Week 10 · 2026

Rutgers at Wisconsin

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Rutgers

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T21:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Antwan Raymond RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	30.4% 14 / 46 plays
Dylan Lonergan QB 2 games	52.8% 19 / 36 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays
AJ Surace QB 2 games	22.9% 8 / 35 plays	16.7% 1 / 6 plays
Clay Thevenin RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	57.9% 22 / 38 plays
Sean Ashenfelder QB 1 games	20.0% 2 / 10 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Dyzier Carter WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Surace · QB

CFBD athlete 5079717

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 83
passing · COMPLETIONS: 43
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.518
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 662
passing · YPA: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -51
rushing · YPC: -2.0

Abram Wright · LB

CFBD athlete 5076084

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Aiden Gibson · RB

CFBD athlete 5280123

rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 35
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Antwan Raymond · RB

CFBD athlete 5209945

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 160
receiving · YPR: 11.4
rushing · CAR: 134
rushing · LONG: 54
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 733
rushing · YPC: 5.5

Ben Black · WR

CFBD athlete 5147046

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 24.0
kickReturns · LONG: 29
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 72
receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 195
receiving · YPR: 19.5

Ben Rothhaar · TE

CFBD athlete 5216526

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 23.0

Bradlee Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5153430

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Braxton Kyle · DL

CFBD athlete 5214824

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chris Joines · DB

CFBD athlete 5092802

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 40

Clay Thevenin · RB

CFBD athlete 5296378

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 51
receiving · YPR: 10.2
rushing · CAR: 80
rushing · LONG: 43
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 435
rushing · YPC: 5.4

DJ Allen · DL

CFBD athlete 5092424

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

DK Gilley · DB

CFBD athlete 5146940

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 30
interceptions · AVG: 7.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Dane Pizzaro · PK

CFBD athlete 5221415

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 8
kicking · LONG: 47
kicking · PCT: 0.889
kicking · PTS: 48
kicking · XPA: 25
kicking · XPM: 24

Devonte Anderson · DB

CFBD athlete 5272683

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Dylan Lonergan · QB

CFBD athlete 4870900

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 127
passing · COMPLETIONS: 74
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.583
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1066
passing · YPA: 8.4
rushing · CAR: 22
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 49
rushing · YPC: 2.2

Dyzier Carter · WR

CFBD athlete 5158988

receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 151
receiving · YPR: 13.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Elias Coke · WR

CFBD athlete 5158944

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Farell Gnago · DL

CFBD athlete 5148782

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 4

J'Dan Burnett · DL

CFBD athlete 4687358

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Ja'shon Benjamin · RB

CFBD athlete 5099736

kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 17
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 17
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Jaedin Lee · DL

CFBD athlete 5226651

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jakob Anderson · P

CFBD athlete 5221407

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 40
passing · YPA: 40.0
punting · In 20: 5
punting · LONG: 70
punting · NO: 23
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1009
punting · YPP: 43.9

Jamareis Conyers · DB

CFBD athlete 5271152

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 23

Jermaine Polk · DL

CFBD athlete 5281459

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jessie Ofurie · DB

CFBD athlete 5064160

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 31
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 40.0

Joey Kopec · LB

CFBD athlete 5273551

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jourdin Houston · WR

CFBD athlete 5214940

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 80
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 264
receiving · YPR: 14.7

KJ Duff · WR

CFBD athlete 5084771

receiving · LONG: 78
receiving · REC: 45
receiving · TD: 9
receiving · YDS: 774
receiving · YPR: 17.2

Kaj Sanders · DB

CFBD athlete 5079671

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Kamar Archie · LB

CFBD athlete 5141372

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Kameron Anthony · TE

CFBD athlete 5193264

receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Keshon Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 4596665

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Kevin Levy · DB

CFBD athlete 5079498

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Kevyn Humes · DB

CFBD athlete 5141511

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Latrell Noel · DB

CFBD athlete 5304407

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Logan Blake · TE

CFBD athlete 5074243

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 37
receiving · YPR: 6.2

Malachi Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 4789223

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 23

Messiah Tilson · DB

CFBD athlete 5276992

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Mikey Munn · DB

CFBD athlete 5227946

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Moses Walker · LB

CFBD athlete 4685567

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 36
interceptions · AVG: 4.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 8

Quentin Redding · WR

CFBD athlete 4875384

puntReturns · AVG: 8.0
puntReturns · LONG: 14
puntReturns · NO: 3
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 24

RJ Johnson Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5214942

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

RJ Wortman · DB

CFBD athlete 5289305

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Rinaldo Callaway III · DL

CFBD athlete 5280614

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Rondarius Porter · DL

CFBD athlete 5218732

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 26

Sage Clawges · DB

CFBD athlete 5160746

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Sah'nye Degraffenreidt · WR

CFBD athlete 5164353

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Sean Allison · LB

CFBD athlete 5085690

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 38

Sean Ashenfelder · QB

CFBD athlete 5172031

passing · ATT: 10
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.300
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 50
passing · YPA: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -6
rushing · YPC: -1.5

Sekou Kromah · DL

CFBD athlete 5219872

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 20

Tariq Hayer · DB

CFBD athlete 5141510

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Terrence Salami · OL

CFBD athlete 4880467

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Trent Osborn · WR

CFBD athlete 5221414

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ty Anthony Morris · LB

CFBD athlete 5151284

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 22

Vernon Allen III · WR

CFBD athlete 5148651

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 72
receiving · YPR: 14.4

Zahmir Dawud · DB

CFBD athlete 5154001

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Zaire Angoy · DL

CFBD athlete 4612622

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Wisconsin

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T21:15:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Colton Joseph QB 3 games	22.4% 11 / 49 plays	46.9% 15 / 32 plays
Abu Sama III RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	42.9% 12 / 28 plays
Ryan Hopkins QB 1 games	38.5% 5 / 13 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Bryan Jackson RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 3 / 12 plays
Darrion Dupree RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	27.3% 3 / 11 plays
Tyrell Henry WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Eugene Hilton Jr. WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Chris Brooks Jr. WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 55 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Witt · LB

CFBD athlete 4431136

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 7

Abu Sama III · RB

CFBD athlete 5078005

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 5.8
rushing · CAR: 57
rushing · LONG: 72
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 318
rushing · YPC: 5.6

Bryan Jackson · RB

CFBD athlete 5079500

rushing · CAR: 34
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 123
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Bryce West · CB

CFBD athlete 5079737

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 28
interceptions · AVG: 23.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 23

Cai Bates · CB

CFBD athlete 5084664

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cairo Skanes · S

CFBD athlete 5222610

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 20
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Carson Van Dinter · S

CFBD athlete 5146814

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6
puntReturns · AVG: 30.0
puntReturns · LONG: 27
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 30

Charles Perkins · DL

CFBD athlete 5085935

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Chris Brooks Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4917172

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 252
receiving · YPR: 16.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Colton Joseph · QB

CFBD athlete 5125715

fumbles · FUM: 7
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 187
passing · COMPLETIONS: 104
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.556
passing · TD: 11
passing · YDS: 1346
passing · YPA: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 91
rushing · LONG: 47
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 371
rushing · YPC: 4.1

Cooper Catalano · LB

CFBD athlete 5167173

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 36
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 76
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Darrion Dupree · RB

CFBD athlete 5079378

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 68
receiving · YPR: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 54
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 237
rushing · YPC: 4.4

DeNigel Cooper · DL

CFBD athlete 5146890

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Dillan Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5145223

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Donovan Dunmore · CB

CFBD athlete 5210473

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Drew Braam · LB

CFBD athlete 5221276

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Emmett Bork · TE

CFBD athlete 5212589

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Eric Fletcher · CB

CFBD athlete 5149152

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Eugene Hilton Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5141505

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 143
receiving · YPR: 10.2
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Gavin Lahm · PK

CFBD athlete 5089194

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 10
kicking · LONG: 51
kicking · PCT: 0.833
kicking · PTS: 51
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 21

Grant Stec · TE

CFBD athlete 5079705

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 4.2

Hammond Russell IV · DL

CFBD athlete 4603090

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Harrison Bortolotti · RB

CFBD athlete 5294111

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 8.0
kickReturns · LONG: 8
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 8

Jacob Harris · TE

CFBD athlete 5122018

receiving · LONG: 72
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 264
receiving · YPR: 15.5

Jai'Mier Scott · CB

CFBD athlete 5148631

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 20

Jake Anderson · DL

CFBD athlete 5087246

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

James Roe · LS

CFBD athlete 5220126

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Javan Robinson · CB

CFBD athlete 4896318

defensive · PD: 7
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Jaylon Domingeaux · WR

CFBD athlete 5154809

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 118
receiving · YPR: 13.1

Jon Jon Kamara · LB

CFBD athlete 5146110

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

JuJu Pope · RB

CFBD athlete 5127010

kickReturns · AVG: 20.0
kickReturns · LONG: 27
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 80

Junior Poyser · DL

CFBD athlete 5122016

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Justus Boone · LB

CFBD athlete 4596362

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Landon Gauthier · LB

CFBD athlete 5141952

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Liam Danitz · LB

CFBD athlete 5332257

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Malachi Coleman · WR

CFBD athlete 4917947

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 46
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 122
receiving · YPR: 24.4

Marvin Burks Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 4870652

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Mason Lane · RB

CFBD athlete 5221278

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Mason Posa · LB

CFBD athlete 5195298

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 40
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 65
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

Matthew Jung · S

CFBD athlete 5260561

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 34
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 56
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Matthew Traynor · S

CFBD athlete 5153979

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Michael Garner · LB

CFBD athlete 5158842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Nate Palmer · RB

CFBD athlete 5079552

kickReturns · AVG: 28.2
kickReturns · LONG: 42
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 169
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Nicolas Clayton · LB

CFBD athlete 5198303

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Nolan Vils · DL

CFBD athlete 5160655

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Raphael Dunn · S

CFBD athlete 5147051

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ryan Hopkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5210475

passing · ATT: 13
passing · COMPLETIONS: 8
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.615
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 93
passing · YPA: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 1.8

Ryan Schwendeman · TE

CFBD athlete 5086150

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 1
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 1
rushing · YPC: 0.5

Sean West · P

CFBD athlete 5221280

punting · In 20: 14
punting · LONG: 70
punting · NO: 31
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1356
punting · YPP: 43.7

Sebastian Cheeks · LB

CFBD athlete 4685314

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 6.0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 31

Shamar Rigby · WR

CFBD athlete 5146753

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Taylor Schaefer · LB

CFBD athlete 5376856

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Thomas Heiberger · LB

CFBD athlete 5140697

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 6

Tyreese Fearbry · LB

CFBD athlete 4705474

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Tyrell Henry · WR

CFBD athlete 4714046

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 11.0
puntReturns · LONG: 18
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 44
receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 30
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 397
receiving · YPR: 13.2
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Wisconsin -18.25

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median

DraftKings snapshot: Wisconsin -18.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Wisconsin by 22.87

4.62 points toward Wisconsin versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Wisconsin.

Net EPA rating difference: +18.86
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 22.87 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs ca39adac0302a8e2bee743e8382de1ec657338304b6eba8839a6582e9e4a16e1 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast ffbb8173d992a1537c1146671aa8e19e0e1abe0b76d6c785c306b6d65ad26205 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.75 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Wisconsin · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-17.5	-18.25	-0.75
Model spread	-22.87	-22.87	0.0
Model gap	+5.37	+4.62	-0.75

Negative spreads favor Wisconsin; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: ca39adac0302a8e2bee743e8382de1ec657338304b6eba8839a6582e9e4a16e1. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Wisconsin -18.25

Model gap +4.6 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Wisconsin.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Wisconsin win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 89%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Wisconsin -18
Stacked ensemble: 86%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Wisconsin.

away elo: +8.16 (path difference 12.67)
home adjusted success allowed: +7.90 (path difference 11.71)
home adjusted epa allowed: -6.69 (path difference 10.01)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +5.91 (path difference 6.02)
home elo: +5.88 (path difference 8.11)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.72 (path difference 8.39)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.31 (path difference 9.40)
away adjusted success allowed: +4.44 (path difference 5.14)
home adjusted epa: +3.63 (path difference 6.11)
away adjusted epa allowed: +3.35 (path difference 5.66)
home adjusted second level yards: +3.27 (path difference 1.06)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.26 (path difference 2.87)
home talent: +2.63 (path difference 2.62)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.43 (path difference 4.36)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.39 (path difference 4.81)
away adjusted epa: +2.24 (path difference 3.79)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.18 (path difference 3.95)
home adjusted passing epa: -2.14 (path difference 4.01)
away talent: -2.08 (path difference 1.88)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.84 (path difference 2.24)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.72 (path difference 0.82)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.43 (path difference 1.84)
away adjusted success: -1.31 (path difference 1.73)
home adjusted explosiveness: +1.30 (path difference 1.61)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.16 (path difference 0.79)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.90 (path difference 0.68)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.87 (path difference 1.46)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.86 (path difference 0.47)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.82 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted rushing epa: -0.70 (path difference 1.12)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.69 (path difference 0.60)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.68 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.63 (path difference 1.78)
home adjusted line yards: -0.62 (path difference 0.86)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.60 (path difference 0.55)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.48 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted rushing epa: -0.46 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.43 (path difference 0.59)
week: -0.43 (path difference 1.80)
away conference: +0.41 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.38 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.35 (path difference 2.61)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.30 (path difference 0.86)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.26 (path difference 0.33)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.16 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.15 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted line yards: -0.14 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.11 (path difference 0.11)
home adjusted success: -0.11 (path difference 0.18)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.08 (path difference 0.63)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.08 (path difference 0.62)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.05 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.03 (path difference 0.03)
home conference: -0.02 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.02 (path difference 0.40)

Reconciles to 85.89 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs a82ef3f1536b6692e0ba9b0ac316bfd37dd30074aea41e6db0936cfb26fa8cac · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 690d73dffcdcc38d221e2a2a0b93b17fa0bdb42e2b834f43a01dade8cae0d73e · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Rutgers

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Antwan Raymond CFBD athlete 5209945 Week 7 vs Maryland: 16 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.186 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Northwestern: 18 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 38.9% success · 0.287 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Michigan: 12 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.361 raw PPA.	46	5.9	0	44.7%	135 / 5.5
Clay Thevenin CFBD athlete 5296378 Week 7 vs Maryland: 17 attempts · 6.4 YPC · 64.7% success · 0.501 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Northwestern: 14 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.590 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Michigan: 7 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.006 raw PPA.	38	6.7	0	36.9%	80 / 5.4
AJ Surace CFBD athlete 5079717 Week 8 vs Northwestern: 3 attempts · -2.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.294 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Michigan: 7 attempts · 0.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.392 raw PPA.	10	-0.2	4	9.7%	25 / -1.4
Dylan Lonergan CFBD athlete 4870900 Week 7 vs Maryland: 5 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.185 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Northwestern: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.084 raw PPA.	6	3.8	1	5.8%	21 / 2.8
Sean Ashenfelder CFBD athlete 5172031 Week 8 vs Northwestern: 2 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.234 raw PPA.	2	-1.5	1	1.9%	4 / -1.5

Wisconsin

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 96 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Colton Joseph CFBD athlete 5125715 Week 7 vs UCLA: 16 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 61.5% success · 0.359 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 15 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.178 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Iowa: 7 attempts · 0.9 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.814 raw PPA.	38	2.1	6	39.6%	87 / 3.8
Abu Sama III CFBD athlete 5078005 Week 7 vs UCLA: 6 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.028 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 16 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.105 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Iowa: 6 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.449 raw PPA.	28	4.3	0	29.2%	55 / 5.5
Bryan Jackson CFBD athlete 5079500 Week 8 vs USC: 7 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.279 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Iowa: 5 attempts · 1.2 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.675 raw PPA.	12	3.7	0	12.5%	34 / 3.6
Darrion Dupree CFBD athlete 5079378 Week 7 vs UCLA: 6 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.723 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Iowa: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.144 raw PPA.	11	3.8	0	11.5%	53 / 4.4
Tyrell Henry CFBD athlete 4714046 Week 7 vs UCLA: 1 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.654 raw PPA. Week 8 vs USC: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.246 raw PPA.	2	3.0	0	2.1%	4 / 2.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	WisconsinOffense	RutgersDefense	RutgersOffense	WisconsinDefense
PPA/play	+0.09 35th	+0.26 2nd	+0.10 42nd	-0.07 93rd
Success rate	38.7% 17th	47.0% 6th	42.3% 49th	38.5% 70th
Explosiveness	1.32 85th	1.28 28th	1.36 94th	1.00 100th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.07 39th	+0.19 7th	-0.01 20th	-0.05 78th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.13 25th	+0.45 3rd	+0.34 72nd	-0.10 96th
Havoc allowed / created	15.0% 46th	12.3% 10th	15.8% 36th	16.8% 66th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:35 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:35 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Gavin Lahm · Wisconsin · PAAR 4.39 · 12 attempts
Dane Pizzaro · Rutgers · PAAR 4.35 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Wisconsin spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -16.5 · Snapshot spread: -18.5

First locally observed: -17.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence