Week 9 · 2026
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
Northern Illinois
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T02:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Taron Dickens QB 3 games | 36.5% 35 / 96 plays | 57.1% 8 / 14 plays |
| Telly Johnson Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.2% 17 / 36 plays |
| Elijah Porter RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 37.5% 6 / 16 plays |
| Jaidaun Cranford RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 51 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aaron Warren · DB
CFBD athlete 5388936
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Afy Ibekwe · WR
CFBD athlete 5264660
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 13.0
Amari Washington · DT
CFBD athlete 5236381
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Andruw Ellis · S
CFBD athlete 5236365
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 30.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 30
Avery Jones · DB
CFBD athlete 5152660
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 40
Brady Davidson · QB
CFBD athlete 5210128
- passing · ATT
- 6
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 4
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.667
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 27
- passing · YPA
- 4.5
Brady Kerperin · LB
CFBD athlete 5388924
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 50
Broderick Windham · LB
CFBD athlete 5296153
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Cam Thompson · WR
CFBD athlete 5083748
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- kickReturns · AVG
- 16.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 19
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 32
- receiving · LONG
- 52
- receiving · REC
- 15
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 157
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Champ Smith III · S
CFBD athlete 5291786
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Chevez Trask · OL
CFBD athlete 4566116
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Cooper Mau · LB
CFBD athlete 5388927
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
DeAree Rogers · WR
CFBD athlete 5296150
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 17
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 17
- puntReturns · AVG
- 9.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 26
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 69
- receiving · LONG
- 49
- receiving · REC
- 57
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 537
- receiving · YPR
- 9.4
Dev'ion Reynolds · CB
CFBD athlete 5194699
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- kickReturns · AVG
- 14.5
- kickReturns · LONG
- 19
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 58
Elijah Porter · RB
CFBD athlete 5219932
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 24
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 20
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 27
- receiving · YPR
- 4.5
- rushing · CAR
- 33
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 120
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Fawzy Omotoso · DE
CFBD athlete 5209940
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
George Dimopoulos · WR
CFBD athlete 5193277
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 114
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
Glen Weber · TE
CFBD athlete 5388937
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 15
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
JJ Schlenhardt · PK
CFBD athlete 5265497
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 5
- kicking · LONG
- 46
- kicking · PCT
- 0.625
- kicking · PTS
- 26
- kicking · XPA
- 11
- kicking · XPM
- 11
JT King · DE
CFBD athlete 5327579
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jack Murray · LB
CFBD athlete 5302861
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 23
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 50
Jacob McGhee · DT
CFBD athlete 5388928
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jaidaun Cranford · RB
CFBD athlete 5291180
- rushing · CAR
- 9
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 67
- rushing · YPC
- 7.4
Jake Ference · P
CFBD athlete 5296147
- punting · In 20
- 6
- punting · LONG
- 55
- punting · NO
- 33
- punting · TB
- 3
- punting · YDS
- 1398
- punting · YPP
- 42.4
Jalen Macon · QB
CFBD athlete 4884086
- passing · ATT
- 13
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 5
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.385
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 20
- passing · YPA
- 1.5
- rushing · CAR
- 10
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -1
- rushing · YPC
- -0.1
James Bradley · DE
CFBD athlete 5160693
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jason Fowler · TE
CFBD athlete 5219946
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 25
- receiving · YPR
- 8.3
Jay'Shon Thomas · DE
CFBD athlete 5122070
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Joe Stein · TE
CFBD athlete 5193285
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 8.0
Jordan Bellamy · DT
CFBD athlete 5258463
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Kelan McInerney · WR
CFBD athlete 5388929
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 60
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Kenji Lewis · WR
CFBD athlete 5084310
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 4
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Kimar Nelson · LB
CFBD athlete 5248177
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 37
Kole Sneed · DE
CFBD athlete 5155315
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Kyon Conyers · S
CFBD athlete 5230036
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 47
- interceptions · AVG
- 41.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 41
La'Don Bryant · WR
CFBD athlete 5193292
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 25
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 316
- receiving · YPR
- 12.6
Liam Lindo · CB
CFBD athlete 5229501
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
Liam Russo · TE
CFBD athlete 5215176
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 15
- receiving · YPR
- 7.5
Malik Armstrong · S
CFBD athlete 4879806
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Marshall Washington Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5230033
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Matthew Scarlett · DT
CFBD athlete 5162566
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Micah Cook · DE
CFBD athlete 5236364
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Montrel Canion · DT
CFBD athlete 5258465
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Rickey Taylor Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5219936
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 11.4
Romelo Walker · CB
CFBD athlete 5219939
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Taron Dickens · QB
CFBD athlete 4881032
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 210
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 138
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.657
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1364
- passing · YPA
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 47
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 14
- rushing · YPC
- 0.3
Telly Johnson Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5193302
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 46
- receiving · YPR
- 4.2
- rushing · CAR
- 95
- rushing · LONG
- 28
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 502
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Trey Porter · LB
CFBD athlete 4808720
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Triston White · RB
CFBD athlete 5214939
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 1
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 2
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Yassine Falke · CB
CFBD athlete 5388918
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- interceptions · AVG
- 8.8
- interceptions · INT
- 4
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 35
Zaire McKinney · WR
CFBD athlete 5302862
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 17
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
UNLV
Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-01T02:30:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Arnold QB 3 games | 42.1% 32 / 76 plays | 48.8% 20 / 41 plays |
| Jai'Den Thomas RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 29.6% 16 / 54 plays |
| Darrien Jones RB 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 20.0% 1 / 5 plays |
| Kayden McGee WR 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 4 plays |
| Alex Orji QB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Matthew Choules P 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 55 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Ace Robinson · OL
CFBD athlete 5265520
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Alex Orji · QB
CFBD athlete 4685495
- passing · ATT
- 5
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.200
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 9
- passing · YPA
- 1.8
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 65
- rushing · YPC
- 9.3
Andre Porter · DE
CFBD athlete 5172342
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- interceptions · AVG
- 23.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 23
Avery Helm · DB
CFBD athlete 4429921
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu · LB
CFBD athlete 5092272
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Brayden Baker · PK
CFBD athlete 5389945
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Cam Santee · LB
CFBD athlete 5157395
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 53
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Darrien Jones · RB
CFBD athlete 5125730
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 23
- receiving · YPR
- 7.7
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 36
- rushing · YPC
- 2.8
DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 5125768
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0.5
- puntReturns · LONG
- 1
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Dee Crayton · LB
CFBD athlete 4870682
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 11
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Denver Harris · DB
CFBD athlete 4685388
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 24
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Eliah Logo · DL
CFBD athlete 5222608
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Elias Rudolph · LB
CFBD athlete 5079588
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Ethan Schwartz · P
CFBD athlete 5389947
- kicking · FGA
- 1
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 60
- kicking · PCT
- 1.000
- kicking · PTS
- 3
- kicking · XPA
- 0
- kicking · XPM
- 0
- punting · In 20
- 2
- punting · LONG
- 60
- punting · NO
- 3
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 155
- punting · YPP
- 51.7
Herb Gray · DL
CFBD athlete 5146859
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Jackson Arnold · QB
CFBD athlete 4870607
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 182
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 108
- passing · INT
- 2
- passing · PCT
- 0.593
- passing · TD
- 10
- passing · YDS
- 1391
- passing · YPA
- 7.6
- rushing · CAR
- 105
- rushing · LONG
- 55
- rushing · TD
- 6
- rushing · YDS
- 408
- rushing · YPC
- 3.9
Jae Beasley II · TE
CFBD athlete 5145523
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 31
- receiving · YPR
- 15.5
Jai'Den Thomas · RB
CFBD athlete 5125754
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 15
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 15
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 19
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 147
- receiving · YPR
- 7.7
- rushing · CAR
- 112
- rushing · LONG
- 50
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 543
- rushing · YPC
- 4.8
Jake Pope · S
CFBD athlete 4837473
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 63
Jaylen Allen · DB
CFBD athlete 5155557
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Jaylon Glover · RB
CFBD athlete 4808744
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 16
- rushing · LONG
- 44
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 89
- rushing · YPC
- 5.6
Jordan Covington · DL
CFBD athlete 5215195
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jordan Njoku · LB
CFBD athlete 5311783
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Joshua Tuchek · DB
CFBD athlete 5209200
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Justin Flowe · LB
CFBD athlete 4428986
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Kal-El Togafau · DL
CFBD athlete 5219882
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 26
Kamran Williams · RB
CFBD athlete 5141714
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 7
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 15
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Kamuela Ka'aihue · LB
CFBD athlete 5150548
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 38
Kayden McGee · WR
CFBD athlete 5149831
- receiving · LONG
- 70
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 330
- receiving · YPR
- 20.6
- rushing · CAR
- 7
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 30
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Kenji Scanlan · DE
CFBD athlete 5258444
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Keyan Burnett · TE
CFBD athlete 4685289
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 135
- receiving · YPR
- 10.4
Landen Thomas · DL
CFBD athlete 5091841
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Landyn Cleveland · S
CFBD athlete 5127736
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Logan Christensen · S
CFBD athlete 5141405
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Lucas Conti · DL
CFBD athlete 5075569
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Mark Iheanachor · LB
CFBD athlete 5142603
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Matt Byrnes · TE
CFBD athlete 4872961
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 13
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 19
- receiving · YPR
- 9.5
Matthew Choules · P
CFBD athlete 5295513
- punting · In 20
- 13
- punting · LONG
- 64
- punting · NO
- 30
- punting · TB
- 2
- punting · YDS
- 1269
- punting · YPP
- 42.3
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 13
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 13
- rushing · YPC
- 13.0
Mo Abbasher · DL
CFBD athlete 5295313
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Mohamed Altayeb · DL
CFBD athlete 5295300
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Mohammad Maali · RB
CFBD athlete 5295302
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Mumu Bin-Wahad · DB
CFBD athlete 4700805
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.3
- interceptions · INT
- 3
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 37
Peyton Zachary · WR
CFBD athlete 5161009
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 17.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 27
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 85
- puntReturns · AVG
- 13.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 27
- puntReturns · NO
- 4
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 52
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 31
- receiving · YPR
- 10.3
Poe Purcell · DL
CFBD athlete 5290265
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Quandarius Keyes · DB
CFBD athlete 5295299
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- interceptions · AVG
- 22.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 44
Ramon Villela · PK
CFBD athlete 5155186
- kicking · FGA
- 8
- kicking · FGM
- 6
- kicking · LONG
- 39
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 38
- kicking · XPA
- 20
- kicking · XPM
- 20
Skylar Vann · RB
CFBD athlete 5389943
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 10
- rushing · YPC
- 3.3
Taeshaun Lyons · WR
CFBD athlete 4940235
- receiving · LONG
- 36
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 134
- receiving · YPR
- 11.2
Tastean Reddicks · WR
CFBD athlete 4870965
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 59
- receiving · REC
- 16
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 292
- receiving · YPR
- 18.3
Tavian Mcnair · WR
CFBD athlete 5156153
- receiving · LONG
- 38
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 79
- receiving · YPR
- 19.8
Tony-Louis Nkuba · DB
CFBD athlete 5139100
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Tre Fulton · DB
CFBD athlete 5147224
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 51
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 12
Troy Stellato · WR
CFBD athlete 4587722
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 61
- receiving · YPR
- 10.2
Velltray Jefferson · TE
CFBD athlete 5295314
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 8.0
Vincent Carner · WR
CFBD athlete 5291092
- receiving · LONG
- 19
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 62
- receiving · YPR
- 10.3
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Northern Illinois +23.75
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
UNLV -23.75
DraftKings snapshot: UNLV -23.5
Book quote differs from the comparison line.
UNLV by 17.34
6.41 points toward Northern Illinois versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward UNLV.
- Net EPA rating difference: +13.41
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 17.34 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 76eb04811a6a0f6055a3979c03a97f56e776a31e3e44db2ed547cc02bb6bf386 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 070c0008d93026e70ddfd879dad42d758f599af2c3a09b9eb02328682d88c805 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.5 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -24.25 | -23.75 | +0.5 |
| Model spread | -17.34 | -17.34 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | -6.91 | -6.41 | +0.5 |
Negative spreads favor UNLV; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 76eb04811a6a0f6055a3979c03a97f56e776a31e3e44db2ed547cc02bb6bf386. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Northern Illinois +23.75
Model gap -6.4 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor UNLV.
Win probabilities · separate sources
UNLV win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 95%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: UNLV -24
- Stacked ensemble
- 86%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward UNLV.
- away elo: +18.35 (path difference 18.83)
- away adjusted epa: +6.71 (path difference 5.98)
- away adjusted success allowed: +6.09 (path difference 4.11)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +5.30 (path difference 7.53)
- home adjusted epa: +5.26 (path difference 6.64)
- home adjusted success allowed: +4.77 (path difference 5.68)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.66 (path difference 2.74)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +3.68 (path difference 2.62)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -3.11 (path difference 3.74)
- home adjusted success: -2.80 (path difference 0.61)
- home adjusted second level yards: +2.70 (path difference 0.72)
- home talent: +2.02 (path difference 0.20)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -1.87 (path difference 0.47)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.82 (path difference 1.20)
- away adjusted rushing epa: -1.48 (path difference 0.94)
- home adjusted passing epa: -1.43 (path difference 1.46)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.37 (path difference 0.70)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -1.31 (path difference 1.85)
- away adjusted success: +1.31 (path difference 0.96)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.23 (path difference 0.51)
- away talent: +1.20 (path difference 0.82)
- home adjusted standard down success: -1.17 (path difference 2.22)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.13 (path difference 2.42)
- away adjusted second level yards: -1.09 (path difference 0.78)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.07 (path difference 0.08)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.04 (path difference 0.44)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.97 (path difference 0.81)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.94 (path difference 1.22)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.92 (path difference 0.31)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.88 (path difference 0.53)
- home elo: -0.82 (path difference 2.22)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.78 (path difference 0.68)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.75 (path difference 2.99)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.72 (path difference 0.92)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.67 (path difference 0.61)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.61 (path difference 0.10)
- away conference: -0.59 (path difference 0.27)
- home conference: -0.58 (path difference 1.11)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.57 (path difference 1.17)
- away adjusted passing down success: -0.57 (path difference 0.45)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.53 (path difference 0.14)
- home adjusted line yards: -0.49 (path difference 0.41)
- away adjusted open field yards: +0.41 (path difference 2.30)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.40 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted standard down success: -0.38 (path difference 0.20)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.33 (path difference 0.43)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.27 (path difference 2.00)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.17 (path difference 0.06)
- week: +0.16 (path difference 0.61)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.12 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.09 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.05 (path difference 0.04)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.02 (path difference 0.05)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.00 (path difference 1.23)
Reconciles to 86.06 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs f72f5508e57d40a7942ec5121a5308a953fb69d64c95b835e44c4327207fed49 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast b87d382ce598d06d3717a689fb1fa5a157f6ff8c40683559d0cdf04b43de3aab · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
Northern Illinois
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 73 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Telly Johnson Jr.CFBD athlete 5193302 Week 6 vs Air Force: 8 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.321 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wyoming: 15 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.582 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 13 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.316 raw PPA. | 36 | 6.4 | 0 | 49.3% | 90 / 5.1 |
Taron DickensCFBD athlete 4881032 Week 6 vs Air Force: 7 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.125 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wyoming: 8 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.361 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.018 raw PPA. | 20 | 3.3 | 6 | 27.4% | 47 / 0.3 |
Elijah PorterCFBD athlete 5219932 Week 6 vs Air Force: 8 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 37.5% success · -1.017 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Wyoming: 3 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.244 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Hawai'i: 5 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.176 raw PPA. | 16 | 3.8 | 0 | 21.9% | 32 / 3.8 |
Jaidaun CranfordCFBD athlete 5291180 Week 7 vs Wyoming: 1 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.910 raw PPA. | 1 | 8.0 | 0 | 1.4% | 9 / 7.4 |
UNLV
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 112 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jai'Den ThomasCFBD athlete 5125754 Week 5 vs California: 15 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 6.7% success · -0.277 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Dakota State: 22 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.068 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Air Force: 17 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 29.4% success · -0.169 raw PPA. | 54 | 3.7 | 0 | 48.2% | 110 / 4.8 |
Jackson ArnoldCFBD athlete 4870607 Week 5 vs California: 15 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.907 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Dakota State: 19 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 29.4% success · 0.010 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Air Force: 13 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.851 raw PPA. | 47 | 5.3 | 6 | 42.0% | 103 / 4.0 |
Darrien JonesCFBD athlete 5125730 Week 5 vs California: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.451 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Dakota State: 3 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.371 raw PPA. | 5 | 3.0 | 0 | 4.5% | 13 / 2.8 |
Kayden McGeeCFBD athlete 5149831 Week 5 vs California: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.315 raw PPA. Week 6 vs North Dakota State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.296 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Air Force: 1 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.109 raw PPA. | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 3.6% | 7 / 4.3 |
Alex OrjiCFBD athlete 4685495 Week 7 vs Air Force: 1 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -4.249 raw PPA. | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.9% | 7 / 9.3 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | UNLVOffense | Northern IllinoisDefense | Northern IllinoisOffense | UNLVDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.08 31st | +0.25 7th | -0.05 3rd | +0.07 50th |
| Success rate | 37.9% 11th | 50.5% 1st | 38.0% 12th | 40.2% 55th |
| Explosiveness | 1.25 57th | 1.20 58th | 1.21 39th | 1.23 46th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.05 36th | +0.17 9th | -0.11 4th | +0.03 51st |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.13 26th | +0.44 3rd | +0.05 12th | +0.15 60th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 15.8% 34th | 9.3% 0th | 16.9% 22nd | 14.9% 36th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:47 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:47 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Ramon Villela · UNLV · PAAR -0.70 · 8 attempts
- JJ Schlenhardt · Northern Illinois · PAAR -1.09 · 8 attempts
- Ethan Schwartz · UNLV · PAAR 2.46 · 1 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
UNLV spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -24.5 · Snapshot spread: -23.5
First locally observed: -24.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 52.5 · Snapshot total: 54.5
Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -2400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -2400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +1200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +1200 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -24 · Snapshot spread: -24
First locally observed: -24 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 54 · Snapshot total: 54
Total · First locally observed: 54 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -2500 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -2500 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +1000 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +1000 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
UNLV
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.0 · 8 rated weeks · Mountain West
Northern Illinois
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 8 rated weeks · Mountain West
Travel
Northern Illinois travels 1,463 miles (longer than 90% of road trips, 2017–2025).
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Northern Illinois leads 5–0 in 5 meetings since 1987.
- 2015UNLV at Northern Illinois30–38 · Northern Illinois
- 2014Northern Illinois at UNLV48–34 · Northern Illinois
- 1995UNLV at Northern Illinois14–62 · Northern Illinois
- 1989UNLV at Northern Illinois24–42 · Northern Illinois
- 1987Northern Illinois at UNLV34–31 · Northern Illinois
CFBD matchup data Last 5 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.