Week 9 · 2026
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Visual game report
Available after a final score is recorded. The pregame forecast stays separate from postgame results.
Player production & success
CFBD regular season · through week 8 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC. Captured before kickoff.
Most active players in up to 3 recent completed team games. Passing and rushing are separate credited populations; rates weight successes by plays. Garbage time included; minimum credited plays 0. Partial provider coverage; no forecast inputs.
South Carolina
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported) · 2026-10-03 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| Lanorris Sellers QB 3 games | 44.2% 50 / 113 plays | 53.8% 21 / 39 plays |
| Matthew Fuller RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 46.9% 15 / 32 plays |
| Jabree Coleman RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 42.9% 6 / 14 plays |
| Jawarn Howell RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 4 plays |
| Isaiah Augustave RB 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 100.0% 1 / 1 plays |
| Mazeo Bennett WR 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
| Maurice Brown II TE 1 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 0.0% 0 / 1 plays |
Traditional season production · 63 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Aiden Harris · DL
CFBD athlete 5209294
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Andrew Harris · LB
CFBD athlete 5212647
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Anthony Addison · DE
CFBD athlete 5209681
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 6
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 9
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 14
Brady Hunt · TE
CFBD athlete 4683210
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 18
- receiving · REC
- 12
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 113
- receiving · YPR
- 9.4
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 0
- rushing · YPC
- 0.0
Caleb Herring · DE
CFBD athlete 4870738
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 10
Cedric Cisse · DB
CFBD athlete 5294279
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Chris Hatfield · DB
CFBD athlete 5214499
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Christian Clark · RB
CFBD athlete 5127724
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 16
- receiving · YPR
- 5.3
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 8
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 57
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Cutter Woods · QB
CFBD athlete 5164334
- passing · ATT
- 14
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 9
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.643
- passing · TD
- 1
- passing · YDS
- 92
- passing · YPA
- 6.6
- rushing · CAR
- 3
- rushing · LONG
- 6
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 9
- rushing · YPC
- 3.0
DJ Black · WR
CFBD athlete 5081213
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 33
- receiving · REC
- 14
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 246
- receiving · YPR
- 17.6
Damarcus Leach · DB
CFBD athlete 5209528
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 8
David Bucey · DB
CFBD athlete 5147140
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Donovan Darden · LB
CFBD athlete 5218646
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Donovan Murph · WR
CFBD athlete 5200374
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- puntReturns · AVG
- 5.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 5
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 5
- receiving · LONG
- 44
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 199
- receiving · YPR
- 19.9
Drew Collins · DE
CFBD athlete 5184576
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Dylan Stewart · DE
CFBD athlete 5079709
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Emmanuel Poku · OL
CFBD athlete 5095864
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Ethan Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 4869129
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Fred Johnson · LB
CFBD athlete 5147146
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 24
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.0
- defensive · TOT
- 48
Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy · DL
CFBD athlete 4685273
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
George Wilson · DE
CFBD athlete 4684967
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Gerald Kilgore · DB
CFBD athlete 5084052
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Isaiah Augustave · RB
CFBD athlete 4921292
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 2
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 2
- receiving · YPR
- 1.0
- rushing · CAR
- 14
- rushing · LONG
- 55
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 114
- rushing · YPC
- 8.1
JZavien Currence · DB
CFBD athlete 5159002
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 22
Jabree Coleman · RB
CFBD athlete 5141742
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 15
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 45
- receiving · YPR
- 7.5
- rushing · CAR
- 31
- rushing · LONG
- 60
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 222
- rushing · YPC
- 7.2
Jackson Burger · DB
CFBD athlete 5218729
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jamian Risher Jr. · LB
CFBD athlete 5154340
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Jaquavious Dodd · DE
CFBD athlete 5208372
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Jaquel Holman · DB
CFBD athlete 5215155
- kickReturns · AVG
- 23.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 28
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 92
Jawarn Howell · RB
CFBD athlete 5159232
- rushing · CAR
- 18
- rushing · LONG
- 16
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 104
- rushing · YPC
- 5.8
Jordan Thomas · DL
CFBD athlete 5079721
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Judge Collier · DB
CFBD athlete 5077110
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Julian Walker · DE
CFBD athlete 5271180
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Justin Okoronkwo · LB
CFBD athlete 5119869
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 31
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 53
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Keenan Britt · LB
CFBD athlete 5373940
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Kelby Collins · DL
CFBD athlete 4870667
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
Kelvin Hunter · DB
CFBD athlete 5110495
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
Kendall Daniels Jr. · DB
CFBD athlete 5142601
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Kobby Sakyi-Prah · DE
CFBD athlete 5167710
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Kosci Barnes · DB
CFBD athlete 5278582
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Lanorris Sellers · QB
CFBD athlete 4875127
- fumbles · FUM
- 4
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 219
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 133
- passing · INT
- 5
- passing · PCT
- 0.607
- passing · TD
- 13
- passing · YDS
- 1548
- passing · YPA
- 7.1
- rushing · CAR
- 85
- rushing · LONG
- 74
- rushing · TD
- 4
- rushing · YDS
- 507
- rushing · YPC
- 6.0
Lex Cyrus · WR
CFBD athlete 5169550
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 83
- receiving · YPR
- 16.6
Lucian Anderson III · QB
CFBD athlete 5151218
- passing · ATT
- 2
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 2
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 24
- passing · YPA
- 12.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 5
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Malik Clark · WR
CFBD athlete 5202117
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 21
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 30
- receiving · YPR
- 15.0
Malik Orsan · PK
CFBD athlete 5298660
- kicking · FGA
- 12
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 52
- kicking · PCT
- 0.833
- kicking · PTS
- 52
- kicking · XPA
- 22
- kicking · XPM
- 22
Mason Love · PK
CFBD athlete 5147105
- punting · In 20
- 7
- punting · LONG
- 55
- punting · NO
- 21
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 900
- punting · YPP
- 42.9
Matthew Fuller · RB
CFBD athlete 5145737
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 25
- receiving · REC
- 18
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 130
- receiving · YPR
- 7.2
- rushing · CAR
- 90
- rushing · LONG
- 56
- rushing · TD
- 5
- rushing · YDS
- 513
- rushing · YPC
- 5.7
Maurice Brown II · TE
CFBD athlete 5154341
- receiving · LONG
- 28
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 100
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Max Kelley · PK
CFBD athlete 5215546
- kicking · FGA
- 2
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 33
- kicking · PCT
- 0.500
- kicking · PTS
- 9
- kicking · XPA
- 6
- kicking · XPM
- 6
Mazeo Bennett · WR
CFBD athlete 5079329
- receiving · LONG
- 39
- receiving · REC
- 31
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 324
- receiving · YPR
- 10.5
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 8
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Mike Tyler · TE
CFBD athlete 5214451
- receiving · LONG
- 7
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 7
- receiving · YPR
- 2.3
Nitro Tuggle · WR
CFBD athlete 5130792
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 39
- receiving · YPR
- 9.8
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 4
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 4
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Noah Clark · DL
CFBD athlete 5209406
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2
- defensive · TOT
- 15
Nyck Harbor · WR
CFBD athlete 4870745
- kickReturns · AVG
- 19.3
- kickReturns · LONG
- 24
- kickReturns · NO
- 4
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 77
- receiving · LONG
- 41
- receiving · REC
- 17
- receiving · TD
- 2
- receiving · YDS
- 278
- receiving · YPR
- 16.4
Peyton Williams · DB
CFBD athlete 4833630
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 28
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 40
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Quay'sheed Scott · DB
CFBD athlete 5149824
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Sequel Patterson · WR
CFBD athlete 5280258
- puntReturns · AVG
- 9.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 9
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 9
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 9
- receiving · YPR
- 3.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Shawn Murphy · LB
CFBD athlete 4685500
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 22
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Stone Furrey · WR
CFBD athlete 5331284
- receiving · LONG
- 16
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 24
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Tomiwa Durojaiye · DL
CFBD athlete 4878232
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 3
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5.5
- defensive · TOT
- 21
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Triston Lewis · DB
CFBD athlete 5293781
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Troy Pikes · DT
CFBD athlete 5093005
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 7
Vicari Swain · DB
CFBD athlete 4921117
- defensive · PD
- 3
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 12
- defensive · TD
- 2
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- interceptions · AVG
- 18.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 18
- puntReturns · AVG
- 14.5
- puntReturns · LONG
- 58
- puntReturns · NO
- 13
- puntReturns · TD
- 2
- puntReturns · YDS
- 189
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 19
- receiving · YPR
- 9.5
Oklahoma
Window: 2026-10-24 (reported) · 2026-10-17 (reported) · 2026-10-10 (reported). Cutoff: 2026-10-31T20:15:00+00:00.
| Player | Passing | Rushing |
|---|---|---|
| John Mateer QB 3 games | 36.9% 38 / 103 plays | 29.2% 7 / 24 plays |
| Lloyd Avant RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 38.7% 12 / 31 plays |
| Tory Blaylock RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 38.1% 8 / 21 plays |
| Jonathan Hatton Jr. RB 3 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 30.0% 3 / 10 plays |
| Isaiah Sategna WR 2 games | — 0 / 0 plays | 75.0% 3 / 4 plays |
Traditional season production · 57 players
Provider totals through week 8, captured 2026-10-30. Original statistical values; team-specific athlete records remain separate from adjusted efficiency and usage.
Adepoju Adebawore · DL
CFBD athlete 4899363
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 4.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 6
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 18
Andy Bass · RB
CFBD athlete 5147405
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 5
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -8
- rushing · YPC
- -4.0
Ben Anderson · LS
CFBD athlete 4914219
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 3
Ben McCreary · RB
CFBD athlete 5302489
- rushing · CAR
- 6
- rushing · LONG
- 24
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 40
- rushing · YPC
- 6.7
Bishop Thomas · DL
CFBD athlete 4742092
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.0
- defensive · TOT
- 9
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Bowe Bentley · QB
CFBD athlete 5245123
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- rushing · CAR
- 1
- rushing · LONG
- 0
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- -2
- rushing · YPC
- -2.0
Cole Sullivan · LB
CFBD athlete 5144965
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
Courtland Guillory · DB
CFBD athlete 5207928
- defensive · PD
- 4
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 20
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Dakoda Fields · DB
CFBD athlete 5079447
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- puntReturns · AVG
- 0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 0
- puntReturns · NO
- 0
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 0
Dane Bathurst · LB
CFBD athlete 5266700
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Danny Okoye · DL
CFBD athlete 5110453
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 5
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 10
- puntReturns · AVG
- 8.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 8
- puntReturns · NO
- 1
- puntReturns · TD
- 0
- puntReturns · YDS
- 8
Danny Saili · DL
CFBD athlete 5218708
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
David Stone · DL
CFBD athlete 5079711
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 2.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 13
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.0
- defensive · TOT
- 30
Eli Bowen · DB
CFBD athlete 5079337
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 12
Elijah Thomas · WR
CFBD athlete 5141719
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- receiving · LONG
- 24
- receiving · REC
- 5
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 49
- receiving · YPR
- 9.8
Fred Hinton · OL
CFBD athlete 5156434
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Grayson Miller · PK
CFBD athlete 5293830
- punting · In 20
- 4
- punting · LONG
- 62
- punting · NO
- 10
- punting · TB
- 0
- punting · YDS
- 450
- punting · YPP
- 45.0
Hayden Hansen · TE
CFBD athlete 4878109
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 29
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 84
- receiving · YPR
- 12.0
Isaiah Sategna · WR
CFBD athlete 5080703
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 0
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- kickReturns · AVG
- 21.0
- kickReturns · LONG
- 28
- kickReturns · NO
- 5
- kickReturns · TD
- 0
- kickReturns · YDS
- 105
- puntReturns · AVG
- 16.0
- puntReturns · LONG
- 88
- puntReturns · NO
- 9
- puntReturns · TD
- 1
- puntReturns · YDS
- 144
- receiving · LONG
- 54
- receiving · REC
- 41
- receiving · TD
- 3
- receiving · YDS
- 578
- receiving · YPR
- 14.1
- rushing · CAR
- 8
- rushing · LONG
- 12
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 40
- rushing · YPC
- 5.0
Jack Van Dorselaer · TE
CFBD athlete 5141744
- receiving · LONG
- 4
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 8
- receiving · YPR
- 4.0
Jacob Jordan · WR
CFBD athlete 5218767
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 13
- receiving · YPR
- 6.5
Jacob Ulrich · P
CFBD athlete 5154245
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 0
- passing · INT
- 1
- passing · PCT
- 0.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 0
- passing · YPA
- 0.0
- punting · In 20
- 5
- punting · LONG
- 56
- punting · NO
- 21
- punting · TB
- 1
- punting · YDS
- 929
- punting · YPP
- 44.2
Jacobe Johnson · DB
CFBD athlete 4870815
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Jake Kreul · DL
CFBD athlete 5159099
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 3.0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 3.5
- defensive · TOT
- 9
James Carrington · DL
CFBD athlete 5158954
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0.5
- defensive · TOT
- 3
James Nesta · LB
CFBD athlete 5147151
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 7
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 17
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 1
Jayden Jackson · DL
CFBD athlete 5132635
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 0.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 24
Jaydon Southard · LB
CFBD athlete 5091796
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Jer'Michael Carter · WR
CFBD athlete 5155000
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 2
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 7.0
Jeremiah Newcombe · DB
CFBD athlete 5079633
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
John Mateer · QB
CFBD athlete 4915980
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- fumbles · FUM
- 3
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- passing · ATT
- 204
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 136
- passing · INT
- 7
- passing · PCT
- 0.667
- passing · TD
- 11
- passing · YDS
- 1591
- passing · YPA
- 7.8
- rushing · CAR
- 75
- rushing · LONG
- 22
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 116
- rushing · YPC
- 1.5
Jonathan Hatton Jr. · RB
CFBD athlete 5159029
- receiving · LONG
- 10
- receiving · REC
- 7
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 47
- receiving · YPR
- 6.7
- rushing · CAR
- 24
- rushing · LONG
- 21
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 67
- rushing · YPC
- 2.8
Kip Lewis · LB
CFBD athlete 4711065
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1.5
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.0
- defensive · TOT
- 25
Lebron Bauer · DB
CFBD athlete 5207639
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Liam Evans · PK
CFBD athlete 5192411
- kicking · FGA
- 1
- kicking · FGM
- 1
- kicking · LONG
- 34
- kicking · PCT
- 1.000
- kicking · PTS
- 4
- kicking · XPA
- 1
- kicking · XPM
- 1
Lloyd Avant · RB
CFBD athlete 5079298
- receiving · LONG
- 9
- receiving · REC
- 10
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 57
- receiving · YPR
- 5.7
- rushing · CAR
- 73
- rushing · LONG
- 42
- rushing · TD
- 2
- rushing · YDS
- 322
- rushing · YPC
- 4.4
Mackenzie Alleyne · WR
CFBD athlete 5228149
- receiving · LONG
- 22
- receiving · REC
- 4
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 40
- receiving · YPR
- 10.0
Manny Choice · WR
CFBD athlete 5293827
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
- receiving · LONG
- 34
- receiving · REC
- 9
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 125
- receiving · YPR
- 13.9
Markel Ford · DB
CFBD athlete 5160488
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 5
Michael Boganowski · DB
CFBD athlete 5147138
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Niko Jandreau · DB
CFBD athlete 5282143
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 3
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 4
Noah Best · OL
CFBD athlete 5205091
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 1
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 1
Omarion Robinson · DB
CFBD athlete 5141654
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 14
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 27
- interceptions · AVG
- 0.0
- interceptions · INT
- 1
- interceptions · TD
- 0
- interceptions · YDS
- 0
Owen Heinecke · LB
CFBD athlete 5081928
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 4
- defensive · SACKS
- 3
- defensive · SOLO
- 25
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 7.5
- defensive · TOT
- 55
Parker Livingstone · WR
CFBD athlete 5079556
- fumbles · FUM
- 1
- fumbles · LOST
- 1
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 17
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 51
- receiving · YPR
- 8.5
Peyton Bowen · DB
CFBD athlete 4870625
- defensive · PD
- 5
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 20
- defensive · TD
- 1
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 36
- interceptions · AVG
- 33.0
- interceptions · INT
- 2
- interceptions · TD
- 1
- interceptions · YDS
- 66
Reggie Powers III · DB
CFBD athlete 5143274
- defensive · PD
- 2
- defensive · QB HUR
- 1
- defensive · SACKS
- 2
- defensive · SOLO
- 15
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 5
- defensive · TOT
- 32
Rocky Beers · TE
CFBD athlete 4907786
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 0
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 2
- fumbles · FUM
- 2
- fumbles · LOST
- 2
- fumbles · REC
- 0
- receiving · LONG
- 43
- receiving · REC
- 30
- receiving · TD
- 4
- receiving · YDS
- 395
- receiving · YPR
- 13.2
Tate Sandell · PK
CFBD athlete 4900756
- kicking · FGA
- 16
- kicking · FGM
- 10
- kicking · LONG
- 53
- kicking · PCT
- 0.625
- kicking · PTS
- 45
- kicking · XPA
- 15
- kicking · XPM
- 15
Taylor Wein · DL
CFBD athlete 5114314
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 2
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 10
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 4.5
- defensive · TOT
- 25
- fumbles · FUM
- 0
- fumbles · LOST
- 0
- fumbles · REC
- 2
Tory Blaylock · RB
CFBD athlete 5141386
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 14
- receiving · YPR
- 4.7
- rushing · CAR
- 29
- rushing · LONG
- 47
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 116
- rushing · YPC
- 4.0
Trell Harris · WR
CFBD athlete 4912130
- receiving · LONG
- 48
- receiving · REC
- 6
- receiving · TD
- 1
- receiving · YDS
- 104
- receiving · YPR
- 17.3
Trent Wilson · DL
CFBD athlete 5141720
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 1
- defensive · SOLO
- 2
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 2.5
- defensive · TOT
- 6
Trystan Haynes · DB
CFBD athlete 5293826
- defensive · PD
- 1
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 8
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 0
- defensive · TOT
- 19
Whitt Newbauer · QB
CFBD athlete 5224237
- passing · ATT
- 1
- passing · COMPLETIONS
- 1
- passing · INT
- 0
- passing · PCT
- 1.000
- passing · TD
- 0
- passing · YDS
- 6
- passing · YPA
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 2
- rushing · LONG
- 3
- rushing · TD
- 1
- rushing · YDS
- 3
- rushing · YPC
- 1.5
Wyatt Gilmore · DL
CFBD athlete 5149215
- defensive · PD
- 0
- defensive · QB HUR
- 0
- defensive · SACKS
- 0
- defensive · SOLO
- 4
- defensive · TD
- 0
- defensive · TFL
- 1.5
- defensive · TOT
- 8
Xavier Robinson · RB
CFBD athlete 5122554
- receiving · LONG
- 8
- receiving · REC
- 3
- receiving · TD
- 0
- receiving · YDS
- 18
- receiving · YPR
- 6.0
- rushing · CAR
- 13
- rushing · LONG
- 11
- rushing · TD
- 0
- rushing · YDS
- 50
- rushing · YPC
- 3.8
Pregame weather
Decision-time forecast unavailable
No retained forecast matches this scheduled game.
Weather context
Weather record unavailable
Evidence cutoff: . This is an artifact cutoff; verified pregame availability remains unavailable.
No matching weather context has been published for this game.
- Verified pregame availability
- Unavailable
- Measurement units
- Unverified · numeric interpretation withheld
- Forecast issue time
- Unavailable
- Forecast valid time
- Unavailable
Capture timing does not establish whether these provider values describe forecasts or observed conditions.
Latest published card · In-season model
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
Saved prices from the latest card, not the weekly freeze. Review the weekly card.
No pick
Oklahoma -3.5
DraftKings snapshot: Oklahoma -3.5
Oklahoma by 6.32
2.82 points toward Oklahoma versus the spread. gap below pick minimum The gap is not a cover probability.
Explain this EPA-OLS spread forecast
Baseline: 0.00 Home Margin points. Zero-point accounting baseline; the fitted constant offset is shown separately
Signed contributions in Home Margin points; positive moves toward Oklahoma.
- Fitted offset: +5.87
- Net EPA rating difference: +2.38
- Fitted home field: -1.93
Reconciles to 6.32 points; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0050000001 in output units.
Fit arithmetic, not causal effects or cover probability.
Fit 43a90c4d579143e4336475325da6c037c0829278871c947a48303983b181ca72 · inputs 08bcfe67dce84c740f1327e6093f0bb8fe3b468896634c17eaa2fc3c30943eb1 · training 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517 · forecast e5aec40cb5b9d88701abf3f1a26d86132c93f92f9b5f88f1d4839b0f2b449ac0 · through week 8.
What changed?
12 saved cards for this gameMarket spread changed. Model projection held. Home model gap moved +1.25 points.
The earlier saved card is not necessarily the frozen weekly selection.
Scroll sideways to compare columns. Row labels stay visible.
| Recorded value | Earlier | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market spread | -4.75 | -3.5 | +1.25 |
| Model spread | -6.32 | -6.32 | 0.0 |
| Model gap | +1.57 | +2.82 | +1.25 |
Negative spreads favor Oklahoma; positive model gap favors them too.
Capture times & sources
Earlier saved card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Latest published card
Generated
Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured
In-season model · rating source as of unknown
Model gap = market spread minus model spread.
This compares two saved cards, not every line change. The CFBD market spread is a median, so provider coverage can move it. Capture time may differ from quote time.
Model movement compares published projections. These records do not establish why a projection changed or whether the model code changed.
- Earlier saved card SHA-256
- e2870225a3550ae3bff530e07f507a37ae8d297571a1fb3ae0be6cba56aae72d
- Odds source SHA-256
- c3afde8edfd04c38da42b18ab61b68542f93145177f25e3612c5230361aae058
- Latest published card SHA-256
- 907219f79e16b585a5fe31cf6748ec05ab06f7cd820077da867137c7509faba4
- Odds source SHA-256
- 979caa9e279ac4fb8cf2a315090127f7866efb485202ff3448873ffea01f6148
Model context & pick method
Pick logic
Card generated . Captured prices are not live quotes.
- Output:
- Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
- Model:
- EPA-OLS
- Training:
- 2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Training snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 23b0a5e046b1642293a7d76a29578220ba636326b7a25d8f5c4c0c677ceb7517. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Features:
- EPA net difference; Feature snapshot SHA-256 recorded: 08bcfe67dce84c740f1327e6093f0bb8fe3b468896634c17eaa2fc3c30943eb1. Private linear fit 24e16edeb0e225c9643d804d9c379274ecb1387bfe9a5f2c07e1a216f6d28656; producer verified saved inference without refitting. Raw provider availability is not established
- Evaluation:
- EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.
Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.
Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.
No pick · gap below pick minimum · gap +2.8 points, minimum 3.0
Win probabilities · separate sources
Oklahoma win probability by source
- EPA-OLS calibrated win probability
- Unavailable
- Unavailable: no matching calibration for this card’s projection basis
- CFBD market-based probability
- 59%
- Derived from the available point spread, provider snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT; CFBD source spread: Oklahoma -3.5
- Stacked ensemble
- 55%
- Stacked ensemble from the model pack
Explain this StackedEnsemble probability
Baseline: 36.75 % home win probability. Observed training row nearest standardized medians, row 1641.
Signed contributions in percentage points; positive moves toward Oklahoma.
- home adjusted success allowed: +17.86 (path difference 0.23)
- home adjusted epa allowed: -15.70 (path difference 4.36)
- away adjusted success: -12.94 (path difference 4.52)
- home elo: +12.38 (path difference 5.85)
- away talent: -8.52 (path difference 1.84)
- home adjusted epa: +7.95 (path difference 3.32)
- home adjusted second level yards: +7.16 (path difference 3.75)
- home adjusted passing epa allowed: +6.72 (path difference 2.35)
- home talent: +6.56 (path difference 0.50)
- home adjusted standard down success allowed: -5.86 (path difference 0.84)
- home adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.84 (path difference 3.85)
- away adjusted rushing epa allowed: +5.24 (path difference 0.81)
- away elo: -4.46 (path difference 0.92)
- away adjusted rushing epa: +4.27 (path difference 0.82)
- home adjusted rushing epa: -4.09 (path difference 0.68)
- away adjusted second level yards allowed: -3.74 (path difference 0.74)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: +3.57 (path difference 0.17)
- away adjusted epa: -3.55 (path difference 0.83)
- home adjusted open field yards allowed: +3.32 (path difference 1.54)
- away conference: +3.30 (path difference 0.86)
- away adjusted line yards: -3.09 (path difference 1.74)
- home adjusted passing down success allowed: -3.01 (path difference 0.91)
- home adjusted line yards: -2.88 (path difference 0.75)
- away adjusted standard down success: +2.73 (path difference 3.21)
- home conference: +2.49 (path difference 0.86)
- home adjusted success: -1.97 (path difference 1.06)
- home adjusted open field yards: -1.86 (path difference 1.03)
- home adjusted passing epa: +1.73 (path difference 2.00)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +1.64 (path difference 0.79)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness: -1.46 (path difference 0.47)
- away adjusted explosiveness: +1.27 (path difference 1.14)
- away adjusted epa allowed: -1.26 (path difference 0.63)
- home adjusted passing down success: -1.13 (path difference 1.77)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness: +1.12 (path difference 0.29)
- away adjusted passing down success allowed: -0.87 (path difference 1.03)
- away adjusted passing epa allowed: -0.81 (path difference 0.48)
- home adjusted rush explosiveness allowed: +0.78 (path difference 0.25)
- home adjusted second level yards allowed: +0.73 (path difference 1.78)
- away adjusted line yards allowed: +0.60 (path difference 0.63)
- away adjusted success allowed: -0.60 (path difference 0.00)
- away adjusted open field yards allowed: -0.56 (path difference 1.69)
- away adjusted second level yards: -0.55 (path difference 0.91)
- away adjusted explosiveness allowed: +0.48 (path difference 0.07)
- home adjusted line yards allowed: +0.46 (path difference 0.44)
- away adjusted passing epa: +0.40 (path difference 0.01)
- away adjusted passing down success: -0.33 (path difference 3.36)
- away adjusted pass explosiveness allowed: -0.27 (path difference 0.09)
- away adjusted rush explosiveness: +0.22 (path difference 0.91)
- away adjusted standard down success allowed: -0.19 (path difference 0.02)
- home adjusted standard down success: -0.19 (path difference 0.43)
- week: -0.18 (path difference 1.39)
- away adjusted open field yards: -0.15 (path difference 0.53)
- home adjusted pass explosiveness: -0.13 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted explosiveness allowed: -0.10 (path difference 0.03)
- home adjusted explosiveness: -0.06 (path difference 0.57)
Reconciles to 55.07 %; numerical tolerance 1e-10. Published rounding tolerance 0.0000500001 in output units.
Reference- and order-dependent allocation; not SHAP, causal effects or spread-pick drivers. Hybrid rows may be unrealistic with correlated inputs. Path difference measures order sensitivity, not uncertainty.
Fit 1ad7d19a4f250d7f5c62cdf95b70289b6ffd1cf8bdf8feb12b8623f27e5aa234 · inputs a2a42140f47e3e09c2615de9593ed62e32df7c27dcd1d71bca8284171afc4f86 · training 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9 · forecast c4c60962588df3deb980cd282574ea5b0007ad6d77af9548454016ed319571cb · through week 8.
- Output:
- Home win probability (%), display only
- Model:
- StackedEnsemble
- Training:
- Training SHA-256 0837fbbedb3a684b201340cc993067c34179ef0f7ea0e6cc49da8424378a4dd9
- Features:
- Unavailable — not recorded in this artifact
- Evaluation:
- Matching evaluation identity unavailable; separate from EPA/SP+ spread picks and their ATS record
The spread forecast drives the pick. CFBD converts a market spread to probability. The stacked ensemble is a separate forecast. Neither supplies a missing EPA-OLS probability.
Rushing workload · last three team games
CFBD individually attributed rushing attempts, including attributed sacks. Captured before kickoff; descriptive context, separate from the forecast. Through 2026-10-30 UTC.
South Carolina
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 101 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lanorris SellersCFBD athlete 4875127 Week 5 vs Kentucky: 15 attempts · 8.8 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.387 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Florida: 14 attempts · 1.4 YPC · 45.5% success · 0.410 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Tennessee: 19 attempts · 5.3 YPC · 64.3% success · 0.754 raw PPA. | 48 | 5.3 | 9 | 47.5% | 83 / 5.9 |
Matthew FullerCFBD athlete 5145737 Week 5 vs Kentucky: 13 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 46.2% success · 0.058 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Florida: 10 attempts · 5.2 YPC · 70.0% success · 0.144 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Tennessee: 9 attempts · 3.1 YPC · 22.2% success · -0.246 raw PPA. | 32 | 3.9 | 0 | 31.7% | 88 / 5.8 |
Jabree ColemanCFBD athlete 5141742 Week 5 vs Kentucky: 3 attempts · 8.7 YPC · 100.0% success · -0.989 raw PPA. Week 6 vs Florida: 7 attempts · 5.6 YPC · 42.9% success · 0.078 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Tennessee: 4 attempts · 2.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.165 raw PPA. | 14 | 5.4 | 0 | 13.9% | 31 / 7.2 |
Jawarn HowellCFBD athlete 5159232 Week 6 vs Florida: 4 attempts · 1.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.469 raw PPA. | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 4.0% | 17 / 5.5 |
Isaiah AugustaveCFBD athlete 4921292 Week 5 vs Kentucky: 1 attempts · 7.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.190 raw PPA. | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | 1.0% | 14 / 8.1 |
Oklahoma
3 completed team games in window · 0 games without returned player rows. Shares use 99 returned attributed attempts, not all team rushes. Provider coverage may be incomplete.
| Player | Attempts | YPC | Sacks | Attributed share | Captured season attempts / YPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John MateerCFBD athlete 4915980 Week 6 vs Texas: 12 attempts · -0.5 YPC · 11.1% success · -0.416 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kentucky: 12 attempts · 0.3 YPC · 14.3% success · -0.068 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 9 attempts · 4.1 YPC · 62.5% success · 0.800 raw PPA. | 33 | 1.1 | 9 | 33.3% | 72 / 1.8 |
Lloyd AvantCFBD athlete 5079298 Week 6 vs Texas: 10 attempts · 7.2 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.372 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kentucky: 8 attempts · 3.9 YPC · 50.0% success · 0.037 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 13 attempts · 4.2 YPC · 23.1% success · -0.175 raw PPA. | 31 | 5.1 | 0 | 31.3% | 72 / 4.5 |
Tory BlaylockCFBD athlete 5141386 Week 6 vs Texas: 2 attempts · 3.5 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.170 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kentucky: 7 attempts · 3.3 YPC · 57.1% success · 0.359 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 12 attempts · 5.9 YPC · 16.7% success · -0.028 raw PPA. | 21 | 4.8 | 0 | 21.2% | 29 / 4.0 |
Jonathan Hatton Jr.CFBD athlete 5159029 Week 6 vs Texas: 5 attempts · 2.4 YPC · 20.0% success · -0.503 raw PPA. Week 7 vs Kentucky: 3 attempts · 4.3 YPC · 66.7% success · 0.538 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 2 attempts · -0.5 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.558 raw PPA. | 10 | 2.4 | 0 | 10.1% | 24 / 2.8 |
Isaiah SategnaCFBD athlete 5080703 Week 6 vs Texas: 1 attempts · -1.0 YPC · 0.0% success · -0.665 raw PPA. Week 8 vs Mississippi State: 3 attempts · 8.0 YPC · 100.0% success · 0.339 raw PPA. | 4 | 5.8 | 0 | 4.0% | 8 / 5.0 |
Team-only and unresolved attempts are outside this player population. Game PPA and success rates retain provider denominators; they are not pooled across games. Missing appearances do not establish player availability. This three-game window is separate from the 100-play form window.
Team matchup statistics
Offense vs defense
2026 season to date · through Week 8, captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT · raw CFBD PPA, not opponent-adjusted EPA.
| Measure | OklahomaOffense | South CarolinaDefense | South CarolinaOffense | OklahomaDefense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA/play | -0.01 10th | +0.11 35th | +0.20 72nd | -0.13 99th |
| Success rate | 37.9% 10th | 41.6% 42nd | 46.5% 72nd | 33.1% 97th |
| Explosiveness | 1.12 12th | 1.20 60th | 1.23 46th | 1.24 45th |
| Standard-down PPA/play | -0.10 4th | -0.02 66th | +0.10 55th | -0.16 94th |
| Passing-down PPA/play | +0.19 34th | +0.41 8th | +0.43 89th | -0.07 94th |
| Havoc allowed / created | 16.8% 24th | 14.2% 28th | 14.3% 54th | 18.4% 83rd |
Bars show percentile among FBS teams with that measure; higher is better for the team shown. Team-level source captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:05:43 CDT. CFBD advanced statistics source These descriptive rates do not change the game forecast.
CFBD adjusted preview & kicker PAAR
Provider opponent-adjusted efficiency and season kicking context. These observations do not change our model forecast. Included-game cutoff is not supplied; capture and source update times are not games-through dates. CFBD definitions
Preview captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:27 AM CDT · assembled Oct 30, 2026, 6:14:27 AM CDT
Checking current kickoff time before showing captured pregame metrics.
2026 kicker PAAR
Points added above replacement; higher is better. Kicking context, not a complete special-teams rating. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 6:13:38 AM CDT.
- Tate Sandell · Oklahoma · PAAR -2.15 · 16 attempts
- Liam Evans · Oklahoma · PAAR 0.61 · 1 attempts
- Max Kelley · South Carolina · PAAR -1.33 · 2 attempts
- Malik Orsan · South Carolina · PAAR 5.27 · 12 attempts
Player recent form
CFBD raw play PPA and observed workload, 2026. Descriptive context; these values do not change our forecast or establish current roster membership or game availability.
Checking kickoff before showing recent player metrics.
Captured line movement
Provider quotes observed through CFBD. Chicago times (CST/CDT) show when we received the data, not when a sportsbook changed its price. Changes during coverage gaps are unknown. “Quote confirmed” means a complete CFBD snapshot repeated the saved price; heartbeats do not create price observations. Earlier conservative gap markers remain recorded. Ages update every 30 seconds; evidence over 90 minutes old is highlighted. Observation age measures receipt time, not sportsbook price freshness. Published Oct 30, 2026, 16:20:05 CDT · Publication age: calculating…. Line-only updates publish no more than once every three hours; daily updates may publish sooner. Checks for updates every minute while this page is visible.
Loading recorded line history… Open this game’s recorded history.
Line history & team context
Card snapshot lines
Oklahoma spread · saved card's CFBD odds snapshot. Captured: Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. These snapshot quotes were not rechecked now. See Captured line movement above for separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps. CFBD-reported openings and first local observations are separate evidence. Capture times are Chicago times, not sportsbook update times; these are not verified closing lines.
DraftKings
CFBD-reported opening: -5.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5
First locally observed: -5.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 43.5 · Snapshot total: 44.5
Total · First locally observed: 43.5 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -170 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -198 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +142 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +164 · captured Oct 22, 2026, 06:01:46 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: c83aae5cdf39bf646f57eb0000ff0ed8f701059d814361b444e46ff57d8d3b4d
Bovada
CFBD-reported opening: -4.5 · Snapshot spread: -3.5
First locally observed: -4.5 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Total · CFBD-reported opening: 44 · Snapshot total: 44
Total · First locally observed: 44 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Total observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Home moneyline · Snapshot: -200 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Home moneyline · First locally observed: -200 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Home moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Away moneyline · Snapshot: +170 · Reported opening: not supplied by CFBD
Away moneyline · First locally observed: +170 · captured Oct 25, 2026, 22:52:34 CDT · Observation age: calculating…
Away moneyline observation evidence
Capture SHA-256: fbb827cddafa48dfddfcab9cbeea1e5b9ff2cbd305a9668e6821a7a08225dea7
Oklahoma
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC
South Carolina
Net adjusted EPA/play +0.1 · 8 rated weeks · SEC
Travel
South Carolina travels 937 miles (longer than 75% of road trips, 2017–2025) · 1 time zone crossed · up 966 ft in elevation.
Distance uses the campuses because this schedule has no venue.
The 2017–2025 study found no overall ATS edge. Distance and time-zone groups cover near a coin flip. The 2,500+ mile group is above break-even but dominated by Hawai'i trips, so it is not a betting rule.
Series history
Series tied 1–1 in 2 meetings since 2024.
- 2025Oklahoma at South Carolina26–7 · Oklahoma
- 2024South Carolina at Oklahoma35–9 · South Carolina
CFBD matchup data Last 2 meetings shown. N marks a neutral site. History is not a projection input.
Team style charts
Model output, not betting advice. Historical hit rates are small-sample backtests; several edge buckets lose money at -110. Flat units only.