Week 9 · 2026
Nevada at UCLA
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Nevada
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Dominic Kelley RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 49.1% 27 / 55 plays |
| AJ Bianco QB 2 games | 32.4% 12 / 37 plays | 50.0% 3 / 6 plays |
| Luke Duncan QB 2 games | 42.4% 14 / 33 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
| Carter Jones QB 1 games | 33.3% 7 / 21 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Herschel Turner RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 11 / 22 plays |
| Ky Woods RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| Donnie Cheers WR 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
| Reeve Slone QB 1 games | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 51 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
AJ Bianco · QB
CFBD athlete 4819250
- passing · ATT
- 58
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 31
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.534
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 326
- passing · YPA
- 5.6
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 15
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 75
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Aiden Walker · DB
CFBD athlete 5258484
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 36
Alosio Maluia · LB
CFBD athlete 5388807
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Benjamin Wheeler · TE
CFBD athlete 5388810
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Bishop Turner · DB
CFBD athlete 5121729
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Brandon Amaniampong · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5155324
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Brock Wattenbarger · DB
CFBD athlete 5388801
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Bryson Snelling · DB
CFBD athlete 5296360
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Carter Jackson · RB
CFBD athlete 5148658
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 8
- rushing · YPC
- 2.7
Carter Jones · QB
CFBD athlete 5205097
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 89
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 53
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.596
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 654
- passing · YPA
- 7.3
- rushing · CAR
- 29
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 57
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
DJ Asiasi · TE
CFBD athlete 5216506
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 42
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
Damien Moun · WR
CFBD athlete 5158756
- receiving · LONG
- 26
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 179
- receiving · YPR
- 5.8
David Paine Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5219603
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Dominic Kelley · RB
CFBD athlete 5265178
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 121
- receiving · YPR
- 8.6
- rushing · CAR
- 111
- rushing · LONG
- 72
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 582
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Don Henry · WR
CFBD athlete 5388802
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 28
- receiving · YPR
- 28.0
Donnie Cheers · WR
CFBD athlete 5153499
- receiving · LONG
- 50
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 126
- receiving · YPR
- 18.0
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 21
- rushing · YPC
- 2.1
Dylan Labarbera · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5219590
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 7
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 33
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.0
- defensive · TOT
- 56
EJ Smith · LB
CFBD athlete 5296359
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 42
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 77
Ewan Baulch · P
CFBD athlete 5388812
- punting · In 20
- 6
- punting · LONG
- 61
- punting · NO
- 26
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1123
- punting · YPP
- 43.2
Gary Givens III · WR
CFBD athlete 5226511
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 73
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 305
- receiving · YPR
- 16.1
Gerick Robinson · WR
CFBD athlete 4683297
- puntReturns · AVG
- 12.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 43
- puntReturns · NO
- 16
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 207
Herschel Turner · RB
CFBD athlete 5220671
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 116
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
- rushing · CAR
- 71
- rushing · LONG
- 72
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 480
- rushing · YPC
- 6.8
Isaiah Jordan · DB
CFBD athlete 5255015
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Jaceon Doss · WR
CFBD athlete 5151405
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 76
- receiving · YPR
- 19.0
Jack MacKinnon · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5156346
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jake Silverman · LB
CFBD athlete 5215324
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jakobus Seth · DL
CFBD athlete 4832820
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
James Gillespie · DT
CFBD athlete 5082503
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Janerious Jackson · RB
CFBD athlete 5388800
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Jason Hemphill II · DL
CFBD athlete 5265480
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jaylen Webb · DB
CFBD athlete 5295049
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jeremy Naborne · LB
CFBD athlete 5295194
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 30
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 55
Joe McFadden · PK
CFBD athlete 4690467
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 45
- kicking · PCT
- 0.833
- kicking · PTS
- 50
- kicking · XPA
- 20
- kicking · XPM
- 20
Joey Thomas III · DB
CFBD athlete 5162999
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Joshua Scott · DB
CFBD athlete 5083200
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Justin Wyatt Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5265408
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kameron Brown · EDGE
CFBD athlete 5209142
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kola Babalola · TE
CFBD athlete 5084959
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ky Woods · RB
CFBD athlete 4833591
- kickReturns · AVG
- 32.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 90
- kickReturns · NO
- 9
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 291
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 10
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 12
- rushing · LONG
- 19
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 51
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Larry Turner-Gooden · DB
CFBD athlete 4685591
- defensive · PD
- 6
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Logologo Va'a · DL
CFBD athlete 4917358
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Luke Duncan · QB
CFBD athlete 5077500
- passing · ATT
- 47
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 25
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.532
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 229
- passing · YPA
- 4.9
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -10
- rushing · YPC
- -5.0
Marshaun Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 5103836
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 2
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 32
- passing · YPA
- 16.0
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 148
- receiving · YPR
- 11.4
Myles Williams · EDGE
CFBD athlete 4687184
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Poasa Utu · LB
CFBD athlete 5077311
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Reeve Slone · QB
CFBD athlete 5265060
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
Tajean Stallworth · DB
CFBD athlete 5217702
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Tanner Vaughan · DL
CFBD athlete 5151792
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Trace Estes · TE
CFBD athlete 5219598
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 90
- receiving · YPR
- 18.0
Zavien Abercrombie · DB
CFBD athlete 5229945
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zion Jones · DB
CFBD athlete 5152112
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
UCLA
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Dieffenbach QB 3 games | 40.3% 29 / 72 plays | 38.5% 5 / 13 plays |
| Wayne Knight RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 46.0% 23 / 50 plays |
| Anthony Woods RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 54.8% 17 / 31 plays |
| Nico Iamaleava QB 1 games | 41.2% 7 / 17 plays | 33.3% 2 / 6 plays |
| Jaivian Thomas RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 43.5% 10 / 23 plays |
| Troy Leigber RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Semaj Morgan WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Aidan Mizell WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 54 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
A.J. Fuimaono · DL
CFBD athlete 5084298
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Aidan Mizell · WR
CFBD athlete 4917945
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 83
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 175
- receiving · YPR
- 25.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 33
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 33
- rushing · YPC
- 33.0
Aiden Gobaira · DL
CFBD athlete 4703026
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Amier Washington · DL
CFBD athlete 5015143
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Anthony Sacca · LB
CFBD athlete 5141658
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Anthony Woods · RB
CFBD athlete 5083175
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 44
- receiving · YPR
- 5.5
- rushing · CAR
- 67
- rushing · LONG
- 53
- rushing · TD
- 6
- rushing · YDS
- 459
- rushing · YPC
- 6.9
Ashton Sanders · DL
CFBD athlete 4918114
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Brayden Loftin · TE
CFBD athlete 4869442
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 91
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
Brian Rowe Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5209464
- receiving · LONG
- 63
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 283
- receiving · YPR
- 16.6
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 20
- rushing · YPC
- 20.0
Cole Cogshell · DL
CFBD athlete 5216642
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Cole Martin · DB
CFBD athlete 4870821
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- puntReturns · AVG
- -1.5
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -3
Curtis Gerrand · P
CFBD athlete 5296826
- punting · In 20
- 14
- punting · LONG
- 55
- punting · NO
- 27
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1201
- punting · YPP
- 44.5
DJ Barksdale · DB
CFBD athlete 5079055
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Dallin Havea · DL
CFBD athlete 5219647
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Dante Lovett · DB
CFBD athlete 4921504
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Darold Dengohe · DL
CFBD athlete 4923224
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Donavyn Pellot · LB
CFBD athlete 5102800
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- interceptions · AVG
- 67.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 67
Drew Spinogatti · LB
CFBD athlete 5157400
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Harry Lodge · TE
CFBD athlete 4917270
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Jaivian Thomas · RB
CFBD athlete 5114332
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 51
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 241
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Jalen Saint Paul · WR
CFBD athlete 5221316
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 56
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
Jalen Woods · LB
CFBD athlete 4702562
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 34
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 60
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jewelous Walls · LB
CFBD athlete 5141691
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jhase McMillan · DB
CFBD athlete 5224368
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Josh Phifer · TE
CFBD athlete 5084910
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
Karson Cox · RB
CFBD athlete 5148601
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 10.0
Landon Ellis · WR
CFBD athlete 5153994
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 127
- receiving · YPR
- 15.9
Leland Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 5219086
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 79
- receiving · YPR
- 19.8
Madden Iamaleava · QB
CFBD athlete 5142594
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 2.0
Malik Hartford · DB
CFBD athlete 4917948
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 29
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Mason Rivera · DB
CFBD athlete 5083150
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
- interceptions · AVG
- 25.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 25
Mateen Bhaghani · PK
CFBD athlete 5161141
- kicking · FGA
- 9
- kicking · FGM
- 6
- kicking · LONG
- 40
- kicking · PCT
- 0.667
- kicking · PTS
- 49
- kicking · XPA
- 31
- kicking · XPM
- 31
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 51
- punting · NO
- 2
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 91
- punting · YPP
- 45.5
Maxwell Roy · DL
CFBD athlete 5141672
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Mikey Matthews · WR
CFBD athlete 4921306
- puntReturns · AVG
- 13.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 22
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 53
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 88
- receiving · YPR
- 22.0
Nico Davillier · DL
CFBD athlete 4685304
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Nico Iamaleava · QB
CFBD athlete 4870799
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 116
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 72
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.621
- passing · TD
- 4
- passing · YDS
- 982
- passing · YPA
- 8.5
- rushing · CAR
- 42
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 144
- rushing · YPC
- 3.4
Noah Fox-Flores · TE
CFBD athlete 5295326
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 4.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 4
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 4
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 6.7
Osiris Gilbert · DB
CFBD athlete 5176073
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Rodrick Pleasant · DB
CFBD athlete 4870973
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 12
Ryan McCulloch · LB
CFBD athlete 5161140
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Sahir West · DL
CFBD athlete 5197086
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Samuel Omosigho · LB
CFBD athlete 4899483
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 5
- defensive · SOLO
- 35
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 9
- defensive · TOT
- 51
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Scooter Jackson · DB
CFBD athlete 5152410
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 65.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 65
Scott Taylor · LB
CFBD athlete 5209129
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Semaj Morgan · WR
CFBD athlete 4899366
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 25
- puntReturns · NO
- 6
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 62
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 383
- receiving · YPR
- 12.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Shane Rosenthal · WR
CFBD athlete 5209306
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ta'Shawn James · DB
CFBD athlete 5077815
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
- interceptions · AVG
- 16.0
- interceptions · INT
- 4
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 64
Tao Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 4901131
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Trent Hendrick · LB
CFBD athlete 4911930
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- interceptions · AVG
- 23.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 23
Troy Leigber · RB
CFBD athlete 5153614
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 19
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 19
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 63
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 104
- rushing · YPC
- 14.9
Ty Dieffenbach · QB
CFBD athlete 5092275
- passing · ATT
- 70
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 43
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.614
- passing · TD
- 2
- passing · YDS
- 505
- passing · YPA
- 7.2
- rushing · CAR
- 15
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -10
- rushing · YPC
- -0.7
Ty Lee · DB
CFBD athlete 4921256
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Tyson Ford · DL
CFBD athlete 4685341
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Wayne Knight · RB
CFBD athlete 4912342
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 20.1
- kickReturns · LONG
- 29
- kickReturns · NO
- 9
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 181
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 106
- receiving · YPR
- 7.6
- rushing · CAR
- 99
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 12
- rushing · YDS
- 627
- rushing · YPC
- 6.3
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
UCLA -22.25
DraftKings snapshot: UCLA -22.5
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
UCLA by 20.68
1.57 points toward Nevada versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward UCLA.
- Net EPA rating difference: +16.74
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 20.68 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs a4e2f95a27f217da30f9bc772f3a16121a43f5c29116f767507a3b917b296297 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 35a6e186cca7c7ca2cd2dbb7433131587e6881fcaf97e753bbd5f896e948a2b5 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.5 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -22.75 | -22.25 | +0.5 |
| Model spread | -20.68 | -20.68 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | -2.07 | -1.57 | +0.5 |
Negative spreads favor UCLA; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: a4e2f95a27f217da30f9bc772f3a16121a43f5c29116f767507a3b917b296297. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.6 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
UCLA win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 94%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: UCLA -22
- Stacked ensemble
- 83%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward UCLA.
- home adjusted success allowed: +11.62 (path difference 1.65)
- home elo: +9.06 (path difference 7.06)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.94 (path difference 11.51)
- home adjusted success: +7.78 (path difference 7.18)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -7.64 (path difference 8.31)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.65 (path difference 5.57)
- away elo: +6.60 (path difference 8.07)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.28 (path difference 0.57)
- home adjusted line yards: +3.16 (path difference 1.40)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -2.65 (path difference 1.28)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.62 (path difference 3.79)
- home talent: +2.60 (path difference 1.80)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.57 (path difference 0.54)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.56 (path difference 0.77)
- home adjusted standard down success: +2.09 (path difference 2.84)
- home adjusted passing epa: -1.51 (path difference 1.37)
- away adjusted epa: +1.43 (path difference 2.28)
- away adjusted passing down success: -1.32 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted epa: +1.30 (path difference 1.58)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.27 (path difference 1.63)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.27 (path difference 0.61)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.15 (path difference 0.65)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.07 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +1.05 (path difference 0.96)
- home adjusted open field yards: +0.94 (path difference 0.26)
- home adjusted explosiveness: -0.93 (path difference 0.33)
- away adjusted success: -0.92 (path difference 0.72)
- away talent: +0.85 (path difference 0.96)
- away adjusted success allowed: -0.78 (path difference 1.06)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.72 (path difference 1.02)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.70 (path difference 0.78)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.67 (path difference 0.54)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.63 (path difference 1.34)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.58 (path difference 0.26)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.58 (path difference 0.45)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.53 (path difference 0.17)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.52 (path difference 0.61)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.44 (path difference 0.32)
- home adjusted rushing epa: +0.38 (path difference 0.52)
- home adjusted second level yards: -0.35 (path difference 0.08)
- away conference: +0.31 (path difference 0.14)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.28 (path difference 0.13)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.18 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.70)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.70)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.10 (path difference 0.07)
- home conference: +0.10 (path difference 0.28)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.10 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted open field yards: -0.10 (path difference 0.45)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.07 (path difference 0.25)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.04 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.02 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.22)
- week: -0.01 (path difference 0.96)
Reconciles to 83.12 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 3f22d5d47d19bfa5b4301ef0c5823f7716067f5268d67ab48032427bf2d74cc7 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 2e95c173165f54ca2c831e3b994192603b0fecd55cc3635d61b1eea7ce00aec7 · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Nevada
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 98 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominic KelleyCFBD athlete 5265178 Week 6 vs UTEP: 22 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.128 raw PPA. Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 10 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.008 raw PPA. Week 8 vs San José State: 24 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.111 raw PPA. | 56 | 4.2 | 0 | 57.1% | 110 / 5.3 |
Herschel TurnerCFBD athlete 5220671 Week 6 vs UTEP: 17 attempts · 10.8 YPC · 58.8% success · 0.621 raw PPA. Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 5 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.372 raw PPA. | 22 | 8.8 | 0 | 22.4% | 61 / 7.0 |
AJ BiancoCFBD athlete 4819250 Week 6 vs UTEP: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.357 raw PPA. Week 7 vs North Dakota State: 4 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.942 raw PPA. | 6 | 4.7 | 0 | 6.1% | 13 / 5.8 |
Ky WoodsCFBD athlete 4833591 Week 6 vs UTEP: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.448 raw PPA. Week 8 vs San José State: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.357 raw PPA. | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 4.1% | 12 / 4.3 |
Carter JonesCFBD athlete 5205097 Week 6 vs UTEP: 4 attempts · -4.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.164 raw PPA. | 4 | -4.8 | 2 | 4.1% | 27 / 1.8 |
UCLA
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 130 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wayne KnightCFBD athlete 4912342 Week 6 vs Oregon: 22 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.040 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 13 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.158 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Michigan State: 15 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 73.3% success · 0.160 raw PPA. | 50 | 3.6 | 0 | 38.5% | 98 / 5.9 |
Anthony WoodsCFBD athlete 5083175 Week 6 vs Oregon: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.143 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 8 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.221 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Michigan State: 14 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 78.6% success · 0.203 raw PPA. | 31 | 6.1 | 0 | 23.8% | 66 / 6.8 |
Jaivian ThomasCFBD athlete 5114332 Week 6 vs Oregon: 4 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.381 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.077 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Michigan State: 10 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.693 raw PPA. | 23 | 3.7 | 0 | 17.7% | 51 / 4.7 |
Ty DieffenbachCFBD athlete 5092275 Week 6 vs Oregon: 4 attempts · -3.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.903 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 6 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.323 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Michigan State: 5 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.324 raw PPA. | 15 | -0.7 | 2 | 11.5% | 15 / -0.7 |
Nico IamaleavaCFBD athlete 4870799 Week 6 vs Oregon: 7 attempts · 0.1 YPC · 33.3% success · -1.253 raw PPA. | 7 | 0.1 | 1 | 5.4% | 40 / 3.4 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | UCLAOffense | NevadaDefense | NevadaOffense | UCLADefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.16 58th | +0.10 39th | +0.07 29th | -0.20 100th |
| Success rate | 46.5% 73rd | 37.4% 76th | 40.9% 34th | 32.3% 99th |
| Explosiveness | 1.11 8th | 1.17 72nd | 1.24 51st | 1.16 75th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.12 62nd | +0.08 33rd | +0.03 31st | -0.21 99th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.28 59th | +0.13 66th | +0.15 26th | -0.19 99th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 14.1% 57th | 14.9% 36th | 14.0% 59th | 20.1% 94th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:24 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:24 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Joe McFadden · Nevada · PAAR 5.49 · 11 attempts
- Mateen Bhaghani · UCLA · PAAR -2.60 · 9 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
UCLA spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -23.5 · Snapshot spread: -22.5
First locally observed: -23.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 43.5
Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -1800 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -2400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +1000 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +1200 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -22.5 · Snapshot spread: -22
First locally observed: -22.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 44 · Snapshot total: 43.5
Total · First locally observed: 44 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -1900 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -1900 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +900 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +900 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
UCLA
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten
Nevada
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Mountain West
Travel
Nevada travels 383 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change · down 3,810 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
UCLA leads 1–0 in 1 meetings since 2013.
- 2013Nevada at UCLA20–58 · UCLA
CFBD matchup data Last 1 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.