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Colorado State at Utah State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Colorado State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-16 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Ksaan Farrar QB
2 games
36.9%
24 / 65 plays
50.0%
3 / 6 plays
Durell Robinson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
58.7%
27 / 46 plays
Hauss Hejny QB
1 games
58.1%
18 / 31 plays
72.7%
8 / 11 plays
Jayden Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
57.1%
8 / 14 plays
Cedric Ross RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
16.7%
1 / 6 plays
Malichi Greaves RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Ryan McConnell TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Terrence Smith Jr. WR
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alton Tarber · DL

CFBD athlete 4685589

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Antarron Turner · LB

CFBD athlete 5089561

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
31
Atticus Tillman · S

CFBD athlete 5282608

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
8.0
Brandon Kelly · DL

CFBD athlete 5077224

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
18
C.J. Blocker · CB

CFBD athlete 5078214

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
8.7
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
26
Caleb Otlewski · LB

CFBD athlete 5078280

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Caleb Presley · CB

CFBD athlete 4870905

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Cavan Craig · P

CFBD athlete 5225622

punting · In 20
1
punting · LONG
42
punting · NO
3
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
111
punting · YPP
37.0
Cedric Ross · RB

CFBD athlete 5290862

kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
68
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
194
receiving · YPR
17.6
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
33
rushing · YPC
3.7
Cleto Chol · DL

CFBD athlete 5077340

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5250657

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
26
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
D'Mon Brinson · S

CFBD athlete 4837204

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
20
interceptions · AVG
49.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
49
kickReturns · AVG
25.0
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
25
Darius Curry · QB

CFBD athlete 5122401

passing · ATT
8
passing · COMPLETIONS
6
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
70
passing · YPA
8.8
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
1.3
Desman Manuel · DL

CFBD athlete 5302887

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Dominic Toy · TE

CFBD athlete 5146769

receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
19.0
Durell Robinson · RB

CFBD athlete 4894661

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
70
receiving · YPR
7.8
rushing · CAR
88
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
8
rushing · YDS
383
rushing · YPC
4.4
Dylan Phelps · S

CFBD athlete 5122042

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Elijah Brown · CB

CFBD athlete 5295193

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
26
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Elijah Mc-Cantos · S

CFBD athlete 4809893

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
Gabe Jones · DL

CFBD athlete 5122160

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Hauss Hejny · QB

CFBD athlete 5079443

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
104
passing · COMPLETIONS
71
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.683
passing · TD
13
passing · YDS
952
passing · YPA
9.2
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
28.0
rushing · CAR
24
rushing · LONG
75
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
213
rushing · YPC
8.9
Isaiah Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5327618

receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Jace Bellah · S

CFBD athlete 5082256

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Jack Moran · DL

CFBD athlete 5143024

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
21
Jackson Harper · WR

CFBD athlete 5077803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
12.9
puntReturns · LONG
30
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
90
receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
25
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
327
receiving · YPR
13.1
Jaden Hernandez · LB

CFBD athlete 5264723

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jaivyn Moore · WR

CFBD athlete 5446698

receiving · LONG
26
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
57
receiving · YPR
11.4
Jaseim Mitchell · LB

CFBD athlete 5082258

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
28
Javonte Vereen · TE

CFBD athlete 4899418

receiving · LONG
32
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
111
receiving · YPR
6.9
Jayden Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5095078

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
kickReturns · AVG
46.0
kickReturns · LONG
94
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
230
receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
16
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
88
receiving · YPR
5.5
rushing · CAR
52
rushing · LONG
80
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
454
rushing · YPC
8.7
Jayden Fox · RB

CFBD athlete 5289653

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Jaylen King · LB

CFBD athlete 5327239

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Jordan Lessard · CB

CFBD athlete 5446696

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Kali Nguma · PK

CFBD athlete 5150789

kicking · FGA
5
kicking · FGM
4
kicking · LONG
51
kicking · PCT
0.800
kicking · PTS
44
kicking · XPA
32
kicking · XPM
32
Keegan Shank · DL

CFBD athlete 5148996

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
4
Kenyon Agurs · LB

CFBD athlete 5122052

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Khamani Potts · LB

CFBD athlete 5446697

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
Ksaan Farrar · QB

CFBD athlete 5212610

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
143
passing · COMPLETIONS
89
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.622
passing · TD
5
passing · YDS
943
passing · YPA
6.6
rushing · CAR
14
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
43
rushing · YPC
3.1
Lavon Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 4920896

receiving · LONG
19
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
36
receiving · YPR
12.0
Malichi Greaves · RB

CFBD athlete 5296864

receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
27
rushing · YPC
5.4
Marc Pretto · LB

CFBD athlete 5086188

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
18
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji · DL

CFBD athlete 4709974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
14
Nader Chirchi · TE

CFBD athlete 5121898

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
46
receiving · YPR
9.2
Nathan Sutcliffe · P

CFBD athlete 5258482

punting · In 20
5
punting · LONG
53
punting · NO
22
punting · TB
1
punting · YDS
942
punting · YPP
42.8
Nykobi Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5222533

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5193222

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
receiving · LONG
1
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
3.6
Oumar Diomande · LB

CFBD athlete 5121899

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
67
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
2.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Pearce Spurlin III · TE

CFBD athlete 4871061

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
29
receiving · YPR
29.0
Peyton Garrett · DL

CFBD athlete 5230017

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Reginald Vick Jr · WR

CFBD athlete 5232343

receiving · LONG
57
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
367
receiving · YPR
15.3
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
18
rushing · YPC
18.0
Robby Harrison · DL

CFBD athlete 4894437

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
24
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Ryan McConnell · TE

CFBD athlete 5151385

rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
6.0
Stephon Wright · DL

CFBD athlete 4430782

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
TaVeon Robinson · DL

CFBD athlete 5446709

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Terrence Smith Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5193168

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.500
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
28
passing · YPA
14.0
receiving · LONG
74
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
304
receiving · YPR
13.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
3
rushing · YPC
3.0
Thomas Cook Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5302883

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Tommy Maher · WR

CFBD athlete 5219136

receiving · LONG
57
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
257
receiving · YPR
13.5
TreShawn Moore · S

CFBD athlete 5224718

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
53
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
38.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
38
Trey Vincent · S

CFBD athlete 5151384

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ty Staples · CB

CFBD athlete 5446701

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Tyrone Fitten · DL

CFBD athlete 5291021

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Walker Himebauch · LS

CFBD athlete 5092244

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Xavier Wimbush · CB

CFBD athlete 5327240

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5

Utah State

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Grady Brosterhous QB
3 games
34.8%
31 / 89 plays
34.6%
9 / 26 plays
Javen Jacobs RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
35.9%
14 / 39 plays
McCae Hillstead QB
1 games
25.0%
2 / 8 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Noah White RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
14.3%
1 / 7 plays
Nehemiah Washington RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
25.0%
1 / 4 plays
Anthony Garcia WR
1 games
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Demick Starling WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Javon Robinson WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 48 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adonis Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 5304040

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
18
Anthony Garcia · WR

CFBD athlete 5151339

passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
6
passing · YPA
6.0
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
133
receiving · YPR
8.9
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
6
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
2.7
Asher Cunningham · LB

CFBD athlete 5155792

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
7
defensive · TOT
58
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
BJ Diakite · LB

CFBD athlete 5089062

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
8
Bobby Arnold III · CB

CFBD athlete 5228787

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
12
Brevin Hamblin · S

CFBD athlete 5152415

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
57
interceptions · AVG
33.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
33
Bronson Olevao · LB

CFBD athlete 5082615

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
32
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Brycen Edwards · LB

CFBD athlete 5083872

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Carson Tujague · DT

CFBD athlete 5219649

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
26
Chapman Lewis · S

CFBD athlete 4916985

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
32
Charger Doty · S

CFBD athlete 5216790

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Chika Ebunoha · S

CFBD athlete 5092197

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Chris Joe · LB

CFBD athlete 5258361

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Collin Remenowksy · TE

CFBD athlete 5446999

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
14.0
D'Angelo Mayes · CB

CFBD athlete 5228807

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
30.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
30
David Kabongo · S

CFBD athlete 5219507

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
35
interceptions · AVG
27.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
27
Demick Starling · WR

CFBD athlete 4613165

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
139
receiving · YPR
13.9
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
5
rushing · YPC
5.0
Eli Wood · WR

CFBD athlete 5081209

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
33
receiving · REC
37
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
479
receiving · YPR
12.9
Grady Brosterhous · QB

CFBD athlete 5081197

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
178
passing · COMPLETIONS
99
passing · INT
6
passing · PCT
0.556
passing · TD
7
passing · YDS
1120
passing · YPA
6.3
rushing · CAR
99
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
270
rushing · YPC
2.7
Harrison Taggart · LB

CFBD athlete 4897443

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
18
Hyrum Hatch · LS

CFBD athlete 5228789

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jackson Nelson · OL

CFBD athlete 5219655

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
James Jennette · LB

CFBD athlete 4694500

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
21
Javen Jacobs · RB

CFBD athlete 4816099

kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
puntReturns · AVG
6.1
puntReturns · LONG
19
puntReturns · NO
12
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
73
receiving · LONG
11
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
75
receiving · YPR
5.4
rushing · CAR
84
rushing · LONG
64
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
435
rushing · YPC
5.2
Javon Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5158829

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
78
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
257
receiving · YPR
15.1
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
5.5
John Mcclellan · LB

CFBD athlete 5290712

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
John Shepard · CB

CFBD athlete 5297074

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jordan Pendleton · LB

CFBD athlete 5088999

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
23
Kache Kaio · TE

CFBD athlete 5297067

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
44
receiving · YPR
8.8
Kaina Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5222789

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
25
receiving · YPR
8.3
Kian Afrookhteh · PK

CFBD athlete 5219602

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
48
kicking · PCT
0.600
kicking · PTS
28
kicking · XPA
10
kicking · XPM
10
Kye Stokes · CB

CFBD athlete 4831962

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
23
Landon Rehkow · P

CFBD athlete 5150622

punting · In 20
16
punting · LONG
60
punting · NO
35
punting · TB
2
punting · YDS
1495
punting · YPP
42.7
Markie Grant · CB

CFBD athlete 5220540

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
24
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Mataira Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5297059

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
5
McCae Hillstead · QB

CFBD athlete 4923285

passing · ATT
37
passing · COMPLETIONS
17
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.459
passing · TD
2
passing · YDS
225
passing · YPA
6.1
rushing · CAR
15
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
53
rushing · YPC
3.5
Nehemiah Washington · RB

CFBD athlete 5265504

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
1.2
Nikko Boncore · WR

CFBD athlete 5243087

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
43
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
98
receiving · YPR
16.3
Noah White · RB

CFBD athlete 5297079

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
20.8
kickReturns · LONG
24
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
104
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
64
receiving · YPR
8.0
rushing · CAR
11
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
11
rushing · YPC
1.0
Paxton Naegle · DT

CFBD athlete 5215368

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Rex Haynes · WR

CFBD athlete 5086629

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
23.0
Ronnie Mageo · DT

CFBD athlete 5222193

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Sesi Vailahi · RB

CFBD athlete 5125366

kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
22
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
22
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
3
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-3
rushing · YPC
-1.5
Seth Wilfred · OL

CFBD athlete 5219033

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ta'Avili Tuitama · DT

CFBD athlete 5220795

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Talan Arnett · WR

CFBD athlete 5447712

kickReturns · AVG
21.0
kickReturns · LONG
21
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
21
Tevita Tuha · LB

CFBD athlete 5297077

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
Tyree Morris · DT

CFBD athlete 5083868

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
28

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Utah State -6.75

DraftKings snapshot: Utah State -6.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Utah State by 9.55

2.80 points toward Utah State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Utah State.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: +5.61
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 9.55 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 7ac2d1bd9062d3611223f11265952d161bd28d35770a82d8d51d763f299a9e61 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast f599cceac185d5b496bb0f8389b9ebfd03b4104f7403e6cc5c2457e348b84c6d · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Utah State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-6.5-6.75-0.25
Model spread-9.55-9.550.0
Model gap+3.05+2.8-0.25

Negative spreads favor Utah State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 7ac2d1bd9062d3611223f11265952d161bd28d35770a82d8d51d763f299a9e61. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.8 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Utah State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
69%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Utah State -7
Stacked ensemble
81%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Utah State.

  • away elo: +18.18 (path difference 9.10)
  • home adjusted epa: +8.61 (path difference 8.63)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +7.73 (path difference 6.74)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +7.25 (path difference 3.79)
  • home elo: -7.20 (path difference 1.14)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.86 (path difference 7.58)
  • away adjusted success: -6.79 (path difference 5.64)
  • home adjusted success: -5.73 (path difference 4.45)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +5.34 (path difference 6.44)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -5.14 (path difference 4.00)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +5.00 (path difference 5.81)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -4.98 (path difference 5.00)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.73 (path difference 6.67)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -4.59 (path difference 1.82)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.28 (path difference 1.82)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +3.89 (path difference 2.34)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +3.43 (path difference 1.88)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.07 (path difference 2.72)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -2.85 (path difference 1.77)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.65 (path difference 1.06)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +2.34 (path difference 3.24)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.33 (path difference 0.97)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.27 (path difference 6.54)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.92 (path difference 2.77)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.87 (path difference 1.29)
  • away talent: -1.74 (path difference 0.79)
  • away adjusted epa: -1.69 (path difference 1.00)
  • home conference: +1.64 (path difference 1.98)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.39 (path difference 1.84)
  • home adjusted line yards: -1.27 (path difference 0.52)
  • away conference: +1.25 (path difference 1.84)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.17 (path difference 0.39)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.98 (path difference 1.59)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.97 (path difference 1.52)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.93 (path difference 1.28)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.88 (path difference 0.36)
  • home talent: +0.73 (path difference 0.74)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.67 (path difference 2.81)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.65 (path difference 0.49)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.41 (path difference 0.64)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +0.37 (path difference 0.89)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.32 (path difference 0.14)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +0.27 (path difference 0.32)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.24 (path difference 0.12)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.21 (path difference 0.69)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.20 (path difference 0.03)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.16 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.15 (path difference 1.92)
  • week: +0.11 (path difference 0.79)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.10 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.09 (path difference 1.02)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.08 (path difference 0.37)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.02 (path difference 2.33)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 80.56 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs c183921df005f0f91cb087bf18a0f219f1d51ee79cea82a5f48d9ae543820a42 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 4048331be2f4f5379ad13f67f7134c049b55c1d07745e2f66728faeab0d20524 · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Colorado State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 93 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Durell Robinson

CFBD athlete 4894661

Week 5 vs Oregon State: 24 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 66.7% success · -0.016 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas State: 7 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.361 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 19 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 57.9% success · 0.330 raw PPA.

505.6053.8%91 / 4.7
Jayden Brown

CFBD athlete 5095078

Week 5 vs Oregon State: 3 attempts · 21.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.582 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas State: 6 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.696 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 5 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.151 raw PPA.

147.7015.1%52 / 8.7
Hauss Hejny

CFBD athlete 5079443

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 11 attempts · 7.7 YPC · 72.7% success · 0.440 raw PPA.

117.7011.8%23 / 9.1
Ksaan Farrar

CFBD athlete 5212610

Week 5 vs Oregon State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.786 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas State: 6 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.849 raw PPA.

73.917.5%14 / 3.1
Cedric Ross

CFBD athlete 5290862

Week 5 vs Oregon State: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.104 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Texas State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.152 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs San Diego State: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.058 raw PPA.

63.806.5%9 / 3.7

Utah State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 93 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Javen Jacobs

CFBD athlete 4816099

Week 5 vs Boise State: 10 attempts · 13.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.916 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Washington State: 15 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.109 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas State: 14 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 21.4% success · -0.149 raw PPA.

396.2041.9%85 / 5.4
Grady Brosterhous

CFBD athlete 5081197

Week 5 vs Boise State: 10 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.669 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Washington State: 13 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 18.2% success · -0.685 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas State: 11 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.190 raw PPA.

341.8836.6%94 / 3.0
Noah White

CFBD athlete 5297079

Week 5 vs Boise State: 2 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.981 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Washington State: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.164 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas State: 3 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.749 raw PPA.

70.607.5%11 / 1.0
McCae Hillstead

CFBD athlete 4923285

Week 5 vs Boise State: 6 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.172 raw PPA.

61.716.5%14 / 4.1
Nehemiah Washington

CFBD athlete 5265504

Week 5 vs Boise State: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.356 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Texas State: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.094 raw PPA.

42.504.3%5 / 1.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureUtah StateOffenseColorado StateDefenseColorado StateOffenseUtah StateDefense
PPA/play
-0.05
4th
+0.30
1st
+0.24
82nd
+0.03
66th
Success rate
35.3%
4th
52.8%
0th
46.2%
71st
40.0%
56th
Explosiveness
1.34
88th
1.26
34th
1.40
99th
1.12
88th
Standard-down PPA/play
-0.16
1st
+0.26
1st
+0.18
80th
+0.00
59th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.12
24th
+0.43
4th
+0.41
86th
+0.08
79th
Havoc allowed / created
18.3%
7th
13.5%
19th
13.8%
64th
14.1%
27th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:12 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:12 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Kali Nguma · Colorado State · PAAR 3.13 · 5 attempts
  • Kian Afrookhteh · Utah State · PAAR -3.46 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Utah State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -6.5

First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 64.5 · Snapshot total: 63.5

Total · First locally observed: 63.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -245 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -218 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +180 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -6.5 · Snapshot spread: -7

First locally observed: -6.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 64 · Snapshot total: 63

Total · First locally observed: 63.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -235 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +200 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Utah State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 7 rated weeks · Pac-12

45th FBS percentile

Colorado State

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Pac-12

22nd FBS percentile

Travel

Colorado State travels 359 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Colorado State leads 40–38, 2 ties in 80 meetings since 1902.

  • 2024Utah State at Colorado State37–42 · Colorado State
  • 2023Colorado State at Utah State24–44 · Utah State
  • 2022Utah State at Colorado State17–13 · Utah State
  • 2021Colorado State at Utah State24–26 · Utah State
  • 2019Colorado State at Utah State24–34 · Utah State
  • 2018Utah State at Colorado State29–24 · Utah State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.