Week 9 · 2026

Florida at Georgia

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Florida

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Aaron Philo QB 2 games	39.7% 27 / 68 plays	46.2% 6 / 13 plays
Tramell Jones Jr. QB 3 games	44.9% 22 / 49 plays	50.0% 6 / 12 plays
Jadan Baugh RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	27.5% 14 / 51 plays
Evan Pryor RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	28.6% 2 / 7 plays
London Montgomery RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	80.0% 4 / 5 plays
Eric Singleton Jr. WR 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Duke Clark RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 4 plays

Traditional season production · 56 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Aaron Chiles · LB

CFBD athlete 5079340

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 37
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Aaron Philo · QB

CFBD athlete 5132812

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 149
passing · COMPLETIONS: 105
passing · INT: 3
passing · PCT: 0.705
passing · TD: 9
passing · YDS: 1341
passing · YPA: 9.0
rushing · CAR: 44
rushing · LONG: 24
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 104
rushing · YPC: 2.4

Alec Clark · P

CFBD athlete 5172403

punting · In 20: 8
punting · LONG: 75
punting · NO: 22
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1043
punting · YPP: 47.4
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 13
rushing · YPC: 13.0

Alfonzo Allen · S

CFBD athlete 4685238

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 22

Amir Jackson · TE

CFBD athlete 5139093

receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 106
receiving · YPR: 21.2

Anthony Rubio · RB

CFBD athlete 5151893

rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Bailey Stockton · WR

CFBD athlete 5125593

puntReturns · AVG: 16.0
puntReturns · LONG: 16
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 16
receiving · LONG: 59
receiving · REC: 27
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 289
receiving · YPR: 10.7
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -2
rushing · YPC: -2.0

Ben Hanks III · CB

CFBD athlete 5295813

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Brendan Bett · DL

CFBD athlete 5086808

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 19

Brian Case · RB

CFBD athlete 5295817

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Bryce Lovett · OL

CFBD athlete 4921261

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Bryce Thornton · S

CFBD athlete 4870995

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 21

Byron Louis · RB

CFBD athlete 5141565

receiving · LONG: 32
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 32
receiving · YPR: 32.0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 15
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 34
rushing · YPC: 5.7

Cam Dooley · S

CFBD athlete 5149513

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Cormani Mcclain · CB

CFBD athlete 4870920

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

D.K. Kalu · DL

CFBD athlete 4870873

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 7

DJ Coleman · S

CFBD athlete 5159672

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 24
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Dallas Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 5141723

receiving · LONG: 40
receiving · REC: 29
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 403
receiving · YPR: 13.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Dijon Johnson · CB

CFBD athlete 4899671

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Drake Stubbs · S

CFBD athlete 5295812

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Duke Clark · RB

CFBD athlete 5295815

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 26
receiving · YPR: 5.2
rushing · CAR: 36
rushing · LONG: 45
rushing · TD: 3
rushing · YDS: 265
rushing · YPC: 7.4

Emmanuel Oybadejo · DL

CFBD athlete 5226569

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 5
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Eric Singleton Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5095360

receiving · LONG: 38
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 93
receiving · YPR: 9.3
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 8
rushing · YPC: 2.0

Evan Chieca · TE

CFBD athlete 5303826

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0

Evan Pryor · RB

CFBD athlete 4432757

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 28
receiving · YPR: 4.7
rushing · CAR: 18
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 44
rushing · YPC: 2.4

J'Vari Flowers · CB

CFBD athlete 5161809

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23

Jadan Baugh · RB

CFBD athlete 5079322

puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 4
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 59
receiving · YPR: 6.6
rushing · CAR: 135
rushing · LONG: 75
rushing · TD: 13
rushing · YDS: 763
rushing · YPC: 5.7

Jaden Robinson · LB

CFBD athlete 4870978

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 25

Jalen Wiggins · DL

CFBD athlete 5141747

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jamari Lyons · DL

CFBD athlete 4685452

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 5

Jayden Woods · LB

CFBD athlete 5141766

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.0
defensive · TOT: 27

Jeramiah Mccloud · DL

CFBD athlete 5195951

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Jordy Lowery · CB

CFBD athlete 4812379

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Joseph Mbatchou · DL

CFBD athlete 5221980

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 5

Justin Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5271234

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 0
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0
receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 10.5

KJ Ford · LB

CFBD athlete 5158984

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Kahleil Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 4693740

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 48
passing · YPA: 48.0
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 30
receiving · YPR: 10.0

Kamran James · DL

CFBD athlete 5083314

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 15

Kanye Clark · DB

CFBD athlete 5153615

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 25
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Kofi Asare · LB

CFBD athlete 4912316

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 7

L.J. McCray · DL

CFBD athlete 5079521

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Lagonza Hayward · S

CFBD athlete 5195292

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 24

Lakota Dippre · TE

CFBD athlete 5121998

kickReturns · AVG: 15.0
kickReturns · LONG: 16
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 30
receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 8.5

Liam Padron · PK

CFBD athlete 5228136

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 1
kicking · XPA: 1
kicking · XPM: 1

London Montgomery · RB

CFBD athlete 4941012

kickReturns · AVG: 25.0
kickReturns · LONG: 74
kickReturns · NO: 12
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 300
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 8
receiving · YPR: 8.0
rushing · CAR: 13
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 56
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Luke Harpring · TE

CFBD athlete 5218907

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 142
receiving · YPR: 10.9

Micah Jones · TE

CFBD athlete 5195483

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Micah Mays Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4870826

receiving · LONG: 20
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 57
receiving · YPR: 8.1

Myles Graham · LB

CFBD athlete 5079480

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 3.5
defensive · SOLO: 24
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 49
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Myles Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5149469

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Patrick Durkin · PK

CFBD athlete 5219725

kicking · FGA: 12
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 53
kicking · PCT: 0.917
kicking · PTS: 66
kicking · XPA: 33
kicking · XPM: 33

Stive-Bentley Keumajou-Yondui · DL

CFBD athlete 5391549

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Tawaski Abrams · WR

CFBD athlete 5079289

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 63
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 180
receiving · YPR: 18.0

Tramell Jones Jr. · QB

CFBD athlete 5295814

passing · ATT: 64
passing · COMPLETIONS: 45
passing · INT: 2
passing · PCT: 0.703
passing · TD: 4
passing · YDS: 407
passing · YPA: 6.4
rushing · CAR: 15
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 66
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Ty Jackson · LB

CFBD athlete 5167180

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Vernell Brown III · WR

CFBD athlete 5295811

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 2
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 37.8
puntReturns · LONG: 70
puntReturns · NO: 5
puntReturns · TD: 2
puntReturns · YDS: 189
receiving · LONG: 49
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 271
receiving · YPR: 15.9
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 14
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 16
rushing · YPC: 5.3

Georgia

Window: 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T19:30:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Gunner Stockton QB 3 games	53.3% 49 / 92 plays	64.7% 11 / 17 plays
Dwight Phillips Jr. RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 16 / 32 plays
Bo Walker RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	35.7% 5 / 14 plays
Nate Frazier RB 2 games	— 0 / 0 plays	27.3% 3 / 11 plays
Chauncey Bowens RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	70.0% 7 / 10 plays
Ryan Puglisi QB 2 games	100.0% 3 / 3 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Nick Peal RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	0.0% 0 / 2 plays
London Humphreys WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 76 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

AJ Kruah · LB

CFBD athlete 5210161

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 13

AJ Lonon Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5291727

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 3

Blake Stewart · S

CFBD athlete 5217095

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
interceptions · AVG: 27.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 27

Bo Walker · RB

CFBD athlete 5172095

kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 14
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 14
receiving · LONG: 4
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 1.3
rushing · CAR: 30
rushing · LONG: 59
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 203
rushing · YPC: 6.8

Braylon Conley · DB

CFBD athlete 5127726

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 8

CJ Wiley · WR

CFBD athlete 5141749

receiving · LONG: 6
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 6
receiving · YPR: 6.0

Caden Harris · DB

CFBD athlete 5209400

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Carter Luckie · DL

CFBD athlete 5161020

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chase Linton · LB

CFBD athlete 5212631

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Chauncey Bowens · RB

CFBD athlete 5079335

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 132
receiving · YPR: 13.2
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 18
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 124
rushing · YPC: 3.5

Chris Cole · LB

CFBD athlete 5145410

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 40
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 2

Clinton Barlow · DL

CFBD athlete 5160178

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Craig Dandridge · WR

CFBD athlete 5263766

puntReturns · AVG: 9.0
puntReturns · LONG: 9
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 9
receiving · LONG: 61
receiving · REC: 17
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 310
receiving · YPR: 18.2
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 6
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 6
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Dallas Dickerson · WR

CFBD athlete 5273767

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 17.0

Darren Ikinnagbon · LB

CFBD athlete 5195293

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Demello Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5122447

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 16
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 43.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 43

Drew Miller · P

CFBD athlete 5145507

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 0
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 0
passing · YPA: 0.0
punting · In 20: 6
punting · LONG: 65
punting · NO: 19
punting · TB: 6
punting · YDS: 875
punting · YPP: 46.1

Duncan Carpenter · LB

CFBD athlete 5306295

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Dwight Phillips Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5079561

receiving · LONG: 30
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 114
receiving · YPR: 11.4
rushing · CAR: 47
rushing · LONG: 54
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 348
rushing · YPC: 7.4

Elijah Griffin · DL

CFBD athlete 5141464

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Elijah Littlejohn · LB

CFBD athlete 5209368

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 4

Ellis Robinson IV · DB

CFBD athlete 5079698

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Elyiss Williams · TE

CFBD athlete 5141756

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 88
receiving · YPR: 12.6

Ethan Barbour · TE

CFBD athlete 5141371

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 6.7

Gabe Harris · LB

CFBD athlete 4870716

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 12

Gentry Williams · DB

CFBD athlete 4685616

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Gunner Stockton · QB

CFBD athlete 4685578

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 158
passing · COMPLETIONS: 117
passing · INT: 4
passing · PCT: 0.741
passing · TD: 16
passing · YDS: 1570
passing · YPA: 9.9
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 62
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 160
rushing · YPC: 4.6

Harran Zureikat · PK

CFBD athlete 5290851

kicking · FGA: 0
kicking · FGM: 0
kicking · LONG: 0
kicking · PCT: 0
kicking · PTS: 2
kicking · XPA: 2
kicking · XPM: 2

Hezekiah Millender · QB

CFBD athlete 5229348

passing · ATT: 1
passing · COMPLETIONS: 1
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 17
passing · YPA: 17.0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 13
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 27
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Isaiah Gibson · DE

CFBD athlete 5142611

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Isiah Canion · WR

CFBD athlete 5132253

receiving · LONG: 15
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 28
receiving · YPR: 9.3

JJ Hanne · DL

CFBD athlete 5209009

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6

Ja'Marley Riddle · S

CFBD athlete 5158914

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 13

Jaden Reddell · TE

CFBD athlete 5218582

kickReturns · AVG: 14.0
kickReturns · LONG: 14
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 14
receiving · LONG: 53
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 115
receiving · YPR: 19.2
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 29
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 38
rushing · YPC: 12.7

Jae Lamar · RB

CFBD athlete 5244758

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 6
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 26
rushing · YPC: 4.3

Jaylan Morgan · DB

CFBD athlete 5293621

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jeremy Bell · WR

CFBD athlete 5150831

receiving · LONG: 54
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 73
receiving · YPR: 36.5
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

Jordan Hall · DL

CFBD athlete 4870779

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 11
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Jordan Smith · DB

CFBD athlete 5209420

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Joseph Jonah-Ajonye · DL

CFBD athlete 5138756

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 10

Josh Horton · DT

CFBD athlete 4870822

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 7

Justin Greene · DE

CFBD athlete 5079423

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Justin Williams · LB

CFBD athlete 5079767

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 24

KJ Bolden · DB

CFBD athlete 5079334

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 22
interceptions · AVG: 29.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 29

Kaiden Prothro · TE

CFBD athlete 5182804

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 16
receiving · YPR: 16.0

Khalil Barnes · S

CFBD athlete 5078250

defensive · PD: 3
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 10
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 17

Khamari Brooks · LB

CFBD athlete 5245124

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 10
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Kyron Jones · DB

CFBD athlete 5104150

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Landon Roldan · WR

CFBD athlete 5215017

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 4.0
puntReturns · LONG: 4
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 4
receiving · LONG: 55
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 98
receiving · YPR: 19.6
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 22
rushing · YPC: 7.3

Lawson Luckie · TE

CFBD athlete 4870874

receiving · LONG: 43
receiving · REC: 11
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 184
receiving · YPR: 16.7

London Humphreys · WR

CFBD athlete 5078453

receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 12
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 120
receiving · YPR: 10.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 11
rushing · YPC: 11.0

London Seymour · DL

CFBD athlete 5258446

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Nate Frazier · RB

CFBD athlete 5084047

receiving · LONG: 10
receiving · REC: 4
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 21
receiving · YPR: 5.3
rushing · CAR: 35
rushing · LONG: 48
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 230
rushing · YPC: 6.6

Nick Abrams II · LB

CFBD athlete 5245168

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Nick Peal · RB

CFBD athlete 5446770

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
rushing · CAR: 14
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 61
rushing · YPC: 4.4

Nnamdi Ogboko · DL

CFBD athlete 5146895

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 10

PJ Dean · DL

CFBD athlete 5159005

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 4

Peyton Woodring · PK

CFBD athlete 5077226

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 49
kicking · PCT: 0.778
kicking · PTS: 59
kicking · XPA: 38
kicking · XPM: 38

Preston Carey · DL

CFBD athlete 4030388

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Quintavius Johnson · LB

CFBD athlete 5146897

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.5
defensive · TOT: 17
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Rasean Dinkins · S

CFBD athlete 5142602

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 20
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 30
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Raylen Wilson · LB

CFBD athlete 4871074

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6.0
defensive · TOT: 43

Ryan Montgomery · QB

CFBD athlete 5141602

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 6
passing · COMPLETIONS: 3
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 1
passing · YDS: 66
passing · YPA: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Ryan Puglisi · QB

CFBD athlete 5079679

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 31
passing · COMPLETIONS: 20
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.645
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 252
passing · YPA: 8.1
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 70
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 85
rushing · YPC: 28.3

Sacovie White · WR

CFBD athlete 5105269

fumbles · FUM: 2
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
kickReturns · AVG: 17.0
kickReturns · LONG: 18
kickReturns · NO: 2
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 34
puntReturns · AVG: 8.5
puntReturns · LONG: 35
puntReturns · NO: 13
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 111
receiving · LONG: 70
receiving · REC: 15
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 174
receiving · YPR: 11.6
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 8
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 10
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Talyn Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5141671

receiving · LONG: 41
receiving · REC: 19
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 283
receiving · YPR: 14.9
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 31
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 31
rushing · YPC: 31.0

Terrell Foster · LB

CFBD athlete 4880985

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 7

Terrence Penick Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5278577

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Thomas Blackshear · WR

CFBD athlete 5149473

receiving · LONG: 16
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 48
receiving · YPR: 9.6

Todd Robinson · S

CFBD athlete 5209177

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Tyler Williams · WR

CFBD athlete 5297763

receiving · LONG: 27
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 16.5

Tyriq Green · S

CFBD athlete 5161815

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
kickReturns · AVG: 43.0
kickReturns · LONG: 91
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 1
kickReturns · YDS: 129

Valdin Sone · DL

CFBD athlete 5264957

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Zayden Walker · LB

CFBD athlete 5141739

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 6

Zech Fort · S

CFBD athlete 5158958

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Zion Branch · S

CFBD athlete 4685282

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

No pick

Comparison line · CFBD median

Georgia -12.25

DraftKings snapshot: Georgia -12.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Georgia by 11.38

0.87 points toward Florida versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Georgia.

Fitted offset: +5.87
Net EPA rating difference: +5.52
Fitted home field: 0.00

Reconciles to 11.38 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs be55a143a2348bbfb7e1b81fb10920caeb83d7d913244caaf0310049363c0e63 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 4c5a3992b062d1619cea977967c6a4fb032d8b0dab7242b3a9fc8881f0d23afc · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +0.25 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Georgia · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-12.5	-12.25	+0.25
Model spread	-11.38	-11.38	0.0
Model gap	-1.12	-0.87	+0.25

Negative spreads favor Georgia; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Pick logic

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: be55a143a2348bbfb7e1b81fb10920caeb83d7d913244caaf0310049363c0e63. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap -0.9 points, minimum 3.0

Win probabilities · separate sources

Georgia win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 80%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Georgia -12
Stacked ensemble: 87%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Georgia.

home elo: +22.53 (path difference 9.88)
home adjusted success: +8.87 (path difference 7.05)
away adjusted success: -7.23 (path difference 2.50)
home adjusted passing epa: +6.19 (path difference 9.26)
home talent: +5.58 (path difference 0.59)
away talent: -5.33 (path difference 0.11)
home adjusted success allowed: +5.31 (path difference 1.32)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +4.37 (path difference 7.67)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +3.21 (path difference 4.75)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +2.85 (path difference 3.48)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -2.71 (path difference 4.43)
home adjusted epa allowed: -2.44 (path difference 3.35)
home adjusted explosiveness: +2.16 (path difference 1.31)
away conference: +2.10 (path difference 3.26)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.00 (path difference 2.38)
away elo: -1.90 (path difference 2.10)
home adjusted second level yards: +1.85 (path difference 1.04)
away adjusted standard down success: +1.84 (path difference 0.27)
home conference: +1.73 (path difference 2.39)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +1.37 (path difference 0.88)
away adjusted rushing epa: +1.19 (path difference 2.60)
home adjusted line yards: +1.17 (path difference 0.03)
away adjusted success allowed: +0.99 (path difference 1.21)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.97 (path difference 0.20)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: -0.90 (path difference 0.98)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.89 (path difference 0.32)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +0.86 (path difference 0.06)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.84 (path difference 0.62)
away adjusted epa allowed: -0.82 (path difference 1.31)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.81 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.78 (path difference 0.57)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.77 (path difference 1.74)
home adjusted epa: -0.76 (path difference 0.57)
away adjusted epa: -0.72 (path difference 1.24)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.68 (path difference 0.88)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.67 (path difference 0.56)
home adjusted open field yards: +0.65 (path difference 0.60)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.56 (path difference 0.30)
away adjusted explosiveness: +0.43 (path difference 0.79)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.34 (path difference 0.31)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.29 (path difference 0.72)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.29 (path difference 0.21)
week: +0.27 (path difference 0.49)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.27 (path difference 0.45)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.22 (path difference 0.63)
away adjusted second level yards: +0.14 (path difference 0.71)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.13 (path difference 0.58)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.11 (path difference 0.80)
home adjusted rushing epa: +0.11 (path difference 0.19)
away adjusted line yards: +0.08 (path difference 0.49)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.04 (path difference 0.02)
home adjusted standard down success: +0.04 (path difference 1.19)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.03 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.01 (path difference 0.00)
home adjusted line yards allowed: -0.01 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 87.12 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 4eb19c59ddfdfca3f7d2d82d3925958c11e1fed84f2ea84e8df2c3a078cd3779 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast bd6d733b440d9ef410f97d9bff8b448d504a0d787e11e1212b99f364603bb791 · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Florida

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 103 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Jadan Baugh CFBD athlete 5079322 Week 5 vs Missouri: 12 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.612 raw PPA. Week 6 vs South Carolina: 15 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.103 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 24 attempts · 3.6 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.002 raw PPA.	51	3.1	0	49.5%	129 / 5.7
Aaron Philo CFBD athlete 5132812 Week 5 vs Missouri: 7 attempts · 0.4 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.697 raw PPA. Week 6 vs South Carolina: 12 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 44.4% success · 0.180 raw PPA.	19	1.6	6	18.4%	42 / 2.3
Tramell Jones Jr. CFBD athlete 5295814 Week 5 vs Missouri: 1 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.484 raw PPA. Week 6 vs South Carolina: 2 attempts · 8.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.652 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 10 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.127 raw PPA.	13	4.8	1	12.6%	15 / 4.4
Evan Pryor CFBD athlete 4432757 Week 5 vs Missouri: 2 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.003 raw PPA. Week 6 vs South Carolina: 3 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.809 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 2 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 50.0% success · -0.075 raw PPA.	7	2.1	0	6.8%	17 / 2.6
London Montgomery CFBD athlete 4941012 Week 5 vs Missouri: 1 attempts · 17.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.357 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Texas: 4 attempts · 5.0 YPC · 75.0% success · 0.008 raw PPA.	5	7.4	0	4.9%	13 / 4.3

Georgia

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 95 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Dwight Phillips Jr. CFBD athlete 5079561 Week 5 vs Vanderbilt: 5 attempts · 5.4 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.092 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Alabama: 17 attempts · 7.1 YPC · 47.1% success · 0.329 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Auburn: 10 attempts · 6.8 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.358 raw PPA.	32	6.7	0	33.7%	47 / 7.4
Gunner Stockton CFBD athlete 4685578 Week 5 vs Vanderbilt: 7 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.242 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Alabama: 6 attempts · 2.0 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.201 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Auburn: 9 attempts · 2.9 YPC · 71.4% success · 0.613 raw PPA.	22	2.7	4	23.2%	35 / 4.6
Bo Walker CFBD athlete 5172095 Week 5 vs Vanderbilt: 5 attempts · 14.2 YPC · 40.0% success · 0.386 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Alabama: 9 attempts · 7.6 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.089 raw PPA.	14	9.9	0	14.7%	28 / 7.1
Nate Frazier CFBD athlete 5084047 Week 5 vs Vanderbilt: 2 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 0.0% success · 0.023 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Auburn: 9 attempts · 2.1 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.468 raw PPA.	11	2.5	0	11.6%	35 / 6.6
Chauncey Bowens CFBD athlete 5079335 Week 5 vs Vanderbilt: 10 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.053 raw PPA.	10	3.1	0	10.5%	35 / 3.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	GeorgiaOffense	FloridaDefense	FloridaOffense	GeorgiaDefense
PPA/play	+0.35 99th	+0.07 53rd	+0.25 87th	-0.01 80th
Success rate	51.9% 99th	41.7% 41st	45.7% 66th	35.4% 85th
Explosiveness	1.27 66th	1.23 47th	1.22 44th	1.25 41st
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.33 99th	-0.01 64th	+0.22 89th	-0.06 77th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.43 88th	+0.25 31st	+0.32 66th	+0.09 77th
Havoc allowed / created	12.1% 86th	19.4% 88th	12.7% 78th	18.1% 80th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:13 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:13 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Peyton Woodring · Georgia · PAAR 2.97 · 9 attempts
Patrick Durkin · Florida · PAAR 6.22 · 12 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Georgia spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -12.5 · Snapshot spread: -12.5

First locally observed: -12.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -470 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -550 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +360 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +410 · captured Sep 14, 2026, 15:19:41 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: df966d27d63907ad2bd804eb0a1e3bd97821607bf88be6c42776c3be3f5aa41e

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -11.5 · Snapshot spread: -12

First locally observed: -11 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 56.5 · Snapshot total: 56.5

Total · First locally observed: 56.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -470 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -470 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +345 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +345 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Georgia

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.2 · 7 rated weeks · SEC

93rd FBS percentile

Florida

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

78th FBS percentile

Travel

Florida and Georgia meet at a neutral site; no road distance applies.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Georgia leads 58–44, 2 ties in 104 meetings since 1904.

2025 · NGeorgia at Florida24–20 · Georgia
2024 · NFlorida at Georgia20–34 · Georgia
2023 · NGeorgia at Florida43–20 · Georgia
2022 · NFlorida at Georgia20–42 · Georgia
2021 · NGeorgia at Florida34–7 · Georgia
2020 · NFlorida at Georgia44–28 · Florida

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.