Week 10 · 2026

Tulsa at Tulane

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Tulsa

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Baylor Hayes QB 3 games	41.6% 42 / 101 plays	27.3% 3 / 11 plays
Damari Alston RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	32.4% 11 / 34 plays
Trequan Jones RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	41.7% 10 / 24 plays
Jimmy Calloway WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 3 / 3 plays
Javon Ross WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 3 / 3 plays
Dexter Williams II QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Oran Singleton Jr. WR 1 games	100.0% 1 / 1 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
DJ McKinney RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aquavious Dunbar · DL

CFBD athlete 5147143

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Arias Nash · DL

CFBD athlete 5092825

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 33
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Ashton Williams · S

CFBD athlete 5155505

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 38

Baylor Hayes · QB

CFBD athlete 5224011

passing · ATT: 192
passing · COMPLETIONS: 121
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.630
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1343
passing · YPA: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 70
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Caldra Williford · CB

CFBD athlete 4710276

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 22

Carter Langenderfer · S

CFBD athlete 5269128

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
interceptions · AVG: 22.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 22

Chris Gacayan II · TE

CFBD athlete 5296086

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 63
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Chris Thompson Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4429028

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 81
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

DJ McKinney · RB

CFBD athlete 5125823

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 4.0
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 73
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Dailen Howard · DL

CFBD athlete 5224041

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Damari Alston · RB

CFBD athlete 4685699

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 108
receiving · YPR: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 102
rushing · LONG: 29
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 425
rushing · YPC: 4.2

David Wells Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5157287

receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 194
receiving · YPR: 12.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

Dax Collins · LB

CFBD athlete 5150130

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 61
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Dedaunte Scott · S

CFBD athlete 5183808

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Devin Hightower · LB

CFBD athlete 4431131

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Devin Robinson · DB

CFBD athlete 5091837

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Dexter Williams II · QB

CFBD athlete 4565355

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 59
passing · COMPLETIONS: 34
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.576
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 340
passing · YPA: 5.8
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 13
rushing · YPC: 0.9

Donnell Gee Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5223788

receiving · LONG: 24
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 12.3

Elijah Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 5151627

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Evan Guenthner · PK

CFBD athlete 5219794

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Grant McAtee · TE

CFBD athlete 5262779

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Grayson Tempest · WR

CFBD athlete 5121616

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Hudson Ball · DL

CFBD athlete 5257712

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jackson Shockley · TE

CFBD athlete 5217701

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 12.0
kickReturns · LONG: 12
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 12
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 22.0

Javon Ross · WR

CFBD athlete 5229589

kickReturns · AVG: 4.0
kickReturns · LONG: 4
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 4
receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 327
receiving · YPR: 11.7
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 44
rushing · YPC: 14.7

Jayden Madkin · DL

CFBD athlete 5083637

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Jaylen George · DL

CFBD athlete 5084564

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 28
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jewlyen Roberts · TE

CFBD athlete 5146761

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 11.5

Jimmy Calloway · WR

CFBD athlete 4429804

receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 215
receiving · YPR: 9.3
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 41
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Joel Bazinet · LS

CFBD athlete 5326900

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jordan Drew · CB

CFBD athlete 4900577

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10
interceptions · AVG: 16.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 16

Josh Smith · WR

CFBD athlete 5146727

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -5
rushing · YPC: -5.0

Julian Byrd · CB

CFBD athlete 5290272

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kadin Fossung · DL

CFBD athlete 5200102

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Kyran Duhon · DL

CFBD athlete 5196927

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 6
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6
defensive · TOT: 25

Luke Tevis · TE

CFBD athlete 5222570

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 38
receiving · YPR: 19.0

Marlon Hauck · PK

CFBD athlete 5085238

kicking · FGA: 3
kicking · FGM: 1
kicking · LONG: 40
kicking · PCT: 0.333
kicking · PTS: 4
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Max Tulen · P

CFBD athlete 5163541

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 55
punting · NO: 36
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1546
punting · YPP: 42.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 23.0

Micah Tease · CB

CFBD athlete 4871069

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Nunu Campbell · CB

CFBD athlete 4888129

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Oran Singleton Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4710860

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.333
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 10
passing · YPA: 3.3
puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 14
puntReturns · NO: 7
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 28
receiving · LONG: 56
receiving · REC: 43
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 535
receiving · YPR: 12.4
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 28
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Owen Carey · PK

CFBD athlete 5326901

kicking · FGA: 7
kicking · FGM: 5
kicking · LONG: 45
kicking · PCT: 0.714
kicking · PTS: 39
kicking · XPA: 26
kicking · XPM: 24

RJ McIntosh · S

CFBD athlete 5222554

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Reilarean Phillips · DB

CFBD athlete 5200376

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Rylan Leathers · S

CFBD athlete 5224053

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 43

Sam Stone · LB

CFBD athlete 5258019

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 35

Seth Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 4920162

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 9
rushing · LONG: 51
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 90
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Sevion Morrison · RB

CFBD athlete 4576218

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Tai Newhouse · DL

CFBD athlete 4910395

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19

Thomas Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 4683043

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 9
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Trequan Jones · RB

CFBD athlete 5295930

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 23.6
kickReturns · LONG: 98
kickReturns · NO: 16
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 378
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 3.3
rushing · CAR: 60
rushing · LONG: 81
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 388
rushing · YPC: 6.5

Tristan Lawyer · DL

CFBD athlete 5258476

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 56
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 56
rushing · YPC: 56.0

Ty Anderson · LB

CFBD athlete 4837372

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Ty Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 4683139

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Tyler Rich · DL

CFBD athlete 5125741

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15

Tyson Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5152004

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 47
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Will Upshaw · DL

CFBD athlete 5147932

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Willie Goodwyn · CB

CFBD athlete 5146966

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Xavier Green · WR

CFBD athlete 5244757

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 4
receiving · YPR: 4.0

Zach Williams · S

CFBD athlete 5079744

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Zane Woodham · DB

CFBD athlete 5151622

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 31

Tulane

Window: 2026-10-30 (reported) · 2026-10-25 (reported) · 2026-10-16 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T17:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Trace Johnson QB 3 games	45.2% 47 / 104 plays	33.3% 5 / 15 plays
Johnnie Daniels RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	37.0% 10 / 27 plays
Maurice Turner RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	41.2% 7 / 17 plays
Jaylin Lucas RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	30.0% 3 / 10 plays
Jamauri McClure RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 10 plays
Dagan Bruno QB 2 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays
DJ Dugar Jr. RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 60 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Anthony Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 4870635

kickReturns · AVG: 16.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 277
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Anthony Rogers · DB

CFBD athlete 5226524

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 32
interceptions · AVG: 14.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 28

Armani Cargo · CB

CFBD athlete 5079365

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Armondous Cooley · DL

CFBD athlete 4429446

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Bredell Richardson · WR

CFBD athlete 5079686

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 153
receiving · YPR: 10.2

Cameron Roberts · TE

CFBD athlete 5203726

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Cash Semonza · WR

CFBD athlete 5294301

receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 56
receiving · YPR: 18.7

Cayden Dees · DE

CFBD athlete 5278403

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Chase Green · S

CFBD athlete 5147226

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 14

Chris Rodgers · LB

CFBD athlete 5075531

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Cooper Helmke · PK

CFBD athlete 5257395

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 10
kicking · LONG: 58
kicking · PCT: 0.833
kicking · PTS: 43
kicking · XPA: 13
kicking · XPM: 13

DJ Cicero · TE

CFBD athlete 5219723

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0

DJ Dugar Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5141431

rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 35
rushing · YPC: 3.2

Dagan Bruno · QB

CFBD athlete 5219709

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 10
passing · YPA: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Dalton Hughes · LB

CFBD athlete 4710019

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 19

Dawson Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 5222239

receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 8.2

Derrick Shepard · DL

CFBD athlete 4698572

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Destyn Hill · WR

CFBD athlete 5150834

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 61
receiving · REC: 32
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 390
receiving · YPR: 12.2

Dickson Agu · LB

CFBD athlete 5091817

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 78
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Dorian Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 5125849

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 6

E'zaiah Shine · CB

CFBD athlete 5147197

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18
kickReturns · AVG: 5.0
kickReturns · LONG: 5
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 5

Ed Smith IV · DL

CFBD athlete 4710027

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 28

Garrett Mmahat · WR

CFBD athlete 5091744

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 56
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 135
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Geordan Guidry · DL

CFBD athlete 5147842

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 19

Gerrod Henderson · DE

CFBD athlete 5093012

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Grayson McPherson · LB

CFBD athlete 5294296

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jack Tchienchou · S

CFBD athlete 4920129

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 31
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 45
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jackson Courville · PK

CFBD athlete 5162686

kicking · FGA: 3
kicking · FGM: 1
kicking · LONG: 37
kicking · PCT: 0.333
kicking · PTS: 9
kicking · XPA: 6
kicking · XPM: 6

Jahrie Garner · DE

CFBD athlete 5080925

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 17

Jamauri McClure · RB

CFBD athlete 5148838

rushing · CAR: 15
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Jaylin Lucas · RB

CFBD athlete 4871148

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 12.5
kickReturns · LONG: 13
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 25
puntReturns · AVG: 3.9
puntReturns · LONG: 25
puntReturns · NO: 10
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 39
receiving · LONG: 39
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 126
receiving · YPR: 12.6
rushing · CAR: 39
rushing · LONG: 80
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 293
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Jean Claude Joseph · LB

CFBD athlete 4918433

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Johnnie Daniels · RB

CFBD athlete 5218820

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 79
rushing · LONG: 81
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 493
rushing · YPC: 6.2

Jordyn Crites · DL

CFBD athlete 5279206

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 9

Josh Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 5294295

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Joshua Moore · DB

CFBD athlete 5077965

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 20

Joshua Sims · DB

CFBD athlete 5210048

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Justin Agu · CB

CFBD athlete 4875464

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Kadin Semonza · QB

CFBD athlete 5091890

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 119
passing · COMPLETIONS: 64
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.538
passing · TD: 4
passing · YDS: 804
passing · YPA: 6.8
rushing · CAR: 31
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: -57
rushing · YPC: -1.8

Kajuan Banks · DB

CFBD athlete 4808758

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Kameron Hamilton · DL

CFBD athlete 4912184

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Kevin Adams · S

CFBD athlete 5121987

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 53
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 72
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 7.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 14

LJ Green · CB

CFBD athlete 5085391

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Macho Stevenson · CB

CFBD athlete 5078109

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Makai Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5085879

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7
defensive · TOT: 46

Maurice Turner · RB

CFBD athlete 4837391

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 96
receiving · YPR: 16.0
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 74
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 341
rushing · YPC: 7.9

Nik Alston · DL

CFBD athlete 5222148

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Oliver Mitchell Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5215501

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 105
receiving · YPR: 13.1

PaLanding Drammeh · DL

CFBD athlete 5209746

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Reshad Sterling · DL

CFBD athlete 5209529

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 17

Seth Gale · WR

CFBD athlete 5219711

puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0

Shaun Nicholas · CB

CFBD athlete 5193661

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tavare Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5294303

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 2
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
interceptions · AVG: 76.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 76
kickReturns · AVG: 33.3
kickReturns · LONG: 95
kickReturns · NO: 9
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 300

Trace Johnson · QB

CFBD athlete 5291713

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 106
passing · COMPLETIONS: 65
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.613
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 749
passing · YPA: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 20
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Ty Thompson · TE

CFBD athlete 4432774

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 4.0

Vance Bolyard · TE

CFBD athlete 4920188

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 10
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Warren Roberts Jr. · DE

CFBD athlete 5294299

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 21
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

William Hudlow · P

CFBD athlete 5160460

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 72
punting · NO: 38
punting · TB: 5
punting · YDS: 1787
punting · YPP: 47.0

Zeon Chriss · QB

CFBD athlete 4870518

passing · ATT: 9
passing · COMPLETIONS: 6
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.667
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 64
passing · YPA: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5079501

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 112
receiving · YPR: 16.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -11
rushing · YPC: -11.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Tulsa -2.25

DraftKings snapshot: Tulane +2.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Tulane by 0.05

2.30 points toward Tulane versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Tulane.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: -3.95
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 0.05 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 8172486c4cb73fbdfbc4cf873c88c8fea3017a2480ec4fe57624fed318ad4d14 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast bb3e8666b5436498264b410e3657e3c4eba8d6690f6cbc0c1a92dde232ab7ba2 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Tulane · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	+2.0	+2.25	+0.25
Model spread	-0.05	-0.05	0.0
Model gap	+2.05	+2.3	+0.25

Negative spreads favor Tulane; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 8172486c4cb73fbdfbc4cf873c88c8fea3017a2480ec4fe57624fed318ad4d14. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.3 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Tulane win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 43%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Tulane +2.5
Stacked ensemble: 59%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Tulane.

away elo: +13.87 (path difference 9.34)
home adjusted success: -9.14 (path difference 0.75)
home adjusted epa: +7.74 (path difference 1.24)
home adjusted passing epa: -6.00 (path difference 2.95)
home adjusted second level yards: +5.85 (path difference 2.24)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -4.80 (path difference 2.10)
home adjusted explosiveness: +4.78 (path difference 1.15)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +4.43 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted rushing epa: +4.25 (path difference 1.57)
home adjusted epa allowed: -3.70 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.54 (path difference 1.03)
home adjusted line yards: -3.49 (path difference 1.25)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.48 (path difference 3.70)
away adjusted epa allowed: -3.36 (path difference 0.21)
home talent: +3.08 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.96 (path difference 1.67)
home elo: -2.82 (path difference 0.39)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.61 (path difference 1.61)
away adjusted passing down success: -2.56 (path difference 2.65)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +2.46 (path difference 0.61)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.24 (path difference 1.16)
home adjusted rushing epa: -1.94 (path difference 1.09)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.73 (path difference 0.17)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.72 (path difference 0.37)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.60 (path difference 1.09)
away adjusted line yards: -1.48 (path difference 0.29)
week: -1.43 (path difference 0.22)
away adjusted success: +1.32 (path difference 0.30)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +1.31 (path difference 0.95)
away adjusted success allowed: -1.30 (path difference 1.64)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.25 (path difference 0.68)
home adjusted open field yards: +1.19 (path difference 0.84)
away talent: -1.18 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted passing down success: +1.07 (path difference 0.60)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.00 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.91 (path difference 0.99)
home adjusted standard down success: -0.88 (path difference 0.70)
home adjusted success allowed: +0.84 (path difference 0.24)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.82 (path difference 0.41)
away adjusted epa: +0.73 (path difference 1.83)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.65 (path difference 1.37)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.56 (path difference 0.22)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.53 (path difference 0.05)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.48 (path difference 1.28)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.38 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.35 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.28 (path difference 2.24)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.28 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.26 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.25 (path difference 0.91)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.17 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.15 (path difference 0.96)
away conference: -0.12 (path difference 0.40)
home conference: -0.11 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.02)

Reconciles to 58.60 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 23cc2ea0397e39ce60d05b77047cf07caa6c959b075dc7bd143747025378ce69 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast ed6a8303357acbf8ea54e0827b496117ccaf56e7b980630b47f7d82972e19843 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Tulsa

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 86 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Damari Alston CFBD athlete 4685699 Week 6 vs Navy: 11 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 9.1% success · -0.148 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rice: 12 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 41.7% success · 0.108 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Army: 11 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.233 raw PPA.	34	3.9	0	39.5%	101 / 4.2
Trequan Jones CFBD athlete 5295930 Week 6 vs Navy: 8 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 37.5% success · -0.153 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rice: 11 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.027 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Army: 5 attempts · 13.2 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.645 raw PPA.	24	6.7	0	27.9%	58 / 6.6
Baylor Hayes CFBD athlete 5224011 Week 6 vs Navy: 4 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.052 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Rice: 5 attempts · 0.6 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.065 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Army: 6 attempts · -0.5 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.199 raw PPA.	15	0.9	4	17.4%	35 / 2.0
Jimmy Calloway CFBD athlete 4429804 Week 7 vs Rice: 2 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.772 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Army: 1 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.295 raw PPA.	3	8.7	0	3.5%	6 / 6.8
Javon Ross CFBD athlete 5229589 Week 6 vs Navy: 2 attempts · 18.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.283 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Army: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.320 raw PPA.	3	14.7	0	3.5%	3 / 14.7

Tulane

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 93 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Johnnie Daniels CFBD athlete 5218820 Week 7 vs Memphis: 7 attempts · 7.9 YPC · 14.3% success · 0.304 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 8 attempts · 13.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.809 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Charlotte: 13 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 53.8% success · 0.568 raw PPA.	28	9.2	0	30.1%	78 / 6.2
Trace Johnson CFBD athlete 5291713 Week 7 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 2.2 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.298 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 7 attempts · -5.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.432 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Charlotte: 7 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.086 raw PPA.	20	0.0	4	21.5%	20 / 0.0
Maurice Turner CFBD athlete 4837391 Week 7 vs Memphis: 11 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.095 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Charlotte: 6 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.127 raw PPA.	17	3.8	0	18.3%	42 / 8.0
Jaylin Lucas CFBD athlete 4871148 Week 7 vs Memphis: 4 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.263 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.314 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Charlotte: 4 attempts · 7.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.272 raw PPA.	10	5.0	0	10.8%	37 / 7.8
Jamauri McClure CFBD athlete 5148838 Week 7 vs Memphis: 6 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.299 raw PPA. Week 8 vs UTSA: 4 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.838 raw PPA.	10	2.0	0	10.8%	15 / 3.0

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	TulaneOffense	TulsaDefense	TulsaOffense	TulaneDefense
PPA/play	+0.10 38th	+0.06 55th	+0.18 66th	+0.11 36th
Success rate	35.5% 2nd	40.7% 50th	40.6% 30th	42.3% 35th
Explosiveness	1.45 100th	1.20 61st	1.27 67th	1.22 51st
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.07 42nd	-0.00 63rd	+0.17 76th	+0.05 45th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.15 30th	+0.19 49th	+0.22 46th	+0.26 29th
Havoc allowed / created	17.7% 14th	12.0% 8th	14.9% 48th	14.6% 31st

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:52 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:52 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Marlon Hauck · Tulsa · PAAR -3.85 · 3 attempts
Jackson Courville · Tulane · PAAR -3.12 · 3 attempts
Cooper Helmke · Tulane · PAAR 5.39 · 12 attempts
Owen Carey · Tulsa · PAAR -0.56 · 7 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Tulane spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +3 · Snapshot spread: +2.5

First locally observed: -1.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence