Week 10 · 2026

Georgia State at App State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Georgia State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Ayden Pereira QB 3 games	38.1% 24 / 63 plays	47.1% 8 / 17 plays
Cameran Brown QB 2 games	36.8% 14 / 38 plays	50.0% 5 / 10 plays
Qwantavius Wiggins RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	41.7% 10 / 24 plays
DJ Murray Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	54.5% 12 / 22 plays
Lanear McCrary Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.7% 7 / 15 plays
Xavier Butler RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays

Traditional season production · 69 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Vaughns · DT

CFBD athlete 5381389

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Aaron Moore · DE

CFBD athlete 5293483

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Alex Mullings · DT

CFBD athlete 5216655

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
interceptions · AVG: -74.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -74

Andre Jocelyn · CB

CFBD athlete 5381376

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Antonio Wesley · LB

CFBD athlete 5220694

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Austin McGee · WR

CFBD athlete 5145653

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Avion McBride · TE

CFBD athlete 4888163

receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 11.8

Ayden Pereira · QB

CFBD athlete 5083490

passing · ATT: 73
passing · COMPLETIONS: 41
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.562
passing · TD: 4
passing · YDS: 463
passing · YPA: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 31
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 111
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Balint Vorosmarty · PK

CFBD athlete 5292030

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Cameran Brown · QB

CFBD athlete 5193926

passing · ATT: 166
passing · COMPLETIONS: 110
passing · INT: 5
passing · PCT: 0.663
passing · TD: 14
passing · YDS: 1356
passing · YPA: 8.2
receiving · LONG: 0
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: -6
receiving · YPR: -6.0
rushing · CAR: 40
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 174
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Chandler Covington · LB

CFBD athlete 5222607

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Christian Teeter · P

CFBD athlete 5381374

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
punting · In 20: 6
punting · LONG: 59
punting · NO: 15
punting · TB: 0
punting · YDS: 653
punting · YPP: 43.5

Coby Owens · LB

CFBD athlete 5295773

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 44

D'Ontae Fulton · WR

CFBD athlete 5216496

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

DJ Murray Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5146273

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 155
receiving · YPR: 14.1
rushing · CAR: 43
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 252
rushing · YPC: 5.9

DJ Riles · WR

CFBD athlete 4812474

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 50
passing · YPA: 50.0
puntReturns · AVG: 10.8
puntReturns · LONG: 26
puntReturns · NO: 5
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 54
receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 29
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 292
receiving · YPR: 10.1

Darius Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 5095071

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Demonte Gaston · S

CFBD athlete 5295770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Derrick Avery Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5216495

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 80
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 210
receiving · YPR: 16.2

Derrick Maxey III · S

CFBD athlete 5157272

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Deuce Lee · S

CFBD athlete 5153891

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Deuce Walker · S

CFBD athlete 5147202

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Donovan Faria · S

CFBD athlete 5381373

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 35
interceptions · AVG: 17.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 17

Eli Richards · DT

CFBD athlete 5334186

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Eric Butler Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5381372

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Freddie Wilson · DE

CFBD athlete 5245139

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gavin Nuckolls · QB

CFBD athlete 5381375

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 20
passing · YPA: 6.7

Grant Hollier · TE

CFBD athlete 5229332

receiving · LONG: 44
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 201
receiving · YPR: 14.4

Isaiah Stone · WR

CFBD athlete 5218720

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 29.7
kickReturns · LONG: 100
kickReturns · NO: 10
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 297
receiving · LONG: 29
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 61
receiving · YPR: 10.2
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson · DE

CFBD athlete 5295772

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 15
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jackson Tolley · LS

CFBD athlete 5381385

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jacorey Walker · CB

CFBD athlete 5381378

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaden Kelly · LB

CFBD athlete 5229486

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jamal Bing Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5155355

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 29
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Jamari Miller · WR

CFBD athlete 5217752

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 32
rushing · YPC: 8.0

Jaydon Hood · LB

CFBD athlete 4611768

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 49
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jaylin Marshall · WR

CFBD athlete 5112634

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jonah Reeder · DT

CFBD athlete 5295768

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Joseph Holt · S

CFBD athlete 5216404

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Keenan Nelson Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 4685483

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 22

Kelan Butler · LB

CFBD athlete 5141396

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

Kelze Howard · DE

CFBD athlete 5157301

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Keron Milton · WR

CFBD athlete 5220697

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 27
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Kevin Norwood · DT

CFBD athlete 5147776

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Khalid Feliz · LB

CFBD athlete 5293503

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kyle Washington · WR

CFBD athlete 5149004

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 130
receiving · YPR: 13.0

Landon Vargas · PK

CFBD athlete 5381380

punting · In 20: 2
punting · LONG: 54
punting · NO: 13
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 545
punting · YPP: 41.9

Lanear McCrary Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5233868

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 4.8
rushing · CAR: 84
rushing · LONG: 30
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 403
rushing · YPC: 4.8

Malique Harrell · CB

CFBD athlete 5327509

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Mandjou Berte · DT

CFBD athlete 5381392

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 15

Marcus Mascoll · OL

CFBD athlete 5146788

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Owen Dupree · WR

CFBD athlete 5175175

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 50
receiving · YPR: 16.7

Qwantavius Wiggins · RB

CFBD athlete 5244023

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 127
receiving · YPR: 9.8
rushing · CAR: 65
rushing · LONG: 78
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 446
rushing · YPC: 6.9

Richard Kramer · DE

CFBD athlete 5226466

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Rodshaun Dorsey · WR

CFBD athlete 5225013

receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 28
receiving · TD: 8
receiving · YDS: 459
receiving · YPR: 16.4

Ryan Green · LB

CFBD athlete 5381379

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Samer Layous · PK

CFBD athlete 5298905

kicking · FGA: 13
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.846
kicking · PTS: 60
kicking · XPA: 27
kicking · XPM: 27

Samuel Chukwurah · DT

CFBD athlete 5381391

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Savion Hart · RB

CFBD athlete 5225717

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 44
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 10
rushing · LONG: 41
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 77
rushing · YPC: 7.7

TJ Stanley · QB

CFBD athlete 5216706

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.667
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 19
passing · YPA: 6.3

Toby Bolton · CB

CFBD athlete 5153760

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Tre Mittman · S

CFBD athlete 5226770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 32
puntReturns · AVG: 13.0
puntReturns · LONG: 13
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 13

Ty Snead · S

CFBD athlete 5258537

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Tyson McCrary · CB

CFBD athlete 5295776

defensive · PD: 9
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 29

Wesley Campbell VI · TE

CFBD athlete 5220219

receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 3.0

Xavier Butler · RB

CFBD athlete 5292031

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 19.0
kickReturns · LONG: 21
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 38
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 66
rushing · YPC: 8.3

Xavier Esquillen · LB

CFBD athlete 5166484

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 7
defensive · SACKS: 7
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 9.5
defensive · TOT: 22

Zach Stair · WR

CFBD athlete 5308878

fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 7.3

Zachary Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5255517

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

App State

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Malachi Singleton QB 3 games	47.1% 41 / 87 plays	33.3% 3 / 9 plays
Henry Hasselbeck QB 3 games	47.4% 9 / 19 plays	53.6% 15 / 28 plays
Jaquari Lewis RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 14 / 28 plays
Ja'Quez Cross RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	22.2% 2 / 9 plays
J'Marion Burnette RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 6 plays
Treyaun Webb RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Sam Pickett III WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Clark · DL

CFBD athlete 5226944

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 22
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2
interceptions · AVG: 2.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Ahmad Robinson · DB

CFBD athlete 4870241

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Aiden Benton · DL

CFBD athlete 5294312

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 13

Alex Mitchell · LB

CFBD athlete 5083898

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 48

Alex Sanchez · WR

CFBD athlete 5199951

receiving · LONG: 28
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 156
receiving · YPR: 15.6

Andrew Cummings · PK

CFBD athlete 5333123

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

Brooks Yurachek · LB

CFBD athlete 5152157

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Bryant Junius · LB

CFBD athlete 5159012

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Caleb Pitts · DL

CFBD athlete 5216581

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 14
interceptions · AVG: 15.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 15

Caleb Sandstrom · DL

CFBD athlete 5155313

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 20

Carson Sloan · LB

CFBD athlete 5224443

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 26

Cary Grant · DB

CFBD athlete 5219477

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Chris Lofton · WR

CFBD athlete 5092352

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -3.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -3
receiving · LONG: 42
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 310
receiving · YPR: 13.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Colton Phares · LB

CFBD athlete 5078159

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 32
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 63
interceptions · AVG: 10.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 21

Darrin Fugitt · TE

CFBD athlete 4885469

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 257
receiving · YPR: 9.5

Dazmin James · WR

CFBD athlete 5150276

kickReturns · AVG: 22.5
kickReturns · LONG: 30
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 45
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 4
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 4
rushing · YPC: 4.0

Devin Henderson · DB

CFBD athlete 5147728

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 25
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 41
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Dillon Galloway · TE

CFBD athlete 5228759

receiving · LONG: 49
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 51
receiving · YPR: 25.5

Dre Walker · DB

CFBD athlete 5161640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12
interceptions · AVG: -0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: -1

Eric Adams · DB

CFBD athlete 5159189

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Gavin Barber · TE

CFBD athlete 5290180

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Henry Hasselbeck · QB

CFBD athlete 5146664

passing · ATT: 26
passing · COMPLETIONS: 19
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.731
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 172
passing · YPA: 6.6
rushing · CAR: 45
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 237
rushing · YPC: 5.3

J'Marion Burnette · RB

CFBD athlete 5079360

rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 21
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Ja'Cari Henderson · DB

CFBD athlete 4808742

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Ja'Den Mcburrows · DB

CFBD athlete 4683118

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 19

Ja'Quez Cross · RB

CFBD athlete 4700811

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 21.7
kickReturns · LONG: 51
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 130
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 29
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 32
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 151
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Jackson Grier · WR

CFBD athlete 5077670

kickReturns · AVG: 21.5
kickReturns · LONG: 24
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 43
puntReturns · AVG: 6.0
puntReturns · LONG: 17
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 36
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 47
receiving · YPR: 7.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 28
rushing · YPC: 28.0

Jakob Gude · DB

CFBD athlete 5130410

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Jamel Howse · TE

CFBD athlete 5209334

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 185
receiving · YPR: 13.2

James London · PK

CFBD athlete 5166106

kicking · FGA: 17
kicking · FGM: 13
kicking · LONG: 48
kicking · PCT: 0.765
kicking · PTS: 61
kicking · XPA: 22
kicking · XPM: 22

Jaquari Lewis · RB

CFBD athlete 5156152

receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 60
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 86
rushing · LONG: 32
rushing · TD: 8
rushing · YDS: 431
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Jaxson Dunn · P

CFBD athlete 5221063

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
punting · In 20: 13
punting · LONG: 66
punting · NO: 39
punting · TB: 2
punting · YDS: 1637
punting · YPP: 42.0

Jehchys Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5153505

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Joseph Reddish · DB

CFBD athlete 5261482

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Juan Berchal · DB

CFBD athlete 5198331

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 35
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Kaden Ellis · DL

CFBD athlete 5174447

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Kaleb Purdy · DB

CFBD athlete 4826504

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 28
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 50

Kanye Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4900025

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 31
rushing · YPC: 7.8

Keaton Braddock · DL

CFBD athlete 5397630

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Kelvin Crawford · DL

CFBD athlete 5122343

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Keshawn Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5295917

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 15

Kevin Henderson · LB

CFBD athlete 5397623

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Khalil Conley · DB

CFBD athlete 5122552

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Ki'Shawn Harvey · DL

CFBD athlete 5121706

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Luke Douglas · TE

CFBD athlete 5218246

kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 5.7

Malachi Singleton · QB

CFBD athlete 4870999

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 4
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 237
passing · COMPLETIONS: 154
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.650
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1915
passing · YPA: 8.1
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 14.0
rushing · CAR: 50
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -0.1

Manny Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 5276935

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Max Guest · RB

CFBD athlete 5213354

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Michael Mcclenton · LB

CFBD athlete 5263781

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Nate Branch · WR

CFBD athlete 5224355

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 34
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 364
receiving · YPR: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 36
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 12.7

Nick Avery · DL

CFBD athlete 5294311

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nick Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 4686286

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Ricky Lolohea · DL

CFBD athlete 5056145

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 16

Sam Mbake · WR

CFBD athlete 4685469

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Sam Pickett III · WR

CFBD athlete 5300543

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 560
receiving · YPR: 15.6
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 23
rushing · YPC: 23.0

Sawyer Arnold · DL

CFBD athlete 5291960

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Semaj Fleming · WR

CFBD athlete 5141450

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Syncere Berry · DB

CFBD athlete 5291769

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tommy Ulatowski · QB

CFBD athlete 5082965

passing · ATT: 5
passing · COMPLETIONS: 4
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.800
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 20
passing · YPA: 4.0

Treyaun Webb · RB

CFBD athlete 4871065

rushing · CAR: 24
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 70
rushing · YPC: 2.9

Xavier Joseph · DL

CFBD athlete 5277541

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Georgia State +6.25

EPA-OLS history for 7-14 point gaps: 46% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 97 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

App State -6.25

DraftKings snapshot: App State -6

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Georgia State by 1.74

7.99 points toward Georgia State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward App State.

Net EPA rating difference: -5.74
Fitted offset: +5.20
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to -1.74 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 35268c910f194b1a547403c8e7c1ad2bf6a1a6c17cdbeff84946b9778b71dd12 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 87a9c98dbf71051a212fd4dbc4d7e6806ffc08ed6d00da5b556842014ece1528 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: App State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-6.0	-6.25	-0.25
Model spread	+1.74	+1.74	0.0
Model gap	-7.74	-7.99	-0.25

Negative spreads favor App State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 35268c910f194b1a547403c8e7c1ad2bf6a1a6c17cdbeff84946b9778b71dd12. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Georgia State +6.25

Model gap -8.0 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor App State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

App State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 67%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: App State -6.5
Stacked ensemble: 54%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward App State.

away elo: +15.27 (path difference 4.51)
home elo: -15.00 (path difference 1.16)
home adjusted epa: +8.58 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted second level yards: +6.56 (path difference 2.02)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +6.51 (path difference 1.50)
home adjusted rushing epa: -6.10 (path difference 1.96)
away adjusted success: -5.12 (path difference 1.07)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +5.06 (path difference 1.12)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.64 (path difference 3.32)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.12 (path difference 2.29)
home adjusted line yards: -4.00 (path difference 0.94)
home adjusted success allowed: -3.88 (path difference 0.86)
home adjusted success: -3.48 (path difference 0.91)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.34 (path difference 0.59)
home adjusted open field yards: -2.75 (path difference 2.42)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.72 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: +2.32 (path difference 1.70)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.28 (path difference 2.41)
away adjusted explosiveness: +2.24 (path difference 0.22)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.24 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted line yards: -2.10 (path difference 1.34)
home talent: +2.05 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted epa allowed: -2.04 (path difference 0.13)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.90 (path difference 0.34)
week: -1.33 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +1.33 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted epa allowed: -1.30 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.10 (path difference 0.16)
away adjusted success allowed: +1.06 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.91 (path difference 0.72)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.83 (path difference 1.86)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.80 (path difference 0.83)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.72 (path difference 0.46)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.67 (path difference 2.24)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.64 (path difference 1.36)
away conference: +0.59 (path difference 1.27)
away adjusted epa: -0.52 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted rushing epa: +0.51 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.42 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.42 (path difference 0.02)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.33 (path difference 0.82)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.30 (path difference 0.91)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.28 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.24 (path difference 0.40)
home conference: +0.18 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted passing epa: -0.17 (path difference 0.41)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.13 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.08 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.08 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.04)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.09)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.06 (path difference 0.00)
away talent: +0.05 (path difference 0.01)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.03 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted passing epa: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 54.02 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 0ee9a601a04f839892f8e9f3ad0b58f047be238996752cf2d0889ed5156c39d6 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast bf7e33c8214d2c75c65124b9ae5c621673de4fcbc270dd803e07d8024d8abb64 · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Georgia State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 98 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Qwantavius Wiggins CFBD athlete 5244023 Week 7 vs James Madison: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.838 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arkansas State: 8 attempts · 12.4 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.713 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Coastal Carolina: 11 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 36.4% success · 0.211 raw PPA.	24	8.8	0	24.5%	64 / 7.0
DJ Murray Jr. CFBD athlete 5146273 Week 7 vs James Madison: 9 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.026 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arkansas State: 8 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.656 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Coastal Carolina: 6 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.239 raw PPA.	23	6.6	0	23.5%	44 / 5.8
Ayden Pereira CFBD athlete 5083490 Week 7 vs James Madison: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.464 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arkansas State: 6 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.027 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Coastal Carolina: 12 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.332 raw PPA.	20	2.9	3	20.4%	28 / 3.6
Lanear McCrary Jr. CFBD athlete 5233868 Week 7 vs James Madison: 9 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.220 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arkansas State: 4 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.417 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Coastal Carolina: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.305 raw PPA.	15	2.8	0	15.3%	83 / 4.8
Cameran Brown CFBD athlete 5193926 Week 7 vs James Madison: 9 attempts · 7.9 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.504 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Arkansas State: 5 attempts · -1.8 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.290 raw PPA.	14	4.4	4	14.3%	40 / 4.3

App State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 93 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Henry Hasselbeck CFBD athlete 5146664 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 21 attempts · 6.0 YPC · 61.9% success · 0.287 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 7 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.113 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia Southern: 1 attempts · -2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.333 raw PPA.	29	4.6	1	31.2%	44 / 5.5
Jaquari Lewis CFBD athlete 5156152 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 12 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 83.3% success · 0.869 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 13 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 23.1% success · 0.198 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia Southern: 3 attempts · 3.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.407 raw PPA.	28	6.1	0	30.1%	85 / 5.1
Malachi Singleton CFBD athlete 4870999 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 3 attempts · -6.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -5.627 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 5 attempts · -0.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.289 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Georgia Southern: 9 attempts · -1.4 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.534 raw PPA.	17	-1.9	7	18.3%	50 / -0.1
Ja'Quez Cross CFBD athlete 4700811 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 6 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.109 raw PPA. Week 8 vs James Madison: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.535 raw PPA.	9	3.3	0	9.7%	32 / 4.7
J'Marion Burnette CFBD athlete 5079360 Week 7 vs Coastal Carolina: 6 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.208 raw PPA.	6	3.5	0	6.5%	6 / 3.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	App StateOffense	Georgia StateDefense	Georgia StateOffense	App StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.13 52nd	+0.06 54th	+0.19 70th	+0.08 50th
Success rate	42.9% 55th	38.7% 69th	45.4% 69th	41.3% 44th
Explosiveness	1.26 57th	1.24 45th	1.24 51st	1.14 85th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 47th	+0.01 58th	+0.13 68th	+0.05 43rd
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.24 52nd	+0.17 59th	+0.35 74th	+0.15 63rd
Havoc allowed / created	16.6% 26th	18.0% 77th	11.7% 91st	15.3% 44th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:10 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:10 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

James London · App State · PAAR 3.79 · 16 attempts
Samer Layous · Georgia State · PAAR 2.65 · 13 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

App State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -3.5 · Snapshot spread: -6

First locally observed: -3.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence