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Week 10 · 2026

UCLA at Minnesota

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

UCLA

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Ty Dieffenbach QB
3 games
37.5%
36 / 96 plays
38.5%
5 / 13 plays
Wayne Knight RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
55.3%
21 / 38 plays
Anthony Woods RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
60.0%
18 / 30 plays
Jaivian Thomas RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
54.2%
13 / 24 plays
Troy Leigber RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Aidan Mizell WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Fuimaono · DL

CFBD athlete 5084298

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Aidan Mizell · WR

CFBD athlete 4917945

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
83
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
175
receiving · YPR
25.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
33
rushing · YPC
33.0
Aiden Gobaira · DL

CFBD athlete 4703026

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
23
Amier Washington · DL

CFBD athlete 5015143

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Anthony Sacca · LB

CFBD athlete 5141658

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Anthony Woods · RB

CFBD athlete 5083175

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
5.4
rushing · CAR
75
rushing · LONG
53
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
495
rushing · YPC
6.6
Ashton Sanders · DL

CFBD athlete 4918114

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Brayden Loftin · TE

CFBD athlete 4869442

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
96
receiving · YPR
12.0
Brian Rowe Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5209464

receiving · LONG
63
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
326
receiving · YPR
17.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
20
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
20.0
Cole Cogshell · DL

CFBD athlete 5216642

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Cole Martin · DB

CFBD athlete 4870821

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
puntReturns · AVG
-1.5
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
-3
Curtis Gerrand · P

CFBD athlete 5296826

punting · In 20
16
punting · LONG
55
punting · NO
32
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1429
punting · YPP
44.7
DJ Barksdale · DB

CFBD athlete 5079055

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
26.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
26
Dallin Havea · DL

CFBD athlete 5219647

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dante Lovett · DB

CFBD athlete 4921504

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Darold Dengohe · DL

CFBD athlete 4923224

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
13
Donavyn Pellot · LB

CFBD athlete 5102800

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
67.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
67
Drew Spinogatti · LB

CFBD athlete 5157400

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Harry Lodge · TE

CFBD athlete 4917270

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Jaivian Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5114332

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
24
receiving · YPR
8.0
rushing · CAR
56
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
270
rushing · YPC
4.8
Jalen Saint Paul · WR

CFBD athlete 5221316

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
108
receiving · YPR
12.0
Jalen Woods · LB

CFBD athlete 4702562

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
36
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
63
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Jewelous Walls · LB

CFBD athlete 5141691

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jhase McMillan · DB

CFBD athlete 5224368

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Josh Phifer · TE

CFBD athlete 5084910

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
6.0
Karson Cox · RB

CFBD athlete 5148601

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
10.0
Landon Ellis · WR

CFBD athlete 5153994

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
136
receiving · YPR
15.1
Leland Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5219086

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
79
receiving · YPR
19.8
Madden Iamaleava · QB

CFBD athlete 5142594

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
2.0
Malik Hartford · DB

CFBD athlete 4917948

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Mason Rivera · DB

CFBD athlete 5083150

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
interceptions · AVG
25.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
25
Mateen Bhaghani · PK

CFBD athlete 5161141

kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
8
kicking · LONG
40
kicking · PCT
0.667
kicking · PTS
58
kicking · XPA
34
kicking · XPM
34
punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
51
punting · NO
2
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
91
punting · YPP
45.5
Maxwell Roy · DL

CFBD athlete 5141672

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
Mikey Matthews · WR

CFBD athlete 4921306

puntReturns · AVG
13.3
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
53
receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
88
receiving · YPR
22.0
Nico Davillier · DL

CFBD athlete 4685304

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nico Iamaleava · QB

CFBD athlete 4870799

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
116
passing · COMPLETIONS
72
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.621
passing · TD
4
passing · YDS
982
passing · YPA
8.5
rushing · CAR
42
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
144
rushing · YPC
3.4
Noah Fox-Flores · TE

CFBD athlete 5295326

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
4.0
kickReturns · LONG
4
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
4
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
20
receiving · YPR
6.7
Osiris Gilbert · DB

CFBD athlete 5176073

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Rodrick Pleasant · DB

CFBD athlete 4870973

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
interceptions · AVG
12.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
12
Ryan McCulloch · LB

CFBD athlete 5161140

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Sahir West · DL

CFBD athlete 5197086

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7
defensive · TOT
33
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Salem Abdul-Wahab · LS

CFBD athlete 5220741

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Samuel Omosigho · LB

CFBD athlete 4899483

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
5
defensive · SOLO
35
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
9.5
defensive · TOT
56
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Scooter Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5152410

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
33.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
67
Scott Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5209129

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
20
Semaj Morgan · WR

CFBD athlete 4899366

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
puntReturns · AVG
10.0
puntReturns · LONG
25
puntReturns · NO
9
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
90
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
36
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
415
receiving · YPR
11.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Shane Rosenthal · WR

CFBD athlete 5209306

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Ta'Shawn James · DB

CFBD athlete 5077815

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
41
interceptions · AVG
16.0
interceptions · INT
4
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
64
Tao Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 4901131

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Trent Hendrick · LB

CFBD athlete 4911930

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
23.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
23
Troy Leigber · RB

CFBD athlete 5153614

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
63
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
104
rushing · YPC
14.9
Ty Dieffenbach · QB

CFBD athlete 5092275

passing · ATT
100
passing · COMPLETIONS
59
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.590
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
683
passing · YPA
6.8
rushing · CAR
19
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
-2
rushing · YPC
-0.1
Ty Lee · DB

CFBD athlete 4921256

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
27.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
27
Tyson Ford · DL

CFBD athlete 4685341

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Wayne Knight · RB

CFBD athlete 4912342

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
20.1
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
9
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
181
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
127
receiving · YPR
7.9
rushing · CAR
110
rushing · LONG
47
rushing · TD
12
rushing · YDS
680
rushing · YPC
6.2

Minnesota

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Drake Lindsey QB
3 games
27.6%
29 / 105 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Darius Taylor RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
20.0%
5 / 25 plays
TJ Thomas Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
27.8%
5 / 18 plays
Xavier Ford RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
2 / 12 plays
Javon Tracy WR
2 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
33.3%
1 / 3 plays
Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A.J. Turner · RB

CFBD athlete 5082548

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
44
rushing · YPC
4.4
Aaden Aytch · DL

CFBD athlete 5279123

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Adam Kissayi · DL

CFBD athlete 5210174

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Aidan Gousby · DB

CFBD athlete 4808762

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
13
Alan Soukup · LS

CFBD athlete 5158249

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Anthony Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 4832823

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
17
Aydan West · DB

CFBD athlete 5216702

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
31
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Beckham Sunderland · PK

CFBD athlete 5220920

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Bradley Martino · WR

CFBD athlete 5204395

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Brady Palmer · QB

CFBD athlete 5214645

passing · ATT
6
passing · COMPLETIONS
4
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.667
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
34
passing · YPA
5.7
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
Braiden Stevens · WR

CFBD athlete 5325039

puntReturns · AVG
26.0
puntReturns · LONG
26
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
26
Daniel Jackson · PK

CFBD athlete 5255256

kicking · FGA
1
kicking · FGM
1
kicking · LONG
31
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
10
kicking · XPA
7
kicking · XPM
7
Daniel Shipp · OL

CFBD athlete 5215508

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Darius Taylor · RB

CFBD athlete 4920901

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
167
receiving · YPR
7.6
rushing · CAR
83
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
217
rushing · YPC
2.6
Donielle Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5077206

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Drake Lindsey · QB

CFBD athlete 5144959

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
259
passing · COMPLETIONS
161
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.622
passing · TD
10
passing · YDS
1592
passing · YPA
6.1
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-39
rushing · YPC
-1.6
Emmanuel Karmo · LB

CFBD athlete 5201873

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
3
Ethan Stendel · LB

CFBD athlete 5215073

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Garrison Monroe · DB

CFBD athlete 5076621

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
George Rohl · TE

CFBD athlete 5311304

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
Hayden Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5271219

receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
16.3
Hudson Dunn · LB

CFBD athlete 5217183

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jalen Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5144962

receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
263
receiving · YPR
14.6
Jaron Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5214937

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Javon Tracy · WR

CFBD athlete 4831976

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
puntReturns · AVG
16.5
puntReturns · LONG
87
puntReturns · NO
21
puntReturns · TD
2
puntReturns · YDS
346
receiving · LONG
55
receiving · REC
46
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
460
receiving · YPR
10.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
22
rushing · YPC
7.3
Jaxon Howard · DL

CFBD athlete 4870787

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jaylin Hicks · DL

CFBD athlete 5146946

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Joey Gerlach · LB

CFBD athlete 4908813

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
25
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
41
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
John Nestor · DB

CFBD athlete 4941011

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
21
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
35
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Julian Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 5144785

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
3.5
Kaden Helms · TE

CFBD athlete 4873418

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5
Karter Menz · DL

CFBD athlete 5076118

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
14
Kerry Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 4923042

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
47
Luke Drzewiecki · PK

CFBD athlete 5082358

kicking · FGA
15
kicking · FGM
15
kicking · LONG
60
kicking · PCT
1.000
kicking · PTS
59
kicking · XPA
14
kicking · XPM
14
Mason Carrier · LB

CFBD athlete 5079377

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
9
puntReturns · AVG
16.0
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
16
Matt Kingsbury · LB

CFBD athlete 4924139

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
19
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Maverick Baranowski · LB

CFBD athlete 4837371

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
33
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
62
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
1
Max Shikenjanski · QB

CFBD athlete 5150680

passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
50
passing · YPA
16.7
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
2.0
Mekhai Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5225908

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
21
Mike Gerald · DB

CFBD athlete 5146967

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Naiim Parrish · DB

CFBD athlete 5214532

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
9
Naquan Crowder · DL

CFBD athlete 5295954

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
15
Nate Cleveland · LB

CFBD athlete 5215211

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Niko Castillo · RB

CFBD athlete 5327140

rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
0.5
Noah Jennings · WR

CFBD athlete 5164749

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
33
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
395
receiving · YPR
12.0
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
31
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
32
rushing · YPC
16.0
Pierce Walsh · TE

CFBD athlete 5044424

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
47
receiving · YPR
7.8
Quayd Hendryx · WR

CFBD athlete 5369947

kickReturns · AVG
23.3
kickReturns · LONG
42
kickReturns · NO
11
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
256
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
14.0
Rhyland Kelly · DB

CFBD athlete 4869253

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Riley Sunram · DL

CFBD athlete 5141794

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
11
Roman Voss · TE

CFBD athlete 5244731

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
117
receiving · YPR
16.7
Ryan Estrada · RB

CFBD athlete 5244756

kickReturns · AVG
11.0
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
3.3
Sam Macy · DL

CFBD athlete 5146602

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Sid Kaba · DL

CFBD athlete 5119234

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
2
T.J. Bush · DL

CFBD athlete 4917620

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7.0
defensive · TOT
30
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
TJ Thomas Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5224792

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
94
receiving · YPR
4.7
rushing · CAR
64
rushing · LONG
71
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
381
rushing · YPC
6.0
Theorin Randle · DL

CFBD athlete 5079282

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
17
Tom Weston · P

CFBD athlete 5295673

punting · In 20
18
punting · LONG
60
punting · NO
41
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1753
punting · YPP
42.8
Trason Richardson · DB

CFBD athlete 5291725

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Xavier Ford · RB

CFBD athlete 5264245

receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
1
receiving · YPR
1.0
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
128
rushing · YPC
4.4
Xion Chapman · DL

CFBD athlete 5295583

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
Zachary Robbins · P

CFBD athlete 5297073

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
33
punting · NO
1
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
33
punting · YPP
33.0
Zack Harden · DB

CFBD athlete 5207988

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
45
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Zion Steptoe · WR

CFBD athlete 4833073

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

UCLA -5.5

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

UCLA by 13.97

8.47 points toward UCLA versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Minnesota.

  • Net EPA rating difference: -17.97
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -13.97 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 28a952d3e55b894a125ba668aa96c3991b356cae71aa78dbe197a7b3a61b5de0 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 0cd74d75d170637646418c98b332954cc7aff33d08bc46b65e00c913a689672d · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Minnesota · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+5.5+5.50.0
Model spread+13.97+13.970.0
Model gap-8.47-8.470.0

Negative spreads favor Minnesota; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 28a952d3e55b894a125ba668aa96c3991b356cae71aa78dbe197a7b3a61b5de0. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

UCLA -5.5

Model gap -8.5 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Minnesota.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Minnesota win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
35%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Minnesota +5.5
Stacked ensemble
24%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Minnesota.

  • away adjusted success: -10.74 (path difference 7.74)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -10.56 (path difference 2.87)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +9.30 (path difference 6.74)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +8.97 (path difference 5.72)
  • home adjusted epa: +8.67 (path difference 8.22)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +7.95 (path difference 2.98)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -6.51 (path difference 2.09)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +5.62 (path difference 4.72)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.22 (path difference 3.35)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -5.08 (path difference 0.29)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -4.69 (path difference 2.35)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +4.58 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted line yards: -4.57 (path difference 1.07)
  • away elo: -4.57 (path difference 1.23)
  • home adjusted success: -4.29 (path difference 4.27)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -4.29 (path difference 3.43)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.27 (path difference 0.31)
  • away talent: -3.30 (path difference 0.70)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.28 (path difference 2.29)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.06 (path difference 1.35)
  • home talent: +2.95 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +2.68 (path difference 0.36)
  • home elo: -2.36 (path difference 1.76)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.16 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -2.04 (path difference 1.57)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.99 (path difference 0.90)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.60 (path difference 0.20)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.53 (path difference 0.25)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.23 (path difference 1.98)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.22 (path difference 1.08)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.21 (path difference 0.13)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.16 (path difference 0.04)
  • away adjusted epa: -1.11 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.03 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted second level yards: -0.97 (path difference 0.59)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.94 (path difference 0.67)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.89 (path difference 1.12)
  • week: -0.87 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +0.85 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.69 (path difference 0.26)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.68 (path difference 0.07)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.61 (path difference 0.72)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.57 (path difference 0.65)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: -0.55 (path difference 0.10)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.49 (path difference 1.48)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.46 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.42 (path difference 0.51)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.25 (path difference 1.03)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.22 (path difference 0.42)
  • away conference: +0.18 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.16 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.10 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.07 (path difference 1.13)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.04 (path difference 0.01)
  • home conference: -0.03 (path difference 0.02)

Reconciles to 23.94 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 4e07c2458631344f3a1428b895faea8825ea7924c449936e3bc01133aae9f67a · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 83cf06a323f04ee9d571ab6cbd6cc3623da2914b04c92a1b3f74a1f85783680b · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

UCLA

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Wayne Knight

CFBD athlete 4912342

Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 13 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.158 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Michigan State: 15 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 73.3% success · 0.160 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Nevada: 10 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.253 raw PPA.

383.4034.5%108 / 5.9
Anthony Woods

CFBD athlete 5083175

Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 8 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.221 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Michigan State: 14 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 78.6% success · 0.203 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Nevada: 8 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.102 raw PPA.

306.2027.3%74 / 6.6
Jaivian Thomas

CFBD athlete 5114332

Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.077 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Michigan State: 10 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.693 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Nevada: 5 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.253 raw PPA.

244.5021.8%56 / 4.8
Ty Dieffenbach

CFBD athlete 5092275

Week 7 vs Wisconsin: 6 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.323 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Michigan State: 5 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.324 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Nevada: 4 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.750 raw PPA.

150.9213.6%19 / -0.1
Troy Leigber

CFBD athlete 5153614

Week 8 vs Michigan State: 2 attempts · 10.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.219 raw PPA.

210.501.8%7 / 14.9

Minnesota

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 70 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Darius Taylor

CFBD athlete 4920901

Week 6 vs Purdue: 6 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.079 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Iowa: 12 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.100 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Indiana: 7 attempts · 6.1 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.255 raw PPA.

252.9035.7%82 / 2.6
TJ Thomas Jr.

CFBD athlete 5224792

Week 6 vs Purdue: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.363 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Iowa: 6 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.454 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Indiana: 6 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.382 raw PPA.

184.1025.7%63 / 6.1
Drake Lindsey

CFBD athlete 5144959

Week 8 vs Iowa: 7 attempts · -1.6 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.276 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Indiana: 5 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.108 raw PPA.

12-2.2717.1%23 / -1.3
Xavier Ford

CFBD athlete 5264245

Week 8 vs Iowa: 8 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.052 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Indiana: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.311 raw PPA.

123.8017.1%29 / 4.4
Javon Tracy

CFBD athlete 4831976

Week 8 vs Iowa: 2 attempts · 11.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.505 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Indiana: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.651 raw PPA.

37.304.3%3 / 7.3

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureMinnesotaOffenseUCLADefenseUCLAOffenseMinnesotaDefense
PPA/play
+0.02
17th
-0.23
100th
+0.16
61st
+0.01
74th
Success rate
38.5%
14th
30.9%
99th
46.0%
74th
38.0%
71st
Explosiveness
1.14
16th
1.20
59th
1.10
5th
1.21
58th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.01
27th
-0.23
99th
+0.10
56th
-0.04
74th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.05
13th
-0.21
99th
+0.32
66th
+0.11
70th
Havoc allowed / created
16.6%
26th
21.2%
96th
14.6%
53rd
20.6%
95th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:56 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:56 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Luke Drzewiecki · Minnesota · PAAR 14.48 · 15 attempts
  • Mateen Bhaghani · UCLA · PAAR -3.03 · 12 attempts
  • Daniel Jackson · Minnesota · PAAR 0.41 · 1 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Minnesota spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +5.5

First locally observed: +6.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 42.5 · Snapshot total: 38.5

Total · First locally observed: 42.5 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +170 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +195 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -205 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -238 · captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +5.5

First locally observed: +6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 39.5 · Snapshot total: 39

Total · First locally observed: 39.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +200 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -240 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -240 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Minnesota

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Big Ten

40th FBS percentile

UCLA

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Big Ten

97th FBS percentile

Travel

UCLA travels 1,515 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 2 time zones crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Minnesota leads 3–1 in 4 meetings since 1961.

  • 2024Minnesota at UCLA21–17 · Minnesota
  • 1978Minnesota at UCLA3–17 · UCLA
  • 1977UCLA at Minnesota13–27 · Minnesota
  • 1961 · NMinnesota at UCLA21–3 · Minnesota

CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.