Skip to content
CFB/LAB
Menu
All gamesRecipe comparisons

Week 9 · 2026

Oregon State at Fresno State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Oregon State

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T03:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Braden Atkinson QB
3 games
58.0%
65 / 112 plays
83.3%
5 / 6 plays
AJ Newberry RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
64.7%
22 / 34 plays
Cornell Hatcher Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
66.7%
16 / 24 plays
Jake Reichle RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
80.0%
12 / 15 plays
Tre Garrison RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
6 / 12 plays
Kourdey Glass RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
45.5%
5 / 11 plays
Maalik Murphy QB
1 games
62.5%
5 / 8 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Brady Jones QB
1 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Newberry · RB

CFBD athlete 4917981

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
4
passing · YPA
4.0
receiving · LONG
88
receiving · REC
24
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
288
receiving · YPR
12.0
rushing · CAR
65
rushing · LONG
35
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
431
rushing · YPC
6.6
AJ Winsor · P

CFBD athlete 5157297

punting · In 20
6
punting · LONG
57
punting · NO
18
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
768
punting · YPP
42.7
Aaron Butler · WR

CFBD athlete 5079357

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
206
receiving · YPR
14.7
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
30
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
56
rushing · YPC
14.0
Adrian Onyiego · LB

CFBD athlete 5148711

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Aeryn Hampton · WR

CFBD athlete 5293573

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
21
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
245
receiving · YPR
11.7
Aiden Sullivan · LB

CFBD athlete 5218519

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
53
Blake Thompson · DB

CFBD athlete 5258366

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Braden Atkinson · QB

CFBD athlete 5212654

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
272
passing · COMPLETIONS
188
passing · INT
2
passing · PCT
0.691
passing · TD
24
passing · YDS
2583
passing · YPA
9.5
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
rushing · CAR
22
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
0.0
Brady Jones · QB

CFBD athlete 5296163

passing · ATT
3
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.333
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
5
passing · YPA
1.7
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
20
rushing · YPC
4.0
Caleb Ojeda · PK

CFBD athlete 5228037

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
7
kicking · LONG
53
kicking · PCT
0.700
kicking · PTS
57
kicking · XPA
36
kicking · XPM
36
Cameron Hewitt · DT

CFBD athlete 5393667

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Clive Pond · LB

CFBD athlete 5157299

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Cornell Hatcher Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5167313

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
42
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
214
rushing · YPC
5.1
Cynai Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5160504

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
134
receiving · YPR
12.2
D.C. Temple · TE

CFBD athlete 4869821

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
186
receiving · YPR
8.1
Daniel Matagi · DT

CFBD athlete 5165051

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
9
Drake Vickers · DB

CFBD athlete 5157295

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
29
interceptions · AVG
19.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
19
Dylan Layne · LB

CFBD athlete 5083176

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
28
Eddie Freauff · WR

CFBD athlete 5193554

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
17
receiving · YPR
8.5
Eric Olsen · TE

CFBD athlete 5088952

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
30
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
353
receiving · YPR
11.8
Gabe Milbourn · TE

CFBD athlete 4879572

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
32
receiving · YPR
6.4
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
2.0
Gyriece Goodman · LB

CFBD athlete 5218523

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
34
Harlem Howard · DB

CFBD athlete 5120455

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Isaiah Houi · DB

CFBD athlete 5225274

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
24
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
-1.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
-1
puntReturns · AVG
9.0
puntReturns · LONG
14
puntReturns · NO
4
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
36
Ishmael Findlayter · LB

CFBD athlete 5086979

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jabari Odoemenem · LB

CFBD athlete 5153818

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
7.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
7
Jackson Bowers · TE

CFBD athlete 4870629

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
30
receiving · YPR
15.0
Jacob Schuster · DT

CFBD athlete 4700139

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
Jadyn Oh · PK

CFBD athlete 5161639

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jaheim Patterson · DB

CFBD athlete 5218521

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Jake Reichle · RB

CFBD athlete 5085883

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
39
receiving · YPR
9.8
rushing · CAR
22
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
100
rushing · YPC
4.5
Jameson Powell · WR

CFBD athlete 5209415

puntReturns · AVG
12.0
puntReturns · LONG
24
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
24
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
20
receiving · YPR
6.7
Jarrel Comer · LB

CFBD athlete 5393659

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
15
Jaylen Hill · DT

CFBD athlete 5297783

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jesse Legree · WR

CFBD athlete 5289510

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
90
receiving · REC
46
receiving · TD
14
receiving · YDS
1040
receiving · YPR
22.6
Kai Wheaton · DB

CFBD athlete 5207644

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kord Shaw · LB

CFBD athlete 4875851

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
Kourdey Glass · RB

CFBD athlete 5209304

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
18.6
kickReturns · LONG
35
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
93
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
5.2
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
12
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
80
rushing · YPC
4.7
Logan Knapp · LB

CFBD athlete 5216314

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
15
Lolani Finau · DT

CFBD athlete 5393666

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
1
Maalik Murphy · QB

CFBD athlete 4685497

passing · ATT
12
passing · COMPLETIONS
11
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.917
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
81
passing · YPA
6.8
receiving · LONG
2
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
2
receiving · YPR
2.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-4.0
Malachi Durant · WR

CFBD athlete 5126526

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
Marquis Raspberry · DB

CFBD athlete 5393661

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Milan Clark · DB

CFBD athlete 5157296

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Nick Norris · DT

CFBD athlete 4769838

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Niklas Fisher · LB

CFBD athlete 5207797

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
RJ Whitten · DB

CFBD athlete 5393658

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Raesjon Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 4431247

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Sailasa Vadrawale · DB

CFBD athlete 5090566

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
24.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
24
Sean Craig · DB

CFBD athlete 5216545

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
TJ Crandall · DB

CFBD athlete 5077302

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
17
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Takari Hickle · LB

CFBD athlete 4872750

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
6.0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
10.5
defensive · TOT
38
Tevita Pome'e · DT

CFBD athlete 5158453

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
13
Tre Garrison · RB

CFBD athlete 5325545

kickReturns · AVG
12.3
kickReturns · LONG
20
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
49
receiving · LONG
0
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
0
receiving · YPR
0.0
rushing · CAR
29
rushing · LONG
10
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
103
rushing · YPC
3.6
Trey Glasper · DB

CFBD athlete 5214560

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
Tyler Bailey · DT

CFBD athlete 5393668

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
6
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tyree Blake · LB

CFBD athlete 5085886

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Will Haverland · LB

CFBD athlete 5193051

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
7
Xander Chisolm · DB

CFBD athlete 5152802

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Xayvion Noland · WR

CFBD athlete 5161892

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
22.0
kickReturns · LONG
46
kickReturns · NO
4
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
88
puntReturns · AVG
6.8
puntReturns · LONG
29
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
54
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
41
receiving · YPR
8.2
Zephen Walker · DB

CFBD athlete 5216841

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

Fresno State

Window: 2026-10-18 (reported) · 2026-10-11 (reported) · 2026-10-04 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T03:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Jayden Mandal QB
3 games
44.0%
44 / 100 plays
43.8%
7 / 16 plays
Bryson Donelson RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
46.4%
13 / 28 plays
Rayshon Luke RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
31.3%
5 / 16 plays
Julius Gillick RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
61.5%
8 / 13 plays
Josiah Freeman WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
2 / 2 plays
Khristian Martin QB
1 games
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Orlando Guevara RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Ezekiel Avit WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andre Cobb · DB

CFBD athlete 4917321

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Andrew Chavez · RB

CFBD athlete 5382524

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
6
receiving · YPR
6.0
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
11
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
19
rushing · YPC
6.3
Brendan Huddleston · DL

CFBD athlete 5302858

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Brock Lium · TE

CFBD athlete 5120905

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Bryson Donelson · RB

CFBD athlete 5175334

receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
37
receiving · YPR
6.2
rushing · CAR
65
rushing · LONG
56
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
299
rushing · YPC
4.6
Bryson Harrington · DL

CFBD athlete 5295224

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Camrin Cole · DB

CFBD athlete 5196926

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
9
Chase Perino · DB

CFBD athlete 5291744

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Clay Lawrence · P

CFBD athlete 5219276

punting · In 20
2
punting · LONG
48
punting · NO
4
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
162
punting · YPP
40.5
Croix Stewart · DB

CFBD athlete 4804842

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dallas Gaius-Anyaegbu · TE

CFBD athlete 5291743

receiving · LONG
36
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
39
receiving · YPR
19.5
Deijon Laffitte · DL

CFBD athlete 5102814

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.0
defensive · TOT
14
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Dylan Hampsten · DL

CFBD athlete 5151347

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2.0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.5
defensive · TOT
29
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Ethan Rossetti · LS

CFBD athlete 5382526

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Ethan Tierney · DB

CFBD athlete 5151520

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
19.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
38
Ezekiel Avit · WR

CFBD athlete 5121384

receiving · LONG
73
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
373
receiving · YPR
17.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
19
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
19
rushing · YPC
19.0
Franklin Lockard · DB

CFBD athlete 5302886

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Gavin Correia · TE

CFBD athlete 5295221

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
72
receiving · YPR
9.0
Gerayas Grimes · DB

CFBD athlete 5192285

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
17
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
31
Harold Duvall · WR

CFBD athlete 5223768

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
34
receiving · YPR
17.0
Jack Baldi · LS

CFBD athlete 5295218

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jaden Carrillo · DB

CFBD athlete 5151410

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
22
Jahlil McClain · WR

CFBD athlete 4870923

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
19
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
204
receiving · YPR
10.7
Jahzon Jacks · DL

CFBD athlete 4720950

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
25
Jairus Satele · DL

CFBD athlete 4917090

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Jake Appleget · TE

CFBD athlete 4869294

receiving · LONG
24
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
71
receiving · YPR
10.1
Jayden Mandal · QB

CFBD athlete 5010409

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
195
passing · COMPLETIONS
123
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.631
passing · TD
8
passing · YDS
1393
passing · YPA
7.1
receiving · LONG
21
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
21.0
rushing · CAR
51
rushing · LONG
21
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
129
rushing · YPC
2.5
Jaydon Sutko · LB

CFBD athlete 5302888

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jaylen Garrison · WR

CFBD athlete 5223892

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
17
receiving · YPR
17.0
Jayon Farrar · WR

CFBD athlete 5295211

receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
45
receiving · YPR
5.6
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
16.0
Jordan Malau'ulu · WR

CFBD athlete 5143919

kickReturns · AVG
19.3
kickReturns · LONG
27
kickReturns · NO
6
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
116
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
21
passing · YPA
21.0
puntReturns · AVG
9.5
puntReturns · LONG
68
puntReturns · NO
10
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
95
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
23
receiving · YPR
23.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
2
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
2
rushing · YPC
2.0
Josiah Freeman · WR

CFBD athlete 5092483

receiving · LONG
28
receiving · REC
31
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
424
receiving · YPR
13.7
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
17
rushing · YPC
8.5
Julius Gillick · RB

CFBD athlete 5262650

receiving · LONG
20
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
13.0
rushing · CAR
34
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
143
rushing · YPC
4.2
Justin Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5019032

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
interceptions · AVG
15.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
15
K'Vion Thunderbird · LB

CFBD athlete 4921323

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
29
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
61
Keynan Cotton · WR

CFBD athlete 5264243

kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
4
receiving · YPR
4.0
Khristian Martin · QB

CFBD athlete 5146667

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
4
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.750
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
71
passing · YPA
17.8
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
10
rushing · YPC
2.5
Kiontre Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5190739

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Logan Goodspeed · DL

CFBD athlete 5295222

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
11
Logan Studt · LB

CFBD athlete 5147156

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
12
Loyall Mouzon · DB

CFBD athlete 5181310

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
20
Lucas Blumling · LB

CFBD athlete 5258358

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Martin Owusu · DL

CFBD athlete 4950392

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
25
Maverick Noonan · DL

CFBD athlete 4918420

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
17
Merhauti Xepera · DL

CFBD athlete 4884266

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Mitchell Watanabe · PK

CFBD athlete 3933587

kicking · FGA
15
kicking · FGM
13
kicking · LONG
52
kicking · PCT
0.867
kicking · PTS
57
kicking · XPA
19
kicking · XPM
18
Mordecai Hines · DL

CFBD athlete 5077265

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
Nick Verdugo · P

CFBD athlete 5092327

punting · In 20
14
punting · LONG
55
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1050
punting · YPP
42.0
Niko Baumgartner · LB

CFBD athlete 5265354

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
9
Orlando Guevara · RB

CFBD athlete 5446767

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-4
rushing · YPC
-2.0
RJ Regan · DB

CFBD athlete 4602899

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Rayshon Luke · RB

CFBD athlete 4685445

kickReturns · AVG
19.0
kickReturns · LONG
19
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
19
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
86
receiving · YPR
6.1
rushing · CAR
52
rushing · LONG
52
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
333
rushing · YPC
6.4
Ryan Wilson · DB

CFBD athlete 5092486

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Simeon Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 4715346

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
33
interceptions · AVG
3.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
10
Sione Noa · DL

CFBD athlete 4917135

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Tariq Thomas · RB

CFBD athlete 5225383

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
15
rushing · YPC
7.5
Taylor Powell · DB

CFBD athlete 5134552

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
15
Tommy Nix · LB

CFBD athlete 5219273

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
21
Tyger Canales · DB

CFBD athlete 5295213

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Tytus Khajavi · LB

CFBD athlete 5148280

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
30
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Fresno State +6

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Oregon State -6

DraftKings snapshot: Fresno State +6

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Oregon State by 1.15

4.85 points toward Fresno State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Fresno State.

  • Fitted offset: +5.87
  • Net EPA rating difference: -5.09
  • Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to -1.15 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 771b48dd911af18b02bce98e4536565a6e72b5cb6e183e277ad9da9406680872 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 7cc1494e5204012e25992da9f5556b477efa3904a1b6c4af18567a35b740bda8 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Fresno State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread+5.75+6.0+0.25
Model spread+1.15+1.150.0
Model gap+4.6+4.85+0.25

Negative spreads favor Fresno State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256
c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256
907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256
979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 771b48dd911af18b02bce98e4536565a6e72b5cb6e183e277ad9da9406680872. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Fresno State +6

Model gap +4.8 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Fresno State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Fresno State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
34%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Fresno State +6
Stacked ensemble
45%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Fresno State.

  • away adjusted success: -11.76 (path difference 1.97)
  • home elo: +7.41 (path difference 4.78)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -6.14 (path difference 0.74)
  • away adjusted epa: -5.81 (path difference 4.32)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.22 (path difference 1.02)
  • home adjusted epa: +5.15 (path difference 2.86)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +4.85 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -3.94 (path difference 2.26)
  • away adjusted standard down success: +3.80 (path difference 0.60)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.63 (path difference 1.60)
  • home adjusted line yards: -3.29 (path difference 0.12)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.19 (path difference 1.75)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.19 (path difference 1.03)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.96 (path difference 0.36)
  • home adjusted success: -2.88 (path difference 0.49)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.84 (path difference 1.68)
  • home adjusted passing epa: +2.47 (path difference 0.53)
  • away conference: +2.44 (path difference 0.54)
  • home conference: +2.43 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +2.09 (path difference 0.30)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.04 (path difference 1.95)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -1.96 (path difference 1.45)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +1.69 (path difference 0.11)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +1.63 (path difference 1.15)
  • away talent: -1.60 (path difference 0.25)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.55 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.46 (path difference 0.79)
  • away elo: -1.45 (path difference 0.91)
  • home talent: +1.41 (path difference 0.78)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.39 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted line yards: -1.37 (path difference 2.37)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -1.30 (path difference 1.31)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -1.05 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.98 (path difference 0.42)
  • away adjusted open field yards: +0.94 (path difference 0.92)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.88 (path difference 1.00)
  • home adjusted passing down success: -0.77 (path difference 0.46)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.77 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.70 (path difference 0.45)
  • week: -0.60 (path difference 2.21)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.43 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.38 (path difference 0.46)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.38 (path difference 0.85)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.37 (path difference 0.42)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.35 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.33 (path difference 0.36)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.28 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.23 (path difference 0.43)
  • away adjusted success allowed: -0.21 (path difference 0.41)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.20 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.16 (path difference 0.40)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.00)
  • away adjusted passing down success: +0.11 (path difference 0.81)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 45.16 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 035c1a2a6658c8b2e1d96d327cd6eaadbc6e50898ac01cf2732f92299ee8cd24 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast c67e93d15c6157cd0415c83e218d2110029e3cea30b70c031a0d5d1e3835246b · through week 8.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Oregon State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 117 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
AJ Newberry

CFBD athlete 4917981

Week 5 vs Colorado State: 15 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.434 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs San Diego State: 8 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.374 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Washington State: 11 attempts · 9.5 YPC · 63.6% success · 0.539 raw PPA.

347.3029.1%64 / 6.7
Cornell Hatcher Jr.

CFBD athlete 5167313

Week 5 vs Colorado State: 9 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 77.8% success · 0.316 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs San Diego State: 8 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.187 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Washington State: 10 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.504 raw PPA.

275.7023.1%44 / 5.0
Jake Reichle

CFBD athlete 5085883

Week 5 vs Colorado State: 5 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.013 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs San Diego State: 6 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.440 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Washington State: 6 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.043 raw PPA.

175.1014.5%24 / 4.7
Tre Garrison

CFBD athlete 5325545

Week 5 vs Colorado State: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.111 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs San Diego State: 9 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 55.6% success · -0.213 raw PPA.

153.3012.8%32 / 3.6
Kourdey Glass

CFBD athlete 5209304

Week 6 vs San Diego State: 10 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.332 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Washington State: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.160 raw PPA.

115.009.4%17 / 4.7

Fresno State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 89 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Bryson Donelson

CFBD athlete 5175334

Week 5 vs Washington State: 11 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 18.2% success · -0.517 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Boise State: 4 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.142 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs San Diego State: 13 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 69.2% success · 0.336 raw PPA.

283.8031.5%65 / 4.6
Jayden Mandal

CFBD athlete 5010409

Week 5 vs Washington State: 9 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.320 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Boise State: 7 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.742 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs San Diego State: 9 attempts · -1.8 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.045 raw PPA.

251.5928.1%47 / 3.1
Rayshon Luke

CFBD athlete 4685445

Week 5 vs Washington State: 6 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.271 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs San Diego State: 10 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.005 raw PPA.

165.9018.0%52 / 6.4
Julius Gillick

CFBD athlete 5262650

Week 5 vs Washington State: 4 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.579 raw PPA.

Week 6 vs Boise State: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.055 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs San Diego State: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.503 raw PPA.

134.8014.6%33 / 4.0
Josiah Freeman

CFBD athlete 5092483

Week 5 vs Washington State: 2 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.221 raw PPA.

28.502.2%2 / 8.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureFresno StateOffenseOregon StateDefenseOregon StateOffenseFresno StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.11
39th
+0.08
43rd
+0.33
96th
+0.04
63rd
Success rate
40.0%
22nd
40.3%
53rd
50.3%
95th
41.9%
39th
Explosiveness
1.28
73rd
1.14
82nd
1.30
77th
1.18
67th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.03
32nd
+0.01
58th
+0.32
97th
+0.06
38th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.28
58th
+0.24
32nd
+0.35
74th
-0.01
91st
Havoc allowed / created
12.9%
76th
16.9%
67th
10.8%
92nd
15.2%
41st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:48 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:48 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

  • Mitchell Watanabe · Fresno State · PAAR 9.98 · 14 attempts
  • Caleb Ojeda · Oregon State · PAAR 2.09 · 10 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Fresno State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +7 · Snapshot spread: +6

First locally observed: +7 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 56.5 · Snapshot total: 58.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +185 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +210 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -225 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -258 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: +6.5 · Snapshot spread: +6

First locally observed: +6 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 56.5 · Snapshot total: 58.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: +200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: +200 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: -240 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: -240 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Fresno State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Pac-12

60th FBS percentile

Oregon State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Pac-12

80th FBS percentile

Travel

Oregon State travels 566 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Fresno State leads 9–6 in 15 meetings since 1981.

  • 2025Fresno State at Oregon State36–27 · Fresno State
  • 2022Oregon State at Fresno State35–32 · Oregon State
  • 2003Oregon State at Fresno State14–16 · Fresno State
  • 2002Fresno State at Oregon State19–59 · Oregon State
  • 2001Oregon State at Fresno State24–44 · Fresno State
  • 1999Fresno State at Oregon State23–46 · Oregon State

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.