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Week 10 · 2026

Nebraska at Illinois

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Nebraska

Window: 2026-11-01 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T01:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Anthony Colandrea QB
3 games
36.4%
48 / 132 plays
50.0%
13 / 26 plays
Jamal Rule RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
35.5%
11 / 31 plays
Mekhi Nelson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
23.8%
5 / 21 plays
Isaiah Mozee RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
2 / 7 plays
Nyziah Hunter WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Jacory Barney Jr. WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andrew Marshall · DB

CFBD athlete 5165110

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
23
interceptions · AVG
3.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
3
Anthony Colandrea · QB

CFBD athlete 5044387

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
263
passing · COMPLETIONS
161
passing · INT
7
passing · PCT
0.612
passing · TD
15
passing · YDS
1824
passing · YPA
6.9
rushing · CAR
75
rushing · LONG
51
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
354
rushing · YPC
4.7
Anthony Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 4711228

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Archie Wilson · P

CFBD athlete 5295979

punting · In 20
14
punting · LONG
68
punting · NO
31
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1397
punting · YPP
45.1
Caleb Benning · DB

CFBD athlete 5083700

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
25
Cameron Lenhardt · DL

CFBD athlete 4870891

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
12
Carter Nelson · TE

CFBD athlete 5110168

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
15.0
Conor Booth · RB

CFBD athlete 5163093

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
7.0
Cortez Mills Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5141599

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
11.5
Daniel Kaelin · QB

CFBD athlete 5126471

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
-1
passing · YPA
-0.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Danny Odem III · DB

CFBD athlete 5217443

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
David Hoffken · DT

CFBD athlete 5227014

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Dawson Merritt · LB

CFBD athlete 5195297

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
11
Demitrius Bell · WR

CFBD athlete 5075705

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-2
receiving · YPR
-2.0
Derek Wacker · LB

CFBD athlete 5219067

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Dexter Foster · LB

CFBD athlete 5155866

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
23
Donovan Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5148418

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
36
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
6.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
6
Dwayne McDougle · DB

CFBD athlete 5084740

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
49
interceptions · AVG
48.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
96
Dylan Berymon · DL

CFBD athlete 5207602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Isaiah Mozee · RB

CFBD athlete 5141607

kickReturns · AVG
17.0
kickReturns · LONG
17
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
17
puntReturns · AVG
3.0
puntReturns · LONG
3
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
3
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
86
receiving · YPR
7.8
rushing · CAR
46
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
229
rushing · YPC
5.0
Jacory Barney Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5083370

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
37.0
kickReturns · LONG
37
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
37
puntReturns · AVG
6.4
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
19
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
122
receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
35
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
443
receiving · YPR
12.7
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
5.0
Jahsear Whittington · DL

CFBD athlete 5079765

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.0
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jamal Rule · RB

CFBD athlete 5290565

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
82
receiving · YPR
20.5
rushing · CAR
73
rushing · LONG
59
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
463
rushing · YPC
6.3
Jamir Conn · DB

CFBD athlete 5154764

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
26
Janiran Bonner · WR

CFBD athlete 4685274

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
4.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Jasin Shiggs · DB

CFBD athlete 5226921

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jeremiah Charles · DB

CFBD athlete 5125074

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
puntReturns · AVG
13.0
puntReturns · LONG
13
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
13
Jeremiah Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 5214503

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
John Hohl · PK

CFBD athlete 5227017

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
1
kicking · LONG
42
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
3
kicking · XPA
0
kicking · XPM
0
Jordan Ochoa · DL

CFBD athlete 5197030

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Justyn Rhett · DB

CFBD athlete 4870917

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Kade Pietrzak · DL

CFBD athlete 5201876

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
interceptions · AVG
10.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
10
Keelan Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5144160

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Kwazi Gilmer · WR

CFBD athlete 5127885

receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
42
receiving · TD
7
receiving · YDS
545
receiving · YPR
13.0
Kwinten Ives · RB

CFBD athlete 5120456

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
12.5
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
34
rushing · YPC
8.5
Kyle Cunanan · PK

CFBD athlete 5151038

kicking · FGA
9
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
40
kicking · PCT
0.444
kicking · PTS
46
kicking · XPA
35
kicking · XPM
34
Larry Miles · WR

CFBD athlete 5272709

receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
-1
receiving · YPR
-1.0
Larry Tarver Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5143171

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Luke Lindenmeyer · TE

CFBD athlete 5081107

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
247
receiving · YPR
9.1
Malcolm Simpson · DL

CFBD athlete 5141649

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Mario Buford · DB

CFBD athlete 5079358

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Mason Goldman · DL

CFBD athlete 5121603

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Mekhi Nelson · RB

CFBD athlete 5227018

receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
161
receiving · YPR
14.6
rushing · CAR
77
rushing · LONG
29
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
333
rushing · YPC
4.3
Nyziah Hunter · WR

CFBD athlete 5078312

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
17.6
kickReturns · LONG
33
kickReturns · NO
10
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
176
receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
173
receiving · YPR
7.9
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
3.6
Owen Chambliss · LB

CFBD athlete 4921290

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
53
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Owen Stoudmire · DL

CFBD athlete 4683507

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
14
Pierce Mooberry · LB

CFBD athlete 5215159

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Quinn Clark · WR

CFBD athlete 5148624

puntReturns · AVG
11.0
puntReturns · LONG
11
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
63
receiving · YPR
10.5
Rex Guthrie · DB

CFBD athlete 5148943

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
interceptions · AVG
35.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
35
Riley Van Poppel · DL

CFBD athlete 4954452

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6
defensive · TOT
11
Rowdy Bauer · DB

CFBD athlete 5219073

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
TJ Lateef · QB

CFBD athlete 5141556

passing · ATT
11
passing · COMPLETIONS
8
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.727
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
82
passing · YPA
7.5
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
11.0
Tyson Terry · DL

CFBD athlete 5146970

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Victor Evans III · DB

CFBD athlete 5075792

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
24
Vincent Genatone · RB

CFBD athlete 5087700

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
13.0
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
1.4
Vincent Shavers Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5127041

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
30
Williams Nwaneri · DL

CFBD athlete 5079639

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
8

Illinois

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T01:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Katin Houser QB
2 games
52.5%
32 / 61 plays
57.1%
4 / 7 plays
Aidan Laughery RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
31.8%
14 / 44 plays
Michael Clayton II QB
2 games
37.0%
10 / 27 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
Jordan Anderson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
34.6%
9 / 26 plays
Javari Barnett RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
40.0%
6 / 15 plays
Carson Boyd QB
2 games
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
75.0%
3 / 4 plays
Traditional season production · 53 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aidan Laughery · RB

CFBD athlete 4827047

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
32
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
45
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
89
rushing · LONG
77
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
560
rushing · YPC
6.3
Almirian Thomas · DB

CFBD athlete 5276982

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ben Clawson · DB

CFBD athlete 5092451

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Brayden Trimble · WR

CFBD athlete 5211769

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
198
receiving · YPR
9.0
Ca'Lil Valentine · RB

CFBD athlete 5106299

kickReturns · AVG
31.0
kickReturns · LONG
31
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
31
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
46
receiving · YPR
15.3
rushing · CAR
50
rushing · LONG
51
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
225
rushing · YPC
4.5
Cameron Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5160470

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Carson Boyd · QB

CFBD athlete 5196352

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
5.0
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
36
rushing · YPC
6.0
Carter Janki · DL

CFBD athlete 5084423

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
Christian Abney · TE

CFBD athlete 5076651

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
5.2
Collin Dixon · WR

CFBD athlete 4923226

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
45
receiving · REC
59
receiving · TD
10
receiving · YDS
776
receiving · YPR
13.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
15
rushing · YPC
15.0
Daniel Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5218892

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Darrell Prater · DL

CFBD athlete 5153131

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
12
Davin Stoffel · TE

CFBD athlete 5154729

kickReturns · AVG
13.0
kickReturns · LONG
13
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
13
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
38
receiving · YPR
12.7
Demetrius John · DL

CFBD athlete 5146952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Des Straughton · DB

CFBD athlete 5294103

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Deuce Fillmore · DB

CFBD athlete 5295769

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Ean Rhea · LB

CFBD athlete 5369903

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
13
Eddie Kasper · WR

CFBD athlete 5087240

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Ethan Moczulski · PK

CFBD athlete 4870578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
15
kicking · FGM
12
kicking · LONG
54
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
62
kicking · XPA
26
kicking · XPM
26
Grant Beerman · LB

CFBD athlete 5148652

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Hudson Clement · WR

CFBD athlete 5100582

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
32
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
453
receiving · YPR
14.2
Isaiah Thomison · DL

CFBD athlete 5091842

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
Ismael Kante · LB

CFBD athlete 5294102

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
48
interceptions · AVG
59.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
59
Jack Paris · LB

CFBD athlete 5265272

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Jaheim Clarke · DB

CFBD athlete 5077284

defensive · PD
8
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
40
Jakwon Morris · DB

CFBD athlete 5369891

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
James Finley · DB

CFBD athlete 5211749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Kreutz · LB

CFBD athlete 4912120

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
50
Javari Barnett · RB

CFBD athlete 5203604

rushing · CAR
25
rushing · LONG
64
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
183
rushing · YPC
7.3
Jershaun Newton · WR

CFBD athlete 5217444

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Joe Barna · DL

CFBD athlete 5146980

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
20
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jordan Anderson · RB

CFBD athlete 4826636

receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
38
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
175
rushing · YPC
4.6
Joshua Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5369904

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Kaden Feagin · TE

CFBD athlete 4870728

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
73
receiving · YPR
9.1
Katin Houser · QB

CFBD athlete 4795295

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
passing · ATT
216
passing · COMPLETIONS
140
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.648
passing · TD
13
passing · YDS
1663
passing · YPA
7.7
rushing · CAR
32
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
138
rushing · YPC
4.3
Kayden Bennett · LB

CFBD athlete 5245163

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Lars Rau · P

CFBD athlete 5220917

punting · In 20
9
punting · LONG
55
punting · NO
23
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
996
punting · YPP
43.3
Mac Resetich · DB

CFBD athlete 5125740

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
44
puntReturns · AVG
21.6
puntReturns · LONG
65
puntReturns · NO
5
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
108
Mason Muragin · LB

CFBD athlete 5077504

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
11
Matthew Bailey · DB

CFBD athlete 4915710

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
35
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
55
interceptions · AVG
88.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
88
Michael Clayton II · QB

CFBD athlete 5198286

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
26
passing · COMPLETIONS
17
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.654
passing · TD
4
passing · YDS
172
passing · YPA
6.6
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-13
rushing · YPC
-2.2
Murphy Clement · RB

CFBD athlete 5228203

kickReturns · AVG
23.0
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
23
Nick Hankins Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5276577

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Parker Crim · DL

CFBD athlete 5282148

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Pat Farrell · DL

CFBD athlete 4923255

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
Robert Edmonson · LB

CFBD athlete 5158882

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Tanner Heckel · DB

CFBD athlete 5196972

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
2
Tony Balanganayi · DL

CFBD athlete 5369897

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ty Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 4689721

receiving · LONG
54
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
164
receiving · YPR
13.7
Tywan Cox · DB

CFBD athlete 5214494

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
William Holmes · DL

CFBD athlete 5220661

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
20
Xanai Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 5205456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Xavier Scott · DB

CFBD athlete 4917004

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
28

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Nebraska -4.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Nebraska by 8.47

3.97 points toward Nebraska versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Illinois.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -12.47
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -8.47 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 9bb83a46e0dc2617c2cecface56226cf567b9457669876d9cc9586389987a86a · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 4d118edf9f4707dd19fb8badb36625f64b9e8c9d3599fa00e445de252e247138 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Illinois · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+4.5+4.50.0
Model spread+8.47+8.470.0
Model gap-3.97-3.970.0

Negative spreads favor Illinois; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 9bb83a46e0dc2617c2cecface56226cf567b9457669876d9cc9586389987a86a. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Nebraska -4.5

Model gap -4.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Illinois.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Illinois win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
38%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Illinois +4.5
Stacked ensemble
38%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Illinois.

  • away adjusted success: -13.11 (path difference 0.58)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +8.21 (path difference 0.74)
  • home adjusted success: +7.15 (path difference 3.78)
  • away elo: -6.77 (path difference 3.17)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -6.58 (path difference 0.13)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -6.32 (path difference 0.18)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +6.03 (path difference 3.38)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -5.87 (path difference 3.46)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -4.97 (path difference 0.11)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: +4.85 (path difference 1.44)
  • away talent: -3.98 (path difference 0.62)
  • home elo: +3.83 (path difference 2.10)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.70 (path difference 0.97)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.28 (path difference 1.78)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +3.23 (path difference 0.07)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +3.19 (path difference 2.38)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.85 (path difference 1.22)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.85 (path difference 0.67)
  • away adjusted epa: -2.71 (path difference 1.48)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.46 (path difference 0.64)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.43 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.34 (path difference 0.08)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.32 (path difference 0.85)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -2.20 (path difference 0.60)
  • home talent: +2.16 (path difference 0.58)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +2.02 (path difference 0.59)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.93 (path difference 2.97)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.92 (path difference 0.56)
  • home adjusted line yards: +1.85 (path difference 1.18)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.76 (path difference 0.99)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.66 (path difference 1.79)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.65 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.40 (path difference 0.08)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -1.38 (path difference 1.87)
  • week: -1.33 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +1.19 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.11 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.09 (path difference 1.00)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +1.08 (path difference 1.17)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.06 (path difference 2.17)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +0.81 (path difference 3.60)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.76 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.73 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.62 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.55 (path difference 0.90)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.51 (path difference 1.34)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.50 (path difference 2.11)
  • away conference: +0.38 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.15 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted epa: -0.11 (path difference 1.27)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.06 (path difference 0.00)
  • home conference: -0.04 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.02 (path difference 1.28)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.02 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 37.52 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 7a8636469434fc6bb501dd1885ecdd8b00bc947a766b0b78d05596b40e8c6097 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 08d4a940da08243812a4b185bce17a8b33535bd1127f4caa312f16db4bf3f66a · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Nebraska

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Anthony Colandrea

CFBD athlete 5044387

Week 6 vs Indiana: 17 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.387 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Oregon: 12 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.372 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Washington: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.257 raw PPA.

362.81036.4%68 / 5.1
Jamal Rule

CFBD athlete 5290565

Week 6 vs Indiana: 15 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.122 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Oregon: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.669 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Washington: 13 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 46.2% success · 0.181 raw PPA.

314.2031.3%72 / 6.3
Mekhi Nelson

CFBD athlete 5227018

Week 6 vs Indiana: 4 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.093 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Oregon: 11 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.354 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Washington: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.043 raw PPA.

213.2021.2%77 / 4.3
Isaiah Mozee

CFBD athlete 5141607

Week 6 vs Indiana: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.037 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Oregon: 4 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.332 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Washington: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.159 raw PPA.

74.907.1%45 / 4.9
Nyziah Hunter

CFBD athlete 5078312

Week 6 vs Indiana: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.676 raw PPA.

25.002.0%5 / 3.6

Illinois

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Aidan Laughery

CFBD athlete 4827047

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 17 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 41.2% success · 0.007 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 13 attempts · 9.5 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.364 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Maryland: 14 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 21.4% success · -0.078 raw PPA.

445.4042.7%89 / 6.3
Jordan Anderson

CFBD athlete 4826636

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 6 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.197 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 11 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.341 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Maryland: 9 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.249 raw PPA.

264.8025.2%38 / 4.6
Javari Barnett

CFBD athlete 5203604

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 3 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.455 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 6 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.162 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Maryland: 6 attempts · 13.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.460 raw PPA.

158.6014.6%24 / 6.9
Katin Houser

CFBD athlete 4795295

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.454 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Maryland: 2 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.117 raw PPA.

74.606.8%32 / 4.3
Michael Clayton II

CFBD athlete 5198286

Week 6 vs Michigan State: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.261 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Oregon: 5 attempts · -2.6 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.763 raw PPA.

6-2.225.8%6 / -2.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureIllinoisOffenseNebraskaDefenseNebraskaOffenseIllinoisDefense
PPA/play
+0.22
77th
-0.04
86th
+0.20
73rd
+0.21
11th
Success rate
47.3%
80th
34.1%
93rd
44.4%
62nd
44.7%
15th
Explosiveness
1.30
77th
1.27
34th
1.36
93rd
1.26
34th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.15
73rd
+0.01
57th
+0.07
41st
+0.19
6th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.37
77th
-0.12
97th
+0.49
94th
+0.28
26th
Havoc allowed / created
11.4%
93rd
19.8%
92nd
14.6%
53rd
13.6%
19th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:47 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:47 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Ethan Moczulski · Illinois · PAAR 7.58 · 15 attempts
  • Kyle Cunanan · Nebraska · PAAR -6.06 · 9 attempts
  • John Hohl · Nebraska · PAAR 0.97 · 1 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Illinois spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +6 · Snapshot spread: +4.5

First locally observed: +6 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50.5 · Snapshot total: 50.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +164 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +170 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -198 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -205 · captured Nov 1, 2026, 03:00:02 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: eeaa60c32ae950903c6eb357c07f8eda76f9de01d095058b85ce148130691012

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +4.5 · Snapshot spread: +4.5

First locally observed: +4.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 50.5

Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +167 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +167 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -195 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -195 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Illinois

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Big Ten

33rd FBS percentile

Nebraska

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Big Ten

85th FBS percentile

Travel

Nebraska travels 448 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Nebraska leads 14–7, 1 tie in 22 meetings since 1892.

  • 2024Illinois at Nebraska31–24 · Illinois
  • 2023Nebraska at Illinois20–7 · Nebraska
  • 2022Illinois at Nebraska26–9 · Illinois
  • 2021Nebraska at Illinois22–30 · Illinois
  • 2020Illinois at Nebraska41–23 · Illinois
  • 2019Nebraska at Illinois42–38 · Nebraska

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.