PPA.	5	4.2	2	4.1%	17 / -0.1

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	SyracuseOffense	ClemsonDefense	ClemsonOffense	SyracuseDefense
PPA/play	+0.07 27th	+0.03 70th	-0.02 7th	+0.08 47th
Success rate	42.3% 48th	40.0% 58th	37.0% 6th	42.3% 34th
Explosiveness	1.24 53rd	1.18 69th	1.18 26th	1.22 50th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.04 35th	-0.03 71st	-0.07 8th	+0.06 42nd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.15 28th	+0.17 58th	+0.08 16th	+0.13 67th
Havoc allowed / created	13.6% 68th	19.1% 88th	17.8% 12th	18.3% 80th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:53 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:53 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Nolan Hauser · Clemson · PAAR 20.38 · 24 attempts
Tripp Woody · Syracuse · PAAR -4.69 · 9 attempts
Shay Barker · Syracuse · PAAR -4.75 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Syracuse spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +1.5 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +1.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence