Skip to content
CFB/LAB
Menu
All gamesRecipe comparisons

Week 10 · 2026

Virginia Tech at SMU

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Virginia Tech

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Ethan Grunkemeyer QB
3 games
39.4%
39 / 99 plays
54.5%
12 / 22 plays
Que'Sean Brown WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
3 / 3 plays
Luke Reynolds TE
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 66 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Brand · WR

CFBD athlete 5296264

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
5.0
Aidan Lynch · OL

CFBD athlete 5146772

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Antwone Santiago · LB

CFBD athlete 4917372

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Aycen Stevens · DL

CFBD athlete 4920136

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
7.0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
21
Ayden Greene · WR

CFBD athlete 4918417

receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
294
receiving · YPR
17.3
Benji Gosnell · TE

CFBD athlete 4685366

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
5.5
Brennan Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 5239158

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brett Clatterbaugh · DL

CFBD athlete 5141412

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Bryce Baker · QB

CFBD athlete 5141366

passing · ATT
14
passing · COMPLETIONS
11
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.786
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
127
passing · YPA
9.1
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
5.3
Cam Chadwick · CB

CFBD athlete 5078421

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
Chanz Wiggins · WR

CFBD athlete 5079766

receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
40
receiving · YPR
40.0
Christian Evans · DL

CFBD athlete 5213298

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cortez Harris · DL

CFBD athlete 5141504

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
5
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
18
puntReturns · AVG
29.0
puntReturns · LONG
29
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
29
Curtis Jones Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5155697

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
16
DQ Smith · S

CFBD athlete 5081211

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
19
Daniel Jennings · DL

CFBD athlete 5209336

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Darius Taylor · RB

CFBD athlete 5161647

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
4.4
Davion Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5158951

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.0
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
27
puntReturns · AVG
1.0
puntReturns · LONG
1
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
1
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
184
receiving · YPR
14.2
Deric Dandy · DL

CFBD athlete 5138229

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Elhadj Fall · DL

CFBD athlete 4917323

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
14
Eric Mensah · DL

CFBD athlete 5146856

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Ethan Grunkemeyer · QB

CFBD athlete 5144078

fumbles · FUM
4
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
262
passing · COMPLETIONS
187
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.714
passing · TD
17
passing · YDS
2140
passing · YPA
8.2
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
0.2
George Ballance · LB

CFBD athlete 5150880

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
Gerard Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5110464

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Harrison Saint Germain · TE

CFBD athlete 4726129

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
5.0
Isaiah Brown-Murray · CB

CFBD athlete 4873701

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
Ja'Ricous Hairston · TE

CFBD athlete 5161652

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
81
receiving · YPR
13.5
Jaquez White · CB

CFBD athlete 5295858

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
31
Jason Abbey · DL

CFBD athlete 5042882

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
12
Javion Hilson · DL

CFBD athlete 5141502

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
7
Jeffrey Overton Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5214409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
31.0
kickReturns · LONG
62
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
155
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
214
receiving · YPR
9.3
rushing · CAR
113
rushing · LONG
76
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
639
rushing · YPC
5.7
John Buetow · RB

CFBD athlete 5219039

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
19
rushing · YPC
9.5
John Love · PK

CFBD athlete 4880893

kicking · FGA
14
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.786
kicking · PTS
64
kicking · XPA
32
kicking · XPM
31
John-Patrick Oates · LB

CFBD athlete 5290953

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Jordan Bass · S

CFBD athlete 4923044

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Joshua Clarke · CB

CFBD athlete 5138342

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Kaleb Spencer · LB

CFBD athlete 4921269

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.0
defensive · TOT
40
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kemari Copeland · DL

CFBD athlete 5082172

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
20
Kenny Woseley Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5079755

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
13
Keon Wylie · LB

CFBD athlete 4832831

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
41
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
1
Keylen Adams · WR

CFBD athlete 5079290

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
4.0
Knahlij Harrell · S

CFBD athlete 5198115

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
puntReturns · AVG
0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
0
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
0
Luke Reynolds · TE

CFBD athlete 5138451

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
8
passing · YPA
8.0
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
50
receiving · TD
6
receiving · YDS
493
receiving · YPR
9.9
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
0.5
Marcellous Hawkins · RB

CFBD athlete 5260847

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
5.4
rushing · CAR
84
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
337
rushing · YPC
4.0
Marlion Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5092787

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
13.4
Mathieu Lamah · LB

CFBD athlete 5381625

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Messiah Mickens · RB

CFBD athlete 5159010

rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
34
rushing · YPC
4.3
Mylachi Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5127806

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.0
defensive · TOT
11
Nathan Totten · P

CFBD athlete 5163088

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
11
punting · LONG
60
punting · NO
29
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1220
punting · YPP
42.1
receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
8.0
Noah Chambers · LB

CFBD athlete 5178083

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8
defensive · TOT
37
Pierce Petersohn · TE

CFBD athlete 5276063

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
3.0
Que'Sean Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5218787

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
24
puntReturns · AVG
23.5
puntReturns · LONG
79
puntReturns · NO
12
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
282
receiving · LONG
66
receiving · REC
51
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
685
receiving · YPR
13.4
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
34
rushing · YPC
11.3
Quentin Reddish · S

CFBD athlete 5146425

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Randy Adirika · DL

CFBD athlete 5149000

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Samuel Okunlola · DL

CFBD athlete 4905690

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
6
Sheldon Robinson · S

CFBD athlete 5213303

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Sherrod Covil · S

CFBD athlete 4685316

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Sherrod Henderson · DL

CFBD athlete 5216996

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Terry Wiggins · LB

CFBD athlete 5252213

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Thomas Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 4921118

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Tyler Mason · RB

CFBD athlete 5142238

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
4.0
kickReturns · LONG
4
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
4
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
3.2
Tyseer Denmark · WR

CFBD athlete 5079402

puntReturns · AVG
13.0
puntReturns · LONG
29
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
39
receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
66
receiving · YPR
9.4
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-5
rushing · YPC
-2.5
Tyson Flowers · S

CFBD athlete 4870232

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
puntReturns · AVG
12.0
puntReturns · LONG
12
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
12
Tyson Harley · DL

CFBD athlete 5245506

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Zaevion Cleveland · CB

CFBD athlete 5276983

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Zeke Chinwike · DL

CFBD athlete 5216641

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

SMU

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Kevin Jennings QB
3 games
46.0%
46 / 100 plays
52.9%
9 / 17 plays
Kendrick Raphael RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
56.1%
32 / 57 plays
Christian Rhodes RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
54.5%
6 / 11 plays
Derrick McFall WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Ty Hawkins QB
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
William Fierro RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
EJ Kelly RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Randy Pittman TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aakil Washington · DE

CFBD athlete 4608871

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Abdul Muhammad · S

CFBD athlete 4941019

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Alex Kilgore · LB

CFBD athlete 5076108

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
41
Aljour Miles II · WR

CFBD athlete 5245414

receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Amontre Harris · DE

CFBD athlete 5264801

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Brandon Booker · LB

CFBD athlete 5142227

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
32
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
Brandon Miyazono · LB

CFBD athlete 4917622

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
18
kickReturns · AVG
10.0
kickReturns · LONG
10
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
10
Brendan Baird · PK

CFBD athlete 5381521

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
5
kicking · LONG
45
kicking · PCT
0.833
kicking · PTS
33
kicking · XPA
19
kicking · XPM
18
Carterrious Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5164352

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
11.5
Charlie Fiser · QB

CFBD athlete 5084086

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
8
passing · YPA
4.0
Christian Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5156287

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
20
Christian Rhodes · RB

CFBD athlete 5244759

kickReturns · AVG
21.5
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
43
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
17
receiving · YPR
8.5
rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
64
rushing · YPC
5.3
Cole Leinart · QB

CFBD athlete 5161878

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
5.0
Dakota Dickson · DL

CFBD athlete 5209116

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Derrick McFall · WR

CFBD athlete 5079523

kickReturns · AVG
35.0
kickReturns · LONG
35
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
35
receiving · LONG
52
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
167
receiving · YPR
18.6
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
40
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
87
rushing · YPC
5.8
Deuce Gilbert · CB

CFBD athlete 5381511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Dramekco Green · RB

CFBD athlete 5207927

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
15.8
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
63
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
18.5
rushing · CAR
36
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
111
rushing · YPC
3.1
EJ Kelly · RB

CFBD athlete 5280790

kickReturns · AVG
15.5
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
62
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
10.0
Ira Singleton · DE

CFBD athlete 5148841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
9
Jaden Milliner-Jones · S

CFBD athlete 4921501

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Jaelyn Davis-Robinson · CB

CFBD athlete 4916238

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jahkai Lang · DE

CFBD athlete 4870849

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
7
Jakai Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5216561

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
8.7
Jake Ballard · S

CFBD athlete 5219237

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jalen Cooper · WR

CFBD athlete 5207842

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-1.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-1
receiving · LONG
50
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
389
receiving · YPR
14.4
Jalen Hale · WR

CFBD athlete 4870776

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
64
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
258
receiving · YPR
16.1
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Jalen Shivers · DL

CFBD athlete 5212665

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jamal Anderson · LB

CFBD athlete 4923043

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
25
Jarvis Lee Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5075537

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
27
interceptions · AVG
28.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
28
Javion Holiday · CB

CFBD athlete 5189535

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaylen Moses · S

CFBD athlete 5155011

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jayvon Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 4871075

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
Jimmy Wyrick · S

CFBD athlete 4678012

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
37
Jonathan Jefferson · DL

CFBD athlete 4431393

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Jordyn Adams · WR

CFBD athlete 5381512

kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
5.0
puntReturns · LONG
5
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
Joshua Bates · OL

CFBD athlete 4880599

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-5
receiving · YPR
-5.0
Kendrick Raphael · RB

CFBD athlete 4899368

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
152
receiving · YPR
10.1
rushing · CAR
135
rushing · LONG
40
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
697
rushing · YPC
5.2
Kevin Allen · DL

CFBD athlete 5121988

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Kevin Jennings · QB

CFBD athlete 5084084

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
251
passing · COMPLETIONS
185
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.737
passing · TD
21
passing · YDS
2433
passing · YPA
9.7
rushing · CAR
56
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
116
rushing · YPC
2.1
La'Modrick Spencer · S

CFBD athlete 5295337

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
14
Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder · DL

CFBD athlete 5219393

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
17
Marcellus Barnes Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5147100

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Marques White · DE

CFBD athlete 4571284

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Morgan Tribbett · LS

CFBD athlete 5151396

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Reed · PK

CFBD athlete 5162847

kicking · FGA
6
kicking · FGM
3
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
0.500
kicking · PTS
23
kicking · XPA
14
kicking · XPM
14
Randy Pittman · TE

CFBD athlete 4870954

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
213
receiving · YPR
9.3
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
2.3
Sael Reyes · S

CFBD athlete 5141619

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
31
Tavion Atkinson · DE

CFBD athlete 5381510

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
15
Theo Melin Ohrstrom · TE

CFBD athlete 4870843

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
165
receiving · YPR
11.8
Trey Wilson · DE

CFBD athlete 4871072

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tripp Riordan · TE

CFBD athlete 4920161

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
7.0
Ty Hawkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5141487

passing · ATT
14
passing · COMPLETIONS
12
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.857
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
117
passing · YPA
8.4
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
43
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
75
rushing · YPC
12.5
Tyren Polley · S

CFBD athlete 5141639

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
33
Wade McSparron · P

CFBD athlete 5295341

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
58
punting · NO
22
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
984
punting · YPP
44.7
Will Locke · TE

CFBD athlete 5219228

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
William Fierro · RB

CFBD athlete 5160121

receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
1
receiving · YPR
1.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
0.7
William Nettles · CB

CFBD athlete 5147186

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
William Spencer · DL

CFBD athlete 4871060

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
7
Xavier Wright · LB

CFBD athlete 5219230

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Yamir Knight · WR

CFBD athlete 5121750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
17
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
17
puntReturns · AVG
9.8
puntReturns · LONG
26
puntReturns · NO
16
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
157
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
44
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
523
receiving · YPR
11.9
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-7.0
Yannick Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5155519

receiving · LONG
79
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
437
receiving · YPR
16.2
Zack Turner · TE

CFBD athlete 5159083

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
53
receiving · YPR
17.7

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

SMU -6.25

DraftKings snapshot: SMU -6.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

SMU by 6.17

0.08 points toward Virginia Tech versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward SMU.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: +2.17
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 6.17 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 36360196cc88dae19cf1cedea8ca9afee17dae4444ae040902a06603445d71a1 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 666fccb457b15cd93d52abdce38e980a2b3fb1e76f681c80834b468ab72ec6dc · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: SMU · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-6.25-6.250.0
Model spread-6.17-6.170.0
Model gap-0.08-0.080.0

Negative spreads favor SMU; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 36360196cc88dae19cf1cedea8ca9afee17dae4444ae040902a06603445d71a1. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.1 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

SMU win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
66%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: SMU -6
Stacked ensemble
81%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward SMU.

  • home elo: +12.78 (path difference 7.11)
  • home adjusted success: +8.70 (path difference 7.66)
  • away adjusted success: -7.06 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +5.63 (path difference 7.35)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +3.79 (path difference 0.20)
  • away talent: -3.79 (path difference 1.23)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +3.73 (path difference 1.48)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.64 (path difference 3.40)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.49 (path difference 3.32)
  • home talent: +3.44 (path difference 1.69)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.01 (path difference 1.02)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.72 (path difference 2.13)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +2.69 (path difference 0.90)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.62 (path difference 0.28)
  • away elo: +2.52 (path difference 4.05)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.38 (path difference 0.17)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -2.12 (path difference 0.32)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.07 (path difference 0.35)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.97 (path difference 1.46)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.73 (path difference 1.03)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +1.64 (path difference 0.40)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.62 (path difference 0.78)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.57 (path difference 0.70)
  • away adjusted epa: -1.48 (path difference 0.73)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -1.32 (path difference 1.48)
  • home adjusted line yards: -1.19 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.16 (path difference 1.35)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.11 (path difference 0.35)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.09 (path difference 1.14)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.05 (path difference 0.16)
  • week: -0.91 (path difference 0.78)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.90 (path difference 0.29)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.67 (path difference 1.26)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.64 (path difference 0.97)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.62 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.58 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.53 (path difference 0.18)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.49 (path difference 0.80)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.39)
  • away conference: -0.41 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.40 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.40 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.39 (path difference 0.59)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.37 (path difference 1.21)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.34 (path difference 0.27)
  • home conference: -0.33 (path difference 1.04)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +0.15 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.68)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.09 (path difference 1.24)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.07 (path difference 0.31)
  • home adjusted epa: +0.05 (path difference 0.29)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.04 (path difference 1.18)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.04 (path difference 1.24)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.02 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.35)

Reconciles to 81.16 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 618fed26b2d2cdd06d6ffad2651f69205a721d73dff1ccc2f96955aad40c89cf · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 8cbca6af8ab59943ff4440c5764b05eda8ff5f3ae0ed8a9aba0889feee18b800 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Virginia Tech

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 39 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Ethan Grunkemeyer

CFBD athlete 5144078

Week 6 vs California: 8 attempts · -0.6 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.136 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Georgia Tech: 12 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.543 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Clemson: 16 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.503 raw PPA.

361.11492.3%57 / 0.2
Que'Sean Brown

CFBD athlete 5218787

Week 7 vs Georgia Tech: 1 attempts · 12.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.077 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Clemson: 2 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.833 raw PPA.

311.307.7%3 / 11.3

SMU

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Kendrick Raphael

CFBD athlete 4899368

Week 7 vs Virginia: 22 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 59.1% success · 0.295 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 21 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 52.4% success · 0.288 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Syracuse: 14 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 57.1% success · -0.089 raw PPA.

574.9055.3%131 / 5.2
Kevin Jennings

CFBD athlete 5084084

Week 7 vs Virginia: 4 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.162 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.246 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Syracuse: 13 attempts · -0.4 YPC · 55.6% success · -0.108 raw PPA.

242.0623.3%55 / 1.8
Christian Rhodes

CFBD athlete 5244759

Week 7 vs Virginia: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.811 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs California: 7 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.875 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Syracuse: 2 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.274 raw PPA.

115.8010.7%11 / 5.8
Derrick McFall

CFBD athlete 5079523

Week 7 vs Virginia: 2 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.561 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Syracuse: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.285 raw PPA.

36.002.9%15 / 5.8
Ty Hawkins

CFBD athlete 5141487

Week 8 vs California: 2 attempts · 22.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.213 raw PPA.

222.501.9%5 / 12.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureSMUOffenseVirginia TechDefenseVirginia TechOffenseSMUDefense
PPA/play
+0.25
88th
+0.03
68th
+0.19
71st
+0.06
55th
Success rate
48.7%
85th
36.0%
85th
44.8%
66th
38.0%
71st
Explosiveness
1.26
58th
1.31
18th
1.25
55th
1.25
38th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.19
84th
+0.06
42nd
+0.10
58th
+0.01
55th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.40
85th
-0.01
93rd
+0.41
88th
+0.16
60th
Havoc allowed / created
13.0%
73rd
24.1%
99th
13.8%
65th
17.7%
73rd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:43 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:43 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • John Love · Virginia Tech · PAAR 0.79 · 14 attempts
  • Nick Reed · SMU · PAAR -5.00 · 6 attempts
  • Brendan Baird · SMU · PAAR 1.14 · 6 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

SMU spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 57.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 57.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -278 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +185 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +225 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: -6 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 55 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 55 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -230 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -230 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +190 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +190 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

SMU

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

58th FBS percentile

Virginia Tech

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · ACC

49th FBS percentile

Travel

Virginia Tech travels 973 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · down 1,519 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

SMU leads 2–1 in 3 meetings since 1972.

  • 1974Virginia Tech at SMU25–28 · SMU
  • 1973Virginia Tech at SMU6–37 · SMU
  • 1972SMU at Virginia Tech10–13 · Virginia Tech

CFBD matchup data Last 3 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.