Week 9 · 2026

Wisconsin at Iowa

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Wisconsin

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Colton Joseph QB 3 games	27.8% 15 / 54 plays	53.8% 21 / 39 plays
Darrion Dupree RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	16.0% 4 / 25 plays
Abu Sama III RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 11 / 22 plays
Bryan Jackson RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.7% 5 / 14 plays
Tyrell Henry WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Eugene Hilton Jr. WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Chris Brooks Jr. WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Ryan Schwendeman TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Witt · LB

CFBD athlete 4431136

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 5

Abu Sama III · RB

CFBD athlete 5078005

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 5.8
rushing · CAR: 51
rushing · LONG: 72
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 295
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Bryan Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079500

rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 117
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Bryce West · CB

CFBD athlete 5079737

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 27
interceptions · AVG: 23.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 23

Cai Bates · CB

CFBD athlete 5084664

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cairo Skanes · S

CFBD athlete 5222610

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Carson Van Dinter · S

CFBD athlete 5146814

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6
puntReturns · AVG: 30.0
puntReturns · LONG: 27
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 30

Charles Perkins · DL

CFBD athlete 5085935

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Chris Brooks Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4917172

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 227
receiving · YPR: 17.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Colton Joseph · QB

CFBD athlete 5125715

fumbles · FUM: 6
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 173
passing · COMPLETIONS: 99
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.572
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1256
passing · YPA: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 84
rushing · LONG: 47
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 365
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Cooper Catalano · LB

CFBD athlete 5167173

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 60
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Darrion Dupree · RB

CFBD athlete 5079378

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 68
receiving · YPR: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 49
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 215
rushing · YPC: 4.4

DeNigel Cooper · DL

CFBD athlete 5146890

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Dillan Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5145223

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Donovan Dunmore · CB

CFBD athlete 5210473

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Drew Braam · LB

CFBD athlete 5221276

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Emmett Bork · TE

CFBD athlete 5212589

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Eric Fletcher · CB

CFBD athlete 5149152

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Eugene Hilton Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5141505

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 133
receiving · YPR: 10.2
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Gavin Lahm · PK

CFBD athlete 5089194

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 10
kicking · LONG: 51
kicking · PCT: 0.833
kicking · PTS: 51
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 21

Grant Stec · TE

CFBD athlete 5079705

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 4.2

Hammond Russell IV · DL

CFBD athlete 4603090

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Harrison Bortolotti · RB

CFBD athlete 5294111

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 8.0
kickReturns · LONG: 8
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 8

Jacob Harris · TE

CFBD athlete 5122018

receiving · LONG: 72
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 262
receiving · YPR: 16.4

Jai'Mier Scott · CB

CFBD athlete 5148631

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18

Jake Anderson · DL

CFBD athlete 5087246

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

James Roe · LS

CFBD athlete 5220126

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Javan Robinson · CB

CFBD athlete 4896318

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 18

Jaylon Domingeaux · WR

CFBD athlete 5154809

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 10.7

Jon Jon Kamara · LB

CFBD athlete 5146110

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

JuJu Pope · RB

CFBD athlete 5127010

kickReturns · AVG: 20.0
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 20

Junior Poyser · DL

CFBD athlete 5122016

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Justus Boone · LB

CFBD athlete 4596362

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Landon Gauthier · LB

CFBD athlete 5141952

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Liam Danitz · LB

CFBD athlete 5332257

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Malachi Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 4917947

receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 122
receiving · YPR: 24.4

Marvin Burks Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 4870652

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Mason Lane · RB

CFBD athlete 5221278

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Mason Posa · LB

CFBD athlete 5195298

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 52
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

Matthew Jung · S

CFBD athlete 5260561

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 44
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Matthew Traynor · S

CFBD athlete 5153979

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Michael Garner · LB

CFBD athlete 5158842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Nate Palmer · RB

CFBD athlete 5079552

kickReturns · AVG: 28.2
kickReturns · LONG: 42
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 169
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Nicolas Clayton · LB

CFBD athlete 5198303

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Nolan Vils · DL

CFBD athlete 5160655

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Raphael Dunn · S

CFBD athlete 5147051

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ryan Hopkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5210475

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 14
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Ryan Schwendeman · TE

CFBD athlete 5086150

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 0.5

Sean West · P

CFBD athlete 5221280

punting · In 20: 13
punting · LONG: 70
punting · NO: 25
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1077
punting · YPP: 43.1

Sebastian Cheeks · LB

CFBD athlete 4685314

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 5.0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 26

Shamar Rigby · WR

CFBD athlete 5146753

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Taylor Schaefer · LB

CFBD athlete 5376856

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Thomas Heiberger · LB

CFBD athlete 5140697

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 5

Tyreese Fearbry · LB

CFBD athlete 4705474

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Tyrell Henry · WR

CFBD athlete 4714046

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 11.0
puntReturns · LONG: 18
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 44
receiving · LONG: 51
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 343
receiving · YPR: 12.3
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Iowa

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Hank Brown QB 2 games	31.4% 16 / 51 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Kamari Moulton RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	48.9% 23 / 47 plays
Jeremy Hecklinski QB 3 games	59.0% 23 / 39 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
L.J. Phillips Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.1% 8 / 21 plays
Xavier Williams RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	16.7% 1 / 6 plays
Tony Diaz WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 4 / 4 plays
Braeden Jackson RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Cam Buffington LB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Addison Ostrenga · TE

CFBD athlete 4873456

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 90
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Alex Mota · DB

CFBD athlete 4918097

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Anthony Hawkins · DB

CFBD athlete 5226950

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Billy Weivoda · LB

CFBD athlete 5266928

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Boston Everitt · P

CFBD athlete 5369931

punting · In 20: 20
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 33
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 1441
punting · YPP: 43.7

Braeden Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5295539

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 45.3
kickReturns · LONG: 99
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 136
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 88
receiving · YPR: 14.7
rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 62
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 177
rushing · YPC: 8.4

Brevin Doll · RB

CFBD athlete 5142261

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -3.0

Brice Stevenson · DL

CFBD athlete 5157415

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Bryce Hawthorne · DL

CFBD athlete 5154717

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 27

Burke Gautcher · LB

CFBD athlete 5177825

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Caden Buhr · PK

CFBD athlete 5295545

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 10
kicking · LONG: 51
kicking · PCT: 0.833
kicking · PTS: 50
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 20

Cam Buffington · LB

CFBD athlete 5079353

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 36
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 62
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Carson Cooney · LB

CFBD athlete 5196816

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chima Chineke · DE

CFBD athlete 5146846

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Cody Haddad · DB

CFBD athlete 5195570

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

DJ Vonnahme · TE

CFBD athlete 5218931

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 250
receiving · YPR: 10.4
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Darion Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5276973

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

David Fason · DL

CFBD athlete 5369930

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dayton Howard · WR

CFBD athlete 5119233

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Derek Weisskopf · LB

CFBD athlete 5079761

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Deshaun Lee · DB

CFBD athlete 4831986

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 15.0
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 45

Devan Kennedy · DL

CFBD athlete 5148880

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Drew Campbell · DE

CFBD athlete 5139095

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Eli Robbins · DB

CFBD athlete 5369925

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Emmanuel Olagbaju · DL

CFBD athlete 5155306

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Evan James · WR

CFBD athlete 5300482

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 13.0
puntReturns · LONG: 77
puntReturns · NO: 17
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 221
receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 8.3

Hank Brown · QB

CFBD athlete 5089314

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 145
passing · COMPLETIONS: 89
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.614
passing · TD: 6
passing · YDS: 968
passing · YPA: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 1.1

Ike Speltz · LS

CFBD athlete 5218934

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Iose Epenesa · DL

CFBD athlete 5141425

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Jack Janda · DL

CFBD athlete 5162993

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jack Laughlin · LB

CFBD athlete 5150659

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jacob Wallace · DB

CFBD athlete 5178088

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 3.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 3

Jarriett Buie · WR

CFBD athlete 5075920

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 63
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Jayden Montgomery · LB

CFBD athlete 4868407

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 40

Jaylen Watson · DB

CFBD athlete 5126538

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Jeremy Hecklinski · QB

CFBD athlete 5121030

passing · ATT: 67
passing · COMPLETIONS: 41
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.612
passing · TD: 4
passing · YDS: 472
passing · YPA: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Jimmy Sullivan · QB

CFBD athlete 5192909

passing · ATT: 4
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 13
passing · YPA: 3.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 15.0

Joseph Anderson · DE

CFBD athlete 5146845

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 4.0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 6

Julian Manson · LB

CFBD athlete 5245157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Kahmari Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5224813

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 12

Kamari Moulton · RB

CFBD athlete 5093886

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 31
receiving · YPR: 3.4
rushing · CAR: 86
rushing · LONG: 56
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 541
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Kenneth Merrieweather · DL

CFBD athlete 4921115

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

L.J. Phillips Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5155048

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 88
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Landyn Van Kekerix · LB

CFBD athlete 4912171

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Luke Gaffney · DL

CFBD athlete 5081341

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

Marcello Vitti · DB

CFBD athlete 5209422

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Mason Woods · TE

CFBD athlete 5214549

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Nathan Mcneil · RB

CFBD athlete 5246572

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 128
rushing · YPC: 6.1

Nolan DeLong · LB

CFBD athlete 5150656

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

O'Lontae Dean · RB

CFBD athlete 5198313

rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 43
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Preston Ries · LB

CFBD athlete 5079690

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Rashad Godfrey Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5149911

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Reece Vander Zee · WR

CFBD athlete 5138293

puntReturns · AVG: 9.8
puntReturns · LONG: 15
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 39
receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 316
receiving · YPR: 15.8

Thomas Meyer · TE

CFBD athlete 5142597

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 4.2

Tony Diaz · WR

CFBD athlete 5300856

receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 29
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 386
receiving · YPR: 13.3
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Ty Hudkins · DB

CFBD athlete 5147228

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tyler Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5193099

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Will Hubert · DL

CFBD athlete 5081343

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Xavier Styles · DB

CFBD athlete 5227168

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 17

Xavier Williams · RB

CFBD athlete 5142226

kickReturns · AVG: 30.0
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 30
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 28
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 187
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Zach Lutmer · DB

CFBD athlete 5067875

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 45

Zach Ortwerth · TE

CFBD athlete 4950379

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 41
receiving · YPR: 10.3

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Wisconsin +2.5

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Iowa -2.5

DraftKings snapshot: Iowa -2.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Wisconsin by 8.25

10.75 points toward Wisconsin versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Iowa.

Net EPA rating difference: -12.18
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -8.25 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs bb14ab381f371a9f46a4f1ca504a0b3dc1155aefb4a4af51c6705d5995a47b33 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 9c5c6319f660296c1543bf977c86f97ac299267e976030cf48a1460039bf58ed · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +1.0 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Iowa · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-3.5	-2.5	+1.0
Model spread	+8.25	+8.25	0.0
Model gap	-11.75	-10.75	+1.0

Negative spreads favor Iowa; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: bb14ab381f371a9f46a4f1ca504a0b3dc1155aefb4a4af51c6705d5995a47b33. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Wisconsin +2.5

Model gap -10.8 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Iowa.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Iowa win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 57%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Iowa -2.5
Stacked ensemble: 60%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Iowa.

home elo: +20.09 (path difference 5.50)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +11.35 (path difference 2.70)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +10.89 (path difference 1.78)
home adjusted epa: +9.75 (path difference 0.31)
home adjusted success allowed: +9.60 (path difference 2.21)
away adjusted epa allowed: -8.66 (path difference 1.59)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -8.64 (path difference 0.74)
home adjusted epa allowed: -6.55 (path difference 1.30)
away adjusted success allowed: -5.01 (path difference 2.74)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.93 (path difference 4.61)
away adjusted rushing epa: +4.86 (path difference 1.53)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -4.81 (path difference 0.63)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.78 (path difference 2.40)
away talent: -4.65 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.56 (path difference 1.46)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -4.48 (path difference 1.86)
away elo: -4.48 (path difference 0.74)
home adjusted rushing epa: -4.18 (path difference 0.94)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.15 (path difference 1.46)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.38 (path difference 0.44)
home talent: +3.03 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted success: -2.89 (path difference 2.14)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -2.59 (path difference 0.15)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.38 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted passing down success: -2.31 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted second level yards: +2.17 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.88 (path difference 0.87)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.84 (path difference 0.91)
away adjusted standard down success: +1.71 (path difference 3.17)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.54 (path difference 0.17)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.47 (path difference 0.34)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.41 (path difference 1.37)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.39 (path difference 1.27)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.25 (path difference 1.50)
home adjusted passing down success: -1.25 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted line yards: -1.00 (path difference 0.18)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.92 (path difference 0.47)
away adjusted line yards: -0.85 (path difference 1.19)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.74 (path difference 0.71)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.66 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.57 (path difference 1.26)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.52 (path difference 0.11)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.49 (path difference 0.76)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.43 (path difference 0.61)
away conference: +0.39 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted passing epa: +0.33 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted epa: +0.31 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.22 (path difference 0.10)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.20 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted success: -0.17 (path difference 0.02)
home conference: +0.16 (path difference 0.39)
week: -0.14 (path difference 1.22)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.08 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.03 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 60.48 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 87255372f798786c0aa9c51c3f686a367733e6a3f84519f4059a60a48c8c2ede · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 9899fa08245c9279900ec6b11ec49893191d1aa81bdfb480324a81f6161dcf06 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Wisconsin

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 113 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Colton Joseph CFBD athlete 5125715 Week 5 vs Michigan State: 13 attempts · 10.8 YPC · 53.8% success · 1.145 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UCLA: 16 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 61.5% success · 0.359 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 15 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.178 raw PPA.	44	4.9	5	38.9%	80 / 4.0
Darrion Dupree CFBD athlete 5079378 Week 5 vs Michigan State: 19 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 15.8% success · -0.251 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UCLA: 6 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.723 raw PPA.	25	3.2	0	22.1%	48 / 4.4
Abu Sama III CFBD athlete 5078005 Week 7 vs UCLA: 6 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.028 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 16 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.105 raw PPA.	22	4.4	0	19.5%	49 / 5.8
Bryan Jackson CFBD athlete 5079500 Week 5 vs Michigan State: 7 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.170 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 7 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.279 raw PPA.	14	4.3	0	12.4%	29 / 4.0
Tyrell Henry CFBD athlete 4714046 Week 5 vs Michigan State: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.684 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UCLA: 1 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.654 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.246 raw PPA.	3	2.7	0	2.7%	4 / 2.5

Iowa

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 89 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Kamari Moulton CFBD athlete 5093886 Week 5 vs Ohio State: 11 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 27.3% success · -0.267 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Washington: 26 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 65.4% success · 0.560 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Minnesota: 10 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.343 raw PPA.	47	5.5	0	52.8%	85 / 6.1
L.J. Phillips Jr. CFBD athlete 5155048 Week 5 vs Ohio State: 4 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.051 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Washington: 10 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.293 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Minnesota: 7 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.283 raw PPA.	21	4.0	0	23.6%	25 / 3.5
Hank Brown CFBD athlete 5089314 Week 5 vs Ohio State: 4 attempts · -3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.501 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Minnesota: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.163 raw PPA.	7	-1.1	3	7.9%	20 / 1.1
Xavier Williams CFBD athlete 5142226 Week 6 vs Washington: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.238 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Minnesota: 5 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.127 raw PPA.	6	3.3	0	6.7%	25 / 7.5
Tony Diaz CFBD athlete 5300856 Week 5 vs Ohio State: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.541 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Washington: 1 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.652 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Minnesota: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.590 raw PPA.	4	6.8	0	4.5%	6 / 7.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	IowaOffense	WisconsinDefense	WisconsinOffense	IowaDefense
PPA/play	+0.10 38th	-0.09 96th	+0.12 44th	-0.02 83rd
Success rate	43.7% 56th	37.4% 77th	40.1% 23rd	33.7% 96th
Explosiveness	1.22 42nd	0.98 100th	1.33 86th	1.13 86th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.16 74th	-0.04 72nd	+0.09 49th	-0.11 87th
Passing-down PPA/play	-0.04 4th	-0.19 99th	+0.19 36th	+0.11 72nd
Havoc allowed / created	12.7% 78th	17.2% 70th	15.1% 44th	17.5% 74th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:49 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:49 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Gavin Lahm · Wisconsin · PAAR 4.39 · 12 attempts
Caden Buhr · Iowa · PAAR 6.29 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Iowa spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -4.5 · Snapshot spread: -2.5

First locally observed: -4.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 39.5 · Snapshot total: 36.5

Total · First locally observed: 39.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -135 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -185 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +114 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +154 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -2.5

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 37 · Snapshot total: 36.5

Total · First locally observed: 37 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -165 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -165 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +140 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +140 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Iowa

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten

48th FBS percentile

Wisconsin

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten

91st FBS percentile

Travel

Wisconsin travels 146 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Wisconsin leads 49–48, 2 ties in 99 meetings since 1894.

2025Iowa at Wisconsin37–0 · Iowa
2024Wisconsin at Iowa10–42 · Iowa
2023Iowa at Wisconsin15–6 · Iowa
2022Wisconsin at Iowa10–24 · Iowa
2021Iowa at Wisconsin7–27 · Wisconsin
2020Wisconsin at Iowa7–28 · Iowa

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.