Week 10 · 2026

Maryland at Purdue

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Maryland

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Malik Washington QB 3 games	39.4% 37 / 94 plays	52.9% 9 / 17 plays
DeJuan Williams RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	23.8% 10 / 42 plays
Iverson Howard RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 4 / 12 plays
Preston Howard TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Damon Hall Jr. TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Chris Durr Jr. WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Terrez Worthy RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Liam Willson RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Szymanski · TE

CFBD athlete 5078052

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 5.3

Alex Moore · DB

CFBD athlete 5078405

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Amari Jackson · DB

CFBD athlete 4838539

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22

Armon Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 4916380

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Bryce Jenkins · DL

CFBD athlete 5141529

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Bryce McFerson · P

CFBD athlete 4906305

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 58
punting · NO: 35
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 1451
punting · YPP: 41.5

Cam Brickle II · DL

CFBD athlete 5160479

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cardell Williams · QB

CFBD athlete 4872721

passing · ATT: 7
passing · COMPLETIONS: 6
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.857
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 63
passing · YPA: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 71
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Carlton Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5141682

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 47

Chris Durr Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5193298

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
puntReturns · AVG: 5.0
puntReturns · LONG: 5
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 5
receiving · LONG: 65
receiving · REC: 58
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 638
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 46
rushing · YPC: 23.0

DD Holmes · LB

CFBD athlete 5079450

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Damon Hall Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5159020

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 1.0

Daniel Owens · DL

CFBD athlete 4702903

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Daniel Wingate · LB

CFBD athlete 4921326

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 49
interceptions · AVG: 52.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 52

Darrell Carey · DB

CFBD athlete 5178090

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

DeJuan Williams · RB

CFBD athlete 5295550

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 88
receiving · YPR: 8.8
rushing · CAR: 57
rushing · LONG: 94
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 338
rushing · YPC: 5.9

Derrick LeBlanc · DL

CFBD athlete 4870792

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Dontay Joyner · DB

CFBD athlete 4870829

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Dorian Fleming · TE

CFBD athlete 5092410

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 213
receiving · YPR: 9.3

Edwin Moore Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5225520

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ejani Shakir · WR

CFBD athlete 5369943

kickReturns · AVG: 18.0
kickReturns · LONG: 36
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 36
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 35
receiving · YPR: 11.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Eli Fulcher · PK

CFBD athlete 5369944

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Eyan Thomas · DL

CFBD athlete 5155142

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 28

Harry Dalton III · RB

CFBD athlete 5141419

receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: -14
receiving · YPR: -7.0
rushing · CAR: 30
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 113
rushing · YPC: 3.8

Iverson Howard · RB

CFBD athlete 5141522

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 48
receiving · YPR: 5.3
rushing · CAR: 64
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 245
rushing · YPC: 3.8

JT Taggart · TE

CFBD athlete 5213217

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 3.0

JaMarcus Whyce · DL

CFBD athlete 5210858

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jack Capaldi · QB

CFBD athlete 5086182

passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 35
passing · YPA: 17.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -4.0

Jamare Glasker · DB

CFBD athlete 4912140

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 24
interceptions · AVG: 13.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 26

Jayden Kitchens · WR

CFBD athlete 5213231

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 11.1

Jayden Shipps · DB

CFBD athlete 5141676

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 15
interceptions · AVG: 39.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 39

Jayvon Parker · DL

CFBD athlete 4916379

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Jianni Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5290211

rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 31
rushing · YPC: 10.3

Joel Starlings · DL

CFBD athlete 4870981

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8

Jordan Scott · WR

CFBD athlete 5295549

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 12.5

Jordan Scruggs · DB

CFBD athlete 5220193

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16

Judah Jenkins · DB

CFBD athlete 5127728

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14

Kaden Carter · LB

CFBD athlete 5266920

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Kaleb Webb · WR

CFBD athlete 4838556

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 11.0
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 33
receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 24
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 319
receiving · YPR: 13.3

Keyari James · LB

CFBD athlete 5146988

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Lavain Scruggs · DB

CFBD athlete 4873464

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 33
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Lavon Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 4832851

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Liam Willson · RB

CFBD athlete 5270858

rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 3.8

Luke O'Hare · LS

CFBD athlete 5295553

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Malik Washington · QB

CFBD athlete 5141695

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 289
passing · COMPLETIONS: 174
passing · INT: 7
passing · PCT: 0.602
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1805
passing · YPA: 6.2
punting · In 20: 0
punting · LONG: 34
punting · NO: 1
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 34
punting · YPP: 34.0
rushing · CAR: 45
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 137
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Messiah Delhomme · DB

CFBD athlete 5148665

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 27
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 13.0
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 39

Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding · WR

CFBD athlete 5194795

kickReturns · AVG: 16.0
kickReturns · LONG: 26
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 48
puntReturns · AVG: 12.0
puntReturns · LONG: 34
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 48
receiving · LONG: 60
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 279
receiving · YPR: 12.7
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 3
rushing · YPC: 1.5

Nahsir Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5213305

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 25

Preston Howard · TE

CFBD athlete 4685393

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 70
receiving · YPR: 11.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Ricardo Cooper Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5150664

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10
kickReturns · AVG: 29.0
kickReturns · LONG: 29
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 29

Ryan Manning · WR

CFBD athlete 4940236

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 58
receiving · YPR: 8.3

Sean Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5276981

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Sean O'Haire · PK

CFBD athlete 5226837

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 46
kicking · PCT: 0.818
kicking · PTS: 50
kicking · XPA: 23
kicking · XPM: 23

Sidney Stewart · LB

CFBD athlete 5216961

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 33

Stephen Dean · LB

CFBD athlete 5083950

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Terrez Worthy · RB

CFBD athlete 5219864

kickReturns · AVG: 34.0
kickReturns · LONG: 34
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 34
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -4.0

Travares Daniels Ii · LB

CFBD athlete 5156156

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Trey Reddick · LB

CFBD athlete 5218946

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 31

Zahir Cobb · DB

CFBD athlete 5277002

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Zion Elee · LB

CFBD athlete 5209297

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5
defensive · TOT: 13

Zymear Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5195545

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
puntReturns · AVG: 8.3
puntReturns · LONG: 24
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 25

Purdue

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Ryan Browne QB 3 games	32.0% 31 / 97 plays	66.7% 10 / 15 plays
Fame Ijeboi RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	37.0% 20 / 54 plays
Antonio Harris RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 3 / 12 plays
Asaad Waseem WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Evans Chuba QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aiden Solecki · DE

CFBD athlete 5291720

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Anthony Speca · LB

CFBD athlete 5079725

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Antonio Harris · RB

CFBD athlete 5219089

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 16.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 66
receiving · YPR: 16.5
rushing · CAR: 28
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 162
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Ar'mari Towns · TE

CFBD athlete 5276670

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 6.5

Asaad Waseem · WR

CFBD athlete 4871062

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 61
receiving · REC: 41
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 652
receiving · YPR: 15.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -1
rushing · YPC: -1.0

Bisi Owens · WR

CFBD athlete 5084408

puntReturns · AVG: 20.0
puntReturns · LONG: 20
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 20
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Breeon Ishmail · DE

CFBD athlete 4918431

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18

C.J. Madden · DE

CFBD athlete 4722881

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Charles Correa · LB

CFBD athlete 5101126

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 44
interceptions · AVG: 6.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 6

Chauncey Magwood · WR

CFBD athlete 4431647

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 221
receiving · YPR: 12.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 18.0

Cooper McCutchan · TE

CFBD athlete 5281268

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Curt Neal · DL

CFBD athlete 4685478

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 19

D'Mon Marable · DB

CFBD athlete 5142279

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

De'Nylon Morrissette · WR

CFBD athlete 4702561

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 125
receiving · YPR: 15.6

Dee Newsome · DB

CFBD athlete 5150917

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Donovan Saunders · DB

CFBD athlete 5083141

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 41
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 35.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 35

Dylan Drennan · P

CFBD athlete 5220031

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 47
passing · YPA: 47.0
punting · In 20: 10
punting · LONG: 78
punting · NO: 25
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1130
punting · YPP: 45.2

Evans Chuba · QB

CFBD athlete 5149006

passing · ATT: 14
passing · COMPLETIONS: 11
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.786
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 96
passing · YPA: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -0.6

Fame Ijeboi · RB

CFBD athlete 5218961

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 125
receiving · YPR: 7.4
rushing · CAR: 141
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 9
rushing · YDS: 588
rushing · YPC: 4.2

George Burhenn · TE

CFBD athlete 5075912

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 137
receiving · YPR: 13.7

Hayden Timosciek · OL

CFBD athlete 5122548

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 15

Hudauri Hines · DB

CFBD athlete 5125530

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Hudson Miller · LB

CFBD athlete 5092668

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Ian Jeffries · DL

CFBD athlete 5099737

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 18

Isaiah Needam · DB

CFBD athlete 5219092

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jackson Ott · LB

CFBD athlete 5296053

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jacobo Echeverria Lozano · PK

CFBD athlete 5296700

kicking · FGA: 17
kicking · FGM: 16
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.941
kicking · PTS: 72
kicking · XPA: 24
kicking · XPM: 24

Jaden Mangham · DB

CFBD athlete 4831987

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 27

Jalil Hall · WR

CFBD athlete 5148657

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 0
puntReturns · LONG: 31
puntReturns · NO: 0
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 31

Jaylan Hornsby · WR

CFBD athlete 5084905

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Jeremy Lewis · DE

CFBD athlete 5376415

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 26

Jerrick Gibson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079410

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 58
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Jesse Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5142753

receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 65
receiving · YPR: 16.3

Jett Goldsberry · DB

CFBD athlete 5271213

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

John Slaughter · DB

CFBD athlete 4918115

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 43
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jojo Hayden · LB

CFBD athlete 5154324

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 53
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Josiah Hope · DL

CFBD athlete 5271190

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Justin Denson · DB

CFBD athlete 5141971

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 51

Katrell Webb · DE

CFBD athlete 5159090

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Keyshawn Burgos · DE

CFBD athlete 4873443

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 20

Luca Puccinelli · TE

CFBD athlete 5079569

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Mister Clark · DB

CFBD athlete 5158234

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 6

Nuku Mafi · OL

CFBD athlete 5146854

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Quinn Rosenkranz · WR

CFBD athlete 5296047

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 7
receiving · YPR: 7.0

Rodney Lora · DL

CFBD athlete 5077897

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 10

Ryan Browne · QB

CFBD athlete 5104738

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 250
passing · COMPLETIONS: 155
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.620
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1964
passing · YPA: 7.9
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 75
rushing · YPC: 1.7

Ryan Turner · DB

CFBD athlete 4794110

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Seth Turner · PK

CFBD athlete 5150463

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Smiley Bradford · DB

CFBD athlete 5219085

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 18
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

T.J. Lindsey · DL

CFBD athlete 5127035

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Ta'Vari Hampton · DB

CFBD athlete 5376413

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tra'Mar Harris · WR

CFBD athlete 5146739

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 150
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Traveon Wright · DB

CFBD athlete 5121783

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Travis Terrell Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5227400

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 22.0
kickReturns · LONG: 32
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 110
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 17
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Tre Tate · LB

CFBD athlete 5084732

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Trey Smith · DE

CFBD athlete 5154320

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 10

Winston Berglund · LB

CFBD athlete 4923033

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Wisdom Simms · DL

CFBD athlete 5089578

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Xavier Townsend · WR

CFBD athlete 4808767

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
puntReturns · AVG: 7.4
puntReturns · LONG: 18
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 67
receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 416
receiving · YPR: 11.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Purdue -5.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Purdue by 10.27

4.77 points toward Purdue versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Purdue.

Net EPA rating difference: +6.27
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 10.27 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs ee4a81578a3721487c6bd884cae68a84d63b3a584e36ded1f39c4e81455293f3 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 9d6d81f6e4f8e8da7185ec60631815d6325cd14792e6fcdbc629b33cdf60e922 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Purdue · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-6.0	-5.5	+0.5
Model spread	-10.27	-10.27	0.0
Model gap	+4.27	+4.77	+0.5

Negative spreads favor Purdue; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: ee4a81578a3721487c6bd884cae68a84d63b3a584e36ded1f39c4e81455293f3. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Purdue -5.5

Model gap +4.8 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Purdue.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Purdue win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 65%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Purdue -5.5
Stacked ensemble: 68%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Purdue.

away elo: +13.90 (path difference 9.75)
away adjusted epa: +8.94 (path difference 2.94)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.93 (path difference 1.21)
home adjusted success allowed: -4.61 (path difference 0.37)
home elo: -4.21 (path difference 2.61)
home adjusted explosiveness: +3.88 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted line yards: -3.87 (path difference 1.05)
away talent: -3.11 (path difference 0.26)
home adjusted success: +2.99 (path difference 0.82)
home talent: +2.94 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.71 (path difference 2.43)
home adjusted rushing epa: -2.48 (path difference 0.69)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.41 (path difference 0.54)
away adjusted success: +2.40 (path difference 0.55)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.39 (path difference 1.58)
home adjusted passing epa: +2.39 (path difference 1.16)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.20 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.71 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.46 (path difference 0.38)
week: -1.36 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.31 (path difference 1.87)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.27 (path difference 0.74)
away adjusted success allowed: +1.25 (path difference 0.65)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.22 (path difference 0.76)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.19 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.18 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.10 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.04 (path difference 0.15)
home adjusted epa allowed: +0.94 (path difference 0.59)
away adjusted epa allowed: -0.93 (path difference 1.77)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.85 (path difference 0.34)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.70 (path difference 1.90)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.67 (path difference 2.35)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.65 (path difference 0.37)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.63 (path difference 0.65)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.56 (path difference 0.79)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.52 (path difference 2.50)
away adjusted line yards: +0.47 (path difference 0.15)
home adjusted epa: +0.44 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.36 (path difference 0.98)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.36 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.36 (path difference 0.41)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.29 (path difference 0.08)
away adjusted rushing epa: +0.26 (path difference 0.05)
away conference: -0.21 (path difference 1.19)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.85)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.18 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.18 (path difference 0.84)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.10 (path difference 1.34)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.08 (path difference 0.34)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.07 (path difference 0.44)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.44)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.04 (path difference 0.00)
home conference: -0.03 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 67.80 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 9045a3006dbc7363a1aeb309857d8b84c10a159b24df21dc128458e14daf27fe · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast f887fdb770d6282cbc953cc5af46a68d28ad1f56b6361ff309ebf36661f04c24 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Maryland

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 79 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
DeJuan Williams CFBD athlete 5295550 Week 6 vs Ohio State: 15 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.306 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rutgers: 9 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 22.2% success · 0.022 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Illinois: 19 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 26.3% success · -0.093 raw PPA.	43	3.2	0	54.4%	56 / 5.9
Malik Washington CFBD athlete 5141695 Week 6 vs Ohio State: 5 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.438 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rutgers: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.697 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Illinois: 5 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.892 raw PPA.	19	5.3	2	24.1%	45 / 3.0
Iverson Howard CFBD athlete 5141522 Week 6 vs Ohio State: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.459 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rutgers: 4 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.186 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Illinois: 4 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.157 raw PPA.	12	2.8	0	15.2%	64 / 3.8
Preston Howard CFBD athlete 4685393 Week 6 vs Ohio State: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -3.631 raw PPA.	1	2.0	0	1.3%	1 / 2.0
Damon Hall Jr. CFBD athlete 5159020 Week 7 vs Rutgers: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.454 raw PPA.	1	1.0	0	1.3%	1 / 1.0

Purdue

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 86 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Fame Ijeboi CFBD athlete 5218961 Week 6 vs Minnesota: 30 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.421 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 13 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 15.4% success · -0.742 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Penn State: 11 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 18.2% success · -0.563 raw PPA.	54	4.2	0	62.8%	137 / 4.1
Ryan Browne CFBD athlete 5104738 Week 6 vs Minnesota: 7 attempts · 11.6 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.885 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.501 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Penn State: 3 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.512 raw PPA.	18	6.1	3	20.9%	41 / 1.8
Antonio Harris CFBD athlete 5219089 Week 6 vs Minnesota: 8 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.799 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Washington: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.392 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Penn State: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.168 raw PPA.	12	2.9	0	14.0%	27 / 3.8
Asaad Waseem CFBD athlete 4871062 Week 7 vs Washington: 1 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.447 raw PPA.	1	-1.0	0	1.2%	1 / -1.0
Evans Chuba CFBD athlete 5149006 Week 6 vs Minnesota: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.970 raw PPA.	1	6.0	0	1.2%	7 / -0.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	PurdueOffense	MarylandDefense	MarylandOffense	PurdueDefense
PPA/play	+0.16 61st	+0.14 26th	+0.05 23rd	+0.25 4th
Success rate	42.9% 55th	42.6% 32nd	39.9% 26th	46.4% 7th
Explosiveness	1.27 65th	1.25 37th	1.28 68th	1.37 9th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 46th	+0.06 37th	+0.06 39th	+0.15 13th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.35 74th	+0.30 20th	+0.02 8th	+0.48 1st
Havoc allowed / created	15.3% 43rd	14.8% 35th	14.5% 54th	13.3% 17th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:03 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:03 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Sean O'Haire · Maryland · PAAR 0.83 · 11 attempts
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano · Purdue · PAAR 8.14 · 17 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Purdue spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -7 · Snapshot spread: -5.5

First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence