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North Carolina at UConn

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

North Carolina

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Billy Edwards QB
3 games
57.3%
63 / 110 plays
46.2%
6 / 13 plays
Demon June RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
17 / 34 plays
Jaylen McGill RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.9%
11 / 29 plays
Benjamin Hall RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
60.0%
3 / 5 plays
Kaleb Jackson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Adam Mccann-Gibbs P
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Mccann-Gibbs · P

CFBD athlete 5292033

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-16
rushing · YPC
-16.0
Ade Willie · DB

CFBD athlete 4812367

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Aeron Burrell · PK

CFBD athlete 5139524

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
7
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
33
kicking · PCT
0.571
kicking · PTS
20
kicking · XPA
8
kicking · XPM
8
punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
60
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1054
punting · YPP
42.2
Benjamin Hall · RB

CFBD athlete 5008017

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
58
receiving · YPR
11.6
rushing · CAR
60
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
296
rushing · YPC
4.9
Billy Edwards · QB

CFBD athlete 4592532

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
235
passing · COMPLETIONS
149
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.634
passing · TD
15
passing · YDS
1871
passing · YPA
8.0
rushing · CAR
43
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
0.2
C.J. Sadler · WR

CFBD athlete 5159039

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
113
receiving · YPR
14.1
Calvin Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5276966

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
puntReturns · AVG
11.0
puntReturns · LONG
11
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
11
Carson Sneed · TE

CFBD athlete 5159086

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
Charleston French · RB

CFBD athlete 5219169

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
2.0
Coleman Bryson · DB

CFBD athlete 4781738

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
Crew Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5265173

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
3.0
DQ Forkpa · LB

CFBD athlete 5272289

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
David Jackson III · DL

CFBD athlete 5273717

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Demon June · RB

CFBD athlete 5228607

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
15.0
kickReturns · LONG
15
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
15
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
64
receiving · YPR
10.7
rushing · CAR
72
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
289
rushing · YPC
4.0
Derek Mcdonald · LB

CFBD athlete 4683224

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
82
Donovan Hoilette · DL

CFBD athlete 4877894

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Emmanuel Nwaiwu · DL

CFBD athlete 5265566

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Gregory Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5181309

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
48
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
8.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
25
Isaiah Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5086646

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
JacQawn McRoy · OL

CFBD athlete 5079586

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaden Jefferson · WR

CFBD athlete 5215379

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
kickReturns · AVG
43.3
kickReturns · LONG
98
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
130
Jaiden Patterson · DB

CFBD athlete 5136504

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
40
Jake Bauer · LB

CFBD athlete 5264739

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Jakob Weatherspoon · DB

CFBD athlete 5209393

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jalon Thompson · DB

CFBD athlete 5127733

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Jamarrion Gordon · DB

CFBD athlete 5161016

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Javion Butts · DB

CFBD athlete 5209388

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
Jaylen Harvey · DL

CFBD athlete 5079439

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Jaylen McGill · RB

CFBD athlete 5161835

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
102
receiving · YPR
11.3
rushing · CAR
47
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
246
rushing · YPC
5.2
Jaziel Hart · DB

CFBD athlete 5245067

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Jelani Thurman · TE

CFBD athlete 4871039

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
38
receiving · TD
6
receiving · YDS
461
receiving · YPR
12.1
Jo Jo Troupe · RB

CFBD athlete 5198251

kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
24
puntReturns · AVG
8.0
puntReturns · LONG
8
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
8
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
4.0
Jonathan Agumadu · LB

CFBD athlete 5149828

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
32
Jordan Shipp · WR

CFBD athlete 5079687

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
45
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
587
receiving · YPR
13.0
Jordan Washington · TE

CFBD athlete 5146756

receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
7.7
Kaleb Cost · DB

CFBD athlete 4870671

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
Kaleb Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 4870839

kickReturns · AVG
9.0
kickReturns · LONG
9
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
9
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Kenton Dopson III · DB

CFBD athlete 5280069

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Khristian Dunbar-Hawkins · DB

CFBD athlete 5079416

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Leroy Jackson · DL

CFBD athlete 5146953

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
48
Mason Humphrey · WR

CFBD athlete 5152717

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
11.4
Melkart Abou-Jaoude · DL

CFBD athlete 5086966

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Miles O'Neill · QB

CFBD athlete 5145396

passing · ATT
6
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
22
passing · YPA
3.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
15
rushing · YPC
15.0
Nicco Maggio · DL

CFBD athlete 5144163

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
Nyqir Helton · WR

CFBD athlete 5214654

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
34
receiving · YPR
8.5
Peyton Seelmann · LB

CFBD athlete 5226835

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
73
Peyton Waters · DB

CFBD athlete 5127877

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
Rece Verhoff · PK

CFBD athlete 5082559

kicking · FGA
4
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
39
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
28
kicking · XPA
17
kicking · XPM
16
Shamar Easter · TE

CFBD athlete 4870709

receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
156
receiving · YPR
17.3
Timir Hickman-Collins · LB

CFBD athlete 5218248

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
Tre Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 5078061

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
18.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
18
Trech Kekahuna · WR

CFBD athlete 5077266

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
7.0
puntReturns · LONG
15
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
49
receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
219
receiving · YPR
12.9
Trey Giddens · DL

CFBD athlete 5265448

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Xavier Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5290762

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 5294564

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
7.0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
10.0
defensive · TOT
44
Zamaurious Robertson · WR

CFBD athlete 5279149

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0

UConn

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-23 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Kalieb Osborne QB
3 games
46.6%
41 / 88 plays
58.3%
14 / 24 plays
Cyncir Bowers RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.8%
14 / 37 plays
Kenji Christian RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
9 / 18 plays
Trey Cornist RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
64.3%
9 / 14 plays
Jaden Hart RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex Godavitarne · TE

CFBD athlete 5221596

receiving · LONG
55
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
122
receiving · YPR
24.4
Anas Luqman · DL

CFBD athlete 5084343

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2.0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
22
interceptions · AVG
24.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
24
Andrew Laurich · DL

CFBD athlete 4924147

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Avery Dunn · DL

CFBD athlete 4604319

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Braedyn Moore · DB

CFBD athlete 4921112

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
40
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
24.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
24
Cam Abshire · WR

CFBD athlete 5278798

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
78
receiving · YPR
19.5
Chamberlain Campbell · DE

CFBD athlete 5125554

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Cyncir Bowers · RB

CFBD athlete 5296247

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
15.5
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
31
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
59
receiving · YPR
8.4
rushing · CAR
84
rushing · LONG
71
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
571
rushing · YPC
6.8
Desmond Aladuge · DT

CFBD athlete 5077896

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Drew Kron · WR

CFBD athlete 5293820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Esean Carter · DT

CFBD athlete 4587719

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
15
Ethan Hogg · LB

CFBD athlete 5193053

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Hayden Pegg · LB

CFBD athlete 5150459

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
56
Jack O'Connor · PK

CFBD athlete 5447159

kicking · FGA
7
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
46
kicking · PCT
0.571
kicking · PTS
47
kicking · XPA
37
kicking · XPM
35
Jaden Hart · RB

CFBD athlete 5084906

receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
3.2
Jalen Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5447153

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jalil Martin · DB

CFBD athlete 4900905

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
24
Javon Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5193720

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
202
receiving · YPR
14.4
Jayden Davis · DB

CFBD athlete 5082306

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
Jayden Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 5211892

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jayden Price · DB

CFBD athlete 5222645

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jediyah Willoughby · WR

CFBD athlete 5125750

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
271
receiving · YPR
18.1
John Lista · LB

CFBD athlete 5084414

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
58
Joshua Mickens · DE

CFBD athlete 4870938

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3.0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
16
Julian Allen · WR

CFBD athlete 5151689

kickReturns · AVG
24.3
kickReturns · LONG
48
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
73
puntReturns · AVG
12.5
puntReturns · LONG
49
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
75
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
8.1
K'Von Sherman · LB

CFBD athlete 5220131

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3.5
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
56
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kalieb Osborne · QB

CFBD athlete 5079619

fumbles · FUM
6
fumbles · LOST
3
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
215
passing · COMPLETIONS
129
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
14
passing · YDS
1857
passing · YPA
8.6
rushing · CAR
89
rushing · LONG
38
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
346
rushing · YPC
3.9
Kamren Flowers · WR

CFBD athlete 5141448

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
30
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
30.0
Kenji Christian · RB

CFBD athlete 4689529

kickReturns · AVG
23.5
kickReturns · LONG
32
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
94
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
134
receiving · YPR
11.2
rushing · CAR
55
rushing · LONG
46
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
306
rushing · YPC
5.6
Ky Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 5300740

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.0
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
27
puntReturns · AVG
0.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
0
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
131
receiving · YPR
13.1
Kylish Hicks · LB

CFBD athlete 4912043

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Logan Barnes · WR

CFBD athlete 5302867

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Luke Murphy · LB

CFBD athlete 4592781

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
14
Martece Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5278568

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Mateo Kipke · DL

CFBD athlete 5302872

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Matt Hoffman · DL

CFBD athlete 5086043

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Matt Ragan · TE

CFBD athlete 4698471

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
12.0
Melvin Hills · DL

CFBD athlete 5130411

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Moussa Kane · DB

CFBD athlete 4870832

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Odera Orizu · DE

CFBD athlete 5151804

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Raymond Liggins III · WR

CFBD athlete 5363611

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
-1.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-2
receiving · LONG
60
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
82
receiving · YPR
11.7
Renick Dorilas · DB

CFBD athlete 5166798

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Rickey Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5147933

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
21
Rodarion Tellez · DL

CFBD athlete 5203845

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Ryder Treadway · WR

CFBD athlete 5228882

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
255
receiving · YPR
13.4
Saxton Suchanic · DB

CFBD athlete 5215700

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
28
Shamar Porter · WR

CFBD athlete 4870959

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
puntReturns · AVG
24.0
puntReturns · LONG
24
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
24
receiving · LONG
53
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
308
receiving · YPR
19.3
Shamar Riser-Pressley · DL

CFBD athlete 5146913

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Shawn Simeon · RB

CFBD athlete 5203601

kickReturns · AVG
25.5
kickReturns · LONG
35
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
51
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
45
rushing · YPC
5.6
Soren Rief · RB

CFBD athlete 5296866

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Steve Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 5214510

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Tahjae Mullix · DL

CFBD athlete 5089304

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
31
Tommy Warner · P

CFBD athlete 5382615

punting · In 20
12
punting · LONG
56
punting · NO
30
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1247
punting · YPP
41.6
Tracy Revels · DB

CFBD athlete 4950397

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Trey Cornist · RB

CFBD athlete 5075952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
10.0
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
55
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
267
rushing · YPC
6.1
Tucker McDonald · QB

CFBD athlete 5077806

passing · ATT
11
passing · COMPLETIONS
9
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.818
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
118
passing · YPA
10.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Tyler McKinstry · DB

CFBD athlete 5146976

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
Tyrique Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 5290983

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Xavier Watson · TE

CFBD athlete 5222571

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
118
receiving · YPR
13.1
Zakaih Saez · DL

CFBD athlete 5157300

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
Zion Paret · DB

CFBD athlete 5215278

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
16
Zy'marion Lang · WR

CFBD athlete 5079486

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
17
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
17

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

UConn +7

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

North Carolina -7

DraftKings snapshot: UConn +7

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

UConn by 1.42

8.42 points toward UConn versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward UConn.

  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Net EPA rating difference: -2.58
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 1.42 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs fcc61278501b3fd7d5cf5703e8d324a561c50f33202d33903c14c084d90cf40b · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 6882a8a9bf6f793c03262bcdd8f232e7c990645ceb32906275e60a03d0998d8e · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: UConn · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+7.0+7.00.0
Model spread-1.42-1.420.0
Model gap+8.42+8.420.0

Negative spreads favor UConn; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: fcc61278501b3fd7d5cf5703e8d324a561c50f33202d33903c14c084d90cf40b. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

UConn +7

Model gap +8.4 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor UConn.

Win probabilities · separate sources

UConn win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
32%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: UConn +7
Stacked ensemble
37%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward UConn.

  • away adjusted success: -14.91 (path difference 4.53)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +6.01 (path difference 1.86)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.70 (path difference 0.85)
  • away elo: +4.79 (path difference 1.33)
  • away talent: -4.51 (path difference 1.26)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.99 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -3.98 (path difference 1.82)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +3.36 (path difference 0.51)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.32 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +3.31 (path difference 1.79)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -3.23 (path difference 0.21)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -3.22 (path difference 0.36)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.98 (path difference 0.67)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +2.96 (path difference 1.22)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.95 (path difference 0.57)
  • home talent: +2.80 (path difference 1.07)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.64 (path difference 2.50)
  • home elo: -2.58 (path difference 1.22)
  • home adjusted epa: +2.53 (path difference 0.98)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -2.37 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.25 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +2.22 (path difference 0.55)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.05 (path difference 0.57)
  • away conference: -2.00 (path difference 1.27)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.97 (path difference 2.35)
  • home adjusted line yards: +1.77 (path difference 1.38)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.76 (path difference 2.75)
  • away adjusted epa: -1.60 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +1.59 (path difference 0.29)
  • home conference: -1.55 (path difference 0.37)
  • week: -1.54 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.40 (path difference 1.43)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +1.23 (path difference 0.68)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.22 (path difference 1.49)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.14 (path difference 1.79)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.01 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.91 (path difference 0.50)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.86 (path difference 0.75)
  • home adjusted success: +0.86 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.65 (path difference 0.45)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: -0.56 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.54 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.52 (path difference 1.83)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -0.49 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.46 (path difference 1.36)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.43 (path difference 0.64)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -0.31 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.07)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.24 (path difference 0.43)
  • home adjusted open field yards: +0.21 (path difference 0.87)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.21 (path difference 0.87)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.18 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.18 (path difference 0.16)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: +0.07 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.03 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 37.43 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs d119461246d75df7e4d782b9a8e59025a01c0b5674dc5579f4d4a5603cc551a7 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 98da8cbcd7d143a7165392cf3bda4a313f853526bd6e676764fe271b3b70828c · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

North Carolina

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 91 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Demon June

CFBD athlete 5228607

Week 7 vs Duke: 12 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.227 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Syracuse: 9 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.606 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Miami: 13 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.105 raw PPA.

344.1037.4%71 / 4.0
Jaylen McGill

CFBD athlete 5161835

Week 7 vs Duke: 12 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 58.3% success · -0.073 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Syracuse: 12 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.034 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Miami: 5 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.344 raw PPA.

295.1031.9%47 / 5.2
Billy Edwards

CFBD athlete 4592532

Week 7 vs Duke: 9 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.058 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Syracuse: 4 attempts · -3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.542 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Miami: 8 attempts · -0.2 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.506 raw PPA.

210.2823.1%41 / 0.7
Benjamin Hall

CFBD athlete 5008017

Week 7 vs Duke: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.138 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Miami: 3 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.580 raw PPA.

54.005.5%60 / 4.9
Kaleb Jackson

CFBD athlete 4870839

Week 7 vs Duke: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.235 raw PPA.

11.001.1%1 / 1.0

UConn

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 106 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Cyncir Bowers

CFBD athlete 5296247

Week 6 vs Temple: 18 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.081 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 15 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.429 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Air Force: 4 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.525 raw PPA.

376.0034.9%84 / 6.8
Kalieb Osborne

CFBD athlete 5079619

Week 6 vs Temple: 13 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.027 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 15 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.714 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Air Force: 8 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.319 raw PPA.

362.41234.0%86 / 4.2
Kenji Christian

CFBD athlete 4689529

Week 6 vs Temple: 1 attempts · 39.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 3.653 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 12 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.138 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Air Force: 5 attempts · 13.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 1.074 raw PPA.

188.5017.0%50 / 5.8
Trey Cornist

CFBD athlete 5075952

Week 6 vs Temple: 7 attempts · 16.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 1.069 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 3 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.081 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Air Force: 4 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.256 raw PPA.

1410.9013.2%44 / 6.1
Jaden Hart

CFBD athlete 5084906

Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.207 raw PPA.

13.000.9%5 / 3.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureUConnOffenseNorth CarolinaDefenseNorth CarolinaOffenseUConnDefense
PPA/play
+0.24
85th
+0.07
52nd
+0.14
57th
+0.08
50th
Success rate
45.2%
68th
44.2%
19th
47.0%
77th
42.1%
37th
Explosiveness
1.39
96th
1.06
97th
1.12
9th
1.14
85th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.22
91st
+0.09
29th
+0.11
64th
+0.06
36th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.28
60th
+0.04
84th
+0.22
47th
+0.11
71st
Havoc allowed / created
13.9%
63rd
11.7%
5th
14.0%
61st
14.8%
35th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:02 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:02 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Rece Verhoff · North Carolina · PAAR 1.68 · 4 attempts
  • Aeron Burrell · North Carolina · PAAR -4.19 · 7 attempts
  • Jack O'Connor · UConn · PAAR -3.53 · 7 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

UConn spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +8.5 · Snapshot spread: +7

First locally observed: +7 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 54.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +220 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +225 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -270 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -278 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +7 · Snapshot spread: +7

First locally observed: +7 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 54 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 54 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +225 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -275 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -275 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

UConn

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · FBS Independents

54th FBS percentile

North Carolina

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 9 rated weeks · ACC

64th FBS percentile

Travel

North Carolina travels 532 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

North Carolina leads 3–1 in 4 meetings since 1990.

  • 2024 · NUConn at North Carolina27–14 · UConn
  • 2009North Carolina at UConn12–10 · North Carolina
  • 2008UConn at North Carolina12–38 · North Carolina
  • 1990UConn at North Carolina21–48 · North Carolina

CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.