Week 9 · 2026
UAB at South Florida
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
UAB
Window: 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Ryder Burton QB 3 games | 31.7% 26 / 82 plays | 58.8% 10 / 17 plays |
| Roderick Robinson II RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.5% 19 / 40 plays |
| Braylon McReynolds RB 3 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | 35.7% 10 / 28 plays |
| Ja'Vin Simpkins RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 55.6% 10 / 18 plays |
| Nate Rogers QB 3 games | 33.3% 1 / 3 plays | 20.0% 1 / 5 plays |
| Jayson Moll RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| EJ Reid WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays |
| KJ Daniels WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 2 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 50 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
AJ Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 5095096
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 24
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Anta'Veon McKenzie · DB
CFBD athlete 5152798
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 31
Antonio Ferguson · TE
CFBD athlete 5078812
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 0
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 11.0
Badger Hargett · P
CFBD athlete 5092221
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 52
- punting · NO
- 3
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 146
- punting · YPP
- 48.7
Blanche Gold · LB
CFBD athlete 5098783
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Braden Sullivan · LB
CFBD athlete 5224205
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Braylon McReynolds · RB
CFBD athlete 4897730
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 18.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 18
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 18
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 50
- receiving · YPR
- 8.3
- rushing · CAR
- 72
- rushing · LONG
- 48
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 335
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
C.J. Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 4711421
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 54
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 350
- receiving · YPR
- 18.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 22.0
Cameron Cunningham · DL
CFBD athlete 5300742
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Chris Burge · DE
CFBD athlete 5194316
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Christopher Spencer · DL
CFBD athlete 4912355
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Darrell Sweeting · DB
CFBD athlete 5078469
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Delvon Gulley · CB
CFBD athlete 5227913
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 40.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 80
Diezel Wilkinson · DB
CFBD athlete 5223954
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Draden Fullbright · DB
CFBD athlete 5148648
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
EJ Reid · WR
CFBD athlete 5219011
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 15
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 15
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 164
- receiving · YPR
- 8.6
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 36
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 45
- rushing · YPC
- 15.0
Eli Hall · DL
CFBD athlete 4703027
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Elijah Pratt · DB
CFBD athlete 5167188
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Gabriel Cline · TE
CFBD athlete 5203714
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Guylijah Theodule · DB
CFBD athlete 5147199
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Hudson Higgins · RB
CFBD athlete 5278427
- kickReturns · AVG
- 13.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 13
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 13
Ike Esonwune · LB
CFBD athlete 5086373
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 28
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 47
- interceptions · AVG
- 4.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 8
J'Quan Mason · DE
CFBD athlete 5193338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
JR Mosley · RB
CFBD athlete 5393808
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 1.3
Ja'Vin Simpkins · RB
CFBD athlete 5157261
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 17
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 17
- puntReturns · AVG
- -7.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -7
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 36
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 159
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Jayson Moll · RB
CFBD athlete 5393807
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Jeremiah Jordan · DB
CFBD athlete 5192677
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 39
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jo Pierce · DB
CFBD athlete 5195616
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 42
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 58
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 10
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 20
Jonah Delange · PK
CFBD athlete 5151663
- kicking · FGA
- 19
- kicking · FGM
- 17
- kicking · LONG
- 57
- kicking · PCT
- 0.895
- kicking · PTS
- 65
- kicking · XPA
- 14
- kicking · XPM
- 14
KJ Daniels · WR
CFBD athlete 5122390
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 23
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 39
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 35
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 74
- rushing · YPC
- 24.7
Kaleb Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 4685283
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 52
- receiving · YPR
- 17.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 24
- rushing · YPC
- 24.0
Kris Wokomah · DB
CFBD athlete 5110457
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Lamar White · WR
CFBD athlete 5219703
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Mantrez Walker · LB
CFBD athlete 5141683
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Marlin Dean · LB
CFBD athlete 5220652
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 6.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 9.0
- defensive · TOT
- 31
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Muaaz Byard · LB
CFBD athlete 5092287
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 48
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 71
Mykale Hrabowski · DB
CFBD athlete 5327489
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Nate Rogers · QB
CFBD athlete 5197123
- passing · ATT
- 4
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.250
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 13
- passing · YPA
- 3.3
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 14
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 52
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Noah Nelson · DL
CFBD athlete 5232192
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Oliver Straw · P
CFBD athlete 4898589
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 59
- punting · NO
- 21
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 953
- punting · YPP
- 45.4
Que Billingsley · DB
CFBD athlete 5154217
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Raymond Macias · DL
CFBD athlete 5157112
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Rhett Cofer · LB
CFBD athlete 5393810
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Roderick Robinson II · RB
CFBD athlete 4918110
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 61
- receiving · YPR
- 10.2
- rushing · CAR
- 101
- rushing · LONG
- 28
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 436
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Ryder Burton · QB
CFBD athlete 5057381
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 167
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 91
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.545
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1184
- passing · YPA
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 60
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 27
- rushing · YPC
- 0.5
Scott Isacks III · TE
CFBD athlete 5081640
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 46
- receiving · YPR
- 9.2
Sean Persson · TE
CFBD athlete 5295450
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 21
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
Sterling Sanders · DL
CFBD athlete 5212634
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Tiaquelin Mims · WR
CFBD athlete 5092470
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 12.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 42
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 90
- receiving · LONG
- 56
- receiving · REC
- 20
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 349
- receiving · YPR
- 17.5
Tylin Jackson · DL
CFBD athlete 5152135
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
South Florida
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| D.J. Crowther RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 44.2% 23 / 52 plays |
| Jason Collins Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 7 / 14 plays |
| Luke Kromenhoek QB 2 games | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
| Michael Van Buren Jr. QB 1 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
Traditional season production · 59 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Alvon Isaac · RB
CFBD athlete 5193089
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 19
- rushing · YPC
- 6.3
Amarion Fortenberry · CB
CFBD athlete 5148634
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Arhmad Branch · WR
CFBD athlete 5125521
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 108
- receiving · YPR
- 9.8
Asani Redwood · DT
CFBD athlete 4911975
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Ashton Mosley · LB
CFBD athlete 5147731
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Ayden Jackson · DB
CFBD athlete 5121711
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 38
Bryson Rodgers · WR
CFBD athlete 4870927
- receiving · LONG
- 42
- receiving · REC
- 30
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 334
- receiving · YPR
- 11.1
C.J. Hicks · DE
CFBD athlete 4685372
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Cameron Seldon · WR
CFBD athlete 4870941
- kickReturns · AVG
- 24.2
- kickReturns · LONG
- 33
- kickReturns · NO
- 6
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 145
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 176
- receiving · YPR
- 14.7
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Cedrick Hawkins Jr. · S
CFBD athlete 4870732
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Chase Garnett · RB
CFBD athlete 5218443
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 45
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 45
- rushing · YPC
- 45.0
Christian Smith · LB
CFBD athlete 5212666
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
D.J. Crowther · RB
CFBD athlete 5085507
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 81
- receiving · YPR
- 10.1
- rushing · CAR
- 105
- rushing · LONG
- 39
- rushing · TD
- 7
- rushing · YDS
- 518
- rushing · YPC
- 4.9
Deangelo Bowden · LB
CFBD athlete 5216548
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Derrick Nichols III · S
CFBD athlete 5277123
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Deylen Platt · CB
CFBD athlete 5147189
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Easton Bonnett · LS
CFBD athlete 5228113
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Evan Dangler · TE
CFBD athlete 5117848
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 54
- receiving · YPR
- 10.8
Gavin Leach · LB
CFBD athlete 5210230
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Grayson Howard · LB
CFBD athlete 4870828
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Greg Otten · LB
CFBD athlete 5160141
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Herlin Perry Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5257592
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Israel Boyce · S
CFBD athlete 5219636
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Ja'Kyri Watson · CB
CFBD athlete 5291179
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jabari Smith · DB
CFBD athlete 5179812
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Jahari Grant · DL
CFBD athlete 5146385
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jair Murphy · CB
CFBD athlete 5151629
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Jason Collins Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5154559
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 32
- receiving · YPR
- 5.3
- rushing · CAR
- 47
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 229
- rushing · YPC
- 4.9
Jeyquan Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 4950550
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Joshua Porter · WR
CFBD athlete 5146576
- puntReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 27
- puntReturns · NO
- 5
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 40
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 23
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 274
- receiving · YPR
- 11.9
Kade Caton · TE
CFBD athlete 5156110
- kickReturns · AVG
- 1.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 1
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 20.0
Kenny Odom · WR
CFBD athlete 5083068
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Levi Smiley · DE
CFBD athlete 5191042
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Luke Clyburn · TE
CFBD athlete 5300511
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 8.0
Luke Goater · P
CFBD athlete 5257210
- punting · In 20
- 12
- punting · LONG
- 59
- punting · NO
- 24
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1092
- punting · YPP
- 45.5
Luke Kromenhoek · QB
CFBD athlete 5079542
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 4
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.500
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 21
- passing · YPA
- 5.3
- rushing · CAR
- 12
- rushing · LONG
- 10
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 30
- rushing · YPC
- 2.5
Major Dillard · DT
CFBD athlete 5301389
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Malcolm Ziglar · S
CFBD athlete 5219163
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Marcus Williams · DT
CFBD athlete 5257036
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Marshon Oxley · LB
CFBD athlete 4878111
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Michael Harris · LB
CFBD athlete 4870724
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Michael Van Buren Jr. · QB
CFBD athlete 5079620
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 179
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 115
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.642
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1266
- passing · YPA
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 49
- rushing · LONG
- 30
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 87
- rushing · YPC
- 1.8
Michael Williams II · DE
CFBD athlete 5091781
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Mudia Reuben · WR
CFBD athlete 4826505
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 121
- receiving · YPR
- 13.4
Nico Gramatica · PK
CFBD athlete 5149075
- kicking · FGA
- 13
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 53
- kicking · PCT
- 0.769
- kicking · PTS
- 52
- kicking · XPA
- 22
- kicking · XPM
- 22
Richard Scott III · DT
CFBD athlete 5296028
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Rodney Hill · LB
CFBD athlete 5079509
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Ryan Jenkins · DT
CFBD athlete 5146883
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Sam Robinson · LB
CFBD athlete 5125467
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 30
Shamar Meikle · LB
CFBD athlete 5146905
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Tavin Ward · S
CFBD athlete 4899343
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 34
- interceptions · AVG
- 20.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 20
Tayvion Beasley · DB
CFBD athlete 4685258
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- interceptions · AVG
- 5.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 5
Teddy Foster · CB
CFBD athlete 5147170
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Terrell Jones · DE
CFBD athlete 4901423
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Terry Simmons · DL
CFBD athlete 4918440
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Thomas Shrader · OL
CFBD athlete 4430711
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tray Kinkle · RB
CFBD athlete 5296023
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 35
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 67
- rushing · YPC
- 13.4
Wyatt Sullivan · TE
CFBD athlete 4869390
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 9.3
Zavier Hamilton · LB
CFBD athlete 5079491
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 18
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 35
- kickReturns · AVG
- 1.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 1
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 1
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
South Florida -7.75
Bovada snapshot: South Florida -8
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
South Florida by 8.02
0.27 points toward South Florida versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward South Florida.
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Net EPA rating difference: +4.09
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 8.02 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 29575919f0ebb8b2d424f968ee96283c1af73300ffab0ff0c0550717d2cc65fd · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 8612bba1f83f3b7c5517e9cba722f04ee11cbfe49b3c627eb6b6ea2982f9bc5d · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -7.75 | -7.75 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -8.02 | -8.02 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +0.27 | +0.27 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor South Florida; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 29575919f0ebb8b2d424f968ee96283c1af73300ffab0ff0c0550717d2cc65fd. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +0.3 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
South Florida win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 71%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: South Florida -8
- Stacked ensemble
- 73%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward South Florida.
- home adjusted epa: +9.60 (path difference 3.93)
- away elo: +9.24 (path difference 7.90)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +8.91 (path difference 2.83)
- away adjusted epa: +8.03 (path difference 3.57)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -6.99 (path difference 1.42)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.14 (path difference 2.40)
- home elo: +6.06 (path difference 5.81)
- home adjusted passing epa: -4.85 (path difference 0.36)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.84 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted success allowed: +4.58 (path difference 2.48)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -4.48 (path difference 0.54)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -4.18 (path difference 1.20)
- home adjusted line yards: -3.81 (path difference 0.45)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -3.74 (path difference 1.32)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.36 (path difference 3.33)
- home adjusted second level yards: +3.35 (path difference 0.42)
- home talent: +2.52 (path difference 0.25)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.19 (path difference 1.50)
- home adjusted explosiveness: -2.18 (path difference 2.29)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.04 (path difference 0.11)
- home adjusted standard down success: +1.91 (path difference 1.48)
- home adjusted open field yards: -1.85 (path difference 2.09)
- away adjusted success: -1.75 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.46 (path difference 0.83)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.44 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted passing down success: -1.13 (path difference 3.28)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.01 (path difference 0.56)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.99 (path difference 1.34)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.92 (path difference 0.49)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.90 (path difference 0.26)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.81 (path difference 1.48)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.79 (path difference 2.39)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.75 (path difference 0.28)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.75 (path difference 0.30)
- away adjusted passing down success: -0.75 (path difference 0.67)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.71 (path difference 0.59)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.69 (path difference 0.93)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.69 (path difference 0.39)
- home conference: -0.62 (path difference 0.56)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.55 (path difference 0.17)
- away talent: -0.51 (path difference 0.05)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -0.50 (path difference 0.16)
- home adjusted success allowed: +0.46 (path difference 0.06)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.43 (path difference 1.94)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +0.42 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.35 (path difference 2.24)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.32 (path difference 0.41)
- week: -0.32 (path difference 1.58)
- home adjusted success: +0.23 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.17 (path difference 0.77)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.16 (path difference 0.62)
- away adjusted standard down success: -0.08 (path difference 0.02)
- away conference: -0.06 (path difference 0.28)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 73.05 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 97ab5443e1694f2a88b537460847c52711f3a6207a3e0a2db03da75bfc98dd6e · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 07b70b8f16d1bf94bc1e53cee4fa79ae36fc23b3862e5a2b3d0c44b9e55c8b6c · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
UAB
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 128 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roderick Robinson IICFBD athlete 4918110 Week 5 vs Samford: 14 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.177 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Memphis: 19 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 36.8% success · -0.363 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 8 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.006 raw PPA. | 41 | 4.2 | 0 | 32.0% | 101 / 4.3 |
Braylon McReynoldsCFBD athlete 4897730 Week 5 vs Samford: 10 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 30.0% success · 0.087 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Memphis: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.022 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 9 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.304 raw PPA. | 28 | 4.3 | 0 | 21.9% | 70 / 4.8 |
Ryder BurtonCFBD athlete 5057381 Week 5 vs Samford: 9 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 85.7% success · 1.235 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Memphis: 9 attempts · -0.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.757 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 7 attempts · -2.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.243 raw PPA. | 25 | 0.4 | 8 | 19.5% | 58 / 0.7 |
Ja'Vin SimpkinsCFBD athlete 5157261 Week 5 vs Samford: 10 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.049 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Memphis: 5 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.097 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 4 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.406 raw PPA. | 19 | 4.6 | 0 | 14.8% | 36 / 4.4 |
Nate RogersCFBD athlete 5197123 Week 5 vs Samford: 2 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.005 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Memphis: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.387 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.112 raw PPA. | 5 | 4.4 | 0 | 3.9% | 10 / 5.2 |
South Florida
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 70 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D.J. CrowtherCFBD athlete 5085507 Week 5 vs Temple: 23 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 39.1% success · 0.007 raw PPA. Week 6 vs UTSA: 20 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 45.0% success · 0.065 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kent State: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 55.6% success · -0.655 raw PPA. | 52 | 3.6 | 0 | 74.3% | 103 / 5.0 |
Jason Collins Jr.CFBD athlete 5154559 Week 5 vs Temple: 4 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.534 raw PPA. Week 6 vs UTSA: 4 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.093 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kent State: 6 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.444 raw PPA. | 14 | 6.2 | 0 | 20.0% | 47 / 4.9 |
Luke KromenhoekCFBD athlete 5079542 Week 6 vs UTSA: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.956 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kent State: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.300 raw PPA. | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 5.7% | 10 / 2.1 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | South FloridaOffense | UABDefense | UABOffense | South FloridaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.14 54th | +0.02 72nd | +0.03 17th | +0.01 77th |
| Success rate | 47.3% 79th | 43.1% 26th | 41.6% 39th | 41.4% 43rd |
| Explosiveness | 1.10 5th | 1.04 99th | 1.17 23rd | 0.99 99th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.09 48th | +0.06 36th | -0.07 9th | -0.00 63rd |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.26 55th | -0.10 96th | +0.24 50th | +0.03 87th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 12.6% 80th | 15.5% 47th | 16.8% 24th | 15.6% 49th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:53 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:53 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Nico Gramatica · South Florida · PAAR 1.82 · 13 attempts
- Jonah Delange · UAB · PAAR 11.87 · 19 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
South Florida spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -7.5 · Snapshot spread: -8
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 41.5 · Snapshot total: 42
Total · First locally observed: 42.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -300 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -300 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +250 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -7.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 46.5 · Snapshot total: 42.5
Total · First locally observed: 42.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -305 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -305 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +245 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +245 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
South Florida
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
UAB
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Travel
UAB travels 460 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025).
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
South Florida leads 3–2 in 5 meetings since 2003.
- 2025South Florida at UAB48–18 · South Florida
- 2024UAB at South Florida25–35 · South Florida
- 2023South Florida at UAB35–56 · UAB
- 2004South Florida at UAB45–20 · South Florida
- 2003UAB at South Florida22–19 · UAB
CFBD matchup data Last 5 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.