Week 9 · 2026
Washington at Nebraska
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Washington
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah Brown QB 2 games | 51.4% 36 / 70 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Demond Williams Jr. QB 2 games | 31.1% 14 / 45 plays | 28.6% 4 / 14 plays |
| Brian Bonner Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.6% 15 / 41 plays |
| Trevion Cooley RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 55.6% 5 / 9 plays |
| Dezmen Roebuck WR 2 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays |
| Kade Eldridge TE 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 2 / 2 plays |
| Chris Lawson WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| Ryken Moon RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 52 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Alex McLaughlin · S
CFBD athlete 5152504
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 29
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.5
- defensive · TOT
- 48
- interceptions · AVG
- 2.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 4
Ansu Sanoe · RB
CFBD athlete 5159065
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 8
- rushing · YPC
- 1.1
Baron Naone · TE
CFBD athlete 5164338
- receiving · LONG
- 75
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 269
- receiving · YPR
- 14.2
Brian Bonner Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5200430
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 27
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 64
- rushing · LONG
- 55
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 296
- rushing · YPC
- 4.6
Chris Lawson · WR
CFBD athlete 5141559
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 32
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 483
- receiving · YPR
- 15.1
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Darin Conley · DL
CFBD athlete 5120377
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
DeSean Watts · DL
CFBD athlete 5152808
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Decker DeGraaf · TE
CFBD athlete 5079373
- receiving · LONG
- 42
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 135
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
Demond Williams Jr. · QB
CFBD athlete 5079653
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 174
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 116
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.667
- passing · TD
- 8
- passing · YDS
- 1396
- passing · YPA
- 8.0
- rushing · CAR
- 64
- rushing · LONG
- 36
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 183
- rushing · YPC
- 2.9
Derek Colman-Brusa · DL
CFBD athlete 5209396
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Derek Zammit · QB
CFBD athlete 5209387
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 2
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Devin Hyde · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5214500
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Dezmen Roebuck · WR
CFBD athlete 5166797
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 5
- passing · YPA
- 5.0
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 48
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 484
- receiving · YPR
- 10.1
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 16
- rushing · YPC
- 3.2
Donovan Robinson Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5210065
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Drew Azzopardi · OL
CFBD athlete 4900754
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Dylan Robinson · CB
CFBD athlete 5201879
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 31
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
Elias Johnson · CB
CFBD athlete 5147175
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Elijah Brown · QB
CFBD athlete 5079318
- passing · ATT
- 69
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 51
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.739
- passing · TD
- 7
- passing · YDS
- 578
- passing · YPA
- 8.4
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -30
- rushing · YPC
- -6.0
Elinneus Davis · DL
CFBD athlete 4918439
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Emmanuel Karnley · CB
CFBD athlete 4923299
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Gavin Day · S
CFBD athlete 5277004
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Hayden Moore · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5077503
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Hunter Green · P
CFBD athlete 5083238
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 64
- punting · NO
- 33
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1580
- punting · YPP
- 47.9
Isaiah Ward · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4911674
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 13
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jacob Lane · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5077303
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Jacob Manu · LB
CFBD athlete 4896317
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Jayden Limar · RB
CFBD athlete 4870868
- rushing · CAR
- 12
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 47
- rushing · YPC
- 3.9
Jeron Jones · CB
CFBD athlete 5276974
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 4.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 9
Jordan Clay · WR
CFBD athlete 5158960
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
Justice Williams · WR
CFBD athlete 5146758
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 40
- receiving · YPR
- 20.0
Kade Eldridge · TE
CFBD athlete 5077668
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 24
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 9
- rushing · YPC
- 2.3
Kai McClendon · DL
CFBD athlete 5192957
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Logan George · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5158778
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Mason James · WR
CFBD athlete 5198507
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 39
- receiving · YPR
- 4.9
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Omar Khan · DL
CFBD athlete 5148881
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Paul Mencke Jr. · S
CFBD athlete 5110452
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Quaid Carr · RB
CFBD athlete 5209302
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 28
- rushing · YPC
- 5.6
Rahim Wright II · S
CFBD athlete 5139858
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Rahshawn Clark · CB
CFBD athlete 5079343
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 20
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- interceptions · AVG
- 57.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 57
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 31
- kickReturns · NO
- 13
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 221
- puntReturns · AVG
- 6.7
- puntReturns · LONG
- 27
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 47
Ramonz Adams Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5186444
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Ramzak Fruean · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5276964
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Rashid Williams · WR
CFBD athlete 4871068
- receiving · LONG
- 44
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 285
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Russell Davis II · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4816094
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Ryken Moon · RB
CFBD athlete 5294121
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Rylon Dillard-Allen · S
CFBD athlete 5167175
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 32
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Taariq Al-Uqdah · LB
CFBD athlete 4685239
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Trevion Cooley · RB
CFBD athlete 4601283
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 2.0
- rushing · CAR
- 33
- rushing · LONG
- 53
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 165
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Trez Davis · WR
CFBD athlete 5274332
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 99
- receiving · YPR
- 11.0
Tufanua Ionatana Umu-Cais · DL
CFBD athlete 5163000
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tyler Robles · PK
CFBD athlete 5153154
- kicking · FGA
- 11
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 48
- kicking · PCT
- 0.818
- kicking · PTS
- 49
- kicking · XPA
- 22
- kicking · XPM
- 22
Xe'Ree Alexander · LB
CFBD athlete 5165125
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 25.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 25
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 25
Zaydrius Rainey-Sale · LB
CFBD athlete 5142595
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 30
Nebraska
Window: 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Colandrea QB 3 games | 40.8% 51 / 125 plays | 58.6% 17 / 29 plays |
| Mekhi Nelson RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 24.1% 7 / 29 plays |
| Jamal Rule RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 27.8% 5 / 18 plays |
| Isaiah Mozee RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 38.5% 5 / 13 plays |
| Nyziah Hunter WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Kwinten Ives RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Jacory Barney Jr. WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Vincent Genatone RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 56 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Andrew Marshall · DB
CFBD athlete 5165110
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- interceptions · AVG
- 3.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 3
Anthony Colandrea · QB
CFBD athlete 5044387
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 219
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 137
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.626
- passing · TD
- 14
- passing · YDS
- 1569
- passing · YPA
- 7.2
- rushing · CAR
- 68
- rushing · LONG
- 51
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 334
- rushing · YPC
- 4.9
Anthony Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 4711228
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Archie Wilson · P
CFBD athlete 5295979
- punting · In 20
- 10
- punting · LONG
- 68
- punting · NO
- 26
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1148
- punting · YPP
- 44.2
Caleb Benning · DB
CFBD athlete 5083700
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Cameron Lenhardt · DL
CFBD athlete 4870891
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Carter Nelson · TE
CFBD athlete 5110168
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Conor Booth · RB
CFBD athlete 5163093
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 21
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
Cortez Mills Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5141599
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 23
- receiving · YPR
- 11.5
Daniel Kaelin · QB
CFBD athlete 5126471
- passing · ATT
- 2
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- -1
- passing · YPA
- -0.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Danny Odem III · DB
CFBD athlete 5217443
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
David Hoffken · DT
CFBD athlete 5227014
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Dawson Merritt · LB
CFBD athlete 5195297
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Demitrius Bell · WR
CFBD athlete 5075705
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- -2
- receiving · YPR
- -2.0
Derek Wacker · LB
CFBD athlete 5219067
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Dexter Foster · LB
CFBD athlete 5155866
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Donovan Jones · DB
CFBD athlete 5148418
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 6.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 6
Dwayne McDougle · DB
CFBD athlete 5084740
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 43
- interceptions · AVG
- 48.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 96
Dylan Berymon · DL
CFBD athlete 5207602
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Isaiah Mozee · RB
CFBD athlete 5141607
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 17
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 17
- puntReturns · AVG
- 3.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 3
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 73
- receiving · YPR
- 8.1
- rushing · CAR
- 44
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 223
- rushing · YPC
- 5.1
Jacory Barney Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5083370
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 5.1
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 15
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 76
- receiving · LONG
- 35
- receiving · REC
- 29
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 378
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 3.3
Jahsear Whittington · DL
CFBD athlete 5079765
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jamal Rule · RB
CFBD athlete 5290565
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 82
- receiving · YPR
- 20.5
- rushing · CAR
- 60
- rushing · LONG
- 59
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 391
- rushing · YPC
- 6.5
Jamir Conn · DB
CFBD athlete 5154764
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Janiran Bonner · WR
CFBD athlete 4685274
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 4.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Jasin Shiggs · DB
CFBD athlete 5226921
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jeremiah Charles · DB
CFBD athlete 5125074
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
- puntReturns · AVG
- 13.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 13
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 13
Jeremiah Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 5214503
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jordan Ochoa · DL
CFBD athlete 5197030
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Justyn Rhett · DB
CFBD athlete 4870917
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Kade Pietrzak · DL
CFBD athlete 5201876
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- interceptions · AVG
- 10.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 10
Keelan Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 5144160
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kwazi Gilmer · WR
CFBD athlete 5127885
- receiving · LONG
- 44
- receiving · REC
- 38
- receiving · TD
- 7
- receiving · YDS
- 492
- receiving · YPR
- 12.9
Kwinten Ives · RB
CFBD athlete 5120456
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 12.5
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 34
- rushing · YPC
- 8.5
Kyle Cunanan · PK
CFBD athlete 5151038
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 4
- kicking · LONG
- 40
- kicking · PCT
- 0.500
- kicking · PTS
- 45
- kicking · XPA
- 34
- kicking · XPM
- 33
Larry Miles · WR
CFBD athlete 5272709
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- -1
- receiving · YPR
- -1.0
Larry Tarver Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5143171
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Luke Lindenmeyer · TE
CFBD athlete 5081107
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 22
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 186
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
Malcolm Simpson · DL
CFBD athlete 5141649
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Mario Buford · DB
CFBD athlete 5079358
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Mason Goldman · DL
CFBD athlete 5121603
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Mekhi Nelson · RB
CFBD athlete 5227018
- receiving · LONG
- 51
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 161
- receiving · YPR
- 14.6
- rushing · CAR
- 71
- rushing · LONG
- 29
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 309
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Nyziah Hunter · WR
CFBD athlete 5078312
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.6
- kickReturns · LONG
- 33
- kickReturns · NO
- 10
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 176
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 134
- receiving · YPR
- 8.4
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 18
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Owen Chambliss · LB
CFBD athlete 4921290
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 46
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Owen Stoudmire · DL
CFBD athlete 4683507
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Pierce Mooberry · LB
CFBD athlete 5215159
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Quinn Clark · WR
CFBD athlete 5148624
- puntReturns · AVG
- 11.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 11
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 11
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 63
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
Rex Guthrie · DB
CFBD athlete 5148943
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- interceptions · AVG
- 35.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 35
Riley Van Poppel · DL
CFBD athlete 4954452
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Rowdy Bauer · DB
CFBD athlete 5219073
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
TJ Lateef · QB
CFBD athlete 5141556
- passing · ATT
- 11
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 8
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.727
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 82
- passing · YPA
- 7.5
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 11.0
Tyson Terry · DL
CFBD athlete 5146970
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Victor Evans III · DB
CFBD athlete 5075792
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Vincent Genatone · RB
CFBD athlete 5087700
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 1.4
Vincent Shavers Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5127041
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Williams Nwaneri · DL
CFBD athlete 5079639
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Nebraska -7.5
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median · Bovada quote matches
Nebraska by 12.67
5.17 points toward Nebraska versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Nebraska.
- Net EPA rating difference: +8.74
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 12.67 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 15667affe425589b9dd17d91a5a662d003fddf8dae02b445bb2553a3cb38b715 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 90c55a353f02cd40065fa1020f4daa4dd359e451fc2be1dbd6be3c77a7b78d48 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -7.5 | -7.5 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -12.67 | -12.67 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +5.17 | +5.17 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Nebraska; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 15667affe425589b9dd17d91a5a662d003fddf8dae02b445bb2553a3cb38b715. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Nebraska -7.5
Model gap +5.2 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Nebraska.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Nebraska win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 70%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Nebraska -7.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 78%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Nebraska.
- home elo: +12.37 (path difference 9.52)
- home adjusted success allowed: +10.33 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted success: +8.26 (path difference 4.51)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.72 (path difference 5.00)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -5.76 (path difference 0.58)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.44 (path difference 6.08)
- away adjusted success: -4.18 (path difference 0.72)
- away elo: -4.09 (path difference 1.28)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.75 (path difference 0.22)
- away talent: -3.74 (path difference 0.65)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -3.59 (path difference 4.50)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +3.57 (path difference 0.19)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.42 (path difference 2.41)
- home talent: +3.27 (path difference 2.01)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -2.99 (path difference 0.91)
- away adjusted passing down success: -2.38 (path difference 1.19)
- home adjusted rushing epa: +1.89 (path difference 2.46)
- away adjusted standard down success: +1.84 (path difference 1.67)
- away adjusted epa: +1.81 (path difference 2.23)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.68 (path difference 0.59)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.64 (path difference 0.69)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.54 (path difference 2.94)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.52 (path difference 1.91)
- away adjusted second level yards: +1.18 (path difference 0.33)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -1.14 (path difference 1.11)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.13 (path difference 1.91)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.09 (path difference 0.76)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +0.71 (path difference 0.12)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.66 (path difference 0.20)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.64 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.62 (path difference 0.09)
- home adjusted standard down success: +0.57 (path difference 1.20)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.57 (path difference 0.51)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.56 (path difference 1.30)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.56 (path difference 0.45)
- home adjusted second level yards: -0.54 (path difference 0.26)
- home adjusted line yards: +0.52 (path difference 0.52)
- away adjusted passing epa: -0.49 (path difference 0.92)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.47 (path difference 1.18)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.27 (path difference 0.46)
- week: -0.27 (path difference 1.49)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.26 (path difference 0.37)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.23 (path difference 0.40)
- away conference: +0.18 (path difference 0.40)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.16 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted epa: -0.16 (path difference 1.30)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.11 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted success allowed: -0.11 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted passing epa: +0.09 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.08 (path difference 0.65)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.07 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.05 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.05 (path difference 0.39)
- home conference: -0.03 (path difference 0.02)
Reconciles to 77.74 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs cdd9e799eb9cd99cb8ade244ea3c1c3bc614d643e9f035b8746f91da6f9b3319 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 3f1c5616c0a722f84017acafc33ddbcd16d6e4ca8440fb3b8278e8b1df4d1a52 · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Washington
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 86 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brian Bonner Jr.CFBD athlete 5200430 Week 5 vs USC: 18 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.079 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Iowa: 10 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.429 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Purdue: 13 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.104 raw PPA. | 41 | 4.1 | 0 | 47.7% | 63 / 4.7 |
Demond Williams Jr.CFBD athlete 5079653 Week 5 vs USC: 11 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.073 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Iowa: 11 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.093 raw PPA. | 22 | 0.4 | 8 | 25.6% | 60 / 3.0 |
Trevion CooleyCFBD athlete 4601283 Week 6 vs Iowa: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.859 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Purdue: 7 attempts · 15.7 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.767 raw PPA. | 9 | 12.4 | 0 | 10.5% | 32 / 5.1 |
Elijah BrownCFBD athlete 5079318 Week 6 vs Iowa: 2 attempts · -7.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Purdue: 3 attempts · -5.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.004 raw PPA. | 5 | -6.0 | 3 | 5.8% | 5 / -6.0 |
Dezmen RoebuckCFBD athlete 5166797 Week 7 vs Purdue: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.105 raw PPA. | 5 | 3.2 | 0 | 5.8% | 5 / 3.2 |
Nebraska
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 104 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony ColandreaCFBD athlete 5044387 Week 5 vs Maryland: 8 attempts · 16.0 YPC · 87.5% success · 1.810 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Indiana: 17 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.387 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oregon: 12 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.372 raw PPA. | 37 | 5.6 | 8 | 35.6% | 61 / 5.4 |
Mekhi NelsonCFBD athlete 5227018 Week 5 vs Maryland: 14 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.152 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Indiana: 4 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.093 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oregon: 11 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.354 raw PPA. | 29 | 2.8 | 0 | 27.9% | 71 / 4.4 |
Jamal RuleCFBD athlete 5290565 Week 6 vs Indiana: 15 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.122 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oregon: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.669 raw PPA. | 18 | 3.2 | 0 | 17.3% | 59 / 6.5 |
Isaiah MozeeCFBD athlete 5141607 Week 5 vs Maryland: 8 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.022 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Indiana: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.037 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Oregon: 4 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.332 raw PPA. | 13 | 5.7 | 0 | 12.5% | 43 / 5.0 |
Nyziah HunterCFBD athlete 5078312 Week 6 vs Indiana: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.676 raw PPA. | 2 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.9% | 5 / 3.6 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | NebraskaOffense | WashingtonDefense | WashingtonOffense | NebraskaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.25 86th | -0.02 82nd | +0.15 55th | -0.03 85th |
| Success rate | 44.8% 64th | 39.0% 66th | 42.9% 48th | 34.6% 91st |
| Explosiveness | 1.40 98th | 1.21 53rd | 1.26 62nd | 1.27 30th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.10 53rd | -0.02 67th | +0.14 66th | +0.04 47th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.56 96th | -0.01 91st | +0.17 31st | -0.14 98th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 13.9% 61st | 18.7% 85th | 14.8% 46th | 19.6% 91st |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:42 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:42 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Kyle Cunanan · Nebraska · PAAR -3.71 · 8 attempts
- Tyler Robles · Washington · PAAR 1.21 · 11 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Nebraska spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -8 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -8 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50 · Snapshot total: 50.5
Total · First locally observed: 50 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -340 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -340 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +270 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +270 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 50.5
Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -298 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -325 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +240 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +260 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Nebraska
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten
Washington
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten
Travel
Washington travels 1,345 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 2 time zones crossed · up 1,126 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Nebraska leads 5–4, 1 tie in 10 meetings since 1925.
- 2011Washington at Nebraska38–51 · Nebraska
- 2010 · NNebraska at Washington7–19 · Washington
- 2010Nebraska at Washington56–21 · Nebraska
- 1998Washington at Nebraska7–55 · Nebraska
- 1997Nebraska at Washington27–14 · Nebraska
- 1992Nebraska at Washington14–29 · Washington
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.