Week 10 · 2026

Delaware at Kennesaw State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Delaware

Window: 2026-10-27 (reported) · 2026-10-20 (reported) · 2026-10-13 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Nick Minicucci QB 2 games	59.4% 41 / 69 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Tyler Bell QB 2 games	40.9% 18 / 44 plays	33.3% 4 / 12 plays
Jo'Nathan Silver RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	45.2% 14 / 31 plays
Viron Ellison Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 6 / 18 plays
Kaderris Roberts RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	46.7% 7 / 15 plays
Jared Porter RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Nakeem Powell RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 3 / 3 plays
Da'Wain Lofton WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 61 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Graham · S

CFBD athlete 5296322

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 18.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 18

Azir Lee · CB

CFBD athlete 5296320

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Blake Matthews · LB

CFBD athlete 4838688

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 13
defensive · SACKS: 4.0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 47
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Braden Streeter · QB

CFBD athlete 5224762

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 35
passing · COMPLETIONS: 12
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.343
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 175
passing · YPA: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -12
rushing · YPC: -1.7

Brandon Gorham · DE

CFBD athlete 5296324

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 13
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Bryson Graves · WR

CFBD athlete 5157266

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 22.9
kickReturns · LONG: 63
kickReturns · NO: 15
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 344
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 15
passing · YPA: 15.0
puntReturns · AVG: 10.3
puntReturns · LONG: 27
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 62
receiving · LONG: 37
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 257
receiving · YPR: 11.7

Christian Corbin · DT

CFBD athlete 5302757

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Colin Gallagher · LB

CFBD athlete 5224777

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 5.0
defensive · TOT: 43
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Da'Wain Lofton · WR

CFBD athlete 4680024

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 57
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 319
receiving · YPR: 16.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

Dannell Jester Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5327490

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Demarco Daniels · LB

CFBD athlete 5327485

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Dillon Griffith · LB

CFBD athlete 5296327

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0

Dominick Brogna · DT

CFBD athlete 5086960

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 27

Donovan Lewis · WR

CFBD athlete 5153870

receiving · LONG: 58
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 322
receiving · YPR: 11.9

Dorian Rutledge · S

CFBD athlete 5287565

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

EJ Archield Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5296312

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 19
passing · COMPLETIONS: 10
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.526
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 137
passing · YPA: 7.2
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Elijah Sessoms · TE

CFBD athlete 5086956

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 144
receiving · YPR: 16.0

Gavin Moul · LB

CFBD athlete 5153858

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 54
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

George Mullins · S

CFBD athlete 5166833

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 31
interceptions · AVG: 7.3
interceptions · INT: 3
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 22

Greg Spiller · RB

CFBD athlete 5224766

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Jackson Whitacre · TE

CFBD athlete 5224785

kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 18
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Jalen Bell · LB

CFBD athlete 5230034

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 18

Jamarion Kolagbodi · CB

CFBD athlete 5296317

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 26

James Steel · DE

CFBD athlete 5258758

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jaquise Alexander · CB

CFBD athlete 5087158

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 20

Jared Porter · RB

CFBD athlete 5296321

receiving · LONG: 3
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 3
receiving · YPR: 3.0
rushing · CAR: 11
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 50
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Jawarren Corbin · LB

CFBD athlete 5296318

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Jaylen Mack · CB

CFBD athlete 5401932

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jo'Nathan Silver · RB

CFBD athlete 5086952

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 59
receiving · YPR: 9.8
rushing · CAR: 84
rushing · LONG: 55
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 380
rushing · YPC: 4.5

Josh Cupitt · P

CFBD athlete 4694952

punting · In 20: 14
punting · LONG: 58
punting · NO: 37
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1556
punting · YPP: 42.1

Josh Humes · TE

CFBD athlete 5295765

receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 33.0

Julius Puryear · LB

CFBD athlete 5296330

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

KT Seay · S

CFBD athlete 5153851

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Kaderris Roberts · RB

CFBD athlete 4887640

receiving · LONG: 75
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 242
receiving · YPR: 12.7
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 169
rushing · YPC: 4.7

Kaeden Singleton · DE

CFBD athlete 5224774

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1.0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 5
kickReturns · AVG: 0.0
kickReturns · LONG: 0
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 0

Kahlil Ali · S

CFBD athlete 4870585

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 38

Kason Mullis · PK

CFBD athlete 5401944

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 2
kicking · XPM: 1

Kevin Moore · S

CFBD athlete 5327493

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Kshawn Cox Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5153857

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 18
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 29

Matt McKinley · WR

CFBD athlete 5224783

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
receiving · LONG: 33
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 69
receiving · YPR: 23.0

Nakeem Powell · RB

CFBD athlete 5327494

rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 51
rushing · YPC: 6.4

Nasir Eatmon · S

CFBD athlete 5296326

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 23

Nate Ray · DE

CFBD athlete 5153871

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Nick Minicucci · QB

CFBD athlete 5153846

passing · ATT: 170
passing · COMPLETIONS: 111
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.653
passing · TD: 14
passing · YDS: 1477
passing · YPA: 8.7
rushing · CAR: 26
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 45
rushing · YPC: 1.7

Nick Tyree · WR

CFBD athlete 5224772

kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 17
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 17
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Noah Jefferson · S

CFBD athlete 5296315

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Noah Matthews · DE

CFBD athlete 4917133

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 17

Q'Yaeir Price · DE

CFBD athlete 4832041

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 2

Riley Trujillo · QB

CFBD athlete 5079614

passing · ATT: 3
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.333
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 38
passing · YPA: 12.7
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 2
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -2
rushing · YPC: -0.7

Sam Siafa · DE

CFBD athlete 5092615

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Scott Moore · TE

CFBD athlete 5296328

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 85
receiving · YPR: 21.3

Sean Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 5224764

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 40
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 591
receiving · YPR: 14.8

Shawn Church Jr. · CB

CFBD athlete 5327278

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Tae'Sean Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5302760

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: -20.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: -20
receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 91
receiving · YPR: 22.8

Trace Scott · DT

CFBD athlete 5224768

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 3.0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 22

Trent Gummer · CB

CFBD athlete 5271368

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Tucker Smack · PK

CFBD athlete 5401933

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 6
kicking · LONG: 40
kicking · PCT: 0.667
kicking · PTS: 42
kicking · XPA: 25
kicking · XPM: 24

Tyler Bell · QB

CFBD athlete 5289314

passing · ATT: 49
passing · COMPLETIONS: 28
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.571
passing · TD: 3
passing · YDS: 373
passing · YPA: 7.6
receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 15
receiving · YPR: 15.0
rushing · CAR: 24
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 53
rushing · YPC: 2.2

Viron Ellison Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5161800

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 75
passing · YPA: 75.0
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 37
rushing · LONG: 12
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 121
rushing · YPC: 3.3

Wayne Cunningham Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5327484

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Yamdry Hernandez · DE

CFBD athlete 5296331

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Kennesaw State

Window: 2026-10-28 (reported) · 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-14 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-07T20:00:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Rickie Collins QB 3 games	44.7% 38 / 85 plays	26.1% 6 / 23 plays
Alan Woods III RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	39.5% 15 / 38 plays
Landon Varnes QB 1 games	50.0% 8 / 16 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays
Davis Bryson WR 2 games	0.0% 0 / 1 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Latrelle Murrell RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 4 plays
Triston Morgan RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
Reed Jesiolowski TE 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Keon Davis WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Miller · DL

CFBD athlete 5154237

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 4
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Alan Woods III · RB

CFBD athlete 5220641

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 8.0
kickReturns · LONG: 8
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 26
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 111
receiving · YPR: 4.3
rushing · CAR: 85
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 358
rushing · YPC: 4.2

Alex Ford · DB

CFBD athlete 4917045

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 14

Alfred Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5226926

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 27

Baron Hopson · LB

CFBD athlete 4596948

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 58
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Brayden Munroe · WR

CFBD athlete 5168788

puntReturns · AVG: 14.8
puntReturns · LONG: 49
puntReturns · NO: 5
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 74
receiving · LONG: 70
receiving · REC: 25
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 397
receiving · YPR: 15.9
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Cameron Miller · DB

CFBD athlete 4570574

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 40
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Corey Kelly · LB

CFBD athlete 4870838

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Daniel Kinney · PK

CFBD athlete 5295514

kicking · FGA: 11
kicking · FGM: 9
kicking · LONG: 44
kicking · PCT: 0.818
kicking · PTS: 42
kicking · XPA: 17
kicking · XPM: 15

Davis Bryson · WR

CFBD athlete 5083103

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 35.5
kickReturns · LONG: 52
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 71
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 127
receiving · YPR: 9.1
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 50
rushing · YPC: 10.0

Devin Ingram · RB

CFBD athlete 5224017

rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Devin Morgan · DL

CFBD athlete 4890883

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Dylan Gary · WR

CFBD athlete 5081089

receiving · LONG: 51
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 321
receiving · YPR: 11.9

EB Bailey · DB

CFBD athlete 5446987

kickReturns · AVG: 11.5
kickReturns · LONG: 15
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23

Ethan Tookes · DB

CFBD athlete 5154352

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Gerard Bullock · TE

CFBD athlete 5083041

receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0

Isaac Paul · DB

CFBD athlete 5154223

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 30
interceptions · AVG: 41.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 41

Jackson Cooper · DL

CFBD athlete 5265529

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 8

Jaiden Crawford · DL

CFBD athlete 5303395

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jaiden Grimes · DL

CFBD athlete 5194617

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 19
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jamarcus Harrison · QB

CFBD athlete 5291181

rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -4.0

Jamari Harrold · TE

CFBD athlete 5265450

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 23
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 64
receiving · YPR: 9.1

Javon Rogers · WR

CFBD athlete 5147191

receiving · LONG: 47
receiving · REC: 26
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 397
receiving · YPR: 15.3

Jeremy Greaves Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5163545

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 17

Jonathan Keys · DL

CFBD athlete 5382909

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jordan Holmes · DB

CFBD athlete 5274129

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Josh Anglin · LB

CFBD athlete 5224275

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 38

Josh Williamson · WR

CFBD athlete 5154220

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 7
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 7
rushing · YPC: 7.0

Kai Russell · LB

CFBD athlete 5382902

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 19

Karson Moss · LB

CFBD athlete 5295509

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Keon Davis · WR

CFBD athlete 5232359

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -5
rushing · YPC: -5.0

Kody Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 4685422

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 17

Landon Varnes · QB

CFBD athlete 5382898

passing · ATT: 22
passing · COMPLETIONS: 15
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.682
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 154
passing · YPA: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -4
rushing · YPC: -0.8

Latrelle Murrell · RB

CFBD athlete 5224714

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 35
receiving · YPR: 7.0
rushing · CAR: 29
rushing · LONG: 45
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 169
rushing · YPC: 5.8

Leo Attard · PK

CFBD athlete 5296699

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 0
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 0

Luke Evans · DB

CFBD athlete 5075544

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 27

Marcus Patterson · DL

CFBD athlete 245322

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Marlo East Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5221586

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Matt McKenzie · P

CFBD athlete 5296141

punting · In 20: 9
punting · LONG: 61
punting · NO: 35
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1540
punting · YPP: 44.0

Montra Sanford · LB

CFBD athlete 5382903

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Navelle Dean · WR

CFBD athlete 5154227

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 75
receiving · YPR: 6.8

Nick Thorner · DL

CFBD athlete 5382907

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Omari Stephenson · LB

CFBD athlete 5267684

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Perry Fisher · DB

CFBD athlete 4869593

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 31
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Phillip Cato · DB

CFBD athlete 5382901

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Preston Clemmer · DB

CFBD athlete 5221568

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Reed Jesiolowski · TE

CFBD athlete 5147382

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 45
receiving · YPR: 6.4
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 3
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 3.0

Rickie Collins · QB

CFBD athlete 4870645

fumbles · FUM: 3
fumbles · LOST: 3
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 229
passing · COMPLETIONS: 160
passing · INT: 6
passing · PCT: 0.699
passing · TD: 7
passing · YDS: 1617
passing · YPA: 7.1
rushing · CAR: 84
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 324
rushing · YPC: 3.9

Skyler Williams · QB

CFBD athlete 5265536

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 4
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 12
passing · YPA: 3.0
rushing · CAR: 7
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 1.4

Tay'Vion Lawson · DB

CFBD athlete 5265490

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 40
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 2

Tony Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 5141762

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Triston Morgan · RB

CFBD athlete 5234086

kickReturns · AVG: 20.9
kickReturns · LONG: 47
kickReturns · NO: 15
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 313
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 20
receiving · YPR: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 60
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 107
rushing · YPC: 5.9

Tyler Hallum · DB

CFBD athlete 4882797

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 11

Tywon Christopher · LB

CFBD athlete 5193295

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 33
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 5.5
defensive · TOT: 63
interceptions · AVG: 59.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 59

Ugonna Nwoha · DL

CFBD athlete 5083136

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8
defensive · TOT: 17

Zakir Abdul-Salaam · DL

CFBD athlete 5209373

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zay Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 5382905

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Zion Booker · WR

CFBD athlete 5159362

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 2.0
puntReturns · LONG: 2
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 2
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 20
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 146
receiving · YPR: 7.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 0
rushing · YPC: 0.0

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Kennesaw State +1.5

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Delaware -1.5

DraftKings snapshot: Kennesaw State +1.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Kennesaw State by 5.42

6.92 points toward Kennesaw State versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Kennesaw State.

Fitted offset: +5.20
Net EPA rating difference: +1.42
Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 5.42 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs 67fe8965d80a5dee449725e8b4e4bb25b4bc1196f8d314a41e1bd854cc1ddec9 · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast f1ef4c301ebad9dea7d20ea4937de160f010cb6ac76ec7a78d4a665cd59833ee · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

No change in spread, forecast or model gap.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Kennesaw State · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest
Market spread	+1.5	+1.5
Model spread	-5.42	-5.42
Model gap	+6.92	+6.92

Negative spreads favor Kennesaw State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Nov 5, 2026, 06:12:24 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 5, 2026, 06:02:35 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: 09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256: 1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256: 1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256: d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Nov 6, 2026, 06:12:29 CST. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 67fe8965d80a5dee449725e8b4e4bb25b4bc1196f8d314a41e1bd854cc1ddec9. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Kennesaw State +1.5

Model gap +6.9 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Kennesaw State.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Kennesaw State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 47%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Kennesaw State +1
Stacked ensemble: 67%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Kennesaw State.

home elo: -11.58 (path difference 5.45)
away elo: +10.68 (path difference 5.86)
home adjusted epa: +8.07 (path difference 2.99)
away adjusted success allowed: +6.75 (path difference 2.28)
away adjusted epa: +5.18 (path difference 0.38)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +5.05 (path difference 0.29)
home adjusted rushing epa: -4.81 (path difference 1.78)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +4.78 (path difference 2.75)
home adjusted second level yards: +4.18 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.49 (path difference 2.56)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: +3.37 (path difference 2.21)
home adjusted passing epa: -2.94 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted epa allowed: -2.90 (path difference 1.29)
away talent: +2.43 (path difference 1.67)
home adjusted success: -2.37 (path difference 0.45)
home adjusted open field yards: -2.26 (path difference 1.60)
home adjusted line yards: -2.18 (path difference 0.42)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +2.05 (path difference 1.44)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +2.02 (path difference 1.24)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.94 (path difference 1.01)
away adjusted rushing epa: -1.41 (path difference 0.62)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: +1.34 (path difference 0.46)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -1.24 (path difference 0.12)
week: -1.22 (path difference 0.20)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.98 (path difference 1.80)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.92 (path difference 1.02)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.89 (path difference 0.16)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.81 (path difference 0.38)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.81 (path difference 0.51)
away adjusted epa allowed: +0.76 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.76 (path difference 0.89)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.73 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted success: -0.71 (path difference 0.60)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.67 (path difference 0.09)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.65 (path difference 0.12)
away adjusted open field yards: -0.57 (path difference 1.86)
home adjusted success allowed: -0.54 (path difference 0.37)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: -0.51 (path difference 0.40)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.50 (path difference 0.27)
away adjusted line yards: -0.47 (path difference 0.39)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.44 (path difference 0.42)
home adjusted explosiveness: -0.43 (path difference 0.48)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.40 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.39 (path difference 4.61)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.26 (path difference 0.65)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.19 (path difference 0.08)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.15 (path difference 1.13)
home talent: +0.14 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.12 (path difference 0.53)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.10 (path difference 0.00)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +0.07 (path difference 0.22)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.03 (path difference 0.06)
home adjusted standard down success: -0.00 (path difference 0.00)
home conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)
away conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 66.94 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs a03a24e8116ca63922062ac4528f1caadd1bc9c7f00608ee3381e0cfa6e23bad · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast cf48f6ef5754aaa84ae4ac0433c8133d1aa099cd3361e265e05cb321ffc4f64a · through week 9.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Delaware

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 95 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jo'Nathan Silver CFBD athlete 5086952 Week 7 vs Middle Tennessee: 6 attempts · 3.2 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.190 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Missouri State: 12 attempts · 6.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.298 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Western Kentucky: 13 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 30.8% success · 0.053 raw PPA.	31	4.7	0	32.6%	83 / 4.3
Viron Ellison Jr. CFBD athlete 5161800 Week 7 vs Middle Tennessee: 4 attempts · 4.8 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.040 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Missouri State: 6 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.417 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Western Kentucky: 8 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.716 raw PPA.	18	2.8	0	18.9%	37 / 3.3
Tyler Bell CFBD athlete 5289314 Week 7 vs Middle Tennessee: 17 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 36.4% success · -0.034 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Missouri State: 1 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.131 raw PPA.	18	1.2	6	18.9%	23 / 2.0
Kaderris Roberts CFBD athlete 4887640 Week 7 vs Middle Tennessee: 3 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.635 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Missouri State: 8 attempts · 7.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.356 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Western Kentucky: 4 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.073 raw PPA.	15	5.5	0	15.8%	36 / 4.7
Nick Minicucci CFBD athlete 5153846 Week 8 vs Missouri State: 4 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 1.628 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Western Kentucky: 2 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.527 raw PPA.	6	3.2	3	6.3%	26 / 1.7

Kennesaw State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 79 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Alan Woods III CFBD athlete 5220641 Week 7 vs Missouri State: 13 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 46.2% success · 0.091 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Liberty: 13 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.009 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Middle Tennessee: 12 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 41.7% success · 0.381 raw PPA.	38	4.0	0	48.1%	83 / 4.2
Rickie Collins CFBD athlete 4870645 Week 7 vs Missouri State: 9 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 25.0% success · -0.271 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Liberty: 8 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 28.6% success · -0.087 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Middle Tennessee: 11 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.427 raw PPA.	28	2.6	4	35.4%	83 / 3.9
Latrelle Murrell CFBD athlete 5224714 Week 7 vs Missouri State: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.621 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Liberty: 2 attempts · 0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.292 raw PPA.	4	0.5	0	5.1%	28 / 5.6
Davis Bryson CFBD athlete 5083103 Week 7 vs Missouri State: 1 attempts · 1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.281 raw PPA. Week 9 vs Middle Tennessee: 2 attempts · 15.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.642 raw PPA.	3	10.3	0	3.8%	5 / 10.0
Triston Morgan CFBD athlete 5234086 Week 7 vs Missouri State: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.762 raw PPA.	2	1.5	0	2.5%	18 / 5.9

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Kennesaw StateOffense	DelawareDefense	DelawareOffense	Kennesaw StateDefense
PPA/play	+0.07 26th	+0.11 35th	+0.14 53rd	+0.09 44th
Success rate	42.9% 54th	42.7% 29th	42.1% 44th	41.7% 42nd
Explosiveness	1.11 7th	1.31 18th	1.29 72nd	1.14 86th
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.08 48th	+0.10 22nd	+0.04 36th	-0.03 69th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.05 11th	+0.13 66th	+0.33 68th	+0.35 14th
Havoc allowed / created	13.3% 72nd	16.5% 62nd	16.9% 22nd	13.1% 15th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:12 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:12 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

Daniel Kinney · Kennesaw State · PAAR -0.44 · 11 attempts
Tucker Smack · Delaware · PAAR -2.52 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

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Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Kennesaw State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: +3 · Snapshot spread: +1.5

First locally observed: +2.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence