Week 9 · 2026

Florida International at Liberty

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Florida International

Window: 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-14 (reported) · 2026-10-07 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
J.J. Kohl QB 3 games	38.5% 35 / 91 plays	0.0% 0 / 9 plays
Devonte Lyons RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	55.6% 25 / 45 plays
Anthony Carrie RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	38.5% 10 / 26 plays
Sterling Joseph RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	37.5% 3 / 8 plays
Jayden Ford RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Zach Marker QB 2 games	50.0% 1 / 2 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Maguire Anderson WR 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
Jai-Ayviauynn Celestine DB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 54 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andre Brown · WR

CFBD athlete 5230757

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 23.2
kickReturns · LONG: 54
kickReturns · NO: 5
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 116

Anthony Carrie · RB

CFBD athlete 5079372

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 12
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 48
receiving · YPR: 6.9
rushing · CAR: 82
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 258
rushing · YPC: 3.1

Anthony Cunningham Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4921430

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Anthony Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5141690

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Brayshawn Littlejohn · LB

CFBD athlete 5085038

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Cam Davis · LB

CFBD athlete 5252261

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Deandre Arnold · LB

CFBD athlete 5271231

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Deandre Boykins · DB

CFBD athlete 4431195

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 12.0
kickReturns · LONG: 12
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 12
puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 4
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4

DeeJay Holmes Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5083313

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Demetrius Hill · DB

CFBD athlete 4682504

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 24
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Devonte Lyons · RB

CFBD athlete 5146722

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 68
receiving · YPR: 9.7
rushing · CAR: 84
rushing · LONG: 23
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 383
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Dominic Turnbull · DB

CFBD athlete 5161914

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Elijah Simmons · DL

CFBD athlete 5296253

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 5

Elisha Baldridge · DL

CFBD athlete 5382716

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 27

Eric Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5279195

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Eric Nelson · WR

CFBD athlete 5125595

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 150
receiving · YPR: 13.6

Felix Visser · P

CFBD athlete 5382709

punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 55
punting · NO: 20
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 772
punting · YPP: 38.6

Germaine Carter · DL

CFBD athlete 5143170

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Greg Gaines III · WR

CFBD athlete 4685356

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 13.9

J.J. Kohl · QB

CFBD athlete 4870883

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 227
passing · COMPLETIONS: 131
passing · INT: 8
passing · PCT: 0.577
passing · TD: 10
passing · YDS: 1637
passing · YPA: 7.2
receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 19.0
rushing · CAR: 34
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 62
rushing · YPC: 1.8

JaCorey Stewart · LB

CFBD athlete 5147045

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 24

Jackson Verdugo · TE

CFBD athlete 5236210

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 2
passing · YPA: 2.0
receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 75
receiving · YPR: 9.4

Jaeden McMillan · DB

CFBD athlete 5245066

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Jai-Ayviauynn Celestine · DB

CFBD athlete 4911903

defensive · PD: 5
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 22
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -10
rushing · YPC: -10.0

James Resar · TE

CFBD athlete 5079684

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 18
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 174
receiving · YPR: 9.7
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 21
rushing · YPC: 10.5

Jayden Ford · RB

CFBD athlete 5172097

kickReturns · AVG: 21.0
kickReturns · LONG: 24
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 42
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 27
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 40
rushing · YPC: 8.0

JoJo Stone · WR

CFBD athlete 5218988

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 19
passing · YPA: 19.0
receiving · LONG: 68
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 177
receiving · YPR: 13.6
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Josiah Taylor · LB

CFBD athlete 5148942

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 26
interceptions · AVG: 7.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 7

Kani Smith · LB

CFBD athlete 5264369

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kenton Simmons · DL

CFBD athlete 5295586

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7
defensive · TOT: 19

Kevin Schaeffer · TE

CFBD athlete 4698120

receiving · LONG: 1
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 1
receiving · YPR: 1.0

Kyle Mcneal · WR

CFBD athlete 5121664

interceptions · AVG: 24.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 24
receiving · LONG: 49
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 177
receiving · YPR: 11.1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -2
rushing · YPC: -2.0

Kyrie Samuel · DL

CFBD athlete 5082436

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 1

Lamont Green Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 4870771

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Lawrence Johnson · DB

CFBD athlete 5149492

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Maguire Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 4879999

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 7.0
kickReturns · LONG: 7
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 7
puntReturns · AVG: 6.8
puntReturns · LONG: 13
puntReturns · NO: 12
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 81
receiving · LONG: 50
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 569
receiving · YPR: 15.8
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 20
rushing · YPC: 6.7

Myles Cunningham · DB

CFBD athlete 5225388

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nate Henry · RB

CFBD athlete 5158414

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 10
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Nathan Jennings · DL

CFBD athlete 5155696

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Nick Watson · DL

CFBD athlete 5158422

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Orlando Syph-Timmons · LB

CFBD athlete 5158420

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ormond Wallace · DB

CFBD athlete 5295587

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10

Percy Courtney Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 4917298

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 25

RJ Moss Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5160223

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Robert Czeremcha · PK

CFBD athlete 5230751

kicking · FGA: 17
kicking · FGM: 12
kicking · LONG: 52
kicking · PCT: 0.706
kicking · PTS: 47
kicking · XPA: 12
kicking · XPM: 11

Robert Williams · DL

CFBD athlete 5151294

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 1

Ryan Gadson · DB

CFBD athlete 5225802

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20
puntReturns · AVG: 7.0
puntReturns · LONG: 7
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 7

Shamir Sterlin · DB

CFBD athlete 5196863

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 16

Sterling Joseph · RB

CFBD athlete 5164324

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 22
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 22
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 80
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Tyderick Brown · DB

CFBD athlete 5197101

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tyson Carter · WR

CFBD athlete 5222534

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 153
receiving · YPR: 17.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 2
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Vontae Floyd · DB

CFBD athlete 5218789

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

Wesley Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 4808718

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 20.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 20

Zach Marker · QB

CFBD athlete 5153845

passing · ATT: 12
passing · COMPLETIONS: 7
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.583
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 97
passing · YPA: 8.1
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 3.7

Liberty

Window: 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-08 (reported) · 2026-10-02 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Deshawn Purdie QB 3 games	36.4% 20 / 55 plays	58.3% 7 / 12 plays
Kam Davis RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	72.2% 26 / 36 plays
Peyton Jones RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.6% 10 / 19 plays
Jaylon Coleman RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	52.9% 9 / 17 plays
Terron Kellman RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.0% 6 / 15 plays
Jaylen Henderson QB 2 games	14.3% 1 / 7 plays	0.0% 0 / 3 plays
Jaylin Belford RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	83.3% 5 / 6 plays
Ethan Vasko QB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	40.0% 2 / 5 plays

Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aidan Vaughan · LB

CFBD athlete 4906884

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 35

Ashton McShane · CB

CFBD athlete 5147185

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 16
interceptions · AVG: 18.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 18

Ashton Whitner · S

CFBD athlete 4880276

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 10

Brenton Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5076101

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Bryce Randolph · WR

CFBD athlete 5215242

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 89
receiving · YPR: 12.7
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 9
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Caleb Ryan · TE

CFBD athlete 5162406

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 4.5

Cam Wood · RB

CFBD athlete 5327553

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 12
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Chase Reeves · PK

CFBD athlete 5086151

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 1.000
kicking · PTS: 56
kicking · XPA: 24
kicking · XPM: 23

Christian Williams · OL

CFBD athlete 4832770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Clayton Shepler · WR

CFBD athlete 5220259

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

D-Icey Hopkins · S

CFBD athlete 4869971

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20

Darius Copeland · WR

CFBD athlete 5162399

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 138
receiving · YPR: 13.8
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 17
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Derrell Farrar · LB

CFBD athlete 4838682

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 39
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Deshawn Purdie · QB

CFBD athlete 5138131

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 133
passing · COMPLETIONS: 80
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.602
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1226
passing · YPA: 9.2
rushing · CAR: 41
rushing · LONG: 19
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 110
rushing · YPC: 2.7

Deuce Spurlock · LB

CFBD athlete 4816111

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 19
interceptions · AVG: 17.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 17

Dillano Glaud · LB

CFBD athlete 5216574

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 12

Elijah Hopkins · CB

CFBD athlete 4812377

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Elijah McKenzie · CB

CFBD athlete 5168843

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Ethan Crisp · DB

CFBD athlete 4918432

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Ethan Vasko · QB

CFBD athlete 4832918

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 6
passing · YPA: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 4
rushing · YDS: 19
rushing · YPC: 2.4

Gavin Askew · DL

CFBD athlete 5212640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Henry Hicks · DL

CFBD athlete 5306938

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Izaiah Guy · S

CFBD athlete 4837159

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 14

Jachin Davis · QB

CFBD athlete 5295943

rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 15
rushing · YPC: 7.5

Jaleel Parker · S

CFBD athlete 5293946

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jamal Miles · CB

CFBD athlete 5121665

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Jamari Person · WR

CFBD athlete 5117836

receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 16
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 238
receiving · YPR: 14.9

Jayden Davis · S

CFBD athlete 4896491

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17
interceptions · AVG: 21.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 21

Jayden Whaley · LB

CFBD athlete 5226462

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jaylen Henderson · QB

CFBD athlete 4602923

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 15
passing · COMPLETIONS: 7
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.467
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 112
passing · YPA: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 27
rushing · YPC: 2.5

Jaylin Belford · RB

CFBD athlete 5081710

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 6.6

Jaylon Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5296294

kickReturns · AVG: 41.5
kickReturns · LONG: 48
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 83
receiving · LONG: 56
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 109
receiving · YPR: 12.1
rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 260
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Jeffrey Hairston Jr. · DB

CFBD athlete 5215246

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Jeremiah Vessel · S

CFBD athlete 4871014

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 22
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jiquavious Marshall · CB

CFBD athlete 5147366

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Joe Strickland · DL

CFBD athlete 4685537

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 5

Jon Montiero · WR

CFBD athlete 5220265

kickReturns · AVG: 20.3
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 122
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Kam Cullins · DL

CFBD athlete 5200107

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Kam Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5079364

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 3.0
rushing · CAR: 83
rushing · LONG: 56
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 583
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Kanye Udoh · RB

CFBD athlete 5150313

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 39
rushing · YPC: 5.6

Kelsey Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 4702826

receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 61
receiving · YPR: 15.3

Kennedi Bailey · CB

CFBD athlete 5161905

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Kyle Ferm · LB

CFBD athlete 5295339

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Lorenzo Payne · DL

CFBD athlete 5382935

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 8
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Makai Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5088336

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 3.8
puntReturns · LONG: 11
puntReturns · NO: 9
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 34
receiving · LONG: 65
receiving · REC: 23
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 540
receiving · YPR: 23.5

Markus Clark · DL

CFBD athlete 4816091

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 8

Micah Pollard · LB

CFBD athlete 4808746

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

Michael Floyde · DL

CFBD athlete 5382947

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Mike Jarvis · DL

CFBD athlete 4683645

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 8

Myke Gunn · CB

CFBD athlete 5296296

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Nathan Pirolli · DL

CFBD athlete 5162413

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Peyton Jones · RB

CFBD athlete 4923298

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 5.3
rushing · CAR: 65
rushing · LONG: 20
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 306
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Prince Cottonham · CB

CFBD athlete 5382936

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Rashawn Cunningham · WR

CFBD athlete 5224354

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 8.5

Ronald Moore · S

CFBD athlete 5148316

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Sam Crossan · PK

CFBD athlete 5220261

punting · In 20: 11
punting · LONG: 54
punting · NO: 25
punting · TB: 3
punting · YDS: 1022
punting · YPP: 40.9

Samuel Cohen · DL

CFBD athlete 5148600

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Terron Kellman · RB

CFBD athlete 4880964

receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 21.0
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 43
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 139
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Tre Lawing · LB

CFBD athlete 5081720

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Tyler Black · PK

CFBD athlete 5121343

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 3
kicking · XPA: 3
kicking · XPM: 3

Tyrell Gainey · CB

CFBD athlete 5303437

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Xavier Reid · DL

CFBD athlete 5265963

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 1

Zeke Wimbush · TE

CFBD athlete 5091845

receiving · LONG: 26
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 88
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Liberty -14

DraftKings snapshot: Liberty -14

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Liberty by 16.47

2.47 points toward Liberty versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Liberty.

Net EPA rating difference: +12.54
Fitted offset: +5.87
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 16.47 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs d4eaa6953837a3fc77ad5f2c31e414f5f49007165b54d5725d2ae8e8f64769ff · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast dac00afcb28ca5d4e4f540b4ead40df37b7e0e9bd9a5b2a5ac76640c54745896 · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Liberty · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	-14.0	-14.0
Model spread	-16.47	-16.47
Model gap	+2.47	+2.47

Negative spreads favor Liberty; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: d4eaa6953837a3fc77ad5f2c31e414f5f49007165b54d5725d2ae8e8f64769ff. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.5 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Liberty win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 83%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Liberty -14
Stacked ensemble: 86%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Liberty.

home elo: +11.21 (path difference 8.35)
away elo: +7.99 (path difference 10.95)
home adjusted success: +7.60 (path difference 6.10)
home adjusted success allowed: +6.21 (path difference 2.70)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +4.84 (path difference 7.67)
away adjusted epa: +4.43 (path difference 6.17)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.23 (path difference 7.91)
home adjusted epa allowed: -3.72 (path difference 4.55)
away adjusted rushing epa: -2.82 (path difference 3.36)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -2.75 (path difference 1.46)
away adjusted epa allowed: -2.48 (path difference 2.48)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +2.30 (path difference 3.64)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.28 (path difference 1.38)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.11 (path difference 0.64)
home adjusted rushing epa: +2.07 (path difference 2.68)
home adjusted line yards: +1.91 (path difference 1.51)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.79 (path difference 2.24)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.75 (path difference 0.73)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.66 (path difference 0.18)
home adjusted passing epa: +1.35 (path difference 1.83)
home adjusted standard down success: +1.18 (path difference 1.58)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.12 (path difference 0.45)
home talent: +1.08 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted passing down success: -1.07 (path difference 0.70)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.99 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.99 (path difference 1.11)
away adjusted success: +0.94 (path difference 0.31)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.79 (path difference 2.21)
away adjusted success allowed: -0.71 (path difference 0.22)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.66 (path difference 0.54)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.56 (path difference 0.10)
away talent: -0.55 (path difference 0.24)
home adjusted epa: +0.50 (path difference 0.78)
home adjusted second level yards: -0.49 (path difference 0.04)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.40 (path difference 0.65)
away adjusted line yards: +0.37 (path difference 1.12)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.35 (path difference 0.44)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.35 (path difference 0.22)
home adjusted explosiveness: -0.34 (path difference 0.53)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.33 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted standard down success: -0.28 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.25 (path difference 0.35)
home adjusted open field yards: -0.24 (path difference 0.99)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.24 (path difference 0.14)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.21 (path difference 0.26)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.19 (path difference 1.59)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.17 (path difference 0.02)
week: +0.16 (path difference 0.63)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.15 (path difference 2.29)
away adjusted line yards allowed: -0.12 (path difference 0.32)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.10 (path difference 0.08)
home adjusted passing down success: -0.03 (path difference 0.33)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.02 (path difference 0.00)
home conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)
away conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 86.42 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 67f9edea7169c58ed3579c3e685709246ddaacbaf213156e3e7a59edb6a20d0d · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 3973445ae035172b4c0fbec7662e0e646acb40aa18c8293aac34b2ff5c59af7f · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Florida International

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 100 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Devonte Lyons CFBD athlete 5146722 Week 6 vs New Mexico State: 13 attempts · 5.8 YPC · 46.2% success · 0.162 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Jacksonville State: 14 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 64.3% success · 0.202 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Middle Tennessee: 18 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.236 raw PPA.	45	5.4	0	45.0%	80 / 4.6
Anthony Carrie CFBD athlete 5079372 Week 6 vs New Mexico State: 16 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 43.8% success · -0.012 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Jacksonville State: 10 attempts · 2.6 YPC · 30.0% success · -0.310 raw PPA.	26	2.4	0	26.0%	82 / 3.0
J.J. Kohl CFBD athlete 4870883 Week 6 vs New Mexico State: 3 attempts · -6.7 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.222 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Jacksonville State: 5 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.035 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Middle Tennessee: 4 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -1.335 raw PPA.	12	0.3	3	12.0%	32 / 2.0
Sterling Joseph CFBD athlete 5164324 Week 6 vs New Mexico State: 5 attempts · 3.4 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.271 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Middle Tennessee: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.045 raw PPA.	8	3.6	0	8.0%	23 / 3.6
Jayden Ford CFBD athlete 5172097 Week 6 vs New Mexico State: 2 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.498 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Middle Tennessee: 2 attempts · 13.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.585 raw PPA.	4	7.3	0	4.0%	5 / 8.0

Liberty

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 124 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Kam Davis CFBD athlete 5079364 Week 5 vs Delaware: 17 attempts · 8.6 YPC · 64.7% success · 0.616 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Sam Houston: 10 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 80.0% success · 0.431 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Kennesaw State: 9 attempts · 6.6 YPC · 77.8% success · 0.593 raw PPA.	36	7.6	0	29.0%	83 / 7.0
Peyton Jones CFBD athlete 4923298 Week 5 vs Delaware: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 55.6% success · 0.305 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Sam Houston: 2 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.108 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Kennesaw State: 8 attempts · 5.5 YPC · 37.5% success · 0.299 raw PPA.	19	5.3	0	15.3%	64 / 4.7
Jaylon Coleman CFBD athlete 5296294 Week 5 vs Delaware: 5 attempts · 10.6 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.619 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Sam Houston: 7 attempts · 13.1 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.481 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Kennesaw State: 5 attempts · 4.4 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.281 raw PPA.	17	9.8	0	13.7%	28 / 9.1
Terron Kellman CFBD athlete 4880964 Week 5 vs Delaware: 2 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.837 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Sam Houston: 8 attempts · 4.6 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.304 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Kennesaw State: 5 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.604 raw PPA.	15	4.1	0	12.1%	26 / 5.3
Deshawn Purdie CFBD athlete 5138131 Week 5 vs Delaware: 4 attempts · 1.8 YPC · 100.0% success · 1.047 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Sam Houston: 7 attempts · 8.1 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.448 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Kennesaw State: 4 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.343 raw PPA.	15	5.6	3	12.1%	38 / 2.9

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	LibertyOffense	Florida InternationalDefense	Florida InternationalOffense	LibertyDefense
PPA/play	+0.19 66th	+0.01 77th	+0.03 15th	-0.05 90th
Success rate	47.4% 80th	37.1% 79th	39.7% 20th	34.3% 93rd
Explosiveness	1.15 19th	1.19 63rd	1.15 18th	1.29 26th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.18 80th	-0.06 77th	-0.01 18th	-0.17 95th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.21 40th	+0.12 70th	+0.09 19th	+0.16 55th
Havoc allowed / created	13.4% 74th	16.7% 63rd	14.5% 50th	18.1% 80th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:19 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:19 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Chase Reeves · Liberty · PAAR 7.33 · 11 attempts
Robert Czeremcha · Florida International · PAAR -0.27 · 17 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Liberty spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -11.5 · Snapshot spread: -14

First locally observed: -14 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence