Week 9 · 2026
Tulane at Charlotte
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Tulane
Window: 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-16 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-30T23:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Trace Johnson QB 2 games | 38.2% 26 / 68 plays | 25.0% 2 / 8 plays |
| Kadin Semonza QB 1 games | 37.0% 10 / 27 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| Johnnie Daniels RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 22.7% 5 / 22 plays |
| Jamauri McClure RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 6.7% 1 / 15 plays |
| Maurice Turner RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.4% 4 / 11 plays |
| Jaylin Lucas RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 12.5% 1 / 8 plays |
| DJ Dugar Jr. RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays |
| Dagan Bruno QB 1 games | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
Traditional season production · 59 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Anthony Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 4870635
- receiving · LONG
- 47
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 228
- receiving · YPR
- 12.7
Anthony Rogers · DB
CFBD athlete 5226524
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 31
- interceptions · AVG
- 14.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 28
Armani Cargo · CB
CFBD athlete 5079365
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Armondous Cooley · DL
CFBD athlete 4429446
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Bredell Richardson · WR
CFBD athlete 5079686
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 145
- receiving · YPR
- 11.2
Cameron Roberts · TE
CFBD athlete 5203726
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 40
- receiving · YPR
- 13.3
Cash Semonza · WR
CFBD athlete 5294301
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 56
- receiving · YPR
- 18.7
Cayden Dees · DE
CFBD athlete 5278403
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Chase Green · S
CFBD athlete 5147226
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Chris Rodgers · LB
CFBD athlete 5075531
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Cooper Helmke · PK
CFBD athlete 5257395
- kicking · FGA
- 10
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 58
- kicking · PCT
- 0.900
- kicking · PTS
- 35
- kicking · XPA
- 8
- kicking · XPM
- 8
DJ Cicero · TE
CFBD athlete 5219723
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 0
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 0
DJ Dugar Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5141431
- rushing · CAR
- 9
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 32
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Dagan Bruno · QB
CFBD athlete 5219709
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 10
- passing · YPA
- 10.0
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 23
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Dalton Hughes · LB
CFBD athlete 4710019
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Dawson Johnson · TE
CFBD athlete 5222239
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 68
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
Derrick Shepard · DL
CFBD athlete 4698572
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Destyn Hill · WR
CFBD athlete 5150834
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 61
- receiving · REC
- 26
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 339
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
Dickson Agu · LB
CFBD athlete 5091817
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 64
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Dorian Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 5125849
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
E'zaiah Shine · CB
CFBD athlete 5147197
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- kickReturns · AVG
- 5.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 5
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 5
Ed Smith IV · DL
CFBD athlete 4710027
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Garrett Mmahat · WR
CFBD athlete 5091744
- receiving · LONG
- 56
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 126
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
Geordan Guidry · DL
CFBD athlete 5147842
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Gerrod Henderson · DE
CFBD athlete 5093012
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jack Tchienchou · S
CFBD athlete 4920129
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 39
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jackson Courville · PK
CFBD athlete 5162686
- kicking · FGA
- 3
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 37
- kicking · PCT
- 0.333
- kicking · PTS
- 9
- kicking · XPA
- 6
- kicking · XPM
- 6
Jahrie Garner · DE
CFBD athlete 5080925
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Jamauri McClure · RB
CFBD athlete 5148838
- rushing · CAR
- 15
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 45
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Jaylin Lucas · RB
CFBD athlete 4871148
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 12.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 13
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 25
- puntReturns · AVG
- 3.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 25
- puntReturns · NO
- 10
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 39
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 89
- receiving · YPR
- 9.9
- rushing · CAR
- 35
- rushing · LONG
- 80
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 263
- rushing · YPC
- 7.5
Jean Claude Joseph · LB
CFBD athlete 4918433
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Johnnie Daniels · RB
CFBD athlete 5218820
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 1
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 1
- receiving · YPR
- 1.0
- rushing · CAR
- 66
- rushing · LONG
- 81
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 394
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Jordyn Crites · DL
CFBD athlete 5279206
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Josh Lewis · DL
CFBD athlete 5294295
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Joshua Moore · DB
CFBD athlete 5077965
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Joshua Sims · DB
CFBD athlete 5210048
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Justin Agu · CB
CFBD athlete 4875464
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kadin Semonza · QB
CFBD athlete 5091890
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 119
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 64
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.538
- passing · TD
- 4
- passing · YDS
- 804
- passing · YPA
- 6.8
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- -57
- rushing · YPC
- -1.8
Kajuan Banks · DB
CFBD athlete 4808758
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Kameron Hamilton · DL
CFBD athlete 4912184
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Kevin Adams · S
CFBD athlete 5121987
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 45
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 62
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 7.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 14
LJ Green · CB
CFBD athlete 5085391
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Macho Stevenson · CB
CFBD athlete 5078109
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Makai Williams · LB
CFBD athlete 5085879
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 40
Maurice Turner · RB
CFBD athlete 4837391
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 44
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 81
- receiving · YPR
- 20.3
- rushing · CAR
- 37
- rushing · LONG
- 74
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 315
- rushing · YPC
- 8.5
Nik Alston · DL
CFBD athlete 5222148
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Oliver Mitchell Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5215501
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 95
- receiving · YPR
- 15.8
PaLanding Drammeh · DL
CFBD athlete 5209746
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Reshad Sterling · DL
CFBD athlete 5209529
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Seth Gale · WR
CFBD athlete 5219711
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
Shaun Nicholas · CB
CFBD athlete 5193661
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tavare Smith · DB
CFBD athlete 5294303
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- interceptions · AVG
- 76.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 76
- kickReturns · AVG
- 24.9
- kickReturns · LONG
- 58
- kickReturns · NO
- 7
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 174
Trace Johnson · QB
CFBD athlete 5291713
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 70
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 37
- passing · INT
- 3
- passing · PCT
- 0.529
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 465
- passing · YPA
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -22
- rushing · YPC
- -1.7
Ty Thompson · TE
CFBD athlete 4432774
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Vance Bolyard · TE
CFBD athlete 4920188
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 10
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
Warren Roberts Jr. · DE
CFBD athlete 5294299
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
William Hudlow · P
CFBD athlete 5160460
- punting · In 20
- 10
- punting · LONG
- 72
- punting · NO
- 35
- punting · TB
- 5
- punting · YDS
- 1627
- punting · YPP
- 46.5
Zeon Chriss · QB
CFBD athlete 4870518
- passing · ATT
- 9
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 6
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.667
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 64
- passing · YPA
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 15
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5079501
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 14.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -11
- rushing · YPC
- -11.0
Charlotte
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-30T23:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Harrell QB 2 games | 46.4% 26 / 56 plays | 37.5% 3 / 8 plays |
| Henry Rutledge RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.1% 16 / 34 plays |
| Khamani Alexander RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 35.3% 6 / 17 plays |
| Cole Gonzales QB 1 games | 20.0% 3 / 15 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
| D'Mariun Perteet RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 21.4% 3 / 14 plays |
| Jaylen White QB 3 games | 0.0% 0 / 6 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| Jariel Cobb RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Derrick Eley WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 62 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aiden Bui · PK
CFBD athlete 5293889
- kicking · FGA
- 2
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 47
- kicking · PCT
- 0.500
- kicking · PTS
- 8
- kicking · XPA
- 5
- kicking · XPM
- 5
Austin Herndon · DL
CFBD athlete 5446649
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ayobami Tifase · DL
CFBD athlete 5081077
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Brady Rhoads · TE
CFBD athlete 5228653
- kickReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 10
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 10
Brody Dawyot · TE
CFBD athlete 5302734
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 93
- receiving · YPR
- 11.6
Bronson Long · P
CFBD athlete 5151047
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 53
- punting · NO
- 7
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 292
- punting · YPP
- 41.7
CJ Clinkscales · DB
CFBD athlete 4784594
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Caleb Irving · DL
CFBD athlete 5219099
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Caleb Tucker · WR
CFBD athlete 5302733
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Calif Spencer · DL
CFBD athlete 5382263
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Cam Pedro · WR
CFBD athlete 4880358
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 2.3
Chance Williams · RB
CFBD athlete 5089860
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 33
- receiving · YPR
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 20
- rushing · LONG
- 43
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 116
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Chase Usher · DB
CFBD athlete 5289618
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Cole Gonzales · QB
CFBD athlete 5089540
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 127
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 79
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.622
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 802
- passing · YPA
- 6.3
- rushing · CAR
- 19
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 28
- rushing · YPC
- 1.5
Collin Gill · DB
CFBD athlete 4921434
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 32
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 43
- interceptions · AVG
- 36.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 36
Conner Harrell · QB
CFBD athlete 4801306
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 72
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 51
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.708
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 592
- passing · YPA
- 8.2
- rushing · CAR
- 14
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 12
- rushing · YPC
- 0.9
Cornell Allen · DB
CFBD athlete 5148820
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Curtis Simpson · DL
CFBD athlete 5147196
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
D'Mariun Perteet · RB
CFBD athlete 5295750
- rushing · CAR
- 21
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 74
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
D'Nas White · DL
CFBD athlete 5127000
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
D.J. Burgess · DL
CFBD athlete 4869241
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Darius Wallace · DL
CFBD athlete 5228660
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
DeQuinder Williams · DB
CFBD athlete 5196845
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Derrick Eley · WR
CFBD athlete 5228760
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.9
- kickReturns · LONG
- 24
- kickReturns · NO
- 11
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 197
- receiving · LONG
- 75
- receiving · REC
- 20
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 364
- receiving · YPR
- 18.2
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 9
- rushing · YPC
- 9.0
Devin Ancrum · DL
CFBD athlete 5210130
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Devon St. Clair · DB
CFBD athlete 5222352
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Dy'Lon Womack · DB
CFBD athlete 5293899
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 34
Ehigie Aliu-Otokiti · DL
CFBD athlete 5382280
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Gavin Willis · LB
CFBD athlete 5152266
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 28
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.0
- defensive · TOT
- 53
Gus McGee · TE
CFBD athlete 4708099
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Henry Rutledge · RB
CFBD athlete 4879655
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 25.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 27
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 101
- puntReturns · AVG
- 2.5
- puntReturns · LONG
- 6
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 10
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 2.8
- rushing · CAR
- 52
- rushing · LONG
- 75
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 331
- rushing · YPC
- 6.4
Henry Searcy · LS
CFBD athlete 5296238
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Ian Kelly · P
CFBD athlete 5293895
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kicking · FGA
- 5
- kicking · FGM
- 4
- kicking · LONG
- 46
- kicking · PCT
- 0.800
- kicking · PTS
- 20
- kicking · XPA
- 8
- kicking · XPM
- 8
- punting · In 20
- 10
- punting · LONG
- 61
- punting · NO
- 26
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1169
- punting · YPP
- 45.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -8
- rushing · YPC
- -8.0
Jaden Barnes · WR
CFBD athlete 5153730
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 1.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 1
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 41
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 409
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -6
- rushing · YPC
- -6.0
Jamarrion Solomon · DL
CFBD athlete 4917092
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jameel Croft · DB
CFBD athlete 4920194
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 28
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 34
Jamil Davis · DL
CFBD athlete 5382267
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jariel Cobb · RB
CFBD athlete 5212700
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 19
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Jason Jeffares · TE
CFBD athlete 5151037
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 44
- receiving · YPR
- 7.3
Jaylen Doss · DL
CFBD athlete 5265477
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaylen Hampton · WR
CFBD athlete 5156879
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 22
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 268
- receiving · YPR
- 12.2
Jaylen White · QB
CFBD athlete 5272738
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 5
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.400
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 5
- passing · YPA
- 1.0
- rushing · CAR
- 8
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -1
- rushing · YPC
- -0.1
Jaylon Johnson · DL
CFBD athlete 5293894
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jerry Wall III · LB
CFBD athlete 5382264
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Jonathan Patterson · DB
CFBD athlete 5446651
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Kaden Catoe · DB
CFBD athlete 5327476
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kadin Schmitz · LB
CFBD athlete 5156065
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 47
Kaiden Bower · DL
CFBD athlete 5382273
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kevin Beckham · DB
CFBD athlete 5194803
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Khamani Alexander · RB
CFBD athlete 5148741
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 47
- receiving · YPR
- 6.7
- rushing · CAR
- 55
- rushing · LONG
- 66
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 236
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Logan Mauldin · TE
CFBD athlete 4606685
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 46
- receiving · YPR
- 7.7
Nireek Sharpe · DB
CFBD athlete 5154412
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Parker Startz · LB
CFBD athlete 5149156
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Reginhard Pierre-Nau · OL
CFBD athlete 5169205
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Seth Franklin · WR
CFBD athlete 5219479
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Shaku Sangarie · DL
CFBD athlete 5152391
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Shamar McIntosh · DB
CFBD athlete 5178078
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Stellan Bowman · LB
CFBD athlete 5193091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Takeo Massey · DL
CFBD athlete 5306139
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tank Boston · WR
CFBD athlete 5220007
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 9.7
Tradarius Smith · DB
CFBD athlete 5382262
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Zyheem Collick · WR
CFBD athlete 5226267
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
Tulane -8.5
DraftKings snapshot: Charlotte +8.5
Tulane by 5.61
2.89 points toward Charlotte versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Charlotte.
- Net EPA rating difference: -9.54
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to -5.61 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 04a95196d4f280e72d9df4357f8fa21ea60bca5f5c2b96eb0605471b54be3244 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 2129e98577334f27f65de3678d8e01b591910d67817f50c985ac99760823ed4e · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -1.0 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | +9.5 | +8.5 | -1.0 |
| Model spread | +5.61 | +5.61 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +3.89 | +2.89 | -1.0 |
Negative spreads favor Charlotte; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 04a95196d4f280e72d9df4357f8fa21ea60bca5f5c2b96eb0605471b54be3244. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.9 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
Charlotte win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 29%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Charlotte +8
- Stacked ensemble
- 36%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Charlotte.
- home elo: -22.41 (path difference 2.81)
- away adjusted success: +13.83 (path difference 1.00)
- home adjusted epa: +13.34 (path difference 5.86)
- home adjusted success: -7.78 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted line yards: -6.48 (path difference 1.46)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -6.46 (path difference 3.19)
- home adjusted success allowed: -5.76 (path difference 0.10)
- away adjusted epa: +5.26 (path difference 2.21)
- away adjusted passing down success: -4.84 (path difference 1.65)
- away elo: +4.69 (path difference 1.58)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +4.69 (path difference 0.79)
- home adjusted second level yards: +4.62 (path difference 0.48)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.75 (path difference 0.58)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.62 (path difference 4.23)
- home adjusted passing epa: -3.53 (path difference 0.70)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -2.95 (path difference 0.47)
- away adjusted second level yards: +2.72 (path difference 3.05)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +2.58 (path difference 0.69)
- away talent: -2.29 (path difference 3.21)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.06 (path difference 0.59)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.59 (path difference 0.52)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.53 (path difference 0.21)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: -1.26 (path difference 0.91)
- away adjusted standard down success: -1.26 (path difference 0.90)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.23 (path difference 1.74)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -1.19 (path difference 0.88)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.01 (path difference 0.12)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.94 (path difference 1.86)
- home adjusted standard down success: -0.87 (path difference 1.86)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.82 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.80 (path difference 0.59)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.79 (path difference 2.36)
- home talent: +0.77 (path difference 0.46)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.74 (path difference 0.06)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.62 (path difference 1.06)
- week: -0.58 (path difference 2.10)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.52 (path difference 2.40)
- away adjusted success allowed: +0.52 (path difference 0.21)
- away adjusted line yards: +0.49 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.43 (path difference 0.93)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.32 (path difference 0.56)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.32 (path difference 0.53)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.29 (path difference 0.92)
- home conference: -0.28 (path difference 0.11)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.26 (path difference 2.54)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.21 (path difference 0.81)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.19 (path difference 0.08)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.29)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.04)
- away conference: -0.12 (path difference 0.39)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +0.01 (path difference 0.37)
Reconciles to 36.36 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 7bf2df16b5e330b6f22302044b9d2c3f43e21bcbe4af867c08d7bb6b026f433c · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 8d1ec8881ec10093852c8926337bf8bff60b20dc63631cbd910a0f3bc1dea97c · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Tulane
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 84 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johnnie DanielsCFBD athlete 5218820 Week 6 vs Army: 8 attempts · 8.4 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.362 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Memphis: 7 attempts · 7.9 YPC · 14.3% success · 0.304 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 8 attempts · 13.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.809 raw PPA. | 23 | 9.8 | 0 | 27.4% | 65 / 6.0 |
Jamauri McClureCFBD athlete 5148838 Week 6 vs Army: 5 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.288 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.299 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 4 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.838 raw PPA. | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | 17.9% | 15 / 3.0 |
Trace JohnsonCFBD athlete 5291713 Week 7 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.298 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 7 attempts · -5.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.432 raw PPA. | 13 | -1.7 | 4 | 15.5% | 13 / -1.7 |
Maurice TurnerCFBD athlete 4837391 Week 7 vs Memphis: 11 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.095 raw PPA. | 11 | 3.5 | 0 | 13.1% | 36 / 8.6 |
Jaylin LucasCFBD athlete 4871148 Week 6 vs Army: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.268 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Memphis: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.263 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.314 raw PPA. | 8 | 3.1 | 0 | 9.5% | 33 / 7.9 |
Charlotte
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 89 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henry RutledgeCFBD athlete 4879655 Week 5 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 18.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.155 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Texas: 12 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.045 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 16 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.327 raw PPA. | 34 | 8.0 | 0 | 38.2% | 51 / 6.5 |
Khamani AlexanderCFBD athlete 5148741 Week 5 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.098 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Texas: 2 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.078 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 9 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.438 raw PPA. | 17 | 3.5 | 0 | 19.1% | 55 / 4.3 |
D'Mariun PerteetCFBD athlete 5295750 Week 5 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.062 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Texas: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.258 raw PPA. | 14 | 3.1 | 0 | 15.7% | 21 / 3.5 |
Conner HarrellCFBD athlete 4801306 Week 6 vs North Texas: 5 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.365 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 6 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.426 raw PPA. | 11 | 1.5 | 3 | 12.4% | 13 / 0.8 |
Jaylen WhiteCFBD athlete 5272738 Week 5 vs Memphis: 1 attempts · -3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.189 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Texas: 4 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.366 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 2 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.253 raw PPA. | 7 | -1.3 | 3 | 7.9% | 8 / -0.1 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | CharlotteOffense | TulaneDefense | TulaneOffense | CharlotteDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | -0.05 5th | +0.10 39th | +0.06 26th | +0.24 9th |
| Success rate | 36.2% 5th | 42.6% 32nd | 32.4% 1st | 48.7% 4th |
| Explosiveness | 1.20 34th | 1.19 65th | 1.58 100th | 1.25 39th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | -0.05 12th | +0.03 53rd | +0.03 31st | +0.17 10th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | -0.05 3rd | +0.24 34th | +0.11 23rd | +0.43 5th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 17.5% 14th | 14.1% 27th | 20.1% 1st | 11.4% 4th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:36 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:36 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Jackson Courville · Tulane · PAAR -3.12 · 3 attempts
- Cooper Helmke · Tulane · PAAR 7.10 · 10 attempts
- Aiden Bui · Charlotte · PAAR -0.56 · 2 attempts
- Ian Kelly · Charlotte · PAAR 0.34 · 5 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Charlotte spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: +13.5 · Snapshot spread: +8.5
First locally observed: +13.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 45.5 · Snapshot total: 47.5
Total · First locally observed: 45.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Home moneyline · Snapshot: +275 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: +400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Away moneyline · Snapshot: -345 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: -535 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: a8c42f976191b616f9a7a2f6dec7255a67c83761cfa6f554b313d2e394aa9c88
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: +10 · Snapshot spread: +8.5
First locally observed: +10 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 46 · Snapshot total: 47
Total · First locally observed: 46.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: +300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: +315 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: -420 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: -420 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Charlotte
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 7 rated weeks · American Athletic
Tulane
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Travel
Tulane travels 659 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 625 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Tulane leads 2–0 in 2 meetings since 2024.
- 2025Charlotte at Tulane0–27 · Tulane
- 2024Tulane at Charlotte34–3 · Tulane
CFBD matchup data Last 2 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.