Week 10 · 2026
Charlotte at UAB
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Charlotte
Window: 2026-10-30 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Harrell QB 3 games | 44.1% 41 / 93 plays | 35.3% 6 / 17 plays |
| Henry Rutledge RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 48.0% 24 / 50 plays |
| Khamani Alexander RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 23.5% 4 / 17 plays |
| D'Mariun Perteet RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 25.0% 2 / 8 plays |
| Jaylen White QB 2 games | 0.0% 0 / 4 plays | 33.3% 1 / 3 plays |
| Derrick Eley WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 2 / 2 plays |
| Jaden Barnes WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| Jariel Cobb RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 62 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aiden Bui · PK
CFBD athlete 5293889
- kicking · FGA
- 4
- kicking · FGM
- 2
- kicking · LONG
- 48
- kicking · PCT
- 0.500
- kicking · PTS
- 15
- kicking · XPA
- 9
- kicking · XPM
- 9
Austin Herndon · DL
CFBD athlete 5446649
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Ayobami Tifase · DL
CFBD athlete 5081077
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Brady Rhoads · TE
CFBD athlete 5228653
- kickReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 10
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 10
Brody Dawyot · TE
CFBD athlete 5302734
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 108
- receiving · YPR
- 10.8
Bronson Long · P
CFBD athlete 5151047
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 53
- punting · NO
- 7
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 292
- punting · YPP
- 41.7
CJ Clinkscales · DB
CFBD athlete 4784594
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Caleb Irving · DL
CFBD athlete 5219099
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Caleb Tucker · WR
CFBD athlete 5302733
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Calif Spencer · DL
CFBD athlete 5382263
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Cam Pedro · WR
CFBD athlete 4880358
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 2.3
Chance Williams · RB
CFBD athlete 5089860
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 33
- receiving · YPR
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 20
- rushing · LONG
- 43
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 116
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Chase Usher · DB
CFBD athlete 5289618
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Cole Gonzales · QB
CFBD athlete 5089540
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 127
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 79
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.622
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 802
- passing · YPA
- 6.3
- rushing · CAR
- 19
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 28
- rushing · YPC
- 1.5
Collin Gill · DB
CFBD athlete 4921434
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 35
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 48
- interceptions · AVG
- 36.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 36
Conner Harrell · QB
CFBD athlete 4801306
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 108
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 74
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.685
- passing · TD
- 5
- passing · YDS
- 831
- passing · YPA
- 7.7
- rushing · CAR
- 26
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 46
- rushing · YPC
- 1.8
Cornell Allen · DB
CFBD athlete 5148820
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Curtis Simpson · DL
CFBD athlete 5147196
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
D'Mariun Perteet · RB
CFBD athlete 5295750
- rushing · CAR
- 21
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 74
- rushing · YPC
- 3.5
D'Nas White · DL
CFBD athlete 5127000
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
D.J. Burgess · DL
CFBD athlete 4869241
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Darius Wallace · DL
CFBD athlete 5228660
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
DeQuinder Williams · DB
CFBD athlete 5196845
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Derrick Eley · WR
CFBD athlete 5228760
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.9
- kickReturns · LONG
- 24
- kickReturns · NO
- 11
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 197
- receiving · LONG
- 75
- receiving · REC
- 23
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 409
- receiving · YPR
- 17.8
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Devin Ancrum · DL
CFBD athlete 5210130
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 27
Devon St. Clair · DB
CFBD athlete 5222352
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Dy'Lon Womack · DB
CFBD athlete 5293899
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 39
Ehigie Aliu-Otokiti · DL
CFBD athlete 5382280
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Gavin Willis · LB
CFBD athlete 5152266
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 35
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.0
- defensive · TOT
- 65
Gus McGee · TE
CFBD athlete 4708099
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Henry Rutledge · RB
CFBD athlete 4879655
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 31.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 54
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 155
- puntReturns · AVG
- 2.5
- puntReturns · LONG
- 6
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 10
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 93
- receiving · YPR
- 10.3
- rushing · CAR
- 74
- rushing · LONG
- 75
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 452
- rushing · YPC
- 6.1
Henry Searcy · LS
CFBD athlete 5296238
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Ian Kelly · P
CFBD athlete 5293895
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kicking · FGA
- 5
- kicking · FGM
- 4
- kicking · LONG
- 46
- kicking · PCT
- 0.800
- kicking · PTS
- 20
- kicking · XPA
- 8
- kicking · XPM
- 8
- punting · In 20
- 11
- punting · LONG
- 61
- punting · NO
- 29
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1294
- punting · YPP
- 44.6
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -8
- rushing · YPC
- -8.0
Jaden Barnes · WR
CFBD athlete 5153730
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 7.3
- puntReturns · LONG
- 21
- puntReturns · NO
- 3
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 22
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 49
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 475
- receiving · YPR
- 9.7
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -1
- rushing · YPC
- -0.5
Jamarrion Solomon · DL
CFBD athlete 4917092
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jameel Croft · DB
CFBD athlete 4920194
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 37
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 43
- interceptions · AVG
- 15.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 15
Jamil Davis · DL
CFBD athlete 5382267
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Jariel Cobb · RB
CFBD athlete 5212700
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 19
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Jason Jeffares · TE
CFBD athlete 5151037
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 44
- receiving · YPR
- 7.3
Jaylen Doss · DL
CFBD athlete 5265477
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jaylen Hampton · WR
CFBD athlete 5156879
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 25
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 298
- receiving · YPR
- 11.9
Jaylen White · QB
CFBD athlete 5272738
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 5
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.400
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 5
- passing · YPA
- 1.0
- rushing · CAR
- 8
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -1
- rushing · YPC
- -0.1
Jaylon Johnson · DL
CFBD athlete 5293894
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jerry Wall III · LB
CFBD athlete 5382264
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 23
Jonathan Patterson · DB
CFBD athlete 5446651
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 16
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 32
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Kaden Catoe · DB
CFBD athlete 5327476
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kadin Schmitz · LB
CFBD athlete 5156065
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 55
Kaiden Bower · DL
CFBD athlete 5382273
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kevin Beckham · DB
CFBD athlete 5194803
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Khamani Alexander · RB
CFBD athlete 5148741
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 51
- receiving · YPR
- 6.4
- rushing · CAR
- 62
- rushing · LONG
- 66
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 291
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Logan Mauldin · TE
CFBD athlete 4606685
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 46
- receiving · YPR
- 5.8
Nireek Sharpe · DB
CFBD athlete 5154412
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Parker Startz · LB
CFBD athlete 5149156
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Reginhard Pierre-Nau · OL
CFBD athlete 5169205
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Seth Franklin · WR
CFBD athlete 5219479
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Shaku Sangarie · DL
CFBD athlete 5152391
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Shamar McIntosh · DB
CFBD athlete 5178078
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Stellan Bowman · LB
CFBD athlete 5193091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Takeo Massey · DL
CFBD athlete 5306139
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Tank Boston · WR
CFBD athlete 5220007
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 9.7
Tradarius Smith · DB
CFBD athlete 5382262
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Zyheem Collick · WR
CFBD athlete 5226267
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 29
- receiving · YPR
- 14.5
UAB
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Ryder Burton QB 3 games | 31.6% 30 / 95 plays | 35.7% 5 / 14 plays |
| Roderick Robinson II RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 35.3% 12 / 34 plays |
| Braylon McReynolds RB 3 games | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays | 30.8% 8 / 26 plays |
| Ja'Vin Simpkins RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 45.5% 5 / 11 plays |
| Nate Rogers QB 3 games | 33.3% 1 / 3 plays | 0.0% 0 / 3 plays |
| Jayson Moll RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 25.0% 1 / 4 plays |
| KJ Daniels WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 66.7% 2 / 3 plays |
| EJ Reid WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 51 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
AJ Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 5095096
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 12.7
Anta'Veon McKenzie · DB
CFBD athlete 5152798
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
Antonio Ferguson · TE
CFBD athlete 5078812
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 0
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 11
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 11.0
Badger Hargett · P
CFBD athlete 5092221
- punting · In 20
- 1
- punting · LONG
- 52
- punting · NO
- 3
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 146
- punting · YPP
- 48.7
Blanche Gold · LB
CFBD athlete 5098783
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Braden Sullivan · LB
CFBD athlete 5224205
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Braylon McReynolds · RB
CFBD athlete 4897730
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 20.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 27
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 81
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 50
- receiving · YPR
- 8.3
- rushing · CAR
- 80
- rushing · LONG
- 48
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 357
- rushing · YPC
- 4.5
C.J. Smith · WR
CFBD athlete 4711421
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
- receiving · LONG
- 54
- receiving · REC
- 21
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 403
- receiving · YPR
- 19.2
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 22
- rushing · YPC
- 22.0
Cameron Cunningham · DL
CFBD athlete 5300742
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Chris Burge · DE
CFBD athlete 5194316
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Christopher Spencer · DL
CFBD athlete 4912355
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Darrell Sweeting · DB
CFBD athlete 5078469
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Delvon Gulley · CB
CFBD athlete 5227913
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 17
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 40.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 80
Diezel Wilkinson · DB
CFBD athlete 5223954
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Draden Fullbright · DB
CFBD athlete 5148648
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 10
EJ Reid · WR
CFBD athlete 5219011
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 15
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 15
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 23
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 179
- receiving · YPR
- 7.8
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 36
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 45
- rushing · YPC
- 11.3
Eli Hall · DL
CFBD athlete 4703027
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Elijah Pratt · DB
CFBD athlete 5167188
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Gabriel Cline · TE
CFBD athlete 5203714
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 9.0
Guylijah Theodule · DB
CFBD athlete 5147199
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Hudson Higgins · RB
CFBD athlete 5278427
- kickReturns · AVG
- 13.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 13
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 13
Ike Esonwune · LB
CFBD athlete 5086373
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 33
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 56
- interceptions · AVG
- 4.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 8
J'Quan Mason · DE
CFBD athlete 5193338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
JR Mosley · RB
CFBD athlete 5393808
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 5
- rushing · YPC
- 1.3
Ja'Vin Simpkins · RB
CFBD athlete 5157261
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 17
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 17
- puntReturns · AVG
- -7.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- -7
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 11
- receiving · YPR
- 3.7
- rushing · CAR
- 39
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 168
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Jayson Moll · RB
CFBD athlete 5393807
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 7
- rushing · YPC
- 1.2
Jeremiah Jordan · DB
CFBD athlete 5192677
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 29
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 50
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jo Pierce · DB
CFBD athlete 5195616
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 46
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.0
- defensive · TOT
- 69
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 10
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 20
Jonah Delange · PK
CFBD athlete 5151663
- kicking · FGA
- 22
- kicking · FGM
- 18
- kicking · LONG
- 57
- kicking · PCT
- 0.818
- kicking · PTS
- 69
- kicking · XPA
- 15
- kicking · XPM
- 15
KJ Daniels · WR
CFBD athlete 5122390
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 23
- kickReturns · NO
- 3
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 58
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 51
- receiving · YPR
- 12.8
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 35
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 79
- rushing · YPC
- 19.8
Kaleb Brown · WR
CFBD athlete 4685283
- receiving · LONG
- 32
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 67
- receiving · YPR
- 16.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 24
- rushing · YPC
- 24.0
Kris Wokomah · DB
CFBD athlete 5110457
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Lamar White · WR
CFBD athlete 5219703
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 20
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Malachi Character · LB
CFBD athlete 5327481
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Mantrez Walker · LB
CFBD athlete 5141683
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Marlin Dean · LB
CFBD athlete 5220652
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 8.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 11.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Muaaz Byard · LB
CFBD athlete 5092287
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 52
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 78
Mykale Hrabowski · DB
CFBD athlete 5327489
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Nate Rogers · QB
CFBD athlete 5197123
- passing · ATT
- 5
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.400
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 24
- passing · YPA
- 4.8
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 14
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 52
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Noah Nelson · DL
CFBD athlete 5232192
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Oliver Straw · P
CFBD athlete 4898589
- punting · In 20
- 9
- punting · LONG
- 59
- punting · NO
- 25
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1152
- punting · YPP
- 46.1
Que Billingsley · DB
CFBD athlete 5154217
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Raymond Macias · DL
CFBD athlete 5157112
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Rhett Cofer · LB
CFBD athlete 5393810
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Roderick Robinson II · RB
CFBD athlete 4918110
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 20
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 72
- receiving · YPR
- 10.3
- rushing · CAR
- 108
- rushing · LONG
- 28
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 450
- rushing · YPC
- 4.2
Ryder Burton · QB
CFBD athlete 5057381
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 3
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 194
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 104
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.536
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1333
- passing · YPA
- 6.9
- rushing · CAR
- 70
- rushing · LONG
- 20
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- -10
- rushing · YPC
- -0.1
Scott Isacks III · TE
CFBD athlete 5081640
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 8.2
Sean Persson · TE
CFBD athlete 5295450
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 36
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Sterling Sanders · DL
CFBD athlete 5212634
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Tiaquelin Mims · WR
CFBD athlete 5092470
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 11.8
- puntReturns · LONG
- 42
- puntReturns · NO
- 8
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 94
- receiving · LONG
- 56
- receiving · REC
- 21
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 352
- receiving · YPR
- 16.8
Tylin Jackson · DL
CFBD athlete 5152135
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 6.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
UAB -8.5
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches
UAB by 12.42
3.92 points toward UAB versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward UAB.
- Net EPA rating difference: +8.41
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 12.42 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 71d41e4557018d3c21ab9c0e6265e985b587cb6f9b748973a2cf524ecb6f51f5 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 31b0cad14b9353056830a2f2601534be1b41aef1452a458835dfc28d4810e28c · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -8.5 | -8.5 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -12.42 | -12.42 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +3.92 | +3.92 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor UAB; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 71d41e4557018d3c21ab9c0e6265e985b587cb6f9b748973a2cf524ecb6f51f5. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
UAB -8.5
Model gap +3.9 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor UAB.
Win probabilities · separate sources
UAB win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 72%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: UAB -8.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 81%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward UAB.
- away elo: +20.65 (path difference 15.71)
- home adjusted epa: +9.18 (path difference 7.47)
- away adjusted epa: +8.63 (path difference 3.63)
- home elo: -6.80 (path difference 2.59)
- away adjusted success allowed: +5.65 (path difference 2.89)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -5.59 (path difference 1.28)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.51 (path difference 7.06)
- away adjusted success: +5.19 (path difference 4.59)
- home adjusted passing epa: -5.02 (path difference 1.41)
- home adjusted second level yards: +4.32 (path difference 0.87)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.84 (path difference 2.91)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.84 (path difference 1.71)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -3.50 (path difference 0.00)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.15 (path difference 3.14)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -3.00 (path difference 0.19)
- away adjusted passing down success: -2.27 (path difference 0.94)
- home adjusted success: -2.12 (path difference 2.03)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +1.96 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.91 (path difference 0.21)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.15)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.65 (path difference 0.72)
- home talent: +1.46 (path difference 1.44)
- away adjusted standard down success: -1.36 (path difference 0.30)
- home adjusted line yards: -1.34 (path difference 0.41)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.25 (path difference 0.41)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +1.09 (path difference 1.21)
- away adjusted line yards: +1.06 (path difference 0.19)
- home adjusted standard down success: -0.97 (path difference 0.15)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.88 (path difference 1.28)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.88 (path difference 0.00)
- week: -0.87 (path difference 0.89)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.85 (path difference 1.14)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.70 (path difference 0.38)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.60 (path difference 0.20)
- home adjusted success allowed: -0.55 (path difference 0.47)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.53 (path difference 2.21)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +0.51 (path difference 0.21)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.41 (path difference 2.00)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.39 (path difference 0.52)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.32 (path difference 0.77)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.28 (path difference 0.40)
- home conference: -0.23 (path difference 0.22)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.23 (path difference 0.63)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.22 (path difference 0.27)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.12)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.15 (path difference 1.80)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.08 (path difference 0.36)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.04 (path difference 1.09)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.03 (path difference 0.06)
- away conference: -0.02 (path difference 0.20)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.01 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.01 (path difference 0.23)
- away talent: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 81.18 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 08f1587b729400753c10614f336b5e7f931939b7f0ee0f7f12431d2ee0a39468 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 1a4dad753e6cbfdd564106a47ab23da24e285c7b5b0ea63127d7774331dca753 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
Charlotte
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 107 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Henry RutledgeCFBD athlete 4879655 Week 6 vs North Texas: 12 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 41.7% success · -0.045 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 16 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.327 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Tulane: 22 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.175 raw PPA. | 50 | 5.7 | 0 | 46.7% | 73 / 6.2 |
Conner HarrellCFBD athlete 4801306 Week 6 vs North Texas: 5 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.365 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 6 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.426 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Tulane: 11 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.250 raw PPA. | 22 | 2.3 | 5 | 20.6% | 24 / 1.9 |
Khamani AlexanderCFBD athlete 5148741 Week 6 vs North Texas: 2 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.078 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 9 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.438 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Tulane: 6 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 16.7% success · 0.198 raw PPA. | 17 | 5.1 | 0 | 15.9% | 61 / 4.7 |
D'Mariun PerteetCFBD athlete 5295750 Week 6 vs North Texas: 8 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.258 raw PPA. | 8 | 2.6 | 0 | 7.5% | 21 / 3.5 |
Jaylen WhiteCFBD athlete 5272738 Week 6 vs North Texas: 4 attempts · -0.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.366 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Temple: 2 attempts · -1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.253 raw PPA. | 6 | -1.0 | 3 | 5.6% | 8 / -0.1 |
UAB
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 111 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roderick Robinson IICFBD athlete 4918110 Week 6 vs Memphis: 19 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 36.8% success · -0.363 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 8 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.006 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Florida: 7 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.052 raw PPA. | 34 | 3.3 | 0 | 30.6% | 108 / 4.2 |
Braylon McReynoldsCFBD athlete 4897730 Week 6 vs Memphis: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 44.4% success · -0.022 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 9 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.304 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Florida: 8 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.277 raw PPA. | 26 | 3.7 | 0 | 23.4% | 78 / 4.6 |
Ryder BurtonCFBD athlete 5057381 Week 6 vs Memphis: 9 attempts · -0.9 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.757 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 7 attempts · -2.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.243 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Florida: 10 attempts · -3.7 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.900 raw PPA. | 26 | -2.3 | 12 | 23.4% | 68 / 0.0 |
Ja'Vin SimpkinsCFBD athlete 5157261 Week 6 vs Memphis: 5 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.097 raw PPA. Week 7 vs East Carolina: 4 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.406 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Florida: 3 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.012 raw PPA. | 12 | 5.0 | 0 | 10.8% | 39 / 4.3 |
Jayson MollCFBD athlete 5393807 Week 6 vs Memphis: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.298 raw PPA. Week 9 vs South Florida: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.468 raw PPA. | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 3.6% | 6 / 1.2 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | UABOffense | CharlotteDefense | CharlotteOffense | UABDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.02 18th | +0.25 5th | -0.01 9th | +0.01 75th |
| Success rate | 39.8% 26th | 49.3% 2nd | 36.9% 5th | 42.2% 36th |
| Explosiveness | 1.20 32nd | 1.21 55th | 1.24 52nd | 1.02 99th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | -0.08 7th | +0.18 9th | -0.02 19th | +0.05 44th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.22 45th | +0.44 4th | +0.01 7th | -0.09 96th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 18.5% 6th | 10.5% 1st | 17.5% 15th | 15.0% 39th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:23 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:23 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Jonah Delange · UAB · PAAR 7.67 · 22 attempts
- Aiden Bui · Charlotte · PAAR -0.91 · 4 attempts
- Ian Kelly · Charlotte · PAAR 0.34 · 5 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
UAB spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -10 · Snapshot spread: -8.5
First locally observed: -11.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 51.5 · Snapshot total: 47.5
Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -340 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -425 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +270 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +330 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -11 · Snapshot spread: -8.5
First locally observed: -11 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 47.5 · Snapshot total: 47.5
Total · First locally observed: 47.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -440 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -440 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +340 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +340 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
UAB
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 9 rated weeks · American Athletic
Charlotte
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 8 rated weeks · American Athletic
Travel
Charlotte travels 367 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025).
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Series tied 2–2 in 4 meetings since 2017.
- 2024UAB at Charlotte27–29 · Charlotte
- 2022Charlotte at UAB20–34 · UAB
- 2018Charlotte at UAB7–28 · UAB
- 2017UAB at Charlotte24–25 · Charlotte
CFBD matchup data Last 4 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.