Week 9 · 2026

UConn at Air Force

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

UConn

Window: 2026-10-23 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Kalieb Osborne QB 3 games	47.3% 44 / 93 plays	56.0% 14 / 25 plays
Cyncir Bowers RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	44.9% 22 / 49 plays
Trey Cornist RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.9% 7 / 18 plays
Kenji Christian RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.2% 6 / 13 plays
Tucker McDonald QB 1 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	— 0 / 0 plays
Jaden Hart RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex Godavitarne · TE

CFBD athlete 5221596

receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 67
receiving · YPR: 16.8

Anas Luqman · DL

CFBD athlete 5084343

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 17
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 24

Andrew Laurich · DL

CFBD athlete 4924147

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Avery Dunn · DL

CFBD athlete 4604319

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Braedyn Moore · DB

CFBD athlete 4921112

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 37
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24

Cam Abshire · WR

CFBD athlete 5278798

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 78
receiving · YPR: 19.5

Chamberlain Campbell · DE

CFBD athlete 5125554

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Cyncir Bowers · RB

CFBD athlete 5296247

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 15.5
kickReturns · LONG: 20
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 31
receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 59
receiving · YPR: 8.4
rushing · CAR: 80
rushing · LONG: 71
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 564
rushing · YPC: 7.1

Desmond Aladuge · DT

CFBD athlete 5077896

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Drew Kron · WR

CFBD athlete 5293820

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Esean Carter · DT

CFBD athlete 4587719

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Ethan Hogg · LB

CFBD athlete 5193053

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Hayden Pegg · LB

CFBD athlete 5150459

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 47

Jack O'Connor · PK

CFBD athlete 5447159

kicking · FGA: 7
kicking · FGM: 4
kicking · LONG: 46
kicking · PCT: 0.571
kicking · PTS: 45
kicking · XPA: 34
kicking · XPM: 33

Jaden Hart · RB

CFBD athlete 5084906

receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Jalen Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5447153

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jalil Martin · DB

CFBD athlete 4900905

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 21

Javon Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5193720

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 202
receiving · YPR: 14.4

Jayden Davis · DB

CFBD athlete 5082306

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Jayden Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 5211892

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jayden Price · DB

CFBD athlete 5222645

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 28
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jediyah Willoughby · WR

CFBD athlete 5125750

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 260
receiving · YPR: 18.6

John Lista · LB

CFBD athlete 5084414

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 43

Joshua Mickens · DE

CFBD athlete 4870938

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Julian Allen · WR

CFBD athlete 5151689

kickReturns · AVG: 24.3
kickReturns · LONG: 48
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 73
puntReturns · AVG: 12.5
puntReturns · LONG: 49
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 75
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 6.0

K'Von Sherman · LB

CFBD athlete 5220131

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 46
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Kalieb Osborne · QB

CFBD athlete 5079619

fumbles · FUM: 6
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 182
passing · COMPLETIONS: 112
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.615
passing · TD: 12
passing · YDS: 1594
passing · YPA: 8.8
rushing · CAR: 81
rushing · LONG: 38
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 336
rushing · YPC: 4.1

Kamren Flowers · WR

CFBD athlete 5141448

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 30.0

Kenji Christian · RB

CFBD athlete 4689529

kickReturns · AVG: 23.5
kickReturns · LONG: 32
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 94
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 116
receiving · YPR: 10.5
rushing · CAR: 50
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 238
rushing · YPC: 4.8

Ky Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 5300740

kickReturns · AVG: 27.0
kickReturns · LONG: 27
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 27
receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 87
receiving · YPR: 12.4

Kylish Hicks · LB

CFBD athlete 4912043

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Logan Barnes · WR

CFBD athlete 5302867

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Luke Murphy · LB

CFBD athlete 4592781

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14

Martece Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5278568

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Mateo Kipke · DL

CFBD athlete 5302872

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Matt Hoffman · DL

CFBD athlete 5086043

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Matt Ragan · TE

CFBD athlete 4698471

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 71
receiving · YPR: 11.8

Melvin Hills · DL

CFBD athlete 5130411

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Moussa Kane · DB

CFBD athlete 4870832

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Odera Orizu · DE

CFBD athlete 5151804

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Raymond Liggins III · WR

CFBD athlete 5363611

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -1.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -2
receiving · LONG: 60
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 82
receiving · YPR: 11.7

Renick Dorilas · DB

CFBD athlete 5166798

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Rickey Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5147933

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 19

Rodarion Tellez · DL

CFBD athlete 5203845

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Ryder Treadway · WR

CFBD athlete 5228882

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 219
receiving · YPR: 14.6

Saxton Suchanic · DB

CFBD athlete 5215700

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Shamar Porter · WR

CFBD athlete 4870959

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 24.0
puntReturns · LONG: 24
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 24
receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 265
receiving · YPR: 18.9

Shamar Riser-Pressley · DL

CFBD athlete 5146913

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8

Shawn Simeon · RB

CFBD athlete 5203601

kickReturns · AVG: 25.5
kickReturns · LONG: 35
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 51
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 5.6

Soren Rief · RB

CFBD athlete 5296866

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Steve Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 5214510

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Tahjae Mullix · DL

CFBD athlete 5089304

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Tommy Warner · P

CFBD athlete 5382615

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 56
punting · NO: 27
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1115
punting · YPP: 41.3

Tracy Revels · DB

CFBD athlete 4950397

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Trey Cornist · RB

CFBD athlete 5075952

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 40
rushing · LONG: 55
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 247
rushing · YPC: 6.2

Tucker McDonald · QB

CFBD athlete 5077806

passing · ATT: 11
passing · COMPLETIONS: 9
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.818
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 118
passing · YPA: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Tyler McKinstry · DB

CFBD athlete 5146976

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Tyrique Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 5290983

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Xavier Watson · TE

CFBD athlete 5222571

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 114
receiving · YPR: 14.3

Zakaih Saez · DL

CFBD athlete 5157300

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16

Zion Paret · DB

CFBD athlete 5215278

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Zy'marion Lang · WR

CFBD athlete 5079486

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 17
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 17

Air Force

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Evan Medders QB 3 games	37.5% 3 / 8 plays	67.3% 35 / 52 plays
Owen Allen RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	54.5% 24 / 44 plays
Gage LaDue FB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	53.8% 14 / 26 plays
Rocco Conti RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 11 / 22 plays
Howard Fisher IV QB 2 games	22.2% 2 / 9 plays	75.0% 6 / 8 plays
Kemper Hodges QB 2 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	46.2% 6 / 13 plays
Matt Long WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 8 / 8 plays
Josh Johnson QB 1 games	25.0% 1 / 4 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 57 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Adam Hrynciw · WR

CFBD athlete 5223149

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 89
receiving · YPR: 17.8

Alexander Perez · DB

CFBD athlete 5309671

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 22
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Andrew Tillett · DL

CFBD athlete 5223158

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Antonio Menard · DE

CFBD athlete 5295021

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Bennett Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5295036

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Blake Fletcher · LB

CFBD athlete 5223130

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 35
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 73
interceptions · AVG: 45.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 90

Brody Bujnoch · LB

CFBD athlete 5223128

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Brody Whitson · LB

CFBD athlete 5232669

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Cade Paterson · DB

CFBD athlete 5209189

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Carter Cremascoli · PK

CFBD athlete 5309674

kicking · FGA: 10
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.900
kicking · PTS: 47
kicking · XPA: 21
kicking · XPM: 20

Chaz Barnett · DL

CFBD athlete 5295027

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 3

Connor Vasek · DL

CFBD athlete 5388392

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Dallas Daley · LB

CFBD athlete 5223127

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 44

Ehimen Oyamendan · DB

CFBD athlete 5307878

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Evan Medders · QB

CFBD athlete 5306440

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 14
passing · COMPLETIONS: 8
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.571
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 92
passing · YPA: 6.6
rushing · CAR: 73
rushing · LONG: 41
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 490
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Gage LaDue · FB

CFBD athlete 5295010

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 21.0
rushing · CAR: 42
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 227
rushing · YPC: 5.4

Grady Forsythe · DE

CFBD athlete 5295023

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Grant Wayne · WR

CFBD athlete 5223116

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 7.0

Harris Vinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5388362

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Howard Fisher IV · QB

CFBD athlete 5449066

passing · ATT: 7
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.429
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 36
passing · YPA: 5.1
rushing · CAR: 12
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Isaac Hubert · LB

CFBD athlete 5223124

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Jake Kepler · LB

CFBD athlete 5295020

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jalen Rashad Turner · RB

CFBD athlete 5223123

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Jaxon Paulsrud · DB

CFBD athlete 5454594

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jayden Oquendo · DL

CFBD athlete 5223139

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Jaylin Reese · LB

CFBD athlete 5238872

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 23

Jonah Bowman · LB

CFBD athlete 5240138

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jonah Dawson · WR

CFBD athlete 5238876

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 13.0

Jordan Elie-Stuart · DB

CFBD athlete 5306442

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Josh Johnson · QB

CFBD athlete 5223108

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 4
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 20
passing · YPA: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -1.5

Keegan Sack · WR

CFBD athlete 5388359

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Kemper Hodges · QB

CFBD athlete 5223112

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 201
rushing · YPC: 5.6

Korey Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5232660

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 26
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Liam Szarka · QB

CFBD athlete 5238868

passing · ATT: 38
passing · COMPLETIONS: 19
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 296
passing · YPA: 7.8
rushing · CAR: 92
rushing · LONG: 32
rushing · TD: 7
rushing · YDS: 391
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Luke Fisher · LB

CFBD athlete 5223132

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Luke Rauh · FB

CFBD athlete 5295015

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 19
rushing · YPC: 9.5

Mason Hayes · WR

CFBD athlete 5295013

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 29
passing · YPA: 29.0
receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 28
rushing · YPC: 9.3

Mason Lowe · WR

CFBD athlete 5295012

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Matt Long · WR

CFBD athlete 5238869

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 21.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 21
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 110
receiving · YPR: 15.7
rushing · CAR: 16
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 134
rushing · YPC: 8.4

Max Mustell · DB

CFBD athlete 5222795

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 26.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 26

Mikey Inweh · DB

CFBD athlete 5449000

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Mikhail Seiken · DB

CFBD athlete 5295003

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Muhammad Alcine · DL

CFBD athlete 5388391

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Nick Beckwith · DB

CFBD athlete 5237178

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Noah Daniels · DL

CFBD athlete 5388394

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Omari Elias · FB

CFBD athlete 5295019

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 2.8

Oswaldo Morales · RB

CFBD athlete 5388370

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Owen Allen · RB

CFBD athlete 5223119

rushing · CAR: 88
rushing · LONG: 33
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 376
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Owen Chambers · WR

CFBD athlete 5223117

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Price Davis · FB

CFBD athlete 5388364

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Rocco Conti · RB

CFBD athlete 5223131

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 7.7
rushing · CAR: 58
rushing · LONG: 50
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 366
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Roger Jones Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5295004

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22

Simon Kibbee · TE

CFBD athlete 5223147

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 135
receiving · YPR: 16.9

Sylas Maiava-Alaimalo · WR

CFBD athlete 5309672

receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 17.0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Thomas Young · DB

CFBD athlete 5448999

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Vinnie Canosa · LB

CFBD athlete 5250954

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Will Duncan · P

CFBD athlete 5238879

punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 67
punting · NO: 15
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 692
punting · YPP: 46.1

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Air Force -1.25

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median

DraftKings snapshot: Air Force -1.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Air Force by 5.91

4.66 points toward Air Force versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Air Force.

Fitted offset: +5.87
Net EPA rating difference: +1.97
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 5.91 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs d3b0871f2644fb5fc31fff1954c48196fc4786406ccc6c09d70485442565b02e · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 802261691011efc1163df98cf2badee47151fc62df91110da0741281ebc3222e · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Air Force · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-1.25	-1.25
Model spread	-5.91	-5.91
Model gap	+4.66	+4.66

Negative spreads favor Air Force; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: d3b0871f2644fb5fc31fff1954c48196fc4786406ccc6c09d70485442565b02e. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Air Force -1.25

Model gap +4.7 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Air Force.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Air Force win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 53%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Air Force -1
Stacked ensemble: 63%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Air Force.

home adjusted success: +12.02 (path difference 0.35)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +6.12 (path difference 2.43)
home adjusted rushing epa: +5.60 (path difference 0.99)
away elo: +5.17 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -4.26 (path difference 0.25)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.18 (path difference 0.47)
home adjusted passing epa: -3.88 (path difference 0.43)
away adjusted success allowed: +3.73 (path difference 2.78)
away adjusted rushing epa: +3.73 (path difference 1.40)
home elo: -3.62 (path difference 1.09)
home adjusted line yards: +3.34 (path difference 0.33)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.66 (path difference 1.46)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.66 (path difference 3.99)
away adjusted success: -2.56 (path difference 0.04)
home talent: -2.44 (path difference 0.49)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +2.00 (path difference 0.81)
home adjusted second level yards: +1.98 (path difference 1.29)
home adjusted explosiveness: -1.94 (path difference 0.72)
away adjusted passing down success: -1.92 (path difference 2.76)
away talent: -1.92 (path difference 0.64)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -1.76 (path difference 1.78)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.66 (path difference 1.99)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.64 (path difference 0.24)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.61 (path difference 2.49)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.56 (path difference 1.42)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.55 (path difference 1.07)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -1.40 (path difference 2.94)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.36 (path difference 0.54)
away adjusted line yards: -1.18 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted standard down success: +1.18 (path difference 1.46)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.02 (path difference 1.12)
away conference: -0.93 (path difference 0.40)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.92 (path difference 0.04)
home conference: -0.91 (path difference 0.44)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.87 (path difference 0.17)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.75 (path difference 0.55)
home adjusted epa allowed: -0.67 (path difference 1.56)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.63 (path difference 0.22)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.54 (path difference 0.41)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.49 (path difference 0.42)
away adjusted epa allowed: -0.43 (path difference 0.88)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.42 (path difference 0.36)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.41 (path difference 1.40)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.38 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.35 (path difference 0.27)
home adjusted success allowed: -0.31 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.26 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.25 (path difference 0.41)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.21 (path difference 0.36)
week: -0.16 (path difference 1.25)
home adjusted epa: +0.11 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.09 (path difference 0.28)
away adjusted epa: -0.09 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.08 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.02 (path difference 0.40)

Reconciles to 62.63 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 8c036ea2c6b79d82bd51cb52c133e8fecf4e807f6f9a194300853d68a910f581 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast c30f854a2c2b17f210b24a4acfe14edfbfb0a2cc95c27742e9f7d946d4e8b77e · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

UConn

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 116 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Cyncir Bowers CFBD athlete 5296247 Week 5 vs Syracuse: 16 attempts · 10.2 YPC · 56.3% success · 0.742 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Temple: 18 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.081 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 15 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.429 raw PPA.	49	7.7	0	42.2%	80 / 7.0
Kalieb Osborne CFBD athlete 5079619 Week 5 vs Syracuse: 7 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.607 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Temple: 13 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.027 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 15 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.714 raw PPA.	35	3.5	10	30.2%	78 / 4.5
Trey Cornist CFBD athlete 5075952 Week 5 vs Syracuse: 8 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.184 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Temple: 7 attempts · 16.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 1.069 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 3 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.081 raw PPA.	18	7.8	0	15.5%	40 / 6.2
Kenji Christian CFBD athlete 4689529 Week 6 vs Temple: 1 attempts · 39.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 3.653 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 12 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.138 raw PPA.	13	6.5	0	11.2%	45 / 4.9
Jaden Hart CFBD athlete 5084906 Week 8 vs Massachusetts: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.207 raw PPA.	1	3.0	0	0.9%	5 / 3.2

Air Force

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 184 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Evan Medders CFBD athlete 5306440 Week 6 vs Northern Illinois: 16 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.872 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UNLV: 17 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 52.9% success · 0.657 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Wyoming: 21 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.370 raw PPA.	54	6.6	1	29.3%	71 / 6.5
Owen Allen CFBD athlete 5223119 Week 6 vs Northern Illinois: 13 attempts · 7.7 YPC · 69.2% success · 0.502 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UNLV: 18 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.345 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Wyoming: 13 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.142 raw PPA.	44	5.3	0	23.9%	88 / 4.3
Gage LaDue CFBD athlete 5295010 Week 6 vs Northern Illinois: 8 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.324 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UNLV: 8 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.397 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Wyoming: 10 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.042 raw PPA.	26	5.4	0	14.1%	41 / 5.4
Rocco Conti CFBD athlete 5223131 Week 6 vs Northern Illinois: 4 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.587 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UNLV: 12 attempts · 8.6 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.583 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Wyoming: 6 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 16.7% success · 0.588 raw PPA.	22	7.9	0	12.0%	54 / 6.1
Kemper Hodges CFBD athlete 5223112 Week 6 vs Northern Illinois: 11 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.106 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UNLV: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.372 raw PPA.	13	4.2	0	7.1%	35 / 5.6

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Air ForceOffense	UConnDefense	UConnOffense	Air ForceDefense
PPA/play	+0.22 77th	+0.06 57th	+0.23 80th	+0.06 54th
Success rate	49.4% 91st	40.6% 51st	44.5% 59th	38.7% 66th
Explosiveness	1.04 0th	1.20 61st	1.39 97th	1.27 31st
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.23 90th	+0.02 54th	+0.20 86th	+0.02 55th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.18 33rd	+0.14 64th	+0.29 63rd	+0.16 55th
Havoc allowed / created	6.9% 100th	16.1% 53rd	13.5% 71st	13.9% 23rd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:02 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:02 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Carter Cremascoli · Air Force · PAAR 4.70 · 10 attempts
Jack O'Connor · UConn · PAAR -3.53 · 7 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Air Force spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -3 · Snapshot spread: -1.5

First locally observed: -3 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence