Week 10 · 2026

Fresno State at Utah State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Fresno State

Window: 2026-11-01 (reported) · 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T02:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Jayden Mandal QB 3 games	42.2% 35 / 83 plays	50.0% 8 / 16 plays
Bryson Donelson RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 16 / 32 plays
Rayshon Luke RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.9% 7 / 18 plays
Julius Gillick RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	63.6% 7 / 11 plays
Khristian Martin QB 1 games	50.0% 1 / 2 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Orlando Guevara RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Ezekiel Avit WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andre Cobb · DB

CFBD athlete 4917321

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Andrew Chavez · RB

CFBD athlete 5382524

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 19
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Brendan Huddleston · DL

CFBD athlete 5302858

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 2

Brock Lium · TE

CFBD athlete 5120905

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 3
receiving · YPR: 3.0

Bryson Donelson · RB

CFBD athlete 5175334

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 37
receiving · YPR: 6.2
rushing · CAR: 81
rushing · LONG: 63
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 407
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Bryson Harrington · DL

CFBD athlete 5295224

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Camrin Cole · DB

CFBD athlete 5196926

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Chase Perino · DB

CFBD athlete 5291744

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Clay Lawrence · P

CFBD athlete 5219276

punting · In 20: 2
punting · LONG: 48
punting · NO: 4
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 162
punting · YPP: 40.5

Croix Stewart · DB

CFBD athlete 4804842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

DaJhon Hall · DB

CFBD athlete 5216785

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Dallas Gaius-Anyaegbu · TE

CFBD athlete 5291743

receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 19.5

Deijon Laffitte · DL

CFBD athlete 5102814

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Dylan Hampsten · DL

CFBD athlete 5151347

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 4.0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.5
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Ethan Rossetti · LS

CFBD athlete 5382526

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ethan Tierney · DB

CFBD athlete 5151520

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 22
interceptions · AVG: 19.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 38

Ezekiel Avit · WR

CFBD athlete 5121384

receiving · LONG: 73
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 376
receiving · YPR: 16.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 19
rushing · YPC: 19.0

Franklin Lockard · DB

CFBD athlete 5302886

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gavin Correia · TE

CFBD athlete 5295221

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 87
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Gerayas Grimes · DB

CFBD athlete 5192285

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 35

Harold Duvall · WR

CFBD athlete 5223768

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 17.0

Jack Baldi · LS

CFBD athlete 5295218

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jaden Carrillo · DB

CFBD athlete 5151410

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 22

Jahlil McClain · WR

CFBD athlete 4870923

receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 252
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Jahzon Jacks · DL

CFBD athlete 4720950

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Jairus Satele · DL

CFBD athlete 4917090

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Jake Appleget · TE

CFBD athlete 4869294

receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 108
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Jayden Mandal · QB

CFBD athlete 5010409

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 212
passing · COMPLETIONS: 134
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.632
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1595
passing · YPA: 7.5
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 21.0
rushing · CAR: 59
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 163
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Jaydon Sutko · LB

CFBD athlete 5302888

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jaylen Garrison · WR

CFBD athlete 5223892

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 17.0

Jayon Farrar · WR

CFBD athlete 5295211

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 45
receiving · YPR: 5.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 16.0

Jordan Malau'ulu · WR

CFBD athlete 5143919

kickReturns · AVG: 22.9
kickReturns · LONG: 44
kickReturns · NO: 7
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 160
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 21
passing · YPA: 21.0
puntReturns · AVG: 9.6
puntReturns · LONG: 68
puntReturns · NO: 11
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 106
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 23.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Josiah Freeman · WR

CFBD athlete 5092483

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 37
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 512
receiving · YPR: 13.8
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 17
rushing · YPC: 8.5

Julius Gillick · RB

CFBD athlete 5262650

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 13.0
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 153
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Justin Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5019032

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
interceptions · AVG: 15.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 15

K'Vion Thunderbird · LB

CFBD athlete 4921323

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 65

Keynan Cotton · WR

CFBD athlete 5264243

kickReturns · AVG: 12.0
kickReturns · LONG: 12
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 12
receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 4.0

Khristian Martin · QB

CFBD athlete 5146667

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 4
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.750
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 71
passing · YPA: 17.8
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Kiontre Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5190739

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Logan Goodspeed · DL

CFBD athlete 5295222

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Logan Studt · LB

CFBD athlete 5147156

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 16

Loyall Mouzon · DB

CFBD athlete 5181310

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 25

Lucas Blumling · LB

CFBD athlete 5258358

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Martin Owusu · DL

CFBD athlete 4950392

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 27

Maverick Noonan · DL

CFBD athlete 4918420

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Merhauti Xepera · DL

CFBD athlete 4884266

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Mitchell Watanabe · PK

CFBD athlete 3933587

kicking · FGA: 17
kicking · FGM: 14
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.824
kicking · PTS: 65
kicking · XPA: 24
kicking · XPM: 23

Mordecai Hines · DL

CFBD athlete 5077265

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 12
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Nick Verdugo · P

CFBD athlete 5092327

punting · In 20: 14
punting · LONG: 55
punting · NO: 28
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1181
punting · YPP: 42.2

Niko Baumgartner · LB

CFBD athlete 5265354

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 9

Orlando Guevara · RB

CFBD athlete 5446767

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -2.0

RJ Regan · DB

CFBD athlete 4602899

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Rayshon Luke · RB

CFBD athlete 4685445

kickReturns · AVG: 19.5
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 39
receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 97
receiving · YPR: 6.5
rushing · CAR: 61
rushing · LONG: 52
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 377
rushing · YPC: 6.2

Rolan Fullwood · OL

CFBD athlete 4685823

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ryan Wilson · DB

CFBD athlete 5092486

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Simeon Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 4715346

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 36
interceptions · AVG: 3.3
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 10

Sione Noa · DL

CFBD athlete 4917135

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Tariq Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5225383

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Taylor Powell · DB

CFBD athlete 5134552

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Tommy Nix · LB

CFBD athlete 5219273

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Tyger Canales · DB

CFBD athlete 5295213

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tytus Khajavi · LB

CFBD athlete 5148280

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 21
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 38
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Utah State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T02:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Grady Brosterhous QB 2 games	36.4% 24 / 66 plays	33.3% 7 / 21 plays
Javen Jacobs RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	32.6% 14 / 43 plays
McCae Hillstead QB 1 games	56.5% 13 / 23 plays	66.7% 6 / 9 plays
Noah White RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	30.0% 3 / 10 plays
Sesi Vailahi RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	75.0% 3 / 4 plays
Anthony Garcia WR 2 games	100.0% 2 / 2 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Nehemiah Washington RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Demick Starling WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 51 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adonis Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 5304040

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 18

Anthony Garcia · WR

CFBD athlete 5151339

passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 50
passing · YPA: 25.0
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 26
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 254
receiving · YPR: 9.8
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Asher Cunningham · LB

CFBD athlete 5155792

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 64
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

BJ Diakite · LB

CFBD athlete 5089062

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Bobby Arnold III · CB

CFBD athlete 5228787

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Brevin Hamblin · S

CFBD athlete 5152415

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 62
interceptions · AVG: 33.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 33

Bronson Olevao · LB

CFBD athlete 5082615

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 36
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Brycen Edwards · LB

CFBD athlete 5083872

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Carson Tujague · DT

CFBD athlete 5219649

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Chapman Lewis · S

CFBD athlete 4916985

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 32

Charger Doty · S

CFBD athlete 5216790

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Chika Ebunoha · S

CFBD athlete 5092197

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Chris Joe · LB

CFBD athlete 5258361

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 10

Collin Remenowksy · TE

CFBD athlete 5446999

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 14.0

D'Angelo Mayes · CB

CFBD athlete 5228807

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 36
interceptions · AVG: 30.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 30

David Kabongo · S

CFBD athlete 5219507

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 42
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Demick Starling · WR

CFBD athlete 4613165

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 139
receiving · YPR: 13.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Diego Grateron · LB

CFBD athlete 5297063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Eli Wood · WR

CFBD athlete 5081209

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 37
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 479
receiving · YPR: 12.9

Grady Brosterhous · QB

CFBD athlete 5081197

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 178
passing · COMPLETIONS: 99
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.556
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 1120
passing · YPA: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 99
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 270
rushing · YPC: 2.7

Harrison Taggart · LB

CFBD athlete 4897443

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Hyrum Hatch · LS

CFBD athlete 5228789

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jackson Nelson · OL

CFBD athlete 5219655

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

James Jennette · LB

CFBD athlete 4694500

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Javen Jacobs · RB

CFBD athlete 4816099

kickReturns · AVG: 12.0
kickReturns · LONG: 12
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 12
puntReturns · AVG: 6.1
puntReturns · LONG: 19
puntReturns · NO: 14
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 86
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 90
receiving · YPR: 5.6
rushing · CAR: 98
rushing · LONG: 64
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 491
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Javon Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5158829

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 78
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 267
receiving · YPR: 14.1
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 8.7

John Mcclellan · LB

CFBD athlete 5290712

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

John Shepard · CB

CFBD athlete 5297074

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Jordan Pendleton · LB

CFBD athlete 5088999

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 27

Kache Kaio · TE

CFBD athlete 5297067

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 44
receiving · YPR: 8.8

Kaina Watson · WR

CFBD athlete 5222789

receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Kian Afrookhteh · PK

CFBD athlete 5219602

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.583
kicking · PTS: 35
kicking · XPA: 14
kicking · XPM: 14

Kye Stokes · CB

CFBD athlete 4831962

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Landon Rehkow · P

CFBD athlete 5150622

punting · In 20: 16
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 35
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1495
punting · YPP: 42.7

Markie Grant · CB

CFBD athlete 5220540

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Mataira Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5297059

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8

McCae Hillstead · QB

CFBD athlete 4923285

passing · ATT: 59
passing · COMPLETIONS: 34
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.576
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 398
passing · YPA: 6.7
receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 44
receiving · YPR: 44.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 132
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Nehemiah Washington · RB

CFBD athlete 5265504

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 4.8

Nikko Boncore · WR

CFBD athlete 5243087

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 43
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 98
receiving · YPR: 16.3

Noah White · RB

CFBD athlete 5297079

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 22.3
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 134
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 84
receiving · YPR: 9.3
rushing · CAR: 16
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 41
rushing · YPC: 2.6

Paxton Naegle · DT

CFBD athlete 5215368

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Rex Haynes · WR

CFBD athlete 5086629

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 23.0

Ronnie Mageo · DT

CFBD athlete 5222193

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Sesi Vailahi · RB

CFBD athlete 5125366

kickReturns · AVG: 22.0
kickReturns · LONG: 22
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 22
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 36
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Seth Wilfred · OL

CFBD athlete 5219033

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Ta'Avili Tuitama · DT

CFBD athlete 5220795

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Talan Arnett · WR

CFBD athlete 5447712

kickReturns · AVG: 21.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 21

Tevita Tuha · LB

CFBD athlete 5297077

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 18

Tyree Morris · DT

CFBD athlete 5083868

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 30

Viliami Tapa'Atoutai · LB

CFBD athlete 5327000

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Will Evans · P

CFBD athlete 5447720

punting · In 20: 1
punting · LONG: 47
punting · NO: 2
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 85
punting · YPP: 42.5

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Utah State +2.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Fresno State -2.5

DraftKings snapshot: Utah State +2.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Utah State by 0.75

3.25 points toward Utah State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Utah State.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: -3.25
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 0.75 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 42d844bb69d3c6d30d90fe9517a41279ee1ee6052bd152f9ce111796d60b0731 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast d152dbf0ad6aae2dd23af336eaf22de30ce7a18cc75deb0980b2e04cab18a4dd · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Utah State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	+2.5	+2.5
Model spread	-0.75	-0.75
Model gap	+3.25	+3.25

Negative spreads favor Utah State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 42d844bb69d3c6d30d90fe9517a41279ee1ee6052bd152f9ce111796d60b0731. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Utah State +2.5

Model gap +3.3 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Utah State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Utah State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 43%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Utah State +2.5
Stacked ensemble: 65%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Utah State.

home adjusted epa: +8.04 (path difference 5.68)
home adjusted success: -7.44 (path difference 1.37)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.36 (path difference 2.72)
home adjusted epa allowed: -7.29 (path difference 0.15)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +7.25 (path difference 1.69)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.56 (path difference 4.78)
home elo: -6.22 (path difference 0.84)
home adjusted success allowed: +6.04 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.82 (path difference 4.46)
away adjusted epa allowed: -4.88 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.60 (path difference 3.61)
home adjusted passing epa: -4.25 (path difference 0.60)
home adjusted rushing epa: -4.04 (path difference 0.89)
away adjusted success allowed: +3.61 (path difference 0.28)
away elo: -3.48 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.95 (path difference 1.13)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.65 (path difference 0.81)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.56 (path difference 1.29)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.54 (path difference 1.23)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.33 (path difference 1.99)
home conference: +2.32 (path difference 0.62)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.05 (path difference 0.98)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.98 (path difference 0.08)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.93 (path difference 1.38)
away adjusted epa: +1.85 (path difference 1.85)
week: -1.70 (path difference 0.66)
away conference: +1.64 (path difference 1.06)
home adjusted standard down success: -1.59 (path difference 1.17)
home adjusted line yards: -1.53 (path difference 0.86)
away adjusted rushing epa: -1.28 (path difference 1.20)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.18 (path difference 0.52)
away adjusted second level yards: +1.15 (path difference 0.63)
away adjusted success: +0.93 (path difference 0.52)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.71 (path difference 1.44)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.70 (path difference 0.13)
away talent: -0.70 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.70 (path difference 0.13)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.61 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.61 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.60 (path difference 0.36)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.59 (path difference 0.56)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.59 (path difference 0.29)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.57 (path difference 0.76)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.56 (path difference 0.80)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.51 (path difference 2.14)
home talent: +0.50 (path difference 0.17)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.43 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.37 (path difference 0.75)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.35 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.30 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.27 (path difference 0.41)
away adjusted line yards: +0.25 (path difference 0.97)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.24 (path difference 0.07)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.18 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.06 (path difference 0.01)

Reconciles to 64.81 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 667dbb993ed23b856dfd96bca568aef3a4dbd7aaf39dde778158e25c9b3c1128 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast bfb0b2a0760e7dbc52118361580ff7fb7b219f91bc97b4c4a29b098180766e1c · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Fresno State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 89 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Bryson Donelson CFBD athlete 5175334 Week 6 vs Boise State: 4 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.142 raw PPA. Week 7 vs San Diego State: 13 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 69.2% success · 0.336 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Oregon State: 16 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 31.3% success · 0.179 raw PPA.	33	6.1	0	37.1%	81 / 5.0
Jayden Mandal CFBD athlete 5010409 Week 6 vs Boise State: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.742 raw PPA. Week 7 vs San Diego State: 9 attempts · -1.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.045 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Oregon State: 8 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.498 raw PPA.	24	1.8	8	27.0%	55 / 3.3
Rayshon Luke CFBD athlete 4685445 Week 7 vs San Diego State: 10 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.005 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Oregon State: 8 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.178 raw PPA.	18	4.9	0	20.2%	60 / 6.3
Julius Gillick CFBD athlete 5262650 Week 6 vs Boise State: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.055 raw PPA. Week 7 vs San Diego State: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.503 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Oregon State: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.285 raw PPA.	11	4.6	0	12.4%	35 / 4.1
Orlando Guevara CFBD athlete 5446767 Week 6 vs Boise State: 2 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.971 raw PPA.	2	-2.0	0	2.2%	2 / -2.0

Utah State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Javen Jacobs CFBD athlete 4816099 Week 6 vs Washington State: 15 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.109 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas State: 14 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 21.4% success · -0.149 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Colorado State: 14 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 35.7% success · 0.123 raw PPA.	43	3.7	0	43.4%	99 / 5.2
Grady Brosterhous CFBD athlete 5081197 Week 6 vs Washington State: 13 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 18.2% success · -0.685 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas State: 11 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.190 raw PPA.	24	2.6	3	24.2%	94 / 3.0
McCae Hillstead CFBD athlete 4923285 Week 9 vs Colorado State: 10 attempts · 6.9 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.752 raw PPA.	10	6.9	1	10.1%	24 / 5.3
Noah White CFBD athlete 5297079 Week 6 vs Washington State: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.164 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas State: 3 attempts · -0.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.749 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Colorado State: 5 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.055 raw PPA.	10	3.7	0	10.1%	16 / 2.6
Sesi Vailahi CFBD athlete 5125366 Week 9 vs Colorado State: 4 attempts · 9.8 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.257 raw PPA.	4	9.8	0	4.0%	6 / 6.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Utah StateOffense	Fresno StateDefense	Fresno StateOffense	Utah StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.00 12th	+0.03 69th	+0.12 47th	+0.04 66th
Success rate	37.1% 7th	42.3% 36th	39.6% 23rd	40.1% 57th
Explosiveness	1.32 83rd	1.17 72nd	1.32 84th	1.15 81st
Standard-down PPA/play	-0.10 4th	+0.03 51st	+0.02 29th	+0.00 61st
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.19 36th	+0.04 85th	+0.32 66th	+0.11 72nd
Havoc allowed / created	16.8% 23rd	16.3% 58th	12.8% 78th	15.2% 41st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:54 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:54 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Mitchell Watanabe · Fresno State · PAAR 8.48 · 16 attempts
Kian Afrookhteh · Utah State · PAAR -5.28 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Utah State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +2.5 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: +2.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence