Week 10 · 2026
South Alabama at Louisiana
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
South Alabama
Window: 2026-10-31 (reported) · 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T22:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Hollins QB 3 games | 32.1% 25 / 78 plays | 63.2% 12 / 19 plays |
| Keenan Phillips RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 23 / 46 plays |
| PJ Martin RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 42.9% 18 / 42 plays |
| Trae'von Dunbar RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.1% 8 / 17 plays |
| Micah Woods WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Rod Gibbs TE 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 59 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aleksi Pulkkinen · P
CFBD athlete 5160230
- punting · In 20
- 13
- punting · LONG
- 53
- punting · NO
- 25
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 951
- punting · YPP
- 38.0
Andrew Hines · DL
CFBD athlete 5301748
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Andrew Washburn · DL
CFBD athlete 5081853
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Anthony Eager · WR
CFBD athlete 5075529
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 69
- receiving · REC
- 20
- receiving · TD
- 6
- receiving · YDS
- 450
- receiving · YPR
- 22.5
Baxter Turner · LS
CFBD athlete 5160239
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Bishop Davenport · QB
CFBD athlete 4869553
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 59
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 40
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.678
- passing · TD
- 3
- passing · YDS
- 450
- passing · YPA
- 7.6
- rushing · CAR
- 20
- rushing · LONG
- 27
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 73
- rushing · YPC
- 3.7
Bradley Thomas · CB
CFBD athlete 5154353
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Brendan Jenkins · WR
CFBD athlete 5156183
- receiving · LONG
- 72
- receiving · REC
- 27
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 451
- receiving · YPR
- 16.7
Caleb Wynn · RB
CFBD athlete 5290624
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 56
- rushing · YPC
- 11.2
Cam McFarlin · TE
CFBD athlete 5395313
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Camen Upshaw · S
CFBD athlete 5161855
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Christian Ross · LB
CFBD athlete 5087083
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 8
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Colby Williams · CB
CFBD athlete 5239859
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Cole Blaylock · S
CFBD athlete 5097969
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 46
- puntReturns · AVG
- 12.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 12
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 12
Cube Gurley · CB
CFBD athlete 5148584
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
D.J. Moore · S
CFBD athlete 4840124
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
- interceptions · AVG
- 13.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 13
Dallas Young · S
CFBD athlete 4871084
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
Damyrion Darby · CB
CFBD athlete 5192954
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
- interceptions · AVG
- 19.3
- interceptions · INT
- 3
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 58
Davis Little · PK
CFBD athlete 5185701
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 9
- kicking · LONG
- 42
- kicking · PCT
- 0.750
- kicking · PTS
- 58
- kicking · XPA
- 33
- kicking · XPM
- 31
Deon Callins · S
CFBD athlete 5278663
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Deuce Vance · CB
CFBD athlete 5238145
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
E'Mauri Smiley · DL
CFBD athlete 5217871
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Emmanuel Waller · DL
CFBD athlete 4871087
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Everett Hunter · TE
CFBD athlete 5151609
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
Jacob Porco · LB
CFBD athlete 5220206
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jamal Siler · OL
CFBD athlete 5198261
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jared Hollins · QB
CFBD athlete 5148858
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 156
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 82
- passing · INT
- 4
- passing · PCT
- 0.526
- passing · TD
- 9
- passing · YDS
- 1195
- passing · YPA
- 7.7
- rushing · CAR
- 48
- rushing · LONG
- 18
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 150
- rushing · YPC
- 3.1
Jaylen Moson · CB
CFBD athlete 5077268
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- interceptions · AVG
- 12.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 12
Jayvon Henderson · S
CFBD athlete 5084551
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas · WR
CFBD athlete 5295064
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 14
- puntReturns · NO
- 2
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 20
- receiving · LONG
- 40
- receiving · REC
- 23
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 266
- receiving · YPR
- 11.6
Jordon Williams · LB
CFBD athlete 5160232
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 38
Julyon Jordan · RB
CFBD athlete 5220588
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kaleb Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 5220200
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Kam Robinson · S
CFBD athlete 5395309
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Kaydon Degraffenreid · LB
CFBD athlete 5227211
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Keenan Phillips · RB
CFBD athlete 5295070
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 27.9
- kickReturns · LONG
- 100
- kickReturns · NO
- 12
- kickReturns · TD
- 1
- kickReturns · YDS
- 335
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 62
- receiving · YPR
- 6.9
- rushing · CAR
- 107
- rushing · LONG
- 42
- rushing · TD
- 6
- rushing · YDS
- 576
- rushing · YPC
- 5.4
Kohl Bradley · S
CFBD athlete 5221511
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Masey Lewis · DL
CFBD athlete 5084222
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 29
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 4.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 4
Matthew Laseter · S
CFBD athlete 5220201
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Micah Woods · WR
CFBD athlete 5151368
- receiving · LONG
- 49
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 142
- receiving · YPR
- 15.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 1
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 1
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Noah Toster · WR
CFBD athlete 5220194
- receiving · LONG
- 23
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 28
- receiving · YPR
- 14.0
PJ Martin · RB
CFBD athlete 5124334
- kickReturns · AVG
- 20.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 28
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 40
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 52
- receiving · YPR
- 5.2
- rushing · CAR
- 118
- rushing · LONG
- 33
- rushing · TD
- 7
- rushing · YDS
- 552
- rushing · YPC
- 4.7
Parker Shattuck · LB
CFBD athlete 5148775
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 26
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Perry Hand · LB
CFBD athlete 5395312
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Peyton Argent · PK
CFBD athlete 5154342
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Rod Gibbs · TE
CFBD athlete 5220195
- receiving · LONG
- 34
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 120
- receiving · YPR
- 9.2
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 26
- rushing · YPC
- 26.0
Rodney Hunter · DL
CFBD athlete 5395316
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Seidrion Langston · LB
CFBD athlete 5220224
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 21
Stephen Johnson · DL
CFBD athlete 5078047
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 16
Teryn Green · S
CFBD athlete 5274334
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Trae Stevenson · WR
CFBD athlete 5222214
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 35
- receiving · YPR
- 11.7
Trae'von Dunbar · RB
CFBD athlete 5079412
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 26
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
- rushing · CAR
- 57
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 295
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Tre Webb III · CB
CFBD athlete 5395308
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Tre'Darius Brown · DL
CFBD athlete 5041959
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
Tre'Mon Henry · LB
CFBD athlete 4870769
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Tyler Carter · DL
CFBD athlete 5146853
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 13
William Felton IV · LB
CFBD athlete 5220202
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Xavious Anderson Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5290934
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Zechariah Hall · LB
CFBD athlete 5266922
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Louisiana
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T22:00:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| D'Wayne' Winfield QB 3 games | 40.0% 36 / 90 plays | 37.1% 13 / 35 plays |
| Steven Blanco RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 53.3% 16 / 30 plays |
| JJ Garner RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 22.7% 5 / 22 plays |
| Anthony Reagan Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 47.4% 9 / 19 plays |
| Russell Babineaux WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
| Daniel Beale QB 1 games | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays | — 0 / 0 plays |
| Ke'Rynn Smith RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 2 plays |
| Trenton Chaney WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 50.0% 1 / 2 plays |
Traditional season production · 56 players
Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Anthony Reagan Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5227209
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 24.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 29
- kickReturns · NO
- 2
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 48
- receiving · LONG
- 31
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 64
- receiving · YPR
- 9.1
- rushing · CAR
- 58
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 3
- rushing · YDS
- 240
- rushing · YPC
- 4.1
Ashley Williams · LB
CFBD athlete 5080480
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Ashton Wright · DL
CFBD athlete 5194799
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Avery Demery · CB
CFBD athlete 5148279
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 19
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 30
- interceptions · AVG
- 5.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 5
Brent Gordon Jr. · CB
CFBD athlete 5222655
- defensive · PD
- 13
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 45
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
- puntReturns · AVG
- 10.9
- puntReturns · LONG
- 36
- puntReturns · NO
- 7
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 76
Brock Chappell · TE
CFBD athlete 5153377
- receiving · LONG
- 37
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 153
- receiving · YPR
- 10.9
Brodrick Stewart · DL
CFBD athlete 5152513
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Caden Jensen · TE
CFBD athlete 5156928
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 169
- receiving · YPR
- 12.1
Cam Riley · CB
CFBD athlete 5222656
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
Chase Edwards · DE
CFBD athlete 5102933
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Chase Howard · DL
CFBD athlete 5258338
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Collin Jacob · S
CFBD athlete 5082452
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 22
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 29
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Conor McPherson · LB
CFBD athlete 5194797
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 29
D'Wayne' Winfield · QB
CFBD athlete 4871091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 196
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 130
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.663
- passing · TD
- 6
- passing · YDS
- 1457
- passing · YPA
- 7.4
- rushing · CAR
- 109
- rushing · LONG
- 32
- rushing · TD
- 9
- rushing · YDS
- 464
- rushing · YPC
- 4.3
Daniel Beale · QB
CFBD athlete 5146661
- passing · ATT
- 10
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 7
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.700
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 90
- passing · YPA
- 9.0
- rushing · CAR
- 4
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -1
- rushing · YPC
- -0.3
Darrell Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 5222657
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 6
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 4.5
- rushing · CAR
- 30
- rushing · LONG
- 26
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 156
- rushing · YPC
- 5.2
Ethan Veal · LB
CFBD athlete 5194813
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Fitzgerald West Jr. · DL
CFBD athlete 4702749
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Harrison Kidder · LB
CFBD athlete 5327540
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Hayden Darbonne · LB
CFBD athlete 5156918
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
JJ Garner · RB
CFBD athlete 5258999
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 38
- receiving · YPR
- 5.4
- rushing · CAR
- 51
- rushing · LONG
- 42
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 304
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Ja'Corian Norris · WR
CFBD athlete 5197074
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 46
- kickReturns · NO
- 10
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 233
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 21
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Jake St. Andre · LB
CFBD athlete 4875458
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 31
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 59
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Jayden Glosten · DB
CFBD athlete 5295963
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jayden Reed · S
CFBD athlete 5274374
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jaydon Johnson · WR
CFBD athlete 4833238
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jeremiah Moses · CB
CFBD athlete 5092454
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Kailep Edwards · LB
CFBD athlete 4702748
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Ke'Rynn Smith · RB
CFBD athlete 5200377
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 6
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
Kedarius Wade · WR
CFBD athlete 5122096
- receiving · LONG
- 47
- receiving · REC
- 13
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 279
- receiving · YPR
- 21.5
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 1
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 1
- rushing · YPC
- 1.0
Kerry Wilson · S
CFBD athlete 5096294
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Kody Jackson · S
CFBD athlete 5122087
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Kristion Brooks · WR
CFBD athlete 5290570
- receiving · LONG
- 14
- receiving · REC
- 11
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 117
- receiving · YPR
- 10.6
Lake Bates · S
CFBD athlete 5221110
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 28
Lance Williams · DE
CFBD athlete 5121764
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 5
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Landon Strother · WR
CFBD athlete 5221103
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 116
- receiving · YPR
- 9.7
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 16
- rushing · YPC
- 8.0
Lester Jones · LB
CFBD athlete 5156925
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Logan Klotz · PK
CFBD athlete 4875456
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Luke Green · S
CFBD athlete 5327507
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Mason Golding · P
CFBD athlete 5327506
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- punting · In 20
- 14
- punting · LONG
- 54
- punting · NO
- 33
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 1308
- punting · YPP
- 39.6
Maurion Eleam · S
CFBD athlete 5082458
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 26
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 44
- kickReturns · AVG
- 0.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 0
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 0
Maxie Baudoin IV · DL
CFBD athlete 5091737
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 11
Micah Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5122112
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 41
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Na'Tori Brown · LB
CFBD athlete 5221106
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Priest Ashe · DL
CFBD athlete 5156855
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 11
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Princeton Malbrue · LB
CFBD athlete 4713312
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Quandre Coates · TE
CFBD athlete 5207650
- receiving · LONG
- 12
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 12
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Rahji Dennis · WR
CFBD athlete 5146163
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 5
- receiving · REC
- 1
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 5
- receiving · YPR
- 5.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 23
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 23
- rushing · YPC
- 23.0
Russell Babineaux · WR
CFBD athlete 5141364
- receiving · LONG
- 27
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 138
- receiving · YPR
- 8.1
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 9
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 16
- rushing · YPC
- 5.3
Shelton Sampson Jr. · WR
CFBD athlete 4871010
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 8
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 124
- receiving · YPR
- 15.5
Steven Blanco · RB
CFBD athlete 5194804
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 15.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 15
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 15
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 26
- receiving · YPR
- 5.2
- rushing · CAR
- 67
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 243
- rushing · YPC
- 3.6
Steven Ranel Ii · S
CFBD athlete 5258340
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Teddy Gawlik · TE
CFBD athlete 5221109
- kickReturns · AVG
- 2.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 2
- kickReturns · NO
- 1
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 59
- receiving · YPR
- 9.8
Tito Chikere · DE
CFBD athlete 5227698
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Tony Sterner · PK
CFBD athlete 5096880
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 11
- kicking · LONG
- 47
- kicking · PCT
- 0.917
- kicking · PTS
- 61
- kicking · XPA
- 28
- kicking · XPM
- 28
Trenton Chaney · WR
CFBD athlete 5222654
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 217
- receiving · YPR
- 12.8
- rushing · CAR
- 5
- rushing · LONG
- 25
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 43
- rushing · YPC
- 8.6
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
Louisiana -7.5
EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.
CFBD median · DraftKings quote matches
Louisiana by 13.16
5.66 points toward Louisiana versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Louisiana.
- Net EPA rating difference: +9.16
- Fitted offset: +5.20
- Fitted home field: -1.20
Reconciles to 13.16 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 8877e9a34795f6799162b3afab46848691d0886cdef40ffbf51768457d62da83 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 26ef74ffc44b93661204c380bbe83cde7d2f150b3e9f51864e96e009493c3507 · through week 9.
What changed?
7 saved cards for this gameNo change in spread, forecast or model gap.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -7.5 | -7.5 | 0.0 |
| Model spread | -13.16 | -13.16 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +5.66 | +5.66 | 0.0 |
Negative spreads favor Louisiana; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
- Odds source SHA-256
- 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
- Odds source SHA-256
- d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
Model context & pick method
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 8877e9a34795f6799162b3afab46848691d0886cdef40ffbf51768457d62da83. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
Margins are not projected scores.
Pick logic
Louisiana -7.5
Model gap +5.7 points
A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Louisiana.
Win probabilities · separate sources
Louisiana win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 70%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Louisiana -7.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 82%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Louisiana.
- away elo: +12.39 (path difference 10.60)
- away adjusted success allowed: +7.79 (path difference 6.20)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +7.07 (path difference 5.85)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -5.67 (path difference 4.26)
- home adjusted epa: +4.44 (path difference 5.83)
- away adjusted epa allowed: +4.18 (path difference 3.31)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.98 (path difference 3.02)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.88 (path difference 2.30)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.53 (path difference 5.39)
- home adjusted second level yards: +3.05 (path difference 0.41)
- away adjusted success: -3.00 (path difference 2.21)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +2.90 (path difference 3.59)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.84 (path difference 2.86)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.95 (path difference 0.27)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.92 (path difference 1.93)
- home adjusted passing epa: -1.85 (path difference 1.94)
- home adjusted success allowed: +1.81 (path difference 2.53)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.69 (path difference 0.56)
- home adjusted success: -1.49 (path difference 0.97)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +1.37 (path difference 0.18)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.36 (path difference 2.03)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: +1.30 (path difference 2.94)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -1.29 (path difference 1.28)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.22 (path difference 0.07)
- home elo: -1.02 (path difference 0.87)
- week: -0.90 (path difference 0.89)
- home talent: +0.89 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.82 (path difference 1.39)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.81 (path difference 0.71)
- away adjusted epa: -0.74 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted line yards: -0.72 (path difference 1.43)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.68 (path difference 0.17)
- home adjusted open field yards: -0.61 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.59 (path difference 0.02)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.56 (path difference 1.72)
- away conference: +0.55 (path difference 1.35)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.55 (path difference 0.51)
- away adjusted passing down success: -0.48 (path difference 0.94)
- home adjusted explosiveness: +0.44 (path difference 0.53)
- home adjusted passing down success: +0.41 (path difference 0.95)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.31 (path difference 1.84)
- home conference: +0.27 (path difference 0.33)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.24 (path difference 1.75)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.23 (path difference 0.71)
- away adjusted standard down success: -0.22 (path difference 0.16)
- away adjusted open field yards: -0.20 (path difference 1.43)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.16 (path difference 0.49)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.15 (path difference 0.30)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.15 (path difference 0.76)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.13 (path difference 1.24)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.12 (path difference 0.06)
- home adjusted line yards: -0.11 (path difference 0.37)
- away adjusted second level yards: +0.06 (path difference 0.77)
- away talent: +0.04 (path difference 0.01)
- home adjusted standard down success: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
Reconciles to 82.16 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 6d8792a1248ec214e089c381522da00b88387247dd1794d0a1762030bfa81e9a · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 1edf6c3c3160f8a1cefa956e50c3a6727f5c9fb99f738c4d0e56577661d2af69 · through week 9.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.
South Alabama
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 130 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keenan PhillipsCFBD athlete 5295070 Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 19 attempts · 8.3 YPC · 52.6% success · 0.593 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Marshall: 16 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.288 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 11 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 27.3% success · -0.394 raw PPA. | 46 | 6.3 | 0 | 35.4% | 107 / 5.4 |
PJ MartinCFBD athlete 5124334 Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 16 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 43.8% success · 0.440 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Marshall: 14 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.095 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 12 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 58.3% success · 0.330 raw PPA. | 42 | 5.3 | 0 | 32.3% | 118 / 4.7 |
Jared HollinsCFBD athlete 5148858 Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 4 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 75.0% success · 1.365 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Marshall: 6 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.458 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 13 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.308 raw PPA. | 23 | 3.0 | 4 | 17.7% | 46 / 3.0 |
Trae'von DunbarCFBD athlete 5079412 Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 5 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 60.0% success · -0.003 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Marshall: 5 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.019 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 42.9% success · -0.010 raw PPA. | 17 | 3.9 | 0 | 13.1% | 57 / 5.2 |
Micah WoodsCFBD athlete 5151368 Week 6 vs Arkansas State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.723 raw PPA. | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.8% | 1 / 1.0 |
Louisiana
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 119 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D'Wayne' WinfieldCFBD athlete 4871091 Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 12 attempts · 1.9 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.326 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Troy: 15 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.255 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 13 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.092 raw PPA. | 40 | 2.4 | 5 | 33.6% | 109 / 4.2 |
Steven BlancoCFBD athlete 5194804 Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 4.9 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.266 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Troy: 10 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.271 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 13 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 38.5% success · -0.449 raw PPA. | 30 | 3.9 | 0 | 25.2% | 65 / 3.8 |
JJ GarnerCFBD athlete 5258999 Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 7 attempts · 5.1 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.250 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Troy: 8 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.386 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 7 attempts · 7.4 YPC · 28.6% success · 0.291 raw PPA. | 22 | 4.8 | 0 | 18.5% | 49 / 5.3 |
Anthony Reagan Jr.CFBD athlete 5227209 Week 6 vs Louisiana Tech: 3 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.477 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Troy: 11 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.323 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.136 raw PPA. | 19 | 4.2 | 0 | 16.0% | 57 / 4.0 |
Russell BabineauxCFBD athlete 5141364 Week 7 vs Troy: 1 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.437 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Southern Miss: 1 attempts · 9.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.909 raw PPA. | 2 | 5.5 | 0 | 1.7% | 3 / 5.3 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | LouisianaOffense | South AlabamaDefense | South AlabamaOffense | LouisianaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | +0.12 46th | +0.24 8th | +0.15 59th | -0.05 90th |
| Success rate | 43.5% 60th | 49.5% 1st | 42.6% 51st | 41.1% 45th |
| Explosiveness | 1.15 18th | 1.30 22nd | 1.32 82nd | 1.11 92nd |
| Standard-down PPA/play | +0.07 40th | +0.23 3rd | +0.06 36th | -0.14 93rd |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.22 44th | +0.25 31st | +0.36 75th | +0.14 64th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 13.6% 68th | 15.5% 47th | 13.8% 65th | 16.8% 66th |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:37 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:36 AM CST
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.
- Tony Sterner · Louisiana · PAAR 6.77 · 12 attempts
- Davis Little · South Alabama · PAAR -0.98 · 12 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Louisiana spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -5.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 57.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5
Total · First locally observed: 58.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -310 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -360 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +250 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +285 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -9.5 · Snapshot spread: -7.5
First locally observed: -9.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 58 · Snapshot total: 57.5
Total · First locally observed: 58 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -370 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -370 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +290 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +290 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb
Louisiana
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Sun Belt
South Alabama
Net adjusted EPA/play -0.1 · 8 rated weeks · Sun Belt
Travel
South Alabama travels 240 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025).
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Louisiana leads 10–4 in 14 meetings since 2012.
- 2025Louisiana at South Alabama31–22 · Louisiana
- 2024South Alabama at Louisiana24–22 · South Alabama
- 2023Louisiana at South Alabama33–20 · Louisiana
- 2022South Alabama at Louisiana20–17 · South Alabama
- 2021Louisiana at South Alabama20–18 · Louisiana
- 2020South Alabama at Louisiana10–38 · Louisiana
CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.