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Week 10 · 2026

Louisville at Georgia Tech

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Louisville

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-09 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Lincoln Kienholz QB
3 games
47.9%
35 / 73 plays
66.7%
16 / 24 plays
Isaac Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.1%
16 / 34 plays
Keyjuan Brown RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
55.0%
11 / 20 plays
Marquise Davis RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
60.0%
6 / 10 plays
Tre Richardson WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
5 / 5 plays
Braxton Jennings RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Lekhy Thompkins RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Ryan Zimmerman QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adonijah Green · DL

CFBD athlete 4899477

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
16
Antonio Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5214562

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Antonio Watts · DB

CFBD athlete 4838276

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Bailey Abercrombie · DL

CFBD athlete 5258299

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
Benjamin Perry · LB

CFBD athlete 4683149

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
37
Blake Ruffin · DB

CFBD athlete 4877252

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Braxton Jennings · RB

CFBD athlete 5296136

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
38
receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
44
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
81
rushing · YPC
10.1
Briggs Cherry · QB

CFBD athlete 5158996

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
24
passing · YPA
12.0
Brody Foley · TE

CFBD athlete 4819226

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
4.0
Brycen Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 5224791

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Cameron White · LB

CFBD athlete 5217872

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Carson Hilbert · PK

CFBD athlete 5296134

kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
8
kicking · LONG
54
kicking · PCT
0.727
kicking · PTS
60
kicking · XPA
39
kicking · XPM
36
Clev Lubin · DL

CFBD athlete 5082149

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
39
DJ Waller Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5092262

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
Davin Wydner · QB

CFBD athlete 4836476

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
19
passing · YPA
4.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Daylen Russell · DL

CFBD athlete 5146111

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
16
Demeco Kennedy · DL

CFBD athlete 5147384

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
23
Dillon Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5209261

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Drew Kegebein · LS

CFBD athlete 5375082

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Elizjah Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 4893702

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Eric Hazzard · DL

CFBD athlete 5209935

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Garth White · PK

CFBD athlete 5085035

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
3
kicking · XPA
3
kicking · XPM
3
Isaac Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5079349

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
23.8
kickReturns · LONG
71
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
190
receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
141
receiving · YPR
9.4
rushing · CAR
92
rushing · LONG
97
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
707
rushing · YPC
7.7
Jabari Mack · DB

CFBD athlete 4917353

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
Jackson Voth · WR

CFBD athlete 5144023

puntReturns · AVG
12.3
puntReturns · LONG
33
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
86
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
13.7
Jacob Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5079695

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaleel Skinner · TE

CFBD athlete 4685560

receiving · LONG
69
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
293
receiving · YPR
17.2
James Glover-Tyson · OL

CFBD athlete 5151026

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jerod Smith II · DL

CFBD athlete 5079697

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
17
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Vann · S

CFBD athlete 5265176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Donald · DL

CFBD athlete 5084455

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
14
Justyn Reid · TE

CFBD athlete 5077877

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
17.5
Kaleb Beasley · DB

CFBD athlete 5079321

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
53
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
5
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kalib Perry · LB

CFBD athlete 5081395

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Keon Webb · DL

CFBD athlete 5226790

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Keyjuan Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 4923046

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
40
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
96
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
9.7
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
58
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
467
rushing · YPC
8.1
Koen Entringer · DB

CFBD athlete 4869698

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
32
kickReturns · AVG
13.0
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
Lance Robinson · OL

CFBD athlete 4576120

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Lawayne McCoy · WR

CFBD athlete 5086096

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
3.0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
3
receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
25
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
513
receiving · YPR
20.5
Lekhy Thompkins · RB

CFBD athlete 5209960

rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
37
rushing · YPC
4.6
Lincoln Kienholz · QB

CFBD athlete 5078278

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
208
passing · COMPLETIONS
141
passing · INT
3
passing · PCT
0.678
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
2094
passing · YPA
10.1
rushing · CAR
80
rushing · LONG
82
rushing · TD
11
rushing · YDS
313
rushing · YPC
3.9
Marlon Harbin · WR

CFBD athlete 5210046

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
12.0
Marquise Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5141420

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
14.0
kickReturns · LONG
14
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
14
rushing · CAR
18
rushing · LONG
39
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
140
rushing · YPC
7.8
Maurice Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5146867

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Micah Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 4870657

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Micah Rice · DB

CFBD athlete 5214535

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Myles Norwood · DB

CFBD athlete 5081861

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Niall Hayes · P

CFBD athlete 5447125

punting · In 20
4
punting · LONG
59
punting · NO
27
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1082
punting · YPP
40.1
Nick Keller · PK

CFBD athlete 5081159

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0.000
kicking · PTS
0
kicking · XPA
0
kicking · XPM
0
Ryan Zimmerman · QB

CFBD athlete 5226570

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
-1
passing · YPA
-1.0
Stanquan Clark · LB

CFBD athlete 4870664

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
56
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
T.J. Capers · LB

CFBD athlete 5079330

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
57
T.J. McWilliams · WR

CFBD athlete 5078049

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
31
receiving · YPR
7.8
Tayon Holloway · DB

CFBD athlete 4685387

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tommy Ziesmer · DL

CFBD athlete 4918459

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Travaris Banks · DB

CFBD athlete 5079312

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
36
Tre Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5294063

kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
13.0
puntReturns · LONG
13
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
13
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
40
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
633
receiving · YPR
15.8
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
117
rushing · YPC
11.7
Trent Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5145593

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Treyshun Hurry · WR

CFBD athlete 5085609

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
370
receiving · YPR
11.9
Tyler Thompson · DL

CFBD athlete 4921271

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
20
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Georgia Tech

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Alberto Mendoza QB
3 games
39.4%
37 / 94 plays
33.3%
3 / 9 plays
Grady Adamson QB
2 games
25.9%
7 / 27 plays
50.0%
3 / 6 plays
Justice Haynes RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
48.0%
12 / 25 plays
Trelain Maddox RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
27.3%
6 / 22 plays
Chad Alexander RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Hoffler · DE

CFBD athlete 4870781

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Aidan Birr · PK

CFBD athlete 4876720

kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.769
kicking · PTS
52
kicking · XPA
23
kicking · XPM
22
Alberto Mendoza · QB

CFBD athlete 5191162

fumbles · FUM
7
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
240
passing · COMPLETIONS
169
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.704
passing · TD
10
passing · YDS
1795
passing · YPA
7.5
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-34
rushing · YPC
-0.8
Alex Bacchetta · P

CFBD athlete 4862220

punting · In 20
10
punting · LONG
65
punting · NO
33
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1413
punting · YPP
42.8
Amier Clarke · DT

CFBD athlete 5271139

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Amontrae Bradford · DE

CFBD athlete 5146880

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Andre Fuller Jr. · DE

CFBD athlete 5199947

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Brayden Manley · DE

CFBD athlete 5153412

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Braylon Outlaw · LB

CFBD athlete 5217189

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
18
C.J. Gamble · LB

CFBD athlete 5222695

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Cayman Spaulding · LB

CFBD athlete 5153762

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
34
Chad Alexander · RB

CFBD athlete 5125580

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
kickReturns · AVG
25.5
kickReturns · LONG
41
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
204
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-0.7
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
34
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
6.0
Chris Corbo · TE

CFBD athlete 5085509

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
121
receiving · YPR
9.3
Chris Hewitt Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5159174

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
25
Christian Garrett · DT

CFBD athlete 5147846

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Christian Speakman · DT

CFBD athlete 5292052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Daiquan White · CB

CFBD athlete 4921457

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Dalen Penson · WR

CFBD athlete 5199859

receiving · LONG
46
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
434
receiving · YPR
15.5
Darnell Collins · WR

CFBD athlete 5289797

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Debron Gatling · WR

CFBD athlete 5079441

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
66
receiving · YPR
16.5
Derry Norris Jr. · DT

CFBD athlete 5167754

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
E.J. Lightsey · LB

CFBD athlete 4837472

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
34
Elgin Sessions · CB

CFBD athlete 5215237

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
puntReturns · AVG
0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
0
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
3
Gavin Harris · TE

CFBD athlete 5154262

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
77
receiving · YPR
11.0
Grady Adamson · QB

CFBD athlete 5207610

passing · ATT
27
passing · COMPLETIONS
13
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.481
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
135
passing · YPA
5.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
36
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
68
rushing · YPC
7.6
Graham Knowles · QB

CFBD athlete 5146575

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Isaiah Fuhrmann · WR

CFBD athlete 5224790

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
89
receiving · YPR
12.7
J.P. Powell · RB

CFBD athlete 5215011

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaedyn Terry · CB

CFBD athlete 5266701

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaiven Plummer · WR

CFBD athlete 4703030

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
15.7
Jayden Barr · RB

CFBD athlete 5215624

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaylen Mbakwe · CB

CFBD athlete 5079515

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Jon Mitchell · CB

CFBD athlete 5079598

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Jonas Duclona · CB

CFBD athlete 4923251

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Allen · WR

CFBD athlete 5141362

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
16.0
puntReturns · LONG
33
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
112
receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
46
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
543
receiving · YPR
11.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Jordan Boyd · DE

CFBD athlete 5127028

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Jordan Walker · DE

CFBD athlete 5092443

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Justice Haynes · RB

CFBD athlete 4870760

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
71
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
112
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
548
rushing · YPC
4.9
Kelvin Hill · CB

CFBD athlete 5155744

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
29
Kevin Roche Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5215629

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
35
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
298
receiving · YPR
8.5
Kyle Efford · LB

CFBD athlete 4838514

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
27
L.J. Crumity · CB

CFBD athlete 5277201

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Landen Marshall · DT

CFBD athlete 5146808

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Landon Shaffer · PK

CFBD athlete 5296224

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Malachi Hosley · RB

CFBD athlete 5155366

rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
61
rushing · YPC
3.8
Melvin Jordan IV · LB

CFBD athlete 4685429

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
20
Noah Carter · DE

CFBD athlete 5139096

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
12
Rahkeem Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5085830

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
28.1
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
19
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
534
puntReturns · AVG
-10.0
puntReturns · LONG
1
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-10
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
Savion Riley · S

CFBD athlete 4871101

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
Shymeik Jones · DT

CFBD athlete 5075806

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Tae Harris · S

CFBD athlete 5147934

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
30
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
50
Taje Mccoy · DE

CFBD athlete 5105677

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
45
Tawfiq Thomas · DT

CFBD athlete 4812383

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
42
Trae Stevenson Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5276054

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
interceptions · AVG
22.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
21.0
puntReturns · LONG
21
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
21
Trelain Maddox · RB

CFBD athlete 5103639

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
121
receiving · YPR
7.1
rushing · CAR
48
rushing · LONG
60
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
289
rushing · YPC
6.0
Vincent Carroll-Jackson · DT

CFBD athlete 5120453

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
22
Zachary Tobe · CB

CFBD athlete 4954446

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Louisville -14.5

DraftKings snapshot: Georgia Tech +14.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Louisville by 12.20

2.30 points toward Georgia Tech versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Georgia Tech.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -16.20
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -12.20 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 26c70ebf47ef04b3d1203c8a98d005eddabaf0fcda3cb87b0b5253b5417b335b · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f98af8d80a6fdd5887f5b0bd6b6f57a4da2b21b72ec98aea3de1b80eaa345cbb · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Georgia Tech · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+14.5+14.50.0
Model spread+12.2+12.20.0
Model gap+2.3+2.30.0

Negative spreads favor Georgia Tech; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 26c70ebf47ef04b3d1203c8a98d005eddabaf0fcda3cb87b0b5253b5417b335b. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.3 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Georgia Tech win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
16%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Georgia Tech +14.5
Stacked ensemble
21%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Georgia Tech.

  • away adjusted success: -12.49 (path difference 2.14)
  • home elo: -6.34 (path difference 1.57)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.11 (path difference 1.69)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -4.86 (path difference 1.56)
  • away elo: -4.81 (path difference 0.90)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +4.78 (path difference 2.53)
  • home adjusted epa: +4.44 (path difference 5.25)
  • away adjusted epa: -4.16 (path difference 0.88)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +3.89 (path difference 1.33)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -3.83 (path difference 1.74)
  • home talent: +3.41 (path difference 1.21)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.84 (path difference 3.21)
  • away talent: -2.80 (path difference 2.19)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.63 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.55 (path difference 1.12)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -2.51 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.47 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.45 (path difference 1.98)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +2.38 (path difference 0.05)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.21 (path difference 1.15)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -2.16 (path difference 1.06)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.14 (path difference 0.92)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -2.07 (path difference 0.21)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.93 (path difference 1.62)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.71 (path difference 1.21)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +1.62 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: +1.31 (path difference 1.26)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -1.30 (path difference 0.69)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.27 (path difference 1.50)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.25 (path difference 1.92)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.21 (path difference 0.71)
  • week: -1.19 (path difference 0.23)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.88 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.81 (path difference 0.70)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.80 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.78 (path difference 0.68)
  • home adjusted line yards: -0.76 (path difference 0.57)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.69 (path difference 1.07)
  • home adjusted success: +0.69 (path difference 0.34)
  • home conference: -0.66 (path difference 0.39)
  • home adjusted open field yards: +0.65 (path difference 0.63)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.64 (path difference 0.17)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.62 (path difference 0.56)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.61 (path difference 0.85)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.61 (path difference 0.84)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.58 (path difference 0.23)
  • away conference: -0.44 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.42 (path difference 0.63)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.24 (path difference 0.04)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.20 (path difference 0.84)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.12 (path difference 1.64)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.10 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.08 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.08 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 21.33 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 198e60cd6f4c3b658a0f36b3fff8b95e1944105cd48790dc98b7d940df25b514 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast b6146949bad8efe9ab1ead478ce757c098360fc2584bfb6677fe7cad6bf0ace6 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Louisville

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Isaac Brown

CFBD athlete 5079349

Week 6 vs Florida State: 16 attempts · 14.8 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.625 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 9 attempts · 1.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.503 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Stanford: 9 attempts · 15.4 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.377 raw PPA.

3411.4033.0%90 / 7.8
Lincoln Kienholz

CFBD athlete 5078278

Week 6 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 87.5% success · 0.874 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 10 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.788 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Stanford: 9 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.526 raw PPA.

285.5427.2%78 / 4.0
Keyjuan Brown

CFBD athlete 4923046

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 13 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 38.5% success · 0.310 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Stanford: 7 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 85.7% success · 0.242 raw PPA.

205.0019.4%59 / 8.7
Marquise Davis

CFBD athlete 5141420

Week 6 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.285 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Stanford: 1 attempts · -4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.066 raw PPA.

105.209.7%18 / 7.8
Tre Richardson

CFBD athlete 5294063

Week 7 vs Syracuse: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.193 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Stanford: 4 attempts · 12.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.569 raw PPA.

511.004.9%10 / 11.8

Georgia Tech

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 74 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Justice Haynes

CFBD athlete 4870760

Week 8 vs Boston College: 14 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.086 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Pittsburgh: 11 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 45.5% success · -0.042 raw PPA.

253.4033.8%108 / 4.8
Trelain Maddox

CFBD athlete 5103639

Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 11 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.316 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Boston College: 7 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.058 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Pittsburgh: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.270 raw PPA.

225.5029.7%46 / 6.0
Alberto Mendoza

CFBD athlete 5191162

Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 3 attempts · -5.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.277 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Boston College: 5 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.154 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Pittsburgh: 9 attempts · -1.2 YPC · 20.0% success · 0.322 raw PPA.

17-0.4723.0%36 / 0.3
Grady Adamson

CFBD athlete 5207610

Week 8 vs Boston College: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.743 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Pittsburgh: 5 attempts · 12.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 1.104 raw PPA.

79.319.5%8 / 8.4
Chad Alexander

CFBD athlete 5125580

Week 7 vs Virginia Tech: 3 attempts · 11.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.422 raw PPA.

311.304.1%7 / 6.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureGeorgia TechOffenseLouisvilleDefenseLouisvilleOffenseGeorgia TechDefense
PPA/play
+0.10
40th
+0.06
58th
+0.33
98th
+0.18
13th
Success rate
41.3%
38th
39.3%
64th
49.8%
92nd
43.3%
25th
Explosiveness
1.30
75th
1.28
29th
1.40
99th
1.22
52nd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.09
52nd
-0.04
76th
+0.26
95th
+0.10
23rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.14
26th
+0.28
21st
+0.50
96th
+0.37
9th
Havoc allowed / created
18.4%
7th
15.1%
40th
17.1%
19th
13.6%
19th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:42 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:42 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Aidan Birr · Georgia Tech · PAAR -2.00 · 13 attempts
  • Nick Keller · Louisville · PAAR -0.82 · 1 attempts
  • Carson Hilbert · Louisville · PAAR 2.46 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Georgia Tech spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +13.5 · Snapshot spread: +14.5

First locally observed: +14.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 59.5 · Snapshot total: 62.5

Total · First locally observed: 60.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +490 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +490 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -675 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -675 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +14.5 · Snapshot spread: +14.5

First locally observed: +14.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 60.5 · Snapshot total: 62

Total · First locally observed: 60.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +475 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +475 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -675 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -675 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Georgia Tech

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

20th FBS percentile

Louisville

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

89th FBS percentile

Travel

Louisville travels 316 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Series tied 2–2 in 4 meetings since 2018.

  • 2024Georgia Tech at Louisville19–31 · Louisville
  • 2023 · NLouisville at Georgia Tech39–34 · Louisville
  • 2020Louisville at Georgia Tech27–46 · Georgia Tech
  • 2018Georgia Tech at Louisville66–31 · Georgia Tech

CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.