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Week 10 · 2026

Oregon at Ohio State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Oregon

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Dylan Raiola QB
3 games
42.4%
39 / 92 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Dierre Hill Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
48.4%
15 / 31 plays
Jordon Davison RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
14 / 28 plays
Brock Thomas QB
1 games
19.0%
4 / 21 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Brandon Smith RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
56.3%
9 / 16 plays
Da'Jaun Riggs RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
1 / 6 plays
Dakorien Moore WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

A'Mauri Washington · DL

CFBD athlete 4899488

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
23
Aaron Flowers · DB

CFBD athlete 5079428

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
Aaron Scott Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5079680

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Akili Smith Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5141659

passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
31
passing · YPA
7.8
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Andrew Olesh · TE

CFBD athlete 5201878

kickReturns · AVG
5.0
kickReturns · LONG
5
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
5
receiving · LONG
13
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
32
receiving · YPR
10.7
Anthony Jones Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5158983

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
6
Aydin Breland · DL

CFBD athlete 5079310

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Azel Banag · DB

CFBD athlete 5279193

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bailey Ettridge · P

CFBD athlete 5296355

punting · In 20
12
punting · LONG
67
punting · NO
32
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
1484
punting · YPP
46.4
Bear Alexander · DL

CFBD athlete 4685244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
39
Brady Bidwell · WR

CFBD athlete 5221319

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
Brandon Finney Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5179153

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
28
Brandon Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5198506

kickReturns · AVG
15.0
kickReturns · LONG
15
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
15
receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
9.8
rushing · CAR
32
rushing · LONG
35
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
193
rushing · YPC
6.0
Braxton Singleton · DB

CFBD athlete 5327281

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brock Thomas · QB

CFBD athlete 5158446

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
40
passing · COMPLETIONS
23
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.575
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
228
passing · YPA
5.7
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-8
rushing · YPC
-1.6
Carl Williams IV · DB

CFBD athlete 5077878

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Cole Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5391529

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
D'Ante Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5079696

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
10
Da'Jaun Riggs · RB

CFBD athlete 5146711

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
11.0
rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
15
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
73
rushing · YPC
4.6
Dakorien Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5141586

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
puntReturns · AVG
8.0
puntReturns · LONG
13
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
48
receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
41
receiving · TD
6
receiving · YDS
545
receiving · YPR
13.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
0
rushing · YPC
0.0
Dante Moore · QB

CFBD athlete 4870921

passing · ATT
99
passing · COMPLETIONS
69
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.697
passing · TD
9
passing · YDS
926
passing · YPA
9.4
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-7
rushing · YPC
-0.7
Davon Benjamin · DB

CFBD athlete 5158936

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Devin Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 5198309

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Devon Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 4685399

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
48
interceptions · AVG
96.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
96
Dierre Hill Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5141499

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
25.8
kickReturns · LONG
54
kickReturns · NO
6
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
155
receiving · LONG
62
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
209
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
83
rushing · LONG
41
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
399
rushing · YPC
4.8
Dorian Brew · DB

CFBD athlete 5141376

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dutch Horisk · LB

CFBD athlete 5158974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dylan Raiola · QB

CFBD athlete 5079572

fumbles · FUM
4
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
145
passing · COMPLETIONS
96
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.662
passing · TD
9
passing · YDS
1097
passing · YPA
7.6
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-14
rushing · YPC
-1.6
Dylan Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5079642

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
25
Elijah Rushing · DL

CFBD athlete 5079710

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
4
Evan Stewart · WR

CFBD athlete 4685565

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
puntReturns · AVG
8.5
puntReturns · LONG
15
puntReturns · NO
6
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
51
receiving · LONG
44
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
423
receiving · YPR
13.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-2
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Gage Hurych · PK

CFBD athlete 5192414

kicking · FGA
15
kicking · FGM
12
kicking · LONG
44
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
60
kicking · XPA
24
kicking · XPM
24
Gatlin Bair · WR

CFBD athlete 5327431

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
8.3
Gavin Nix · LB

CFBD athlete 5141608

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Hudson Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 5282366

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
93
receiving · YPR
11.6
Ify Obidegwu · DB

CFBD athlete 5079551

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
24
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Iverson Hooks · WR

CFBD athlete 4912286

puntReturns · AVG
4.0
puntReturns · LONG
4
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
4
receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
7.0
Jalen Lott · WR

CFBD athlete 5158995

receiving · LONG
35
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
90
receiving · YPR
12.9
Jamari Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 4922988

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
328
receiving · YPR
12.6
Jeremiah McClellan · WR

CFBD athlete 5079519

receiving · LONG
51
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
170
receiving · YPR
24.3
Jerry Mixon · LB

CFBD athlete 5041962

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
38
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
2
Jett Washington · DB

CFBD athlete 5159063

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jordon Davison · RB

CFBD athlete 5141423

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
8.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
16
receiving · LONG
9
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
1.8
rushing · CAR
91
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
439
rushing · YPC
4.8
Kendre Harrison · TE

CFBD athlete 5159026

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
55
receiving · YPR
11.0
Koi Perich · DB

CFBD athlete 5142588

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
28
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
53
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Matayo Uiagalelei · LB

CFBD athlete 4871052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
4.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
33
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
11
Matthew Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5141533

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Messiah Hampton · WR

CFBD athlete 5211889

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
161
receiving · YPR
8.9
Na'Eem Offord · DB

CFBD athlete 5141617

defensive · PD
7
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Nasir Wyatt · LB

CFBD athlete 5141730

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
9
Nathan McCoy II · WR

CFBD athlete 5296018

receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
11
receiving · YPR
11.0
Peyton Woodyard · DB

CFBD athlete 5079753

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Rocco Graziano · PK

CFBD athlete 5228661

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
6
kicking · XPA
6
kicking · XPM
6
Teitum Tuioti · LB

CFBD athlete 4871005

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
8
defensive · SACKS
5.5
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
43
Tradarian Ball · RB

CFBD athlete 5158939

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
7
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
47
rushing · YPC
6.7
Trey Mcnutt · DB

CFBD athlete 5141578

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Will Straton · LB

CFBD athlete 5158449

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Xavier Barksdale · DB

CFBD athlete 5158447

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Xavier Lherisse · DB

CFBD athlete 5160493

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

Ohio State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Bo Jackson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
43.5%
27 / 62 plays
Julian Sayin QB
2 games
44.4%
24 / 54 plays
71.4%
5 / 7 plays
Luke Fahey QB
2 games
41.5%
17 / 41 plays
80.0%
4 / 5 plays
Isaiah West RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
36.8%
7 / 19 plays
Ja'Kobi Jackson RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
7 / 14 plays
Legend Bey RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
22.2%
2 / 9 plays
Jeremiah Smith WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 68 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Ashton Yeager · DT

CFBD athlete 5295263

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Austin Siereveld · OL

CFBD athlete 4917984

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Beau Atkinson · DE

CFBD athlete 4703062

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
8
Blaine Bradford · S

CFBD athlete 5158967

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bo Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5141517

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
103
receiving · YPR
7.9
rushing · CAR
128
rushing · LONG
65
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
637
rushing · YPC
5.0
Brandon Inniss · WR

CFBD athlete 4870835

puntReturns · AVG
8.7
puntReturns · LONG
16
puntReturns · NO
3
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
26
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
153
receiving · YPR
13.9
Braxton Rembert · LB

CFBD athlete 5291777

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
3
Brennen Schramm · WR

CFBD athlete 5150711

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brenten Jones · S

CFBD athlete 5081811

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Brock Boyd · WR

CFBD athlete 5161804

receiving · LONG
39
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
110
receiving · YPR
18.3
Brody Lennon · TE

CFBD athlete 5214446

kickReturns · AVG
5.5
kickReturns · LONG
11
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
11
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
CJ Sanna · LB

CFBD athlete 5248176

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Cameron Calhoun · CB

CFBD athlete 4923052

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Chris Henry Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5159009

receiving · LONG
75
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
252
receiving · YPR
31.5
Christian Alliegro · LB

CFBD athlete 5120968

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Cincere Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5209313

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Connor Hawkins · PK

CFBD athlete 5156433

kicking · FGA
14
kicking · FGM
12
kicking · LONG
48
kicking · PCT
0.857
kicking · PTS
70
kicking · XPA
34
kicking · XPM
34
Cooper Peterson · PK

CFBD athlete 5333144

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
Damari Simeon · DT

CFBD athlete 5245135

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Darryus McKinley · DT

CFBD athlete 5159030

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
De'Zie Jones · WR

CFBD athlete 5141494

puntReturns · AVG
4.5
puntReturns · LONG
9
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
9
Deshawn Stewart · S

CFBD athlete 5179136

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Devin Mccuin · WR

CFBD athlete 5076952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
21.7
kickReturns · LONG
23
kickReturns · NO
3
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
65
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
285
receiving · YPR
14.3
Devin Sanchez · CB

CFBD athlete 5141635

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
29
Dominick Kelly · CB

CFBD athlete 5208133

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Dre Quinn · DE

CFBD athlete 5245509

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Earl Little II · S

CFBD athlete 4685437

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
43
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Eddrick Houston · DT

CFBD athlete 5079485

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
Epi Sitanilei · DE

CFBD athlete 5156154

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
3
Favour Akih · RB

CFBD athlete 5244752

rushing · CAR
8
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
1.6
Gabe VanSickle · OL

CFBD athlete 5145224

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Garrett Stover · LB

CFBD athlete 5079603

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Hunter Welcing · TE

CFBD athlete 4431009

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Isaiah West · RB

CFBD athlete 5141701

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
43
receiving · YPR
6.1
rushing · CAR
41
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
190
rushing · YPC
4.6
Ja'Kobi Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5151892

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
8
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
59
rushing · LONG
49
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
354
rushing · YPC
6.0
James Smith · DT

CFBD athlete 4870969

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Jamir Perez · DT

CFBD athlete 5282572

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jason Moore · DT

CFBD athlete 4870950

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
20
Jay Timmons · CB

CFBD athlete 5276976

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
16
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Jaylen McClain · S

CFBD athlete 5079518

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
37
interceptions · AVG
3.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
7
Jeremiah Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5079720

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
72
receiving · REC
62
receiving · TD
13
receiving · YDS
1067
receiving · YPR
17.2
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
3.5
Jermaine Mathews Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5150710

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
30
Jerquaden Guilford · WR

CFBD athlete 5209946

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Joe McGuire · P

CFBD athlete 5159957

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
56
punting · NO
23
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
993
punting · YPP
43.2
John Walker · DT

CFBD athlete 4871055

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Jordan Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 5159079

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Julian Sayin · QB

CFBD athlete 5079712

fumbles · FUM
4
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
192
passing · COMPLETIONS
131
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.682
passing · TD
19
passing · YDS
2007
passing · YPA
10.5
rushing · CAR
37
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
-9
rushing · YPC
-0.2
Kenyatta Jackson · DE

CFBD athlete 5081821

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
26
Khary Wilder · DE

CFBD athlete 5276572

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kyle Parker · WR

CFBD athlete 4900640

receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
16
receiving · YPR
16.0
Legend Bey · RB

CFBD athlete 5182122

kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
72
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
18.5
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
62
rushing · YPC
3.6
Leroy Roker III · S

CFBD athlete 5176115

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Luke Fahey · QB

CFBD athlete 5214646

passing · ATT
51
passing · COMPLETIONS
30
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.588
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
463
passing · YPA
9.1
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
1.3
Mason Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 5081611

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
124
receiving · YPR
13.8
Max LeBlanc · TE

CFBD athlete 5116115

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
kickReturns · AVG
16.0
kickReturns · LONG
16
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
16
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
Nate Roberts · TE

CFBD athlete 5141656

receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
178
receiving · YPR
16.2
Payton Pierce · LB

CFBD athlete 5079667

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
43
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Phillip Bell · WR

CFBD athlete 5141384

puntReturns · AVG
5.6
puntReturns · LONG
31
puntReturns · NO
14
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
78
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
114
receiving · YPR
12.7
Qua Russaw · DE

CFBD athlete 5150251

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
16
Riley Pettijohn · LB

CFBD athlete 5141630

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
27
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Ryan Rudzinski · S

CFBD athlete 5150713

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Simeon Caldwell · S

CFBD athlete 5160481

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Stanley Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5226888

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
Tarvos Alford · LB

CFBD athlete 5141355

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
2.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
2
Tavien St. Clair · QB

CFBD athlete 5146824

passing · ATT
7
passing · COMPLETIONS
5
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.714
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
52
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
4.0
Terry Moore · S

CFBD athlete 4869820

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Will Smith Jr. · DT

CFBD athlete 4915838

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
12
Zion Grady · DE

CFBD athlete 5141481

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Ohio State -7.75

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median

DraftKings snapshot: Ohio State -7.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Ohio State by 13.94

6.19 points toward Ohio State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Ohio State.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +9.93
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 13.94 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 6f8aed6cf161b3c27406f8072934900127873dbe60bc7bd2baa043289ab49dde · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 08af87d2f92982bb685fe49599b445270eaa2d48b52d58d58420517335c7e2b8 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Ohio State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-7.75-7.750.0
Model spread-13.94-13.940.0
Model gap+6.19+6.190.0

Negative spreads favor Ohio State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 6f8aed6cf161b3c27406f8072934900127873dbe60bc7bd2baa043289ab49dde. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Ohio State -7.75

Model gap +6.2 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Ohio State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Ohio State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
71%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Ohio State -8
Stacked ensemble
81%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Ohio State.

  • home elo: +21.69 (path difference 17.66)
  • home adjusted success: +10.65 (path difference 0.52)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +10.43 (path difference 8.05)
  • away talent: -7.42 (path difference 2.95)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -6.34 (path difference 5.39)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.54 (path difference 6.64)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.54 (path difference 4.24)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.33 (path difference 6.70)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +5.13 (path difference 8.70)
  • home talent: +5.10 (path difference 3.62)
  • away elo: -4.38 (path difference 2.90)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.29 (path difference 2.53)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.29 (path difference 3.99)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -4.27 (path difference 3.88)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.18 (path difference 6.15)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: -3.97 (path difference 1.77)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.89 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.25 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +2.77 (path difference 2.22)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.51 (path difference 1.92)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.44 (path difference 0.44)
  • away adjusted epa: +2.44 (path difference 3.48)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.09 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.71 (path difference 1.14)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 1.72)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.59 (path difference 1.42)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -1.56 (path difference 1.91)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.36 (path difference 0.83)
  • away adjusted success: -1.32 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.06 (path difference 0.54)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.00 (path difference 0.93)
  • week: -0.90 (path difference 0.86)
  • home adjusted epa: +0.84 (path difference 0.04)
  • home adjusted line yards: +0.68 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -0.59 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.57 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.55 (path difference 0.25)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.48 (path difference 0.38)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.44 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.09)
  • away conference: +0.32 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.32 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.29 (path difference 0.35)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.29 (path difference 0.02)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.27 (path difference 0.12)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.18 (path difference 0.43)
  • home conference: +0.11 (path difference 0.29)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.10 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.06 (path difference 1.36)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.05 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.04 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted passing epa: -0.03 (path difference 1.21)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.03 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.03 (path difference 0.03)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.35)

Reconciles to 81.20 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 57062178a436a29dff9c18b9c5f5a8dc72486d8a815fc0cc4f93663e9ab0784b · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 9995248f133fe98e17cea638de3acb59c7257744cb6bcd0695dcf20fab6389a7 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Oregon

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 92 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Dierre Hill Jr.

CFBD athlete 5141499

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 14 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 57.1% success · -0.002 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 13 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.017 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Northwestern: 4 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.269 raw PPA.

315.5033.7%83 / 4.8
Jordon Davison

CFBD athlete 5141423

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 12 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.157 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 14 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 64.3% success · 0.652 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Northwestern: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.100 raw PPA.

294.8031.5%91 / 4.8
Brandon Smith

CFBD athlete 5198506

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 6 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.114 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 2 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.439 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Northwestern: 8 attempts · 10.3 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.873 raw PPA.

167.6017.4%32 / 6.0
Dylan Raiola

CFBD athlete 5079572

Week 7 vs Nebraska: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.342 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Illinois: 3 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.227 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Northwestern: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.489 raw PPA.

60.326.5%9 / -1.6
Da'Jaun Riggs

CFBD athlete 5146711

Week 9 vs Northwestern: 6 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.430 raw PPA.

60.506.5%16 / 4.6

Ohio State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 124 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Bo Jackson

CFBD athlete 5141517

Week 6 vs Maryland: 23 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 56.5% success · 0.276 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Indiana: 18 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 27.8% success · -0.044 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs USC: 21 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.095 raw PPA.

624.6050.0%128 / 5.0
Isaiah West

CFBD athlete 5141701

Week 7 vs Indiana: 6 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.271 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs USC: 13 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.122 raw PPA.

195.8015.3%41 / 4.6
Ja'Kobi Jackson

CFBD athlete 5151892

Week 6 vs Maryland: 14 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.216 raw PPA.

145.4011.3%59 / 6.0
Julian Sayin

CFBD athlete 5079712

Week 6 vs Maryland: 7 attempts · 1.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.733 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Indiana: 5 attempts · -5.2 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.429 raw PPA.

12-1.359.7%37 / -0.2
Legend Bey

CFBD athlete 5182122

Week 6 vs Maryland: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.092 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Indiana: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.258 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs USC: 2 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.208 raw PPA.

92.807.3%17 / 3.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureOhio StateOffenseOregonDefenseOregonOffenseOhio StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.26
91st
+0.01
76th
+0.14
58th
-0.06
92nd
Success rate
48.4%
85th
36.7%
83rd
42.8%
53rd
35.2%
90th
Explosiveness
1.28
69th
1.27
31st
1.28
72nd
1.24
46th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.25
93rd
-0.09
83rd
+0.11
62nd
-0.14
93rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.27
59th
+0.21
42nd
+0.22
44th
+0.08
77th
Havoc allowed / created
13.3%
72nd
15.9%
53rd
16.6%
26th
18.4%
81st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:21 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:21 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Connor Hawkins · Ohio State · PAAR 3.23 · 14 attempts
  • Gage Hurych · Oregon · PAAR 2.20 · 15 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Ohio State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -6 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 52.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -305 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -258 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +245 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -8

First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48.5 · Snapshot total: 46.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -290 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -290 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +240 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +240 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Ohio State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Big Ten

96th FBS percentile

Oregon

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 9 rated weeks · Big Ten

70th FBS percentile

Travel

Oregon travels 2,054 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 3 time zones crossed.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Ohio State leads 10–2 in 12 meetings since 1957.

  • 2024 · NOhio State at Oregon41–21 · Ohio State
  • 2024Ohio State at Oregon31–32 · Oregon
  • 2021Oregon at Ohio State35–28 · Oregon
  • 2014 · NOregon at Ohio State20–42 · Ohio State
  • 2009 · NOhio State at Oregon26–17 · Ohio State
  • 1987Oregon at Ohio State14–24 · Ohio State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.