Week 9 · 2026

Purdue at Penn State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Purdue

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Ryan Browne QB 3 games	42.6% 40 / 94 plays	52.9% 9 / 17 plays
Fame Ijeboi RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.3% 23 / 60 plays
Antonio Harris RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.3% 6 / 17 plays
Xavier Townsend WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Asaad Waseem WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Jerrick Gibson RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Evans Chuba QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aiden Solecki · DE

CFBD athlete 5291720

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Anthony Speca · LB

CFBD athlete 5079725

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Antonio Harris · RB

CFBD athlete 5219089

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 16.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 19.3
rushing · CAR: 27
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 156
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Ar'mari Towns · TE

CFBD athlete 5276670

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 6.5

Asaad Waseem · WR

CFBD athlete 4871062

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 61
receiving · REC: 38
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 588
receiving · YPR: 15.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: -1.0

Bisi Owens · WR

CFBD athlete 5084408

receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Breeon Ishmail · DE

CFBD athlete 4918431

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 15

C.J. Madden · DE

CFBD athlete 4722881

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Charles Correa · LB

CFBD athlete 5101126

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 38
interceptions · AVG: 6.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 6

Chauncey Magwood · WR

CFBD athlete 4431647

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 221
receiving · YPR: 12.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 18.0

Cooper McCutchan · TE

CFBD athlete 5281268

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Curt Neal · DL

CFBD athlete 4685478

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 14

D'Mon Marable · DB

CFBD athlete 5142279

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

De'Nylon Morrissette · WR

CFBD athlete 4702561

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 125
receiving · YPR: 15.6

Dee Newsome · DB

CFBD athlete 5150917

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Donovan Saunders · DB

CFBD athlete 5083141

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 35.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 35

Dylan Drennan · P

CFBD athlete 5220031

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 47
passing · YPA: 47.0
punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 78
punting · NO: 20
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 939
punting · YPP: 47.0

Evans Chuba · QB

CFBD athlete 5149006

passing · ATT: 14
passing · COMPLETIONS: 11
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.786
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 96
passing · YPA: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -0.6

Fame Ijeboi · RB

CFBD athlete 5218961

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 107
receiving · YPR: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 130
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 9
rushing · YDS: 568
rushing · YPC: 4.4

George Burhenn · TE

CFBD athlete 5075912

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 131
receiving · YPR: 14.6

Hayden Timosciek · OL

CFBD athlete 5122548

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 15

Hudauri Hines · DB

CFBD athlete 5125530

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 17
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Hudson Miller · LB

CFBD athlete 5092668

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Ian Jeffries · DL

CFBD athlete 5099737

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Isaiah Needam · DB

CFBD athlete 5219092

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jackson Ott · LB

CFBD athlete 5296053

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jacobo Echeverria Lozano · PK

CFBD athlete 5296700

kicking · FGA: 16
kicking · FGM: 15
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.938
kicking · PTS: 67
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 22

Jaden Mangham · DB

CFBD athlete 4831987

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 27

Jaylan Hornsby · WR

CFBD athlete 5084905

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Jeremy Lewis · DE

CFBD athlete 5376415

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 22

Jerrick Gibson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079410

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 58
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Jesse Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5142753

receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 65
receiving · YPR: 16.3

Jett Goldsberry · DB

CFBD athlete 5271213

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

John Slaughter · DB

CFBD athlete 4918115

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 37
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jojo Hayden · LB

CFBD athlete 5154324

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 43
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Josiah Hope · DL

CFBD athlete 5271190

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Justin Denson · DB

CFBD athlete 5141971

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 36

Katrell Webb · DE

CFBD athlete 5159090

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Keyshawn Burgos · DE

CFBD athlete 4873443

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Luca Puccinelli · TE

CFBD athlete 5079569

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Mister Clark · DB

CFBD athlete 5158234

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 5

Nuku Mafi · OL

CFBD athlete 5146854

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Quinn Rosenkranz · WR

CFBD athlete 5296047

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 7.0

Rodney Lora · DL

CFBD athlete 5077897

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 10

Ryan Browne · QB

CFBD athlete 5104738

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 221
passing · COMPLETIONS: 145
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.656
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1822
passing · YPA: 8.2
rushing · CAR: 40
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 68
rushing · YPC: 1.7

Ryan Turner · DB

CFBD athlete 4794110

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Seth Turner · PK

CFBD athlete 5150463

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Smiley Bradford · DB

CFBD athlete 5219085

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 17
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

T.J. Lindsey · DL

CFBD athlete 5127035

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ta'Vari Hampton · DB

CFBD athlete 5376413

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tra'Mar Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5146739

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 150
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Traveon Wright · DB

CFBD athlete 5121783

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Travis Terrell Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5227400

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 22.0
kickReturns · LONG: 32
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 110
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 17
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Tre Tate · LB

CFBD athlete 5084732

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Trey Smith · DE

CFBD athlete 5154320

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Winston Berglund · LB

CFBD athlete 4923033

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Wisdom Simms · DL

CFBD athlete 5089578

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Xavier Townsend · WR

CFBD athlete 4808767

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
puntReturns · AVG: 7.4
puntReturns · LONG: 18
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 67
receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 32
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 370
receiving · YPR: 11.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Penn State

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Rocco Becht QB 3 games	45.1% 55 / 122 plays	31.6% 6 / 19 plays
Carson Hansen RB 3 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	50.0% 16 / 32 plays
James Peoples RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 5 / 20 plays
Quinton Martin Jr. RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 5 plays

Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex Manske · QB

CFBD athlete 5164316

passing · ATT: 14
passing · COMPLETIONS: 9
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.643
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 102
passing · YPA: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 14
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Alex Tatsch · LB

CFBD athlete 5195702

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Alexander McPherson · DE

CFBD athlete 5215273

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Alijah Carnell · DT

CFBD athlete 5167309

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Amar'e Glover · RB

CFBD athlete 5289329

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Amarion Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5273821

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 12.0

Andrew Rappleyea · TE

CFBD athlete 4899484

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 180
receiving · YPR: 7.5

Anthony Donkoh · OL

CFBD athlete 4916884

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Armstrong Nnodim · DT

CFBD athlete 5125968

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Audavion Collins · CB

CFBD athlete 4837460

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15

Benjamin Brahmer · TE

CFBD athlete 4870608

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 206
receiving · YPR: 9.8

Blaise Sokach-Minnick · LS

CFBD athlete 5092608

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Bobby Mears · DE

CFBD athlete 5160165

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Brett Eskildsen · WR

CFBD athlete 5148535

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 227
receiving · YPR: 10.3

Bryson Williams · S

CFBD athlete 5290778

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Cael Brezina · LB

CFBD athlete 5146686

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 23

Caleb Bacon · LB

CFBD athlete 5081877

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5
defensive · TOT: 19

Cam Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5142598

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Cam Wallace · RB

CFBD athlete 5121541

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 22
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 125
rushing · YPC: 5.7

Carson Hansen · RB

CFBD athlete 5077502

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 36
receiving · YPR: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 72
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 278
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Chase Sowell · WR

CFBD athlete 4912067

receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 510
receiving · YPR: 15.0

Connor Barry · QB

CFBD athlete 5082407

passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 8
passing · YPA: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 0.7

Dallas Vakalahi · DT

CFBD athlete 5220003

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Daryus Dixson · CB

CFBD athlete 5141411

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 14
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

De'Andre Cook · DT

CFBD athlete 5146889

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Donte Nastasi · CB

CFBD athlete 5160622

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Finn Furmanek · TE

CFBD athlete 5160164

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 31
receiving · YPR: 31.0

Gabe Burkle · TE

CFBD athlete 4869519

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 53
receiving · YPR: 10.6

Ibn McDaniels · S

CFBD athlete 5195461

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ikenna Ezeogu · DE

CFBD athlete 4826502

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jackson Ford · DE

CFBD athlete 5244760

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jahmir Joseph · CB

CFBD athlete 5141548

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

James Peoples · RB

CFBD athlete 5110454

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 24
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 57
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 246
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Jamison Patton · S

CFBD athlete 4950395

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 26

Jeremiah Cooper · S

CFBD athlete 4833357

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

John Klosterman · LB

CFBD athlete 5081870

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Josiah Zayas · CB

CFBD athlete 5289311

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 16
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 25.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 51

Karon Brookins · WR

CFBD athlete 5215218

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Keanu Williams · DT

CFBD athlete 4431612

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Koby Howard · WR

CFBD athlete 5141525

receiving · LONG: 70
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 344
receiving · YPR: 28.7
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 24
rushing · YPC: 12.0

Kooper Ebel · LB

CFBD athlete 5076123

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 40

Liam Andrews · DT

CFBD athlete 5079302

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Logan Cunningham · WR

CFBD athlete 5219077

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Marcus Neal · S

CFBD athlete 5173604

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Matthew Parker · PK

CFBD athlete 5294256

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Max Granville · DE

CFBD athlete 5141483

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Nathan Tiyce · P

CFBD athlete 5294651

punting · In 20: 12
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 31
punting · TB: 4
punting · YDS: 1273
punting · YPP: 41.1

Quinton Martin Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079577

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 31
rushing · LONG: 61
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 160
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Rocco Becht · QB

CFBD athlete 4801299

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 210
passing · COMPLETIONS: 132
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.629
passing · TD: 12
passing · YDS: 1664
passing · YPA: 7.9
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 51
rushing · YPC: 1.2

Ryan Barker · PK

CFBD athlete 5092232

kicking · FGA: 13
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.846
kicking · PTS: 54
kicking · XPA: 21
kicking · XPM: 21

Siale Liku · DT

CFBD athlete 4427804

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Tony Rojas · LB

CFBD athlete 4918098

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 10.5
defensive · TOT: 56
interceptions · AVG: 6.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 13

Tyler Armstead · CB

CFBD athlete 5230372

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tyrell Chatman · CB

CFBD athlete 5278306

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Tyriq Blanding · DT

CFBD athlete 4899469

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Vaboue Toure · S

CFBD athlete 5079611

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Xxavier Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 5193689

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Yvan Kemajou · DE

CFBD athlete 5213238

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Zay Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5296212

kickReturns · AVG: 18.4
kickReturns · LONG: 34
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 129
puntReturns · AVG: 11.3
puntReturns · LONG: 38
puntReturns · NO: 19
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 214
receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 122
receiving · YPR: 15.3

Zion Tracy · CB

CFBD athlete 5100946

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 22
interceptions · AVG: -2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Penn State -10.25

DraftKings snapshot: Penn State -10

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Penn State by 10.16

0.09 points toward Purdue versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Penn State.

Net EPA rating difference: +6.22
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 10.16 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 990f1d98a6168e609e0ffe1dbd46ac1552df7d1adbda1a21409c619148c77830 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast d75200dc803233b012a660a8509771b3ade062f5a21e2df3c2a91d3b87d3f10b · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.75 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Penn State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-9.5	-10.25	-0.75
Model spread	-10.16	-10.16	0.0
Model gap	+0.66	-0.09	-0.75

Negative spreads favor Penn State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 990f1d98a6168e609e0ffe1dbd46ac1552df7d1adbda1a21409c619148c77830. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.1 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Penn State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 77%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Penn State -10.5
Stacked ensemble: 81%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Penn State.

home elo: +12.42 (path difference 8.76)
away elo: +7.25 (path difference 9.16)
away adjusted success: -6.05 (path difference 5.39)
home adjusted success allowed: +6.00 (path difference 8.65)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.69 (path difference 6.24)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.22 (path difference 2.00)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.21 (path difference 0.51)
home adjusted epa allowed: -3.98 (path difference 4.40)
home adjusted passing epa: +3.77 (path difference 4.71)
away adjusted success allowed: +3.58 (path difference 4.14)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +3.13 (path difference 3.78)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.07 (path difference 2.68)
home talent: +3.03 (path difference 1.07)
home adjusted epa: +2.81 (path difference 4.72)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.77 (path difference 1.91)
home adjusted line yards: -2.48 (path difference 1.09)
away adjusted epa allowed: +2.31 (path difference 3.71)
away adjusted epa: -2.21 (path difference 0.30)
away talent: -2.13 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.04 (path difference 2.09)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.85 (path difference 2.26)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.61 (path difference 1.94)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.48 (path difference 2.61)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.35 (path difference 0.41)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.34 (path difference 2.55)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.27 (path difference 0.57)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.26 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -1.03 (path difference 0.76)
home adjusted explosiveness: +1.01 (path difference 0.59)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.97 (path difference 0.96)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.94 (path difference 0.64)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.81 (path difference 1.41)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.72 (path difference 1.57)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.66 (path difference 1.02)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.65 (path difference 1.63)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.64 (path difference 1.76)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.59 (path difference 1.09)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.51 (path difference 0.20)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.48 (path difference 0.34)
away adjusted rushing epa: +0.44 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted passing down success: +0.31 (path difference 0.43)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.31 (path difference 0.56)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.24 (path difference 0.34)
home adjusted success: +0.21 (path difference 0.29)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.15 (path difference 0.05)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.08 (path difference 0.78)
away conference: +0.05 (path difference 0.67)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.05 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted line yards: +0.04 (path difference 0.04)
home conference: -0.03 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.02 (path difference 0.77)
week: -0.01 (path difference 0.97)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 80.93 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 192ca85b77e2803fb503c9b95c582fd3e17c5a9fe3479b493242ddebacb0d051 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 098c48413b1375b8481576f9f6379ec0e195bfb38519f9a3d0a7b0f605cb292a · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Purdue

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 100 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Fame Ijeboi CFBD athlete 5218961 Week 5 vs Illinois: 17 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 29.4% success · 0.034 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Minnesota: 30 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.421 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 13 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 15.4% success · -0.742 raw PPA.	60	4.3	0	60.0%	126 / 4.3
Ryan Browne CFBD athlete 5104738 Week 5 vs Illinois: 4 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.311 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Minnesota: 7 attempts · 11.6 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.885 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.501 raw PPA.	19	5.5	2	19.0%	38 / 1.8
Antonio Harris CFBD athlete 5219089 Week 5 vs Illinois: 6 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.591 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Minnesota: 8 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.799 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.392 raw PPA.	17	2.9	0	17.0%	26 / 3.7
Xavier Townsend CFBD athlete 4808767 Week 5 vs Illinois: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.117 raw PPA.	1	4.0	0	1.0%	1 / 4.0
Asaad Waseem CFBD athlete 4871062 Week 7 vs Washington: 1 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.447 raw PPA.	1	-1.0	0	1.0%	1 / -1.0

Penn State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 82 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Carson Hansen CFBD athlete 5077502 Week 5 vs Northwestern: 4 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.883 raw PPA. Week 6 vs USC: 14 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 38.5% success · 0.080 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Michigan: 15 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 46.7% success · -0.021 raw PPA.	33	3.0	1	40.2%	71 / 3.7
Rocco Becht CFBD athlete 4801299 Week 5 vs Northwestern: 7 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.084 raw PPA. Week 6 vs USC: 10 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.024 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Michigan: 7 attempts · -0.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.005 raw PPA.	24	1.2	5	29.3%	42 / 0.9
James Peoples CFBD athlete 5110454 Week 5 vs Northwestern: 8 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.595 raw PPA. Week 6 vs USC: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.226 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Michigan: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.232 raw PPA.	20	2.4	0	24.4%	60 / 3.3
Quinton Martin Jr. CFBD athlete 5079577 Week 5 vs Northwestern: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.504 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Michigan: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.539 raw PPA.	5	1.6	0	6.1%	31 / 5.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Penn StateOffense	PurdueDefense	PurdueOffense	Penn StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.12 43rd	+0.25 3rd	+0.20 69th	+0.06 56th
Success rate	41.6% 39th	46.6% 9th	44.6% 60th	39.3% 63rd
Explosiveness	1.20 36th	1.39 6th	1.25 55th	1.25 38th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.06 38th	+0.11 21st	+0.10 55th	-0.04 71st
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.30 64th	+0.58 0th	+0.41 84th	+0.27 26th
Havoc allowed / created	13.7% 66th	14.8% 34th	14.5% 50th	17.3% 72nd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:26 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:26 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Ryan Barker · Penn State · PAAR 2.65 · 13 attempts
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano · Purdue · PAAR 6.71 · 16 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Penn State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -8.5 · Snapshot spread: -10

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence