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South Alabama at Louisiana

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

South Alabama

Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T22:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Jared Hollins QB
3 games
32.1%
25 / 78 plays
63.2%
12 / 19 plays
Keenan Phillips RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
23 / 46 plays
PJ Martin RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
42.9%
18 / 42 plays
Trae'von Dunbar RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.1%
8 / 17 plays
Micah Woods WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Rod Gibbs TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 59 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aleksi Pulkkinen · P

CFBD athlete 5160230

punting · In 20
13
punting · LONG
53
punting · NO
25
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
951
punting · YPP
38.0
Andrew Hines · DL

CFBD athlete 5301748

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Andrew Washburn · DL

CFBD athlete 5081853

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Anthony Eager · WR

CFBD athlete 5075529

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
69
receiving · REC
20
receiving · TD
6
receiving · YDS
450
receiving · YPR
22.5
Baxter Turner · LS

CFBD athlete 5160239

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Bishop Davenport · QB

CFBD athlete 4869553

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
59
passing · COMPLETIONS
40
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.678
passing · TD
3
passing · YDS
450
passing · YPA
7.6
rushing · CAR
20
rushing · LONG
27
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
73
rushing · YPC
3.7
Bradley Thomas · CB

CFBD athlete 5154353

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Brendan Jenkins · WR

CFBD athlete 5156183

receiving · LONG
72
receiving · REC
27
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
451
receiving · YPR
16.7
Caleb Wynn · RB

CFBD athlete 5290624

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
56
rushing · YPC
11.2
Cam McFarlin · TE

CFBD athlete 5395313

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Camen Upshaw · S

CFBD athlete 5161855

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Christian Ross · LB

CFBD athlete 5087083

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
8
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Colby Williams · CB

CFBD athlete 5239859

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Cole Blaylock · S

CFBD athlete 5097969

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
46
puntReturns · AVG
12.0
puntReturns · LONG
12
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
12
Cube Gurley · CB

CFBD athlete 5148584

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
D.J. Moore · S

CFBD athlete 4840124

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
interceptions · AVG
13.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
13
Dallas Young · S

CFBD athlete 4871084

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
36
Damyrion Darby · CB

CFBD athlete 5192954

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
19
interceptions · AVG
19.3
interceptions · INT
3
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
58
Davis Little · PK

CFBD athlete 5185701

kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
9
kicking · LONG
42
kicking · PCT
0.750
kicking · PTS
58
kicking · XPA
33
kicking · XPM
31
Deon Callins · S

CFBD athlete 5278663

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Deuce Vance · CB

CFBD athlete 5238145

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
E'Mauri Smiley · DL

CFBD athlete 5217871

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
18
Emmanuel Waller · DL

CFBD athlete 4871087

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Everett Hunter · TE

CFBD athlete 5151609

receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
13
receiving · YPR
6.5
Jacob Porco · LB

CFBD athlete 5220206

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jamal Siler · OL

CFBD athlete 5198261

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jared Hollins · QB

CFBD athlete 5148858

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
156
passing · COMPLETIONS
82
passing · INT
4
passing · PCT
0.526
passing · TD
9
passing · YDS
1195
passing · YPA
7.7
rushing · CAR
48
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
150
rushing · YPC
3.1
Jaylen Moson · CB

CFBD athlete 5077268

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
22
interceptions · AVG
12.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
12
Jayvon Henderson · S

CFBD athlete 5084551

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
36
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5295064

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
10.0
puntReturns · LONG
14
puntReturns · NO
2
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
20
receiving · LONG
40
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
266
receiving · YPR
11.6
Jordon Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5160232

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
38
Julyon Jordan · RB

CFBD athlete 5220588

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kaleb Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 5220200

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Kam Robinson · S

CFBD athlete 5395309

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Kaydon Degraffenreid · LB

CFBD athlete 5227211

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Keenan Phillips · RB

CFBD athlete 5295070

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
27.9
kickReturns · LONG
100
kickReturns · NO
12
kickReturns · TD
1
kickReturns · YDS
335
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
62
receiving · YPR
6.9
rushing · CAR
107
rushing · LONG
42
rushing · TD
6
rushing · YDS
576
rushing · YPC
5.4
Kohl Bradley · S

CFBD athlete 5221511

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Masey Lewis · DL

CFBD athlete 5084222

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
29
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
4.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
4
Matthew Laseter · S

CFBD athlete 5220201

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Micah Woods · WR

CFBD athlete 5151368

receiving · LONG
49
receiving · REC
9
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
142
receiving · YPR
15.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Noah Toster · WR

CFBD athlete 5220194

receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
28
receiving · YPR
14.0
PJ Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 5124334

kickReturns · AVG
20.0
kickReturns · LONG
28
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
40
receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
10
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
52
receiving · YPR
5.2
rushing · CAR
118
rushing · LONG
33
rushing · TD
7
rushing · YDS
552
rushing · YPC
4.7
Parker Shattuck · LB

CFBD athlete 5148775

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
12
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
26
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Perry Hand · LB

CFBD athlete 5395312

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Peyton Argent · PK

CFBD athlete 5154342

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Rod Gibbs · TE

CFBD athlete 5220195

receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
120
receiving · YPR
9.2
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
26
rushing · YPC
26.0
Rodney Hunter · DL

CFBD athlete 5395316

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Seidrion Langston · LB

CFBD athlete 5220224

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
21
Stephen Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5078047

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
16
Teryn Green · S

CFBD athlete 5274334

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Trae Stevenson · WR

CFBD athlete 5222214

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
35
receiving · YPR
11.7
Trae'von Dunbar · RB

CFBD athlete 5079412

receiving · LONG
17
receiving · REC
4
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
6.5
rushing · CAR
57
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
295
rushing · YPC
5.2
Tre Webb III · CB

CFBD athlete 5395308

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Tre'Darius Brown · DL

CFBD athlete 5041959

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
13
Tre'Mon Henry · LB

CFBD athlete 4870769

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
17
Tyler Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 5146853

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
13
William Felton IV · LB

CFBD athlete 5220202

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4
defensive · TOT
15
Xavious Anderson Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5290934

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
3
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
24
Zechariah Hall · LB

CFBD athlete 5266922

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1

Louisiana

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T22:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
D'Wayne' Winfield QB
3 games
40.0%
36 / 90 plays
37.1%
13 / 35 plays
Steven Blanco RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
53.3%
16 / 30 plays
JJ Garner RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
22.7%
5 / 22 plays
Anthony Reagan Jr. RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
47.4%
9 / 19 plays
Russell Babineaux WR
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Daniel Beale QB
1 games
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
—
0 / 0 plays
Ke'Rynn Smith RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Trenton Chaney WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
1 / 2 plays
Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Anthony Reagan Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5227209

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
24.0
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
2
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
48
receiving · LONG
31
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
64
receiving · YPR
9.1
rushing · CAR
58
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
240
rushing · YPC
4.1
Ashley Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5080480

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
18
Ashton Wright · DL

CFBD athlete 5194799

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
4
Avery Demery · CB

CFBD athlete 5148279

defensive · PD
5
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Brent Gordon Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5222655

defensive · PD
13
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
45
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
puntReturns · AVG
10.9
puntReturns · LONG
36
puntReturns · NO
7
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
76
Brock Chappell · TE

CFBD athlete 5153377

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
153
receiving · YPR
10.9
Brodrick Stewart · DL

CFBD athlete 5152513

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Caden Jensen · TE

CFBD athlete 5156928

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
169
receiving · YPR
12.1
Cam Riley · CB

CFBD athlete 5222656

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Chase Edwards · DE

CFBD athlete 5102933

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
12
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Chase Howard · DL

CFBD athlete 5258338

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Collin Jacob · S

CFBD athlete 5082452

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
22
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
29
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Conor McPherson · LB

CFBD athlete 5194797

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
29
D'Wayne' Winfield · QB

CFBD athlete 4871091

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
196
passing · COMPLETIONS
130
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.663
passing · TD
6
passing · YDS
1457
passing · YPA
7.4
rushing · CAR
109
rushing · LONG
32
rushing · TD
9
rushing · YDS
464
rushing · YPC
4.3
Daniel Beale · QB

CFBD athlete 5146661

passing · ATT
10
passing · COMPLETIONS
7
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.700
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
90
passing · YPA
9.0
rushing · CAR
4
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-0.3
Darrell Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5222657

fumbles · FUM
3
fumbles · LOST
2
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
30
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
2
rushing · YDS
156
rushing · YPC
5.2
Ethan Veal · LB

CFBD athlete 5194813

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Fitzgerald West Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4702749

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
21
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-2
rushing · YPC
-2.0
Harrison Kidder · LB

CFBD athlete 5327540

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
9
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Hayden Darbonne · LB

CFBD athlete 5156918

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
JJ Garner · RB

CFBD athlete 5258999

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
38
receiving · YPR
5.4
rushing · CAR
51
rushing · LONG
42
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
304
rushing · YPC
6.0
Ja'Corian Norris · WR

CFBD athlete 5197074

kickReturns · AVG
23.3
kickReturns · LONG
46
kickReturns · NO
10
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
233
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
0
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
0
passing · YPA
0.0
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
21
receiving · YPR
10.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
4
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
4
rushing · YPC
4.0
Jake St. Andre · LB

CFBD athlete 4875458

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
59
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Jayden Glosten · DB

CFBD athlete 5295963

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Jayden Reed · S

CFBD athlete 5274374

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Jaydon Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 4833238

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jeremiah Moses · CB

CFBD athlete 5092454

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Kailep Edwards · LB

CFBD athlete 4702748

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
4
Ke'Rynn Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5200377

rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
6
rushing · YPC
3.0
Kedarius Wade · WR

CFBD athlete 5122096

receiving · LONG
47
receiving · REC
13
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
279
receiving · YPR
21.5
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
1
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
1
rushing · YPC
1.0
Kerry Wilson · S

CFBD athlete 5096294

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Kody Jackson · S

CFBD athlete 5122087

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
25
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Kristion Brooks · WR

CFBD athlete 5290570

receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
117
receiving · YPR
10.6
Lake Bates · S

CFBD athlete 5221110

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
28
Lance Williams · DE

CFBD athlete 5121764

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
19
Landon Strother · WR

CFBD athlete 5221103

receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
12
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
116
receiving · YPR
9.7
rushing · CAR
2
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
8.0
Lester Jones · LB

CFBD athlete 5156925

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
8
Logan Klotz · PK

CFBD athlete 4875456

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Luke Green · S

CFBD athlete 5327507

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Mason Golding · P

CFBD athlete 5327506

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
punting · In 20
14
punting · LONG
54
punting · NO
33
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
1308
punting · YPP
39.6
Maurion Eleam · S

CFBD athlete 5082458

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
44
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
0
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
Maxie Baudoin IV · DL

CFBD athlete 5091737

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
11
Micah Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5122112

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.0
defensive · TOT
41
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
2
Na'Tori Brown · LB

CFBD athlete 5221106

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Priest Ashe · DL

CFBD athlete 5156855

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
11
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Princeton Malbrue · LB

CFBD athlete 4713312

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
6
Quandre Coates · TE

CFBD athlete 5207650

receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
12
receiving · YPR
12.0
Rahji Dennis · WR

CFBD athlete 5146163

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
5
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
5
receiving · YPR
5.0
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
23
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
23
rushing · YPC
23.0
Russell Babineaux · WR

CFBD athlete 5141364

receiving · LONG
27
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
138
receiving · YPR
8.1
rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
16
rushing · YPC
5.3
Shelton Sampson Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4871010

receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
124
receiving · YPR
15.5
Steven Blanco · RB

CFBD athlete 5194804

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
15.0
kickReturns · LONG
15
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
15
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
26
receiving · YPR
5.2
rushing · CAR
67
rushing · LONG
16
rushing · TD
4
rushing · YDS
243
rushing · YPC
3.6
Steven Ranel Ii · S

CFBD athlete 5258340

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Teddy Gawlik · TE

CFBD athlete 5221109

kickReturns · AVG
2.0
kickReturns · LONG
2
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
2
receiving · LONG
29
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
59
receiving · YPR
9.8
Tito Chikere · DE

CFBD athlete 5227698

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
5
Tony Sterner · PK

CFBD athlete 5096880

kicking · FGA
12
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
47
kicking · PCT
0.917
kicking · PTS
61
kicking · XPA
28
kicking · XPM
28
Trenton Chaney · WR

CFBD athlete 5222654

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
41
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
217
receiving · YPR
12.8
rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
25
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
43
rushing · YPC
8.6

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Louisiana -7.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Louisiana by 13.16

5.66 points toward Louisiana versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Louisiana.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +9.16
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 13.16 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 8877e9a34795f6799162b3afab46848691d0886cdef40ffbf51768457d62da83 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 26ef74ffc44b93661204c380bbe83cde7d2f150b3e9f51864e96e009493c3507 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Louisiana · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-7.5-7.50.0
Model spread-13.16-13.160.0
Model gap+5.66+5.660.0

Negative spreads favor Louisiana; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 8877e9a34795f6799162b3afab46848691d0886cdef40ffbf51768457d62da83. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Louisiana -7.5

Model gap +5.7 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Louisiana.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Louisiana win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
70%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Louisiana -7.5
Stacked ensemble
82%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Louisiana.

  • away elo: +12.39 (path difference 10.60)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +7.79 (path difference 6.20)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.07 (path difference 5.85)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -5.67 (path difference 4.26)
  • home adjusted epa: +4.44 (path difference 5.83)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: +4.18 (path difference 3.31)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.98 (path difference 3.02)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.88 (path difference 2.30)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.53 (path difference 5.39)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +3.05 (path difference 0.41)
  • away adjusted success: -3.00 (path difference 2.21)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: +2.90 (path difference 3.59)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.84 (path difference 2.86)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.95 (path difference 0.27)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.92 (path difference 1.93)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -1.85 (path difference 1.94)
  • home adjusted success allowed: +1.81 (path difference 2.53)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.56)
  • home adjusted success: -1.49 (path difference 0.97)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.37 (path difference 0.18)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.36 (path difference 2.03)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.30 (path difference 2.94)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -1.29 (path difference 1.28)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.22 (path difference 0.07)
  • home elo: -1.02 (path difference 0.87)
  • week: -0.90 (path difference 0.89)
  • home talent: +0.89 (path difference 0.37)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.82 (path difference 1.39)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.81 (path difference 0.71)
  • away adjusted epa: -0.74 (path difference 0.44)
  • away adjusted line yards: -0.72 (path difference 1.43)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.68 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -0.61 (path difference 0.63)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.59 (path difference 0.02)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.56 (path difference 1.72)
  • away conference: +0.55 (path difference 1.35)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.55 (path difference 0.51)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -0.48 (path difference 0.94)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.44 (path difference 0.53)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.41 (path difference 0.95)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.31 (path difference 1.84)
  • home conference: +0.27 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.24 (path difference 1.75)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.71)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.22 (path difference 0.16)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.20 (path difference 1.43)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.49)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.30)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.76)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.13 (path difference 1.24)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.12 (path difference 0.06)
  • home adjusted line yards: -0.11 (path difference 0.37)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +0.06 (path difference 0.77)
  • away talent: +0.04 (path difference 0.01)
  • home adjusted standard down success: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 82.16 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 6d8792a1248ec214e089c381522da00b88387247dd1794d0a1762030bfa81e9a · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 1edf6c3c3160f8a1cefa956e50c3a6727f5c9fb99f738c4d0e56577661d2af69 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

South Alabama

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 130 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Keenan Phillips

CFBD athlete 5295070

Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 19 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 52.6% success · 0.593 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Marshall: 16 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.288 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 11 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 27.3% success · -0.394 raw PPA.

466.3035.4%107 / 5.4
PJ Martin

CFBD athlete 5124334

Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 16 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.440 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Marshall: 14 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.095 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 12 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.330 raw PPA.

425.3032.3%118 / 4.7
Jared Hollins

CFBD athlete 5148858

Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 4 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 75.0% success · 1.365 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Marshall: 6 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.458 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 13 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.308 raw PPA.

233.0417.7%46 / 3.0
Trae'von Dunbar

CFBD athlete 5079412

Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 5 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.003 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Marshall: 5 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.019 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.010 raw PPA.

173.9013.1%57 / 5.2
Micah Woods

CFBD athlete 5151368

Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.723 raw PPA.

11.000.8%1 / 1.0

Louisiana

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 119 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
D'Wayne' Winfield

CFBD athlete 4871091

Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 12 attempts · 1.9 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.326 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Troy: 15 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.255 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 13 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.092 raw PPA.

402.4533.6%109 / 4.2
Steven Blanco

CFBD athlete 5194804

Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.266 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Troy: 10 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.271 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 13 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.449 raw PPA.

303.9025.2%65 / 3.8
JJ Garner

CFBD athlete 5258999

Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.250 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Troy: 8 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.386 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 7 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.291 raw PPA.

224.8018.5%49 / 5.3
Anthony Reagan Jr.

CFBD athlete 5227209

Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.477 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Troy: 11 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.323 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.136 raw PPA.

194.2016.0%57 / 4.0
Russell Babineaux

CFBD athlete 5141364

Week 7 vs Troy: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.437 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 1 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.909 raw PPA.

25.501.7%3 / 5.3

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureLouisianaOffenseSouth AlabamaDefenseSouth AlabamaOffenseLouisianaDefense
PPA/play
+0.12
46th
+0.24
8th
+0.15
59th
-0.05
90th
Success rate
43.5%
60th
49.5%
1st
42.6%
51st
41.1%
45th
Explosiveness
1.15
18th
1.30
22nd
1.32
82nd
1.11
92nd
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.07
40th
+0.23
3rd
+0.06
36th
-0.14
93rd
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.22
44th
+0.25
31st
+0.36
75th
+0.14
64th
Havoc allowed / created
13.6%
68th
15.5%
47th
13.8%
65th
16.8%
66th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:37 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:36 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Tony Sterner · Louisiana · PAAR 6.77 · 12 attempts
  • Davis Little · South Alabama · PAAR -0.98 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Louisiana spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -5.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 57.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 58.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -360 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +285 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5

First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 58 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 58 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -370 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -370 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +290 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +290 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Louisiana

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Sun Belt

67th FBS percentile

South Alabama

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Sun Belt

25th FBS percentile

Travel

South Alabama travels 240 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025).

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Louisiana leads 10–4 in 14 meetings since 2012.

  • 2025Louisiana at South Alabama31–22 · Louisiana
  • 2024South Alabama at Louisiana24–22 · South Alabama
  • 2023Louisiana at South Alabama33–20 · Louisiana
  • 2022South Alabama at Louisiana20–17 · South Alabama
  • 2021Louisiana at South Alabama20–18 · Louisiana
  • 2020South Alabama at Louisiana10–38 · Louisiana

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.