Week 9 · 2026
Temple at East Carolina
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Temple
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Ajani Sheppard QB 3 games | 41.2% 28 / 68 plays | 64.0% 16 / 25 plays |
| Keveun Mason RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 38.2% 13 / 34 plays |
| Hunter Smith RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 36.4% 8 / 22 plays |
| Jaxon Smolik QB 1 games | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays | 40.0% 2 / 5 plays |
| Colin Chase WR 2 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Jovanni Bermudez WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| De'Carlos Young RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Ash Roberts WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 56 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adrian Laing · CB
CFBD athlete 5135216
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Ajani Sheppard · QB
CFBD athlete 5078166
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 3
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 120
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 74
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.617
- passing · TD
- 8
- passing · YDS
- 1127
- passing · YPA
- 9.4
- rushing · CAR
- 66
- rushing · LONG
- 44
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 331
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Asa Locks · CB
CFBD athlete 5225338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Ash Roberts · WR
CFBD athlete 5159173
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 6
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Avery Powell · S
CFBD athlete 5164597
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 29
Brian Adderley · LB
CFBD athlete 5296368
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Bryson Goodwin · CB
CFBD athlete 5147225
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Cameron Jones · DL
CFBD athlete 5194317
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Carl Hardin · PK
CFBD athlete 5151240
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 48
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 46
- kicking · XPA
- 19
- kicking · XPM
- 19
Coen Logan · WR
CFBD athlete 5291772
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 7.0
Colin Chase · WR
CFBD athlete 5089003
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 29
- passing · YPA
- 29.0
- receiving · LONG
- 69
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 308
- receiving · YPR
- 17.1
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 71
- rushing · YPC
- 11.8
Curly Ordonez · LB
CFBD athlete 5296366
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 39
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 61
Dante Atton · P
CFBD athlete 5121768
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 55
- punting · NO
- 23
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 978
- punting · YPP
- 42.5
Daron Harris · S
CFBD athlete 5290795
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Davier Bishop · DL
CFBD athlete 5388305
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 6
De'Carlos Young · RB
CFBD athlete 5296362
- rushing · CAR
- 12
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 42
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
Demonte Greene · WR
CFBD athlete 5388300
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.8
- kickReturns · LONG
- 27
- kickReturns · NO
- 12
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 237
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
Denzel Chavis · CB
CFBD athlete 5147680
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Earl Kulp · CB
CFBD athlete 5079545
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Eric Stuart · LB
CFBD athlete 5219862
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Hunter Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 4258419
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 18
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 34
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 119
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
JaMair Diaz · LB
CFBD athlete 5296819
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jaeden Gould · S
CFBD athlete 4685353
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Jamarcus Pierre · S
CFBD athlete 5203589
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
- interceptions · AVG
- 35.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 35
Jaxon Smolik · QB
CFBD athlete 5077787
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 27
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 16
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.593
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 129
- passing · YPA
- 4.8
- rushing · CAR
- 18
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 81
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
Jayce Freeman · WR
CFBD athlete 5087747
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 238
- receiving · YPR
- 15.9
Jaylon Joseph · LB
CFBD athlete 5152685
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Jayvant Brown · LB
CFBD athlete 4870647
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Joey Schlaffer · TE
CFBD athlete 4898892
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
Jordan Montgomery · LB
CFBD athlete 5121722
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Joseph Auzenne · DL
CFBD athlete 5092790
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Josh Nengite · LB
CFBD athlete 5291774
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Josiah Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 4976722
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jovanni Bermudez · WR
CFBD athlete 4726152
- puntReturns · AVG
- 12.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 47
- puntReturns · NO
- 8
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 98
- receiving · LONG
- 79
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 195
- receiving · YPR
- 13.9
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 50
- rushing · YPC
- 10.0
Kaleb Artis · DL
CFBD athlete 4870278
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Keveun Mason · RB
CFBD athlete 5296364
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 68
- receiving · YPR
- 6.8
- rushing · CAR
- 94
- rushing · LONG
- 38
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 513
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Kevin Hornbeak Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5388304
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Kolin Dinkins · S
CFBD athlete 5097480
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Lamar Fairfax Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 5215499
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Nakeel Lawrence · CB
CFBD athlete 5388301
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Orel Gray · S
CFBD athlete 5154382
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Peter Clarke · TE
CFBD athlete 5080547
- receiving · LONG
- 46
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 269
- receiving · YPR
- 15.8
R.J. Blount · RB
CFBD athlete 5290496
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Reggie Jones · LB
CFBD athlete 5151239
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Reis Stocksdale · WR
CFBD athlete 4875583
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- -4.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -4
Russell Sykes · DL
CFBD athlete 5196486
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Ryder Kusch · TE
CFBD athlete 5222551
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 64
- receiving · YPR
- 10.7
Saboor Karriem · S
CFBD athlete 4924137
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 34
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 44
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Samuel Brown V · RB
CFBD athlete 4685695
- receiving · LONG
- 78
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 105
- receiving · YPR
- 26.3
- rushing · CAR
- 25
- rushing · LONG
- 50
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 205
- rushing · YPC
- 8.2
Troy Cunningham · DL
CFBD athlete 5265254
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Tyree Alualu · LB
CFBD athlete 5195282
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 63.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 63
Wesley Brown · LB
CFBD athlete 5172091
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Willy Love · LB
CFBD athlete 5226674
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zach Aamland · OL
CFBD athlete 4921396
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zander Baptiste · WR
CFBD athlete 5296367
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Zyil Powell · S
CFBD athlete 4950403
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
East Carolina
Window: 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Emory Williams QB 3 games | 30.7% 23 / 75 plays | 47.1% 8 / 17 plays |
| TJ Engleman RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 41.4% 24 / 58 plays |
| Mitch Griffis QB 3 games | 36.7% 11 / 30 plays | 33.3% 2 / 6 plays |
| Ashton Gray RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 26.1% 6 / 23 plays |
| Michael Allen RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 9.1% 1 / 11 plays |
| Michael Beatty RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Nathaniel Joseph WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| DeJuan Lacy RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 64 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adam Cole · DB
CFBD athlete 5160076
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Alex Moye · DB
CFBD athlete 5226091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Amare Mack · DB
CFBD athlete 5291779
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Angelo Ross · DB
CFBD athlete 5213304
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 13
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Ashton Gray · RB
CFBD athlete 5194306
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 52
- receiving · YPR
- 7.4
- rushing · CAR
- 55
- rushing · LONG
- 45
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 221
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Ashton Levells-Mitchell · DB
CFBD athlete 4891875
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Ayden Duncanson · DB
CFBD athlete 4870687
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 2
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
- interceptions · AVG
- 43.5
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 2
- interceptions · YDS
- 87
Blake Shirley · LS
CFBD athlete 5084535
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Cade Law · LB
CFBD athlete 5161633
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Christian Peterson · DB
CFBD athlete 5079623
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Crews Law · LB
CFBD athlete 5132627
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 44
DJ Johnson Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5160078
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 51
David Coleman Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5291691
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Dawson Quarterman · WR
CFBD athlete 5159027
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 6.3
DeJuan Lacy · RB
CFBD athlete 5293902
- receiving · LONG
- 0
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- -6
- receiving · YPR
- -3.0
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 3.3
DeMarius Hines · DB
CFBD athlete 5148791
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Dillon Lorick · WR
CFBD athlete 5148837
- receiving · LONG
- 52
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 87
- receiving · YPR
- 29.0
Dominick Moody · DL
CFBD athlete 5215550
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Durante Speer · DB
CFBD athlete 5215177
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Elliot Huether · P
CFBD athlete 5155298
- punting · In 20
- 3
- punting · LONG
- 64
- punting · NO
- 10
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 482
- punting · YPP
- 48.2
Emory Williams · QB
CFBD athlete 5075800
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 117
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 73
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.624
- passing · TD
- 7
- passing · YDS
- 716
- passing · YPA
- 6.1
- rushing · CAR
- 32
- rushing · LONG
- 25
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 73
- rushing · YPC
- 2.3
Ethan Wilson · DL
CFBD athlete 5327621
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Evan Powell · DL
CFBD athlete 5293907
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Everett Scott · PK
CFBD athlete 5226093
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ismael Smith Flores · TE
CFBD athlete 5125012
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 86
- receiving · YPR
- 7.2
- rushing · CAR
- 0
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 0
J.D. Lampley · DL
CFBD athlete 4869657
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Ja'Keith Hamilton · WR
CFBD athlete 5153369
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 56
- receiving · YPR
- 11.2
Jackson Barker · LB
CFBD athlete 5095851
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Jacob Holland · TE
CFBD athlete 5382341
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jasiyah Robinson · DL
CFBD athlete 4611524
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Jason Dickerson · WR
CFBD athlete 5226083
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 25
- passing · YPA
- 25.0
- receiving · LONG
- 61
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 149
- receiving · YPR
- 13.5
Javon Williams · DL
CFBD athlete 5148773
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaylen Bowden · DB
CFBD athlete 5159190
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jeremiah Melvin · WR
CFBD athlete 5145453
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 188
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Jonathan Akins · DB
CFBD athlete 5077368
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jordan Miles · LB
CFBD athlete 5293904
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Josh Benton · DB
CFBD athlete 5095852
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Julien Davis · LB
CFBD athlete 5078009
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 28
- interceptions · AVG
- 5.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 5
Kamaurri McKinley · DB
CFBD athlete 5119661
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 32
Kanen Hamlett · TE
CFBD athlete 4911906
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Kelton Smith · DL
CFBD athlete 5290949
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kendrick DuJour · DL
CFBD athlete 5095838
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Kevon Merrell · DB
CFBD athlete 5149451
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 40
Kieran Davis · DL
CFBD athlete 5078217
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 8.0
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Kyler Pearson · WR
CFBD athlete 4430798
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 3.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 3
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 3
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- -2
- passing · YPA
- -2.0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 2.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 9
- puntReturns · NO
- 16
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 36
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
LJ Porter · LB
CFBD athlete 5296201
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Landon Sides · WR
CFBD athlete 5122006
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 174
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
Michael Allen · RB
CFBD athlete 4685237
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.7
- kickReturns · LONG
- 26
- kickReturns · NO
- 3
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 65
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 28
- receiving · YPR
- 3.5
- rushing · CAR
- 34
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 109
- rushing · YPC
- 3.2
Michael Beatty · RB
CFBD athlete 5261753
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 11
- rushing · YPC
- 5.5
Miles Parker · DL
CFBD athlete 5226092
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Mitch Griffis · QB
CFBD athlete 4433829
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 96
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 52
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.542
- passing · TD
- 4
- passing · YDS
- 623
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 15
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 88
- rushing · YPC
- 2.8
Myles Pollard · DB
CFBD athlete 4701937
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Nathaniel Joseph · WR
CFBD athlete 4870770
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 285
- receiving · YPR
- 9.2
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 26
- rushing · YPC
- 8.7
Noah Perez · PK
CFBD athlete 5089443
- kicking · FGA
- 11
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 49
- kicking · PCT
- 0.818
- kicking · PTS
- 47
- kicking · XPA
- 20
- kicking · XPM
- 20
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 33
- punting · NO
- 1
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 33
- punting · YPP
- 33.0
Preston Carr · DL
CFBD athlete 5095853
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Raemon Mosby · DB
CFBD athlete 5109795
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Rion Roseborough · DL
CFBD athlete 5155819
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Stephen Collier · TE
CFBD athlete 5196644
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
TJ Engleman · RB
CFBD athlete 5079419
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 63
- receiving · YPR
- 7.9
- rushing · CAR
- 89
- rushing · LONG
- 88
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 582
- rushing · YPC
- 6.5
Tomas O'Halloran · P
CFBD athlete 5226085
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 60
- punting · NO
- 29
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 1359
- punting · YPP
- 46.9
Torin Brazell · DL
CFBD athlete 5196371
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Tyler Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 4869324
- receiving · LONG
- 68
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 127
- receiving · YPR
- 21.2
Zyeir Gamble · DB
CFBD athlete 5078101
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 21
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 32
Zyon Ratchford · DL
CFBD athlete 5278573
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
East Carolina -4.5
DraftKings snapshot: East Carolina -4.5
East Carolina by 3.09
1.41 points toward Temple versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward East Carolina.
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
- Net EPA rating difference: -0.85
Reconciles to 3.09 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 42599e976fbb2fdcd8ea4668e0614b854954327c30def09fd23d543fd9faab78 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast af66b0f2a2976e1a08f4221040a0f33afe7e988aa39b64bbb8c16621ae82e1ea · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +1.5 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -6.0 | -4.5 | +1.5 |
| Model spread | -3.09 | -3.09 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | -2.91 | -1.41 | +1.5 |
Negative spreads favor East Carolina; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 42599e976fbb2fdcd8ea4668e0614b854954327c30def09fd23d543fd9faab78. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -1.4 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
East Carolina win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 62%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: East Carolina -4.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 67%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward East Carolina.
- away elo: +13.81 (path difference 9.72)
- home adjusted epa: +9.13 (path difference 4.20)
- home adjusted success: -7.36 (path difference 1.55)
- home adjusted passing epa: -7.17 (path difference 2.35)
- home adjusted success allowed: +6.18 (path difference 3.48)
- away adjusted success allowed: +5.95 (path difference 1.53)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +5.28 (path difference 1.78)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +5.20 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.03 (path difference 2.23)
- home elo: -4.68 (path difference 0.12)
- home adjusted second level yards: +4.13 (path difference 1.06)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -4.06 (path difference 0.68)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.91 (path difference 2.37)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +3.83 (path difference 2.25)
- away adjusted epa: -3.67 (path difference 0.92)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -3.47 (path difference 1.90)
- away adjusted success: -3.41 (path difference 1.96)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.13 (path difference 1.53)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +2.63 (path difference 1.02)
- away adjusted line yards: -2.53 (path difference 2.12)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.48 (path difference 1.78)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.38 (path difference 1.01)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -2.32 (path difference 0.10)
- away adjusted passing down success: -2.23 (path difference 0.14)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +2.04 (path difference 1.10)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.96 (path difference 0.43)
- away adjusted second level yards: -1.93 (path difference 0.39)
- home adjusted standard down success: -1.82 (path difference 1.11)
- home talent: +1.57 (path difference 2.01)
- home adjusted open field yards: -1.36 (path difference 0.82)
- away talent: -1.24 (path difference 0.06)
- away adjusted standard down success: +0.97 (path difference 2.51)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.94 (path difference 0.99)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.91 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.83 (path difference 0.54)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.82 (path difference 3.35)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.75 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted passing down success: -0.70 (path difference 0.78)
- home adjusted line yards: -0.69 (path difference 0.88)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.64 (path difference 0.83)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.61 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.56 (path difference 0.77)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.49 (path difference 0.46)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.45 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.38 (path difference 0.35)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.35 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.34 (path difference 0.22)
- home conference: -0.30 (path difference 0.07)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.29 (path difference 0.22)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.26 (path difference 0.83)
- week: +0.18 (path difference 0.58)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.16 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.11 (path difference 0.18)
- away conference: -0.10 (path difference 0.35)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.05 (path difference 0.02)
Reconciles to 66.59 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs c94848bd9f6138354ca73a2a04cf9f86e3f002bcc8a2af9ff063c03cb04dc716 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 0b79dd8f234289eb3ca7909302c4f9871f572b7c7c5114fd3252bfd4ba4a004a · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Temple
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 102 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keveun MasonCFBD athlete 5296364 Week 5 vs South Florida: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.444 raw PPA. Week 6 vs UConn: 13 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 61.5% success · -0.083 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 13 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.202 raw PPA. | 34 | 5.1 | 0 | 33.3% | 93 / 5.5 |
Ajani SheppardCFBD athlete 5078166 Week 5 vs South Florida: 14 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.314 raw PPA. Week 6 vs UConn: 10 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.199 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 7 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.091 raw PPA. | 31 | 5.8 | 6 | 30.4% | 64 / 5.1 |
Hunter SmithCFBD athlete 4258419 Week 5 vs South Florida: 11 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.108 raw PPA. Week 6 vs UConn: 8 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.046 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 3 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.157 raw PPA. | 22 | 4.8 | 0 | 21.6% | 31 / 3.8 |
Jaxon SmolikCFBD athlete 5077787 Week 7 vs Charlotte: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.119 raw PPA. | 6 | 2.0 | 1 | 5.9% | 18 / 4.5 |
Colin ChaseCFBD athlete 5089003 Week 6 vs UConn: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.202 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Charlotte: 3 attempts · 13.7 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.115 raw PPA. | 4 | 12.0 | 0 | 3.9% | 6 / 11.8 |
East Carolina
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 125 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TJ EnglemanCFBD athlete 5079419 Week 6 vs Rice: 14 attempts · 9.7 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.480 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UAB: 26 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 42.3% success · 0.144 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Memphis: 18 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 38.9% success · 0.175 raw PPA. | 58 | 5.7 | 0 | 46.4% | 89 / 6.5 |
Ashton GrayCFBD athlete 5194306 Week 6 vs Rice: 5 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.157 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UAB: 9 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 11.1% success · -0.365 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Memphis: 9 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.013 raw PPA. | 23 | 3.0 | 0 | 18.4% | 54 / 4.1 |
Emory WilliamsCFBD athlete 5075800 Week 6 vs Rice: 6 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 75.0% success · 1.577 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UAB: 11 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.420 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Memphis: 4 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.434 raw PPA. | 21 | 4.0 | 4 | 16.8% | 31 / 2.4 |
Michael AllenCFBD athlete 4685237 Week 6 vs Rice: 10 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 10.0% success · -0.698 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UAB: 1 attempts · 13.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -2.825 raw PPA. | 11 | 4.4 | 0 | 8.8% | 35 / 3.3 |
Mitch GriffisCFBD athlete 4433829 Week 6 vs Rice: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.221 raw PPA. Week 7 vs UAB: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.530 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Memphis: 5 attempts · 0.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.069 raw PPA. | 8 | 1.9 | 2 | 6.4% | 29 / 2.6 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | East CarolinaOffense | TempleDefense | TempleOffense | East CarolinaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.02 15th | +0.20 13th | +0.21 73rd | +0.01 75th |
| Success rate | 37.2% 7th | 46.2% 11th | 43.1% 50th | 36.3% 81st |
| Explosiveness | 1.24 52nd | 1.21 54th | 1.27 66th | 1.26 34th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.04 33rd | +0.09 28th | +0.14 67th | -0.11 88th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | -0.02 5th | +0.45 2nd | +0.36 75th | +0.20 43rd |
| Havoc allowed / created | 19.5% 3rd | 9.8% 1st | 11.9% 87th | 19.6% 91st |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:04 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:04 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Noah Perez · East Carolina · PAAR 1.23 · 11 attempts
- Carl Hardin · Temple · PAAR 0.25 · 12 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
East Carolina spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -4.5 · Snapshot spread: -4.5
First locally observed: -5.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 49.5 · Snapshot total: 49.5
Total · First locally observed: 49.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -205 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -230 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +170 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +190 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -6 · Snapshot spread: -4.5
First locally observed: -6 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 50 · Snapshot total: 50
Total · First locally observed: 50 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -230 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -230 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +190 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +190 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
East Carolina
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Temple
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 7 rated weeks · American Athletic
Travel
Temple travels 321 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
East Carolina leads 12–10 in 22 meetings since 1982.
- 2025East Carolina at Temple45–14 · East Carolina
- 2024Temple at East Carolina34–56 · East Carolina
- 2022East Carolina at Temple49–46 · East Carolina
- 2021Temple at East Carolina3–45 · East Carolina
- 2020East Carolina at Temple28–3 · East Carolina
- 2019Temple at East Carolina27–17 · Temple
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.