Skip to content
CFB/LAB
Menu
All gamesRecipe comparisons

Week 9 · 2026

Illinois at Maryland

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Illinois

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Katin Houser QB
2 games
51.5%
35 / 68 plays
66.7%
8 / 12 plays
Aidan Laughery RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
14 / 42 plays
Michael Clayton II QB
2 games
37.0%
10 / 27 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Jordan Anderson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
6 / 21 plays
Javari Barnett RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
44.4%
4 / 9 plays
Carson Boyd QB
2 games
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
75.0%
3 / 4 plays
Ca'Lil Valentine RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Collin Dixon WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 52 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aidan Laughery · RB

CFBD athlete 4827047

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
32
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
44
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
75
rushing · LONG
77
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
514
rushing · YPC
6.9
Almirian Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5276982

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ben Clawson · DB

CFBD athlete 5092451

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Brayden Trimble · WR

CFBD athlete 5211769

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
177
receiving · YPR
8.9
Ca'Lil Valentine · RB

CFBD athlete 5106299

kickReturns · AVG
31.0
kickReturns · LONG
31
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
31
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
46
receiving · YPR
15.3
rushing · CAR
50
rushing · LONG
51
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
225
rushing · YPC
4.5
Cameron Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5160470

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Carson Boyd · QB

CFBD athlete 5196352

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
5.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
36
rushing · YPC
6.0
Carter Janki · DL

CFBD athlete 5084423

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
14
Christian Abney · TE

CFBD athlete 5076651

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
5.2
Collin Dixon · WR

CFBD athlete 4923226

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
53
receiving · TD
10
receiving · YDS
673
receiving · YPR
12.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
15
rushing · YPC
15.0
Daniel Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5218892

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
5
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Darrell Prater · DL

CFBD athlete 5153131

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
12
Davin Stoffel · TE

CFBD athlete 5154729

kickReturns · AVG
13.0
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
38
receiving · YPR
12.7
Demetrius John · DL

CFBD athlete 5146952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Des Straughton · DB

CFBD athlete 5294103

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Deuce Fillmore · DB

CFBD athlete 5295769

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Ean Rhea · LB

CFBD athlete 5369903

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
13
Eddie Kasper · WR

CFBD athlete 5087240

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Ethan Moczulski · PK

CFBD athlete 4870578

kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
54
kicking · PCT
0.833
kicking · PTS
54
kicking · XPA
24
kicking · XPM
24
Grant Beerman · LB

CFBD athlete 5148652

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Hudson Clement · WR

CFBD athlete 5100582

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
404
receiving · YPR
15.0
Isaiah Thomison · DL

CFBD athlete 5091842

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Ismael Kante · LB

CFBD athlete 5294102

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
44
interceptions · AVG
59.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
59
Jack Paris · LB

CFBD athlete 5265272

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Jaheim Clarke · DB

CFBD athlete 5077284

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
36
Jakwon Morris · DB

CFBD athlete 5369891

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
James Finley · DB

CFBD athlete 5211749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Kreutz · LB

CFBD athlete 4912120

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
43
Javari Barnett · RB

CFBD athlete 5203604

rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
103
rushing · YPC
5.4
Jershaun Newton · WR

CFBD athlete 5217444

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Joe Barna · DL

CFBD athlete 5146980

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
19
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Anderson · RB

CFBD athlete 4826636

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
130
rushing · YPC
4.5
Joshua Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5369904

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kaden Feagin · TE

CFBD athlete 4870728

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
5.5
Katin Houser · QB

CFBD athlete 4795295

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
passing · ATT
184
passing · COMPLETIONS
122
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.663
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
1440
passing · YPA
7.8
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
120
rushing · YPC
4.0
Kayden Bennett · LB

CFBD athlete 5245163

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Lars Rau · P

CFBD athlete 5220917

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
55
punting · NO
18
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
779
punting · YPP
43.3
Mac Resetich · DB

CFBD athlete 5125740

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
24
puntReturns · AVG
24.5
puntReturns · LONG
65
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
98
Mason Muragin · LB

CFBD athlete 5077504

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Matthew Bailey · DB

CFBD athlete 4915710

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
32
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
49
interceptions · AVG
88.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
88
Michael Clayton II · QB

CFBD athlete 5198286

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
26
passing · COMPLETIONS
17
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.654
passing · TD
4
passing · YDS
172
passing · YPA
6.6
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-2.2
Murphy Clement · RB

CFBD athlete 5228203

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
23
Nick Hankins Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5276577

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Parker Crim · DL

CFBD athlete 5282148

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Pat Farrell · DL

CFBD athlete 4923255

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
Robert Edmonson · LB

CFBD athlete 5158882

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Tanner Heckel · DB

CFBD athlete 5196972

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
20
Ty Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 4689721

receiving · LONG
54
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
164
receiving · YPR
13.7
Tywan Cox · DB

CFBD athlete 5214494

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
William Holmes · DL

CFBD athlete 5220661

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
17
Xanai Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 5205456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 4917004

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
24

Maryland

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Malik Washington QB
3 games
33.0%
36 / 109 plays
40.9%
9 / 22 plays
DeJuan Williams RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
23.5%
8 / 34 plays
Iverson Howard RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.5%
5 / 11 plays
Liam Willson RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Preston Howard TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Damon Hall Jr. TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Chris Durr Jr. WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Terrez Worthy RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Szymanski · TE

CFBD athlete 5078052

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
15
receiving · YPR
7.5
Alex Moore · DB

CFBD athlete 5078405

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Amari Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 4838539

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Armon Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 4916380

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Bryce Jenkins · DL

CFBD athlete 5141529

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Bryce McFerson · P

CFBD athlete 4906305

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
58
punting · NO
30
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1248
punting · YPP
41.6
Cam Brickle II · DL

CFBD athlete 5160479

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cardell Williams · QB

CFBD athlete 4872721

passing · ATT
7
passing · COMPLETIONS
6
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.857
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
63
passing · YPA
9.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
71
rushing · YPC
6.5
Carlton Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5141682

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
44
Chris Durr Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5193298

puntReturns · AVG
5.0
puntReturns · LONG
5
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
65
receiving · REC
52
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
580
receiving · YPR
11.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
46
rushing · YPC
23.0
DD Holmes · LB

CFBD athlete 5079450

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Damon Hall Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5159020

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Daniel Owens · DL

CFBD athlete 4702903

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Daniel Wingate · LB

CFBD athlete 4921326

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
45
interceptions · AVG
52.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
52
Darrell Carey · DB

CFBD athlete 5178090

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
DeJuan Williams · RB

CFBD athlete 5295550

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
87
receiving · YPR
9.7
rushing · CAR
38
rushing · LONG
94
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
281
rushing · YPC
7.4
Derrick LeBlanc · DL

CFBD athlete 4870792

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
11
Dontay Joyner · DB

CFBD athlete 4870829

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Dorian Fleming · TE

CFBD athlete 5092410

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
194
receiving · YPR
8.8
Edwin Moore Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5225520

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Ejani Shakir · WR

CFBD athlete 5369943

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
36
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
36
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
11.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Eli Fulcher · PK

CFBD athlete 5369944

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Eyan Thomas · DL

CFBD athlete 5155142

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
25
Harry Dalton III · RB

CFBD athlete 5141419

receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-14
receiving · YPR
-7.0
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
113
rushing · YPC
3.8
Iverson Howard · RB

CFBD athlete 5141522

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
40
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
60
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
226
rushing · YPC
3.8
JT Taggart · TE

CFBD athlete 5213217

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
3.0
JaMarcus Whyce · DL

CFBD athlete 5210858

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jack Capaldi · QB

CFBD athlete 5086182

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
35
passing · YPA
17.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Jamare Glasker · DB

CFBD athlete 4912140

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
13.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
26
Jayden Kitchens · WR

CFBD athlete 5213231

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
12.0
Jayden Shipps · DB

CFBD athlete 5141676

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
15
interceptions · AVG
39.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
39
Jayvon Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 4916379

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
9
Jianni Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5290211

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
31
rushing · YPC
10.3
Joel Starlings · DL

CFBD athlete 4870981

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Jordan Scott · WR

CFBD athlete 5295549

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
12.5
Jordan Scruggs · DB

CFBD athlete 5220193

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
Judah Jenkins · DB

CFBD athlete 5127728

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Kaden Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5266920

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Kaleb Webb · WR

CFBD athlete 4838556

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
33
receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
273
receiving · YPR
13.0
Keyari James · LB

CFBD athlete 5146988

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Lavain Scruggs · DB

CFBD athlete 4873464

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
23
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Lavon Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 4832851

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Liam Willson · RB

CFBD athlete 5270858

rushing · CAR
14
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
53
rushing · YPC
3.8
Luke O'Hare · LS

CFBD athlete 5295553

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Malik Washington · QB

CFBD athlete 5141695

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
260
passing · COMPLETIONS
155
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.596
passing · TD
9
passing · YDS
1615
passing · YPA
6.2
punting · In 20
0
punting · LONG
34
punting · NO
1
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
34
punting · YPP
34.0
rushing · CAR
40
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
112
rushing · YPC
2.8
Messiah Delhomme · DB

CFBD athlete 5148665

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
-2.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
-4
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding · WR

CFBD athlete 5194795

kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
26
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
48
puntReturns · AVG
12.0
puntReturns · LONG
34
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
48
receiving · LONG
60
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
242
receiving · YPR
12.1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Nahsir Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5213305

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
21
Preston Howard · TE

CFBD athlete 4685393

receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
65
receiving · YPR
16.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
2.0
Ricardo Cooper Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5150664

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
kickReturns · AVG
29.0
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
29
Ryan Manning · WR

CFBD athlete 4940236

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
58
receiving · YPR
8.3
Sean Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5276981

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Sean O'Haire · PK

CFBD athlete 5226837

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
8
kicking · LONG
42
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
45
kicking · XPA
21
kicking · XPM
21
Sidney Stewart · LB

CFBD athlete 5216961

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
26
Stephen Dean · LB

CFBD athlete 5083950

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Terrez Worthy · RB

CFBD athlete 5219864

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Travares Daniels Ii · LB

CFBD athlete 5156156

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Trey Reddick · LB

CFBD athlete 5218946

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
26
Zahir Cobb · DB

CFBD athlete 5277002

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Zion Elee · LB

CFBD athlete 5209297

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
11
Zymear Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5195545

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
8.3
puntReturns · LONG
24
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
25

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Maryland +2.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Illinois -2.5

DraftKings snapshot: Maryland +2.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Maryland by 2.90

5.40 points toward Maryland versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Maryland.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93
  • Net EPA rating difference: -1.04

Reconciles to 2.90 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 8c14eaf64e20e18d39e693512df6399a3cbdd65b5e6a756137b17792850e8501 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast fd48a980ee4971ee8e00b338005ba3d79e8b8b0a1359fe2263c6627c324a5015 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Maryland · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+2.5+2.50.0
Model spread-2.9-2.90.0
Model gap+5.4+5.40.0

Negative spreads favor Maryland; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 8c14eaf64e20e18d39e693512df6399a3cbdd65b5e6a756137b17792850e8501. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Maryland +2.5

Model gap +5.4 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Maryland.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Maryland win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
43%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Maryland +2.5
Stacked ensemble
30%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Maryland.

  • away adjusted success: -14.69 (path difference 0.83)
  • home elo: -13.78 (path difference 5.94)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -8.73 (path difference 0.28)
  • home adjusted epa: +8.15 (path difference 7.17)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +7.15 (path difference 4.89)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +6.49 (path difference 0.52)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +5.80 (path difference 2.59)
  • home adjusted success: -5.56 (path difference 3.69)
  • away adjusted epa: -4.27 (path difference 1.62)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.19 (path difference 2.11)
  • home adjusted line yards: -3.83 (path difference 0.37)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.32 (path difference 1.53)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +2.88 (path difference 1.83)
  • home talent: +2.53 (path difference 0.66)
  • away talent: -2.49 (path difference 1.53)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.09 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.02 (path difference 0.87)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.96 (path difference 0.16)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +1.96 (path difference 3.08)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.95 (path difference 0.29)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -1.90 (path difference 0.50)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.78 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.72 (path difference 0.98)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.56 (path difference 0.98)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.44 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.41 (path difference 0.53)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.34 (path difference 0.08)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.24 (path difference 0.11)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.18 (path difference 0.32)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.15 (path difference 0.82)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.13 (path difference 4.28)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.10 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.10 (path difference 0.97)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.76 (path difference 0.74)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.73 (path difference 0.51)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.72 (path difference 0.18)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.63 (path difference 0.53)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.45 (path difference 2.84)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.34 (path difference 2.13)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.34 (path difference 0.14)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.32 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.28 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.23 (path difference 0.08)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.22 (path difference 0.35)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.18 (path difference 0.83)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.15 (path difference 0.00)
  • week: -0.09 (path difference 1.14)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -0.09 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.86)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.43)
  • home conference: -0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • away elo: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • away conference: -0.01 (path difference 0.79)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 29.57 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 8d3d2a899d06ef2233e97065ce39a54e027aaa7088ff1f547a24a21ccbdd5042 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast b261ecf8c4377b3e0253a3fc7012826c0b250c21636dacfc06180d709435ef03 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Illinois

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Aidan Laughery

CFBD athlete 4827047

Week 5 vs Purdue: 12 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.039 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 17 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 41.2% success · 0.007 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 13 attempts · 9.5 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.364 raw PPA.

425.8042.4%75 / 6.9
Jordan Anderson

CFBD athlete 4826636

Week 5 vs Purdue: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.188 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.197 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 11 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.341 raw PPA.

214.5021.2%29 / 4.5
Katin Houser

CFBD athlete 4795295

Week 5 vs Purdue: 8 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.726 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.454 raw PPA.

134.3113.1%30 / 4.0
Javari Barnett

CFBD athlete 5203604

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.455 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 6 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.162 raw PPA.

95.409.1%18 / 4.7
Michael Clayton II

CFBD athlete 5198286

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.261 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 5 attempts · -2.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.763 raw PPA.

6-2.226.1%6 / -2.2

Maryland

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 76 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
DeJuan Williams

CFBD athlete 5295550

Week 5 vs Nebraska: 10 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 30.0% success · 0.183 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Ohio State: 15 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.306 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Rutgers: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 22.2% success · 0.022 raw PPA.

344.7044.7%37 / 7.4
Malik Washington

CFBD athlete 5141695

Week 5 vs Nebraska: 10 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.101 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Ohio State: 5 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.438 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Rutgers: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.697 raw PPA.

243.8231.6%40 / 2.8
Iverson Howard

CFBD athlete 5141522

Week 5 vs Nebraska: 3 attempts · 11.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.589 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Ohio State: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.459 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Rutgers: 4 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.186 raw PPA.

114.5014.5%60 / 3.8
Liam Willson

CFBD athlete 5270858

Week 5 vs Nebraska: 2 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.138 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Ohio State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.407 raw PPA.

34.703.9%13 / 3.5
Preston Howard

CFBD athlete 4685393

Week 6 vs Ohio State: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -3.631 raw PPA.

12.001.3%1 / 2.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureMarylandOffenseIllinoisDefenseIllinoisOffenseMarylandDefense
PPA/play
+0.05
21st
+0.23
10th
+0.21
75th
+0.12
34th
Success rate
40.1%
23rd
45.6%
13th
48.3%
84th
42.9%
29th
Explosiveness
1.27
67th
1.26
33rd
1.26
64th
1.20
58th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.05
36th
+0.19
8th
+0.14
65th
+0.04
49th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.04
11th
+0.34
14th
+0.39
79th
+0.30
19th
Havoc allowed / created
14.0%
59th
12.9%
13th
11.3%
91st
15.2%
41st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:43 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:43 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Ethan Moczulski · Illinois · PAAR 7.56 · 12 attempts
  • Sean O'Haire · Maryland · PAAR -0.39 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Maryland spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +3 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +2.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +114 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +114 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -135 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -135 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +2.5 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +2.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52 · Snapshot total: 54

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +115 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +115 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -135 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -135 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Maryland

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 7 rated weeks · Big Ten

20th FBS percentile

Illinois

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten

25th FBS percentile

Travel

Illinois travels 606 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · down 625 ft in elevation.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Series tied 2–2 in 4 meetings since 2018.

  • 2025Maryland at Illinois6–24 · Illinois
  • 2023Illinois at Maryland27–24 · Illinois
  • 2021Maryland at Illinois20–17 · Maryland
  • 2018Illinois at Maryland33–63 · Maryland

CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.