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Week 9 · 2026

Northwestern at Oregon

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Northwestern

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Aidan Chiles QB
3 games
56.6%
47 / 83 plays
66.7%
18 / 27 plays
Caleb Komolafe RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
14 / 35 plays
Joseph Himon II RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
27.8%
5 / 18 plays
Gavin Sawchuk RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
4 / 12 plays
Daniel Anderson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Sean Morris II RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Nicco Marchiol QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Alex Honig TE
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aidan Chiles · QB

CFBD athlete 5075805

fumbles · FUM
5
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
164
passing · COMPLETIONS
117
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.713
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
1617
passing · YPA
9.9
rushing · CAR
72
rushing · LONG
37
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
181
rushing · YPC
2.5
Alex Honig · TE

CFBD athlete 4569262

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
221
receiving · YPR
15.8
Alijah Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5222253

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Amare Jordan · LB

CFBD athlete 5326896

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Braden Turner · DB

CFBD athlete 4912163

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
23
interceptions · AVG
22.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
22
Braydon Brus · LB

CFBD athlete 4868925

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
10.5
defensive · TOT
62
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Brendan Flakes · DL

CFBD athlete 4836465

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Brenden Deasfernandes · DB

CFBD athlete 4565357

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Caden O'Rourke · DL

CFBD athlete 5196380

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Caleb Komolafe · RB

CFBD athlete 5078244

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
132
receiving · YPR
12.0
rushing · CAR
88
rushing · LONG
56
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
551
rushing · YPC
6.3
Callen Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 5145121

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Carson Grove · WR

CFBD athlete 5155867

puntReturns · AVG
4.0
puntReturns · LONG
4
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
4
Damon Walters · DB

CFBD athlete 4899672

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
35
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Daniel Anderson · RB

CFBD athlete 5149001

rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
3.0
Dominic Kirks · DL

CFBD athlete 5145736

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Drew Wagner · WR

CFBD athlete 5222752

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
7.0
puntReturns · LONG
26
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
35
receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
218
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
43
rushing · YPC
8.6
Dylan Roberts · DL

CFBD athlete 4921449

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
6
Frank Covey IV · WR

CFBD athlete 4917942

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Gavin Sawchuk · RB

CFBD athlete 4685545

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.5
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
39
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-3
receiving · YPR
-3.0
rushing · CAR
46
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
223
rushing · YPC
4.8
Griffin Wilde · WR

CFBD athlete 5154734

receiving · LONG
71
receiving · REC
39
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
615
receiving · YPR
15.8
Hayden Eligon Ii · WR

CFBD athlete 5084772

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
79
receiving · YPR
13.2
J.J. Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 5158275

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Jack Oyola · DB

CFBD athlete 5081563

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Jack Sadowsky · LB

CFBD athlete 4921317

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Jack Trautmann · DL

CFBD athlete 5222753

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
4
Jackson Carsello · OL

CFBD athlete 4684277

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Kleather · PK

CFBD athlete 5122027

kicking · FGA
14
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.786
kicking · PTS
61
kicking · XPA
28
kicking · XPM
28
Jalen Lewis · DB

CFBD athlete 4921437

interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Jamaal Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 4738818

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jon Jon Stevens · DB

CFBD athlete 5196355

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
31
Joseph Himon II · RB

CFBD athlete 4816307

kickReturns · AVG
22.1
kickReturns · LONG
37
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
177
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
74
receiving · YPR
12.3
rushing · CAR
38
rushing · LONG
80
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
371
rushing · YPC
9.8
Josh Fussell · DB

CFBD athlete 4923270

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Kobie McKinzie · LB

CFBD athlete 4685448

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
49
Luke Dehnicke · TE

CFBD athlete 5328488

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
208
receiving · YPR
18.9
Marcus Romain · RB

CFBD athlete 5199860

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
1.4
Marquet Dorsey Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5166800

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Mason Green · DL

CFBD athlete 5158278

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Mason Mayne · DL

CFBD athlete 5211986

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Matthew Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5147071

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Max Mohring · LB

CFBD athlete 5291097

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Michael Kilbane · DL

CFBD athlete 4924145

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Miguel Jackson · DL

CFBD athlete 4685233

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Miles Crutchley · LB

CFBD athlete 5081565

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Montae Pate · DB

CFBD athlete 5085616

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
32
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
3
Nate Dawson · DB

CFBD athlete 5279241

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Nicco Marchiol · QB

CFBD athlete 4685459

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
11.0
Nikola Dugandzic · P

CFBD athlete 5214596

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
72
punting · NO
21
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
807
punting · YPP
38.4
Ore Adeyi · DB

CFBD athlete 4699437

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Payton Roth · LB

CFBD athlete 5158276

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
6
Ricky Ahumaraeze · WR

CFBD athlete 4921291

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
69
receiving · YPR
13.8
Robby Preckel · RB

CFBD athlete 5216569

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Robert Fitzgerald · DB

CFBD athlete 4833594

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
45
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
7.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
15
Ryan Boe · QB

CFBD athlete 5193492

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Sean Martin · DB

CFBD athlete 5138636

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Sean Morris II · RB

CFBD athlete 5161830

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
7.0
Tanner Jumpp · DL

CFBD athlete 5222254

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Timi Oke · DB

CFBD athlete 5188305

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Tito Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5147242

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Troy Regovich · DL

CFBD athlete 5156387

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Tyler Gant · DL

CFBD athlete 4918416

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12

Oregon

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Dylan Raiola QB
3 games
33.3%
27 / 81 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Brock Thomas QB
2 games
27.8%
10 / 36 plays
0.0%
0 / 4 plays
Jordon Davison RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.4%
18 / 38 plays
Dierre Hill Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.9%
17 / 37 plays
Brandon Smith RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
4 / 8 plays
Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A'Mauri Washington · DL

CFBD athlete 4899488

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
21
Aaron Flowers · DB

CFBD athlete 5079428

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
Aaron Scott Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5079680

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Akili Smith Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5141659

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
31
passing · YPA
7.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Andrew Olesh · TE

CFBD athlete 5201878

kickReturns · AVG
5.0
kickReturns · LONG
5
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
32
receiving · YPR
10.7
Anthony Jones Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5158983

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
Aydin Breland · DL

CFBD athlete 5079310

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Azel Banag · DB

CFBD athlete 5279193

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bailey Ettridge · P

CFBD athlete 5296355

punting · In 20
11
punting · LONG
67
punting · NO
29
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1353
punting · YPP
46.7
Bear Alexander · DL

CFBD athlete 4685244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
36
Brady Bidwell · WR

CFBD athlete 5221319

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
Brandon Finney Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5179153

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
21
Brandon Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5198506

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
17
receiving · YPR
17.0
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
13
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
111
rushing · YPC
4.6
Braxton Singleton · DB

CFBD athlete 5327281

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brock Thomas · QB

CFBD athlete 5158446

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
40
passing · COMPLETIONS
23
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.575
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
228
passing · YPA
5.7
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-8
rushing · YPC
-1.6
Carl Williams IV · DB

CFBD athlete 5077878

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Cole Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5391529

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
D'Ante Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5079696

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Da'Jaun Riggs · RB

CFBD athlete 5146711

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
70
rushing · YPC
7.0
Dakorien Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5141586

puntReturns · AVG
10.0
puntReturns · LONG
13
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
40
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
34
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
417
receiving · YPR
12.3
Dante Moore · QB

CFBD athlete 4870921

passing · ATT
99
passing · COMPLETIONS
69
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.697
passing · TD
9
passing · YDS
926
passing · YPA
9.4
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-0.7
Davon Benjamin · DB

CFBD athlete 5158936

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Devin Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5198309

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Devon Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 4685399

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
44
interceptions · AVG
96.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
96
Dierre Hill Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5141499

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
18.7
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
56
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
209
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
79
rushing · LONG
41
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
378
rushing · YPC
4.8
Dorian Brew · DB

CFBD athlete 5141376

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dutch Horisk · LB

CFBD athlete 5158974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dylan Raiola · QB

CFBD athlete 5079572

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
114
passing · COMPLETIONS
74
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.649
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
761
passing · YPA
6.7
rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-14
rushing · YPC
-1.8
Dylan Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5079642

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
22
Elijah Rushing · DL

CFBD athlete 5079710

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Evan Stewart · WR

CFBD athlete 4685565

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
puntReturns · AVG
8.5
puntReturns · LONG
15
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
51
receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
352
receiving · YPR
13.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-2
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Gage Hurych · PK

CFBD athlete 5192414

kicking · FGA
13
kicking · FGM
10
kicking · LONG
44
kicking · PCT
0.769
kicking · PTS
50
kicking · XPA
20
kicking · XPM
20
Gatlin Bair · WR

CFBD athlete 5327431

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
8.3
Gavin Nix · LB

CFBD athlete 5141608

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
10
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Hudson Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 5282366

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
93
receiving · YPR
11.6
Ify Obidegwu · DB

CFBD athlete 5079551

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
19
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Iverson Hooks · WR

CFBD athlete 4912286

puntReturns · AVG
4.0
puntReturns · LONG
4
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
4
receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
Jalen Lott · WR

CFBD athlete 5158995

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
7.3
Jamari Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 4922988

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
293
receiving · YPR
12.2
Jeremiah McClellan · WR

CFBD athlete 5079519

receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
170
receiving · YPR
24.3
Jerry Mixon · LB

CFBD athlete 5041962

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
2
Jett Washington · DB

CFBD athlete 5159063

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jordon Davison · RB

CFBD athlete 5141423

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
8.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
16
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
2.8
rushing · CAR
88
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
422
rushing · YPC
4.8
Kendre Harrison · TE

CFBD athlete 5159026

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
55
receiving · YPR
11.0
Koi Perich · DB

CFBD athlete 5142588

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
46
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Matayo Uiagalelei · LB

CFBD athlete 4871052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
28
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Matthew Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5141533

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Messiah Hampton · WR

CFBD athlete 5211889

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
161
receiving · YPR
8.9
Na'Eem Offord · DB

CFBD athlete 5141617

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Nasir Wyatt · LB

CFBD athlete 5141730

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
8
Nathan McCoy II · WR

CFBD athlete 5296018

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
Peyton Woodyard · DB

CFBD athlete 5079753

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Rocco Graziano · PK

CFBD athlete 5228661

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
6
kicking · XPA
6
kicking · XPM
6
Teitum Tuioti · LB

CFBD athlete 4871005

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
7
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
39
Tradarian Ball · RB

CFBD athlete 5158939

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
47
rushing · YPC
6.7
Trey Mcnutt · DB

CFBD athlete 5141578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Will Straton · LB

CFBD athlete 5158449

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Xavier Barksdale · DB

CFBD athlete 5158447

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Xavier Lherisse · DB

CFBD athlete 5160493

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Northwestern +3.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Oregon -3.5

DraftKings snapshot: Oregon -3.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Northwestern by 2.85

6.35 points toward Northwestern versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Oregon.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -6.78
  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -2.85 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 2943fc7ac785ee14748640461adb5465c086a2958b8d4e3347bde080e14430a4 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 2d3167922dd09493e0b8ea90a02266cbba2329d62c8538395964a512e4698ed3 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Oregon · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-3.5-3.50.0
Model spread+2.85+2.850.0
Model gap-6.35-6.350.0

Negative spreads favor Oregon; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 2943fc7ac785ee14748640461adb5465c086a2958b8d4e3347bde080e14430a4. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Northwestern +3.5

Model gap -6.3 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Oregon.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Oregon win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
59%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Oregon -3.5
Stacked ensemble
65%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Oregon.

  • home adjusted success allowed: +16.73 (path difference 0.00)
  • home elo: +15.93 (path difference 5.25)
  • away adjusted success: -15.71 (path difference 3.13)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -11.14 (path difference 0.39)
  • home adjusted epa: +7.77 (path difference 2.99)
  • home talent: +7.65 (path difference 2.59)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.55 (path difference 3.39)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.18 (path difference 4.78)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.16 (path difference 2.42)
  • away adjusted epa: -4.86 (path difference 0.82)
  • away elo: -4.80 (path difference 2.25)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +4.73 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -4.57 (path difference 0.81)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -3.40 (path difference 1.21)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -3.30 (path difference 0.96)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.14 (path difference 1.15)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.77 (path difference 1.17)
  • away talent: -2.74 (path difference 1.39)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.71 (path difference 2.52)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +2.69 (path difference 2.88)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.44 (path difference 1.06)
  • home adjusted line yards: -2.07 (path difference 0.64)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -2.05 (path difference 1.41)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.05 (path difference 1.02)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.99 (path difference 1.92)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.93 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.93 (path difference 0.73)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.92 (path difference 0.86)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.88 (path difference 0.74)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -1.73 (path difference 0.23)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.62 (path difference 0.55)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.58 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.51 (path difference 0.67)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.38 (path difference 0.49)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.27 (path difference 1.24)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +1.25 (path difference 0.97)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.03 (path difference 0.31)
  • home adjusted success: -1.00 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.00 (path difference 0.27)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.98 (path difference 0.25)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.90 (path difference 1.01)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.66 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.61 (path difference 3.39)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.41 (path difference 1.33)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.22)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.39 (path difference 0.84)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.27 (path difference 0.10)
  • home conference: -0.24 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.18 (path difference 0.07)
  • away conference: +0.17 (path difference 0.41)
  • week: +0.10 (path difference 0.75)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.93)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.07 (path difference 0.38)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.06 (path difference 0.26)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 64.76 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 735785dd60a3eed14042548a234307f91a9762e75303bbe12c34afd95e518d91 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 513b55bc04cb7fd35126dbf6c3b3a5132df2598675594332df579f484dbf817d · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Northwestern

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 107 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Caleb Komolafe

CFBD athlete 5078244

Week 6 vs Ball State: 7 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.125 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Michigan State: 15 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.011 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Rutgers: 13 attempts · 11.5 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.575 raw PPA.

357.1032.7%87 / 6.2
Aidan Chiles

CFBD athlete 5075805

Week 6 vs Ball State: 6 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.372 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Michigan State: 16 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 63.6% success · 0.635 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Rutgers: 12 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 81.8% success · 1.035 raw PPA.

343.3731.8%66 / 2.7
Joseph Himon II

CFBD athlete 4816307

Week 6 vs Ball State: 3 attempts · 14.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.227 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Michigan State: 7 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.288 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Rutgers: 8 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.392 raw PPA.

185.2016.8%37 / 9.5
Gavin Sawchuk

CFBD athlete 4685545

Week 6 vs Ball State: 4 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 75.0% success · -0.056 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Michigan State: 4 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.172 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Rutgers: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.288 raw PPA.

124.3011.2%44 / 5.0
Daniel Anderson

CFBD athlete 5149001

Week 6 vs Ball State: 3 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.691 raw PPA.

31.302.8%6 / 3.0

Oregon

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 96 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Jordon Davison

CFBD athlete 5141423

Week 6 vs UCLA: 13 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.491 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 12 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.157 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 14 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 64.3% success · 0.652 raw PPA.

394.2040.6%88 / 4.8
Dierre Hill Jr.

CFBD athlete 5141499

Week 6 vs UCLA: 10 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.076 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 14 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 57.1% success · -0.002 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 13 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.017 raw PPA.

375.2038.5%79 / 4.8
Brandon Smith

CFBD athlete 5198506

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 6 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.114 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 2 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.439 raw PPA.

85.008.3%24 / 4.6
Dylan Raiola

CFBD athlete 5079572

Week 6 vs UCLA: 2 attempts · -3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.070 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.342 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 3 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.227 raw PPA.

7-0.737.3%8 / -1.8
Brock Thomas

CFBD athlete 5158446

Week 6 vs UCLA: 2 attempts · -2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.884 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 3 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.134 raw PPA.

5-1.615.2%5 / -1.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureOregonOffenseNorthwesternDefenseNorthwesternOffenseOregonDefense
PPA/play
+0.14
50th
+0.02
70th
+0.33
96th
-0.03
86th
Success rate
43.3%
52nd
42.3%
35th
49.5%
92nd
35.3%
87th
Explosiveness
1.24
50th
1.13
84th
1.34
91st
1.28
28th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.10
51st
+0.01
58th
+0.22
88th
-0.12
90th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.22
47th
+0.06
82nd
+0.58
99th
+0.16
57th
Havoc allowed / created
16.3%
29th
16.7%
63rd
15.4%
42nd
16.6%
61st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:15 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:15 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Jackson Kleather · Northwestern · PAAR 3.85 · 14 attempts
  • Gage Hurych · Oregon · PAAR 0.79 · 13 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Oregon spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50.5 · Snapshot total: 47.5

Total · First locally observed: 50.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -175 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -270 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +145 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +220 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50 · Snapshot total: 47.5

Total · First locally observed: 50 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -175 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -175 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +150 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +150 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Oregon

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten

72nd FBS percentile

Northwestern

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 6 rated weeks · Big Ten

92nd FBS percentile

Series history

Series tied 1–1 in 2 meetings since 1974.

  • 2025Oregon at Northwestern34–14 · Oregon
  • 1974Oregon at Northwestern10–14 · Northwestern

CFBD matchup data Last 2 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.