Week 9 · 2026

Auburn at Ole Miss

Visual game report

Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.

Player production & success

CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.

Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.

Auburn

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Byrum Brown QB 3 games	35.7% 35 / 98 plays	43.8% 21 / 48 plays
Jeremiah Cobb RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 7 / 21 plays
Omar Mabson Ii RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 6 / 18 plays
Tristan Ti'a QB 2 games	37.5% 3 / 8 plays	66.7% 2 / 3 plays
Bryson Washington RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	33.3% 1 / 3 plays
Bryce Cain WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays
Christian Neptune WR 1 games	100.0% 1 / 1 plays	— 0 / 0 plays

Traditional season production · 49 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Alex McPherson · PK

CFBD athlete 4870519

kicking · FGA: 9
kicking · FGM: 7
kicking · LONG: 55
kicking · PCT: 0.778
kicking · PTS: 42
kicking · XPA: 21
kicking · XPM: 21

Andre Jordan · CB

CFBD athlete 5157291

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 19
interceptions · AVG: 14.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 1
interceptions · YDS: 29

Anquon Fegans · S

CFBD athlete 5141433

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 11
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Arlis Boardingham · TE

CFBD athlete 4702556

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 63
receiving · YPR: 10.5

Blake Woodby · CB

CFBD athlete 5141764

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Brian Williams Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5270869

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 25
receiving · YPR: 25.0

Bryce Cain · WR

CFBD athlete 5145207

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 0.0
puntReturns · LONG: 2
puntReturns · NO: 4
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 0
rushing · CAR: 2
rushing · LONG: 25
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 32
rushing · YPC: 16.0

Bryce Deas · LB

CFBD athlete 5155759

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 31

Bryson Washington · RB

CFBD athlete 4954455

receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 19
receiving · YPR: 6.3
rushing · CAR: 21
rushing · LONG: 22
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 76
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Byrum Brown · QB

CFBD athlete 4880272

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 208
passing · COMPLETIONS: 133
passing · INT: 7
passing · PCT: 0.639
passing · TD: 8
passing · YDS: 1362
passing · YPA: 6.5
receiving · LONG: 5
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 5
receiving · YPR: 5.0
rushing · CAR: 126
rushing · LONG: 57
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 480
rushing · YPC: 3.8

Cade Carlson · S

CFBD athlete 5219026

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
puntReturns · AVG: 0
puntReturns · LONG: 10
puntReturns · NO: 0
puntReturns · TD: 1
puntReturns · YDS: 10

Champ Anthony · S

CFBD athlete 5150284

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 15

Chas Nimrod · WR

CFBD athlete 5081367

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 33
receiving · TD: 3
receiving · YDS: 340
receiving · YPR: 10.3

Chris Murray · DL

CFBD athlete 5151209

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 12

Christian Neptune · WR

CFBD athlete 5296027

passing · ATT: 2
passing · COMPLETIONS: 2
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 1.000
passing · TD: 2
passing · YDS: 29
passing · YPA: 14.5
puntReturns · AVG: 1.0
puntReturns · LONG: 18
puntReturns · NO: 2
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 2
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 39
receiving · YPR: 5.6

Cody Sigler · DL

CFBD athlete 5294521

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 6
defensive · TOT: 23

Da'Shawn Womack · EDGE

CFBD athlete 4880967

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4
defensive · TOT: 14
interceptions · AVG: 8.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 8

Dallas Walker IV · DL

CFBD athlete 4692683

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 19

Darrion Smith · DL

CFBD athlete 5148663

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.5
defensive · TOT: 11

DeShawn Spencer · WR

CFBD athlete 5209337

receiving · LONG: 18
receiving · REC: 9
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 87
receiving · YPR: 9.7

Demarcus Riddick · LB

CFBD athlete 5079688

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 9

Elijah Melendez · LB

CFBD athlete 5143922

defensive · PD: 6
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 4
defensive · SOLO: 38
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 9.0
defensive · TOT: 57
interceptions · AVG: 13.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 13

Eric Winters · S

CFBD athlete 5141769

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 33
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 41

Fred Gaskin · S

CFBD athlete 5079437

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 19.3
kickReturns · LONG: 25
kickReturns · NO: 3
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 58

Gavin Jenkins · CB

CFBD athlete 5214501

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 6
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 7

Hudson Kaak · P

CFBD athlete 5088774

punting · In 20: 13
punting · LONG: 69
punting · NO: 34
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1429
punting · YPP: 42.0

Hudson Powell · LS

CFBD athlete 5082990

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Hunter Herring · TE

CFBD athlete 4683912

receiving · LONG: 14
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 14
receiving · YPR: 14.0

Jake Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 4685414

receiving · LONG: 19
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 86
receiving · YPR: 8.6

Jaquez Wilkes · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5209320

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Jared Smith · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5141696

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 2.5
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 14
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 6.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 6

Jeremiah Cobb · RB

CFBD athlete 4870642

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 55
receiving · YPR: 5.5
rushing · CAR: 62
rushing · LONG: 21
rushing · TD: 2
rushing · YDS: 320
rushing · YPC: 5.2

Jeremiah Koger · WR

CFBD athlete 5209679

receiving · LONG: 45
receiving · REC: 14
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 230
receiving · YPR: 16.4

Jonathan Echols · TE

CFBD athlete 5079382

receiving · LONG: 22
receiving · REC: 5
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 8.0

Jourdin Crawford · DL

CFBD athlete 5141397

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0.5
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 17

Kaleb Harris · S

CFBD athlete 5089326

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 29
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 41
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Kenneth McManus · OL

CFBD athlete 5178087

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Keshaun Singleton · WR

CFBD athlete 5121879

receiving · LONG: 48
receiving · REC: 36
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 431
receiving · YPR: 12.0

Malik Autry · DL

CFBD athlete 5141363

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 8

Michael Matthews-Canty · LB

CFBD athlete 5148883

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Nate Johnson · EDGE

CFBD athlete 5151950

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 9
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11

Omar Mabson Ii · RB

CFBD athlete 5217041

puntReturns · AVG: 28.0
puntReturns · LONG: 28
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 28
receiving · LONG: 13
receiving · REC: 6
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 40
receiving · YPR: 6.7
rushing · CAR: 41
rushing · LONG: 39
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 240
rushing · YPC: 5.9

Rayshawn Pleasant · CB

CFBD athlete 4868900

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 17
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 21
kickReturns · AVG: 21.8
kickReturns · LONG: 31
kickReturns · NO: 4
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 87

Sylvester Smith · S

CFBD athlete 4871006

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Tae Meadows · RB

CFBD athlete 4880395

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 0
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 9
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 6.0

Tristan Ti'a · QB

CFBD athlete 5210501

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 11
passing · COMPLETIONS: 7
passing · INT: 0
passing · PCT: 0.636
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 83
passing · YPA: 7.5
rushing · CAR: 5
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 18
rushing · YPC: 3.6

Walter Mathis Jr. · DL

CFBD athlete 5167752

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3
defensive · TOT: 8

Will Myers · QB

CFBD athlete 5294027

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Xavier Atkins · LB

CFBD athlete 5079309

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 3
defensive · SOLO: 26
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 7.5
defensive · TOT: 37
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Ole Miss

Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T16:45:00+00:00.

Player	Passing	Rushing
Trinidad Chambliss QB 3 games	43.6% 51 / 117 plays	30.0% 3 / 10 plays
Kewan Lacy RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	37.8% 14 / 37 plays
Makhi Frazier RB 3 games	— 0 / 0 plays	64.7% 22 / 34 plays
Deuce Knight QB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	25.0% 1 / 4 plays
Shekai Mills-Knight RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 2 / 4 plays
Joshua Dye RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 2 / 2 plays
JT Lindsey RB 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	50.0% 1 / 2 plays
Samari Reed WR 1 games	— 0 / 0 plays	100.0% 1 / 1 plays

Traditional season production · 58 players

Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.

Andrew Maddox · DT

CFBD athlete 5141528

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Andy Jaffe · S

CFBD athlete 5125531

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Anthony Robinson III · S

CFBD athlete 5147351

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Antonio Kite · CB

CFBD athlete 4708488

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 19
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 25
interceptions · AVG: 1.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1

Blake Purchase · DE

CFBD athlete 4870961

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 4.5
defensive · SOLO: 14
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 8.0
defensive · TOT: 27

Caleb Cunningham · WR

CFBD athlete 5224178

receiving · LONG: 25
receiving · REC: 13
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 176
receiving · YPR: 13.5

Caleb Odom · TE

CFBD athlete 5079647

receiving · LONG: 35
receiving · REC: 26
receiving · TD: 2
receiving · YDS: 326
receiving · YPR: 12.5

Carmelow Reed · DE

CFBD athlete 5276946

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 1

Cedrick Beavers · CB

CFBD athlete 5218770

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Craig Tutt · S

CFBD athlete 5210857

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Dante Core · CB

CFBD athlete 5186737

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 5

Darrell Gill Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5125819

receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 9
receiving · YPR: 9.0

Deuce Alexander · WR

CFBD athlete 5152158

puntReturns · AVG: 10.7
puntReturns · LONG: 20
puntReturns · NO: 6
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 64
receiving · LONG: 62
receiving · REC: 43
receiving · TD: 5
receiving · YDS: 610
receiving · YPR: 14.2
rushing · CAR: 3
rushing · LONG: 16
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 27
rushing · YPC: 9.0

Deuce Knight · QB

CFBD athlete 5141506

passing · ATT: 8
passing · COMPLETIONS: 4
passing · INT: 1
passing · PCT: 0.500
passing · TD: 0
passing · YDS: 68
passing · YPA: 8.5
rushing · CAR: 8
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 41
rushing · YPC: 5.1

Dillon Alfred · WR

CFBD athlete 5141359

receiving · LONG: 34
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 34.0

Dorian Barney · CB

CFBD athlete 5158962

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 3

Edwin Joseph · S

CFBD athlete 4870765

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 18

Gerald Lacy Jr. · S

CFBD athlete 5166148

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2

Horatio Fields · WR

CFBD athlete 4711408

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
receiving · LONG: 31
receiving · REC: 22
receiving · TD: 4
receiving · YDS: 283
receiving · YPR: 12.9

Isreal Solomon · CB

CFBD athlete 5157073

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 5
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 6
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Iverson McCoy · CB

CFBD athlete 5216627

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

JT Lindsey · RB

CFBD athlete 5209688

fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 8
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 12
receiving · YPR: 6.0
rushing · CAR: 25
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 86
rushing · YPC: 3.4

Jaheim Oatis · DT

CFBD athlete 4685487

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 9

Jamarious Brown · DT

CFBD athlete 4870640

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 12
receiving · LONG: 2
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 2
receiving · YPR: 2.0

Jarcoby Hopson · LB

CFBD athlete 5141478

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3

Jay Crawford · CB

CFBD athlete 5079347

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 13
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 18
interceptions · AVG: 0.5
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 1
kickReturns · AVG: 23.0
kickReturns · LONG: 23
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 23

Jayden Curtis · DT

CFBD athlete 5290682

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Jaylon Braxton · CB

CFBD athlete 4918093

defensive · PD: 4
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 16
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 28
interceptions · AVG: 0.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 0

Joenel Aguero · S

CFBD athlete 4870588

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 24

Johntay Cook II · WR

CFBD athlete 4870656

receiving · LONG: 17
receiving · REC: 8
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 74
receiving · YPR: 9.3
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 0
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: -3
rushing · YPC: -3.0

Jonathan Maldonado · DE

CFBD athlete 4917327

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 7
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 12

Jordan Renaud · DE

CFBD athlete 4870975

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 1
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 6

Joshua Dye · RB

CFBD athlete 5125900

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 1
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 11
receiving · YPR: 11.0
rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 11
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 25
rushing · YPC: 6.3

Kamarion Franklin · DE

CFBD athlete 5079400

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 11
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 5
defensive · TOT: 20
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Keaton Thomas · LB

CFBD athlete 5102910

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 6
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 15
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.5
defensive · TOT: 43

Kewan Lacy · RB

CFBD athlete 5086388

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
fumbles · FUM: 1
fumbles · LOST: 1
fumbles · REC: 0
receiving · LONG: 9
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 33
receiving · YPR: 3.3
rushing · CAR: 78
rushing · LONG: 28
rushing · TD: 5
rushing · YDS: 388
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Ladarian Clardy · S

CFBD athlete 5167174

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 4
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0.5
defensive · TOT: 9

Landon Barnes · DE

CFBD athlete 5268746

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 0
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 3
interceptions · AVG: 3.0
interceptions · INT: 1
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 3

Lucas Carneiro · PK

CFBD athlete 5092504

kicking · FGA: 14
kicking · FGM: 11
kicking · LONG: 57
kicking · PCT: 0.786
kicking · PTS: 62
kicking · XPA: 29
kicking · XPM: 29

Luke Ferrelli · LB

CFBD athlete 5139216

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 22
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 3.0
defensive · TOT: 42

Luke Hasz · TE

CFBD athlete 4870797

receiving · LONG: 11
receiving · REC: 10
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 61
receiving · YPR: 6.1

MJ Preston · S

CFBD athlete 5156438

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 3
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 4

Makhi Frazier · RB

CFBD athlete 5084286

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 7
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 23
receiving · YPR: 3.3
rushing · CAR: 51
rushing · LONG: 34
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 301
rushing · YPC: 5.9

Mark Trigg Jr. · LB

CFBD athlete 5150437

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Michael Smith · TE

CFBD athlete 5079592

receiving · LONG: 7
receiving · REC: 3
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 17
receiving · YPR: 5.7

Michai Boireau · DT

CFBD athlete 5146887

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1.0
defensive · TOT: 10

Nick Cull · S

CFBD athlete 4873763

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 1
defensive · TOT: 11
interceptions · AVG: 19.0
interceptions · INT: 2
interceptions · TD: 0
interceptions · YDS: 38

Oscar Bird · P

CFBD athlete 5294445

punting · In 20: 7
punting · LONG: 60
punting · NO: 25
punting · TB: 1
punting · YDS: 1146
punting · YPP: 45.8
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 17
rushing · YPC: 17.0

Patrick Kutas · OL

CFBD athlete 4701945

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1

Raymond Collins · LB

CFBD athlete 5138704

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 2
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 2
kickReturns · AVG: 9.0
kickReturns · LONG: 9
kickReturns · NO: 1
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 9

Samari Reed · WR

CFBD athlete 5149003

defensive · PD: 0
defensive · QB HUR: 0
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 1
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 0
defensive · TOT: 1
receiving · LONG: 21
receiving · REC: 2
receiving · TD: 0
receiving · YDS: 34
receiving · YPR: 17.0
rushing · CAR: 1
rushing · LONG: 5
rushing · TD: 0
rushing · YDS: 5
rushing · YPC: 5.0

Sharif Denson · S

CFBD athlete 4870700

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 1
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 27
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2
defensive · TOT: 34

Shekai Mills-Knight · RB

CFBD athlete 5214395

rushing · CAR: 4
rushing · LONG: 35
rushing · TD: 1
rushing · YDS: 42
rushing · YPC: 10.5

Suntarine Perkins · LB

CFBD athlete 4870967

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 3
defensive · SACKS: 1.5
defensive · SOLO: 12
defensive · TD: 1
defensive · TFL: 4.0
defensive · TOT: 22
fumbles · FUM: 0
fumbles · LOST: 0
fumbles · REC: 1

Tah'j Butler · LB

CFBD athlete 5142694

defensive · PD: 1
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 0
defensive · SOLO: 23
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 2.0
defensive · TOT: 39

Traylon Ray · WR

CFBD athlete 4870912

kickReturns · AVG: 18.5
kickReturns · LONG: 26
kickReturns · NO: 6
kickReturns · TD: 0
kickReturns · YDS: 111
puntReturns · AVG: 1.0
puntReturns · LONG: 1
puntReturns · NO: 1
puntReturns · TD: 0
puntReturns · YDS: 1
receiving · LONG: 36
receiving · REC: 21
receiving · TD: 1
receiving · YDS: 289
receiving · YPR: 13.8

Trinidad Chambliss · QB

CFBD athlete 4911529

fumbles · FUM: 4
fumbles · LOST: 2
fumbles · REC: 0
passing · ATT: 262
passing · COMPLETIONS: 167
passing · INT: 7
passing · PCT: 0.637
passing · TD: 16
passing · YDS: 1926
passing · YPA: 7.4
rushing · CAR: 41
rushing · LONG: 17
rushing · TD: 6
rushing · YDS: 134
rushing · YPC: 3.3

William Echoles · DT

CFBD athlete 5218778

defensive · PD: 2
defensive · QB HUR: 2
defensive · SACKS: 2
defensive · SOLO: 8
defensive · TD: 0
defensive · TFL: 4.5
defensive · TOT: 21

Pregame weather

Decision-time forecast unavailable

No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.

Weather context

Weather record unavailable

Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-26T04:30:00+00:00. This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.

No matching weather context has been published for this game.

Verified pregame availability: Unavailable
Measurement units: Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
Forecast issue time: Unavailable
Forecast valid time: Unavailable

Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.

Latest published card · In-season model

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.

Pick at comparison line

Auburn +11.75

EPA-OLS history for 3-7 point gaps: 51% against the spread · below the 52.4% break-even at −110 · 175 games · 2025 · historical reference, not a cover probability.

Comparison line · CFBD median

Ole Miss -11.75

DraftKings snapshot: Ole Miss -11.5

Book quote differs from the comparison line.

EPA-OLS forecast · margin in points

Ole Miss by 8.62

3.13 points toward Auburn versus the spread. The gap is not a cover probability.

Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast

Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately

Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Ole Miss.

Fitted offset: +5.87
Net EPA rating difference: +4.69
Fitted home field: -1.93

Reconciles to 8.62 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.

Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.

Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 9dc04677edea04034f87ace6412b0dcdba26bf3e0de0eee9d76f5209c33cff3c · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast 27f3c78aa0da9dda928e7cca78dde9bfa5ee7cc2b818dde49bbce89dcd47b57e · through week 8.

What changed?

12 saved cards for this game

Earlier saved card

Market spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +1.5 points.

The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.

Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.

Home team: Ole Miss · all values in points
Recorded value	Earlier	Latest	Change
Market spread	-13.25	-11.75	+1.5
Model spread	-8.62	-8.62	0.0
Model gap	-4.63	-3.13	+1.5

Negative spreads favor Ole Miss; positive model gap favors them too.

Capture times & sources

Earlier saved card

Generated Oct 29, 2026, 06:13:15 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 29, 2026, 06:02:06 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Latest published card

Generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…

In-season model · rating source as of unknown

Model gap = market spread minus model spread.

This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.

Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.

Earlier saved card SHA-256: e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
Odds source SHA-256: c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
Latest published card SHA-256: 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
Odds source SHA-256: 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148

View recorded snapshot data

Model context & pick method

Card generated Oct 30, 2026, 06:10:26 CDT. Captured prices are not live quotes.

Output:: Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:: EPA-OLS
Training:: 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Features:: EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 9dc04677edea04034f87ace6412b0dcdba26bf3e0de0eee9d76f5209c33cff3c. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
Evaluation:: EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Margins are not projected scores.

Pick logic

Auburn +11.75

Model gap -3.1 points

A pick needs a gap of at least 3.0 points, either way. Positive gaps favor Ole Miss.

Win probabilities · separate sources

Ole Miss win probability by source

EPA-OLS calibrated win probability: Unavailable; Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
CFBD market-based probability: 80%; Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Ole Miss -12
Stacked ensemble: 85%; Stacked ensemble from the model pack

Explain this StackedEnsemble probability

Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.

Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Ole Miss.

home elo: +20.02 (path difference 9.55)
home adjusted success: +10.85 (path difference 4.71)
home talent: +5.39 (path difference 0.77)
home adjusted passing epa: +4.73 (path difference 7.94)
away talent: -4.61 (path difference 1.04)
home adjusted passing epa allowed: +3.21 (path difference 2.93)
away adjusted second level yards allowed: -2.99 (path difference 1.12)
away adjusted rushing epa: +2.82 (path difference 4.97)
away adjusted success: -2.71 (path difference 0.53)
away elo: -2.46 (path difference 2.70)
home adjusted success allowed: +2.44 (path difference 1.66)
home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +2.30 (path difference 0.94)
away conference: +2.21 (path difference 3.04)
home adjusted standard down success: +2.13 (path difference 1.66)
away adjusted epa allowed: -2.13 (path difference 3.44)
home adjusted rushing epa: +1.90 (path difference 1.64)
home conference: +1.85 (path difference 2.13)
away adjusted explosiveness: +1.83 (path difference 0.92)
away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +1.67 (path difference 2.41)
home adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.64 (path difference 0.35)
away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.58 (path difference 0.11)
home adjusted open field yards: -1.44 (path difference 0.97)
away adjusted passing down success allowed: -1.36 (path difference 1.60)
home adjusted open field yards allowed: +1.30 (path difference 0.51)
home adjusted second level yards allowed: +1.23 (path difference 0.94)
home adjusted second level yards: +1.22 (path difference 0.88)
away adjusted passing epa allowed: +1.08 (path difference 0.03)
home adjusted line yards: +1.07 (path difference 1.00)
home adjusted epa allowed: -1.04 (path difference 1.77)
away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -1.00 (path difference 0.68)
home adjusted epa: -0.95 (path difference 1.35)
away adjusted rush explosiveness: -0.90 (path difference 1.52)
away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.90 (path difference 2.28)
away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.85 (path difference 0.15)
away adjusted passing down success: -0.84 (path difference 1.32)
away adjusted success allowed: -0.76 (path difference 0.23)
away adjusted passing epa: +0.73 (path difference 1.75)
home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.79)
away adjusted standard down success allowed: +0.33 (path difference 1.05)
home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.31 (path difference 0.14)
away adjusted epa: -0.30 (path difference 0.43)
away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.29 (path difference 0.05)
away adjusted line yards: -0.27 (path difference 0.62)
home adjusted explosiveness: +0.25 (path difference 0.50)
home adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.24 (path difference 0.36)
away adjusted standard down success: +0.24 (path difference 0.36)
home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.21 (path difference 0.33)
home adjusted pass explosiveness: +0.15 (path difference 0.85)
home adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.13 (path difference 0.34)
home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.10 (path difference 0.75)
away adjusted open field yards: +0.09 (path difference 0.01)
home adjusted passing down success: +0.08 (path difference 1.09)
away adjusted second level yards: -0.01 (path difference 0.42)
week: +0.00 (path difference 1.03)
away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.00 (path difference 0.00)

Reconciles to 84.87 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.

Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.

Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs 9c89471c08b738198d8074b7209cec1462cfdd5bfc132e6ea732f6b53e4854e1 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast 10813108dfda8053b8103a806930190882edf6c167547c134ef3e2b7b4078e8c · through week 8.

Output:: Home win probability (%), display only
Model:: StackedEnsemble
Training:: Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
Features:: Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
Evaluation:: Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record

The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.

Rushing workload · last three team games

CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.

Auburn

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 110 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Byrum Brown CFBD athlete 4880272 Week 5 vs Tennessee: 19 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 46.7% success · 0.422 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Georgia: 25 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 55.0% success · 0.491 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 19 attempts · 1.1 YPC · 23.1% success · 0.163 raw PPA.	63	3.8	15	57.3%	124 / 3.8
Jeremiah Cobb CFBD athlete 4870642 Week 5 vs Tennessee: 3 attempts · 5.7 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.018 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Georgia: 13 attempts · 4.7 YPC · 30.8% success · -0.011 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.304 raw PPA.	21	4.4	0	19.1%	62 / 5.2
Omar Mabson Ii CFBD athlete 5217041 Week 5 vs Tennessee: 10 attempts · 6.2 YPC · 40.0% success · -0.182 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Georgia: 5 attempts · 2.8 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.192 raw PPA. Week 8 vs LSU: 3 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.528 raw PPA.	18	4.9	0	16.4%	41 / 5.9
Tristan Ti'a CFBD athlete 5210501 Week 8 vs LSU: 4 attempts · 4.5 YPC · 66.7% success · 1.850 raw PPA.	4	4.5	1	3.6%	4 / 4.5
Bryson Washington CFBD athlete 4954455 Week 8 vs LSU: 3 attempts · 1.7 YPC · 33.3% success · -0.589 raw PPA.	3	1.7	0	2.7%	21 / 3.6

Ole Miss

3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 98 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.

Player	Attempts	YPC	Sacks	Attributed share	Captured season attempts / YPC
Kewan Lacy CFBD athlete 5086388 Week 6 vs Vanderbilt: 7 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.128 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Missouri: 15 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 53.3% success · 0.769 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 16 attempts · 2.3 YPC · 12.5% success · -0.266 raw PPA.	38	5.1	0	38.8%	77 / 5.0
Makhi Frazier CFBD athlete 5084286 Week 6 vs Vanderbilt: 13 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 76.9% success · 0.260 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Missouri: 15 attempts · 6.7 YPC · 60.0% success · 0.292 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 6 attempts · 7.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.045 raw PPA.	34	6.5	0	34.7%	51 / 5.9
Trinidad Chambliss CFBD athlete 4911529 Week 6 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 1.3 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.535 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Missouri: 3 attempts · 4.0 YPC · 33.3% success · 0.644 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Texas: 4 attempts · 3.8 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.197 raw PPA.	11	2.9	1	11.2%	39 / 3.6
Deuce Knight CFBD athlete 5141506 Week 6 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 25.0% success · 0.038 raw PPA.	4	3.5	0	4.1%	8 / 5.1
Shekai Mills-Knight CFBD athlete 5214395 Week 6 vs Vanderbilt: 4 attempts · 10.5 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.565 raw PPA.	4	10.5	0	4.1%	4 / 10.5

Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.

Team matchup statistics

Offense vs defense

2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.

Measure	Ole MissOffense	AuburnDefense	AuburnOffense	Ole MissDefense
PPA/play	+0.24 81st	+0.08 46th	+0.11 42nd	+0.13 33rd
Success rate	49.2% 89th	41.3% 45th	40.6% 27th	42.1% 36th
Explosiveness	1.19 31st	1.21 57th	1.31 81st	1.24 42nd
Standard-down PPA/play	+0.15 72nd	+0.01 56th	+0.05 35th	+0.05 40th
Passing-down PPA/play	+0.46 93rd	+0.23 39th	+0.23 49th	+0.28 25th
Havoc allowed / created	13.0% 75th	15.2% 41st	17.0% 20th	16.4% 58th

Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.

CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR

Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions

Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:57 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:57 AM CDT

Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.

2026 kicker PAAR

Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.

Alex McPherson · Auburn · PAAR 4.96 · 9 attempts
Lucas Carneiro · Ole Miss · PAAR 8.43 · 14 attempts

Player recent form

CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.

Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.

Captured line movement

Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.

Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.

Line history & team context

Card snapshot lines

Ole Miss spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.

DraftKings

CFBD-reported opening: -10.5 · Snapshot spread: -11.5

First locally observed: -10.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 53.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 53.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -470 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -410 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +360 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +320 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d

Bovada

CFBD-reported opening: -13.5 · Snapshot spread: -12

First locally observed: -13.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Total · CFBD-reported opening: 57.5 · Snapshot total: 57.5

Total · First locally observed: 57.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Total observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Home moneyline · Snapshot: -575 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Home moneyline · First locally observed: -575 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Home moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Away moneyline · Snapshot: +400 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD

Away moneyline · First locally observed: +400 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…

Away moneyline observation evidence

Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7

Ole Miss

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

86th FBS percentile

Auburn

Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC

67th FBS percentile

Travel

Auburn travels 263 miles (shorter than half of road trips, 2017–2025) · no time-zone change.

Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.

The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.

Series history

Auburn leads 35–13 in 48 meetings since 1928.

2023Ole Miss at Auburn28–21 · Ole Miss
2022Auburn at Ole Miss34–48 · Ole Miss
2021Ole Miss at Auburn20–31 · Auburn
2020Auburn at Ole Miss35–28 · Auburn
2019Ole Miss at Auburn14–20 · Auburn
2018Auburn at Ole Miss31–16 · Auburn

CFBD matchup data Last 6 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.

Team style charts

Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.