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Week 10 · 2026

Sam Houston at Jacksonville State

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 9 · observed 2026-11-06 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Sam Houston

Window: 2026-10-28 (reported) · 2026-10-22 (reported) · 2026-10-15 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Landyn Locke QB
2 games
23.8%
15 / 63 plays
0.0%
0 / 5 plays
DJ Bailey QB
2 games
36.6%
15 / 41 plays
50.0%
2 / 4 plays
MJ Dowdy RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
37.5%
9 / 24 plays
Alton McCaskill RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
11.1%
1 / 9 plays
Landan Brown RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
2 / 7 plays
Jerrian Parker RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
20.0%
1 / 5 plays
Brett Holloway QB
2 games
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
0.0%
0 / 3 plays
Kyan Berry-Johnson WR
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 63 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Edwards · S

CFBD athlete 5438482

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
Ah'Marion Gaines-Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5296823

rushing · CAR
3
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
7.0
Alijah Cason · WR

CFBD athlete 5225792

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.1
kickReturns · LONG
33
kickReturns · NO
17
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
324
Alton McCaskill · RB

CFBD athlete 4680018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
10
receiving · REC
14
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
49
receiving · YPR
3.5
rushing · CAR
59
rushing · LONG
24
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
232
rushing · YPC
3.9
Aviyon Smith-Mack · WR

CFBD athlete 5159290

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
3
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
3.0
Braylen Wortham · S

CFBD athlete 5215209

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Brett Holloway · QB

CFBD athlete 5384797

passing · ATT
5
passing · COMPLETIONS
3
passing · INT
1
passing · PCT
0.600
passing · TD
1
passing · YDS
64
passing · YPA
12.8
rushing · CAR
14
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
47
rushing · YPC
3.4
Brian Bates Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5151041

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
6.0
defensive · TOT
36
Brody Henderson · DE

CFBD athlete 5265513

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5.5
defensive · TOT
34
CJ June · S

CFBD athlete 5278423

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Ca'lub Holloway · LB

CFBD athlete 5083715

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
3
Caesar Magee III · CB

CFBD athlete 5226581

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
31
interceptions · AVG
12.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
12
Caius Coy · DE

CFBD athlete 5258014

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
7
Cal Joseph · P

CFBD athlete 5304417

punting · In 20
18
punting · LONG
71
punting · NO
50
punting · TB
6
punting · YDS
2239
punting · YPP
44.8
Cameron Franklin · S

CFBD athlete 4893939

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
11
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Carson Whitington · LS

CFBD athlete 5160213

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Chauncey Chidi · DE

CFBD athlete 5296829

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
9
Chris Reed · WR

CFBD athlete 4895711

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
53
receiving · REC
22
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
357
receiving · YPR
16.2
Cole Worthington · LB

CFBD athlete 5296830

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
DJ Bailey · QB

CFBD athlete 5220425

passing · ATT
37
passing · COMPLETIONS
20
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
0.541
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
258
passing · YPA
7.0
rushing · CAR
9
rushing · LONG
17
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-28
rushing · YPC
-3.1
Darien Jackson · DT

CFBD athlete 5163715

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
8
Darrick Bledsoe III · WR

CFBD athlete 5220443

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
92
receiving · YPR
8.4
Dean Ford · LB

CFBD athlete 5148938

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
26
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
4.5
defensive · TOT
48
Dimitry Nicolas · DT

CFBD athlete 5079547

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Dravon Wilson · CB

CFBD athlete 5157851

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
14
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.0
defensive · TOT
20
Dylan Frazier · DT

CFBD athlete 4685343

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
3
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
23
Eli Wallace · LB

CFBD athlete 5088803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Elijah Groves · LB

CFBD athlete 5147144

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
5
defensive · SACKS
2.5
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
13
Evan Odom · CB

CFBD athlete 5438483

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Grady O'Neill · WR

CFBD athlete 5104888

receiving · LONG
37
receiving · REC
36
receiving · TD
2
receiving · YDS
348
receiving · YPR
9.7
Ishmel Atkins · CB

CFBD athlete 5086522

defensive · PD
6
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
30
rushing · CAR
0
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-5
rushing · YPC
0
Jabaric Sullivan · CB

CFBD athlete 5384802

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Jace Arnold · S

CFBD athlete 4870605

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
18
Jalyn Stanford · S

CFBD athlete 5078919

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
12
kickReturns · AVG
18.0
kickReturns · LONG
18
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
18
Jarra Anderson · DT

CFBD athlete 5088585

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
5
Jerrian Parker · RB

CFBD athlete 5227793

receiving · LONG
94
receiving · REC
11
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
185
receiving · YPR
16.8
rushing · CAR
17
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
86
rushing · YPC
5.1
Joseph Opara · CB

CFBD athlete 5384803

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Josh Alexander-Felton · DE

CFBD athlete 5146974

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
4
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
8.0
defensive · TOT
24
Justin Cottrell · CB

CFBD athlete 5384795

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
15
Justin Terrell · DT

CFBD athlete 5126292

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
12
Kaden Winkfield · RB

CFBD athlete 5327228

rushing · CAR
5
rushing · LONG
9
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
21
rushing · YPC
4.2
Kamari Maxwell · WR

CFBD athlete 5301576

receiving · LONG
48
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
139
receiving · YPR
23.2
Kyan Berry-Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5142319

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
61
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
195
receiving · YPR
10.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
5
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
7
rushing · YPC
7.0
Landan Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5160209

kickReturns · AVG
12.0
kickReturns · LONG
12
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
12
receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
101
receiving · YPR
5.9
rushing · CAR
33
rushing · LONG
34
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
125
rushing · YPC
3.8
Landyn Locke · QB

CFBD athlete 5148427

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
236
passing · COMPLETIONS
147
passing · INT
5
passing · PCT
0.623
passing · TD
12
passing · YDS
1653
passing · YPA
7.0
rushing · CAR
41
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-39
rushing · YPC
-1.0
London Deyon · TE

CFBD athlete 5207795

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
12
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
31
receiving · YPR
10.3
Lyric Smith · S

CFBD athlete 5220429

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
16
MJ Dowdy · RB

CFBD athlete 5384799

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
4
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
3
receiving · YPR
1.5
rushing · CAR
40
rushing · LONG
18
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
147
rushing · YPC
3.7
Marcus Bourda Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5297878

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Matt Smith · TE

CFBD athlete 4568237

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
33
receiving · YPR
6.6
Max Whisner · TE

CFBD athlete 4695711

receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
6
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
47
receiving · YPR
7.8
Mike King Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5384800

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
15
Railyn Adams · S

CFBD athlete 5193393

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
23
defensive · TD
1
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
36
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
interceptions · AVG
11.0
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
22
puntReturns · AVG
0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
0
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
0
Robert McFarland · S

CFBD athlete 5310764

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Samuel Carpenter · PK

CFBD athlete 5154317

kicking · FGA
10
kicking · FGM
6
kicking · LONG
42
kicking · PCT
0.600
kicking · PTS
36
kicking · XPA
18
kicking · XPM
18
She'Fon Boyd · DT

CFBD athlete 5296836

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
7
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Stacy Bey · LB

CFBD athlete 5127802

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
13
Tate Ryan · PK

CFBD athlete 5296834

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Terrence Guillory II · WR

CFBD athlete 5220444

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
22.0
puntReturns · LONG
22
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
22
Tim Burns Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5296832

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
19.2
kickReturns · LONG
29
kickReturns · NO
5
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
96
puntReturns · AVG
5.9
puntReturns · LONG
25
puntReturns · NO
16
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
94
receiving · LONG
81
receiving · REC
18
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
392
receiving · YPR
21.8
Tokyo Gordon · LB

CFBD athlete 5296824

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
15
fumbles · FUM
0
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
1
Tyler Bailey · S

CFBD athlete 4702895

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
28
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Zion Taylor · DE

CFBD athlete 5125472

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2

Jacksonville State

Window: 2026-10-29 (reported) · 2026-10-14 (reported) · 2026-10-07 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00.

PlayerPassingRushing
Caden Creel QB
3 games
45.9%
39 / 85 plays
51.1%
24 / 47 plays
Jalen Likely RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
53.3%
8 / 15 plays
Khristian Lando RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
28.6%
4 / 14 plays
Lucas Farrington RB
3 games
—
0 / 0 plays
58.3%
7 / 12 plays
Justus Savage RB
2 games
—
0 / 0 plays
50.0%
5 / 10 plays
Cedric Kouemi RB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 2 plays
Aidan Thompson LB
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
0.0%
0 / 1 plays
Jameson Scissum TE
1 games
—
0 / 0 plays
100.0%
1 / 1 plays
Traditional season production · 62 players

Provider totals through week 9, captured 2026-11-06. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aidan Thompson · LB

CFBD athlete 5122165

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
11
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
0
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
-1
rushing · YPC
-1.0
Andrew Rumph · DL

CFBD athlete 4920155

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Angel Toombs · DL

CFBD athlete 5150822

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
3
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2.5
defensive · TOT
4
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Brayden Matthews · LB

CFBD athlete 5327541

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
10
Brennan Core · S

CFBD athlete 5327503

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
7
Caden Creel · QB

CFBD athlete 5122157

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
passing · ATT
209
passing · COMPLETIONS
140
passing · INT
8
passing · PCT
0.670
passing · TD
13
passing · YDS
1746
passing · YPA
8.4
receiving · LONG
14
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
14
receiving · YPR
14.0
rushing · CAR
126
rushing · LONG
84
rushing · TD
5
rushing · YDS
711
rushing · YPC
5.6
Caleb Nix · S

CFBD athlete 5081443

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
31
defensive · TD
2
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
52
interceptions · AVG
28.5
interceptions · INT
2
interceptions · TD
1
interceptions · YDS
57
kickReturns · AVG
0.0
kickReturns · LONG
25
kickReturns · NO
1
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
0
puntReturns · AVG
16.1
puntReturns · LONG
75
puntReturns · NO
8
puntReturns · TD
1
puntReturns · YDS
129
Carter Lewis · P

CFBD athlete 5295639

kicking · FGA
0
kicking · FGM
0
kicking · LONG
0
kicking · PCT
0
kicking · PTS
1
kicking · XPA
1
kicking · XPM
1
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
7
passing · YPA
7.0
Cedric Kouemi · RB

CFBD athlete 5294241

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
19
receiving · YPR
9.5
rushing · CAR
16
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
57
rushing · YPC
3.6
Christopher Johnson · DL

CFBD athlete 5215544

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
10
Conor Donaghy · P

CFBD athlete 5304177

punting · In 20
8
punting · LONG
67
punting · NO
17
punting · TB
0
punting · YDS
802
punting · YPP
47.2
DJ Vinson · S

CFBD athlete 5258448

receiving · LONG
22
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
22
receiving · YPR
22.0
Darius Cannon · WR

CFBD athlete 5160197

puntReturns · AVG
6.0
puntReturns · LONG
6
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
6
receiving · LONG
38
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
176
receiving · YPR
7.7
David Alpers · TE

CFBD athlete 5104052

receiving · LONG
25
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
40
receiving · YPR
13.3
Deondre Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5069231

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
42
receiving · REC
23
receiving · TD
3
receiving · YDS
438
receiving · YPR
19.0
Dylan Gentry · WR

CFBD athlete 5219036

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
15
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
54
receiving · YPR
10.8
Franklin Baret Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5193215

receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
18
receiving · YPR
18.0
Garrison Rippa · PK

CFBD athlete 5150909

kicking · FGA
14
kicking · FGM
11
kicking · LONG
49
kicking · PCT
0.786
kicking · PTS
58
kicking · XPA
25
kicking · XPM
25
Ian Mitchell · LB

CFBD athlete 5265565

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
10
JQ Brooks · CB

CFBD athlete 5258012

defensive · PD
3
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
18
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
27
Jack Moran · QB

CFBD athlete 5222557

passing · ATT
2
passing · COMPLETIONS
2
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
25
passing · YPA
12.5
Jacob Cruz · LB

CFBD athlete 5086474

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
27
Jaheim Jenkins · CB

CFBD athlete 5151480

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Jalen Likely · RB

CFBD athlete 5226551

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
0
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
18
receiving · REC
8
receiving · TD
1
receiving · YDS
61
receiving · YPR
7.6
rushing · CAR
44
rushing · LONG
45
rushing · TD
3
rushing · YDS
240
rushing · YPC
5.5
Jameson McCollough · LB

CFBD athlete 5327515

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
20
Jameson Scissum · TE

CFBD athlete 5265499

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
receiving · LONG
8
receiving · REC
5
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
34
receiving · YPR
6.8
rushing · CAR
1
rushing · LONG
8
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
8
rushing · YPC
8.0
Jamill Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5087930

fumbles · FUM
2
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
kickReturns · AVG
21.9
kickReturns · LONG
36
kickReturns · NO
8
kickReturns · TD
0
kickReturns · YDS
175
passing · ATT
1
passing · COMPLETIONS
1
passing · INT
0
passing · PCT
1.000
passing · TD
0
passing · YDS
14
passing · YPA
14.0
receiving · LONG
55
receiving · REC
26
receiving · TD
5
receiving · YDS
267
receiving · YPR
10.3
rushing · CAR
6
rushing · LONG
7
rushing · TD
0
rushing · YDS
13
rushing · YPC
2.2
Javan Allison · CB

CFBD athlete 5272710

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
5
Jawaun Campbell · DL

CFBD athlete 5226568

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
8
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
19
Jonavan Carr · CB

CFBD athlete 5303415

defensive · PD
4
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
20
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.5
defensive · TOT
30
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Justus Savage · RB

CFBD athlete 5176911

receiving · LONG
6
receiving · REC
2
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
9
receiving · YPR
4.5
rushing · CAR
10
rushing · LONG
22
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
72
rushing · YPC
7.2
Kaden Cook · S

CFBD athlete 5173769

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
6
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
11
Khristian Lando · RB

CFBD athlete 5226550

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
receiving · LONG
16
receiving · REC
3
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
32
receiving · YPR
10.7
rushing · CAR
31
rushing · LONG
14
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
92
rushing · YPC
3.0
Khurtiss Perry · DL

CFBD athlete 4685505

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1.0
defensive · SOLO
7
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
21
Kyten Davis · DL

CFBD athlete 5270806

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
0
Lance Johnson · OL

CFBD athlete 5258439

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Lucas Farrington · RB

CFBD athlete 5257214

fumbles · FUM
1
fumbles · LOST
1
fumbles · REC
0
receiving · LONG
23
receiving · REC
7
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
78
receiving · YPR
11.1
rushing · CAR
37
rushing · LONG
26
rushing · TD
1
rushing · YDS
211
rushing · YPC
5.7
Luke Gilbert · TE

CFBD athlete 5265478

receiving · LONG
82
receiving · REC
17
receiving · TD
4
receiving · YDS
331
receiving · YPR
19.5
Mac Sanders · LB

CFBD athlete 5216500

defensive · PD
1
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Marc Woods · S

CFBD athlete 5180148

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
2
defensive · TOT
16
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Marquis Hood · DL

CFBD athlete 5234103

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
17
Marvin Stringfellow · DL

CFBD athlete 5382838

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
Mccade Wright · DL

CFBD athlete 5222573

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Mikey Rosa · LB

CFBD athlete 5153432

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
1
defensive · SOLO
5
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3.5
defensive · TOT
12
Morven Joseph · LB

CFBD athlete 4432323

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
19
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1.0
defensive · TOT
38
Myles Butler · LB

CFBD athlete 5296091

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
4
defensive · SACKS
0.5
defensive · SOLO
9
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
22
Nii Addy · DL

CFBD athlete 5192753

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
3
Quay Hood · DL

CFBD athlete 5265483

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
11
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
3
defensive · TOT
22
Riggs Dunn · S

CFBD athlete 5296092

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Robert Billings · S

CFBD athlete 4920148

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
15
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
25
interceptions · AVG
5.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
5
Rodarion Jones · CB

CFBD athlete 5161018

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2
receiving · LONG
7
receiving · REC
1
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
7
receiving · YPR
7.0
Ronnel Johnson · WR

CFBD athlete 5161162

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
1
puntReturns · AVG
0.0
puntReturns · LONG
0
puntReturns · NO
1
puntReturns · TD
0
puntReturns · YDS
0
receiving · LONG
34
receiving · REC
15
receiving · TD
0
receiving · YDS
185
receiving · YPR
12.3
Shane Payton Hodges · TE

CFBD athlete 5150915

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Shondell Harris · S

CFBD athlete 5302773

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Tae Floyd · DL

CFBD athlete 5150919

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
2
defensive · SACKS
2
defensive · SOLO
10
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
5
defensive · TOT
21
Tim Anthony · CB

CFBD athlete 5327678

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
2
Tre'Quon Fegans · CB

CFBD athlete 4685351

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
16
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
25
Tristan Lyles · LB

CFBD athlete 5200104

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
4
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0.5
defensive · TOT
7
interceptions · AVG
0.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
0
Ty Sims · S

CFBD athlete 5327519

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
0
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
interceptions · AVG
8.0
interceptions · INT
1
interceptions · TD
0
interceptions · YDS
8
Vernon Woodward III · S

CFBD athlete 5146579

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
1
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
1
Walker O'Steen · LB

CFBD athlete 5150914

defensive · PD
2
defensive · QB HUR
1
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
13
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
1
defensive · TOT
30
Walter Reddick · LB

CFBD athlete 5226555

defensive · PD
0
defensive · QB HUR
0
defensive · SACKS
0
defensive · SOLO
2
defensive · TD
0
defensive · TFL
0
defensive · TOT
2

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability
Unavailable
Measurement units
Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time
Unavailable
Forecast valid time
Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Jacksonville State -17.5

DraftKings snapshot: Jacksonville State -17.5

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Jacksonville State by 17.60

0.10 points toward Jacksonville State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Jacksonville State.

  • Net EPA rating difference: +13.60
  • Fitted offset: +5.20
  • Fitted home field: -1.20

Reconciles to 17.60 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit c4bb7cb5f7676bad6ca935c9ad6de236fbdb43b95c02a90800020598436e58af · inputs b4bcbf88801734f3472d93b00b724e1288c7ce5d2b73765add1bada27184760a · training 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51 · forecast 4d65ee94cc2cb01a35d72c2ad4b2b5cce0167fbbcef47150e16aac6fa5704d94 · through week 9.

What changed?

7 saved cards for this game

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved -0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Jacksonville State · all values in points
Recorded valueEarlierLatestChange
Market spread-17.25-17.5-0.25
Model spread-17.6-17.60.0
Model gap+0.35+0.1-0.25

Negative spreads favor Jacksonville State; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256
09ae362bba85693dce95202484e390b841fbdf36d21ea093fee4dd02276f20a9
Odds source SHA-256
1191efda55b02705391f90dc98ac55459f647f2300778ae80eca48d727f2d3cf
Latest published card SHA-256
1cb82609908ef20168d6821e20ce6db6dd11891a77105bc3ac9b18df06cadb8b
Odds source SHA-256
d0dba70812098c221b0c8c478c2238c95459bef99e39ca41d677e1f30597fc3c
View recorded snapshot data
Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; 285 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 84480cb6cc00c8fa67ed4375e0492a83b5ad7dac628fe1cf824ff35a490cdd51. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:
EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: b4bcbf88801734f3472d93b00b724e1288c7ce5d2b73765add1bada27184760a. Private linear fit c025ead12920ba4b56114f7cd4fe71d589837d1d707e57540b143a0036e10027; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 285 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.

Training-only RMSE: 15.77 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +0.1 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Jacksonville State win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
Unavailable
Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability
89%
Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:01:15 CST; CFBD source spread: Jacksonville State -17.5
Stacked ensemble
86%
Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Jacksonville State.

  • away elo: +18.78 (path difference 19.95)
  • away adjusted epa: +8.94 (path difference 10.93)
  • home adjusted success: +6.03 (path difference 7.13)
  • away adjusted second level yards allowed: +4.69 (path difference 2.27)
  • away adjusted success: +4.19 (path difference 3.04)
  • home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.56 (path difference 5.41)
  • away adjusted rushing epa: -3.17 (path difference 2.36)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.40 (path difference 1.51)
  • home adjusted open field yards allowed: +2.36 (path difference 1.03)
  • home adjusted epa: +2.20 (path difference 3.94)
  • home elo: -1.95 (path difference 2.06)
  • home adjusted epa allowed: -1.74 (path difference 0.57)
  • away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.73 (path difference 2.30)
  • away adjusted passing down success: -1.56 (path difference 1.78)
  • home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.41 (path difference 1.20)
  • home talent: +1.37 (path difference 0.91)
  • away adjusted second level yards: +1.27 (path difference 0.47)
  • away adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.14 (path difference 1.24)
  • away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.11 (path difference 0.71)
  • home adjusted open field yards: -1.09 (path difference 1.46)
  • away adjusted explosiveness: +1.05 (path difference 0.63)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.98 (path difference 0.32)
  • home adjusted passing epa: -0.98 (path difference 1.40)
  • away adjusted standard down success: -0.94 (path difference 0.97)
  • away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.92 (path difference 1.10)
  • home adjusted rushing epa allowed: -0.89 (path difference 1.03)
  • home adjusted second level yards: +0.87 (path difference 0.33)
  • home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.86 (path difference 0.55)
  • away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.84 (path difference 0.89)
  • week: -0.77 (path difference 1.10)
  • away adjusted passing epa: +0.73 (path difference 0.61)
  • away adjusted line yards: +0.70 (path difference 0.55)
  • home adjusted standard down success: +0.69 (path difference 0.51)
  • home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.62 (path difference 1.47)
  • away talent: +0.57 (path difference 1.35)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.55 (path difference 0.10)
  • away adjusted success allowed: +0.51 (path difference 1.13)
  • away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.49 (path difference 0.15)
  • home adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.44)
  • home adjusted rushing epa: -0.47 (path difference 0.27)
  • home adjusted explosiveness: +0.44 (path difference 1.22)
  • home adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.32 (path difference 1.30)
  • away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.29 (path difference 0.13)
  • home adjusted success allowed: -0.28 (path difference 0.48)
  • away adjusted open field yards: -0.28 (path difference 2.24)
  • away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.23 (path difference 0.26)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.14 (path difference 0.26)
  • home adjusted line yards: -0.10 (path difference 0.04)
  • home adjusted passing down success: +0.10 (path difference 0.06)
  • away adjusted epa allowed: -0.06 (path difference 0.17)
  • home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.04 (path difference 0.01)
  • away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.04 (path difference 0.34)
  • home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.02 (path difference 0.03)
  • home conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)
  • away conference: 0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 86.13 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit e302459ca56c4f194361bcc0ad952fb75b35a71b9ff0feaf8dede9dc1265ad90 · inputs 165d02d040e62e600189062ebdaab5b6849e71f7af7b4eddf31090c25e1a0cc9 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast e8da58c02cf16cdad2eaf1bb5564ea0cbd94cd3faf68579ede7ebd3898d105c3 · through week 9.

Output:
Home win probability (%), display only
Model:
StackedEnsemble
Training:
Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:
Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:
Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-11-06 UTC.

Sam Houston

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 67 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
MJ Dowdy

CFBD athlete 5384799

Week 7 vs Western Kentucky: 13 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 46.2% success · -0.067 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs New Mexico State: 4 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.510 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Missouri State: 8 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.409 raw PPA.

253.4037.3%37 / 3.6
Alton McCaskill

CFBD athlete 4680018

Week 7 vs Western Kentucky: 3 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.279 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs New Mexico State: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.155 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Missouri State: 4 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.191 raw PPA.

93.4013.4%58 / 3.9
Landyn Locke

CFBD athlete 5148427

Week 7 vs Western Kentucky: 6 attempts · -3.8 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.552 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs New Mexico State: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.156 raw PPA.

8-2.0311.9%36 / -0.3
DJ Bailey

CFBD athlete 5220425

Week 8 vs New Mexico State: 1 attempts · -16.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.000 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Missouri State: 7 attempts · 0.1 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.521 raw PPA.

8-1.9411.9%8 / -1.9
Landan Brown

CFBD athlete 5160209

Week 7 vs Western Kentucky: 3 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.085 raw PPA.

Week 8 vs New Mexico State: 2 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.391 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs Missouri State: 2 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.473 raw PPA.

74.1010.4%32 / 4.2

Jacksonville State

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 105 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

PlayerAttemptsYPCSacksAttributed shareCaptured season attempts / YPC
Caden Creel

CFBD athlete 5122157

Week 6 vs Kennesaw State: 10 attempts · 3.0 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.296 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Florida International: 19 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 38.9% success · 0.105 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico State: 21 attempts · 10.0 YPC · 65.0% success · 0.669 raw PPA.

506.7347.6%124 / 5.6
Jalen Likely

CFBD athlete 5226551

Week 6 vs Kennesaw State: 11 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 54.5% success · 0.150 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico State: 4 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.395 raw PPA.

154.3014.3%42 / 5.2
Khristian Lando

CFBD athlete 5226550

Week 6 vs Kennesaw State: 2 attempts · 0.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.470 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Florida International: 2 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.666 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico State: 10 attempts · 2.7 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.103 raw PPA.

142.1013.3%31 / 3.0
Lucas Farrington

CFBD athlete 5257214

Week 6 vs Kennesaw State: 4 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 50.0% success · -1.370 raw PPA.

Week 7 vs Florida International: 1 attempts · 17.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 2.386 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico State: 7 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.084 raw PPA.

123.5011.4%36 / 5.6
Justus Savage

CFBD athlete 5176911

Week 7 vs Florida International: 7 attempts · 6.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.552 raw PPA.

Week 9 vs New Mexico State: 3 attempts · 9.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.417 raw PPA.

107.209.5%10 / 7.2

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 9, captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

MeasureJacksonville StateOffenseSam HoustonDefenseSam HoustonOffenseJacksonville StateDefense
PPA/play
+0.19
67th
+0.09
45th
-0.02
5th
+0.05
59th
Success rate
47.4%
81st
39.2%
65th
36.7%
4th
41.1%
46th
Explosiveness
1.21
39th
1.21
55th
1.33
88th
1.09
94th
Standard-down PPA/play
+0.11
64th
+0.07
34th
-0.14
1st
-0.01
64th
Passing-down PPA/play
+0.39
82nd
+0.14
65th
+0.19
36th
+0.18
50th
Havoc allowed / created
14.2%
59th
18.9%
85th
21.2%
1st
14.7%
33rd

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Nov 6, 2026, 06:07:26 CST. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:41 AM CST · assembled Nov 6, 2026, 6:16:41 AM CST

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Nov 6, 2026, 6:15:45 AM CST.

  • Garrison Rippa · Jacksonville State · PAAR 0.70 · 14 attempts
  • Samuel Carpenter · Sam Houston · PAAR -0.11 · 9 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Nov 6, 2026, 14:39:19 CST · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Jacksonville State spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Nov 6, 2026, 03:00:01 CST · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -14 · Snapshot spread: -17.5

First locally observed: -16.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 47.5 · Snapshot total: 47.5

Total · First locally observed: 48.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -850 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -850 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +575 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +575 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -16.5 · Snapshot spread: -17.5

First locally observed: -16.5 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 48 · Snapshot total: 48

Total · First locally observed: 48 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -800 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -800 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +550 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +550 · captured Nov 2, 2026, 07:37:21 CST · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: f47e17bb763e93498c8e692f9a5e057fd2d1d524ba9cf3f94dff5a9e9ddc5ccb

Jacksonville State

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.0 · 9 rated weeks · Conference USA

55th FBS percentile

Sam Houston

Net adjusted EPA/play -0.2 · 9 rated weeks · Conference USA

4th FBS percentile

Travel

Sam Houston travels 610 miles (longer than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Jacksonville State leads 4–2 in 6 meetings since 2014.

  • 2025 · NJacksonville State at Sam Houston29–27 · Jacksonville State
  • 2024Sam Houston at Jacksonville State11–21 · Jacksonville State
  • 2023Jacksonville State at Sam Houston35–28 · Jacksonville State
  • 2021Jacksonville State at Sam Houston7–42 · Sam Houston
  • 2015Sam Houston at Jacksonville State10–62 · Jacksonville State
  • 2014Sam Houston at Jacksonville State37–26 · Sam Houston

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.