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Week 10 · 2026

Miami at Notre Dame

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Miami

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Darian Mensah QB
3 games
55.2%
58 / 105 plays
50.0%
3 / 6 plays
Mark Fletcher Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
43.9%
18 / 41 plays
Javian Mallory RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.9%
15 / 32 plays
Jordan Lyle RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
26.7%
4 / 15 plays
Girard Pringle Jr. RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 6 plays
Chris Wheatley-Humphrey RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
Malachi Toney WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
2 / 3 plays
Traditional season production · 69 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Booker · LS

CFBD athlete 5081246

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ahmad Moten · DL

CFBD athlete 4916996

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
Andres Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5226986

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Armondo Blount · DL

CFBD athlete 5141370

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
19
Asharri Charles · DL

CFBD athlete 5161813

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Booker Pickett · DL

CFBD athlete 5079565

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Brennan Burton · WR

CFBD athlete 5226970

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Brody Jennings · DB

CFBD athlete 5160492

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
interceptions · AVG
24.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
24
Bryce Fitzgerald · DB

CFBD athlete 5298737

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Cam Pruitt · LB

CFBD athlete 5132631

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Camdin Portis · DB

CFBD athlete 5217147

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
CharMar Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5156998

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
13
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
97
rushing · YPC
7.5
Chase Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 4682490

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
35
Chris Ewald Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5295127

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Chris Wheatley-Humphrey · RB

CFBD athlete 5142321

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
23
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
35
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
116
rushing · YPC
7.7
Cooper Barkate · WR

CFBD athlete 4804878

receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
28
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
372
receiving · YPR
13.3
Cortez Redding · DB

CFBD athlete 5181240

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Damari Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 4870650

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Damon Wilson Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4871089

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Darian Mensah · QB

CFBD athlete 5121169

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
233
passing · COMPLETIONS
188
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.807
passing · TD
25
passing · YDS
2425
passing · YPA
10.4
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
34
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
109
rushing · YPC
4.5
Daylyn Upshaw · WR

CFBD athlete 5164365

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
263
receiving · YPR
12.0
DeAnthony Lafayette · DL

CFBD athlete 5271176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Dereon Coleman · QB

CFBD athlete 5161816

passing · ATT
6
passing · COMPLETIONS
5
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.833
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
30
passing · YPA
5.0
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
25
rushing · YPC
6.3
Dylan Day · DB

CFBD athlete 5142262

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Dylan Joyce · P

CFBD athlete 5121892

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
54
punting · NO
19
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
856
punting · YPP
45.1
Elija Lofton · TE

CFBD athlete 5079503

receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
236
receiving · YPR
11.8
Ethan O'Connor · DB

CFBD athlete 4919038

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ezekiel Marcelin Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5141569

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Gavin Mueller · TE

CFBD athlete 5276674

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
4.3
Girard Pringle Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5164331

kickReturns · AVG
17.8
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
89
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
43
receiving · YPR
10.8
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
86
rushing · YPC
3.0
Herbert Scroggins III · DL

CFBD athlete 5214513

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Isaiah Taylor · DB

CFBD athlete 4712326

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Israel Briggs · TE

CFBD athlete 5245125

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
4.0
JJ Dunnigan · DB

CFBD athlete 5259295

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
37
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
39.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
39
Ja'Boree Antoine · DB

CFBD athlete 5141368

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jack Olsen · PK

CFBD athlete 4566164

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
2
kicking · XPA
2
kicking · XPM
2
Jack Whitehouse · RB

CFBD athlete 5226985

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
11.4
Jaelen Waters · DB

CFBD athlete 5163001

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Jake Weinberg · PK

CFBD athlete 5123219

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
8
kicking · FGM
7
kicking · LONG
50
kicking · PCT
0.875
kicking · PTS
64
kicking · XPA
43
kicking · XPM
43
Jamal Meriweather · OL

CFBD athlete 4921440

rushing · CAR
0
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0
Jarquez Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 5167747

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Javian Mallory · RB

CFBD athlete 5160496

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
23
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
71
rushing · LONG
52
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
495
rushing · YPC
7.0
Jordan Lyle · RB

CFBD athlete 5079591

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-2.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-2
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
5.3
rushing · CAR
21
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
98
rushing · YPC
4.7
Joshua Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5141593

receiving · LONG
55
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
107
receiving · YPR
15.3
Justin Scott · DL

CFBD athlete 5079678

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Kamal Bonner · LB

CFBD athlete 5078098

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Kellen Wiley Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5236220

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
Keona Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5219069

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
5
Keshawn Stancil · DL

CFBD athlete 5212622

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Luke Nickel · QB

CFBD athlete 5141605

passing · ATT
20
passing · COMPLETIONS
15
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
204
passing · YPA
10.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
2.5
Malachi Toney · WR

CFBD athlete 5159175

puntReturns · AVG
11.5
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
69
receiving · LONG
53
receiving · REC
73
receiving · TD
13
receiving · YDS
1027
receiving · YPR
14.1
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
61
rushing · YPC
15.3
Mark Fletcher Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 4870736

receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
85
receiving · YPR
12.1
rushing · CAR
94
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
457
rushing · YPC
4.9
Marquise Lightfoot · DL

CFBD athlete 5126999

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
7
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.5
defensive · TOT
29
Milan Parris · WR

CFBD athlete 5211183

receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
6.3
Mohamed Toure · LB

CFBD athlete 4430604

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
44
Monroe Ingraham · DB

CFBD athlete 5377922

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Mykah Newton · DL

CFBD athlete 5198317

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5226983

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
OJ Frederique Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5226976

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Omar Thornton · DB

CFBD athlete 5196025

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
25
Ryan Mack · DB

CFBD athlete 5079564

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Samuel Coufal · DL

CFBD athlete 5168282

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Somourian Wingo · WR

CFBD athlete 5200381

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
115
puntReturns · AVG
16.7
puntReturns · LONG
42
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
50
receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
142
receiving · YPR
17.8
Terrell Walden II · RB

CFBD athlete 5098610

rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
25
rushing · YPC
3.6
Vance Spafford · WR

CFBD athlete 5210477

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
78
receiving · YPR
13.0
Vandrevious Jacobs · WR

CFBD athlete 4870842

receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
150
receiving · YPR
16.7
Will Rocha · PK

CFBD athlete 5170143

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
5
kicking · XPA
5
kicking · XPM
5
Xavier Lucas · DB

CFBD athlete 5127735

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Zechariah Poyser · DB

CFBD athlete 5150903

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
24

Notre Dame

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
C.J. Carr QB
3 games
48.0%
47 / 98 plays
41.7%
5 / 12 plays
Nolan James Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
52.8%
19 / 36 plays
Jonaz Walton RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
53.3%
16 / 30 plays
Aneyas Williams RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
41.7%
5 / 12 plays
Noah Grubbs QB
2 games
75.0%
6 / 8 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Javian Osborne RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
71.4%
5 / 7 plays
Kedren Young RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
2 / 6 plays
Traditional season production · 65 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adon Shuler · S

CFBD athlete 4880937

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
33
interceptions · AVG
9.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
9
Aneyas Williams · RB

CFBD athlete 5079742

kickReturns · AVG
17.2
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
86
receiving · LONG
70
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
109
receiving · YPR
12.1
rushing · CAR
72
rushing · LONG
28
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
331
rushing · YPC
4.6
Armel Mukam · DL

CFBD athlete 5078062

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
15
Ayden Pouncey · CB

CFBD athlete 5161840

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Boubacar Traore · DL

CFBD athlete 4871079

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
8
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
24
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
18.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
18
Brandon Logan · S

CFBD athlete 5214506

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Brayden Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5159080

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
11.0
Bryce Young · DL

CFBD athlete 5112630

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
23
Bubba Frazier · WR

CFBD athlete 5245466

fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
C.J. Carr · QB

CFBD athlete 5079369

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
222
passing · COMPLETIONS
148
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
18
passing · YDS
1849
passing · YPA
8.3
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-5
receiving · YPR
-5.0
rushing · CAR
25
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
86
rushing · YPC
3.4
Christian Gray · CB

CFBD athlete 4870708

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Cole Mullins · DL

CFBD athlete 5142800

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cooper Flanagan · TE

CFBD athlete 4870733

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
48
receiving · YPR
8.0
Dallas Golden · CB

CFBD athlete 5141465

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
puntReturns · AVG
0.3
puntReturns · LONG
6
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
1
Devin Fitzgerald · WR

CFBD athlete 5271466

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
12.5
Drayk Bowen · LB

CFBD athlete 4870622

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
45
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Dylahn McKinney · CB

CFBD athlete 4707184

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
55.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
55
Ebenezer Ewetade · DL

CFBD athlete 5376774

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Elijah Burress · WR

CFBD athlete 5198104

receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
15.8
Elijah Hughes · DL

CFBD athlete 5121775

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ethan Long · S

CFBD athlete 5167183

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Francis Brewu · DL

CFBD athlete 5136784

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
16
Gordy Sulfsted · DL

CFBD athlete 5212980

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ian Premer · TE

CFBD athlete 5210543

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
11.0
Ja'Kobe Clapper · LB

CFBD athlete 5209353

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jack Larsen · TE

CFBD athlete 5218514

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
65
receiving · YPR
9.3
Jaden Greathouse · WR

CFBD athlete 4870768

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
289
receiving · YPR
13.1
Jaiden Ausberry · LB

CFBD athlete 4870589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
James Flanigan · TE

CFBD athlete 5142596

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
4.4
Jason Onye · DL

CFBD athlete 4594985

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jasper Scaife · P

CFBD athlete 5329697

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
60
punting · NO
15
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
681
punting · YPP
45.4
Javian Osborne · RB

CFBD athlete 5160472

rushing · CAR
12
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
35
rushing · YPC
2.9
Jayden Sanders · CB

CFBD athlete 5214512

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jaylen Sneed · LB

CFBD athlete 4685527

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
34
Jerome Bettis Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5164349

receiving · LONG
56
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
170
receiving · YPR
17.0
Joey O'Brien · S

CFBD athlete 5210542

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
11
Jonaz Walton · RB

CFBD athlete 5159087

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
27.5
kickReturns · LONG
28
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
55
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
14.0
rushing · CAR
69
rushing · LONG
97
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
477
rushing · YPC
6.9
Jordan Faison · WR

CFBD athlete 5150424

puntReturns · AVG
13.7
puntReturns · LONG
37
puntReturns · NO
10
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
137
receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
38
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
497
receiving · YPR
13.1
Joseph Vinci · LS

CFBD athlete 5218516

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kahanu Kia · LB

CFBD athlete 4705623

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kedren Young · RB

CFBD athlete 5106301

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
13
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
42
rushing · YPC
3.2
Keon Keeley · DL

CFBD athlete 4870879

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Koo Kia · LB

CFBD athlete 5167182

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LB

CFBD athlete 5079748

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
14.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
14
Leonard Moore · CB

CFBD athlete 5079629

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Logan Saldate · WR

CFBD athlete 5146164

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
36
receiving · YPR
12.0
Loghan Thomas · DL

CFBD athlete 5079723

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
12
Luke Talich · S

CFBD athlete 5121819

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
27
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
37
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Madden Faraimo · LB

CFBD athlete 5141441

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Mark Zackery IV · CB

CFBD athlete 5141770

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Matt Jeffery · WR

CFBD athlete 5218507

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
9.3
Micah Drescher · PK

CFBD athlete 5291145

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
3
kicking · XPA
3
kicking · XPM
3
Micah Gilbert · WR

CFBD athlete 5079475

receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
430
receiving · YPR
17.9
Mylan Graham · WR

CFBD athlete 5079444

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
7.4
Noah Grubbs · QB

CFBD athlete 5159115

passing · ATT
23
passing · COMPLETIONS
15
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.652
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
176
passing · YPA
7.7
Nolan James Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5189515

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
105
receiving · YPR
8.1
rushing · CAR
90
rushing · LONG
52
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
519
rushing · YPC
5.8
Rodney Dunham · DL

CFBD athlete 5209310

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
12
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Sean Sevillano Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5146165

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Spencer Porath · PK

CFBD athlete 5148363

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
11
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.909
kicking · PTS
66
kicking · XPA
37
kicking · XPM
36
Tae Johnson · S

CFBD athlete 5218506

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Teddy Jarrard · QB

CFBD athlete 5280155

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
29
passing · YPA
14.5
Teddy Rezac · LB

CFBD athlete 5144960

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Thomas Davis Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5158953

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tionne Gray · DL

CFBD athlete 5127031

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
13
Ty Washington · TE

CFBD athlete 4837392

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
5.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Notre Dame -7.25

DraftKings snapshot: Notre Dame -7.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Notre Dame by 8.02

0.77 points toward Notre Dame versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Notre Dame.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: +4.02
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 8.02 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs d04eb780474bb74c22b8da42a9a07f807a2c049821b0ab40ea4fe62dfe97673c · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 3661f935e605c7e109339d4ecb281f3414f75922548d8f1ef1667c9ea16943e8 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Notre Dame · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-7.25-7.250.0
Model spread-8.02-8.020.0
Model gap+0.77+0.770.0

Negative spreads favor Notre Dame; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: d04eb780474bb74c22b8da42a9a07f807a2c049821b0ab40ea4fe62dfe97673c. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +0.8 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Notre Dame win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
70%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Notre Dame -7.5
Stacked ensemble
75%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Notre Dame.

  • home elo: +23.92 (path difference 14.20)
  • away adjusted success: -13.60 (path difference 2.72)
  • home adjusted success: +10.01 (path difference 4.11)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +8.93 (path difference 2.25)
  • away elo: -7.72 (path difference 4.54)
  • home talent: +7.42 (path difference 1.01)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +6.96 (path difference 7.11)
  • away talent: -6.51 (path difference 1.35)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -6.19 (path difference 1.56)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +5.97 (path difference 2.93)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +5.64 (path difference 2.65)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.40 (path difference 1.27)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.85 (path difference 4.56)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.21 (path difference 4.82)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.28 (path difference 1.78)
  • home adjusted epa: -3.23 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.12 (path difference 2.15)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.07 (path difference 1.21)
  • away adjusted epa: -2.97 (path difference 2.67)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.90 (path difference 3.04)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.79 (path difference 0.81)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.85 (path difference 0.09)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.63 (path difference 2.40)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.61 (path difference 1.64)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.59 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.51 (path difference 1.54)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.46 (path difference 0.08)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -1.38 (path difference 1.58)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.38 (path difference 0.79)
  • home adjusted line yards: +1.37 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.28 (path difference 0.16)
  • home conference: -1.22 (path difference 1.03)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.14 (path difference 0.70)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.13 (path difference 0.76)
  • away conference: -1.06 (path difference 0.61)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.04 (path difference 0.12)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.04 (path difference 0.11)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.98 (path difference 0.70)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.95 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +0.92 (path difference 1.45)
  • week: -0.79 (path difference 0.94)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.71 (path difference 0.28)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -0.54 (path difference 2.67)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +0.52 (path difference 0.78)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.49 (path difference 0.54)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.42 (path difference 2.50)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.38 (path difference 0.19)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.30 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.25 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.24 (path difference 1.89)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.20 (path difference 1.04)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.10)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.14 (path difference 0.54)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.09)

Reconciles to 74.97 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 50fba9f1f281445f36a3a1d8ab69ab1239bdecd6ef9f21e5dc11b54427789ef6 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast b5d056ea0f8cc980799eb892a3179c2592bff72f7f966de039efd6ac6c260f11 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Miami

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 113 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Mark Fletcher Jr.

CFBD athlete 4870736

Week 7 vs Florida State: 16 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.332 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Pittsburgh: 13 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.040 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs North Carolina: 13 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 69.2% success · 0.524 raw PPA.

424.3037.2%94 / 5.2
Javian Mallory

CFBD athlete 5160496

Week 7 vs Florida State: 13 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.480 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Pittsburgh: 7 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.678 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs North Carolina: 12 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.057 raw PPA.

326.4028.3%70 / 7.0
Jordan Lyle

CFBD athlete 5079591

Week 7 vs Florida State: 9 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.046 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Pittsburgh: 4 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.162 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs North Carolina: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.043 raw PPA.

155.5013.3%20 / 4.8
Darian Mensah

CFBD athlete 5121169

Week 7 vs Florida State: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.319 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Pittsburgh: 4 attempts · -6.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.126 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs North Carolina: 4 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.604 raw PPA.

111.559.7%22 / 3.5
Girard Pringle Jr.

CFBD athlete 5164331

Week 7 vs Florida State: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.041 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Pittsburgh: 5 attempts · 0.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.393 raw PPA.

60.805.3%27 / 2.9

Notre Dame

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Nolan James Jr.

CFBD athlete 5189515

Week 6 vs Stanford: 11 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 63.6% success · 0.632 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs BYU: 16 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.156 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Navy: 9 attempts · 11.9 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.095 raw PPA.

367.3034.6%90 / 5.8
Jonaz Walton

CFBD athlete 5159087

Week 6 vs Stanford: 13 attempts · 13.9 YPC · 61.5% success · 0.871 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs BYU: 5 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.382 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Navy: 12 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.111 raw PPA.

308.3028.8%69 / 6.9
C.J. Carr

CFBD athlete 5079369

Week 6 vs Stanford: 5 attempts · 8.2 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.947 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs BYU: 6 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.017 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Navy: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.319 raw PPA.

134.5012.5%24 / 3.4
Aneyas Williams

CFBD athlete 5079742

Week 6 vs Stanford: 7 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.090 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs BYU: 3 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.130 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Navy: 2 attempts · 14.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.842 raw PPA.

125.4011.5%72 / 4.6
Javian Osborne

CFBD athlete 5160472

Week 6 vs Stanford: 6 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.474 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Navy: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.475 raw PPA.

74.406.7%12 / 2.9

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureNotre DameOffenseMiamiDefenseMiamiOffenseNotre DameDefense
PPA/play
+0.35
99th
+0.05
61st
+0.39
100th
-0.01
81st
Success rate
51.4%
98th
38.8%
68th
52.4%
99th
37.4%
78th
Explosiveness
1.18
28th
1.28
28th
1.31
78th
1.17
73rd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.34
99th
-0.02
68th
+0.39
100th
-0.07
80th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.40
86th
+0.19
50th
+0.38
80th
+0.10
73rd
Havoc allowed / created
9.8%
97th
14.1%
26th
7.8%
99th
18.8%
84th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:50 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:50 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Jake Weinberg · Miami · PAAR 3.79 · 8 attempts
  • Spencer Porath · Notre Dame · PAAR 4.79 · 11 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Notre Dame spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -6.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 54.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 54.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -278 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -238 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +195 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -5.5 · Snapshot spread: -7

First locally observed: -5.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 57.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 57.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -225 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +185 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +185 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Notre Dame

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.3 · 9 rated weeks · FBS Independents

99th FBS percentile

Miami

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

94th FBS percentile

Travel

Miami travels 1,140 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · up 722 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Notre Dame leads 18–9, 1 tie in 28 meetings since 1955.

  • 2025Notre Dame at Miami24–27 · Miami
  • 2017Notre Dame at Miami8–41 · Miami
  • 2016Miami at Notre Dame27–30 · Notre Dame
  • 2012Miami at Notre Dame3–41 · Notre Dame
  • 2010 · NNotre Dame at Miami33–17 · Notre Dame
  • 1990Miami at Notre Dame20–29 · Notre Dame

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.